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[[Category:United States presidential primaries, 2020]]
[[Category:United States presidential primaries, 2020]]
[[Category:Iowa caucuses]]
[[Category:Iowa Democratic caucuses]]
[[Category:2020 Iowa elections]]

Revision as of 20:27, 13 December 2018

The 2020 Iowa caucuses are expected to be the first votes of that year's U.S. presidential cycle and are currently scheduled to take place on February 3, 2020.[1]

Background

The Iowa caucuses first gained national attention in the 1970s when George McGovern leveraged the momentum from winning second place in the Democratic caucus as an underdog to winning the Democratic nomination in the 1972 election. [2] Future president Jimmy Carter was also able to use his win in the Iowa caucus of 1976 to propel himself to the presidency. These wins proved to be early momentum for the candidates and led to national attention on the caucuses themselves. [3]

Procedure

Historically, in the Democratic caucuses, Iowans divide into groups based on which candidate they support. Then, the voters are given a chance to switch groups, if they desire to do so. Once the groups are finalized, the chairman will decide how many representatives each group is entitled to. [4]

In the Republican caucuses, there is a straw poll which indicates the group's preferences for delegates. With an incumbent President running for reelection, the Republican caucuses will not have a straw poll and delegates will just be appointed by state party officials.[citation needed]

Candidates

As of November 2018, no candidates beside John Delaney and Richard Ojeda have officially announced intentions to run in 2020. However, there were several prominent Democrats who visited Iowa in 2016 and 2017, potentially indicating their intention to run. These politicians include Sen. Bernie Sanders, Gov. Martin O'Malley, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio, Rep. Tim Ryan, and Rep. Seth Moulton. [5][6]

Candidate Most recent position Candidacy Total pledged delegates Contests won

John Delaney
U.S. Representative from Maryland
(2013–present)
July 28, 2017

(Campaign)
0 / 4051 (0%) 0
Richard Ojeda
State Senator from West Virginia
November 12, 2018
0 / 4051 (0%) 0

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Julian
Castro
Andrew
Cuomo
Kirsten
Gillibrand
Kamala
Harris
Eric
Holder
Amy
Klobuchar
Martin
O'Malley
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
David Binder Research (D-Focus on Rural America) September 20–23, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 37% 8% 2% 10% 2% 12% 16% 2%[a] 9%
Public Policy Polling (D-O'Say Can You See PAC) March 3–6, 2017 1,062 17% 4% 8% 3% 3% 11% 18% 1%[b] 32%

Notes

  1. ^ Michael Avenatti and John Delaney with 1%; Steve Bullock, Eric Garcetti, Mitch Landrieu, and Deval Patrick with <1%; other with 1%
  2. ^ Sheryl Sandberg with 4%; Howard Schultz with 1%

References

  1. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne. "Countdown begins to 2020: Date of Iowa Democratic caucuses set for Feb. 3". Des Moines Register. Retrieved 25 August 2018.
  2. ^ "Iowa Caucus History: George McGovern's Early Momentum in 1972". IPTV. 2016-11-29. Retrieved 2018-01-11.
  3. ^ "History May Not Help Figure Out Iowa". NPR.org. Retrieved 2018-01-11.
  4. ^ "Iowa Caucus: Iowa Caucus – History, Candidate Profiles, Campaign Events and Caucus News". 2007-12-22. Retrieved 2018-01-12.
  5. ^ Swanson, Ian (2018-01-08). "Dem hopefuls flock to Iowa". TheHill. Retrieved 2018-01-12.
  6. ^ Scherer, Michael (2018-05-12). "In wide-open 2020 presidential field, Democrats are road-testing messages — and trying to redefine their party". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2018-06-28.