Opinion polling for the 2013 Italian general election: Difference between revisions
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In the run up to the '''[[Italian general election, 2013|Italian general election of 2013]]''', various organisations are carrying out '''[[opinion polling]]''' to gauge voting intention in [[Italy]]. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. |
In the run up to the '''[[Italian general election, 2013|Italian general election of 2013]]''', various organisations are carrying out '''[[opinion polling]]''' to gauge voting intention in [[Italy]]. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. |
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The date range for these opinion polls are from January 2012. Opinion polls held before December 2012 do not count the effect of outgoing [[Prime Minister of Italy]] [[Mario Monti]], who declared his intention to support a centrist coalition named [[Monti's Agenda for Italy]] only by the end of the 2012 year. |
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==Poll results== |
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Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date of publication of the survey. |
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Due to the Italian ''par condicio'' (equal conditions) law, publication of opinion polls is forbidden in the last two weeks of elector campaign. |
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==Opinion polls== |
==Opinion polls== |
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This is a list of opinion polls taken from January 2012. |
This is a list of opinion polls taken from January 2012. The data are expressed in %. The dates are taken from the [http://www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it/ListaSondaggi.aspx?st=SONDAGGI official website] of the Italian government. |
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===Opinion polls for year 2013=== |
===Opinion polls for year 2013=== |
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Poll results in this section use the date of publication of the survey. Parties are listed by coalition. Detailed data about the polls are usually published in the [http://www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it/ListaSondaggi.aspx?st=SONDAGGI official website] of the Italian government. |
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{| class="wikitable sortable" |
{| class="wikitable sortable" |
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|- class="hintergrundfarbe5" style="text-align:center" |
|- class="hintergrundfarbe5" style="text-align:center" |
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! rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;" |Institute<br/> |
! rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;" |Institute<br/> |
||
! rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;" |Release date |
! rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;" |Release date |
||
! |
|||
! |
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! colspan=4| [[Italy. Common Good|''Italia. Bene Comune'']]<br/><small>([[Pier Luigi Bersani]])</small> |
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! colspan=3| [[Monti's Agenda for Italy|''Agenda Monti per l'Italia'']]<br/><small>([[Mario Monti]])</small> |
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! colspan=6| '''Centre-right'''<br/><small>([[Silvio Berlusconi]])</small> |
! colspan=6| '''Centre-right'''<br/><small>([[Silvio Berlusconi]])</small> |
||
! |
! |
||
! rowspan=2 style="width:4em" | Others<br/> |
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! colspan=4| '''[[With Monti for Italy]]'''<br/><small>([[Mario Monti]])</small> |
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! rowspan=2 style="width:4em" | Uncertain or to abstain<br/> |
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! colspan=5| '''[[Italy. Common Good]]'''<br/><small>([[Pier Luigi Bersani]])</small> |
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! |
|||
! |
|||
! |
|||
! rowspan=2 style="width:4em" | Oth.<br/> |
|||
! rowspan=2 style="width:4em" | U/A<sup>3</sup><br/> |
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|- |
|- |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[ |
! style="width:4em" | [[Civil Revolution|RC]]<sup>1</sup> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Brothers of Italy|FdI]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[ |
! style="width:4em" | [[Five Star Movement|M5S]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[The People of Freedom|PdL]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Lega Nord|LN]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | Tot.<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Stop the Decline|FD]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Union of the Centre (2008)|UdC]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Future and Freedom|FLI]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Civic Choice|SC]]<sup>1</sup><br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | Tot. |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Democratic Centre (Italy)|CD]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Italian Socialist Party (2007)|PSI]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Democratic Party (Italy)|PD]]<br/> |
! style="width:4em" | [[Democratic Party (Italy)|PD]]<br/> |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[Left Ecology Freedom|SEL]]<br/> |
! style="width:4em" | [[Left Ecology Freedom|SEL]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | |
! style="width:4em" | [[Italian Socialist Party (2007)|PSI]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[ |
! style="width:4em" | [[Democratic Centre (Italy)|CD]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Civil Revolution|RC]]<sup>2</sup><br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[ |
! style="width:4em" | [[Union of the Centre (2008)|UdC]]<br/> |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[Future and Freedom|FLI]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Monti's Agenda for Italy|Monti]]<sup>2</sup><br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[The People of Freedom|PdL]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Lega Nord|LN]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[The Right|LD]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Brothers of Italy|FdI-CN]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Great South (party)|GS]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Alliance of the Centre|AdC]]<br/> |
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! style="width:4em" | [[Stop the Decline|FD]] |
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|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
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| style="text-align:left;" | '''[[Italian general election, 2008|Election]]''' |
| style="text-align:left;" | '''[[Italian general election, 2008|Election]]''' |
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| '''{{dts|format=dmy|2008|04|14}}''' |
| '''{{dts|format=dmy|2008|04|14}}''' |
||
| '''–''' |
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| 2.4 |
|||
| – |
| '''–''' |
||
| – |
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| 37.4 |
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| 8.3 |
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| '''48.1''' |
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| – |
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| 5.6 |
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| – |
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| – |
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| '''5.6''' |
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| – |
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| 1.0 |
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| 33.2 |
|||
| – |
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| '''33.2''' |
| '''33.2''' |
||
| '''–''' |
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| <small>'''w. [[Democratic Party (Italy)|PD]]</small> |
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| ''' |
| '''0.9''' |
||
| – |
| '''–''' |
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| 4.6 |
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| '''5.6''' |
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| '''–''' |
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| '''–''' |
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| '''37.4''' |
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| '''8.3''' |
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| '''2.4''' |
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| '''–''' |
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| '''–''' |
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| '''–''' |
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| '''–''' |
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| '''14.5''' |
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| |
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|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
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| style="text-align:left;" | |
| style="text-align:left;" | |
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| |
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| Line 78: | Line 87: | ||
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| |
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|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
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| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www.sondaitalia.com/2013/01/elezioni-2013-il-sondaggio-elettorale.html Tecnè] |
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| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|08}} |
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| 4.1 |
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| 14.4 |
