Multiple districts paradox
A voting system is consistent if, when the electorate is divided arbitrarily into two (or more) parts and separate elections in each part result in the same choice being selected, an election of the entire electorate also selects that alternative. Smith[1] calls this property separability and Woodall[2] calls it convexity.
It has been proven a ranked voting system is consistent if and only if it is a positional voting system.[3][need quotation to verify] Borda count is an example of this.
The failure of the consistency criterion can be seen as an example of Simpson's paradox.
Examples
Copeland
This example shows that Copeland's method violates the Consistency criterion. Assume five candidates A, B, C, D and E with 27 voters with the following preferences:
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
3 | A > D > B > E > C |
2 | A > D > E > C > B |
3 | B > A > C > D > E |
3 | C > D > B > E > A |
3 | E > C > B > A > D |
3 | A > D > C > E > B |
1 | A > D > E > B > C |
3 | B > D > C > E > A |
3 | C > A > B > D > E |
3 | E > B > C > A > D |
Now, the set of all voters is divided into two groups at the bold line. The voters over the line are the first group of voters; the others are the second group of voters.
First group of voters
In the following the Copeland winner for the first group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
3 | A > D > B > E > C |
2 | A > D > E > C > B |
3 | B > A > C > D > E |
3 | C > D > B > E > A |
3 | E > C > B > A > D |
The results would be tabulated as follows:
X | ||||||
A | B | C | D | E | ||
Y | A | [X] 9 [Y] 5 |
[X] 6 [Y] 8 |
[X] 3 [Y] 11 |
[X] 6 [Y] 8 | |
B | [X] 5 [Y] 9 |
[X] 8 [Y] 6 |
[X] 8 [Y] 6 |
[X] 5 [Y] 9 | ||
C | [X] 8 [Y] 6 |
[X] 6 [Y] 8 |
[X] 5 [Y] 9 |
[X] 8 [Y] 6 | ||
D | [X] 11 [Y] 3 |
[X] 6 [Y] 8 |
[X] 9 [Y] 5 |
[X] 3 [Y] 11 | ||
E | [X] 8 [Y] 6 |
[X] 9 [Y] 5 |
[X] 6 [Y] 8 |
[X] 11 [Y] 3 |
||
Pairwise election results (won-tied-lost): | 3-0-1 | 2-0-2 | 2-0-2 | 2-0-2 | 1-0-3 |
- [X] indicates voters who preferred the candidate listed in the column caption to the candidate listed in the row caption
- [Y] indicates voters who preferred the candidate listed in the row caption to the candidate listed in the column caption
Result: With the votes of the first group of voters, A can defeat three of the four opponents, whereas no other candidate wins against more than two opponents. Thus, A is elected Copeland winner by the first group of voters.
Second group of voters
Now, the Copeland winner for the second group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
3 | A > D > C > E > B |
1 | A > D > E > B > C |
3 | B > D > C > E > A |
3 | C > A > B > D > E |
3 | E > B > C > A > D |
The results would be tabulated as follows:
X | ||||||
A | B | C | D | E | ||
Y | A | [X] 6 [Y] 7 |
[X] 9 [Y] 4 |
[X] 3 [Y] 10 |
[X] 6 [Y] 7 | |
B | [X] 7 [Y] 6 |
[X] 6 [Y] 7 |
[X] 4 [Y] 9 |
[X] 7 [Y] 6 | ||
C | [X] 4 [Y] 9 |
[X] 7 [Y] 6 |
[X] 7 [Y] 6 |
[X] 4 [Y] 9 | ||
D | [X] 10 [Y] 3 |
[X] 9 [Y] 4 |
[X] 6 [Y] 7 |
[X] 3 [Y] 10 | ||
E | [X] 7 [Y] 6 |
[X] 6 [Y] 7 |
[X] 9 [Y] 4 |
[X] 10 [Y] 3 |
||
Pairwise election results (won-tied-lost): | 3-0-1 | 2-0-2 | 2-0-2 | 2-0-2 | 1-0-3 |
Result: Taking only the votes of the second group in account, again, A can defeat three of the four opponents, whereas no other candidate wins against more than two opponents. Thus, A is elected Copeland winner by the second group of voters.
