Opinion polling for the 2002 French legislative election
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 9 and 16 June 2002.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.
Graphical summary
[edit]The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).
First round
[edit]The BVA poll conducted in October 1998 tested Ecology Generation (GE).
The Ipsos poll of 125 constituencies was conducted in seven categories of constituencies: 36 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 10 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, 21 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the left, 4 constituencies with left-FN duels won by the left in 1997 where the right improved upon its score and could this advance to the second round in 2002, 34 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 7 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, and 13 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the right.[1]
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | LCR | EXG | PCF | PR/ MDC |
PS | PRG/ MRG |
DVG | LV | ECO | CPNT | UDF | UMP/ RPR |
DL | DVD | RPF | MPF | FN | MNR/ MN |
EXD | REG | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 35.58% | 1.18% | 1.24% | 0.32% | 4.91% | 1.19% | 23.78% | 1.51% | 1.38% | 4.44% | 1.15% | 1.64% | 4.79% | 33.37% | 0.42% | 3.89% | 0.36% | 0.79% | 11.12% | 1.08% | 0.25% | 0.36% | 0.84% |
| CSA | 5–6 Jun 2002 | 1,004 | – | 3% | 6% | 1% | 24.5% | – | 4.5% | – | 3% | 4% | 29% | 2% | 1.5% | 15% | 1.5% | – | – | 5% | |||||
| Ipsos | 5 Jun 2002 | 1,014 | – | 3.5% | 6% | 2% | 25% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 32% | 4% | – | – | 12% | 1% | – | – | 1.5% | |||||
| Ipsos | 31 May–3 Jun 2002 | 1,869 | – | 4% | 5.5% | 2% | 24% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4.5% | 32% | 3.5% | – | – | 13% | 1.5% | – | – | 2% | |||||
| Sofres | 31 May–1 Jun 2002 | 1,000 | – | 3% | 5% | 2% | 25.5% | 6% | – | – | 5% | 31% | 5% | 13% | 1.5% | – | – | 3% | |||||||
| Ifop | 30–31 May 2002 | 950 | – | 4.5% | 5% | 2% | 24.5% | – | 5% | 1% | – | 36% | 4% | – | – | 13% | 1% | – | – | 4% | |||||
| Ipsos | 24–27 May 2002 | 1,816 | – | 4% | 6% | 1.5% | 24% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 32% | 3% | – | – | 13% | 1.5% | – | – | 2% | |||||
| Sofres | 24–25 May 2002 | 1,000 | – | 3.5% | 5% | 2% | 24.5% | 6% | – | – | 4% | 34% | 3% | 13% | 1.5% | – | – | 3.5% | |||||||
| BVA | 23–25 May 2002 | 667 | – | 3% | 6% | 2% | 26% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 27% | 5% | – | – | 13% | 1% | – | – | – | |||||
| Ipsos | 17–18 May 2002 | 951 | – | 3% | 6% | 1.5% | 24% | 7% | 0.5% | 2% | 4% | 35% | 1% | – | – | 14% | 2% | – | – | – | |||||
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 1,000 | – | 2.5% | 5% | 2% | 28% | 5.5% | – | – | 5% | 31% | 3.5% | 11.5% | 1.5% | – | – | 4.5% | |||||||
| CSA | 15–16 May 2002 | 1,005 | – | 3% | 6% | 2% | 25% | – | 4% | – | 3% | 35% | – | 3% | 13% | 2% | – | – | 4% | ||||||
| Ipsos | 10–11 May 2002 | 894 | – | 3% | 7% | 3% | 25% | 7% | 0.5% | – | 41% | – | – | 12% | 1.5% | – | – | – | |||||||
| CSA | 5 May 2002 | 1,004 | – | 3% | 6% | 1% | 27% | – | 5% | – | 3% | 35% | – | 3% | 11% | 2% | – | – | 4% | ||||||
| BVA | 28–30 Mar 2002 | 684 | – | 7% | 7% | – | 28% | 6% | 3% | – | 5% | 23% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 15% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 28 Feb–2 Mar 2002 | 708 | – | 7% | 7% | – | 30% | 5% | 3% | – | 5% | 24% | 3% | – | 3% | – | 13% | – | – | – | |||||
| Louis Harris | 1–2 Feb 2002 | 844 | – | 8% | 6% | – | 28% | 11% | 4% | – | 9% | 18% | 6% | – | 1% | – | 9% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 31 Jan–2 Feb 2002 | 821 | – | 6.5% | 6.5% | – | 28% | 6% | 4% | – | 6% | 22% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 13% | – | – | – | |||||
