2021 Salvadoran legislative election
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All 84 seats in the Legislative Assembly 43 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 50.25 ( 4.5 pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
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Legislative elections were held in El Salvador on 28 February 2021 to elect the 84 members of the Legislative Assembly, 20 members of the Central American Parliament and 262 mayors.[1] The result was a landslide victory for Nuevas Ideas with pro-Bukele parties winning a supermajority of seats.
Electoral system
The 84 members of the Legislative Assembly are elected by open list proportional representation from 14 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with seats allocated using the largest remainder method.[2]
The 20 members of the Central American Parliament are elected by open list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency, with seats allocated using the largest remainder method.[3]
Parties
Parliamentary parties
Party | Legislative Assembly | Central American Parliament | Municipalities | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | Votes (%) | Seats | Votes (%) | Seats | |||
Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA) | 43.41 | 37 / 84
|
? | 8 / 20
|
41.80 | 140 / 262
| ||
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN) | 26.78 | 23 / 84
|
? | 8 / 20
|
29.18 | 64 / 262
| ||
Grand Alliance for National Unity (GANA) | 11.45 | 10 / 84
|
? | 2 / 20
|
12.58 | 26 / 262
| ||
National Coalition Party (PCN) | 10.87 | 9 / 84
|
? | 1 / 20
|
10.50 | 25 / 262
| ||
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) | 3.11 | 3 / 84
|
? | 1 / 20
|
4.13 | 5 / 262
| ||
Democratic Change (CD) | 0.94 | 1 / 84
|
? | 0 / 20
|
0 | 0 / 262
| ||
Independents | 0.68 | 1 / 84
|
? | 0 / 20
|
? | 0 / 262
| ||
Salvadoran Patriotic Fraternity (FPS) | 0.94 | 0 / 84
|
? | 0 / 20
|
0.16 | 1 / 262
| ||
Sources: TSE TSE |
Non-parliamentary parties
Party | Ideology | Leader | |
---|---|---|---|
Vamos (V) | Centrism | Josué Alvarado | |
Nuevas Ideas (NI) | Populism | Xavier Zablah Bukele | |
Nuestro Tiempo (NT) | Humanism | John Tennant Wright Sol | |
Salvadoran Democracy (DS) | Humanism | Adolfo Salume Artiñano |
Retiring deputies
Sixteen incumbent deputies did not run for re-election in 2021. Those incumbents were:
Party | Retirements | Department | Serving since | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Change | Juan José Martel | San Salvador | 1 May 2018 | |
Nationalist Republican Alliance | Norman Quijano | |||
Milena Mayorga | ||||
David Reyes | 1 May 2008 | |||
Patricia Valdivieso | 1 May 2015 | |||
Alejandrina Castro | 1 May 2012 | |||
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front | Karina Sosa | |||
Nationalist Republican Alliance | Gustavo Escalante | La Libertad | ||
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front | Manuel Flores | |||
Audelia López | Chalatenango | |||
Rodolfo Martínez | San Miguel | |||
Margarita López | Santa Ana | |||
Nationalist Republican Alliance | Josué Godoy | 1 May 2018 | ||
Independent | Felissa Cristales | La Libertad | ||
Grand Alliance for National Unity | Francis Zablah | 1 May 2009 | ||
Nationalist Republican Alliance | Arturo Simeón Magaña | Ahuachapán | 1 May 2018 |
Opinion polls
The following table lists estimates of intention to vote nationwide. Refusals are generally excluded from those of the party's vote, while the wording of the questions and the treatment of the answers "I don't know" and those that do not intend to vote may vary among the voting organizations. When available, seating projections are shown below the percentages in a smaller source.
Nationwide polling
Graphical summary
Voting intention estimates
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PCN | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 legislative election | 28 Feb 2021 | N/A | 66.46 56 |
12.18 14 |
6.91 4 |
5.29 5 |
4.08 2 |
1.70 1 |
0.56 0 |
1.01 1 |
1.70 1 |
54.28 |
CIPSECA | 28 Jan–1 Feb 2021 | – | 68 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 61 |
CEC-UFG | 13–17 Jan 2021 | – | 64.7 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 57.6 |
CID-Gallup | 16 Dec 2020 | – | 70 60 |
6 10 |
5 2 |
9 6 |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 61 |
CEOP-FUNDAUNGO | 17 Nov–5 Dec 2020 | 2,159 | 60.3 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | – | 0.3 | 0.5 | 55.4 |
IUDOP | 10-24 Nov 2020 | 911 | 69.7 58 |
4.9 5 |
6.5 4 |
3.3 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | – | 0.3 1 |
0.3 1 |
44.8 |
CIPSECA | 20–25 Oct 2020 | – | 59 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.4 | – | 0.2 | 0.2 | 45.0 |
UFG | 14 Sep 2020 | – | 48 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 41.9 |
TResearch | 23–27 Jul 2020 | 1,000 | 70.4 | 5 | 4.4 | 3.1 | – | – | – | 1.7 | 0.8 | 65.4 |
CID-Gallup | 16 Jan 2020 | – | 37 | 10 | 3 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 |
CEC-UFG | 7–11 Jan 2020 | 1,292 | 48.2 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 42.3 |
IUDOP-UCA | 22 Nov–3 Dec 2019 | 1,265 | 42.4 | 6.9 | 5.2 | 3.7 | – | – | – | – | – | 35.5 |
CID-Gallup | 19 Sep 2019 | 1,206 | 35 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | – | – | – | – | 27 |
UFG Datos | 1–5 Sep 2019 | 1,500 | 38.7 | 9 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | – | 0.2 | 0.4 | 29.7 |
LPG Datos | 21–26 Aug 2019 | 1,520 | 32.4 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | – | – | 23.1 |
CID-Gallup | 29 Sep 2018 | – | – | 22 | 13 | 39 | 4 | 3 | – | – | – | 17 |
IUDOP-UCA | 22 May 2018 | 1,263 | 38.5 | 30 | 8.9 | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | 8.5 |
2018 legislative election | 4 Mar 2018 | N/A | – | 41.7 | 24.5 | 11.4 | 10.8 | 5.1 | 0.9 | – | – | 17.2 |
Conduct
Controversial discussion between Olivo and Bukele
The Magistrate of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal, Julio Olivo Granadino, has declared himself an opponent of the Government of the President, Nayib Bukele.[4] For this new magistracy in the TSE, Olivo was the first candidate of the preselection proposed by the FMLN. His appointment to said institution faced a lawsuit of unconstitutionality, presented by the constitutional lawyer Salvador Enrique Anaya.
