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2010 Michigan gubernatorial election

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Michigan gubernatorial election, 2010

← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
 
Party Democratic Republican

 
Nominee Kenneth Proctor Stacey Mathia
Party Libertarian Green U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan
Running mate Erwin J Haas Chris Levels

Governor before election

Jennifer Granholm
Democratic

Elected Governor

TBD

The Michigan gubernatorial election of 2010 will be held on November 2, 2010. Governor Jennifer Granholm, a Democrat, is prohibited by the state's Constitution from seeking a third term. This resulted in a large pool of candidates which was whittled down, when the May 11 filing deadine passed, to two Democrats and five Republicans.[1]

The race is expected to be highly competitive, and the Cook Political Report rates the state as a toss-up. The non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report rates the race as leaning Republican.[2][3]

Both local and national polling show Congressman Peter Hoekstra and state Attorney General Mike Cox as the front-runners for the Republican Party nomination.[4][4][5][6] The Democratic front-runner when the 2009 polls were conducted, Lieutenant Governor John D. Cherry, withdrew from the race in January 2010.[7][8] The deadline for candidates to file nominating petitions for the August 3 state primary was 4:00 p.m., May 11, 2010.[1][9]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Certified

Withdrew

  • Robert Bowman, former Michigan treasurer[13] (Ended exploratory bid on 02-15-2010)
  • John Cherry, Lieutenant Governor [8] (Ended exploratory bid on 01-05-2010)
  • Hansen Clarke, member of the Michigan Senate[14] (Ended bid on 01-15-2010)
  • John Freeman, former member of the Michigan House of Representatives [15] (Ended bid on 01-11-2010)
  • Dan Kildee, former Genesee County Treasurer[16] (Ended exploratory bid on 03-05-2010)

Polling

Names that are italicized are currently running for the nomination.

Poll Source Dates administered John D. Cherry Andy Dillon George Perles John Freeman Alma Wheeler Smith Dan Kildee Virg Bernero
EPIC-MRA June 12–15, 2010 -- 34% -- -- -- -- 24%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 -- 23% -- -- -- -- 26%
EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 2010 -- 29% -- -- -- -- 23%
Rasmussen Reports April 22, 2010 -- 13% -- -- 9% -- 12%
Rasmussen Reports March 24, 2010 -- 12% -- -- 10% -- 8%
Denno-Noor Research March 3–5, 2010 -- 13% -- -- 6% 6% 11%
EPIC-MRA February 22–25, 2010 -- 17% -- -- 7% 12% 8%
Detroit Free Press November 12–17, 2009 20% 6% 6% 2% 2% -- --
EPIC-MRA October 11–15, 2009 33% -- 3% 2% 5% -- --
Marketing Resource Group September 12–20, 2009 40% -- -- 9% 8% -- --

Republican Primary

Candidates

Certified

Not on ballot

Withdrew

Polling

Poll Source Dates administered Mike Cox Peter Hoekstra Mike Bouchard Rick Snyder Tom George David Kniffen
EPIC-MRA June 12–15, 2010 26% 24% 16% 20% 2% --
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 17% 19% 15% 20% 9% --
EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 2010 18% 30% 16% 17% 2% --
Rasmussen Reports April 22, 2010 13% 28% 9% 14% -- --
Rasmussen Reports March 30, 2010 13% 27% 6% 18% -- --
Marketing Research Group March 10–15, 2010 21% 21% 10% 20% 1% -
Denno-Noor Research March 3–5, 2010 12% 28% 8% 18% 2% --
EPIC-MRA February 22–25, 2010 21% 27% 10% 12% 1% --
Mitchell Research & Communications November 17–19, 2009 27% 24% 12% 3% 3% --
Detroit Free Press November 12–17, 2009 15% 21% 13% 5% 3% --
EPIC-MRA October 11–15, 2009 28% 29% -- 14% 3% 2%
Marketing Resource Group September 12–20, 2009 27% 23% 15% -- -- --
Marketing Resource Group March 4–10, 2009 15% 17% -- -- -- --

Other parties

Based on past election performance, the Libertarian Party of Michigan, Green Party of Michigan, and the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan (affiliated with the Constitution Party) have automatic ballot access for the general election, but by state law they must nominate candidates through party conventions rather than primary elections.

Libertarian Party candidates

The Libertarian Party nominee is Kenneth Proctor.[29]

Green Party candidates

The Green Party of Michigan will hold their statewide nominating convention July 31 & August 1 in Lansing, Michigan.

U.S. Taxpayers Party candidates

The 2010 U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention was held on June 26 in East Lansing, Michigan. In a nearly unanimous vote Stacey Mathia and Chris Levels were formally nominated as candidates of the US Taxpayers Party of Michigan for the offices of Governor and Lt. Governor.

According to Stacey Mathia's official press release, "The Convention applauded Mathia’s agenda to institute Law-Abiding Constitutional Government and State Sovereignty in order to free the People of Michigan from the political oppression of big government operating outside of its authority."

The press release also stated, "Chris Levels, is currently well known as a radio talk show host on WSNL in the Flint, Michigan area. His last minute nomination speech will be available on Mathia’s website. The USTPM Convention gave him a standing applause."

