2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly election
 | This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. |
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24 of the 33 seats in the Gilgit-Baltistan Legislative Assembly 17 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Registered | 745,361 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | - | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Map of Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly Constituencies Result | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly elections were held on 15 November 2020.[1][2][3][4] Elections will be held in 24 constituencies, each electing one member to the 3rd Gilgit-Baltistan Legislative Assembly.[5][6] 330 candidates will contest these elections,[7] either representing one of the political parties of Gilgit-Baltistan (at the time of the 2020 elections)[8] or being an independent candidate.
The elections were originally scheduled to be held on 18 August 2020,[9][10] but were postponed in July[11][12] due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which severely affected Gilgit-Baltistan.
The Pakistan Army was not be called in to preside over the polls at the Election, with Mir Afzal, the Caretaker Chief Minister of Gilgit-Baltistan, giving a statement that the caretaker government had the capacity to hold free, fair, and transparent elections in Gilgit-Baltistan.[13][14]
Opinion polling taken before the election had shown the Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz), the ruling party prior to the 2020 election, being the third-most-popular political party in Gilgit-Baltistan, falling from its earlier position of making the province's government and having the largest vote-bank. The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf, which rules nationally, led in the polls and the Pakistan Peoples Party has been shown as the second-most-popular political party.
745,361 voters in Gilgit-Baltistan had the ability to exercise their right to vote in the elections and will be able to vote across nearly 1,234 polling places across the province. This showed an increase of 126,997 new voters since 2015, when only 618,364 people were registered to vote. 405,363 of the people registered to vote are male and 339,998 are female (which shows a gender gap of 9%).[15][16]
The elections were be postponed in the constituency GBLA-3, which covers part of Gilgit District, due to a major candidate there dying of COVID-19 in early October. The election there will be held on a later date.[17]
Background
2015 elections
Following the elections in 2015, Pakistan Muslim League (N), led by Mian Shahbaz Sharif, emerged as the largest party with a supermajority of 22 seats out of a total of 33 in the Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly. Hafiz Hafeezur Rehman was elected as the Chief Minister of Gilgit-Baltistan.[18][19]
Timeline
- April 30, 2020: The Supreme Court of Pakistan allows the federal government to form a caretaker government in late June 2020 and hold a general election in Gilgit-Baltistan less than sixty days after the formation of the caretaker government.[20][21]
- June 24, 2020: The members of the second assembly of Gilgit-Baltistan complete their full five-year terms and the assembly is dissolved.[22] Mir Afzal is sworn in as the Chief Minister of Gilgit-Baltistan, serving as a caretaker.[23][24]
- June 27, 2020: The President of Pakistan, Dr. Arif Alvi releases a statement scheduling the date August 18, 2020 to be the date of polling in the 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly election.[9][10]
- July 02, 2020: An election schedule is issued by the Gilgit-Baltistan Election Commission confirming August 18, 2020 to be the date of polling.[12]
- July 11, 2020: The Gilgit-Baltistan Election Commission postpones the upcoming election and suspends the previously published schedule in light of the COVID-19 pandemic. New dates of polling in October 2020 are deliberated upon.[11][12]
- September 23, 2020: The President of Pakistan, Dr. Arif Alvi gives approval to the proposed polling date of November 15, 2020 for the 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly election.[1][2]
- September 24, 2020: A detailed election schedule is issued by the Gilgit-Baltistan Election Commission confirming the new date of polling, November 15, 2020.[3][4]
- October 03, 2020: The Caretaker Chief Minister of Gilgit-Baltistan Mir Afzal states that the Pakistan military's help will not be required in holding free and fair elections throughout Gilgit-Baltistan.[13][14]
- October 19, 2020: The final revised list of the candidates running in each constituency is published by the Election Commission of Gilgit-Baltistan.[4][7]
- October 20, 2020: Election Symbols are allotted to political parties and candidates.[4][8][25]
- November 15, 2020: Elections to be held in all general seats of Gilgit-Baltistan except GBLA-3.[1][2][3][4][17]
Parties
The table below lists the ten political parties that fielded at least three candidates (out of a possible 24 constituencies) in the 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly election,[7] and gives a detailed overview of their characteristics. Parties are initially ordered by their voteshare in the 2015 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly Election.