| Louis Harris | 4–5 Jan 2002 | 1,003 | – | 7% | 6% | – | 28% | 10% | 5% | – | 7% | 22% | 3% | – | 2% | – | 10% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 2–5 Jan 2002 | 720 | – | 6% | 6% | – | 30% | 9% | 3% | – | 6% | 21% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 11% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 29 Nov–1 Dec 2001 | 653 | – | 4% | 7% | – | 27% | 10% | 4% | – | 4% | 23% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 13% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 25–27 Oct 2001 | 661 | – | 6% | 6% | – | 27% | 10% | 2% | – | 5% | 25% | 3% | – | 4% | – | 12% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 27–29 Sep 2001 | 764 | – | 5% | 7% | – | 28% | 8% | 3% | – | 6% | 22% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 13% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 30 Aug–1 Sep 2001 | 678 | – | 6% | 6% | – | 28% | 9% | 4% | – | 7% | 22% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 9% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 5–7 Jul 2001 | 917 | – | 6% | 8% | – | 31% | 8% | 5% | – | 6% | 21% | 3% | – | 3% | – | 9% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 14–16 Jun 2001 | 682 | – | 7% | 7% | – | 30% | 9% | 3% | – | 6% | 20% | 3% | – | 6% | – | 9% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 10–12 May 2001 | 645 | – | 5% | 8% | – | 29% | 10% | 4% | – | 7% | 21% | 3% | – | 4% | – | 9% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 20–21 Apr 2001 | 738 | – | 5% | 7% | – | 28% | 12% | 3% | – | 7% | 20% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 10% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 22–24 Mar 2001 | 647 | – | 6% | 6% | – | 31% | 10% | 3% | – | 7% | 22% | 4% | – | 3% | – | 8% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 22–24 Feb 2001 | 634 | – | 6% | 8% | – | 30% | 8% | 4% | – | 6.5% | 20% | 3.5% | – | 4% | – | 10% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 1–3 Feb 2001 | 642 | – | 5% | 8% | – | 32% | 7% | 2% | – | 6.5% | 24% | 3.5% | – | 4% | – | 8% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 11–13 Jan 2001 | 621 | – | 5% | 8% | – | 31% | 6% | 3% | – | 7% | 21% | 3% | – | 4% | – | 12% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 30 Nov–2 Dec 2000 | 945 | – | 6.5% | 7.5% | – | 29% | 8% | 3% | – | 6.5% | 19% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 10.5% | – | – | – | |||||
| Ifop | 27 Nov 2000 | 803 | – | 3% | 8% | – | 27% | 14% | – | 27% | – | 8% | – | – | 10% | – | – | – | 3% | ||||||
| BVA | 8–10 Nov 2000 | 615 | – | 7% | 7% | – | 30% | 7% | 3% | – | 7.5% | 22% | 2.5% | – | 4% | – | 10% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 6–8 Oct 2000 | 601 | – | 5% | 7% | – | 28% | 7% | 3% | – | 6% | 22% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 11% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 7–9 Sep 2000 | 577 | – | 7% | 8% | – | 24% | 7.5% | 4% | – | 7% | 21% | 3.5% | – | 8% | – | 10% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 20–22 Jul 2000 | 681 | – | 6% | 8% | – | 26% | 7% | 3% | – | 6% | 23% | 4% | – | 7.5% | – | 9.5% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 15–17 Jun 2000 | 629 | – | 4.5% | 7% | – | 29% | 7% | 4% | – | 6.5% | 23% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 8% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 11–13 May 2000 | 687 | – | 5% | 9% | – | 27% | 6% | 4% | – | 8% | 21% | 4% | – | 9% | – | 7% | – | – | – | |||||