All voters
Finally, the Copeland winner of the complete set of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
3 | A > D > B > E > C |
3 | A > D > C > E > B |
1 | A > D > E > B > C |
2 | A > D > E > C > B |
3 | B > A > C > D > E |
3 | B > D > C > E > A |
3 | C > A > B > D > E |
3 | C > D > B > E > A |
3 | E > B > C > A > D |
3 | E > C > B > A > D |
The results would be tabulated as follows:
X | ||||||
A | B | C | D | E | ||
Y | A | [X] 15 [Y] 12 |
[X] 15 [Y] 12 |
[X] 6 [Y] 21 |
[X] 12 [Y] 15 | |
B | [X] 12 [Y] 15 |
[X] 14 [Y] 13 |
[X] 12 [Y] 15 |
[X] 12 [Y] 15 | ||
C | [X] 12 [Y] 15 |
[X] 13 [Y] 14 |
[X] 12 [Y] 15 |
[X] 12 [Y] 15 | ||
D | [X] 21 [Y] 6 |
[X] 15 [Y] 12 |
[X] 15 [Y] 12 |
[X] 6 [Y] 21 | ||
E | [X] 15 [Y] 12 |
[X] 15 [Y] 12 |
[X] 15 [Y] 12 |
[X] 21 [Y] 6 |
||
Pairwise election results (won-tied-lost): | 2-0-2 | 3-0-1 | 4-0-0 | 1-0-3 | 0-0-4 |
Result: C is the Condorcet winner, thus Copeland chooses C as winner.
Conclusion
A is the Copeland winner within the first group of voters and also within the second group of voters. However, both groups combined elect C as the Copeland winner. Thus, Copeland fails the Consistency criterion.
Instant-runoff voting
This example shows that Instant-runoff voting violates the Consistency criterion. Assume three candidates A, B and C and 23 voters with the following preferences:
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
4 | A > B > C |
2 | B > A > C |
4 | C > B > A |
4 | A > B > C |
6 | B > A > C |
3 | C > A > B |
Now, the set of all voters is divided into two groups at the bold line. The voters over the line are the first group of voters; the others are the second group of voters.
First group of voters
In the following the instant-runoff winner for the first group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
4 | A > B > C |
2 | B > A > C |
4 | C > B > A |
B has only 2 votes and is eliminated first. Its votes are transferred to A. Now, A has 6 votes and wins against C with 4 votes.
Votes in round/ Candidate |
1st | 2nd |
---|---|---|
A | 4 | 6 |
B | 2 | |
C | 4 | 4 |
Result: A wins against C, after B has been eliminated.
Second group of voters
Now, the instant-runoff winner for the second group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
4 | A > B > C |
6 | B > A > C |
3 | C > A > B |
C has the least votes count of 3 and is eliminated. A benefits from that, gathering all the votes from C. Now, with 7 votes A wins against B with 6 votes.
Votes in round/ Candidate |
1st | 2nd |
---|---|---|
A | 4 | 7 |
B | 6 | 6 |
C | 3 |
Result: A wins against B, after C has been eliminated.
All voters
Finally, the instant runoff winner of the complete set of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
8 | A > B > C |
8 | B > A > C |
3 | C > A > B |
4 | C > B > A |
C has the least first preferences and so is eliminated first, its votes are split: 4 are transferred to B and 3 to A. Thus, B wins with 12 votes against 11 votes of A.
Votes in round/ Candidate |
1st | 2nd |
---|---|---|
A | 8 | 11 |
B | 8 | 12 |
C | 7 |
Result: B wins against A, after C is eliminated.
