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Opinion polling for the 2012 French legislative election

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This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 10 and 17 June 2012.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Graphical summary

[edit]

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the nine major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

First round

[edit]

The comparison for the Left Front with 2007 is made against the French Communist Party and the New Centre against "presidential majority" candidates. Hunting, Fishing, Nature and Traditions and the Movement for France, which were counted individually in 2007, are included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 2.47%.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG MRC PS PRG DVG EELV AEI ECO MoDem AC PR NC UMP DVD DLR FN EXD REG DIV
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 42.78% 0.98% (EXG) 6.91% (DVG) 29.35% 1.65% 3.40% 5.46% (ECO) 0.96% 1.77% 0.60% 1.24% 2.20% 27.12% 3.51% (DVD) 13.60% 0.19% 0.96% 0.52%
YouGov 3–8 Jun 2012 1,252 42% 1% 6% 39% 3% 32% 18% 1%
BVA[permanent dead link] 6–7 Jun 2012 1,020 1% 1% 8% 32.5% 4% 0.5% 4% 32.5% 1% 15.5%
Ipsos 6–7 Jun 2012 1,017 40% 1.5% 8% 31.5% 5% 2% 34.5% 15.5% 2%
OpinionWay 6–7 Jun 2012 1,791 39% 1% 8% 32% 5.5% 1% 2% 33.5% 16% 1%
Harris 5–7 Jun 2012 1,043 1% 7% 34% 5% 3% 33% 15% 2%
BVA[permanent dead link] 5–6 Jun 2012 1,182 1% 0.5% 9% 32% 4.5% 1% 3.5% 32% 1% 15.5%
CSA 5–6 Jun 2012 875 1% 0.5% 8% 32.5% 5% 3% 32.5% 0.5% 14% 3%
OpinionWay 4–5 Jun 2012 1,697 40% 1% 8.5% 31% 5.5% 1% 2% 35% 15% 1%
TNS Sofres 1–3 Jun 2012 1,000 1.5% 7.5% 31.5% 5% 2% 35% 15% 2.5%
Ipsos 1–2 Jun 2012 894 38% 1.5% 7% 32.5% 6% 3% 34% 14% 2%
LH2 1–2 Jun 2012 960 0.5% 1% 8% 30% 1.5% 5% 5% 1% 30.5% 3% 14.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 May–1 Jun 2012 874 1.5% 8% 33% 4% 3% 30.5% 3.5% 15% 0.5% 1%
BVA[permanent dead link] 30–31 May 2012 1,139 0.5% 0.5% 9% 33% 4% <0.5% 4.5% 32% 0.5% 16%
CSA 29–30 May 2012 852 1% <0.5% 10% 30% 5% 3% 31.5% 0.5% 14% 5%
Ifop 25–29 May 2012 971 0.5% 1% 7% 33% 1% 3.5% 1% 4% 1% 32% 0.5% 15.5%
Ipsos 25–26 May 2012 962 38% 1.5% 8% 31% 6% 2% 35% 15% 1.5%
OpinionWay 23–25 May 2012 1,836 38% 1% 8% 32% 4% 1% 4% 31% 16% 3%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–19 May 2012 860 0.5% 0.5% 7% 34.5% 4.5% 4% 32.5% 0.5% 16%
BVA[permanent dead link] 9–10 May 2012 1,147 <0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 30% 4.5% <0.5% 5% 32.5% 1% 16%
CSA 9–10 May 2012 899 1% 0.5% 10% 32% 4% 4% 33% 0.5% 12% 3%
BVA[permanent dead link] 6 May 2012 857 0.5% 10.5% 35% 4% 33% 17%
CSA 6 May 2012 1,016 1% 0% 10% 31% 4% 6% 30% 1% 15% 2%
Harris 6 May 2012 1,086 1% 7% 26% 2% 5% 5% 32% 2% 17% <0.5% 3%
Ifop-Fiducial 6 May 2012 1,968 0.5% 1% 8% 31% 5% 4.5% 1.5% 30% 0.5% 18%
2007 election 10 Jun 2007 39.58% 3.41% (EXG) 4.29% (DVG) 24.73% 1.32% 1.97% 3.25% 0.80% 7.61% (UMP) 2.37% 39.54% 5.65% (DVD) 4.29% 0.39% 0.51% 1.03%

Second round seat projections

[edit]

Projections marked with an asterisk (*) were calculated based only on the first round results, not surveys before the second round.

The Ipsos survey conducted from 13 to 14 June consisted of 1,015 respondents in 157 constituencies with left-right duels, 775 respondents in 36 constituencies EELV-right duels, and 685 respondents in 27 constituencies in constituencies with a left-right-FN triangulaire.