| Ipsos | 28–29 Apr 2000 | 825 | – | 3% | 9% | – | 29% | – | 8% | – | – | 36% | – | 4% | – | 9% | 2% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 13–15 Apr 2000 | 505 | – | 4.5% | 8.5% | – | 28% | 7% | 3% | – | 8% | 20% | 3% | – | 10% | – | 8% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 16–18 Mar 2000 | 621 | – | 5% | 9% | – | 27% | 7% | 4% | – | 8% | 17% | 3% | – | 11% | – | 9% | – | – | – | |||||
| Ipsos | 10–11 Mar 2000 | 920 | – | 3% | 8% | – | 29% | – | 9% | – | – | 35% | – | 6% | – | 8% | 2% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 17–19 Feb 2000 | 599 | – | 5% | 8% | – | 28.5% | 6.5% | 5% | – | 8% | 17.5% | 3% | – | 9.5% | – | 9% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 13–15 Jan 2000 | 546 | – | 5.5% | 9.5% | – | 26% | 7% | 2.5% | – | 7% | 18.5% | 2.5% | – | 11.5% | – | 10% | – | – | – | |||||
| Sofres | 27–29 Dec 1999 | 995 | – | 2% | 9% | – | 29% | 8% | 3% | – | 25% | – | 12% | – | 10% | – | – | – | 2% | ||||||
| BVA | 9–11 Dec 1999 | 601 | – | 6.5% | 9% | – | 26% | 8% | 3% | – | 8% | 19% | 3% | – | 9.5% | – | 8% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 18–20 Nov 1999 | 926 | – | 5% | 9% | – | 28% | 6% | 2% | – | 9% | 17% | 4% | – | 9% | – | 11% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 14–16 Oct 1999 | 608 | – | 6% | 9% | – | 26% | 6% | 2% | – | 8% | 16% | 3% | – | 11% | – | 13% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 16–18 Sep 1999 | 673 | – | 5.5% | 8% | – | 26% | 7% | 3.5% | – | 6% | 17% | 3% | – | 12% | – | 12% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 15–17 Jul 1999 | 599 | – | 6% | 7% | 27% | – | 7% | 3% | – | 8% | 15% | 3% | – | 14% | – | 10% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 17–19 Jun 1999 | 648 | – | 6% | 8% | 27% | – | 10% | 3% | – | 9% | 11% | 3% | – | 16% | – | 7% | – | – | – | |||||
| BVA | 11–13 Mar 1999 | 609 | – | 6% | 8% | – | 26% | – | 8% | 2% | – | 7% | 22% | 6% | – | – | – | 15% | – | – | – | – | |||
| BVA | 14–16 Jan 1999 | 688 | – | 5% | 8% | – | 29% | 7% | 2% | – | 7% | 24% | 4% | – | – | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| BVA | 10–13 Dec 1998 | 589 | – | 5% | 8% | – | 29% | 7% | 3% | – | 7% | 24% | 6% | – | – | – | 11% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| BVA | 19–21 Nov 1998 | 643 | – | 5% | 9% | – | 30% | 6% | 3% | – | 7% | 22% | 5% | – | – | – | 13% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| BVA | 15–17 Oct 1998 | 928 | – | 5% | 8% | – | 31% | – | 5% | 4% | – | 8% | 19% | 5% | – | – | – | 15% | – | – | – | – | |||
| CSA | 27–28 Mar 1998 | 1,005 | – | 3.5% | 9% | 32% | 5% | 3% | – | 8% | 18% | – | 5.5% | – | – | 15% | – | – | – | 1% | |||||
| 1997 election | 25 May 1997 | – | 32.08% | (EXG) | (EXG) | 2.52% | 9.94% | (DVG) | 23.53% | 1.45% | 2.81% | (ECO) | 6.81% | – | 14.19% | 15.69% | – | 6.63% | – | (DVD) | 14.94% | – | 0.10% | (DIV) | 1.39% |
- In 125 constituencies
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
LO | LCR | EXG | PCF | PR/ MDC |
PS | PRG | DVG | LV | ECO | UDF | UMP/ RPR |
DL | DVD | FN | MNR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos | 10–13 May 2002 | 689 | 3% | 5% | 3% | 24% | 6% | 1% | 42% | 14% | 2% | |||||||
Second round seat projections
[edit]Projections marked with an asterisk (*) are for 555 deputies representing metropolitan France. The Ipsos projection on 12 June was constructed using interviews in 198 constituencies where the outcome appeared uncertain.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | PCF | PS | PRG | DVG | LV | UDF | UMP | DL | DVD | RPF | MPF | FN | MNR | REG | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 39.69% | 21 | 140 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 355 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ipsos* | 12 Jun 2002 | 1,022 | – | 14–22 | 115–145 | 1–5 | 24–30 | 384–414 | 0 | – | – | – | ||||||
