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2021 Salvadoran legislative election

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2021 Salvadoran legislative election
El Salvador
← 2018 28 February 2021 2024 →

All 84 seats in the Legislative Assembly
43 seats needed for a majority
Turnout50.25 (Increase 4.5 pp)
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
NI Xavier Zablah Bukele 66.46 56 +56
ARENA Erick Salguero 12.18 14 −23
FMLN Óscar Ortiz 6.91 4 −19
GANA Nelson Guardado 5.29 5 −5
PCN Manuel Rodriguez 4.08 2 −7
PDC Rodolfo Parker 1.70 1 −2
NT Juan Valiente 1.70 1 +1
V Josué Alvarado 1.01 1 +1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Results of the election.
President of the Legislative Assembly before President of the Legislative Assembly after
Mario Ponce
PCN
Ernesto Castro
NI

Legislative elections were held in El Salvador on 28 February 2021 to elect the 84 members of the Legislative Assembly, 20 members of the Central American Parliament and 262 mayors.[1] The result was a landslide victory for Nuevas Ideas with pro-Bukele parties winning a supermajority of seats.

Electoral system

The 84 members of the Legislative Assembly are elected by open list proportional representation from 14 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with seats allocated using the largest remainder method.[2]

The 20 members of the Central American Parliament are elected by open list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency, with seats allocated using the largest remainder method.[3]

Parties

Parliamentary parties

2018 Salvadoran legislative election
Party Legislative Assembly Central American Parliament Municipalities
Votes (%) Seats Votes (%) Seats Votes (%) Seats
Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA) 43.41
37 / 84
?
8 / 20
41.80
140 / 262
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN) 26.78
23 / 84
?
8 / 20
29.18
64 / 262
Grand Alliance for National Unity (GANA) 11.45
10 / 84
?
2 / 20
12.58
26 / 262
National Coalition Party (PCN) 10.87
9 / 84
?
1 / 20
10.50
25 / 262
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 3.11
3 / 84
?
1 / 20
4.13
5 / 262
Democratic Change (CD) 0.94
1 / 84
?
0 / 20
0
0 / 262
Independents 0.68
1 / 84
?
0 / 20
?
0 / 262
Salvadoran Patriotic Fraternity (FPS) 0.94
0 / 84
?
0 / 20
0.16
1 / 262
Sources: TSE TSE

Non-parliamentary parties

Party Ideology Leader
Vamos (V) Centrism Josué Alvarado
Nuevas Ideas (NI) Populism Xavier Zablah Bukele
Nuestro Tiempo (NT) Humanism John Tennant Wright Sol
Salvadoran Democracy (DS) Humanism Adolfo Salume Artiñano

Retiring deputies

Sixteen incumbent deputies did not run for re-election in 2021. Those incumbents were:

Party Retirements Department Serving since
Democratic Change Juan José Martel San Salvador 1 May 2018
Nationalist Republican Alliance Norman Quijano
Milena Mayorga
David Reyes 1 May 2008
Patricia Valdivieso 1 May 2015
Alejandrina Castro 1 May 2012
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front Karina Sosa
Nationalist Republican Alliance Gustavo Escalante La Libertad
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front Manuel Flores
Audelia López Chalatenango
Rodolfo Martínez San Miguel
Margarita López Santa Ana
Nationalist Republican Alliance Josué Godoy 1 May 2018
Independent Felissa Cristales La Libertad
Grand Alliance for National Unity Francis Zablah 1 May 2009
Nationalist Republican Alliance Arturo Simeón Magaña Ahuachapán 1 May 2018

Opinion polls

The following table lists estimates of intention to vote nationwide. Refusals are generally excluded from those of the party's vote, while the wording of the questions and the treatment of the answers "I don't know" and those that do not intend to vote may vary among the voting organizations. When available, seating projections are shown below the percentages in a smaller source.

