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Revision as of 11:32, 30 August 2016

This page lists public opinion polls in connection with the 2017 French presidential election.

Opinion polls for first round of voting

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork/
publication date 		Sample
size 		A/U File:Jean-Luc Mélenchon à la marche pour le climat le 21 septembre 2014.jpg File:Jacques-Cheminade 2.jpg
style="background:Template:Workers' Struggle/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:New Anticapitalist Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:New Anticapitalist Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Left Front (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Europe Ecology – The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Europe Ecology – The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Democratic Movement (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:France Arise/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Movement for France/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:National Front (France)/meta/color;"|
BVA 08.07.16–10.07.16 936 18% 1 1 13 2 13 13 23 5 29
17% 1 1.5 13.5 2 13.5 36 4.5 28
BVA 10.06.16–12.06.16 910 23% 1.5 1.5 15 2 14 12 19 6 29
24% 2 1 15 2 15 12 19 5 29
21% 2 1 14 3 13 13 21 5 28
21% 1.5 1.5 14 2 14 36 5 26
Ipsos 13.05.16–22.05.16 19,455 14% 1.5 1.5 12 3 14 35 5 <0.5 28
16% 1.5 1.5 12 3 14 13 21 6 <0.5 28
BVA 13.05.16–16.05.16 927 23% 0.5 2 13 3.5 16 16 17 5 27
20% 0.5 1.5 13 3.5 15 14 21 4.5 27
20% 0.5 1.5 12 3.5 15 13.5 22 5 27
17% 0.5 1.5 12 4 13.5 38 5.5 25
Ifop 25.04.16–28.04.16 1,419 ? 1.5 1 14 2.5 20 29 6 0 26
? 1 1 13 3 22 10 18 6 0 26
Elabe 26.04.16–27.04.16 911 18% 1 1.5 11.5 2.5 25.5 11.5 18 3.5 25
21% 2 1.5 12 2 19 12 19 4 28.5
14% 1 1 12 2 21 36 4 23
16% 2 1.5 12 2.5 25 11 18 4 24
14% 1 1 11.5 2 15.5 38 5 26
19% 1 1 12 2 18.5 13 22 5.5 25
16% 1 1 11 2 15 39 5 26
21% 1 1 10 2 18 14 23 5 26
BVA 15.04.16–17.04.16 949 25% 2 2 13 3 15 11 18 6 30
25% 1.5 2.5 13 3 14 11 21 5 29
23% 1 2 12 3 14 12 22 6 28
21% 1 2 13.5 3 13.5 35 5 27
TNS Sofres 15.04.16–16.04.16 1,011 40% 2 3 16 5 15 21 8 30
42% 2 3 14 4 14 23 8 32
36% 2 2 12 4 13 35 6 26
40% 2 3 14 4 16 24 8 29
38% 1.5 2.5 13 3 14 12 23 6 25
Odoxa 14.04.16–15.04.16 949 30% 1 2 12 2 18 29 5 31
30% 1 2 11 2 21 10 19 4 30
31% 1 2 11 1 14 34 5 32
32% 1 2 11 2 15 13 20 5 31
Ifop 12.04.16–14.04.16 1,876 ? 1 2 12 1 16 4 33 4.5 0.5 26
? 1 1 11 1 14 3.5 36 5 0.5 27
? 0.5 1.5 10.5 7 14 36 4 0.5 26
? 1 1 12.5 1.5 16 36 4.5 0.5 27
? 1 1 13.5 1.5 17 12.5 21 5 0.5 27
? 1 1 13.5 1.5 16 13 20 5.5 0.5 28
? 1 1.5 12.5 1.5 16 12 21 6 0.5 28
? 1 1 12.5 1.5 16 14 21 5 0.5 27.5
? 1 1 12 1.5 15 37 5 0.5 27
? 1 1 11 1 14 7 34 4 0.5 26.5
Harris 11.04.16–13.04.16 1,535 ? 2 1 11 2 11 13 26 5 29
? 1 1 10 1 9 14 12 19 6 27
Ipsos 11.03.16–20.03.16 20,319 13% 1.5 1.5 11 3 15 36 5 27
12% 1.5 1.5 10 3 14 8 31 5 26
14% 1.5 1.5 11 3 16 13 21 6 27