| CSA | 5–6 Jun 2002 | 1,004 | – | 16–26 | 140–196 | 350–410 | 0–2 | – | 3–11 | |||||||||
| Ipsos* | 5 Jun 2002 | 1,014 | – | 174–216 | 339–381 | 0–4 | – | – | ||||||||||
| Ipsos* | 31 May–3 Jun 2002 | 1,869 | – | 158–196 | 359–397 | 0–4 | – | – | ||||||||||
| Sofres* | 31 May–1 Jun 2002 | 1,000 | – | 164–238 | 316–388 | 0–4 | – | – | ||||||||||
| Ipsos* | 24–27 May 2002 | 1,816 | – | 167–208 | 347–388 | 0–4 | – | – | ||||||||||
| Sofres* | 24–25 May 2002 | 1,000 | – | 155–207 | 348–400 | 0 | – | – | – | |||||||||
| Sofres* | 17–18 May 2002 | 1,000 | – | 198–238 | 306–372 | 0 | – | – | – | |||||||||
| 1997 election | 1 Jun 1997 | – | 29.03% | 38 | 241 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 106 | 132 | – | 13 | – | (DVD) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
By second round configuration
[edit]The Ipsos poll of 125 constituencies was conducted in seven categories of constituencies: 36 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 10 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, 21 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the left, 4 constituencies with left-FN duels won by the left in 1997 where the right improved upon its score and could this advance to the second round in 2002, 34 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 7 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, and 13 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the right.[1]
Older values provided by Ipsos in 198 uncertain constituencies were constructed using older national polls conducted by the pollster.
PS/PCF/LV–UMP/UDF
[edit]Ifop specifically named the PS and UMP. Sofres specifically named the PCF, PS, and LV, and the UMP (UDF, RPR, and DVD). In 2000, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV, and the RPR, UDF, and DL. In the polls conducted from 10 to 11 May 2002 and of 198 constituencies, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV, and the RPR, UDF, and DL. Thereafter, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV, and the UMP and UDF.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PS/ PCF/LV |
UMP/ UDF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ifop | 6–7 Jun 2002 | 945 | 44% | 56% |
| Ipsos | 5 Jun 2002 | 1,014 | 48% | 52% |
| Ipsos | 31 May–3 Jun 2002 | 1,869 | 47% | 53% |
| Sofres | 31 May–1 Jun 2002 | 1,000 | 46% | 54% |
| Ipsos | 24–27 May 2002 | 1,816 | 47% | 53% |
| Sofres | 24–25 May 2002 | 1,000 | 45% | 55% |
| Ipsos | 17–18 May 2002 | 951 | 45% | 55% |
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 1,000 | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Ipsos | 10–11 May 2002 | 894 | 47% | 53% |
| Ipsos | 28–29 Apr 2000 | 825 | 51% | 49% |
| Ipsos | 10–11 Mar 2000 | 920 | 50% | 50% |
- In 198 constituencies
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PS/ PCF/LV |
UMP/ UDF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos | 12 Jun 2002 | 1,022 | 47% | 53% |
| Ipsos | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 48% | 52% |
| Ipsos | 5 Jun 2002 | – | 50% | 50% |
| Ipsos | 31 May–3 Jun 2002 | – | 51% | 49% |
- In 125 constituencies
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PS/ PCF/LV |
UMP/ UDF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos | 10–13 May 2002 | 689 | 45% | 55% |
PS/PCF/LV–UMP/UDF–FN
[edit]Ifop specifically named the PS, UMP, and FN. Sofres specifically named the PCF, PS, and LV; the UMP (UDF, RPR, and DVD); and the FN and MNR. In the polls conducted from 10 to 11 May 2002 and of 198 constituencies, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV; the RPR, UDF, and DL; and the FN. Thereafter, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV; the UMP and UDF; and the FN.