The comparison for the Left Front with 2007 is made against the French Communist Party. Movement for France, which was counted individually in 2007, is included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 9 otherwise.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. FG MRC PS DVG PRG EELV MoDem AC PR NC UMP DVD FN EXD REG DIV
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 44.60% 10 (DVG) 280 22 12 17 2 2 6 12 194 15 2 1 2 0
BVA* 15 Jun 2012 9–14 303–325 12–18 1–2 219–247 1–5
CSA 13–14 Jun 2012 1,005 8–11 287–330 13–17 1–2 225–255 1–4
Harris 13–14 Jun 2012 1,067 8–10 287–325 11–17 0–2 202–263 0–3 0–4
Ipsos 13–14 Jun 2012 2,475 12–13 3–5 284–313 11–13 14–20 1–3 4–6 14–18 192–226 0–3 0–2
OpinionWay 13–14 Jun 2012 1,090 8–12 295–330 12–18 0–2 15–22 200–230 0–4 0–3
TNS Sofres 13–14 Jun 2012 1,000 10–12 300–330 14–18 0–2 210–240 0–3 2–3
Ifop* 13 Jun 2012 8–10 297–332 13–20 1–2 210–247 0–3 2–5
Ipsos 6–7 Jun 2012 1,017 23–26 2–4 243–285 12–15 12–16 0–3 4–7 13–16 214–262 0–3
OpinionWay 6–7 Jun 2012 1,791 18–22 2–4 290–320 16–22 0–2 209–247 0–4
Harris 5–7 Jun 2012 1,043 15–20 275–302 16–21 0–2 229–267 0–3 0
OpinionWay 4–5 Jun 2012 1,697 20–24 1–3 271–296 18–24 0–2 230–267 0–2
TNS Sofres 1–3 Jun 2012 1,000 13–18 280–310 12–17 0–2 235–265 0–5
Ipsos 1–2 Jun 2012 894 21–23 2–4 249–291 14–16 17–23 0–3 2–5 9–14 209–255 0–3
2007 election 17 Jun 2007 40.02% 15 (DVG) 186 15 7 4 3 (UMP) 22 313 10 0 0 1 1

By constituency

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First round

[edit]

Ain's 5th

[edit]

No fieldwork date(s) were given for this poll; the date listed below is the publication date.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Mylène Ferri
FG
Josiane Exposito
PSEELV
Michel Perraud
PR
Damien Abad
UMPNC
Patrick Sokolowski
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 42.82% 7.32% 28.51% 9.49% 31.81% 17.99% 4.88%
CSA 1 Jun 2012 501 8% 27% 10% 28% 19% 8%

Aisne's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Guy Fontaine
FG
Anne Ferreira
PS
Paul Gironde
MoDem
Xavier Bertrand
UMP
Yannick Lejeune
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 38.11% 4.74% 35.47% 1.39% 38.89% 16.29% 3.22%
OpinionWay 29–31 May 2012 552 6% 30% 2% 41% 17% 4%

Alpes-Maritimes's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Robert Injey
FG
Patrick Allemand
PS
Éric Ciotti
UMP
Jacques Peyrat
ERFN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 44.08% 4.58% 28.68% 43.89% 16.16% 6.70%
OpinionWay 24–26 May 2012 505 9% 25% 46% 12% 8%

Alpes-Maritimes's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Frédérique Cattaert
FG
Fabrice Lachenmaier
PRG
André Aschieri
EELVPS
Charles-Ange Ginésy
UMP
Jean-Marc Degioanni
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 40.99% 4.11% 7.04% 28.72% 35.78% 21.06% 3.29%
OpinionWay 1–2 Jun 2012 550 4% 1% 34% 40% 18% 3%

Alpes-Maritimes's 3rd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Roseline Grac
FG
Christine Dorejo
PS
Rudy Salles
NCUMP
Gaël Nofri
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 45.19% 5.01% 23.01% 36.80% 22.75% 12.42%
OpinionWay 1–2 Jun 2012 555 6% 22% 40% 18% 14%

Alpes-Maritimes's 4th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Francis Tujague
FG
Pascale Gérard
PS
Jean-Claude Guibal
UMP
Stéphane Cherki
DVD
Lydia Schenardi
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 42.42% 10.18% 19.79% 32.70% 9.63% 22.90% 4.80%
OpinionWay 29–31 May 2012 554 12% 18% 37% 7% 22% 4%

Aude's 2nd

[edit]

Didier Codorniou was eligible to continue through the second round, but instead withdrew and supported Marie-Hélène Fabre after the first round.[1]

