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Opinion polling for the 1993 New Zealand general election

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Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 43rd New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 1993 election by various research organisations.

Graphical summary

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Local regression of polls conducted

Individual polls

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Polls are listed in the table below in chronological order. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.

Unless otherwise noted the information is sourced from here:[1]

Poll Date[nb 1] Labour National Alliance NZ First NewLabour Social Credit
1990 election result[2] 27 Oct 1990 35.14 47.82 – – 5.16 0.98
TVNZ Heylen 8 Dec 1990 32 50 – – 5 1
TVNZ Heylen 2 Feb 1991 38 46 – – 4 2
TVNZ Heylen 9 Mar 1991 40 43 – – 6 1
TVNZ Heylen 6 Apr 1991 42 36 – – 6 1
TVNZ Heylen 6 May 1991 43 39 – – 7 2
TVNZ Heylen 8 Jun 1991 42 35 – – 7 3
TVNZ Heylen 6 July 1991 45 37 – – 6 3
30 July 1991 – The controversial Mother of all Budgets was delivered by the government
TVNZ Heylen 3 Aug 1991 43 34 – – 9 1
TVNZ Heylen 31 Aug 1991 47 27 – – 9 3
TVNZ Heylen 21 Sep 1991 42 22 – – 11 1
TVNZ Heylen 19 Oct 1991 43 30 – – 8 2
TVNZ Heylen 23 Nov 1991 41 24 10 – 9 2
1 December 1991 – The Alliance party was formally launched
TVNZ Heylen 7 Dec 1991 36 26 21 – 6 1
TVNZ Heylen 1 Feb 1992 38 26 18 – 5 2
15 February 1992 – National narrowly wins the Tamaki by-election after Sir Robert Muldoon's resignation.
TVNZ Heylen 7 Mar 1992 36 32 16 – 4 0
TVNZ Heylen 4 Apr 1992 39 31 10 – 4 3
TVNZ Heylen 29 Apr 1992 42 34 10 – 3 2
TVNZ Heylen 6 Jun 1992 42 33 21 – – 1
TVNZ Heylen 3 Jul 1992 37 37 24 – – 0
TVNZ Heylen 8 Aug 1992 41 36 20 – – 1
TVNZ Heylen 5 Sep 1992 39 34 26 – – –
TVNZ Heylen 3 Oct 1992 42 30 27 – – –
TVNZ Heylen 7 Nov 1992 40 30 28 – – –
TVNZ Heylen 5 Dec 1992 36 29 33 – – –
12 December 1992 – Labour wins the Wellington Central by-election after Fran Wilde's resignation.
TVNZ Heylen 6 Feb 1993 43 33 22 – – –
TVNZ Heylen 6 Mar 1993 46 28 22 – – –
TVNZ Heylen 3 Apr 1993 48 30 19 – – –
17 April 1993 – Winston Peters wins the Tauranga by-election as an independent candidate after resigning from both his party and his seat.
TVNZ Heylen 1 May 1993 45 29 21 – – –
TVNZ Heylen 29 May 1993 40 29 26 – – –
TVNZ Heylen 3 Jul 1993 35 37 21 – – –
18 July 1993 – Peters founds the New Zealand First party and is joined by another former National MP Gilbert Myles.
TVNZ Heylen 19 Jul 1993 33 40 11 12 – –
TVNZ Heylen 8 Aug 1993 33 41 10 15 – –
TVNZ Heylen 4 Sep 1993 36 39 11 11 – –
TVNZ Heylen 2 Oct 1993 37 37 13 12 – –
TVNZ Heylen 17 Oct 1993 34 38 16 10 – –
TVNZ Heylen 31 Oct 1993 32 39 17 9 – –
1993 election result[3] 6 Nov 1993 34.68 35.05 18.21 8.40 – –

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

References

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  1. ^ "Historical Pollling Data 1974–2021". Patrick Leyland. Retrieved 10 March 2022.
  2. ^ "New Zealand Elections 1972–1993". New Zealand Election Study. Retrieved 17 December 2011.
  3. ^ "Elections to the New Zealand House of Representatives". Election Resources on the Internet. Retrieved 17 December 2011.
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