Unified Model
The Unified Model is a Numerical Weather Prediction software suite originally developed by the United Kingdom Met Office, and now both used and further developed by a range of weather-forecasting agencies around the world.[1] It is used by the Met Office's main suite of Global Model, North Atlantic and Europe model (NAE) and a high-resolution UK model (UKV), in addition to a variety of Crisis Area Models and other models that can be run on demand. Other agencies in countries such as South Korea, Australia, New Zealand and Norway use the Unified Model software for their own weather forecasting. The models are grid based[clarification needed], rather than wave based[clarification needed] and are run on a variety of supercomputers around the world. Data is provided by observations from satellites, from the ground (both human and from automatic weather stations), from buoys at sea, radar, radiosonde weather balloons, wind profilers, commercial aircraft and a background field from previous model runs. The computer model is only adjusted towards the observations using assimilation, rather than forcing the model to accept an observed value that might make the system unstable (and could be an inaccurate observation).[2] The Unified Model software suite is written in Fortran (originally 77 but now predominantly 90)[3] and uses height as the vertical variable.[4] Because most developments of interest are at near to the ground the vertical layers are closer together near the surface.[5]
Principal UM suites at the Met Office
The Met Office runs a range of Numerical Weather Prediction suites using the UM.[6]
All of the models use varying resolutions of topography with greater accuracy at higher resolutions. The limiting factor with all models is that for a weather event to be recorded by the model it must be at least three grid points in size. Thus for the global model at 40 km, a weather system must be at least 120 km to be modelled. This means smaller phenomena such as small depressions, smaller hurricanes and large thunderstorms are too small for the model to catch them. As the resolution increases smaller events can be caught, the 1.5 km model for example, is reputedly capable of modelling individual showers.
Global Model
Approximately 25 km resolution with 70 vertical levels[7]. Covers the entire globe and 144 hours in the future twice a day. The Global model provides boundary information for the North Atlantic European (NAE) model, for which additional shorter runs (48 hours) are produced twice a day.
North Atlantic and European model
The Met Office's North Atlantic and European model (NAE) model has 70 levels with a 12 km resolution[7]. It is run out to 48 hours from start. Because the UK is at a northern latitude the computer transposes the model area to an equatorial location so the grid points give an area that is more square. This reduces the load on the model, allowing it to run more quickly. The model is kept close to the real atmosphere using 4D-Var data assimilation of observations.
UK 4km model
70 Vertical levels, 4 km horizontal resolution. Run out to 36 hours.[7] Now being superseded by the UKV in many applications.
UKV model
70 Vertical levels, 1.5 km horizontal resolution. Run out to 36 hours (replacing UK 4km model over the course of 2009-2010). This is run every 6 hours using boundary conditions from the 12-km North Atlantic and European (NAE) model. The resolution is 1.5 km over the UK, and 4 km over surrounding areas.[7][8] The UKV model is kept close to observations using 3D-Var data assimilation every 3 hours.
CAM
The Crisis Area Model is a 12 km model that can be run for any area of the world should the need arise. This can include military use (the MMU use this on deployed operations) or environmental catastrophes.
Mountain Wave Models
This high resolution model provides information on mountain waves for a variety of locations around the UK and other areas of interest to the Met Office.
Met Office's Global Wave Model
This models sea waves around the world.
UM suites outside the Met Office
Unified Model suites which are similar to those from the Met Office are run by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, the Australian Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, the South African Weather Service, the Norwegian Meteorological Institute, the New Zealand National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, the [South] Korea Meteorological Administration, the Indian Ministry of Earth Sciences and the US Air Force Weather Agency.
Air Force Weather Agency
The US Air Force Weather Agency have a 25km resolution global forecasting system utilizing the Unified Model. This global system provides boundary conditions for WRF regional models.
Austrialian Bureau of Meteorology
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology, have an operational 40km resolution global forecasting system utilizing the Unified Model. This global system provides boundary conditions for a number of higher resolution regional systems also using the Unified Model.
[South] Korea Meteorological Administration
The [South] Korea Meteorological Administration have an operational 25km resolution global forecasting system utilizing the Unified Model. This global system provides boundary conditions for a 12km resolution regional Unified Model NWP system covering South-East Asia.
UKCA
United Kingdom Chemistry & Aerosols (UKCA) is a sub-model of the UM that deals with trace gas and aerosol chemistry within the model. This includes calculating the concentrations of climatically relevant gases such as methane and ozone, as well as the composition and evolution of aerosols. As with most of the UM, the UKCA was written in a collaboration between the UK Met Office and UK Academia.
References
- ^ The Unified Model Collaboration. The Met Office 2010. Retrieved 22 April 2010.
- ^ Met Office data assimilation. Retrieved 28 December 2009.
- ^ "Fortran 90". The Met Office. 2008. Retrieved 2008-08-30. [dead link]
- ^ "New Dynamics". The Met Office. 2008. Retrieved 2008-09-03.
- ^ "2008 Operational Numerical Weather Prediction suites". The Met Office. 2008. Retrieved 2008-08-30.
- ^ Met Office Unified Model. Met Office 2009. Retrieved 28 December 2009.
- ^ a b c d Atmospheric numerical model configurations as of early 2010. Met Office 2010.
- ^ Issues with high-resolution NWP, discussing the UKVD model.