The TNS Sofres poll tested Jean-Pierre Nadal as the candidate of the FN; Laure-Emmanuelle Philippe was ultimately invested by the party.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jean-Paul Tournissa
FG
Marie-Hélène Fabre
PS
Didier Codorniou
DVG
Michel Py
UMP
Laure-Emmanuelle Philippe
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 38.37% 5.91% 35.47% 21.89% 23.14% 18.80% 3.42%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–2 Jun 2012 604 9% 25% 20% 27% 17% 2%
TNS Sofres 11–12 May 2012 605 8% 23% 23% 30% 16% 0%
28% 26% 30% 16% 0%

Aveyron's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Guilhem Serieys
FG
Monique Bultel-Herment
PS
Stéphane Mazars
PRG
Bruno Berardi
EELV
Yves Censi
UMP
Jean-Guillaume Remise
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 34.00% 5.54% 28.27% 14.18% 3.02% 39.83% 8.16% 1.01%
Ifop 1–2 Jun 2012 602 8.5% 25.5% 13% 3% 40.5% 9% 0.5%

Bouches-du-Rhône's 5th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Frédéric Dutoit
FG
Marie-Arlette Carlotti
PS
Michèle Rubirola-Blanc
EELV
Hélène Coulomb
MoDem
Renaud Muselier
UMP
Jean-Pierre Baumann
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 41.16% 7.59% 34.43% 3.42% 1.64% 32.45% 16.27% 4.19%
Ifop-Fiducial 29–30 May 2012 504 8.5% 34% 3.5% 2.5% 36% 13.5% 2%

Bouches-du-Rhône's 9th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Pierre Mingaud
FG
Christian Musumeci
DVG
Denis Grandjean
EELVPS
Jean-Marie Orihuel
MoDem
Bernard Deflesselles
UMP
Joëlle Mélin
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 40.99% 14.91% 3.86% 19.03% 1.38% 35.28% 22.25% 3.29%
CSA 23–24 May 2012 603 16% 5% 11% 6% 39% 19.5% 3.5%

Bouches-du-Rhône's 13th

[edit]

René Raimondi was eligible to continue through the second round, but abandoned his candidacy to the benefit of Gaby Charroux.[2]

The CSA poll tested José Rodriguez as the candidate of the FN; Béatrix Espallardo was ultimately invested by the party.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Gaby Charroux
FG
René Raimondi
PS
Paul Lombard
DVG
Véronique Coulomb
EELV
Michèle Vasserot
UMP
Béatrix Espallardo
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 40.31% 27.41% 24.82% 4.04% 1.99% 14.77% 21.69% 5.28%
CSA 2–3 Feb 2012 500 35% 23% 12% 5% 18% 7% 0%

Charente-Maritime's 1st

[edit]

In the Ifop-Fiducial poll conducted in December 2011, no Europe Ecology – The Greens or National Front candidates were named, François Drageon was described as a miscellaneous right candidate, and Bruno Leal was tested as a candidate of the Democratic Movement.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Esther Memain
FG
Ségolène Royal
PSPRG
Olivier Falorni
DVG
Brigitte Desveaux
EELV
Arnaud Jaulin
MoDem
François Drageon
PR
Sally Chadjaa
UMP
Marie-Françoise de Lacoste-Lareymondie
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 39.34% 3.40% 32.03% 28.91% 3.68% 1.79% 1.88% 19.47% 6.80% 2.02%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–4 Jun 2012 603 4.5% 36% 22% 3% 2.5% 2% 21.5% 7% 1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–29 May 2012 604 3% 33% 26% 4% 3% 2.5% 19.5% 9% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–3 Dec 2011 602 6% 23% 18% 9% 5.5% 5% 17% 5% 11.5%

Corse-du-Sud's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Paul-Antoine Luciani
FG
Simon Renucci
CSD
Jean-Marc Cresp
PR
Laurent Marcangeli
UMP
José Risticoni
FN
Romain Colonna
FC
Paul-Mathieu Leonetti
CL
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 43.00% 7.57% 29.39% 4.83% 30.75% 10.27% 9.00% 6.63% 1.56%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–26 May 2012 502 9% 26% 2% 32% 11.5% 13% 4.5% 2%

Corse-du-Sud's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Dominique Bucchini
FG
Paul-Marie Bartoli
PRGPS
Camille de Rocca Serra
UMP
Bernard Angelini
FN
Jean-Christophe Angelini
FC
Paul Quastana
CL
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 39.01% 10.86% 16.81% 33.00% 9.83% 21.23% 8.04% 0.23%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–26 May 2012 502 14% 18% 33% 11% 20% 3.5% 0.5%

Haute-Corse's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Michel Stefani
FG
Jean Zuccarelli
PRGPS
Sauveur Gandolfi-Scheit
UMP
Tony Cardi
FN
Gilles Simeoni
FC
Ghjuvan Filippu Antolini
CL
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 39.04% 7.14% 23.55% 31.19% 8.00% 24.73% 3.30% 2.08%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–26 May 2012 500 10.5% 22.5% 32% 9% 21.5% 4% 0.5%