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| {{party shading/Green}} | 33.7 |
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| 4.5 |
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| colspan=2|1.4 |
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| 4.6 |
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| 1.3 |
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| 9.2 |
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| 18.1 |
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| 4.2 |
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| 1.2 |
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| colspan=3|1.1 |
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| |
| |
||
| |
| 2.2 |
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| |
| 41.4 |
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| |
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| |
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| |
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| |
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| |
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| |
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|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
||
| style="text-align:left;" |[http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-ipsos-ibc-388-171-cdx-217.html Ipsos] |
| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-ipsos-ibc-388-171-cdx-217.html Ipsos] |
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| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|08}} |
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|08}} |
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| 5.5 |
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| 12.5 |
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| {{party shading/Green}} | 33.3 |
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| 5.5 |
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| |
| |
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| 1.6 |
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| |
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| 16.1 |
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| 4.0 |
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| '''21.7''' |
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| |
| |
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| 4.3 |
| 4.3 |
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| 1.3 |
| 1.3 |
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| 12.0 |
| 12.0 |
||
| |
| 16.1 |
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| 4.0 |
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| |
| |
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| 1.8 |
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| |
| |
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| 33.3 |
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| 5.5 |
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| '''38.8''' |
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| |
| |
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| '''5.5''' |
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| '''12.5''' |
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| 3.9 |
| 3.9 |
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| |
| |
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|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
||
| style="text-align:left;" |[http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio- |
| style="text-align:left;" |[http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-ipr-pd-31-pdl-17-m5s-13.html IPR] |
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| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|08}} |
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| 1.2 |
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| colspan=2| 1.1 |
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| 18.1 |
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| 4.2 |
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| '''24.6''' |
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| |
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| 4.6 |
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| 1.3 |
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| 9.2 |
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| '''15.1''' |
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| colspan=2| 1.4 |
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| 33.7 |
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| 4.5 |
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| '''39.6''' |
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| |
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| '''4.1''' |
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| '''14.4''' |
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| 2.2 |
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| 41.4 |
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|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
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| style="text-align:left;" |[http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-piepoli-ibc-41-12-cdx-29.html Piepoli] |
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| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|08}} |
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| colspan=3| 8.0 |
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| 15.0 |
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| 6.0 |
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| '''29.0''' |
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| |
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| 5.0 |
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| 1.0 |
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| 8.0 |
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| '''14.0''' |
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| 1.0 |
|||
| 1.0 |
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| 33.0 |
|||
| 6.0 |
|||
| '''41.0''' |
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| |
|||
| '''4.0''' |
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| '''10.0''' |
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| 6.0 |
|||
| |
|||
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
|||
| style="text-align:left;" |[http://www.sondaitalia.com/2013/01/ultimo-sondaggio-elettorale-presentato.html IPR] |
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| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|08}} |
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|08}} |
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| 2.0 |
| 2.0 |
||
| 13.0 |
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| {{party shading/Green}} | 31.0 |
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| 5.0 |
|||
| 1.5 |
| 1.5 |
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| 1.5 |
| 1.5 |
||
| 17.0 |
|||
| 5.0 |
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| '''27.0''' |
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| '''1.0''' |
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| 4.0 |
| 4.0 |
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| 2.0 |
| 2.0 |
||
| 10.0 |
| 10.0 |
||
| |
| 17.0 |
||
| 2.0 |
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| |
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| 31.0 |
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| 5.0 |
| 5.0 |
||
| |
| 2.0 |
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| colspan=3|3.0 |
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| '''1.5''' |
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| |
| 1.0 |
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| '''13.0''' |
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| 3.0 |
| 3.0 |
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| 44.0 |
| 44.0 |
||
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
||
| style="text-align:left;" |[http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio- |
| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-ispo-pd-33-pdl-18-m5s-135.html ISPO] |
||
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|06}} |
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|06}} |
||
| |
| 2.5 |
||
| |
| 13.5 |
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| {{party shading/Green}} | 33.0 |
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| 0.5 |
|||
| |
| 4.0 |
||
| |
| 1.0 |
||
| |
| 1.5 |
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| |
| 4.0 |
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| 1.0 |
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| 9.0 |
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| 18.0 |
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| 6.0 |
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| 2.0 |
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| colspan=3|1.5 |
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| |
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| 4.0 |
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| |
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|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
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| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-scenaripolitici-ibc-334-cdx.html SP] |
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| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|06}} |
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| 5.7 |
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| 13.0 |
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| {{party shading/Green}} | 27.3 |
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| 4.2 |
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| 0.7 |
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| 0.8 |
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| 3.8 |
| 3.8 |
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| 1.3 |
| 1.3 |
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| 8.0 |
| 8.0 |
||
| |
| 14.1 |
||
| |