Conclusion
A is the instant-runoff winner within the first group of voters and also within the second group of voters. However, both groups combined elect B as the instant-runoff winner. Thus, instant-runoff voting fails the Consistency criterion.
Kemeny–Young method
This example shows that the Kemeny–Young method violates the Consistency criterion. Assume three candidates A, B and C and 38 voters with the following preferences:
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
7 | A > B > C |
6 | B > C > A |
3 | C > A > B |
8 | A > C > B |
7 | B > A > C |
7 | C > B > A |
Now, the set of all voters is divided into two groups at the bold line. The voters over the line are the first group of voters; the others are the second group of voters.
First group of voters
In the following the Kemeny-Young winner for the first group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
7 | A > B > C |
6 | B > C > A |
3 | C > A > B |
The Kemeny–Young method arranges the pairwise comparison counts in the following tally table:
All possible pairs of choice names |
Number of votes with indicated preference | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Prefer X over Y | Equal preference | Prefer Y over X | ||
X = A | Y = B | 10 | 0 | 6 |
X = A | Y = C | 7 | 0 | 9 |
X = B | Y = C | 13 | 0 | 3 |
The ranking scores of all possible rankings are:
Preferences | 1. vs 2. | 1. vs 3. | 2. vs 3. | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
A > B > C | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30 |
A > C > B | 7 | 10 | 3 | 20 |
B > A > C | 6 | 13 | 7 | 26 |
B > C > A | 13 | 6 | 9 | 28 |
C > A > B | 9 | 3 | 10 | 22 |
C > B > A | 3 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
Result: The ranking A > B > C has the highest ranking score. Thus, A wins ahead of B and C.
Second group of voters
Now, the Kemeny-Young winner for the second group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
8 | A > C > B |
7 | B > A > C |
7 | C > B > A |
The Kemeny–Young method arranges the pairwise comparison counts in the following tally table:
All possible pairs of choice names |
Number of votes with indicated preference | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Prefer X over Y | Equal preference | Prefer Y over X | ||
X = A | Y = B | 8 | 0 | 14 |
X = A | Y = C | 15 | 0 | 7 |
X = B | Y = C | 7 | 0 | 15 |
The ranking scores of all possible rankings are:
Preferences | 1. vs 2. | 1. vs 3. | 2. vs 3. | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
A > B > C | 8 | 15 | 7 | 30 |
A > C > B | 15 | 8 | 15 | 38 |
B > A > C | 14 | 7 | 15 | 36 |
B > C > A | 7 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
C > A > B | 7 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
C > B > A | 15 | 7 | 14 | 36 |
Result: The ranking A > C > B has the highest ranking score. Hence, A wins ahead of C and B.
All voters
Finally, the Kemeny-Young winner of the complete set of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
7 | A > B > C |
8 | A > C > B |
7 | B > A > C |
6 | B > C > A |
3 | C > A > B |
7 | C > B > A |
The Kemeny–Young method arranges the pairwise comparison counts in the following tally table:
All possible pairs of choice names |
Number of votes with indicated preference | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Prefer X over Y | Equal preference | Prefer Y over X | ||
X = A | Y = B | 18 | 0 | 20 |
X = A | Y = C | 22 | 0 | 16 |
X = B | Y = C | 20 | 0 | 18 |
The ranking scores of all possible rankings are:
Preferences | 1. vs 2. | 1. vs 3. | 2. vs 3. | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
A > B > C | 18 | 22 | 20 | 60 |
A > C > B | 22 | 18 | 18 | 58 |
B > A > C | 20 | 20 | 22 | 62 |
B > C > A | 20 | 20 | 16 | 56 |
C > A > B | 16 | 18 | 18 | 52 |
C > B > A | 18 | 16 | 20 | 54 |
Result: The ranking B > A > C has the highest ranking score. So, B wins ahead of A and C.
Conclusion
A is the Kemeny-Young winner within the first group of voters and also within the second group of voters. However, both groups combined elect B as the Kemeny-Young winner. Thus, the Kemeny–Young method fails the Consistency criterion.
