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Maharagama Polling Division

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Maharagama
Location of Maharagama
Coordinates: 6°51′17″N 79°56′18″E / 6.854785°N 79.938434°E / 6.854785; 79.938434
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total37.89 km2 (14.63 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total196,423
 • Density5,184/km2 (13,430/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01M

The Maharagama Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Maharagama has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Maharagama is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Maharagama Colombo Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 12.32% SLPP 13.30%
2015 UPFA NDF 7.09% NDF 2.69%
2010 UPFA UPFA 9.09% UPFA 3.87%
2005 UPFA UNP 11.20% UPFA 8.69%
1999 PA PA 7.47% PA 5.93%
1994 PA PA 4.93% PA 7.35%
1988 SLFP UNP 10.71% UNP 11.93%
1982 UNP UNP 7.59% UNP 3.78%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 8.80% 8/8 7.19%
Party Maharagama[4] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 71,893 65.60% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 29,688 27.09% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 5,820 5.31% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
NPP 1,165 1.06% 10,335 0.76% 49,655 0.37%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,035 0.94% 16,405 1.20% 295,797 2.23%
Valid Votes 109,601 98.98% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,129 1.02% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 110,730 82.87% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 133,614 1,670,403 15,992,568
Party Maharagama[5] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 53,327 50.62% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 51,480 48.86% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 546 0.52% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 105,353 98.86% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,220 1.14% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 106,573 82.10% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 129,801 1,612,660 15,585,942
Party Maharagama[6] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 59,360 62.32% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 35,162 36.91% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 733 0.77% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 95,255 99.20% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 768 0.80% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 96,023 79.20% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 121,247 1,541,242 15,734,587
Party Maharagama[7] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 53,681 59.37% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 36,093 39.91% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 651 0.72% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 90,425 99.00% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 910 1.00% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 91,335 76.66% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 119,137 1,486,021 14,136,979
Party Maharagama[8] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 43,584 56.54% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 27,338 35.47% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 4,168 5.41% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
SMBP 1,119 1.45% 8,209 0.85% 35,854 0.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 872 1.13% 12,821 1.33% 140,825 1.67%
Valid Votes 77,081 96.40% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 2,876 3.60% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 79,957 73.61% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 108,622 1,354,025 11,965,536
Party Maharagama[9] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 47,818 69.79% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 19,514 28.48% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,189 1.74% 13,937 1.62% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 68,521 98.10% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,328 1.90% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 69,849 68.94% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 101,317 1,259,484 11,158,880
Party Maharagama[10] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 31,396 57.69% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 20,770 38.16% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 2,260 4.15% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 54,426 98.59% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 779 1.41% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 55,205 66.04% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 83,598 1,105,583 9,283,143
Party Maharagama[11] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,967 49.46% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 23,874 43.79% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,595 4.76% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 946 1.73% 9,655 1.28% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 143 0.26% 5,030 0.67% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 54,525 98.92% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 593 1.08% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 55,118 76.98% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 71,597 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Maharagama has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Maharagama is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Maharagama Colombo Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 9.36% UNP 4.18%
2010 UPFA UPFA 8.21% UPFA 3.13%
2004 UPFA UNP 10.54% UPFA 6.68%
2001 UNP UNP 6.99% UNP 2.73%
2000 PA UNP 6.37% PA 2.26%
1994 PA PA 5.58% PA 7.51%
1989 UNP UNP 11.02% UNP 9.76%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 8.30% 7/7 5.18%
Party Maharagama[14] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPFA 64,309 68.91% 674,603 57.04% 6,853,693 59.09%
SJB 17,733 19% 387,145 32.73% 2,771,984 23.9%
JJB 7,371 7.9% 67,600 5.72% 445,958 3.84%
UNP 2,128 2.28% 30,875 2.61% 249,435 2.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,776 1.92% 22,553 1.9% 1,227,859 11.02%
Valid Votes 93,317 68.46% 1,182,776 69.2% 11,598,936 71.32%
Rejected Votes 4,931 3.62% 81,034 4.74% 744,373 4.58%
Total Polled 98,248 72.08% 1,263,810 73.94% 12,343,309 75.89%
Registered Electors 136,304 1,709,209 16,263,885
Party Maharagama[15] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,049 47.77% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 41,374 42.01% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 9,001 9.14% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,059 1.08% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 98,483 97.47% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,492 2.47% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 101,040 77.84% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 129,801 1,586,598 15,044,490
Party Maharagama[16] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,200 58.31% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 18,937 24.98% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 12,313 16.24% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 354 0.47% 7,292 0.78% 48,240 0.60%
Valid Votes 75,804 96.12% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,014 3.82% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 78,861 65.04% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 121,247 1,542,457 14,097,690
Party Maharagama[17] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,919 43.93% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 25,385 29.41% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
UNP 22,337 25.88% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 680 0.79% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 86,321 97.55% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,161 2.44% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 88,488 74.79% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 118,318 1,467,751 12,909,631
Party Maharagama[18] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 35,932 42.52% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 32,800 38.82% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 12,776 15.12% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
SU 2,106 2.49% 16,970 1.60% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 886 1.05% 24,289 2.29% 510,616 5.70%
Valid Votes 84,500 97.01% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,608 2.99% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 87,108 75.84% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 114,854 1,440,682 12,428,762
Party Maharagama[19] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 36,995 45.38% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 28,952 35.52% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 8,174 10.03% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
SU 6,302 7.73% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,095 1.34% 51,586 5.09% 375,083 4.36%
Valid Votes 81,518 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A
Party Maharagama[20] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 41,034 54.93% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 25,269 33.83% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 6,932 9.28% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 1,142 1.53% 11,454 1.24% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 321 0.43% 13,003 1.41% 51,995 0.65%
Valid Votes 74,698 97.29% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,082 2.71% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 76,780 75.78% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 101,317 1,260,686 11,163,064
Party Maharagama[21] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,042 40.24% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
MEP 19,152 34.96% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
SLFP 11,002 20.08% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,758 3.21% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 671 1.22% 7,112 0.98% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 158 0.29% 29,308 4.04% 202,016 3.61%
Valid Votes 54,783 96.24% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,138 3.76% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 56,921 69.61% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 81,774 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Maharagama Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.7%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Maharagama Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Maharagama[1]

  Sinhalese (95.7%)
  Other (2.6%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.7%)

Religion

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The Maharagama Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (92.0%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Maharagama Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) [1]

Religion in Maharagama[1]

  Buddhist (92.0%)
  Roman Catholic (3.4%)
  Other Christian (1.7%)
  Hindu (1.5%)
  Muslim (1.4%)
  Other (0.1%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Maharagama and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Maharagama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Maharagama and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Maharagama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  15. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.