| 7.6 |
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| |
| 1.9 |
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| |
| 3.5 |
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| 0.5 |
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| |
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| 4.2 |
| 4.2 |
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| '''33.0''' |
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| '''0.6''' |
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| '''5.7''' |
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| '''13.0''' |
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| 3.5 |
| 3.5 |
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| 28.0 |
| 28.0 |
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| Line 206: | Line 188: | ||
| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-tecne-pd-338-pdl-182-m5s-157.html Tecnè] |
| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-tecne-pd-338-pdl-182-m5s-157.html Tecnè] |
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| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|06}} |
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|06}} |
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| |
| 3.4 |
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| 15.7 |
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| colspan=2| 1.0 |
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| {{party shading/Green}} | 33.8 |
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| 18.2 |
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| 4. |
| 4.6 |
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| colspan=2|1.5 |
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| '''24.8''' |
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| |
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| 4.4 |
| 4.4 |
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| 1.2 |
| 1.2 |
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| 8.7 |
| 8.7 |
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| |
| 18.2 |
||
| |
| 4.5 |
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| |
| 1.1 |
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| colspan=3|1.0 |
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| 4.6 |
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| '''39.9''' |
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| |
| |
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| '''3.4''' |
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| '''15.7''' |
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| 1.9 |
| 1.9 |
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| 43.2 |
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|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
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| style="text-align:left;" |[http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-ispo-pd-33-pdl-18-m5s-135.html ISPO] |
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| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|06}} |
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| 2.0 |
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| colspan=2| 1.5 |
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| 18.0 |
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| 6.0 |
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| '''27.5''' |
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| |
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| 4.0 |
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| 1.0 |
|||
| 9.0 |
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| '''14.0''' |
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| 1.5 |
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| 1.0 |
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| 33.0 |
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| 4.0 |
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| '''39.5''' |
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| |
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| '''2.5''' |
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| '''13.5''' |
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| 4.0 |
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| |
| |
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|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
||
| style="text-align:left;" |[http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-tecne-pd-346-pdl-192-m5s-164.html Tecnè] |
| style="text-align:left;" |[http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-tecne-pd-346-pdl-192-m5s-164.html Tecnè] |
||
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|04}} |
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|04}} |
||
| |
| 3.8 |
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| 16.4 |
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| colspan=2| 0.6 |
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| {{party shading/Green}} | 34.6 |
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| 19.2 |
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| 4. |
| 4.2 |
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| colspan=2|1.6 |
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| '''25.3''' |
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| |
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| 4.5 |
| 4.5 |
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| 1.2 |
| 1.2 |
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| 6.7 |
| 6.7 |
||
| |
| 19.2 |
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| 4.0 |
|||
| colspan=2| 1.6 |
|||
| |
| 1.5 |
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| colspan=3|0.6 |
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| 4.2 |
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| '''40.4''' |
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| |
| |
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| '''3.8''' |
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| '''16.4''' |
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| 1.7 |
| 1.7 |
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| 46.0 |
| 46.0 |
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| Line 273: | Line 224: | ||
| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-tecne-pd-347-pdl-196-m5s-163.html Tecnè] |
| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-tecne-pd-347-pdl-196-m5s-163.html Tecnè] |
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| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|03}} |
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|03}} |
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| |
| 3.7 |
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| 16.3 |
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| colspan=2| 0.4 |
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| {{party shading/Green}} | 34.7 |
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| 19.6 |
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| 4. |
| 4.2 |
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| colspan=2|1.4 |
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| '''25.8''' |
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| |
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| 4.6 |
| 4.6 |
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| 1.2 |
| 1.2 |
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| 6.2 |
| 6.2 |
||
| |
| 19.6 |
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| 4.1 |
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| colspan=2| 1.4 |
|||
| |
| 1.7 |
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| colspan=3|0.4 |
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| 4.2 |
|||
| '''40.3''' |
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| |
| |
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| '''3.7''' |
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| '''16.3''' |
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| 1.9 |
| 1.9 |
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| 45.3 |
| 45.3 |
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|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
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| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www. |
| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it/GestioneSondaggio.aspx Tecnè] |
||
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|02}} |
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|02}} |
||
| |
| 3.8 |
||
| 16.0 |
|||
| colspan=2| 0.5 |
|||
| {{party shading/Green}} | 35.3 |
|||
| 19.5 |
|||
| |
| 4.1 |
||
| colspan=2|1.5 |
|||
| '''25.4''' |
|||
| |
|||
| 4.8 |
| 4.8 |
||
| 1.2 |
| 1.2 |
||
| 6.0 |
| 6.0 |
||
| |
| 19.5 |
||
| 3.9 |
|||
| colspan=2| 1.5 |
|||
| |
| 1.5 |
||
| colspan=3|0.5 |
|||
| 4.1 |
|||
| |
|||
| '''40.9''' |
|||
| |
|||
| '''3.8''' |
|||
| '''16.0''' |
|||
| 1.9 |
| 1.9 |
||
| 45.7 |
| 45.7 |
||
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
|- style="text-align:center" class="hintergrundfarbe1" |
||
| style="text-align:left;" |[http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-piepoli-pd-33-pdl-17-lista.html Piepoli] |
| style="text-align:left;" | [http://www.scenaripolitici.com/2013/01/sondaggio-piepoli-pd-33-pdl-17-lista.html Piepoli] |
||
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|01}} |
| {{dts|format=dmy|2013|01|01}} |
||
| |
| 5.0 |
||
| |
| 11.0 |
||
| {{party shading/Green}} | 33.0 |
|||
| 17.0 |
|||
| 6.0 |
| 6.0 |
||
| '''28.0''' |
|||
| |
|||
| colspan=3| 12.0 |
|||
| '''12.0''' |
|||
| 2.0 |
|||
| 1.0 |
| 1.0 |
||
| |
| 2.0 |
||
| colspan=3|12.0 |
|||
| 17.0 |
|||
| 6.0 |
| 6.0 |
||
| |
| 3.0 |
||
| colspan=3|2.0 |
|||
| |
| |
||
| '''5.0''' |
|||
| '''11.0''' |
|||
| 6.0 |
| 6.0 |
||
| |
| |
||
| Line 338: | Line 277: | ||
| style="text-align:left;" | '''[[Italian general election, 2008|Election]]''' |
| style="text-align:left;" | '''[[Italian general election, 2008|Election]]''' |
||
| '''{{dts|format=dmy|2008|04|14}}''' |
| '''{{dts|format=dmy|2008|04|14}}''' |
||