Ipsos polls, denoted with an asterisk (*), only tested this scenario in constituencies where Jean-Marie Le Pen and Bruno Mégret together obtained at least 12.5% of the vote in the preceding presidential election.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PS/ PCF/LV |
UMP/ UDF |
FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ifop | 6–7 Jun 2002 | 945 | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Ipsos* | 5 Jun 2002 | 1,014 | 39% | 45% | 16% |
| Ipsos* | 31 May–3 Jun 2002 | 1,869 | 40% | 44% | 16% |
| Sofres | 31 May–1 Jun 2002 | 1,000 | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Ipsos* | 24–27 May 2002 | 1,816 | 39% | 44% | 17% |
| Sofres | 24–25 May 2002 | 1,000 | 41% | 47% | 12% |
| Ipsos* | 17–18 May 2002 | 951 | 38% | 45% | 17% |
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 1,000 | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Ipsos* | 10–11 May 2002 | 894 | 40% | 46% | 14% |
- In 79 of 125 constituencies
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PS/ PCF/LV |
UMP/ UDF |
FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos | 10–13 May 2002 | 689 | 40% | 44% | 16% |
UMP–FN
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
UMP | FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ifop | 6–7 Jun 2002 | 945 | 86% | 14% |
PS–FN
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PS | FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ifop | 6–7 Jun 2002 | 945 | 79% | 21% |
By constituency
[edit]First round
[edit]Bouches-du-Rhône's 1st
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Mireille Mavrides PCF |
Marie-Arlette Carlotti PS |
Roger Guichard PR |
Roland Blum UMP–DL |
Marie-Claude Aucouturier FN |
Pascal Munier MNR |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 35.92% | 4.24% | 25.92% | 0.84% | 39.89% | 18.88% | 1.98% | 8.25% |
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 500 | – | 2% | 27% | 4% | 40% | 15% | 4% | 8% |
Bouches-du-Rhône's 3rd
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Jean-Paul Nostriano PCF |
Gabriel Malauzat PS |
Philippe Sanmarco DVG |
Yannick Lopez LV |
Jean Roatta UMP–DL |
Jackie Blanc FN |
Nicole Cantrel MNR |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 38.78% | 4.76% | 21.81% | 5.02% | 2.38% | 36.28% | 18.80% | 1.70% | 9.26% |
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 500 | – | 4% | 23% | 4% | 5% | 36% | 14% | 6% | 8% |
Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Sylvie Moyen LO |
Frédéric Dutoit PCF |
Patrick Mennucci PS |
Karim Zéribi PR |
François Franceschi UMP–RPF |
Jean-Pierre Baumann FN |
Hubert Savon MNR |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 43.60% | 0.77% | 25.86% | 17.96% | 4.28% | 16.60% | 24.44% | 3.83% | 6.27% |
| CSA | 27–28 May 2002 | 500 | – | 5% | 19% | 22% | 3% | 11% | 26% | 5% | 9% |
Bouches-du-Rhône's 5th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Marie-Yves Le Dret PCF |
David Gomes DVG |
Jean-Luc Bennahmias LV–PS |
Renaud Muselier UMP–RPR |
Marie-Odile Rayé FN |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 36.88% | 5.39% | 6.03% | 16.97% | 42.82% | 18.14% | 10.65% |
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 500 | – | 4.5% | – | 23% | 44% | 16% | 12.5% |
Bouches-du-Rhône's 8th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Christophe Masse PS–PCF |
Jacques Rocca Serra UDF–UMP |
Stéphane Durbec FN |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 37.94% | 35.66% | 26.81% | 21.09% | 16.44% |
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 500 | – | 33% | 29% | 21.5% | 16.5% |
Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 2nd
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Georges Labazée PS |
Jean Saint-Josse CPNT |
François Bayrou UDF |
Marie-France Galvez FN |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 28.14% | 31.41% | 9.43% | 41.79% | 6.59% | 10.76% |