Haute-Corse's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Marie-Jeanne Fedi
FG
Paul Giacobbi
PRGPS
Stéphanie Grimaldi
UMP
Estelle Massoni
FN
Saveriu Luciani
FC
Petru Antone Tomasi
CL
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 38.14% 5.80% 43.60% 24.78% 8.35% 10.79% 6.19% 0.49%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–26 May 2012 504 7.5% 32% 30% 10% 11% 9% 0.5%

Gard's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Danielle Floutier
FG
Katy Guyot
PS
Étienne Mourrut
UMP
Gilbert Collard
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 36.64% 5.18% 32.87% 23.89% 34.57% 3.48%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–5 Jun 2012 604 8% 29.5% 29.5% 29.5% 3.5%

Haute-Garonne's 3rd

[edit]

After the first round, Alain Fillola, though eligible to continue to the second round, withdrew his candidacy.[3]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Martine Croquette
FG
Alain Fillola
DVG
François Simon
EELVPS
Jean-Luc Moudenc
UMP
Sandrine Cabioch
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 37.59% 6.42% 21.36% 22.24% 35.14% 7.81% 7.02%
BVA 30 May–2 Jun 2012 611 10% 17% 22% 38% 7% 6%

Gironde's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Brigitte Comard
FG
Michèle Delaunay
PS
Marie-Claude Noël
EELV
Nicolas Florian
UMP
François Jay
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 42.51% 7.14% 43.50% 6.24% 34.28% 5.77% 3.06%
Ifop-Fiducial 30–31 May 2012 604 8% 37% 7% 38% 6.5% 3.5%

Nord's 8th

[edit]

In the Ifop poll conducted in May 2012, no National Front candidate was named.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Dominique Baert
DVG
Slimane Tir
EELVPS
Salima Saa
UMP
Samuel Lenclud
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 55.66% 36.46% 21.40% 13.17% 20.65% 8.32%
Ifop Archived 1 March 2018 at the Wayback Machine 9–10 May 2012 503 17% 26% 18% 19% 20%

Pas-de-Calais's 11th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jean-Luc Mélenchon
FG
Philippe Kemel
PS
Jean Urbaniak
MoDemUMP
Marine Le Pen
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 42.50% 21.46% 23.72% 7.86% 42.26% 4.69%
OpinionWay 4–5 Jun 2012 561 24% 25% 15% 32% 4%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–4 Jun 2012 604 25% 21.5% 13% 37% 3.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–17 May 2012 602 29% 18% 16% 34% 3%

Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Daniel Labouret
FG
Nathalie Chabanne
PS
Eurydice Bled
EELV
François Bayrou
MoDem
Éric Saubatte
UMP
Jessica Bernadez
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 37.20% 5.24% 34.90% 2.74% 23.63% 21.72% 9.32% 2.43%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–2 Jun 2012 605 6% 32% 3% 30% 19% 8.5% 1.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–23 May 2012 603 6.5% 31% 2.5% 29% 23% 7% 1%
OpinionWay 22–23 May 2012 530 8% 30% 3% 24% 23% 11% 1%

Pyrénées-Orientales's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jean Vila
FG
Jacques Cresta
DVG
Agnès Langevine
EELV
Christine Espert
MoDem
Daniel Mach
UMP
Louis Aliot
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 41.01% 16.35% 24.62% 1.73% 1.28% 28.19% 24.13% 3.69%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 May–2 Jun 2012 604 18% 20% 2.5% 3% 29.5% 23% 4%

Pyrénées-Orientales's 2nd

[edit]

Irina Kortanek was eligible to continue through the second round, but instead withdrew and supported Fernand Siré after the first round.[4]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Françoise Fiter
FG
Toussainte Calabrèse
PS
Marie-Paule Ricard
EELV
Joseph Puig
MoDem
Fernand Siré
UMP
Irina Kortanek
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 39.29% 6.58% 32.14% 1.77% 5.33% 27.70% 23.59% 2.88%
Ifop-Fiducial 29–30 May 2012 602 7% 31% 3% 5.5% 28% 20% 5.5%

Pyrénées-Orientales's 3rd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Daniel Borreill
FG
Ségolène Neuville
PS
Jean-Marc Panis
EELV
Jean Castex
UMP
Bruno Lemaire
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 38.68% 7.23% 37.65% 2.84% 30.52% 18.67% 3.09%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–26 May 2012 606 12% 32% 4% 30% 19% 3%