New Ideas candidates refused registration
Through its social networks, the New Ideas political party denounced that the Electoral Board (JED) of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) in Cabañas refused to register its candidates so that they could participate in the elections.[5]
Results
Legislative Assembly
Party | Votes | % | Seats | +/– | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuevas Ideas | 1,430,578 | 54.67 | 46 | New | |
Nuevas Ideas–GANA | 311,723 | 11.91 | 10 | – | |
Nationalist Republican Alliance | 206,328 | 7.88 | 9 | −26 | |
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front | 180,808 | 6.91 | 4 | −14 | |
Grand Alliance for National Unity | 135,223 | 5.17 | 5 | −5 | |
ARENA–DS | 99,003 | 3.78 | 4 | – | |
National Coalition Party | 85,548 | 3.27 | 1 | −8 | |
Nuestro Tiempo | 44,401 | 1.70 | 1 | New | |
Christian Democratic Party | 44,379 | 1.70 | 1 | −1 | |
Vamos | 26,492 | 1.01 | 1 | New | |
PCN–DS | 21,211 | 0.81 | 1 | – | |
Democratic Change | 14,768 | 0.56 | 0 | −1 | |
ARENA–National Coalition Party | 13,503 | 0.52 | 1 | –1 | |
Independents | 2,783 | 0.11 | 0 | −1 | |
Total | 2,616,748 | 100.00 | 84 | 0 | |
Registered voters/turnout | 5,389,017 | – | |||
Source: TSE |
Municipalities
Party | Votes | % | Seats | +/– | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuevas Ideas | 1,342,968 | 50.78 | 152 | New | |
Nationalist Republican Alliance | 502,784 | 19.01 | 35 | –104 | |
Grand Alliance for National Unity | 295,091 | 11.16 | 27 | – | |
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front | 287,321 | 10.86 | 30 | –34 | |
National Coalition Party | 130,346 | 4.93 | 14 | –11 | |
Christian Democratic Party | 45,705 | 1.73 | 3 | –2 | |
Vamos | 10,413 | 0.39 | 1 | New | |
Democratic Change | 18,301 | 0.69 | 0 | – | |
Nuestro Tiempo | 11,974 | 0.45 | 0 | New | |
Total | 2,644,903 | 100.00 | 262 | 0 | |
Registered voters/turnout | 5,389,017 | – | |||
Source: TSE |
Central American Parliament
Party | Votes | % | Seats | +/– | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuevas Ideas–Democratic Change | 1,693,550 | 68.11 | 14 | New | |
Nationalist Republican Alliance | 329,039 | 13.23 | 3 | –5 | |
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front | 181,475 | 7.30 | 1 | −7 | |
Grand Alliance for National Unity | 164,427 | 6.61 | 1 | –1 | |
National Coalition Party | 78,492 | 3.16 | 1 | 0 | |
Christian Democratic Party | 39,360 | 1.58 | 0 | –1 | |
Total | 2,486,343 | 100.00 | 20 | 0 | |
Registered voters/turnout | 5,389,017 | – | |||
Source: TSE |
References
- ^ "Big Victory Comes With Big Expectations for El Salvador's Young New President". World Politics Review. 11 February 2019.
- ^ "El Salvador Election Passport".
- ^ "Electoral Legislation – 2021 Elections" (PDF).
- ^ "TSE Magistrate, Julio Olivo declares himself a political opponent of the Government of Nayib Bukele". diariolahuella.com. 26 October 2020. Retrieved 26 October 2020.
- ^ "They denounce that the Departmental Electoral Board of the TSE in Cabañas does not want to register candidates from New Ideas". diariolahuella.com. 17 November 2020. Retrieved 17 November 2020.
External links
- Tribunal Supremo Electoral (in Spanish)