Opinion Polls
In the run up to the 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan elections, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention throughout Gilgit-Baltistan. The results of such polls are displayed in this section. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2015, to the present day.
Voting Intention
The table below shows the results of polls taken which asked the people of Gilgit-Baltistan which political party they would vote for in the 2020 election.
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | PML(N) | PPP | PTI | JUI(F) | Indep. | Other | Lead | Margin of error |
Sample size |
Polling method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color;" data-sort-type="number"| | style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color;" data-sort-type="number" | | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" data-sort-type="number"| | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" data-sort-type="number" colspan="2"| | |||||||||
| Pulse Consultant | 8 November 2020 | HTML | 14% | 26% | 35% | 4% | 12% | 9% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color" |+9% | N/A | 1,423 | Field Interviews |
| Gallup Pakistan | 6 November 2020 | 14% | 24% | 27% | 4% | 12% | 19% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color" |+3% | ±2-3% | ~1,000 | Unknown | |
| 2015 Election | 8 June 2015 | ECGB | 34.17% | 18.40% | 11.11% | 4.45% | 31.87% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color" |+15.77% | N/A | 379,032 | Final Election Results | |
Results
The two tables below show the results of the 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly Election by Political Party. The first table shows the results for the elections provincewide, through all 24 constituencies, and shows each political party's standing. The second table shows more detailed results for each of the 24 general constituencies.
Currently, only unofficial provisional results that are being reported by various news sources are shown in the tables below, but in the future the final results will be uploaded onto the Gilgit-Baltistan Election Commission Official website.
Provincewide
Preliminary and Unofficial results are coming from Geo News's live tracker.
| Political Party | Popular Vote | Assembly Seats | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total votes | % of total | Swing | Contested | General Seats | Women | Technocrats | Total Seats | Change | ||
| style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color" | | Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf | 9 | ||||||||
| style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color" | | Pakistan Peoples Party | 7 | ||||||||
| style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color" | | Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) | 2 | ||||||||
| Majlis Wahdat-e-Muslimeen | 1 | |||||||||
| All Pakistan Muslim League | ||||||||||
| Islami Tehreek Pakistan | ||||||||||
| Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (Fazl) | ||||||||||
| Muttahida Qaumi Movement (Pakistan) | ||||||||||
| Pakistan Muslim League (Quaid-e-Azam) | ||||||||||
| Pak Sarzameen Party | ||||||||||
| All Other Parties | ||||||||||
| Independents | 7 | |||||||||
| Total | TBD | 100% | ±0 | 330 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 33 | ±0 | |
| Registered Voters and Turnout | 745,361 | Turnout:TBD | ||||||||
By Constituency
Preliminary and Unofficial results are coming from Geo News's live tracker.