Pyrénées-Orientales's 4th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Nicolas Garcia
FG
Pierre Aylagas
PS
Bruno Rouane
EELV
Jacqueline Irles
UMP
Marie-Thérèse Costa-Fesenbeck
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 37.34% 12.55% 35.98% 2.54% 27.16% 18.35% 3.42%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–24 May 2012 603 14% 35% 2.5% 28.5% 19% 1%

Rhône's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Claude Lanher
FG
Philippe Meirieu
EELVPS
Thierry Braillard
PRG
Florence Maury
MoDem
Michel Havard
UMP
André Morin
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 44.88% 5.73% 18.36% 26.41% 2.52% 31.42% 10.35% 5.19%
OpinionWay 1–4 Jun 2012 553 8% 24% 21% 3% 30% 9% 5%
Ipsos 29–30 May 2012 605 8% 22% 20% 3% 33% 10% 4%

Rhône's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Anne Charmasson-Creus
FG
Pierre-Alain Muet
PS
Émeline Baume
EELV
Fabienne Lévy
PRMoDem
Denis Broliquier
DVD
Emmanuel Hamelin
UMP
Blanche Chaussat
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 41.78% 8.32% 37.15% 8.83% 2.56% 7.07% 25.43% 6.74% 3.91%
OpinionWay 1–4 Jun 2012 550 8% 35% 9% 5% 3% 32% 5% 3%
Ipsos 29–30 May 2012 608 10% 34% 7% 1% 9% 27% 5% 7%

Sarthe's 4th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Chantal Hersemeule
FG
Stéphane Le Foll
PS
Marc Joulaud
UMP
Henri Delaune
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 39.82% 4.51% 46.01% 31.67% 11.77% 6.05%
OpinionWay 25–26 May 2012 505 7% 38% 34% 13% 8%

Paris's 2nd

[edit]

In the Ifop poll conducted in December 2011, no Left Front, Socialist Party, and Europe Ecology – The Greens candidates were named, Alain Lambert was tested as a candidate of the Democratic Movement, and Alain Dumait was tested as a candidate of the National Front.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Amar Bellal
FG
Axel Kahn
PS
Laurent Audouin
EELV
Anne-Sophie Godfroy-Genin
MoDem
François Fillon
UMP
Rachida Dati
UMP
Marc Le Tanneur
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 36.00% 3.51% 33.88% 4.14% 2.68% 48.62% 3.93% 3.24%
Ifop 8–9 Dec 2011 504 3.5% 29% 8% 5% 39% 8% 4% 3.5%

Seine-et-Marne's 6th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Guillaume Quercy
FG
Caroline Pinet
EELVPS
Jean-François Copé
UMP
Marie-Christine Arnautu
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 40.71% 6.55% 28.98% 45.14% 15.90% 3.43%
OpinionWay 4–5 Jun 2012 554 8% 29% 42% 16% 5%
BVA[permanent dead link] 30–31 May 2012 605 8.5% 26% 47% 14% 4.5%

Var's 3rd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Gilberte Mandon
FG
Joël Canapa
PRGPS
Jean-Pierre Giran
UMP
Bruno Gollnisch
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 41.72% 4.26% 28.76% 37.89% 24.13% 4.96%
OpinionWay 26–29 May 2012 550 4% 22% 43% 23% 8%

Var's 4th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jean-Marie Bernardi
FG
Jean-Laurent Félizia
EELVPS
Jean-Michel Couve
UMP
Vincent Morisse
DVD
Jean-Louis Bouguereau
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 42.59% 4.28% 21.78% 32.21% 14.16% 23.73% 3.85%
OpinionWay 1–2 Jun 2012 550 6% 20% 46% 6% 20% 2%

Var's 7th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Christine Sampéré
FG
Ladislas Polski
MRCPS
Jean-Sébastien Vialatte
UMP
Arthur Paecht
DVD
Frédéric Boccaletti
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 44.04% 4.54% 27.27% 34.37% 4.81% 23.24% 5.76%
OpinionWay 1–2 Jun 2012 553 8% 22% 40% 6% 15% 9%

Var's 8th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Joëlle Mecagni
FG
Bernard Clap
PS
Olivier Audibert-Troin
UMP
Max Piselli
DVD
Geneviève Blanc
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 39.84% 4.70% 27.94% 30.76% 5.38% 23.27% 7.96%
OpinionWay 24–26 May 2012 505 8% 22% 30% 6% 22% 12%

Essonne's 4th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Dominique Bardy
FG
Olivier Thomas
PS
Jacques-Lucien Serna
EELV
Gabrielle Nguyen
MoDem
Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet
UMP
Brigitte Dupin
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 38.11% 5.27% 36.29% 2.77% 1.86% 39.46% 11.39% 2.97%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–23 May 2012 603 7.5% 33% 3% 4.5% 41% 8% 3%

