Opinion polling for the 2019 Spanish local elections (Castile and León)
In the run up to the 2019 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Castile and León are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 24 May 2015, to the day the next elections were held, on 26 May 2019.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities
[edit]Bembibre
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
|
|
|
UPL | 
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 68.3 | 22.4 3 |
46.4 7 |
6.8 1 |
2.3 0 |
15.6 2 |
4.8 0 |
1.2 0 |
24.0 |
| Huaris CC/InfoBierzo[a][1] | 6–10 May 2019 | 368 | ? | 27.1 4 |
39.9 6/7 |
4.4 0/1 |
4.8 0/1 |
17.2 2 |
4.8 0/1 |
2.1 0 |
12.8 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 65.7 | 46.3 7 |
35.9 5 |
10.9 1 |
5.1 0 |
– | – | – | 10.4 |
Benavente
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
UPL |
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 63.7 | 29.7 6 |
40.0 8 |
6.9 1 |
2.6 0 |
13.5 2 |
3.5 0 |
10.3 |
| Ipsos/La Opinión[2] | 13–16 May 2019 | 341 | 70 | 22.5 4 |
40.9 7/8 |
11.5 2 |
3.6 0 |
13.8 2/3 |
5.3 0/1 |
18.4 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 63.8 | 36.0 8 |
27.8 6 |
15.6 3 |
4.9 0 |
3.8 0 |
– | 8.2 |
Burgos
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 67.1 | 25.9 7 |
36.2 11 |
4.7 0 |
16.9 5 |
7.2 2 |
6.6 2 |
10.3 |
| GAD3/El Norte de Castilla[3] | 12–14 Mar 2019 | 400 | ? | 31.7 10 |
29.9 9/10 |
13.9 3/4 |
13.2 3/4 |
4.7 0/1 |
[b] | 1.8 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 66.6 | 31.4 10 |
22.7 7 |
20.7 6 |
13.9 4 |
2.3 0 |
[b] | 8.7 |
Cacabelos
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
SxC |
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 71.6 | 33.1 5 |
25.7 4 |
2.1 0 |
13.0 2 |
15.8 2 |
6.2 0 |
3.0 0 |
7.4 |
| Huaris CC/InfoBierzo[a][4] | 6–10 May 2019 | 355 | ? | 18.1 3 |
34.0 4/5 |
6.4 0/1 |
11.7 1/2 |
13.9 1/2 |
9.6 1 |
6.4 0/1 |
15.9 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 74.0 | 39.9 6 |
39.0 5 |
10.9 1 |
6.9 1 |
– | – | – | 0.9 |
Fabero
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 75.0 | 53.1 7 |
12.0 1 |
0.7 0 |
4.8 0 |
28.2 3 |
24.9 | |
| Huaris CC/InfoBierzo[a][5] | 6–10 May 2019 | 354 | ? | 71.2 | 13.5 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 10.7 | 57.7 | |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 77.3 | 45.1 6 |
18.9 2 |
18.8 2 |
9.1 1 |
6.6 0 |
26.2 | |
La Bañeza
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
UPL |
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 67.5 | 33.7 6 |
34.8 6 |
5.0 1 |
1.7 0 |
18.2 3 |
5.7 1 |
1.1 |
| SyM Consulting/Ibañeza.es[6][7] | 29–30 Apr 2019 | 376 | ? | ? 8/9 |
? 3/4 |
? 1 |
<5.0 0 |
15.2 2/3 |
? 1 |
? |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 62.2 | 45.5 9 |
32.6 6 |
11.1 2 |
4.8 0 |
3.6 0 |
– | 12.9 |
León
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
UPL |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 64.0 | 29.6 9 |
32.1 10 |
14.0 4 |
5.3 1 |
2.3 0 |
9.4 3 |
5.0 0 |
2.5 |
| Celeste-Tel/Diario de León[8] | 7–15 May 2019 | 550 | 66.5 | 23.6 7 |
29.3 9 |
18.8 6 |
7.8 2 |
5.1 1 |
6.1 1 |
5.1 1 |
5.7 |
| SyM Consulting/La Nueva Crónica[9] | 10–12 May 2019 | 516 | 67.6 | 23.2 7 |
23.3 7 |
11.7 3/4 |
11.4 3 |
5.7 1/2 |
10.3 3 |
8.3 2 |
0.1 |
| GAD3/Leonoticias[10] | 12–14 Mar 2019 | 400 | ? | 31.1 10 |
26.9 9 |
10.5 3 |
5.6 1 |
4.2 0/1 |
8.4 1/2 |
6.6 1/2 |
4.2 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 62.4 | 31.8 10 |
24.8 8 |
13.3 4 |
8.2* 2 |
7.1 2 |
5.3 1 |
0.8 0 |