| '''–''' |
|||
| 2.4 |
|||
| – |
| '''–''' |
||
| – |
|||
| 37.4 |
|||
| 8.3 |
|||
| '''48.1''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 5.6 |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
| '''5.6''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 1.0 |
|||
| 33.2 |
|||
| – |
|||
| '''33.2''' |
| '''33.2''' |
||
| '''–''' |
|||
| <small>'''w. [[Democratic Party (Italy)|PD]]</small> |
|||
| ''' |
| '''0.9''' |
||
| – |
| '''–''' |
||
| |
| '''5.6''' |
||
| '''–''' |
|||
| '''–''' |
|||
| '''37.4''' |
|||
| '''8.3''' |
|||
| '''2.4''' |
|||
| '''–''' |
|||
| '''–''' |
|||
| '''–''' |
|||
| '''–''' |
|||
| '''14.5''' |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
! rowspan=2 colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | |
! rowspan=2 colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[ |
! style="width:4em" | [[Civil Revolution|RC]] |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[Brothers of Italy|FdI]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[ |
! style="width:4em" | [[Five Star Movement|M5S]]<br/> |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[Democratic Party (Italy)|PD]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Left Ecology Freedom|SEL]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Italian Socialist Party (2007)|PSI]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Democratic Centre (Italy)|CD]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Union of the Centre (2008)|UdC]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Future and Freedom|FLI]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Monti's Agenda for Italy|Monti]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[The People of Freedom|PdL]]<br/> |
! style="width:4em" | [[The People of Freedom|PdL]]<br/> |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[Lega Nord|LN]]<br/> |
! style="width:4em" | [[Lega Nord|LN]]<br/> |
||
! style="width:4em" | |
! style="width:4em" | [[The Right|LD]]<br/> |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[Brothers of Italy|FdI-CN]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Great South (party)|GS]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Alliance of the Centre|AdC]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Stop the Decline|FD]]<br/> |
! style="width:4em" | [[Stop the Decline|FD]]<br/> |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[Union of the Centre (2008)|UdC]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | |
! rowspan=2 style="width:4em" | Others<br/> |
||
! style="width:4em" | |
! rowspan=2 style="width:4em" | Uncertain or to abstain<br/> |
||
! style="width:4em" | Tot. |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Democratic Centre (Italy)|CD]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Italian Socialist Party (2007)|PSI]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Democratic Party (Italy)|PD]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Left Ecology Freedom|SEL]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | Tot.<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Italian Radicals|Rad]]<br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Civil Revolution|RC]]<sup>2</sup><br/> |
|||
! style="width:4em" | [[Five Star Movement|M5S]]<br/> |
|||
! rowspan=2 style="width:4em" | Oth.<br/> |
|||
! rowspan=2 style="width:4em" | U/A<sup>3</sup><br/> |
|||
|- class="hintergrundfarbe5" style="text-align:center" |
|- class="hintergrundfarbe5" style="text-align:center" |
||
! colspan=6| '''Centre-right'''<br/><small>([[Silvio Berlusconi]])</small> |
|||
! |
|||
! colspan=4| '''[[With Monti for Italy]]'''<br/><small>([[Mario Monti]])</small> |
|||
! colspan=5| '''[[Italy. Common Good]]'''<br/><small>([[Pier Luigi Bersani]])</small> |
|||
! |
! |
||
! |
! |
||
! colspan=4| [[Italy. Common Good|''Italia. Bene Comune'']] (Bersani) |
|||
! colspan=3| [[Monti's Agenda for Italy|''Agenda Monti per l'Italia'']] (Monti) |
|||
! colspan=6| '''Centre-right'''<br/><small>([[Silvio Berlusconi]])</small> |
|||
! |
! |
||
|} |
|} |
||
Note: merged columns denote that a common name was used in the polling |
Note: merged columns denote that a common name was used in the polling |
||
<sup>1</sup> Common list of [[Italy of Values|IdV]], [[Federation of the Left|FdS]], [[Orange Movement|MA]], [[Federation of the Greens|FdV]], [[Communist Refoundation Party|PRC]]<br> |
|||
<sup>1</sup> Listed as [[Toward the Third Republic|VTR]] in 2012.<br> |
|||
<sup>2</sup> Listed as [[Toward the Third Republic|VTR]] in 2012. |
|||
<sup>2</sup> Common list of [[Italy of Values|IdV]], [[Federation of the Left|FdS]] ([[Communist Refoundation Party|PRC]]+[[Party of Italian Communists|PdCI]]), [[Federation of the Greens|FdV]] and [[Orange Movement|MA]].<br> |
|||
<sup>3</sup> Undecided or to abstain. |
|||
===Opinion polls for year 2012=== |
===Opinion polls for year 2012=== |
||
Poll results in this section use the date of realization of the survey; those dates are taken from the [http://www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it/ListaSondaggi.aspx?st=SONDAGGI official website] of the Italian government. |
|||
{| class="wikitable sortable" |
{| class="wikitable sortable" |
||
|- class="hintergrundfarbe5" style="text-align:center" |
|- class="hintergrundfarbe5" style="text-align:center" |
||
! style="text-align:left;" |Institute<br/> |
! style="text-align:left;" |Institute<br/> |
||
! style="text-align:left;" | |
! style="text-align:left;" |Date |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[The People of Freedom|PdL]]<br/> |
! style="width:4em" | [[The People of Freedom|PdL]]<br/> |
||
! style="width:4em" | [[Democratic Party (Italy)|PD]]<br/> |
! style="width:4em" | [[Democratic Party (Italy)|PD]]<br/> |
||
| Line 4,084: | Line 4,019: | ||
Notes: |
Notes: |
||
*The forerunner of both SEL and FdS |
*The forerunner of both SEL and FdS is [[The Left – The Rainbow]], which included also the [[Federation of the Greens]] and obtained 3.1% of the vote in 2008. |
||
*VTR |
*VTR is sometimes polled as [[Future Italy]], "Montezemolo List", "Monti List" or "Civic List". |
||
*IPR: The [[Communist Refoundation Party]] was polled in place of FdS on 12, 19 and 26 November; the FdS was polled together with other parties under the name "Orange List" (a reference to the nascent [[Orange Movement]]) on 10, 17 and 27 December.<ref>[http://www.cpgb.org.uk/home/weekly-worker/943/italy-the-end-of-mario-monti Italy: the end of Mario Monti, Tobias Abse]</ref> |
*IPR: The [[Communist Refoundation Party]] was polled in place of FdS on 12, 19 and 26 November; the FdS was polled together with other parties under the name "Orange List" (a reference to the nascent [[Orange Movement]]) on 10, 17 and 27 December.<ref>[http://www.cpgb.org.uk/home/weekly-worker/943/italy-the-end-of-mario-monti Italy: the end of Mario Monti, Tobias Abse]</ref> |
||
Revision as of 14:14, 9 January 2013
In the run up to the Italian general election of 2013, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Italy. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from January 2012. Opinion polls held before December 2012 do not count the effect of outgoing Prime Minister of Italy Mario Monti, who declared his intention to support a centrist coalition named Monti's Agenda for Italy only by the end of the 2012 year.
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date of publication of the survey.
Due to the Italian par condicio (equal conditions) law, publication of opinion polls is forbidden in the last two weeks of elector campaign.
Opinion polls
This is a list of opinion polls taken from January 2012. The data are expressed in %. The dates are taken from the official website of the Italian government.
Opinion polls for year 2013
| Institute |
Release date | Italia. Bene Comune (Pier Luigi Bersani) |
Agenda Monti per l'Italia (Mario Monti) |
Centre-right (Silvio Berlusconi) |
Others |
Uncertain or to abstain | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC1 | M5S |
PD |
SEL |
PSI |
CD |
UdC |
FLI |
Monti2 |
PdL |
LN |
LD |
FdI-CN |
GS |
AdC |
FD | ||||
| Election | 14 April 2008 | – | – | 33.2 | – | 0.9 | – | 5.6 | – | – | 37.4 | 8.3 | 2.4 | – | – | – | – | 14.5 | |
| Tecnè | 8 January 2013 | 4.1 | 14.4 | 33.7 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 9.2 | 18.1 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 41.4 | ||||
| Ipsos | 8 January 2013 | 5.5 | 12.5 | 33.3 | 5.5 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 12.0 | 16.1 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 3.9 | |||||||
| IPR | 8 January 2013 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 31.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 44.0 | ||
| ISPO | 6 January 2013 | 2.5 | 13.5 | 33.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | ||||
| SP | 6 January 2013 | 5.7 | 13.0 | 27.3 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 8.0 | 14.1 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 28.0 | |
| Tecnè | 6 January 2013 | 3.4 | 15.7 | 33.8 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 8.7 | 18.2 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.9 | |||||
| Tecnè | 4 January 2013 | 3.8 | 16.4 | 34.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 19.2 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 46.0 | ||||
| Tecnè | 3 January 2013 | 3.7 | 16.3 | 34.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 19.6 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 45.3 | ||||
| Tecnè | 2 January 2013 | 3.8 | 16.0 | 35.3 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 19.5 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 45.7 | ||||
| Piepoli | 1 January 2013 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | ||||||
| Election | 14 April 2008 | – | – | 33.2 | – | 0.9 | – | 5.6 | – | – | 37.4 | 8.3 | 2.4 | – | – | – | – | 14.5 | |
| RC | M5S |
PD |
SEL |
PSI |
CD |
UdC |
FLI |
Monti |
PdL |
LN |
LD |
FdI-CN |
GS |
AdC |
FD |
Others |
Uncertain or to abstain | ||
| Italia. Bene Comune (Bersani) | Agenda Monti per l'Italia (Monti) | Centre-right (Silvio Berlusconi) |
