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2013–2014 Bulgarian protests against the Oresharski cabinet

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2013–14 Bulgarian protests against the Oresharski cabinet
Протести срещу кабинета „Орешарски“
File:Bulgarian Protest against Oresharski Cabinet.jpg
8 July 2013, protesters in Sofia blocked the biggest boulevard in the city – "Tsarigradsko Shose"
Date22:00, 14 June 2013 (UTC +02) (2013-06-14T22:00UTC +02) – ongoing
(Template:Age in years, months, weeks, days and hours)
Location
Bulgaria, primarily Sofia
Caused by
Methods
Resulted in
  • Kalin Tiholov replaced by Ivan Danov as Investment Planning Minister (arguably as a measure of pre-empting the protests)[11][12]
  • Delyan Peevski steps down as head of DANS
  • Volen Siderov gives up his Parliamentary immunity[13]
  • three no-confidence motions brought in Parliament by GERB (defeated)[14][15]
  • counter-protests in support of the government and against president Rosen Plevneliev[16]
  • student occupations of universities (no longer in place)
  • continued protests, with a small turnout
Lead figures

no officially designated leaders

Plamen Oresharski (Prime Minister)

                Sergei Stanishev (leader of the Bulgarian Socialist Party)

Rosen Plevneliev (President)

Number

Between 10,000 and 20,000 anti-government protesters (in the first two months) in Sofia[17][18]

3,000 in Plovdiv[19]

1,000 in Varna[19][20]

300 in Bourgas[21]

150 in Stara Zagora[22]

100 in Rousse, Shoumen, Gabrovo and Sliven[22][23]

100-1,000 counter-protesters in Sofia[24][25][26]

1,000+ in Kardzhali[27]

500+ in Vidin[28]

150 in Blagoevgrad[29]
8,000 police officers deployed in total (between 20 and 500 per day)[30]
Casualties
Arrested280+[31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41][42]

The 2013–14 Bulgarian protests against the Oresharski cabinet are series of demonstrations that are held in Bulgaria, mainly in the capital Sofia, against the left-wing coalition cabinet of Oresharski (coalition between Bulgarian Socialist Party and DPS, supported by extreme right-wing party Ataka). The demonstrations started on 28 May 2013[43] and while actual large-scale protests did not emerge until 14 June[44] the protests are still continuing with occupations of universities and other forms of protest.[45][46]

Background

Following 2013 Bulgarian protests against the Borisov cabinet of Prime Minister Boyko Borisov over government austerity measures encouraged by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund during the recession [47] and high utility bills, the Borisov government resigned and brought forward the Bulgarian parliamentary election, 2013. Though Borisov's party Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) won a plurality, it could not form a government. The Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP) led the government under technocratic Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski. The left-wing government of Plamen Oresharski was approved by the 120 members of the BSP and the Movement for Rights and Freedoms.[48] Outside support to the Oresharski government is also given by nationalist party Ataka.[49]

May: Environmental protests

Initially the demonstrations started as a protest by environmentalists and green activists against the nomination of Kalin Tiholov as Investment Planning Minister. Tiholov has been involved in the controversial "Dyuni-gate" affair, whereby he had invested in a major building project at the Dyuni ("dunes") nature spot on the Black Sea coast.[50][51] Due to the protests Tiholov withdrew his candidature.[52] Protests arose for a variety of topics, with most important the restart of the Belene Nuclear Power Plant and construction in protected areas.[citation needed]

June–July: Protests for the resignation of Peevski as a head of DANS

Protest in Sofia against the election of Delyan Peevski as a head of DANS, 14 June 2013
Protest in Sofia against the Oresharski cabinet, 8 July 2013

The second series of protests had a far more political scope. These protests started on 14 June, as response to the election of Delyan Peevski as a head of the Bulgarian security agency DANS (State Agency for National Security).[53][54][55] Peevski, an MP for the Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS), is also head of Alegro Capital LTD, a big communications company which includes the TV7 network.[56] The decision to elect Peevski has also been linked to the Corporate Commercial Bank ("CCB" or "KTB", Bulg: КТБ), wherein much funding for state development projects is invested. The bank's largest shareholder, Tsvetan Vasilev, has been repeatedly linked in the public sphere to the media holdings of Peevski and his mother Irena Krasteva.[57][58]

Peevski was approved by parliament within an hour of being nominated by the ruling coalition of Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP) and DPS. His surprising election immediately provoked nationwide protests the same evening (10,000 in Sofia alone), organized through Facebook.[59][60][61]

Although the election was a surprise for the public, later investigations by newspaper Capital made clear that the appointment was not as spontaneous as claimed by BSP. In fact, it was carefully orchestrated and prepared long before BSP was able to form a cabinet.[62] The appointment of Peevski caused widespread indignation. Even president Plevneliev spoke out against it and stated that the Cabinet of Prime Minister Oresharski has lost credibility.[63]

Public anger was exacerbated by the fact that in the weeks and days leading up to Peevski's election, the parliament had approved major changes in the legal framework of DANS structures, which gave its head unprecedented powers. The changes included:[64]

  • taking DANS out of the structure of the Interior Ministry and putting it under the direct auspices of the Cabinet
  • taking the Anti-Organized Crime Directorate out of the Interior Ministry and placing it under the direct control of DANS
  • taking away the President's right to nominate the head of DANS.