Ifop 11.03.16–14.03.16 1,026 ? 1.5 2.5 15 2.5 14 32 3 29.5
? 1 2 15 2.5 17 11 19 4.5 28
Ifop 17.02.16–19.02.16 1,843 ? 2 3.5 22 18 21.5 5 28
? 1 1.5 12 18 15.5 21 5 26
? 1 1 11 2 18 35 4 28
? 1 1 12 3 18 15 17 5 28
? 1 1 12 2.5 18 14.5 18 5 28
? 1 1.5 11.5 2 18 15 21 5 25
? 1 1 10 2.5 16 8.5 30 4 27
Ipsos 22.01.16–31.01.16 21,326 14% 1.5 1.5 9 3 20 12 19 5 29
11% 1.5 1.5 8.5 2.5 18 8 31 4 25
13% 1.5 1.5 9 3 20 13 21 5 26
Odoxa 14.01.16–15.01.16 1,011 26% 2 2 11 2 19 32 4 28
27% 2 1 12 2 22 12 18 4 27
28% 1 2 9 3 16 34 5 30
28% 1 1 11 2 19 13 20 5 28
Ifop 14.12.15–17.12.15 1,800 ? 1 1 9 2 22.5 12 22 3 27.5
? 1 1 9.5 2.5 20.5 34 5 26.5
? 1 1 8.5 2 20.5 6.5 30 4.5 26
? 1 1 9 2 23 10 19.5 5.5 29
? 1 1 9 2 22 12 21 5 27
TNS Sofres 14.12.15–15.12.15 1,000 31% 1 1.5 11 3 20 31 4.5 28
31% 1 1.5 12 3 22 26 7 27.5
29% 1 1.5 10.5 3 19 10.5 24 4.5 26
Harris 13.12.15 1,020 ? 1 1 10 3 22 29 7 27
? 1 1 10 3 21 12 21 4 27
Ifop 31.10.15–04.11.15 937 ? 1 2 9 3 20.5 31.5 4 29
? 1 2 8 2 19 9 27 3 29
? 1 1.5 8 2 21 12 23 3.5 28
Ifop 03.09.15–04.09.15 1,002 ? 1 1 10 2 19 10 25 3 29
? 1 1.5 9 2 19 11.5 25 3 27
Ifop 17.08.15–19.08.15 950 ? 1 1 13 4 8 17 25 4 27
? 1.5 1.5 10 2 22 11 23 3 26
? 1.5 1.5 9 3 20 11 24 4 26
Ifop 17.07.15–21.07.15 944 ? 1 1 9 3 18 9 28 4 27
? 1 1 9 3 21 12 23 3 27
Odoxa 21.05.15–22.05.15 911 32% 1 2 11 2 16 34 3 31
30% 1 1 10 2 17 12 25 2 30
Odoxa 29.04.15–30.04.15 1,021 25% 1 1 8 2 20 10 26 3 29
25% 1 1 10 2 17 9 28 3 29
Opinion Way 15.04.15–16.04.15 979 25% 1 0 11 2 15 6 32 4 0 29
23% 1 0 12 2 16 12 28 3 0 26
CSA 27.01.15–29.01.15 951 29% 0.5 2.5 10 3 21 8 19 3 33
28% 0.5 3 9 2 22.5 10 21.5 2.5 29
32% 0.5 3 11 2 18 9 22 2.5 32
30% 0.5 3 10 2.5 19 11 22.5 2.5 29
Ifop 21.01.15–23.01.15 983 ? 1.5 1.5 8 3 23 7 22 3 31
? 1 1 8 4 23 7 23 3 30
? 1 2 8 4 21 7 23 3 31
? 1 2 8 3 21 9 23 4 29
Ifop 28.10.14–30.10.14 1,382 ? 2 1.5 8.5 3 15 13 27 3 27
? 1.5 1.5 9 2 13 10 30 4 29
? 2 1.5 8 3 14 14 27 3.5 27
? 1.5 1.5 9 15 14 26 4 29
? 1.5 1.5 9 4 14 16 18 3 31
? 1.5 1.5 10 4 15 32 4 32
? 1.5 1.5 9 3 13 10 28 4 30
? 1.5 1.5 9 3 14 13 26 3 29
Ifop 03.09.14–04.09.14 994 ? 1 1 10 3 17 14 17 5 32
? 1 1 10 3 16 11 24 4 30
? 1 1 10 3 16 12 25 4 28
Ifop 21.07.14–22.07.14 947 ? 2 1 11 4 10 16 26 3 27
? 2 1 11 3 17 12 25 3 26
? 2 1 10 3 17 13 25 3 26
Ifop 15.04.14–18.04.14 998 ? 1 1.5 9 3 19 13 22 2.5 0 29
? 0.5 1.5 9 3 18 10 30 2 0 26
? 0.5 1.5 9 3 18 11 31 2 0 24
Opinion Way 11.04.14–13.04.14 988 12% 1 2 11 2 19 8 29 3 0 25
BVA 02.05.13–03.05.13 1,086 12% 1 1 11 2 20 10 29 2 0 24
Future Thinking 26.04.13–29.04.13 1,000 31% 1 1 16 3 18 14 11 4 1 31
29% <0.5 1 16 2 18 13 16 3 1 29
26% <0.5 1 15 2 15 10 32 3 <0.5 22
CSA 26.04.13–28.04.13 1,027 16% <0.5 1 12 2 19 7 34 1 1 23
Opinion Way 16.04.13–17.04.13 971 17% 0.5 0.5 11 3 23 11 28 2 0 21
Ifop 11.04.13–15.04.13 1,967 ? 0.5 1 11 1.5 22 10 30 2 <0.5 22
Ifop 09.10.12–12.10.12 1,607 ? 0.5 1.5 10 2 28 7 29.5 2 <0.5 19.5
Presidential Election 22.04.12 — 22.0% 0.6 1.1 11.1 2.3 28.7 9.1 27.2 1.8 0.2 17.9