|||||||||||||||||
Note: merged columns denote that a common name was used in the polling
1 Common list of IdV, FdS, MA, FdV, PRC
2 Listed as VTR in 2012.
Opinion polls for year 2012
| Institute |
Date | PdL |
PD |
LN |
UdC |
IdV |
LD |
FLI |
SEL |
FdS |
M5S |
VTR |
FD |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election | 14 April 2008 | 37.4 | 33.2 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 2.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.7 |
| CISE | 28 December 2012 | 19.7 | 34.6 | 5.6 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 14.3 | 3.0 | 3.9 | |
| IPR | 27 December 2012 | 16.5 | 31.0 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | |
| Demopolis | 19 December 2012 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 5.2 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 4.1 | |
| SWG | 18 December 2012 | 15.8 | 30.1 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 18.5 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 7.4 |
| Ipsos | 17 December 2012 | 18.0 | 36.3 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 13.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 3.8 |
| IPR | 17 December 2012 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 17.0 | |||||
| IPR | 17 December 2012 | 16.0 | 33.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 16.5 | 10.0 | ||
| Lorien | 17 December 2012 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 14.8 | 2.0 | 6.4 | |
| Euromedia | 17 December 2012 | 18.3 | 29.0 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 17.0 | 3.7 | 8.0 | |
| SpinCon | 17 December 2012 | 14.5 | 28.7 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 13.1 | 1.6 | 6.4 | 9.5 |
| EMG | 14 December 2012 | 16.0 | 32.9 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 16.6 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 7.2 |
| DataMonitor | 13 December 2012 | 15.8 | 32.0 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 6.8 | |
| ISPO | 13 December 2012 | 17.5 | 35.3 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 17.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4.1 |
| SWG | 11 December 2012 | 16.5 | 31.1 | 6.4 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 19.0 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 5.2 |
| ISPO | 10 December 2012 | 16.3 | 33.1 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 18.2 | 2.1 | 4.9 | |
| Ipsos | 10 December 2012 | 15.5 | 36.4 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 18.2 | 3.5 | 2.9 | |
| IPR | 10 December 2012 | 15.0 | 33.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 9.5 | ||
| SpinCon | 10 December 2012 | 15.6 | 29.4 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 13.5 | 1.3 | 5.6 | 8.5 |
| EMG | 6 December 2012 | 16.3 | 32.2 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 17.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 6.8 |
| SpinCon | 6 December 2012 | 15.0 | 29.1 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 14.0 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 9.1 |
| SWG | 5 December 2012 | 13.8 | 30.3 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 19.7 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 6.3 |
| Demos | 5 December 2012 | 18.2 | 37.8 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 15.0 | 2.2 | 9.9 | ||||
| Ipsos | 2 December 2012 | 13.9 | 36.1 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 18.5 | 4.0 | 3.8 | |
| EMG | 30 November 2012 | 15.2 | 34.6 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 16.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 6.7 |
| SWG | 28 November 2012 | 14.3 | 30.0 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 19.5 | 3.8 | 8.7 | |
| SpinCon | 30 November 2012 | 17.2 | 30.1 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 15.1 | 9.1 | ||
| Ipsos | 26 November 2012 | 14.1 | 34.1 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 18.4 | 6.5 | ||
| IPR | 26 November 2012 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 9.5 | ||
| ISPO | 24 November 2012 | 16.1 | 29.7 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 18.3 | 2.0 | 7.3 | |
| Euromedia | 24 November 2012 | 16.5 | 30.6 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 17.5 | 10.7 | ||
| EMG | 22 November 2012 | 16.4 | 30.3 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 17.3 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 7.3 |
| SWG | 21 November 2012 | 15.3 | 26.7 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 21.1 | 4.8 | 10.7 | ||
| SpinCon | 21 November 2012 | 16.9 | 28.2 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 15.3 | 9.7 | ||
| Ipsos | 19 November 2012 | 15.1 | 32.2 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 20.6 | 6.1 | ||
| IPR | 19 November 2012 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | w. UdC | 4.5 | 1.5 | 18.0 | 8.5 | 7.5 | |
| EMG | 16 November 2012 | 16.7 | 29.8 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 17.1 | 7.0 | ||
| ISPO | 15 November 2012 | 16.1 | 30.1 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 18.9 | 6.0 | ||
| DataMonitor | 15 November 2012 | 18.0 | 28.5 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 17.5 | 7.1 | ||
| SWG | 15 November 2012 | 15.0 | 26.2 | 6.3 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 20.5 | 13.2 | |||
| SpinCon | 13 November 2012 | 15.8 | 28.1 | 8.1 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 15.8 | 10.0 | ||
| Ipsos | 12 November 2012 | 15.5 | 31.7 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 18.8 | 6.2 | ||
| IPR | 12 November 2012 | 14.0 | 30.5 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 19.0 | 11.0 | ||
| EMG | 9 November 2012 | 16.3 | 29.3 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 17.4 | 8.2 | ||
| ISPO | 8 November 2012 | 16.9 | 29.1 | 7.6 | 6.1 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 18.9 | 4.2 | ||
| SWG | 7 November 2012 | 14.7 | 26.0 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 22.0 | 10.6 | ||
| SpinCon | 6 November 2012 | 16.4 | 26.6 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 15.2 | 9.7 | ||
| Ipsos | 5 November 2012 | 16.2 | 30.2 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 19.0 | 6.3 | ||
| Lorien | 5 November 2012 | 17.4 | 28.2 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 18.3 | 7.7 | ||
| EMG | 31 October 2012 | 15.8 | 29.9 | 6.6 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 18.2 | 8.4 | ||
| IPR | 30 October 2012 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 18.5 | 10.5 | ||
| Ipsos | 29 October 2012 | 16.5 | 30.3 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 19.4 | 4.4 | ||
| SpinCon | 29 October 2012 | 16.2 | 27.5 | 7.6 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 16.4 | 9.8 | ||
