2024 Madeiran regional election
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47 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Madeira 24 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Regional elections will be held in Madeira no later than October 2027, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira. The election will replace all 47 members of the Madeira Assembly, and the new members will then elect the President of the Autonomous Region.
The incumbent president, Miguel Albuquerque from the Social Democratic Party (PSD), is currently leading a coalition government between the Social Democrats and the CDS – People's Party, with the parliamentary support of People Animals Nature. He will defend the dominance of the Social Democratic Party in the islands since 1976.
Background
In the 2023 regional election, the We Are Madeira coalition was again the most voted coalition, 43%, but failed to win an absolute majority.[1] After the elections, PSD and CDS–PP sought the parliamentary support from PAN, which guaranteed an absolute majority in the regional parliament.[2]
Electoral system
The current 47 members of the Madeiran regional parliament are elected in a single constituency by proportional representation under the D'Hondt method, coinciding with the territory of the Region.[3]
Parties
Current composition
The table below lists parties represented in the Legislative Assembly of Madeira before the election.
| Name | Ideology | Leader | 2023 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | Seats | |||||
| PSD | Social Democratic Party Partido Social Democrata |
Liberal conservatism | Miguel Albuquerque | 43.1% [b] |
20 / 47
| |
| CDS-PP | CDS – People's Party Centro Democrático Social – Partido Popular |
Conservatism | Rui Barreto | 3 / 47
| ||
| PS | Socialist Party Partido Socialista |
Social democracy | Paulo Cafôfo[4] | 21.3% | 11 / 47
| |
| JPP | Together for the People Juntos pelo Povo |
Centrism | Élvio Sousa | 11.0% | 5 / 47
| |
| CH | Enough! Chega! |
National conservatism | Miguel Castro | 8.9% | 4 / 47
| |
| PCP | Portuguese Communist Party Partido Comunista Português |
Communism | Edgar Silva | 2.7% [c] |
1 / 47
| |
| IL | Liberal Initiative Iniciativa Liberal |
Classical Liberalism | Nuno Morna | 2.6% | 1 / 47
| |
| PAN | People Animals Nature Pessoas Animais Natureza |
Animal welfare | Mónica Freitas | 2.2% | 1 / 47
| |
| BE | Left Bloc Bloco de Esquerda |
Democratic Socialism | Roberto Almada | 2.2% | 1 / 47
| |
Opinion polling
Polling
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
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JPP | 
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O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2023 regional election | 24 Sep 2023 | — | 53.3 | 43.1 23 |
21.3 11 |
11.0 5 |
8.9 4 |
2.7 1 |
2.6 1 |
2.2 1 |
2.2 1 |
4.9 0 |
21.8 | |||
Notes
- ^ As leader of the Social Democratic Party (PSD). The leader of the Madeira People's Party (CDS–PP) is the Regional Secretary for Economic Affairs Rui Barreto.
- ^ PSD and CDS–PP contested the 2023 election jointly as the We Are Madeira Coalition, and won a combined 43.1% of the vote and elected 23 MPs to parliament.
- ^ The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2023 election jointly as the Unitary Democratic Coalition, and won a combined 2.7% of the vote and elected 1 MP to parliament.
References
- ^ "Eleições na Madeira: Coligação PSD/CDS-PP vence mas falha maioria absoluta". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 2023-09-24. Retrieved 2023-12-04.
- ^ "Miguel Albuquerque faz acordo parlamentar com PAN para continuar a governar a Madeira". Expresso (in Portuguese). 2023-09-25. Retrieved 2023-12-04.
- ^ Comissão Nacional de Eleições - Eleição para a Assembleia Legislativa da Região Autónoma da Madeira 2007
- ^ Gonçalves, Sandra S. "Cafôfo eleito presidente do PS-Madeira". DNOTICIAS.PT (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-12-04.
