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Kaduwela Polling Division

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Kaduwela
Polling Division
Location of Kaduwela
Coordinates: 6°54′08″N 79°58′44″E / 6.902157°N 79.978949°E / 6.902157; 79.978949
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total
93.17 km2 (35.97 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
252,041
 • Density2,705/km2 (7,010/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01J

The Kaduwela Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Kaduwela has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Kaduwela is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kaduwela Colombo Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 11.96% SLPP 12.95%
2015 UPFA NDF 6.95% NDF 2.55%
2010 UPFA UPFA 9.07% UPFA 3.84%
2005 UPFA UNP 9.75% UPFA 7.24%
1999 PA PA 6.64% PA 5.08%
1994 PA PA 2.72% PA 5.16%
1988 SLFP UNP 8.04% UNP 9.26%
1982 UNP UNP 8.13% UNP 4.30%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 7.91% 8/8 6.30%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kaduwela[4] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 98,807 65.35% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 41,747 27.61% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 7,605 5.03% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 3,029 2.00% 26,740 1.95% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 151,188 99.02% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,498 0.98% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 152,686 83.08% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 183,787 1,670,403 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kaduwela[5] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 70,970 50.46% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 68,886 48.98% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 786 0.56% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 140,642 98.92% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,534 1.08% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 142,176 82.01% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 173,355 1,612,660 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kaduwela[6] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 76,103 62.24% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 45,082 36.87% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,091 0.89% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 122,276 99.31% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 850 0.69% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 123,126 77.57% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 158,736 1,541,242 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kaduwela[7] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 65,829 57.84% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 47,025 41.32% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 951 0.84% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 113,805 98.95% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 1,209 1.05% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 115,014 77.48% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 148,435 1,486,021 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kaduwela[8] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 50,535 55.24% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 32,951 36.02% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 6,170 6.74% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 918 1.00% 12,821 1.33% 140,825 1.67%
SMBP 916 1.00% 8,209 0.85% 35,854 0.43%
Valid Votes 91,490 97.31% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 2,530 2.69% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 94,020 74.55% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 126,119 1,354,025 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kaduwela[9] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 51,876 67.44% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 23,475 30.52% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,566 2.04% 13,937 1.62% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 76,917 98.16% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,445 1.84% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 78,362 69.24% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 113,173 1,259,484 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kaduwela[10] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 30,600 55.06% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 22,872 41.15% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 2,108 3.79% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 55,580 98.57% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 806 1.43% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 56,386 64.30% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 87,693 1,105,583 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kaduwela[11] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,963 48.80% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 25,275 44.11% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 3,338 5.83% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 721 1.26% 14,685 1.95% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 57,297 98.76% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 719 1.24% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 58,016 79.47% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 73,006 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Kaduwela has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Kaduwela is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kaduwela Colombo Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 8.78% UNP 3.64%
2010 UPFA UPFA 8.73% UPFA 2.49%
2004 UPFA UNP 8.93% UPFA 5.36%
2001 UNP UNP 6.99% UNP 2.72%
2000 PA UNP 5.55% PA 1.70%
1994 PA PA 4.76% PA 6.76%
1989 UNP UNP 6.24% UNP 4.76%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 7.14% 7/7 3.92%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kaduwela[14] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPFA 90,489 70.27% 674,603 57.04% 6,853,693 59.09%
SJB 23,797 18.48% 387,145 32.73% 2,771,984 23.9%
JJB 9,594 7.45% 67,600 5.72% 445,958 3.84%
UNP 2,679 2.08% 30,875 2.61% 249,435 2.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,211 1.72% 22,553 1.9% 1,227,859 11.02%
Valid Votes 128,770 68.32% 1,182,776 69.2% 11,598,936 71.32%
Rejected Votes 6,845 3.63% 81,034 4.74% 744,373 4.58%
Total Polled 135,615 71.96% 1,263,810 73.94% 12,343,309 75.89%
Registered Electors 188,469 1,709,209 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kaduwela[15] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 62,136 47.29% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 56,154 42.74% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 11,971 9.11% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,128 0.86% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 131,389 97.30% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,536 2.62% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 135,029 77.89% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 173,355 1,586,598 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kaduwela[16] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 56,539 59.39% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 23,546 24.73% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 14,460 15.19% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 652 0.68% 7,292 0.78% 48,240 0.60%
Valid Votes 95,197 95.72% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,193 4.22% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 99,450 62.65% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 158,736 1,542,457 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kaduwela[17] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 53,065 50.50% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 32,772 31.19% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 18,485 17.59% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 749 0.71% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 105,071 96.94% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,316 3.06% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 108,393 75.46% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 143,644 1,467,751 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kaduwela[18] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 43,330 42.60% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 39,238 38.58% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 16,602 16.32% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
SU 1,541 1.52% 16,970 1.60% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,001 0.98% 24,289 2.29% 510,616 5.70%
Valid Votes 101,712 96.93% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,218 3.07% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 104,930 77.41% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 135,550 1,440,682 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kaduwela[19] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 43,474 45.15% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 35,792 37.17% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 11,268 11.70% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
SU 4,701 4.88% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,047 1.09% 51,586 5.09% 375,083 4.36%
Valid Votes 96,282 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kaduwela[20] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 46,899 55.97% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 30,668 36.60% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 4,327 5.16% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 1,541 1.84% 11,454 1.24% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 357 0.43% 13,003 1.41% 51,995 0.65%
Valid Votes 83,792 96.53% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,010 3.47% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 86,802 76.70% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 113,173 1,260,686 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kaduwela[21] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,849 45.47% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 21,306 37.48% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
MEP 7,241 12.74% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
USA 1,850 3.25% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 602 1.06% 36,420 5.02% 269,739 4.82%
Valid Votes 56,848 95.83% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,473 4.17% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 59,321 68.95% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 86,029 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Kaduwela Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.6%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kaduwela Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kaduwela[1]

  Sinhalese (95.6%)
  Other (2.5%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.9%)

Religion

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The Kaduwela Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (90.4%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kaduwela Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) [1]

Religion in Kaduwela[1]

  Buddhist (90.4%)
  Roman Catholic (5.0%)
  Other Christian (1.5%)
  Muslim (1.5%)
  Hindu (1.4%)
  Other (0.2%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  15. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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