Stacey Mathia directly addressed a common misconception. "Of considerable note, the mainstream media has often parroted claims that individuals like Stacey Mathia who have been heavily involved in the Tea Party movement movement are racist. As Mathia’s new choice for running mate proves, nothing could be further from the truth. The USTPM made politically powerful choices by nominating these candidates in order to “split the votes” away from other Parties with disaffected voters who have wanted honest Law-Abiding government and “changes” that The People have needed for so long. The USTPM is offering appealing candidates with the right message and the right platform to win this election. Watch for poll numbers to start reflecting their popularity as each candidate reaches out to voters across the state."

Independents

Joe Schwarz, a former Republican Member of Congress and 2002 Republican candidate for Governor has repeatedly indicated that he might run for Governor as an independent candidate.[30]

General election polling

With Dillon (D)

Poll Source Dates administered Andy Dillon (D) Mike Cox (R) Peter Hoekstra (R) Mike Bouchard (R) Rick Snyder (R) Tom George (R)
Rasmussen Reports June 10, 2010 35% -- 40% -- -- --
37% 39% -- -- -- --
33% -- -- -- 41% --
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 32% -- 41% -- -- --
30% 41% -- -- -- --
29% -- -- 38% -- --
26% -- -- -- 46% --
31% -- -- -- -- 32%
EPIC-MRA February 22–25, 2010 37% -- 41% -- -- --
36% 43% -- -- -- --
Rasmussen Reports February 9, 2010 36% 35% -- -- -- --
34% -- 41% -- -- --
32% -- -- 40% -- --

With Bernero (D)

Poll Source Dates administered Virg Bernero (D) Mike Cox (R) Peter Hoekstra (R) Mike Bouchard (R) Rick Snyder (R) Tom George (R)
Rasmussen Reports June 10, 2010 36% -- 39% -- -- --
34% 40% -- -- -- --
30% -- -- -- 42% --
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 34% -- 41% -- -- --
36% 38% -- -- -- --
34% -- -- 39% -- --
28% -- -- -- 44% --
31% -- -- -- -- 30%
Rasmussen Reports February 9, 2010 34% 40% -- -- -- --
30% -- 43% -- -- --
31% -- -- 40% -- --

See also

United States gubernatorial elections, 2010

References

  1. ^ a b http://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/candlist/10PRI/10PRI_CL.HTM
  2. ^ http://www.detnews.com/article/20100105/POLITICS02/1050391/Lt.-Gov.-Cherry-won-t-run-for-governor
  3. ^ http://www.cookpolitical.com/
  4. ^ a b http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/michigan/election_2010_michigan_governor
  5. ^ http://www.legalnewsline.com/news/224291-poll-cox-leads-michigan-governors-race
  6. ^ http://www.usnews.com/blogs/barone/2009/03/19/republicans-show-startling-strength-in-race-for-michigan-governor.html
  7. ^ http://www.wwj.com/Cherry-May-Not-Seek-Governor-s-Seat/6034971
  8. ^ a b http://www.bostonherald.com/news/national/midwest/view/20100105john_cherry_tells_ap_hes_out_of_mi_race/srvc=home&position=recent
  9. ^ http://michigan.gov/documents/sos/2010_Important_Dates_Filing_Deadline_259703_7.pdf
  10. ^ http://www.freep.com/article/20100208/NEWS15/100208007/1318/Bernero-enters-governors-race
  11. ^ http://www.mlive.com/news/saginaw/index.ssf/2010/02/speaker_of_the_house_andy_dill.html
  12. ^ Bell, Dawson (2010-05-10). "Rep. Wheeler Smith abandons bid for governor". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved 2010-05-10.
  13. ^ http://freep.com/article/20100215/NEWS15/100215011/1320/Bowman-wont-run-for-Michigan-governor
  14. ^ State Sen. Hansen Clarke drops out of governor's race, Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 15, 2010
  15. ^ Freeman out of gov's race, Bowman may be interested, Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 12, 2010
  16. ^ http://www.mlive.com/news/flint/index.ssf/2010/03/dan_kildee_announces_his_withd.html
  17. ^ http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/chi-ap-mi-governorsrace-bo,0,4256591.story
  18. ^ http://www.detnews.com/article/20090603/POLITICS02/906030408/1361/Bouchard-enters-race-for-governor
  19. ^ http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081107/POLITICS/811070368
  20. ^ http://www.mlive.com/news/grand-rapids/index.ssf/2009/05/michigan_attorney_general_mike_1.html
  21. ^ http://www.clickondetroit.com/news/19043654/detail.html
  22. ^ http://www.rickformichigan.com/im-running-for-governor-by-rick-snyder/
  23. ^ http://michigansthumb.com/articles/2009/07/03/news/local_news/doc4a4e0d932d85a860714941.txt
  24. ^ www.thegreenpapers.com/G10/MI
  25. ^ http://www.freep.com/article/20090915/NEWS06/90916003/1318/Bouchard-set-to-name-Land-as-running-mate
  26. ^ "Michigan Committee Statement of Organization". Miboecfr.nictusa.com. Retrieved 2010-01-18.
  27. ^ "David R. Kniffen for Governor Website". www.votekniffen.com. Retrieved 2009-12-22.
  28. ^ http://theoaklandpress.com/articles/2010/05/09/news/politics/doc4be6dbef7bfbb000918708.txt
  29. ^ http://www.mi.lp.org/Shared%20Documents/candidates.aspx
  30. ^ Bell, Dawson (2010-05-09). "If Schwarz runs, he'd be an outsider with an outside chance". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved 2010-05-11. Last week, he said he was getting closer to making a decision. To qualify for the November ballot, he'd need to collect signatures from 30,000 voters by mid-July.