Although Peevski wrote on 15 June that he will be withdrawing from the post,[65] the protests stem from general discontent with the government as a whole.[66][67]

The demonstrations started on 28 May 2013,[43] but actual large-scale protests did not emerge until the controversial appointment of Delyan Peevski as head of the State Agency for National Security on 14 June.[44] Despite the government's decision to reverse the appointment, protests continued, raising new demands, including Mr Oresharski's resignation.[68] Demonstrations have been noted for their use of social networks.[61]

The protests are still ongoing weeks after the reversal of Peevski's appointment, attracting a steady number of 10,000 to 15,000 people without any signs of attenuation. Because of the lack of response from the government, the demonstrators have resorted to other means of expressing their anger over the presumed corruption of the government, including protesting every morning in front of the parliament, as part of the morning initiative to "drink coffee" with the politicians, and blockading different roads at random. Despite demonstrations, the government has largely ignored the protesters and dismissed their claims.[69] Although at first largely ignored by the world press, the demonstrations are starting to receive more significant worldwide attention both by the media and the general population via the use of social networks.[70][71][72]

Since the early days of the protests, there has been somewhat of a split between the participants in the protest marches that forced the resignation of the Borisov government and the majority of the anti-Oresharski demonstrators, with the former generally willing to give the government some time to prove itself (even if lacking enthusiasm for it, as the Oresharski cabinet was not regarded as truly reflecting the initial expectations that the government will consist of a relatively apolitical collection of experts) rather than demanding immediate resignation. Some organizers of the February 2013 protests have taken issue with what they deem as the new protesters’ inclination to characterize the participants in the anti-Borisov protest waves as uncouth and lacking intellectual sophistication.[73] The divide (which is not an absolute one) is also confirmed on the empirical level - according to research by the Sofia Open Society Institute encompassing the months of June and July, only 3.5% of the participants in the February demonstrations report to have taken part in the anti-Oresharski protests.[5] Analysts also note that Varna - which saw the most intense demonstrations against the Borisov cabinet - has remained largely quiet and noncommittal during the anti-Oreshaski protests.[74]

Siege of Parliament, 23–24 July

On the night of 23–24 July there was violence in the protesting.[75] By the end of July 2013, anti-government protesters were still out in force protesting peacefully in Sofia with Reuters recording 24 July 2013 as the 41st straight day of peaceful protests. The protesters were demanding the resignation of the Socialist-led government of Oresharski. More than 100 lawmakers, ministers, and journalists spent the night barricaded inside Parliament before police removed them. MPs attempted to leave Parliament by boarding a white coach bus and making their way through the crowd. There was violence as the police tried to clear the way for the bus, but, unsuccessful after slowly making its way around the Aleksandar Nevski cathedral, the bus returned to the back exit of Parliament after about an hour around midnight. A police action at around 4 am forcefully cleared the remaining protesters, and the coach left, which led to further accusations of police violence in the ensuing days.[76][77][78][79] A survey covering the attitudes of Bulgarians showed that 65% considered the actions of the protesters on that day to be out of line, while 53% also disapproved of the police response. 79% agreed that the provocateurs involved in the violence need to have charges levelled against them.[80]

Other developments (August–September)

On 7 August 2013, on the 55th day of the demonstrations, some the main organizers of the protests held their first press conference, announcing that a "protest network" (Bulgarian: "протестна мрежа") had been formed to help them co-ordinate their activities.[81][82]

August – Seaside protest

When parliamentarians took their annual break in August, many protesters followed them to their residences on the Black Sea coast.[83][84][85]

September – Return to Sofia

After parliament opened once again in September, the Sofia protests continued but with a low turnout of a few dozen to a hundred people each day. This was on some days outnumbered by participants of the counter-protest, which now moved to the Presidency, also located in Independence square, with both protests metres away from one another.[86]

On 5 September 2013, Samuil Petkanov, founder of satirical website nenovinite.com and a prominent member of "protest network", sent out an open letter to Boyko Borisov, in which he objected to what he saw as certain GERB sympathizers' attempts to hijack the demonstrations and add a more radical dimension to them (on that day some protesters had attempted to move a number of the barriers close to the official entrance of National Parliament building, but the fences were subsequently put back in place by the police).[87] Borisov responded to the letter, agreeing with Petkanov's points (emphasizing that the deputy leader of his party, Tsvetan Tsvetanov, had managed to calm down the situation) and reiterating his party's commitment to an exclusively peaceful protest.[88]