Ranking consistency
The Kemeny-Young method satisfies ranking consistency, that is if the electorate is divided arbitrarily into two parts and separate elections in each part result in the same ranking being selected, an election of the entire electorate also selects that ranking.
Informal proof
The Kemeny-Young score of a ranking is computed by summing up the number of pairwise comparisons on each ballot that match the ranking . Thus, the Kemeny-Young score for an electorate can be computed by separating the electorate into disjoint subsets (with ), computing the Kemeny-Young scores for these subsets and adding it up:
- .
Now, consider an election with electorate . The premise of the consistency criterion is to divide the electorate arbitrarily into two parts , and in each part the same ranking is selected. This means, that the Kemeny-Young score for the ranking in each electorate is bigger than for every other ranking :
- and
- .
Now, it has to be shown, that the Kemeny-Young score of the ranking in the entire electorate is bigger than the Kemeny-Young score of every other ranking :
Thus, the Kemeny-Young method is consistent respective rankings.
Majority Judgment
This example shows that Majority Judgment violates the Consistency criterion. Assume two candidates A and B and 10 voters with the following ratings:
Candidates/ # of voters |
A | B |
---|---|---|
3 | Excellent | Fair |
2 | Poor | Fair |
3 | Fair | Poor |
2 | Poor | Fair |
Now, the set of all voters is divided into two groups at the bold line. The voters over the line are the first group of voters; the others are the second group of voters.
First group of voters
In the following the Majority judgment winner for the first group of voters is determined.
Candidates/ # of voters |
A | B |
---|---|---|
3 | Excellent | Fair |
2 | Poor | Fair |
The sorted ratings would be as follows:
Candidate |
| |||||||||
A |
| |||||||||
B |
| |||||||||
|
Result: With the votes of the first group of voters, A has the median rating of "Excellent" and B has the median rating of "Fair". Thus, A is elected Majority Judgment winner by the first group of voters.
Second group of voters
Now, the Majority Judgment winner for the second group of voters is determined.
Candidates/ # of voters |
A | B |
---|---|---|
3 | Fair | Poor |
2 | Poor | Fair |
The sorted ratings would be as follows:
Candidate |
| |||||||||
A |
| |||||||||
B |
| |||||||||
|
Result: Taking only the votes of the second group in account, A has the median rating of "Fair" and B the median rating of "Poor". Thus, A is elected Majority Judgment winner by the second group of voters.
All voters
Finally, the Majority Judgment winner of the complete set of voters is determined.
Candidates/ # of voters |
A | B |
---|---|---|
3 | Excellent | Fair |
3 | Fair | Poor |
4 | Poor | Fair |
The sorted ratings would be as follows:
Candidate |
| |||||||||
A |
| |||||||||
B |
| |||||||||
|
The median ratings for A and B are both "Fair". Since there is a tie, "Fair" ratings are removed from both, until their medians become different. After removing 20% "Fair" ratings from the votes of each, the sorted ratings are now:
Candidate |
| |||||
A |
| |||||
B |
|
Result: Now, the median rating of A is "Poor" and the median rating of B is "Fair". Thus, B is elected Majority Judgment winner.
Conclusion
A is the Majority Judgment winner within the first group of voters and also within the second group of voters. However, both groups combined elect B as the Majority Judgment winner. Thus, Majority Judgment fails the Consistency criterion.
Minimax
This example shows that the Minimax method violates the Consistency criterion. Assume four candidates A, B, C and D with 43 voters with the following preferences:
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
1 | A > B > C > D |
6 | A > D > B > C |
5 | B > C > D > A |
6 | C > D > B > A |
8 | A > B > D > C |
2 | A > D > C > B |
9 | C > B > D > A |
6 | D > C > B > A |
Since all preferences are strict rankings (no equals are present), all three Minimax methods (winning votes, margins and pairwise opposite) elect the same winners.
Now, the set of all voters is divided into two groups at the bold line. The voters over the line are the first group of voters; the others are the second group of voters.
