2004 Andalusian regional election

Andalusian parliamentary election, 2004

14 March 2004
All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia 55 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	6,052,012 2.3%
Turnout	4,518,545 (74.7%) 6.0 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Manuel Chaves Teófila Martínez Diego Valderas Party PSOE Andalusian People's Party IULV–CA Leader since 19 April 1990 20 February 1999 10 October 2000 Leader's seat Cádiz Cádiz Huelva Last election 52 seats, 44.3% 46 seats, 38.0% 6 seats, 8.1% Seats won 61 37 6 Seat change 9 9 ±0 Popular vote 2,260,545 1,426,774 337,030 Percentage 50.4% 31.8% 7.5% Swing 6.1 pp 6.2 pp 0.6 pp   Fourth party   Leader Antonio Ortega Party PA Leader since 19 October 1996 Leader's seat Seville Last election 5 seats, 7.4% Seats won 5 Seat change ±0 Popular vote 276,674 Percentage 6.2% Swing 1.2 pp
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President before election Manuel Chaves PSOE Elected President Manuel Chaves PSOE

The 2004 Andalusian parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 14 March 2004, to elect the 7th Parliament of Andalusia, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Andalusia. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with the 2004 Spanish general election.

Incumbent Socialist Manuel Chaves González was re-elected with a clear absolute majority, and was thus invested for the fifth time as President of Andalusia.

Electoral system

The 109 members of the Parliament of Andalusia were elected in 8 multi-member districts, corresponding to Andalusia's eight provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district was entitled to an initial minimum of 8 seats, with the remaining 45 seats allocated among the eight provinces in proportion to their populations, on the condition that the number of seats in each district did not exceed 2 times those of any other. For the 2004 election, seats were distributed as follows: Almeria (11), Cadiz (15), Cordoba (13), Granada (13), Huelva (11), Jaen (12), Malaga (16) and Seville (18).

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of valid votes in each district (which includes blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	PA	Oth.	Lead
		style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"|	style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"|	style="background:Template:United Left (Spain)/meta/color;"|	style="background:Template:Andalusian Party/meta/color;"|
14 Mar 2004	Regional Election	50.4	31.8	7.5	6.2	4.1	18.6
Exit polls
26–27 Feb	Opina	47.0	36.5	7.0	6.0	3.5	10.5
12–20 Feb	TNS-Demoscopia	47.1	36.7	6.9	7.3	2.0	10.4
24 Jan–15 Feb	CIS	47.1	36.1	8.1	6.8	1.9	11.0
14 Feb	IAC	42.0	39.8			18.2	2.2
2–7 Feb	Opina	45.5	37.5	7.5	6.0	3.5	8.0
2004
3–23 Dec	CADPEA	45.2	37.1	7.8	6.7	3.2	8.1
1–21 Nov	IESA	46.7	37.2	8.0	7.4	0.7	9.5
22 Sep–2 Oct	IAC	42.8	39.5	8.5	5.5	3.7	3.3
30 Sep	CADPEA	45.1	37.3	8.2	6.6	2.8	7.8
28 Feb	TNS-Demoscopia	47.9	34.7	7.7	8.2	1.5	13.2
18–19 Feb	Opina	50.5	30.0	9.5	7.5	2.5	20.5
14–17 Feb	Sigma-2	49.8	33.7	7.5	6.1	2.9	16.1
3–12 Feb	IAC	43.2	39.8	6.9	6.6	3.5	3.4
9 Feb	CADPEA	46.9	34.9	7.7	7.8	2.7	12.0
2003
15 Nov–10 Dec	IESA	47.9	35.2	7.5	7.1	2.3	12.7
10 Nov	Inner	51.6	39.1	7.6	1.7	0.1	12.5
9 Sep–9 Oct	CIS	45.0	37.2	7.1	8.2	2.5	7.8
28 Feb	Sigma-2	45.0	40.7	6.8	5.0	2.5	4.3
28 Feb	IAC	41.9	40.6	7.4	5.7	4.4	1.3
18–19 Feb	Opina	47.3	35.0	7.3	7.8	2.6	12.3
31 Jan–5 Feb	PSOE	45.7	35.5	8.6	7.9	2.3	10.2
2002
15 Nov–10 Dec	IESA	46.8	35.8	8.9	7.1	1.4	11.0
15–27 Oct	Opina	44.2	39.5	7.4	6.9	2.0	4.7
28 Feb	Sigma-2	43.2	40.3	7.1	7.4	2.0	2.9
2001
10 Nov–5 Dec	IESA	46.6	35.7	9.4	7.8	0.5	10.9
12 Mar 2000	Regional Election	44.3	38.0	8.1	7.4	2.2	6.3