Hauts-de-Seine's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jean-Michel Tarrin
FG
Sébastien Pietrasanta
PS
Laurent Gaillard
EELV
Rama Yade
PRMoDemNC
Manuel Aeschlimann
UMP
Laurent Martin-Saint-Léon
DLR
Guillaume L'Huillier
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 40.36% 4.28% 37.56% 4.08% 13.84% 27.63% 2.67% 6.38% 3.56%
Ifop-Fiducial 29–31 May 2012 607 5% 36% 3.5% 19% 29% 1% 5% 1.5%

Hauts-de-Seine's 9th

[edit]

The CSA poll in this constituency was commissioned by a group supporting Thierry Solère.[5]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Isabelle Goïtia
FG
Martine Even
PS
Odile Joyeux
EELV
Dorothée Pineau
AC
Julien Marcel
DVD
Thierry Solère
UMP diss.
Claude Guéant
UMP
Julien Dufour
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 40.28% 2.07% 22.14% 2.96% 4.68% 2.98% 26.89% 30.41% 5.29% 2.58%
CSA 1–2 Jun 2012 604 4% 23% 2.5% 8% 2% 24% 29% 5% 2.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–15 May 2012 605 2% 25% 5% 7% 15% 41% 4% 1%

Réunion's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Pierre Vergès
PCR
Mickaël Nativel
PS diss.
Ericka Bareigts
PS
Jean-Pierre Marchau
EELV
Nassimah Dindar
MoDem
Nadia Ramassamy
DVD
René-Paul Victoria
UMP
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 54.05% 2.48% 2.92% 39.89% 2.44% 21.41% 4.03% 20.61% 6.22%
Ipsos 22 May–2 Jun 2012 271 4% 3.5% 38% 6% 22% 3.5% 20% 3%

Réunion's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jean-Yves Langenier
PCR
Huguette Bello
PLR
Patrick Loiseau
FG
Laurence Lougnon
PS
Nila Minatchy
EELV
Sandra Sinimalé
UMP
Élie Taïeb
FN
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 52.54% 14.31% 67.14% 0.73% 3.04% 2.12% 7.36% 1.71% 3.60%
Ipsos 22 May–2 Jun 2012 274 12% 67.5% 2% 7% 3.5% 5% 1.5% 1.5%

Réunion's 3rd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Yvan Dejean
PCR
Jean-Jacques Vlody
PS
Paulet Payet
UMP diss.
André Thien Ah Koon
DVD
Others
2012 election 10 Jun 2012 50.00% 6.04% 40.88% 11.97% 34.00% 7.11%
Ipsos 22 May–2 Jun 2012 289 5% 43% 16% 30% 6%

French residents overseas' 1st

[edit]

No fieldwork date(s) were given for this poll; the date listed below is the publication date.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Céline Clément
FG
Corinne Narassiguin
PSEELV
Carole Granade
MoDem
Julien Balkany
DVD
Émile Servan-Schreiber
DVD
Antoine Treuille
DVD
Frédéric Lefebvre
UMP
Claire Savreux
FN
Others
2012 election 3 Jun 2012 79.60% 2.85% 39.65% 4.94% 6.61% 6.69% 5.10% 22.08% 4.29% 7.79%
CSA 22 May 2012 1,717 3% 35% 4% 9% 7% 6% 19% 4% 13%

Second round

[edit]

Ain's 5th

[edit]

No fieldwork date(s) were given for this poll; the date listed below is the publication date.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Josiane Exposito
PSEELV
Michel Perraud
PR
Damien Abad
UMPNC
Patrick Sokolowski
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 45.30% 43.60% 56.40%
CSA 1 Jun 2012 501 49% 51%
62% 38%
43% 39% 18%
45% 26% 29%

Aisne's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Anne Ferreira
PS
Xavier Bertrand
UMP
Yannick Lejeune
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 37.23% 49.75% 50.25%
OpinionWay 29–31 May 2012 552 48% 52%
38% 44% 18%

Alpes-Maritimes's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Patrick Allemand
PS
Éric Ciotti
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 47.36% 39.27% 60.73%
OpinionWay 24–26 May 2012 505 38% 62%

Alpes-Maritimes's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. André Aschieri
EELVPS
Charles-Ange Ginésy
UMP
Jean-Marc Degioanni
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 44.04% 46.71% 53.29%
OpinionWay 1–2 Jun 2012 550 45% 55%
42% 41% 17%

Alpes-Maritimes's 3rd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Christine Dorejo
PS
Rudy Salles
NCUMP
Gaël Nofri
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 49.12% 41.27% 58.73%
OpinionWay 1–2 Jun 2012 555 38% 62%
34% 47% 19%