October: Students protests and university occupations after return of Peevski

On 8 October 2013, the Constitutional Court effectively allowed Peevski to return to Parliament after failing to reach a decision on whether to strip him of his MP status. Several hundred people turned out for the 117th day of protests, a slightly higher number than in previous days. There were some violent episodes between protesters and police.[89][90]

On 23 October 2013, students at Sofia University joined the anti-Oresharski government protests and occupied the main lecture hall in protest against the "façade democracy" and asked for "accountability from their professors", mainly from their history of law professor Dimitar Tokushev, who is also chairman of the Constitutional Court. The student protests and the occupation of university buildings injected new life into a persistent anti-government movement that was into its 140th day on 1 November.[91][92][93][94][95] The protest intensified over the next few days, and on 27 October counter-protesters, joined by a Bulgarian Socialist Party MPs, made their way into the university and clashed with students.[96][97] By the next day, several universities across the country were occupied by students, including NBU, NATFIZ, VTU and UNWE.[98][99]

In a statement read to the public on 25 October 2013, the occupying students explained that they are: "…angered by the systemic violations of constitutional order in the country by the current government led by Plamen Oresharski." Among their objectives is to force the resignation of Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski’s government and see new general elections as soon as possible.[93] [check quotation syntax]

November: March of Justice and Second attempt to siege Parliament

On 10 November 2013, March of Justice was organized on the 24th anniversary of the 10 November 1989 events (resignation of the former communist head of state Todor Zhivkov), the protests against the left-wing Oresharski cabinet gained new momentum.[100]

On 12 November 2013, the anti-government protesters on the 152nd day of anti-government protests attempted to siege Parliament for a second time (the first time being 23–24 July).[101]

On 13 November, the occupation of Plovdiv University came to an end, with the students vowing to redirect their activities to Sofia.[102]

On 13 November, tension developed between protesters and police officers after a demonstrator jumped on a deputy's car close to National Assembly Square.[103]

In addition to the protests that take place every day, a massive protest was organized by GERB on 16 November in Plovdiv,[104] with the number of participants estimated as close to 15,000 by the Bulgarian Ministry of Internal Affairs,[105] and by the labor unions on 20 November in Sofia.[106]

On 18 November, the student occupation of Sofia University was partially lifted, with the Aula Magna room becoming the only exclusive domain of the occupiers and restrictions on access to the university premises remaining in place.[107][108]

December

On 2 December 2013, the protests started with a demonstration by leading Bulgarian actors who made a symbolic funeral of the Parliament.[109] One of them, Filip Avramov, made an emotional appeal for resignation of the government in front of a reporter of the Bulgarian National Television.

December is a month of Christian holidays which will be feted with protests on Christmas.[110] On 26 December 2013, approximately 3000 protesters (including many emigrants who had returned for the holidays) held a rally in front of the Parliament.[42]

January 2014

On 10 January 2014, the protesters against the cabinet of Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski blocked for a while the traffic in front of the Council of Ministers.[111] While the protest turnout remained low, the central parts of the city near the main government buildings saw a heavy police presence due to tip-offs suggesting that illegal disruption activities were being planned and the date coinciding with the 17-year anniversary of the 1997 attempted storming of Parliament.[112]

In the late evening hours of 13 January 2014, the occupying students held a general meeting and subsequently decided to fully lift the occupation of Sofia University, thus vacating the Aula Magna room. One of the participants commented that the students recognize the need to break the cycle of predictability and from now on will concentrate their activities in the areas of the city close to the National Parliament. The students from the South-West University in Blagoevgrad followed suit by declaring the occupation of their institution of higher education to be over.[113][114]

On 15 January 2014, the protests continued during the opening session of the National Parliament for the new year (though the number of participants remained in the hundreds), with the added demand that the MEPs vote for the revocation of Volen Siderov's parliamentary immunity - the Ataka party leader had earlier in the month been involved in a confrontation with the French cultural attaché for Bulgaria, Stéphanie Dumortier, a Bulgarian airplane passenger and Varna-based police officers.[115] During the demonstrations, Biser Milanov and fellow members of the National Liberty movement (Bulgarian: Национално движение "Свобода"), who were identified by some of the protesters as having affiliations with Nikolay Barekov's party "Bulgaria without censorship"(Bulgarian: "България без цензура") and being driven by an interest in discrediting the protests,[116] were arrested by a specialized squad of the Bulgarian police on the insistence of the prosecutor-general due to a criminal charge filed against Milanov (unrelated to his immediate presence at the protests).[117] Milanov is currently on trial for allegedly uttering threats against a female protester on 6 July 2013.[118] In an interview with journalist and TV host Martin Karbovski, the chairman of the National Liberty movement, Yordan Bonev, claimed to have attended a meeting with Boyko Borisov in mid January 2014 (alongside Biser Milanov), during which the possibility of organizing a massive anti-government demonstration was discussed. While Barekov has corroborated this, Borisov has denied any knowledge of such a gathering having taken place.[119][120]