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

55 seats needed for majority

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	PA	Others
		style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"|	style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"|	style="background:Template:United Left (Spain)/meta/color;"|	style="background:Template:Andalusian Party/meta/color;"|
14 Mar 2004	Regional Election	61	37	6	5	0
Exit polls
27 Feb–3 Mar	Metra-6	53−54	44	4	7−8	0
26–27 Feb	Opina	56−59	42−46	4−6	3	0
12–20 Feb	TNS-Demoscopia	54−56	46−47	4−5	3	0
24 Jan–15 Feb	CIS	55	42	8	4	0
14 Feb	IAC	50−51	49−51	5−6	3	0
2–7 Feb	Opina	53−54	45−46	7	3	0
2004
24 Nov	Metra-6	53−54	44−45	5−6	4−6	0
22 Sep–2 Oct	IAC	50−51	49−50	6	2−3	0
3–12 Feb	IAC	51−52	48−49	5	4	0
2003
2002
15–27 Oct	Opina	52−53	47−48	5−6	3−4	0
2001
12 Mar 2000	Regional Election	52	46	6	5	0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 14 March 2004 Andalusian Parliament election results →

Party		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia/meta/color"|	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A)	2,260,545	50.36	+6.04	61	+9
bgcolor="Template:Andalusian People's Party/meta/color"|	People's Party (PP–A)	1,426,774	31.78	–6.24	37	–9
bgcolor="Template:United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia/meta/color"|	United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)	337,030	7.51	–0.60	6	±0
bgcolor="Template:Andalusian Party/meta/color"|	Andalusian Party (PA)	276,674	6.16	–1.27	5	±0
bgcolor="Template:Andalusian Forum/meta/color"|	Andalusian Forum (FA)	53,288	1.19	New	0	±0

Parties with less than 1.0% of the vote		72,410	1.61	—	0	±0
width="1" bgcolor="Template:Andalusian Socialist Party/meta/color"|	Andalusian Socialist Party (PSA)	42,219	0.94	New	0	±0
bgcolor="Template:Humanist Party (Spain)/meta/color"|	Humanist Party (PH)	5,670	0.13	+0.02	0	±0
bgcolor="Template:New Andalusian Green Left/meta/color"|	New Andalusian Green Left (NIVA)	5,065	0.11	New	0	±0
bgcolor="Template:Andalusia Assembly/meta/color"|	Andalusia Assembly (A)	4,544	0.10	–0.01	0	±0
bgcolor="Template:Spanish Falange of the JONS/meta/color"|	Spanish Falange of the JONS (FE–JONS)	4,437	0.10	+0.07	0	±0
bgcolor="Template:Party of Precarious Workers/meta/color"|	Party of Precarious Workers (PTPRE)	3,321	0.07	New	0	±0
bgcolor="Template:Republican Left (Spain, 1977)/meta/color"|	Republican Left (IR)	3,130	0.07	New	0	±0
bgcolor="Template:Andalusian Social Democratic Party/meta/color"|	Andalusian Social Democratic Party (PSDA)	1,642	0.04	New	0	±0
bgcolor="Template:Left Assembly–Initiative for Andalusia/meta/color"|	Left Assembly–Initiative for Andalusia (A–IZ)	1,334	0.03	New	0	±0
bgcolor="Template:Another Democracy is Possible/meta/color"|	Another Democracy is Possible (OtraDem)	525	0.01	New	0	±0
	National Union (UN)	523	0.01	±0.00	0	±0

	Blank ballots	62,451	1.39	+0.10
Total		4,489,172	100.00		109	±0
Valid votes		4,489,172	99.35	+0.01
Invalid votes		28,658	0.65	–0.01
Votes cast / turnout		4,518,545	74.66	+5.95
Abstentions		1,533,467	25.34	–5.95
Registered voters		6,052,012
Source: Argos Information Portal

Vote share PSOE–A   50.36% PP–A   31.78% IULV–CA   7.51% PA   6.16% FA   1.19% Others   1.61% Blank ballots   1.39%

Parliamentary seats PSOE–A   55.96% PP–A   33.94% IULV–CA   5.50% PA   4.59%

Results by province

Almería

Cádiz

Córdoba

Granada

Huelva

Jaén

Málaga

Seville