| Constituency | Winner | Runner-up | Margin | Registered Voters[26] |
Votes Cast |
Voter Turnout | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Name | Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Candidate | Party | Votes | % | ||||
| Gilgit | GBLA-1 | Amjad Hussain | PPP | 11,178 | 35,841 | ||||||||
| GBLA-2 | Fataullah Khan | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 6,696 | Jamil Ahmed | PPP | 6,694 | 2 | 41,259 | |||||
| GBLA-3 | Polling postponed due to the death of a candidate | 41,694 | |||||||||||
| Nagar | GBLA-4 | Amjad Hussain | PPP | 6,104 | M. Ayub Waziri | MWM | 5,606 | 438 | 23,171 | ||||
| GBLA-5 | Javed Ali Manwa | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 2,443 | Zulfiqar Ali Murad | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 2,122 | 321 | 14,001 | |||||
| Hunza | GBLA-6 | Obaidullah Baig | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 5,624 | Noor Mohammad | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 4,584 | 1,040 | 43,603 | ||||
| Skardu | GBLA-7 | Raja Zakaria Khan | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 5,288 | 17,127 | ||||||||
| GBLA-8 | Muhammad Kazim | MWM | 7,842 | 39,567 | |||||||||
| GBLA-9 | Wazir M. Saleem | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 7,534 | 25,562 | |||||||||
| GBLA-10 | Raja Nasir Ali Khan | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 4,667 | Wazir Hassan | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 3,344 | 1,323 | 26,839 | |||||
| Kharmang | GBLA-11 | Syed Majid Ali | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 5,733 | Syed Mohsin Rizvi | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 2,016 | 3,717 | 26,887 | ||||
| Shigar | GBLA-12 | Raja Azam Khan | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 10,349 | 36,183 | ||||||||
| Astore | GBLA-13 | M. Khalid Khurshid | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 5,325 | Rana Farman | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color;" |PML(N) | 3,528 | 1,797 | 33,378 | ||||
| GBLA-14 | Shamsul Haq Lone | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 5,418 | 29,023 | |||||||||
| Diamir | GBLA-15 | Haji Shah Baig | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 2,685 | Muhammad Dilpazir | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 2,517 | 168 | 35,185 | ||||
| GBLA-16 | Muhammad Anwar | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color;" |PML(N) | 5,605 | Atta Ullah | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 5,170 | 435 | 34,368 | |||||
| GBLA-17 | 29,955 | ||||||||||||
| GBLA-18 | Gulbar Khan | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 4,040 | Kifayat-ur-Rehman | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 3,525 | 515 | 19,071 | |||||
| Ghizer | GBLA-19 | Nawaz Khan Naji | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 6,448 | 37,808 | ||||||||
| GBLA-20 | Nazir Ahmed | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 5,430 | Akbar Khan | PML(Q) | 3,870 | 1,560 | 42,533 | |||||
| GBLA-21 | Ghulam Muhammad | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color;" |PML(N) | 4,609 | M. Ayub Shah | PPP | 3,686 | 923 | 34,975 | |||||
| Ghanche | GBLA-22 | Mushtaq Hussain | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 6,051 | M. Ibrahim Sanai | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 4,945 | 1,106 | 28,900 | ||||
| GBLA-23 | Abdul Hameed | style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;" |IND | 3,666 | 28,244 | |||||||||
| GBLA-24 | Muhammad Isamil | PPP | 6,204 | Syed Shamsuddin | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color;" |PTI | 5,361 | 843 | 20,187 | |||||
References
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- ^ a b c Sana Jamal (23 September 2020). "Pakistan to hold assembly elections in Gilgit-Baltistan on November 15". Pakistan to hold assembly elections in Gilgit-Baltistan on November 15 | Pakistan — Gulf News. Gulf News. Archived from the original on 23 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ a b c "GB election commission issues schedule for Nov 15 polls". GB election commission issues schedule for Nov 15 polls. Geo News. 25 September 2020. Archived from the original on 27 October 2020. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
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{{cite web}}:|archive-date=/|archive-url=timestamp mismatch; 4 September 2020 suggested (help) - ^ "Govt appoints Mir Afzal as GB's caretaker CM". Govt appoints Mir Afzal as GB's caretaker CM. The Nation. 24 June 2020. Archived from the original on 23 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
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{{cite web}}: Check|archiveurl=value (help)CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "Gilgit Baltistan Election 2020: What voters want in each of the 24 constituencies up for grabs". Gilgit Baltistan Election 2020: What voters want in each of the 24 constituencies up for grabs. Geo News. 14 November 2020. Archived from the original on 15 November 2020. Retrieved 15 November 2020.
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