On 25 January 2014, the protest in the Sofia University started again, with a new occupation.[121] The stated demands include the resignation of the government, a dissolution of the National Parliament and the stepping down of university dean Ivan Ilchev.[122] In addition, alleged provocations on the part of university staff members during the previous strike action as well the conclusions of the European Commission's most recent report on Bulgaria have been cited among the trigger factors for the university students' decision to renew the occupation.[123] The leading figures behind the new occupation were profiled as belonging to a "radical wing" of the previous occupying students (who had been against their colleagues' decision - that was taken in mid January - to restore full access to the university facilities for the staff and non-occupying students)[124] and did not receive the full backing of all the previous participants in the occupation,[125] some of whom adopted the stance that the timing of the occupation was not well-chosen and had caused them to postpone the public debate in the form of round table discussions, which was supposed to begin on that date and was envisioned as a new phase of the protest.[126] It has also been suggested that the new student protesters did not shun the politicization of their activities, as they were seeking a "decapsulation" and unlike the other occupiers were open to cooperating with political parties and civil society organizations that are in opposition to the Oresharski government,[127] as well as with football fan clubs.[128]

On 27 January 2014, counter-occupiers attempted to enter the university grounds and demanded that the occupation come to an end; police eventually arrived on the scene to prevent any arguments from arising between the occupiers and their opponents.[129]

On 28 January 2014, the new occupiers voluntarily lifted the occupation after intensive discussions with administrative personnel, university staff and fellow students, though some of them stated that they had faced undue pressure to come to such a decision[130] and also expressed disappointment that they did not receive sufficient support from the wider society.[131]

February 2014

On 6 February 2014, student and other protesters demonstrated by carrying banners against the mafia expressing outrage and opposition to the deputies' decision to raise their personal work salaries after months of constant protests.[132]

On 7 February 2014, student and other protesters showed their anti-government stances by carrying and throwing around computer mice in front of the Parliament building, criticizing what they view as the government's reluctance to implement a system of electronic voting.[133]

On 9 February 2014, some of the participants in the 2013 Bulgarian protests against the Borisov cabinet rallied on the streets of Sofia and Plovdiv in commemoration of the events that took place in February 2013. While they did not call for a resignation of the Oresharski cabinet, the protesters expressed dissatisfaction with the lack of action taken by Oresharski (and Sofia mayor Yordanka Fandykova) against the monopol companies, lamenting the lack of significant transformations in the economic realm in the 12 months since the end of the Borisov cabinet's tenure.[134] The newly formed party "Bulgaria without censorship" was among the main organizers of the citizen gatherings.[135]

Counter-protests

The first counter-protest was held on 23 June, in the vicinity of the National Palace of Culture.[136] Counter-protests are said to be paid (see protests and counter protests in Ukraine - Euromaidan), a practice started earlier with the paid protesters of extreme right-wing party Ataka, which was documented by National Television of Bulgaria. The practice of paid counter protesting started almost as soon as the large protests against Oresharksi occurred (early August 2013[137]) and had its peak with the massive counter-protest that was organized by the BSP and DPS with priorly scheduled trains for the paid protesters on 16 November in Sofia[138] and even against Plevneliev who shows democratic sympathies and as seen by some on the side of the anti-Oresharski protesters, with the number of participants estimated as close to 50,000 by the Bulgarian Ministry of Internal Affairs.[105] As of late August 2013, they claim to have collected 384,000 signatures in support of the government.[139]

The counter-protests have generally seen a lesser turnout compared to the anti-government protests and according to an Alpha Research survey (taking into account the period between 19 and 27 August) are backed by approximately one third of Bulgarian citizens.[140] While endorsing the right of any national to peacefully protest, president Rosen Plevneliev has depicted the counter-protests as a Bulgarian phenomenon and also expressed a concern that they could cause further alienation between citizens of disparate ideological persuasions.[141]

In early January 2014, Radoslav Gochev, one of the main organizers of the counter-protests, stated that they will be discontinuing any further events or demonstrations due to their belief that the government has now consolidated its position at the helm of the country. However, he also warned that the pro-government demonstrators remain fully prepared to hit the streets once again if the need arises.[136]

Around 50 counter-protesters gathered close to the official entrance of the National Assembly on 15 January while the first session for the new year was being held in response to the presence of two groups of anti-government demonstrators on the other sides of the building.[142]