| CSA | 3–4 Jun 2002 | 502 | – | 29% | 14% | 36.5% | 10% | 10.5% |
Paris's 11th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Yves Cochet LV–PS |
Dominique Versini UMP |
Yves Ogé UDF |
Nicole Catala DVD |
Yves de Coatgoureden FN |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 28.70% | 38.07% | 24.94% | 4.85% | 13.71% | 6.21% | 12.22% |
| CSA | 31 May–1 Jun 2002 | 502 | – | 39% | 21% | 2% | 19% | 6% | 13% |
Paris's 16th
[edit]Bernard Pons was eligible to continue to the second round, but instead announced his retirement from politics after the first round, allowing Françoise de Panafieu to win unopposed on 16 June 2002.[2]
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Nelly Oehlhaffen PS |
Atanase Périfan DVD |
Françoise de Panafieu DVD |
Bernard Pons UMP |
Danièle Lançon FN |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 29.36% | 15.55% | 4.99% | 40.83% | 22.34% | 6.10% | 10.18% |
| CSA | 27–29 May 2002 | 501 | – | 13% | 2.5% | 40% | 24% | 9% | 11.5% |
Tarn-et-Garonne's 1st
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Joëlle Greder PCF |
Roland Garrigues PS |
Philippe Debaigt LV |
Thierry Cabanes CPNT |
Brigitte Barèges UMP |
Liliane Garcia FN |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 27.56% | 2.22% | 32.35% | 2.56% | 3.59% | 38.95% | 12.03% | 8.30% |
| CSA | 3–4 Jun 2002 | 500 | – | 4% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 36% | 12% | 8% |
Vaucluse's 4th
[edit]Jean-Pierre Lambertin was eligible to continue through to the second round, but instead withdrew his candidacy.[3]
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Jean-Pierre Lambertin PS–PCF–LV |
Thierry Mariani UMP |
Jacques Bompard FN |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 29.74% | 25.06% | 35.23% | 34.06% | 5.65% |
| CSA | 29–30 May 2002 | 539 | – | 27% | 33% | 32% | 8% |
Essonne's 1st
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Bruno Piriou PCF |
Manuel Valls PS |
Jacques Picard LV |
Serge Dassault UMP |
Gaëtan de Fresnoye FN |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 38.84% | 4.60% | 36.34% | 3.52% | 35.95% | 11.20% | 8.39% |
| CSA | 30 May 2002 | 501 | – | 7% | 28% | 8% | 30% | 14% | 13% |
Seine-Saint-Denis's 9th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Gilles Garnier PCF |
Élisabeth Guigou PS |
Anne Déo LV |
Nicole Rivoire UDF |
Georgia Vincent UMP |
Marie-Estelle Préjean FN |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 38.62% | 10.22% | 33.90% | 4.62% | 0.00% | 26.59% | 15.36% | 9.32% |
| CSA | 3–4 Jun 2002 | 500 | – | 9% | 36% | 6% | 5% | 16% | 15% | 13% |
Val-d'Oise's 5th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Robert Hue PCF–PS–LV |
Georges Mothron UMP |
Micheline Bruna FN |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 9 Jun 2002 | – | 39.24% | 38.63% | 35.53% | 14.38% | 11.47% |
| CSA | 25–29 May 2002 | 501 | – | 36% | 35% | 15% | 14% |
Second round
[edit]Bouches-du-Rhône's 1st
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Marie-Arlette Carlotti PS |
Roland Blum UMP–DL |
Marie-Claude Aucouturier FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 43.47% | 39.82% | 60.18% | – |
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 500 | – | 40% | 60% | – |
| 38% | 43% | 19% | ||||
| – | 81% | 19% |
Bouches-du-Rhône's 3rd
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Gabriel Malauzat PS |
Jean Roatta UMP–DL |
Jackie Blanc FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 45.97% | 42.83% | 57.17% | – |
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 500 | – | 42% | 58% | – |
| 40% | 44% | 16% | ||||
| – | 78% | 22% |
Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Frédéric Dutoit PCF |
Patrick Mennucci PS |
François Franceschi UMP–RPF |
Jean-Pierre Baumann FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 49.97% | 64.80% | – | – | 35.20% |