| EMG | 26 October 2012 | 16.2 | 29.2 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 8.3 | ||
| SWG | 24 October 2012 | 15.0 | 25.4 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 22.0 | 9.2 | ||
| SpinCon | 23 October 2012 | 15.6 | 27.2 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 16.6 | 8.9 | ||
| Ipsos | 22 October 2012 | 17.0 | 29.8 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 17.4 | 5.9 | ||
| IPR | 22 October 2012 | 14.5 | 30.0 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 17.5 | 9.5 | ||
| ISPO | 22 October 2012 | 17.0 | 28.1 | 4.0 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 16.6 | 9.5 | ||
| EMG | 19 October 2012 | 17.0 | 28.2 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 17.7 | 8.0 | ||
| SWG | 17 October 2012 | 14.3 | 25.9 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 21.0 | 10.2 | ||
| IPR | 16 October 2012 | 14.5 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 16.5 | 10.0 | ||
| Ipsos | 15 October 2012 | 17.7 | 29.2 | 4.6 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 17.6 | 6.1 | ||
| SpinCon | 14 October 2012 | 15.5 | 27.0 | 7.4 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 14.4 | 10.5 | ||
| EMG | 12 October 2012 | 16.8 | 28.1 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 17.7 | 8.7 | ||
| SWG | 10 October 2012 | 15.1 | 25.2 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 19.4 | 10.2 | ||
| Demopolis | 10 October 2012 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 5.5 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 18.0 | 6.6 | ||
| Ipsos | 8 October 2012 | 18.0 | 28.5 | 4.9 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 17.4 | 5.2 | ||
| IPR | 8 October 2012 | 14.5 | 28.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 16.5 | 9.5 | ||
| SpinCon | 8 October 2012 | 15.9 | 25.9 | 7.1 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 10.3 | ||
| EMG | 5 October 2012 | 18.1 | 26.5 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 17.8 | 8.0 | ||
| SWG | 3 October 2012 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 19.6 | 11.2 | ||
| Lorien | 2 October 2012 | 19.7 | 27.5 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 16.4 | 5.6 | ||
| Ipsos | 1 October 2012 | 18.5 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 17.6 | 5.2 | ||
| IPR | 1 October 2012 | 15.0 | 27.5 | 5.0 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 15.1 | 10.2 | ||
| SpinCon | 30 September 2012 | 16.9 | 27.1 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 14.5 | 9.1 | ||
| EMG | 28 September 2012 | 19.3 | 25.8 | 5.7 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 16.7 | 10.8 | ||
| DataMonitor | 26 September 2012 | 18.0 | 25.5 | 5.7 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 15.6 | 8.5 | ||
| Ipsos | 24 September 2012 | 19.2 | 26.6 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 17.8 | 5.2 | ||
| IPR | 24 September 2012 | 17.0 | 27.5 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 15.0 | 9.0 | ||
| SWG | 24 September 2012 | 15.2 | 26.1 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 19.3 | 10.7 | ||
| SpinCon | 23 September 2012 | 18.3 | 26.7 | 7.5 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 14.3 | 7.5 | ||
| EMG | 21 September 2012 | 20.0 | 25.7 | 5.4 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 14.4 | 8.9 | ||
| Ispo | 20 September 2012 | 21.4 | 28.0 | 4.3 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 13.9 | 9.7 | ||
| IPR | 19 September 2012 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 13.0 | 11.5 | ||
| Ipsos | 17 September 2012 | 22.2 | 26.3 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 6.9 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 16.8 | 4.4 | ||
| Lorien | 17 September 2012 | 21.5 | 27.0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 15.5 | 4.7 | ||
| EMG | 14 September 2012 | 20.7 | 26.5 | 5.0 | 7.1 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 13.4 | 8.9 | ||
| Euromedia | 10 September 2012 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 11.5 | ||
| Demos | 7 September 2012 | 19.8 | 27.0 | 5.5 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 5.8 | 14.5 | 9.0 | ||||
| EMG | 7 September 2012 | 21.4 | 26.8 | 5.2 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 14.3 | 7.6 | ||
| Ipsos | 7 September 2012 | 21.9 | 25.4 | 4.6 | 6.0 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 17.9 | 4.4 | ||
| SWG | 7 September 2012 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 7.5 | ||
| Ispo | 6 September 2012 | 19.9 | 28.0 | 5.2 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 14.9 | 8.7 | ||
| IPR | 29 August 2012 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 15.0 | 10.0 | ||
| Ipsos | 15 August 2012 | 18.9 | 28.4 | 4.2 | 6.9 | 7.8 | 5.8 | 19.8 | 8.2 | |||||
| SpinCon | 7 August 2012 | 17.9 | 27.2 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 13.0 | 7.9 | ||
| Lorien | 3 August 2012 | 20.6 | 25.2 | 5.2 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 16.3 | 6.6 | ||
| SWG | 1 August 2012 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 19.5 | 8.0 | ||
| SpinCon | 31 July 2012 | 18.7 | 26.3 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 13.9 | 8.8 | ||
| EMG | 27 July 2012 | 20.3 | 27.9 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 16.1 | 5.6 | ||
| DataMonitor | 27 July 2012 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 14.6 | 8.8 | ||
| SpinCon | 24 July 2012 | 18.3 | 25.7 | 7.5 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 12.4 | 9.8 | ||
| Digis | 23 July 2012 | 18.4 | 25.4 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 16.8 | 4.1 | ||
| EMG | 20 July 2012 | 19.6 | 27.3 | 4.8 | 6.8 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 16.4 | 5.9 | ||
| SpinCon | 17 July 2012 | 18.0 | 26.7 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 13.8 | 9.1 | ||
| IPR | 16 July 2012 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 8.5 | ||
| EMG | 13 July 2012 | 20.1 | 26.5 | 5.2 | 7.3 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 16.8 | 5.6 | ||
| SpinCon | 10 July 2012 | 16.9 | 26.0 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 16.2 | 9.4 | ||
| EMG | 6 July 2012 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 5.6 | 7.2 | 7.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 15.7 | 5.9 | ||
| IPR | 4 July 2012 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 18.0 | 8.5 | ||
| ISPO | 3 July 2012 | 18.8 | 25.7 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 7.3 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 16.8 | 8.6 | ||
| SpinCon | 3 July 2012 | 17.3 | 25.7 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 16.4 | 8.2 | ||
| Euromedia | 30 June 2012 | 20.3 | 25.7 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 14.9 | 8.8 | ||