A number of the supporters of the counter-protests have voiced suspicions regarding the purported involvement (including the alleged offering of renumeration) of influential US-based activists and think tanks in providing impetus for the demonstrations,[143] though this remains a fringe view among scholars.[144] Similar conspiracy theories have been espoused by figures like Biser Milanov (who does not self-identify as a counter-protester), who made a statement at the Council of Ministers in August 2013, in which he affirmed that his "National Liberty" movement would only support the government if it took adequate measures against "paid protesters", entailing granting them permission to create "volunteer patrols" who would operate together with police officers and apprehend "all protest organizers who are driven by a desire to promote George Soros' interests in Bulgaria".[145] Rapper Mihail Mihaylov, who has been described in the media as "one of the faces of the counter-protests", has expressed similar dismay at the alleged meddling of outside agents in Bulgarian affairs and in addition to that criticized the Borisov Government for its supposed authoritarian tendencies, thus subscribing to the argument that GERB is bound to be the beneficiary of any anti-government protests.[146][147] According to research conducted by the Sofia Open Society Institute covering the months of June and July, only 7.4% of respondents cite the concern that GERB could return to the helm of the country as being among their reasons for refusing to participate in a protest.[5]

Government response to the protests

On 19 June, Oresharski acknowledged that he had made a political miscalculation with the DANS appointment and apologized to the protesters and the rest of the Bulgarian citizens, while also stating that stepping down would not be conducive to his overarching aim of restoring political stability. He also requested a grace period from the general public until a number of urgent social policy reforms are implemented.[148] Oresharski has emphasized that he is always open to engaging in discussions with the protesters.[149] Minister of Education Anelia Klisarova has characterized the protests as motivational in the sense of providing further impetus for the government to work for the betterment of the country. However, she has also criticized the occupation of the universities and expressed concerns regarding the nature of the student demands, seeing them as solely political rather than education-related.[150] Sergei Stanishev and Oresharski maintain that the ongoing protests are an indication that the "chains of fear" that had gripped society and the media in previous years have now been removed from the popular consciousness of the citizens.[151] In late June 2013, the chairperson of the National Parliament Mihail Mikov criticized the general media coverage of the protests, stating that the ways in which the demonstrations were being framed could (alongside other factors) bring about their escalation and urged media representatives to show responsibility and the necessary measure of calm when it came to their reporting.[152] Mikov's statement was in turn condemned by prominent journalists and media outlets as well as the Bulgarian Helsinki Committee due to being interpreted as indicating a potential willingness on the part of the government to infringe on media freedom.[153][154] Oresharski, Minister of Interior Tzvetlin Yovchev as well as other members of the cabinet have held a number of meetings with protest figures (in the Council of Ministers building), though doubts have been expressed with regard to the extent to which the people who took part in these discussions were sufficiently representative of the protest movement as a whole, with some of those staunchly opposed to the government even labeling the participants in these events as "convenient protesters".[145][155]

Public reactions to the protests

While initially (prior to Peevski's resignation), opinion polls revealed that 85% of Sofia citizens were supportive of the protests (with only 23% declaring trust in the Oresharski cabinet),[156][157] approval for the protests dropped to 56% in mid July 2013 (with 37% expressing opposition to them and 48% believing them to be "politically motivated") based on nation-wide surveys administered by Sova Harris.[158] Current societal reactions to the protests continue to be mixed, with a relatively even split between pro- and anti-protest voices.[159][160] However, Alpha Research surveys (administered nationwide between 26 and 31 October) indicate that the student protests enjoy a slightly higher degree of popular support than the original demonstrations involving other societal members.[161] In response to a Gallup Research question regarding their voting preferences if the elections were to be held on the same day in which the survey was administered, approximately 22% of interviewees stated that they would likely pick the governing Bulgarian Socialist Party and circa 19% affirmed that they would be inclined to vote for the main one in opposition - Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria, which is reflective of the parity when it comes to popular support in the case of the two parties.[162][163]

A petition entitled "Sofia without roadblocks" (Bulgarian: "София без блокади") was circulated in late July 2013 due to dissatisfaction on the part of some citizens because of the traffic disruptions on the main boulevards in the central part of the capital city and noise pollution as a result of the protest activities (caused by both protesters and counter-protesters). Former Bulgarian defense minister Bogomil Bonev was among the initiators of the petition.[164] 90% of Sofia citizens insist that protests are to be conducted in full compliance with the legal regulations pertaining to mass citizen gatherings.[165]

The protests against the Oresharski cabinet are supported by 60 percent of Bulgarians, according to a poll by the independent Alpha Research.[100] Research conducted by the Sofia Open Society Institute (analyzing the political situation in the country over the course of the June and July months) reveals that the most active participants in the protests tend to be young (aged below 30 years), are based in the capital Sofia, lean to the centre-right or right of the political spectrum and have a higher than average income.[166] A generational gap as well as an urban-rural divide have been a feature of the public reactions to the demonstrations, with those residing in non-urban areas and aged over 60 on the whole significantly less supportive of the protests.[167][168] In addition, members of ethnic minority groups are generally not as favorably disposed to the protests,[169] with this finding especially applicable to ethnic Turks and Romani people who typically declare a lesser willingness to participate in demonstrations in comparison to ethnic Bulgarians.[5] A late January 2014 survey conducted by the Confederation of Independent Syndicates in Bulgaria revealed that one third of their members are adamant that Parliamentary elections need to be held alongside the upcoming European elections.[170]