Opinion polls for expected second round of voting

Hollande–Sarkozy

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
François Hollande
PS – Incumbent 		Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP/LR
Second round results 6 May 2012 N/A 24.3% 51.6% 48.4%
Ifop 9–12 Oct 2012 1,607 – 50% 50%
Opinion Way 16–17 Apr 2013 1,022 28% 47% 53%
CSA 26–28 Apr 2013 1,027 27% 39% 61%
Opinion Way 11–13 Apr 2014 1,023 36% 39% 61%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 – 39% 61%
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 – 43% 57%
Opinion Way 15–16 Apr 2015 1,016 40% 40% 60%
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 35% 40% 60%
Odoxa 21–22 May 2015 911 41% 42% 58%
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 44% 46% 54%

Hollande–Le Pen

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
François Hollande
PS – Incumbent 		Marine Le Pen
FN
Opinion Way 11–13 Apr 2014 1,023 36% 54% 46%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 – 46% 54%
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 – 55% 45%
CSA 27–29 Jan 2015 951 37% 51% 49%
Opinion Way 15–16 Apr 2015 1,016 33% 52% 48%
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 30% 48% 52%
Harris 13 Dec 2015 1,020 – 60% 40%
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 35% 54% 46%
Ifop 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 – 47% 53%
Odoxa 14–15 Apr 2016 949 42% 47% 53%

Hollande–Fillon

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
François Hollande
PS – Incumbent 		François Fillon
UMP/LR
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 – 38% 62%