| EMG | 29 June 2012 | 20.1 | 24.8 | 4.9 | 6.6 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 17.3 | 6.4 | ||
| SWG | 28 June 2012 | 17.1 | 23.2 | 4.6 | 6.8 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 20.8 | 7.8 | ||
| DataMonitor | 28 June 2012 | 19.5 | 24.5 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 8.7 | ||
| SpinCon | 26 June 2012 | 17.4 | 25.5 | 6.7 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 16.0 | 9.2 | ||
| Ipsos | 25 June 2012 | 17.3 | 25.7 | 4.2 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 20.6 | 18.5 | ||||||
| EMG | 22 June 2012 | 18.7 | 24.9 | 4.8 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 19.4 | 5.8 | ||
| ISPO | 21 June 2012 | 18.1 | 24.4 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 20.3 | 10.1 | |||
| SWG | 21 June 2012 | 16.7 | 24.3 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 20.0 | 8.3 | ||
| IPR | 18 June 2012 | 16.5 | 26.5 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 19.0 | 7.0 | ||
| Ipsos | 18 June 2012 | 17.0 | 25.5 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 20.9 | 5.8 | ||
| EMG | 15 June 2012 | 18.2 | 25.1 | 4.6 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 19.3 | 6.1 | ||
| SWG | 13 June 2012 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 21.0 | 6.7 | ||
| SpinCon | 12 June 2012 | 18.2 | 25.6 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 17.0 | 8.7 | ||
| Ipsos | 11 June 2012 | 17.6 | 25.2 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 20.6 | 6.0 | ||
| Digis | 9 June 2012 | 16.1 | 24.5 | 5.0 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 18.4 | 7.8 | ||
| EMG | 8 June 2012 | 18.3 | 24.7 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 19.1 | 6.6 | ||
| DataMonitor | 7 June 2012 | 19.0 | 24.2 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 16.4 | 8.1 | ||
| SWG | 7 June 2012 | 15.4 | 23.2 | 4.9 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 3.4 | 20.2 | 7.8 | ||
| SpinCon | 5 June 2012 | 17.3 | 26.7 | 7.7 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 14.1 | 9.8 | ||
| Ipsos | 4 June 2012 | 17.2 | 25.0 | 4.8 | 6.8 | 7.8 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 5.6 | ||
| Demopolis | 3 June 2012 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 4.7 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 16.0 | 6.8 | ||
| EMG | 1 June 2012 | 18.1 | 25.0 | 4.9 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 18.1 | 6.4 | ||
| SWG | 31 May 2012 | 16.5 | 24.1 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 18.0 | 8.8 | ||
| Demos | 30 May 2012 | 17.4 | 27.5 | 4.6 | 7.2 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 16.5 | 7.5 | |||
| SpinCon | 29 May 2012 | 18.6 | 25.5 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 14.8 | 8.7 | ||
| Ipsos | 28 May 2012 | 16.8 | 25.6 | 4.5 | 7.1 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 19.8 | 5.6 | ||
| ISPO | 26 May 2012 | 18.7 | 25.8 | 5.7 | 7.7 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 17.8 | 4.6 | ||
| EMG | 25 May 2012 | 18.8 | 24.8 | 5.2 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 14.1 | 7.3 | ||
| IPR | 24 May 2012 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 16.0 | 7.5 | ||
| SWG | 24 May 2012 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 9.4 | ||
| Lorien | 24 May 2012 | 19.6 | 25.0 | 5.5 | 7.2 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 15.3 | 5.4 | ||
| SpinCon | 22 May 2012 | 19.1 | 26.4 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 15.6 | 8.7 | ||
| Ipsos | 21 May 2012 | 17.2 | 26.7 | 4.6 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 18.5 | 5.3 | ||
| EMG | 18 May 2012 | 20.3 | 25.4 | 4.8 | 8.2 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 12.2 | 7.0 | ||
| DataMonitor | 17 May 2012 | 20.0 | 23.9 | 4.2 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 14.8 | 7.9 | ||
| SWG | 17 May 2012 | 17.9 | 24.0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 13.7 | 10.1 | ||
| SpinCon | 15 May 2012 | 18.8 | 26.1 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 13.7 | 10.0 | ||
| Ipsos | 14 May 2012 | 19.0 | 25.2 | 5.0 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 16.5 | 5.1 | ||
| Digis | 12 May 2012 | 20.1 | 26.1 | 5.5 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 9.2 | 7.2 | ||
| EMG | 11 May 2012 | 21.7 | 26.5 | 5.3 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 8.9 | 6.9 | ||
| SWG | 9 May 2012 | 19.9 | 24.9 | 5.1 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 11.5 | 10.9 | ||
| SpinCon | 8 May 2012 | 20.3 | 25.6 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 12.1 | 9.9 | ||
| Ipsos | 7 May 2012 | 19.5 | 25.6 | 5.2 | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 15.1 | 6.3 | ||
| EMG | 4 May 2012 | 23.2 | 27.7 | 5.8 | 8.9 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 6.3 | ||
| SWG | 3 May 2012 | 25.0 | 26.9 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 7.6 | 6.6 | ||
| EMG | 27 April 2012 | 23.1 | 29.2 | 5.7 | 8.7 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 7.0 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 6.1 | ||
| IPR | 26 April 2012 | 22.5 | 28.0 | 5.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 9.5 | ||
| Ipsos | 23 April 2012 | 20.2 | 26.2 | 7.1 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 7.7 | 4.8 | ||
| SpinCon | 22 April 2012 | 21.6 | 25.7 | 7.6 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 7.3 | 10.8 | ||
| EMG | 20 April 2012 | 21.9 | 29.7 | 6.7 | 9.1 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 6.2 | ||
| SWG | 19 April 2012 | 25.3 | 26.2 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 7.3 | 6.3 | ||
| IPR | 17 April 2012 | 23.0 | 28.5 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 9.0 | ||
| Lorien | 17 April 2012 | 23.8 | 26.6 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 9.0 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 6.8 | ||
| Ipsos | 16 April 2012 | 20.8 | 26.0 | 7.2 | 8.2 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 7.5 | 5.1 | ||
| Demopolis | 16 April 2012 | 23.0 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 8.3 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 6.5 | |||
| Digis | 14 April 2012 | 21.9 | 26.9 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 6.6 | ||
| EMG | 13 April 2012 | 21.4 | 30.1 | 6.6 | 9.0 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 6.7 | ||
| DataMonitor | 12 April 2012 | 24.2 | 24.9 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 6.8 | 7.8 | ||
| SWG | 10 April 2012 | 24.9 | 25.2 | 7.1 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 7.2 | 7.0 | ||
| Ipsos | 10 April 2012 | 22.2 | 26.2 | 6.5 | 8.0 | 9.4 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 6.0 | ||