Expert opinions

The protests (as well as the previously held anti-austerity demonstrations) have been credited with bringing about the rebirth of civil society in Bulgaria[171][172] and sparking a renewed interest in political issues.[173] According to Vasil Garnizov, as a result of them the government has become more responsive to the voice of the citizens by carefully evaluating public opinion with regard to certain policies (for example, in relation to the possible removal of the restrictions on smoking in eating establishments) and refraining from dabbling with controversial appointments,[174] though some analysts like historian Iskra Baeva caution that the overly generic and all-encompassing nature of the demands coupled with the tendency to deny the legitimacy of all political institutions in the country may not be the best approach for the protesters and is unlikely to yield constructive results.[175] In that regard, former Bulgarian Prime Minister Ivan Kostov has criticized some of the protesters’ tendency to be dismissive of the achievements of the Bulgarian transition since 1989, highlighting that Bulgarian civil society was already alive and kicking between 1996 and 1997.[176] Political scientist Boris Popivanov opines that the mass protests of the initial months have now been replaced by smaller-scale demonstrations that emphasize "creative and artistic elements" as well as "aesthetic provocations", which are not well-understood and difficult to relate to by the wider public.[177] He also characterizes the protests as exhibiting a strong anti-leftist slant, which in his view has enabled the Bulgarian Socialist Party to consolidate its ranks and rally its supporters.[178] The chairman of the Institute for Modern Politics, Borislav Tsekov, concurs with this assessment, viewing the "primitive anti-communism" exhibited by the protesters as almost reminiscent of the spirit of McCarthyism.[179] However, the student occupiers have been described as somewhat less eager to jump on the anti-communist bandwagon.[180] Suspicions regarding the increased role played by the Movement for Rights and Freedoms party (whose support base is predominantly ethnically Turkish, Muslim Roma and Bulgarian Muslim) in the governance of the country have also been identified as a catalyst for some elements of the protest movement.[181] Petar Mitev notes that despite the fact that there is a significant discrepancy of viewpoints between the government and the presidency, the former would not benefit from a strategy premised on seriously discrediting the latter, as this could lead to general political chaos and embolden the protesters.[182] In November 2013, culturologist Ivaylo Ditchev, in a contribution for Deutsche Welle, analyzed some possible scenarios that could bring about a resignation of the government – his preferred one is a “moral catharsis of Bulgarian society”, with students inspiring the support of wide segments of the intelligentsia, who in turn convince a majority of ordinary citizens to join the anti-government wave. A Citizen Forum (reminiscent of the one established in 1989 Czechoslovakia) is to be created and serve as a guarantor for the cleansing of Bulgarian politics – the participants in it will set the tone for political discussions, but refrain from taking part in politics. However, he regards this scenario as rather utopian and draws attention to the more realistic (if increasingly less appealing – from his standpoint - possibilities) – corporate and social issues like those related to health care causing a mass discontent and unions going on strike, triggering a paralysis of the country; “behind the curtain events” within the political echelons themselves, with GERB succeeding in using procedural tools (also with the tacit support of Western allies) to alter the balance of power in the National Assembly; the Attack party withdrawing its support for the government and emerging as the political face of popular protests inspired by nationalist causes (possibly attributable issues like the Syrian refugee crisis or concerns pertaining to the selling of Bulgarian land to foreigners). The latter scenario is regarded as especially problematic and as being incompatible with the underlying goals of the protest movement, because the new Parliament formed after such events would almost inevitably include fascist-leaning parties and would need to contend with significant polarization due to the presence of pro- and anti-European voices.[183] Left wing sociologist Andrey Raychev makes a distinction between "citizen" and "political" protests and maintains that parties are gradually learning the lesson that they cannot simply "insert themselves" into a demonstration of the citizens, but need to carve out a separate niche.[184] According to a report generated by the "Laboratory for Governing Risks" affiliated to New Bulgarian University, the protesters' refusal to accept any guidance from political figures as well as the general reluctance to add an explicitly political dimension to their actions stifles the potential of their movement.[185] Analysts who tend to be opposed to the protests point out that Bulgarian society is now suffering from a "protest fatigue" and the majority of citizens want the government to be given a chance to implement its policy aims before casting judgment on it. They also downplay the parallels between the present anti-government wave and the 1997 demonstrations that brought down the Zhan Videnov cabinet because of their belief that the current economic and financial climate in Bulgaria could hardly be depicted as being in an acute state of crisis.[186] Analysis conducted by Gallup Research notes that December has seen somewhat of a reduction in intra-societal tensions compared to November, though the conclusion is reached that the potential for further protests is still very much in the picture.[187] Political scientist Ivan Nachev suggests that the demonstrations need to be held less frequently, but with a higher turnout, better organization and protest messages that are clearly formulated, so that the protest movement does not fall into the trappings of banalization. He also urges both the government and the protesters to show greater determination to find some sort of a middle ground when engaging in dialogue.[188] German political researcher Daniel Kadick notes that it may be advisable for a protest party to be formed, so that the current status quo in Bulgaria is not recreated after the next elections and in order for the electoral prospects of populist movements like "Bulgaria without censorship" to be reduced.[189]