7.0 |
| (*) Results for Awake León. | |||||||||||
Ponferrada
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
USE |
|
|
PeC | PRB |
|
|
|
MxC | VIAs | +P | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 61.3 | 22.9 6 |
32.1 9 |
7.9 2 |
8.2 2 |
9.2 2 |
– | 7.3 2 |
– | 7.1 2 |
2.4 0 |
0.4 0 |
0.7 0 |
0.6 0 |
9.2 |
| Celeste-Tel/Diario de León[11] | 9–16 May 2019 | 400 | 61.9 | 21.6 6 |
30.9 9 |
14.2 4 |
12.8 3 |
6.9 2 |
– | 3.2 0 |
– | 6.1 1 |
1.1 0 |
1.6 0 |
– | 1.5 0 |
9.3 |
| Huaris CC/InfoBierzo[a][12] | 6–15 May 2019 | 817 | ? | 18.7 6 |
35.0 8 |
9.2 2/3 |
9.6 2/3 |
9.8 3 |
– | 4.0 0/1 |
– | 8.0 2 |
2.8 0 |
1.2 0 |
– | 1.7 0 |
16.3 |
| ECD/BierzoDiario[13] | 4–13 May 2019 | 670 | ? | 19.2 6 |
24.5 8 |
9.0 2/3 |
11.9 3 |
8.0 2 |
– | 3.4 0 |
– | 10.2 3 |
4.9 0/1 |
3.9 0 |
2.2 0 |
1.9 0 |
5.3 |
| SyM Consulting/La Nueva Crónica[14] | 10–12 May 2019 | 372 | 61.5 | 20.8 6 |
27.5 7/8 |
7.0 2 |
5.0 1 |
12.6 3/4 |
– | 5.6 1 |
– | 16.0 4 |
– | – | – | – | 6.7 |
| ECD/BierzoDiario[15] | 15–24 Feb 2019 | 400 | ? | 21.2 6 |
22.8 6/7 |
6.3 1/2 |
14.5 4 |
9.8 2 |
– | 3.5 0 |
8.2 2 |
12.6 3 |
– | – | – | – | 1.6 |
| ECD/BierzoDiario[16] | 5–12 Jun 2018 | 400 | ? | 23.1 6/7 |
24.2 7 |
9.0 2 |
15.6 4 |
9.8 2/3 |
11.3 3 |
3.9 0 |
– | [c] | [c] | – | – | – | 1.1 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 60.5 | 23.3 7 |
20.9 6 |
18.6 5 |
9.3 2 |
9.0 2 |
7.9 2 |
5.2 1 |
0.8 0 |
[c] | [c] | – | – | – | 2.4 |
Salamanca
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 63.4 | 36.1 11 |
34.0 10 |
15.5 4 |
7.6 2 |
4.5 0 |
2.1 |
| USAL/Salamanca24horas[17] | 19 May 2019 | 756 | 65 | ? 9/11 |
? 8/10 |
? 6/8 |
? 2/4 |
? 0/2 |
? |
| Charromanía[18] | 4–8 Jan 2019 | 403 | ? | 26.4 8 |
27.9 8 |
18.0 5 |
12.2 3 |
12.2 3 |
1.5 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 61.8 | 39.2 12 |
23.9 7 |
13.7 4 |
13.6* 4 |
1.0 0 |
15.3 |
| (*) Results for Let's Win Salamanca. | |||||||||
Segovia
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 68.4 | 33.3 10 |
31.5 9 |
13.2 3 |
– | 7.4 2 |
4.8 0 |
5.2 1 |
3.5 0 |
1.8 |
| SegoviaDirecto.com[19] | 6–10 May 2019 | 1,000 | ? | 29.5 8 |
26.1 7 |
15.4 4 |
– | 5.7 1 |
7.2 2 |
6.5 1 |
7.0 2 |
3.4 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 66.5 | 40.0 12 |
29.2 8 |
7.2 2 |
6.6 2 |
5.3 1 |
1.1 0 |
– | – | 10.8 |
Toro
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 69.1 | 51.2 8 |
24.8 3 |
18.3 2 |
26.4 |
| Ipsos/La Opinión[20] | 13–16 May 2019 | 245 | 71 | 61.0 8/9 |
21.7 3 |
14.5 1/2 |
39.3 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 71.3 | 59.6 9 |
30.6 4 |
5.1 0 |
29.0 |
Valladolid
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 69.1 | 30.1 9 |
35.7 11 |
10.5 3 |
3.0 0 |
12.6 3 |
6.3 1 |
5.6 |
| GAD3/El Norte de Castilla[21] | 12–14 Mar 2019 | 502 | ? | 28.6 8/9 |
39.9 12/13 |
4.8 0/1 |
5.8 1/2 |
10.1 2/3 |
5.8 1/2 |
11.3 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 67.8 | 35.7 12 |
23.3 8 |
13.4 4 |
10.0* 3 |
7.6 2 |
1.1 0 |
12.4 |
| (*) Results for Yes We Can Valladolid. | ||||||||||
Zamora
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 65.5 | 20.5 6 |
48.1 14 |
11.7 3 |
8.2 2 |
27.6 |
| Ipsos/La Opinión[22] | 13–16 May 2019 | 667 | 67 | 20.8 5/6 |
44.7 11/13 |
15.6 4/5 |
12.1 3 |
23.9 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 61.9 | 32.4 10 |
29.1 8 |
17.0 5 |
8.6 2 |
3.3 |
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "El PSOE ganaría en Bembibre y Ciudadanos entra en el Consistorio / ENCUESTA HUARIS-INFOBIERZO". InfoBierzo (in Spanish). 16 May 2019.