| SpinCon | 10 April 2012 | 22.9 | 25.3 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 7.3 | 1.9 | 5.8 | 8.8 | ||
| EMG | 6 April 2012 | 22.0 | 28.9 | 7.0 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 7.2 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 7.2 | ||
| SWG | 5 April 2012 | 24.7 | 26.0 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 7.4 | 5.6 | ||
| IPR | 3 April 2012 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 9.0 | ||
| ISPO | 3 April 2012 | 21.6 | 29.0 | 7.9 | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 8.0 | ||
| Euromedia | 2 April 2012 | 23.8 | 26.4 | 9.7 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 7.7 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 6.8 | ||
| EMG | 30 March 2012 | 22.7 | 27.2 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 8.4 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 7.2 | ||
| IPR | 28 March 2012 | 22.0 | 27.5 | 9.5 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | ||
| Lorien | 28 March 2012 | 25.1 | 27.6 | 8.7 | 7.9 | 8.2 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 6.2 | ||
| Ipsos | 26 March 2012 | 21.8 | 27.0 | 9.7 | 7.7 | 9.0 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 4.6 | ||
| EMG | 23 March 2012 | 23.8 | 26.6 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 7.4 | ||
| SWG | 21 March 2012 | 23.5 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | ||
| Ipsos | 19 March 2012 | 22.1 | 27.7 | 10.0 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 4.3 | ||
| Euromedia | 19 March 2012 | 23.7 | 26.6 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 8.5 | ||
| IBS | 19 March 2012 | 24.0 | 25.5 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 5.5 | 6.9 | ||
| EMG | 16 March 2012 | 23.6 | 26.0 | 8.4 | 7.0 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 8.7 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 7.5 | ||
| ISPO | 15 March 2012 | 21.6 | 27.5 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 8.7 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 6.8 | ||
| Demos | 15 March 2012 | 23.5 | 27.2 | 10.1 | 9.8 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 6.0 | ||||
| Ipsos | 12 March 2012 | 22.2 | 27.5 | 9.8 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 4.5 | ||
| Digis | 11 March 2012 | 21.9 | 26.9 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 7.2 | 2.3 | 4.4 | 5.2 | ||
| EMG | 9 March 2012 | 23.7 | 25.6 | 8.8 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 7.3 | ||
| Lorien | 8 March 2012 | 26.1 | 28.0 | 8.9 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 6.6 | |||
| ISPO | 6 March 2012 | 22.1 | 27.4 | 9.3 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 6.8 | ||
| SWG | 6 March 2012 | 23.5 | 26.0 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 6.5 | ||
| Ipsos | 5 March 2012 | 22.0 | 27.4 | 10.2 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 4.5 | ||
| Euromedia | 5 March 2012 | 23.7 | 26.3 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 6.6 | ||
| IPR | 3 March 2012 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 9.5 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | ||
| Digis | 4 March 2012 | 21.5 | 27.0 | 10.1 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 5.3 | ||
| EMG | 2 March 2012 | 23.7 | 25.9 | 9.9 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 6.9 | ||
| Demopolis | 28 February 2012 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 10.2 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 5.1 | ||
| Ipsos | 27 February 2012 | 22.0 | 27.3 | 9.9 | 8.3 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 4.7 | ||
| ISPO | 25 February 2012 | 20.7 | 26.5 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 7.6 | ||
| EMG | 24 February 2012 | 23.4 | 26.1 | 10.6 | 7.7 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 6.7 | ||
| Ipsos | 20 February 2012 | 22.1 | 27.5 | 10.1 | 8.0 | 8.7 | 1.0 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 4.4 | ||
| Digis | 18 February 2012 | 22.5 | 27.9 | 10.1 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 1.1 | 4.6 | 6.9 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 5.3 | ||
| EMG | 17 February 2012 | 22.4 | 26.4 | 11.1 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 6.9 | ||
| Lorien | 17 February 2012 | 25.5 | 27.8 | 10.4 | 7.7 | 8.1 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 4.7 | ||
| Ipsos | 13 February 2012 | 22.5 | 27.1 | 10.1 | 7.7 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 4.8 | ||
| EMG | 10 February 2012 | 23.5 | 27.6 | 10.4 | 7.9 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 6.7 | ||
| Ipsos | 6 February 2012 | 22.2 | 28.0 | 10.2 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 4.5 | ||
| EMG | 3 February 2012 | 22.8 | 29.0 | 9.9 | 8.1 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 6.4 | ||
| Lorien | 1 February 2012 | 26.0 | 28.6 | 9.2 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 4.7 | 5.1 | ||
| Crespi | 31 January 2012 | 22.0 | 27.5 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 4.1 | 7.1 | ||
| Ipsos | 30 January 2012 | 22.5 | 28.1 | 10.2 | 7.8 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 4.7 | 4.2 | ||
| Digis | 30 January 2012 | 23.0 | 28.1 | 9.7 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 4.5 | ||
| EMG | 27 January 2012 | 23.2 | 28.9 | 9.0 | 7.6 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 6.2 | ||
| Demos | 27 January 2012 | 22.3 | 28.8 | 9.8 | 10.5 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 7.2 | ||||
| Ipsos | 23 January 2012 | 22.2 | 28.4 | 10.3 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 4.3 | ||
| ISPO | 18 January 2012 | 24.2 | 28.3 | 8.5 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 6.7 | ||
| Lorien | 17 January 2012 | 24.7 | 28.1 | 9.4 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 7.0 | ||
| EMG | 13 January 2012 | 22.9 | 28.0 | 10.2 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 6.6 | ||
| SWG | 13 January 2012 | 23.5 | 25.5 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | ||
| Election | 14 April 2008 | 37.4 | 33.2 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 2.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.7 |
| Institute |
Date | PdL |
PD |
LN |
UdC |
IdV |
LD |
FLI |
SEL |
FdS |
M5S |
VTR |
FD |
Others |
Notes:
- The forerunner of both SEL and FdS is The Left – The Rainbow, which included also the Federation of the Greens and obtained 3.1% of the vote in 2008.
- VTR is sometimes polled as Future Italy, "Montezemolo List", "Monti List" or "Civic List".
- IPR: The Communist Refoundation Party was polled in place of FdS on 12, 19 and 26 November; the FdS was polled together with other parties under the name "Orange List" (a reference to the nascent Orange Movement) on 10, 17 and 27 December.[1]