Economic assessments

The security-related expenditures resulting from the protests (encompassing the period from 14 June to late November) have been evaluated as approximating 2 million leva.[190]

On 13 December 2013, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services amended its outlook for Bulgaria from "stable" to "negative", in part due to the political uncertainty that started with the February 2013 protests against the Borisov cabinet (and the still looming possibility of early elections as a result of the current protests against the Oresharski cabinet). However, the country, as of mid December 2013, has retained its ’BBB/A-2’ long- and short-term sovereign credit ratings.[191][192]

Controversies associated with the protests

On 17 June 2013, there were tense scenes between sympathizers of the Attack and anti-government demonstrators close to the headquarters of the nationalists on Vrabcha Street, with some objects being thrown by both sides. The protesters have accused the Attack leadership of betraying the trust of the people and "phony nationalism" by refusing to vote against the formation of a government that includes the MRF.[193] Allegations have surfaced in the media of a small proportion of the protesters and the counter-protesters having received financial incentives in order to attend gatherings in opposition to or in support of the government (see also counter-protest section).[194][195][196] On 30 August 2013, during a Roger Waters concert in Sofia, the protest slogan "Оставка!" ("Resignation!") was displayed on the main screen in red letters. While a number of Bulgarians regarded it as a nice gesture in support of the protests, rapper Mihail Mihaylov, one of the main figures lauding the counter-protesters, voiced sharp criticism, with some elements in favor of the anti-government demonstrations also expressing disapproval due to their belief that the politicization of such public events contradicted some of the values the protest movement was premised upon.[197] The protests have not been spared the involvement of agent provocateurs, some of them supposedly linked to Biser Milanov's "Liberty" national movement[198][199] and Pavel Chernev (former member of Attack and current leader of the "Freedom" party (Bulgarian: партия "Свобода"), who has distanced himself from Volen Siderov),[200] though both of them have denied any ulterior motivations, with Chernev explaining that his entourage of young men in sporting attire were falsely labeled a provocateur group, when in actuality they had intended to protect the regular protesters from militant members of the Attack.[201] 22 people alleged to have been attempting to disrupt the protests and encourage the commission of illegal acts were detained by the police during the protest activities of 23 June.[202] Psychologists have questioned the developmental effects on children partaking in demonstrations,[203] with former Bulgarian Prime Minister Simeon Saxe-Coburg-Gotha being one of the politicians especially critical of the practice, believing it to be contrary to the EU directives on the well-being of the underaged.[204] On 28 October 2013, journalists from the TV7 news channel and Alfa TV (the media anchor of the Ataka party) were prevented from entering the university premises and reporting on the Sofia University occupation by a small number of students, security officers and anti-government demonstrators.[205] On 7 November 2013, Asen Genov, an Internet blogging pioneer in Bulgaria and a prominent contributor to "protest network"[206] was arrested (alongside five other peers, four of them DSB activists) for spraypainting parts of the anti-fascist monument in front of the BSP party headquarters on Pozitano Street in Sofia.[207] DSB leader Radan Kynev endorsed the actions of his party members, characterizing them as an appropriate expression of protest views given the existence of a coalition of "former communists and contemporary fascists at the helm of the country".[208] In the evening of 8 November 2013, MP Desislav Chukolov, leader Volen Siderov and some other members and sympathizers of the Ataka party confronted a group of students who had been overheard chanting "Resignation!" near the headquarters of the Bulgarian National Television. In the ensuing commotion, a glass of red wine was spilled on Chukolov's shirt. Five students were subsequently arrested by the police, but were released on the next day without any charges pressed against them, though Chukolov has stated that he may take the matter to the courts.[209] In mid November 2013, some Oresharski statements were interpreted as implying that public servants who take part in protests could be given the sack (which was criticized as anti-constitutional, with GERB referring the matter to the European Commission and the Association for European Integration and Human Rights informing the prosecutor-general of Bulgaria), but the Prime Minister subsequently clarified that only those who protest during their working hours could face the risk of being fired (Bulgarian legal regulations stipulate that civil servants may not engage in political activism in the workplace).[210] In January 2014, more than 40 football supporters from various fan clubs were called into police stations to sign protocols stipulating that they will not take part in any social disturbances. This requirement was criticized by prominent members of fan clubs and pro-protest activists as an unnecessary measure motivated by a desire to discourage the ultras' participation in anti-government protests.[211] On 23 February, a Ukrainian flag was drawn on the Soviet Army monument in Sofia, with one of the soldier statues also painted in yellow and blue colours. A number of pro-Euromaidan messages such as "Слава Україні" ("Glory to Ukraine!") were also scribbled on it. A small anti-Oresharski protester group accompanied by journalist Ivo Indzhev subsequently arrived on the scene.[212] This occurrence drew a sharp reaction from the Russian Foreign Ministry, who demanded that the culprits be identified and punished. Also, the Euronews TV channel's decision to show a photo of the painted monument on its Facebook page was criticized by the Russian ministry as "excessive". Shortly thereafter Euronews removed the image, clarifying that it did not support a particular side between the pro- and anti-government forces in Ukraine, least of all the participants in violent riots, and did not intend to besmirch the memory of Soviet veterans who had fought the Nazi regime during WWII.[213]

