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Opinion polling for the 2015 French departmental elections

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This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2015 French departmental elections, which were held in two rounds on 22 and 29 March 2015.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

National

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First round

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. EXG FG EELV PS DVG MoDem UDI UMP DVD FN DIV
2015 election 22 Mar 2015 49.83% 0.07% 6.10% 2.03% 21.46% 7.10% 0.64% 1.29% 27.46% 7.21% 25.24% 1.40%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–19 Mar 2015 1,132 53% <0.5% 6% 3% 20% 4% 29% 6% 30% 2%
OpinionWay 17–19 Mar 2015 2,274 54% 6% 3% 22% 4% 0.5% 0.5% 29% 4% 29% 2%
Harris Interactive 17–18 Mar 2015 1,015 <0.5% 7% 2% 19% 5% 1% 28% 8% 29% 1%
CSA 16–18 Mar 2015 979 56% <0.5% 7% 3% 20% 4% 3% 27% 5% 28% 3%
Ipsos 16–17 Mar 2015 1,038 54% 7% 2% 21% 5% 0.5% (DVD) 30% 4% 29% 1.5%
Ifop 11–13 Mar 2015 1,473 54% <0.5% 6% 3% 19% 5% <0.5% 29% 5% 30% 3%
Harris Interactive 10–11 Mar 2015 1,020 0.5% 7% 3% 26% 0.5% 32% 29% 2%
Odoxa 5–6 Mar 2015 880 1% 8% 4% 20% 29% 31% 7%
Harris Interactive 3–5 Mar 2015 1,030 1% 6% 4% 21% 3% 28% 30% 7%
OpinionWay 3–5 Mar 2015 977 56% 7% 2% 21% 5% 1% 1% 29% 5% 28% 1%
CSA 2–4 Mar 2015 965 58% <0.5% 6% 2% 21% 4% 5% 25% 5% 29% 3%
Odoxa 26–27 Feb 2015 807 2% 9% 4% 19% 27% 33% 6%
Ifop 19–20 Feb 2015 918 57% 2% 6% 7% 20% 28% 30% 7%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–13 Feb 2015 900 2% 7% 6% 21% 6% 27% 29% 2%
BVA 29–30 Jan 2015 1,028 2% 9% 7% 18% 8% 5% 25% 26%
Odoxa 22–23 Jan 2015 1,015 1% 10% 7% 20% 6% 7% 23% 26%
Odoxa 11–12 Dec 2014 1,002 2% 9% 7% 17% 5% 7% 25% 28%

By second round configuration

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The Ifop poll conducted from 23 to 24 March 2015 tested hypotheses in cantons in which specific configurations were present in the second round; the sample size provided represents the entire poll and not that within each configuration.

Left–right–FN

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Left Right FN
Odoxa 11–12 Dec 2014 1,002 32% 39% 29%
Ifop 23–24 Mar 2015 1,902 35% 34% 31%
Harris Interactive 22 Mar 2015 991 37% 41% 22%

Left–right

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Left Right
Ifop 23–24 Mar 2015 1,902 44% 56%
Harris Interactive 22 Mar 2015 991 42% 58%

Left–FN

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Left FN
Ifop 23–24 Mar 2015 1,902 54% 46%
Harris Interactive 22 Mar 2015 991 60% 40%

Right–FN

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Right FN
Ifop 23–24 Mar 2015 1,902 63% 37%
Harris Interactive 22 Mar 2015 991 71% 29%

Departmental projections

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The departmental projections below were constructed for the 93 departments of metropolitan France excluding Corse-du-Sud and Haute-Corse.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Left Right Hung
2015 election 29 Mar 2015 29 64 0
OpinionWay 27 Mar 2015 27 61 5
OpinionWay 23 Mar 2015 25 63 5
OpinionWay 22 Mar 2015 19 71 3
OpinionWay 19 Mar 2015 20 66 7

Cantonal projections

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Left Right FN
OpinionWay 27 Mar 2015 750–800 1100–1150 60–100
Ifop 23–24 Mar 2015 1,902 560–680 970–1110 50–110

Aisne

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. FG/
PCF
PS/
DVG
UMP/
UDI
FN DIV
2015 election 22 Mar 2015 46.73% 2.63% 28.92% 29.60% 38.67% 0.17%
Odoxa 6–10 Mar 2015 814 7% 20% 24% 41% 8%

Dordogne

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. FG/
PCF
PS/
PRG
DVG/
EELV
UMP/UDI/
MoDem
DVD FN
2015 election 22 Mar 2015 39.96% 10.40% 33.67% 4.44% 19.94% 10.18% 21.37%
Ifop 11–12 Mar 2015 804 48% 10% 22% 10% 26% 7% 25%

Gard

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. FG PS DVG/
EELV
UMP/UDI/
MoDem
DVD/
DLF
FN
2015 election 22 Mar 2015 46.02% 11.77% 15.78% 9.62% 22.21% 3.48% 35.54%
Ifop 16–17 Mar 2015 604 52% 10% 16% 9% 25% 7% 33%

Gironde

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. FG PS/
DVG
EELV UMP/UDI/
MoDem/CPNT
DVD FN
2015 election 22 Mar 2015 49.45% 8.05% 33.05% 2.60% 31.84% 1.22% 22.78%
Ifop 13–14 Mar 2015 802 50% 7% 24% 11% 28% 9% 21%

Landes

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. FG PS EELV UMP/UDI/
MoDem
FN
2015 election 22 Mar 2015 42.80% 7.85% 38.79% 1.62% 32.63% 18.67%
Ifop 11–12 Mar 2015 802 50% 11% 28% 6% 32% 23%

Pyrénées-Orientales

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. PS DVG/FG/
EELV
UMP/
UDI
FN DIV
2015 election 22 Mar 2015 42.80% 25.02% 7.97% 23.65% 31.42% 11.95%
Ifop 16–17 Mar 2015 604 48% 22% 10% 30% 33% 5%

Essonne

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. FG/
PCF
PS UMP/
UDI
DVD FN DIV
2015 election 22 Mar 2015 52.58% 5.08% 31.47% 31.57% 8.32% 22.71% 0.85%
PollingVox 19 Mar 2015 11% 23% 31% 5% 23% 7%
Odoxa 3–5 Mar 2015 807 16% 22% 25% 9% 20% 8%

Val-de-Marne

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. FG/
PCF
PS/
DVG
EELV UMP/
UDI
FN
2015 election 22 Mar 2015 55.56% 17.20% 21.95% 6.21% 33.33% 17.21%
Odoxa 11–13 Mar 2015 813 23% 19% 8% 31% 19%
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