- ^ "Benavente. El PSOE gana las elecciones con claridad pero tendrá que pactar con IU o con Cs". La Opinión de Zamora (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
- ^ "El PP mantendría la Alcaldía pactando con Cs y VOX". El Norte de Castilla (in Spanish). 19 March 2019.
- ^ "Crisol de partidos en Cacabelos con victoria para el PSOE y mayoría de la izquierda / ENCUESTA HUARIS-INFOBIERZO". InfoBierzo (in Spanish). 16 May 2019.
- ^ "La indecisión será clave en Fabero, donde el PSOE moviliza la mayoría de voto definido / ENCUESTA HUARIS-INFOBIERZO". InfoBierzo (in Spanish). 16 May 2019.
- ^ "El PSOE bañezano, muy cerca de conseguir una nueva mayoría absoluta". Ibañeza.es (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
- ^ "El PSOE de Palazuelo, muy cerca de lograr una nueva mayoría absoluta en La Bañeza". La Nueva Crónica (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
- ^ "Al PSOE le sobraría con Cs para gobernar en León, mientras que el PP necesitaría también a Vox o UPL". Diario de León (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
- ^ "PP y PSOE 'empatarían' en León y no les valdría pactar solo con Ciudadanos". La Nueva Crónica (in Spanish). 16 May 2019.
- ^ "Antonio Silván (PP) no acusa desgaste electoral y se enfrenta a un escenario de pactos". Leonoticias (in Spanish). 18 March 2019.
- ^ "El PSOE ganará en Ponferrada pero Morala podría intentar gobernar también". Diario de León (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
- ^ "El PSOE ganaría las Municipales en Ponferrada después de 28 años pero los pactos dejan la puerta abierta al PP y al bloque de izquierdas para gobernar". InfoBierzo (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
- ^ "[ENCUESTA BD-EBD] El PSOE ganará las elecciones en Ponferrada". BierzoDiario (in Spanish). 17 May 2019. Archived from the original on 1 June 2019.
- ^ "El PSOE adelantaría al PP en Ponferrada, que sigue pidiendo diálogo en las urnas". La Nueva Crónica (in Spanish). 17 May 2019.
- ^ "[ENCUESTA BD] PSOE y PP llegan muy igualados a la doble cita electoral". BierzoDiario (in Spanish). 28 February 2019.
- ^ "[ENCUESTA BD 3 AÑOS DE GOBIERNO] Empate técnico entre PP y PSOE, subida de Cs y descalabro de Folgueral". BierzoDiario (in Spanish). 17 June 2018. Archived from the original on 22 June 2018.
- ^ "Encuesta S24H: El PP volvería a ganar las elecciones municipales pese al crecimiento de PSOE y Ciudadanos". Salamanca24horas (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
- ^ "Aviso de tsunami en Salamanca". La Crónica de Salamanca (in Spanish). 20 January 2019.
- ^ "El PSOE ganaría al PP por un solo concejal y Ciudadanos sería clave para la gobernabilidad en el Ayuntamiento de Segovia, según encuesta". SegoviaDirecto.com (in Spanish). 13 May 2019.
- ^ "Toro. El PSOE revalida la Alcaldía y Ciudadanos entra en el Ayuntamiento con dos ediles". La Opinión de Zamora (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
- ^ "El PSOE se afianza como primera fuerza en Valladolid a costa de Toma la Palabra". El Norte de Castilla (in Spanish). 17 March 2019.
- ^ "El batacazo del PP abre la puerta a un gobierno en solitario de Izquierda Unida". La Opinión (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