In September, two freelance journalists at Deutsche Welle's Bulgarian desk were released from their contracts. The German media company explained that this was for failing to retain "objectivity, neutrality and balance" in their reporting of the protests. While DW publicly denied this to be linked to a recent letter of complaint from the CCB, opinion pieces in Bulgarian media outlets were predominantly of the opinion that the bank had put pressure on the broadcaster.[214][215][216]

On 25 October, students from Sofia University occupied the central building of the university in downtown Sofia. They demanded immediate government resignation and new elections, as well as rule of law and a prioritization of education. The declaration was publicly read before present media. After that, the entrances to the University were fully blocked and almost all activities at the building ceased. According to students, between 70 and 100 people are present inside and only students are allowed in and out. (noresharski.com[217])

In early December, а student delegation from Bulgaria visited Ukraine in order to voice their support for the Euromaidan participants. The occupying students also revealed that they intend to make a film about the events in the former Soviet republic and have already posted a trailer on Youtube.[218]

Miscellanous

“The protester” received the most votes for politician of the year in Bulgaria, while the anti-Oresharski protests have been singled out as the event of the year in the country, based on the annual survey of Darik Radio.[219]

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Bibliography
Books
Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (eds.) (2013). #Протестът. Анализи и позиции в българската преса. Лято 2013 (1st ed.). Sofia: Изток-Запад. ISBN 978-619-152-351-1. {{cite book}}: |first2= has generic name (help); Invalid |ref=harv (help)
Articles and Book Excerpts
Babikian, Arman (9 July 2013). "Уроци от изборите във Варна". In Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (2013) (eds.). #Протестът. Анализи и позиции в българската преса. Лято 2013. Изток-Запад. pp. 379–380. ISBN 978-619-152-351-1.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: editors list (link)
Lambrev, Yovko (1 July 2013). "От блоговете: #ignorevolen е грешка". In Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (2013) (eds.). #Протестът. Анализи и позиции в българската преса. Лято 2013. Изток-Запад. pp. 379–380. ISBN 978-619-152-351-1.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: editors list (link)
Medarov, Georgi (19 July 2013). "Гражданите срещу задкулисието!". In Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (2013) (eds.). #Протестът. Анализи и позиции в българската преса. Лято 2013. Изток-Запад. pp. 71–73. ISBN 978-619-152-351-1.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: editors list (link)
Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (16 December 2013). "Предговор". In Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (2013) (eds.). #Протестът. Анализи и позиции в българската преса. Лято 2013. Изток-Запад. pp. 13–23. ISBN 978-619-152-351-1.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: editors list (link)
Spahiyski, Emil (9 July 2013). "Битът убива протеста". In Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (2013) (eds.). #Протестът. Анализи и позиции в българската преса. Лято 2013. Изток-Запад. pp. 341–343. ISBN 978-619-152-351-1.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: editors list (link)
Yanakiev, Kalin (1 July 2013). "Политическото дъно". In Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (2013) (eds.). #Протестът. Анализи и позиции в българската преса. Лято 2013. Изток-Запад. pp. 371–375. ISBN 978-619-152-351-1.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: editors list (link)
Interviews (published)
Genova, Angelina (18 July 2013). "Да възразиш срещу чуждите планове, или какво прави Правдолюб Иванов през последния месец". In Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (2013) (eds.). #Протестът. Анализи и позиции в българската преса. Лято 2013. Изток-Запад. pp. 150–154. ISBN 978-619-152-351-1.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: editors list (link)
Opinion polls
Галъп (1 August 2013). "Данни на Галъп". In Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (2013) (eds.). #Протестът. Анализи и позиции в българската преса. Лято 2013. Изток-Запад. pp. 323–324. ISBN 978-619-152-351-1.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: editors list (link)
НЦИОМ (15 July 2013). "Данни на НЦИОМ". In Smilov, Daniel; Vaysova, Lea (2013) (eds.). #Протестът. Анализи и позиции в българската преса. Лято 2013. Изток-Запад. pp. 313–315. ISBN 978-619-152-351-1.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: editors list (link)

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