First group of voters
In the following the Minimax winner for the first group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
1 | A > B > C > D |
6 | A > D > B > C |
5 | B > C > D > A |
6 | C > D > B > A |
The results would be tabulated as follows:
X | |||||
A | B | C | D | ||
Y | A | [X] 11 [Y] 7 |
[X] 11 [Y] 7 |
[X] 11 [Y] 7 | |
B | [X] 7 [Y] 11 |
[X] 6 [Y] 12 |
[X] 12 [Y] 6 | ||
C | [X] 7 [Y] 11 |
[X] 12 [Y] 6 |
[X] 6 [Y] 12 | ||
D | [X] 7 [Y] 11 |
[X] 6 [Y] 12 |
[X] 12 [Y] 6 |
||
Pairwise election results (won-tied-lost): | 0-0-3 | 2-0-1 | 2-0-1 | 2-0-1 | |
worst pairwise defeat (winning votes): | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |
worst pairwise defeat (margins): | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |
worst pairwise opposition: | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
- [X] indicates voters who preferred the candidate listed in the column caption to the candidate listed in the row caption
- [Y] indicates voters who preferred the candidate listed in the row caption to the candidate listed in the column caption
Result: The candidates B, C and D form a cycle with clear defeats. A benefits from that since it loses relatively closely against all three and therefore A's biggest defeat is the closest of all candidates. Thus, A is elected Minimax winner by the first group of voters.
Second group of voters
Now, the Minimax winner for the second group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
8 | A > B > D > C |
2 | A > D > C > B |
9 | C > B > D > A |
6 | D > C > B > A |
The results would be tabulated as follows:
X | |||||
A | B | C | D | ||
Y | A | [X] 15 [Y] 10 |
[X] 15 [Y] 10 |
[X] 15 [Y] 10 | |
B | [X] 10 [Y] 15 |
[X] 17 [Y] 8 |
[X] 8 [Y] 17 | ||
C | [X] 10 [Y] 15 |
[X] 8 [Y] 17 |
[X] 16 [Y] 9 | ||
D | [X] 10 [Y] 15 |
[X] 17 [Y] 8 |
[X] 9 [Y] 16 |
||
Pairwise election results (won-tied-lost): | 0-0-3 | 2-0-1 | 2-0-1 | 2-0-1 | |
worst pairwise defeat (winning votes): | 15 | 17 | 16 | 17 | |
worst pairwise defeat (margins): | 5 | 9 | 7 | 9 | |
worst pairwise opposition: | 15 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
Result: Taking only the votes of the second group in account, again, B, C and D form a cycle with clear defeats and A benefits from that because of its relatively close losses against all three and therefore A's biggest defeat is the closest of all candidates. Thus, A is elected Minimax winner by the second group of voters.
All voters
Finally, the Minimax winner of the complete set of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
1 | A > B > C > D |
8 | A > B > D > C |
6 | A > D > B > C |
2 | A > D > C > B |
5 | B > C > D > A |
9 | C > B > D > A |
6 | C > D > B > A |
6 | D > C > B > A |
The results would be tabulated as follows:
X | |||||
A | B | C | D | ||
Y | A | [X] 26 [Y] 17 |
[X] 26 [Y] 17 |
[X] 26 [Y] 17 | |
B | [X] 17 [Y] 26 |
[X] 23 [Y] 20 |
[X] 20 [Y] 23 | ||
C | [X] 17 [Y] 26 |
[X] 20 [Y] 23 |
[X] 22 [Y] 21 | ||
D | [X] 17 [Y] 26 |
[X] 23 [Y] 20 |
[X] 21 [Y] 22 |
||
Pairwise election results (won-tied-lost): | 0-0-3 | 2-0-1 | 2-0-1 | 2-0-1 | |
worst pairwise defeat (winning votes): | 26 | 23 | 22 | 23 | |
worst pairwise defeat (margins): | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |
worst pairwise opposition: | 26 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
Result: Again, B, C and D form a cycle. But now, their mutual defeats are very close. Therefore, the defeats A suffers from all three are relatively clear. With a small advantage over B and D, C is elected Minimax winner.