Hollande–Juppé

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
François Hollande
PS – Incumbent 		Alain Juppé
UMP/LR
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 – 34% 66%
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 – 40% 60%
Opinion Way 15–16 Apr 2015 1,016 35% 30% 70%
Odoxa 21–22 May 2015 911 37% 29% 71%
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 34% 30% 70%

Sarkozy–Le Pen

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP/LR 		Marine Le Pen
FN
CSA 26–28 Apr 2013 1,027 36% 67% 33%
Opinion Way 11–13 Apr 2014 1,023 37% 67% 33%
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 – 60% 40%
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 – 60% 40%
CSA 27–29 Jan 2015 951 43% 57% 43%
Opinion Way 15–16 Apr 2015 1,016 39% 63% 37%
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 34% 59% 41%
Odoxa 21–22 May 2015 911 43% 59% 41%
Harris 13 Dec 2015 1,020 – 62% 38%
TNS Sofres 14–15 Dec 2015 1,000 44% 64% 36%
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 43% 56% 44%
Ifop 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 – 58% 42%
Odoxa 14–15 Apr 2016 949 45% 55% 45%
BVA 15–17 Apr 2016 949 38% 60% 40%
BVA 13–16 May 2016 927 39% 56% 44%
BVA 8-10 July 2016 936 38% 58% 42%

Juppé–Le Pen

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
Alain Juppé
UMP/LR 		Marine Le Pen
FN
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 – 64% 36%
CSA 27–29 Jan 2015 951 32% 62% 38%
Opinion Way 15–16 Apr 2015 1,016 26% 70% 30%
Odoxa 21–22 May 2015 911 27% 67% 33%
Harris 13 Dec 2015 1,020 – 71% 29%
TNS Sofres 14–15 Dec 2015 1,000 33% 70% 30%
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 24% 70% 30%
Ifop 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 – 67% 33%
Odoxa 14–15 Apr 2016 949 27% 66% 34%
BVA 15–17 Apr 2016 949 23% 70% 30%
BVA 13–16 May 2016 927 20% 70% 30% - http://www.bva.fr/data/sondage/sondage_fiche/1888/fichier_pop2017_-_intentions_de_vote_-_vague_404553.pdf BVA] 8-10 July 2016 936 20% 68% 32%

Fillon–Le Pen

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
François Fillon
UMP/LR 		Marine Le Pen
FN
Ifop 3–4 Sep 2014 994 – 57% 43%
Ifop 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 – 63% 37%
BVA 15–17 Apr 2016 949 33% 64% 36%
BVA 13–16 May 2016 927 30% 65% 35%

Le Maire–Le Pen

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
Bruno Le Maire
UMP/LR 		Marine Le Pen
FN
Ifop 12–14 Apr 2016 1,876 – 60% 40%
BVA 15–17 Apr 2016 949 39% 61% 39%
BVA 13–16 May 2016 927 38% 58% 42%

Valls–Le Pen

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
Manuel Valls
PS 		Marine Le Pen
FN
Ifop 21–23 Jan 2015 983 – 61% 39%
CSA 27–29 Jan 2015 951 32% 60% 40%
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 27% 55% 45%

Valls–Sarkozy

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
Manuel Valls
PS 		Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP/LR
Odoxa 29–30 Apr 2015 1,021 32% 48% 52%

Macron–Sarkozy

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
Emmanuel Macron
PS 		Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP/LR
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 36% 64% 36%

Macron–Juppé

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
Emmanuel Macron
PS 		Alain Juppé
UMP/LR
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 36% 39% 61%

Macron–Le Pen

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Abstention/
protest vote/
spoilt vote
Emmanuel Macron
PS 		Marine Le Pen
FN
Odoxa 14–15 Jan 2016 1,011 28% 65% 35%
Odoxa 14–15 Apr 2016 949 34% 61% 39%

See also

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