Alpes-Maritimes's 4th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Pascale Gérard
PS
Jean-Claude Guibal
UMP
Lydia Schenardi
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 50.28% 55.22% 44.78%
OpinionWay 29–31 May 2012 554 70% 30%
30% 48% 22%

Aude's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Marie-Hélène Fabre
PS
Didier Codorniou
DVG
Michel Py
UMP
Laure-Emmanuelle Philippe
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 41.40% 56.83% 43.17%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–2 Jun 2012 604 55% 45%
49% 31% 20%
57% 43%
50% 32% 18%
TNS Sofres 11–12 May 2012 605 52% 48%
30% 28% 42%

Aveyron's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Monique Bultel-Herment
PS
Yves Censi
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 34.23% 49.33% 50.67%
Ifop 1–2 Jun 2012 602 49.5% 50.5%

Bouches-du-Rhône's 5th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Marie-Arlette Carlotti
PS
Renaud Muselier
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 41.42% 51.81% 48.19%
Ifop-Fiducial 29–30 May 2012 504 52% 48%

Charente-Maritime's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Ségolène Royal
PSPRG
Olivier Falorni
DVG
Sally Chadjaa
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 35.95% 37.02% 62.98%
BVA[permanent dead link] 12–13 Jun 2012 606 45% 55%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–12 Jun 2012 604 42% 58%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–4 Jun 2012 603 51% 49%
43% 27% 30%
58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–3 Dec 2011 602 58% 42%

Corse-du-Sud's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Simon Renucci
CSD
Laurent Marcangeli
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 39.57% 49.48% 50.52%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–26 May 2012 502 48.5% 51.5%

Corse-du-Sud's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Paul-Marie Bartoli
PRGPS
Camille de Rocca Serra
UMP
Jean-Christophe Angelini
FC
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 39.83% 53.09% 46.91%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–26 May 2012 502 50% 50%
31% 38% 31%

Haute-Corse's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jean Zuccarelli
PRGPS
Sauveur Gandolfi-Scheit
UMP
Gilles Simeoni
FC
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 34.43% 30.71% 38.07% 31.22%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–26 May 2012 500 34.5% 38.5% 27%
46% 54%

Haute-Corse's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Paul Giacobbi
PRGPS
Stéphanie Grimaldi
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 40.22% 64.34% 35.66%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–26 May 2012 504 54% 46%

Gard's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Katy Guyot
PS
Étienne Mourrut
UMP
Gilbert Collard
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 34.52% 41.56% 15.63% 42.82%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–5 Jun 2012 604 37% 31% 32%

Haute-Garonne's 3rd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Alain Fillola
DVG
François Simon
EELVPS
Jean-Luc Moudenc
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 39.63% 49.59% 50.41%
BVA 30 May–2 Jun 2012 11 50.5% 49.5%
53.5% 46.5%

Gironde's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Michèle Delaunay
PS
Nicolas Florian
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 45.93% 58.44% 41.56%
Ifop-Fiducial 30–31 May 2012 604 55% 45%

Nord's 8th

[edit]

In the Ifop poll conducted in May 2012, no National Front candidate was named.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Dominique Baert
DVG
Slimane Tir
EELVPS
Salima Saa
UMP
Samuel Lenclud
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 59.35% 69.58% 30.42%
Ifop Archived 1 March 2018 at the Wayback Machine 9–10 May 2012 503 61% 39%
49% 29% 22%

Pas-de-Calais's 11th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jean-Luc Mélenchon
FG
Philippe Kemel
PS
Jean Urbaniak
MoDemUMP
Marine Le Pen
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 40.85% 50.11% 49.89%
OpinionWay 4–5 Jun 2012 561 53% 47%
51% 49%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–4 Jun 2012 604 57% 43%
52% 48%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–17 May 2012 602 56% 44%
55% 45%
44% 20% 36%

Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Nathalie Chabanne
PS
François Bayrou
MoDem
Éric Saubatte
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 38.01% 42.78% 30.17% 27.04%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–2 Jun 2012 605 43% 33% 24%
50% 50%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–23 May 2012 603 41% 33% 26%
50.5% 49.5%
OpinionWay 22–23 May 2012 530 44% 28% 28%
55% 45%
60% 40%

Pyrénées-Orientales's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jean Vila
FG
Jacques Cresta
DVG
Daniel Mach
UMP
Louis Aliot
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 39.76% 42.95% 33.82% 23.24%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 May–2 Jun 2012 604 41% 35% 24%
40% 36% 24%

Pyrénées-Orientales's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Toussainte Calabrèse
PS
Fernand Siré
UMP
Irina Kortanek
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 39.89% 49.51% 50.49%
Ifop-Fiducial 29–30 May 2012 602 50% 50%
42.5% 36.5% 21%