Conclusion
A is the Minimax winner within the first group of voters and also within the second group of voters. However, both groups combined elect C as the Minimax winner. Thus, Minimax fails the Consistency criterion.
Ranked pairs
This example shows that the Ranked pairs method violates the Consistency criterion. Assume three candidates A, B and C with 39 voters with the following preferences:
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
7 | A > B > C |
6 | B > C > A |
3 | C > A > B |
9 | A > C > B |
8 | B > A > C |
6 | C > B > A |
Now, the set of all voters is divided into two groups at the bold line. The voters over the line are the first group of voters; the others are the second group of voters.
First group of voters
In the following the Ranked pairs winner for the first group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
7 | A > B > C |
6 | B > C > A |
3 | C > A > B |
The results would be tabulated as follows:
X | ||||
A | B | C | ||
Y | A | [X] 6 [Y] 10 |
[X] 9 [Y] 7 | |
B | [X] 10 [Y] 6 |
[X] 3 [Y] 13 | ||
C | [X] 7 [Y] 9 |
[X] 13 [Y] 3 |
||
Pairwise election results (won-tied-lost): | 1-0-1 | 1-0-1 | 1-0-1 |
- [X] indicates voters who preferred the candidate listed in the column caption to the candidate listed in the row caption
- [Y] indicates voters who preferred the candidate listed in the row caption to the candidate listed in the column caption
The sorted list of victories would be:
Pair | Winner |
---|---|
B (13) vs. C (3) | B 13 |
A (10) vs. B (6) | A 10 |
A (7) vs. C (9) | C 9 |
Result: B > C and A > B are locked in first (and C > A can't be locked in after that), so the full ranking is A > B > C. Thus, A is elected Ranked pairs winner by the first group of voters.
Second group of voters
Now, the Ranked pairs winner for the second group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
9 | A > C > B |
8 | B > A > C |
6 | C > B > A |
The results would be tabulated as follows:
X | ||||
A | B | C | ||
Y | A | [X] 14 [Y] 9 |
[X] 6 [Y] 17 | |
B | [X] 9 [Y] 14 |
[X] 15 [Y] 8 | ||
C | [X] 17 [Y] 6 |
[X] 8 [Y] 15 |
||
Pairwise election results (won-tied-lost): | 1-0-1 | 1-0-1 | 1-0-1 |
The sorted list of victories would be:
Pair | Winner |
---|---|
A (17) vs. C (6) | A 17 |
B (8) vs. C (15) | C 15 |
A (9) vs. B (14) | B 14 |
Result: Taking only the votes of the second group in account, A > C and C > B are locked in first (and B > A can't be locked in after that), so the full ranking is A > C > B. Thus, A is elected Ranked pairs winner by the second group of voters.
All voters
Finally, the Ranked pairs winner of the complete set of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
7 | A > B > C |
9 | A > C > B |
8 | B > A > C |
6 | B > C > A |
3 | C > A > B |
6 | C > B > A |
The results would be tabulated as follows:
X | ||||
A | B | C | ||
Y | A | [X] 20 [Y] 19 |
[X] 15 [Y] 24 | |
B | [X] 19 [Y] 20 |
[X] 18 [Y] 21 | ||
C | [X] 24 [Y] 15 |
[X] 21 [Y] 18 |
||
Pairwise election results (won-tied-lost): | 1-0-1 | 2-0-0 | 0-0-2 |
The sorted list of victories would be:
Pair | Winner |
---|---|
A (25) vs. C (15) | A 24 |
B (21) vs. C (18) | B 21 |
A (19) vs. B (20) | B 20 |
Result: Now, all three pairs (A > C, B > C and B > A) can be locked in without cycle. The full ranking is B > A > C. Thus, Ranked pairs chooses B as winner. In fact, B is also Condorcet winner.