| CSA | 27–28 May 2002 | 500 | – | 61% | – | – | 39% |
| 48% | – | 24% | 28% | ||||
| – | 62% | – | 38% | ||||
| – | 50% | 23% | 27% |
Bouches-du-Rhône's 5th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Jean-Luc Bennahmias LV–PS |
Renaud Muselier UMP–RPR |
Marie-Odile Rayé FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 47.90% | – | 75.54% | 24.46% |
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 500 | – | – | 83% | 17% |
| 34% | 50% | 16% | ||||
| 37% | 63% | – |
Bouches-du-Rhône's 8th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Christophe Masse PS–PCF |
Jacques Rocca Serra UDF–UMP |
Stéphane Durbec FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 42.35% | 44.56% | 36.84% | 18.60% |
| Sofres | 17–18 May 2002 | 500 | – | 41% | 38% | 21% |
| 50% | 50% | – | ||||
| – | 73% | 27% |
Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 2nd
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Georges Labazée PS |
Jean Saint-Josse CPNT |
François Bayrou UDF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 31.91% | 44.42% | – | 55.58% |
| CSA | 3–4 Jun 2002 | 502 | – | 45% | – | 55% |
| 39% | 17% | 44% |
Paris's 11th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Yves Cochet LV–PS |
Dominique Versini UMP |
Nicole Catala DVD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 31.62% | 51.83% | 48.17% | – |
| CSA | 31 May–1 Jun 2002 | 502 | – | 52% | 48% | – |
| 47% | 27% | 26% | ||||
| 51% | – | 49% |
Paris's 16th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Nelly Oehlhaffen PS |
Françoise de Panafieu DVD |
Bernard Pons UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 54.48% | – | 100.00% | – |
| CSA | 27–29 May 2002 | 501 | – | – | 64% | 36% |
| 19% | 50% | 31% |
Tarn-et-Garonne's 1st
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Roland Garrigues PS |
Brigitte Barèges UMP |
Liliane Garcia FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 29.20% | 45.85% | 54.15% | – |
| CSA | 3–4 Jun 2002 | 500 | – | 47% | 53% | – |
| 43% | 47% | 10% |
Vaucluse's 4th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Jean-Pierre Lambertin PS–PCF–LV |
Thierry Mariani UMP |
Jacques Bompard FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 34.13% | – | 57.62% | 42.38% |
| CSA | 29–30 May 2002 | 539 | – | – | 60% | 40% |
| 30% | 36% | 34% |
Essonne's 1st
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Manuel Valls PS |
Serge Dassault UMP |
Gaëtan de Fresnoye FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 41.47% | 52.97% | 47.03% | – |
| CSA | 30 May 2002 | 501 | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| 50% | 39% | 11% |
Seine-Saint-Denis's 9th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Élisabeth Guigou PS |
Georgia Vincent UMP |
Marie-Estelle Préjean FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 44.38% | 56.40% | 43.60% | – |
| CSA | 3–4 Jun 2002 | 500 | – | 62% | 38% | – |
| 58% | 27% | 15% |
Val-d'Oise's 5th
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Robert Hue PCF–PS–LV |
Georges Mothron UMP |
Micheline Bruna FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 election | 16 Jun 2002 | – | 40.88% | 49.62% | 50.38% | – |
| CSA | 25–29 May 2002 | 501 | – | 50% | 50% | – |
| 45% | 42% | 13% |
See also
[edit]- Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2002
- Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2007
- Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2012
- Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2017
References
[edit]- ^ a b "Les 125 circonscriptions sensibles". Ipsos. 14 May 2002. Retrieved 10 March 2018.
- ^ "A Paris, droite et gauche sont au coude-à-coude". Les Échos. 11 June 2002. Retrieved 11 March 2018.
- ^ "Echos de campagne". La Dépêche du Midi. 11 June 2002. Retrieved 11 March 2018.
External links
[edit]- Notices of the French polling commission (in French)