Pyrénées-Orientales's 3rd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Ségolène Neuville
PS
Jean Castex
UMP
Bruno Lemaire
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 37.81% 53.03% 46.97%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–26 May 2012 606 54% 46%
49% 32% 19%

Pyrénées-Orientales's 4th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Pierre Aylagas
PS
Jacqueline Irles
UMP
Marie-Thérèse Costa-Fesenbeck
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 38.27% 55.42% 44.58%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–24 May 2012 603 56% 44%
50% 33% 17%

Rhône's 1st

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Philippe Meirieu
EELVPS
Thierry Braillard
PRG
Michel Havard
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 47.24% 53.78% 46.22%
OpinionWay 1–4 Jun 2012 553 54% 46%
52% 48%
Ipsos 29–30 May 2012 605 53% 47%
53% 47%

Rhône's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Pierre-Alain Muet
PS
Emmanuel Hamelin
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 44.92% 58.15% 41.85%
OpinionWay 1–4 Jun 2012 550 55% 45%
Ipsos 29–30 May 2012 608 56% 44%

Sarthe's 4th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Stéphane Le Foll
PS
Marc Joulaud
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 42.74% 59.45% 40.55%
OpinionWay 25–26 May 2012 505 53% 47%

Seine-et-Marne's 6th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Caroline Pinet
EELVPS
Jean-François Copé
UMP
Marie-Christine Arnautu
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 43.57% 40.47% 59.53%
OpinionWay 4–5 Jun 2012 554 45% 55%
40% 46% 14%
BVA[permanent dead link] 30–31 May 2012 605 40% 60%
38% 48% 14%

Var's 3rd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Joël Canapa
PRGPS
Jean-Pierre Giran
UMP
Bruno Gollnisch
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 41.68% 34.91% 43.41% 21.67%
OpinionWay 26–29 May 2012 550 29% 47% 24%

Var's 4th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Jean-Laurent Félizia
EELVPS
Jean-Michel Couve
UMP
Jean-Louis Bouguereau
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 49.22% 56.17% 43.83%
OpinionWay 1–2 Jun 2012 550 26% 57% 17%

Var's 7th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Ladislas Polski
MRCPS
Jean-Sébastien Vialatte
UMP
Frédéric Boccaletti
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 42.98% 35.10% 41.65% 23.25%
OpinionWay 1–2 Jun 2012 553 34% 49% 17%
38% 62%

Var's 8th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Bernard Clap
PS
Olivier Audibert-Troin
UMP
Geneviève Blanc
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 39.57% 37.01% 40.53% 22.45%
OpinionWay 24–26 May 2012 505 36% 39% 25%

Vaucluse's 3rd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Catherine Arkilovitch
PS
Jean-Michel Ferrand
UMP
Marion Maréchal-Le Pen
FN
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 35.56% 22.08% 35.82% 42.09%
BVA[permanent dead link] 12–13 Jun 2012 606 29% 34.5% 36.5%
58.5% 41.5%

Essonne's 4th

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Olivier Thomas
PS
Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 36.79% 48.52% 51.48%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–13 Jun 2012 604 48.5% 51.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–23 May 2012 603 50% 50%

Hauts-de-Seine's 2nd

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Sébastien Pietrasanta
PS
Rama Yade
PRMoDemNC
Manuel Aeschlimann
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 42.21% 53.53% 46.47%
Ifop-Fiducial 29–31 May 2012 607 54% 46%
48% 18% 34%

Hauts-de-Seine's 9th

[edit]

The CSA poll in this constituency was commissioned by a group supporting Thierry Solère.[5]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Martine Even
PS
Thierry Solère
UMP diss.
Claude Guéant
UMP
2012 election 17 Jun 2012 41.14% 22.24% 39.35% 38.41%
CSA 1–2 Jun 2012 604 32% 31% 37%
55% 45%
42% 58%
35% 65%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–15 May 2012 605 43% 57%

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Le dissident socialiste Codorniou se désiste en faveur de la candidate PS". Midi Libre. Agence France-Presse. 10 June 2012. Retrieved 26 February 2018.
  2. ^ Pierre Jaxel-Truer; Abel Mestre (13 June 2012). "Législatives : 34 triangulaires et quelques accrocs aux consignes". Le Monde. Retrieved 1 March 2018.
  3. ^ "Fillola se désiste dans la 3e circonscription de Haute-Garonne". La Dépêche du Midi. 11 June 2012. Retrieved 1 March 2018.
  4. ^ "Pyrénées-Orientales: une candidate FN se désiste pour faire barrage au PS". Libération. Agence France-Presse. 12 June 2012. Retrieved 26 February 2018.
  5. ^ a b "Solère donné gagnant par le sondage de ses soutiens". Le Parisien. 5 June 2012. Retrieved 26 February 2018.
[edit]