Conclusion
A is the Ranked pairs winner within the first group of voters and also within the second group of voters. However, both groups combined elect B as the Ranked pairs winner. Thus, the Ranked pairs method fails the Consistency criterion.
Schulze method
This example shows that the Schulze method violates the Consistency criterion. Again, assume three candidates A, B and C with 39 voters with the following preferences:
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
7 | A > B > C |
6 | B > C > A |
3 | C > A > B |
9 | A > C > B |
8 | B > A > C |
6 | C > B > A |
Now, the set of all voters is divided into two groups at the bold line. The voters over the line are the first group of voters; the others are the second group of voters.
First group of voters
In the following the Schulze winner for the first group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
7 | A > B > C |
6 | B > C > A |
3 | C > A > B |
The pairwise preferences would be tabulated as follows:
d[*,A] | d[*,B] | d[*,C] | |
---|---|---|---|
d[A,*] | 10 | 7 | |
d[B,*] | 6 | 13 | |
d[C,*] | 9 | 3 |
Now, the strongest paths have to be identified, e.g. the path A > B > C is stronger than the direct path A > C (which is nullified, since it is a loss for A).
d[*,A] | d[*,B] | d[*,C] | |
---|---|---|---|
d[A,*] | 10 | 10 | |
d[B,*] | 9 | 13 | |
d[C,*] | 9 | 9 |
Result: A > B, A > C and B > C prevail, so the full ranking is A > B > C. Thus, A is elected Schulze winner by the first group of voters.
Second group of voters
Now, the Schulze winner for the second group of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
9 | A > C > B |
8 | B > A > C |
6 | C > B > A |
The pairwise preferences would be tabulated as follows:
d[*,A] | d[*,B] | d[*,C] | |
---|---|---|---|
d[A,*] | 9 | 17 | |
d[B,*] | 14 | 8 | |
d[C,*] | 6 | 15 |
Now, the strongest paths have to be identified, e.g. the path A > C > B is stronger than the direct path A > B.
d[*,A] | d[*,B] | d[*,C] | |
---|---|---|---|
d[A,*] | 15 | 17 | |
d[B,*] | 14 | 14 | |
d[C,*] | 14 | 15 |
Result: A > B, A > C and C > B prevail, so the full ranking is A > C > B. Thus, A is elected Schulze winner by the second group of voters.
All voters
Finally, the Schulze winner of the complete set of voters is determined.
# of voters | Preferences |
---|---|
7 | A > B > C |
9 | A > C > B |
8 | B > A > C |
6 | B > C > A |
3 | C > A > B |
6 | C > B > A |
The pairwise preferences would be tabulated as follows:
d[*,A] | d[*,B] | d[*,C] | |
---|---|---|---|
d[A,*] | 19 | 24 | |
d[B,*] | 20 | 21 | |
d[C,*] | 15 | 18 |
Now, the strongest paths have to be identified:
d[*,A] | d[*,B] | d[*,C] | |
---|---|---|---|
d[A,*] | 0 | 24 | |
d[B,*] | 20 | 21 | |
d[C,*] | 0 | 0 |
Result: A > C, B > A and B > C prevail, so the full ranking is B > A > C. Thus, Schulze chooses B as winner. In fact, B is also Condorcet winner.
Conclusion
A is the Schulze winner within the first group of voters and also within the second group of voters. However, both groups combined elect B as the Schulze winner. Thus, the Schulze method fails the Consistency criterion.
References
- ^ John H Smith, "Aggregation of preferences with variable electorate", Econometrica, Vol. 41 (1973), pp. 1027–1041.
- ^ D. R. Woodall, "Properties of preferential election rules", Voting matters, Issue 3 (December 1994), pp. 8–15.
- ^ H. P. Young, "Social Choice Scoring Functions", SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics Vol. 28, No. 4 (1975), pp. 824–838.