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Graph of opinion polls conducted.
  NI
  ARENA
  FMLN
  GANA

Voting intention estimates

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
NI ARENA FMLN GANA PCN PDC CD V NT Lead
2021 legislative election 28 Feb 2021 N/A 66.46
56
12.18
14
6.91
4
5.29
5
4.08
2
1.70
1
0.56
0
1.01
1
1.70
1
54.28
CIPSECA 28 Jan–1 Feb 2021 68 7 2 6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 61
CEC-UFG 13–17 Jan 2021 64.7 7.1 2.2 3.1 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.4 57.6
CID-Gallup 16 Dec 2020 70
60
6
10
5
2
9
6
3 1 2 0 0 61
CEOP-FUNDAUNGO 17 Nov–5 Dec 2020 2,159 60.3 4.9 2.7 4.5 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 55.4
IUDOP 10-24 Nov 2020 911 69.7
58
4.9
5
6.5
4
3.3
2
0.3
1
0.3
1
0.3
1
44.8
CIPSECA 20–25 Oct 2020 59 14.0 7.0 13.0 4.0 2.4 0.2 0.2 45.0
UFG 14 Sep 2020 48 4.3 3.3 6.1 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 41.9
TResearch 23–27 Jul 2020 1,000 70.4 5 4.4 3.1 1.7 0.8 65.4
CID-Gallup 16 Jan 2020 37 10 3 3 27
CEC-UFG 7–11 Jan 2020 1,292 48.2 5.9 2.6 3.6 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 42.3
IUDOP-UCA 22 Nov–3 Dec 2019 1,265 42.4 6.9 5.2 3.7 35.5
CID-Gallup 19 Sep 2019 1,206 35 8 6 5 1 27
UFG Datos 1–5 Sep 2019 1,500 38.7 9 3.9 4.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.4 29.7
LPG Datos 21–26 Aug 2019 1,520 32.4 9.3 5.1 3.1 0.7 0.3 0.5 23.1
CID-Gallup 29 Sep 2018 22 13 39 4 3 17
IUDOP-UCA 22 May 2018 1,263 38.5 30 8.9 1 8.5
2018 legislative election 4 Mar 2018 N/A 41.7 24.5 11.4 10.8 5.1 0.9 17.2

Conduct

Controversial discussion between Olivo and Bukele

The Magistrate of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal, Julio Olivo Granadino, has declared himself an opponent of the Government of the President, Nayib Bukele.[4] For this new magistracy in the TSE, Olivo was the first candidate of the preselection proposed by the FMLN. His appointment to said institution faced a lawsuit of unconstitutionality, presented by the constitutional lawyer Salvador Enrique Anaya.

New Ideas candidates refused registration

Through its social networks, the New Ideas political party denounced that the Electoral Board (JED) of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) in Cabañas refused to register its candidates so that they could participate in the elections.[5]

Results

Legislative Assembly

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Nuevas Ideas1,430,57854.6746New
Nuevas IdeasGANA311,72311.9110
Nationalist Republican Alliance206,3287.889−26
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front180,8086.914−14
Grand Alliance for National Unity135,2235.175−5
ARENADS99,0033.784
National Coalition Party85,5483.271−8
Nuestro Tiempo44,4011.701New
Christian Democratic Party44,3791.701−1
Vamos26,4921.011New
PCNDS21,2110.811
Democratic Change14,7680.560−1
ARENANational Coalition Party13,5030.521–1
Independents2,7830.110−1
Total2,616,748100.00840
Registered voters/turnout5,389,017
Source: TSE

Municipalities

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Nuevas Ideas1,342,96850.78152New
Nationalist Republican Alliance502,78419.0135–104
Grand Alliance for National Unity295,09111.1627
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front287,32110.8630–34
National Coalition Party130,3464.9314–11
Christian Democratic Party45,7051.733–2
Vamos10,4130.391New
Democratic Change18,3010.690
Nuestro Tiempo11,9740.450New
Total2,644,903100.002620
Registered voters/turnout5,389,017
Source: TSE

Central American Parliament

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Nuevas IdeasDemocratic Change1,693,55068.1114New
Nationalist Republican Alliance329,03913.233–5
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front181,4757.301−7
Grand Alliance for National Unity164,4276.611–1
National Coalition Party78,4923.1610
Christian Democratic Party39,3601.580–1
Total2,486,343100.00200
Registered voters/turnout5,389,017
Source: TSE

References

  1. ^ "Big Victory Comes With Big Expectations for El Salvador's Young New President". World Politics Review. 11 February 2019.
  2. ^ "El Salvador Election Passport".
  3. ^ "Electoral Legislation – 2021 Elections" (PDF).
  4. ^ "TSE Magistrate, Julio Olivo declares himself a political opponent of the Government of Nayib Bukele". diariolahuella.com. 26 October 2020. Retrieved 26 October 2020.
  5. ^ "They denounce that the Departmental Electoral Board of the TSE in Cabañas does not want to register candidates from New Ideas". diariolahuella.com. 17 November 2020. Retrieved 17 November 2020.