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Oregon gubernatorial election, 2014
The 2014 Oregon gubernatorial election will be held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Oregon , concurrently with the election of Oregon's Class II U.S. Senate seat , as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections .
Incumbent Democratic Governor John Kitzhaber is running for re-election to a fourth overall and second consecutive four-year term in office. Primary elections were held on May 20, 2014. Kitzhaber was renominated and the Republicans chose State Representative Dennis Richardson . If Kitzhaber is re-elected and serves out his term, he will become the second longest-serving governor in U.S. history.[1]
Background
Physician and then-President of the Oregon State Senate John Kitzhaber was first elected Governor in 1994 . He was re-elected in 1998 . Term limits prevented him from running again in 2002 . He considered running again in 2006 , but decided not to and incumbent Democrat Ted Kulongoski was re-elected. In September 2009, Kitzhaber announced that he would seek a third term as Governor in 2010 .[2] In May 2010, he won the Democratic primary with 65% of the vote, defeating former Secretary of State of Oregon Bill Bradbury .[3] After a close general election campaign, Kitzhaber won the election with 49% to Republican nominee Chris Dudley 's 48%.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Results
Republican primary
A Republican has not won a statewide race in Oregon since incumbent Senator Gordon H. Smith was re-elected in 2002 and a Republican has not been elected Governor since Victor G. Atiyeh was re-elected in 1982 . At the annual Dorchester Conference for activists in March 2013, Oregon Republicans acknowledged the difficulties they faced. At the Conference, "the lack of activity was so pronounced that the conference's Saturday night satirical show ran a video that began with an announcer intoning, "Now we go live to the 2014 Republican governor's debate." The camera then panned over a debate stage with two empty chairs, the monotony broken only by a broom-wielding janitor." High-profile Republicans have all passed on the election and while attendees split on whether the party needed to change its policies, they agreed that the party needed to be a "big tent" again.[7] [8]
Candidates
Declared
Tim Carr, businessman[9]
Gordon Challstrom, businessman[10]
Bruce Cuff, real estate broker[11]
Darren Karr, businessman and candidate for Governor in 2010 [4]
Mae Rafferty, timber merchant[12]
Dennis Richardson , State Representative[13]
Withdrew
Jon Justesen, businessman and rancher[14]
Declined
Results
Third parties
Candidates
Declared
Additionally, under Oregon's Electoral fusion law, Democratic nominee John Kitzhaber has been nominated by the Working Families Party of Oregon , and Republican nominee Dennis Richardson has been nominated by the Independent Party of Oregon .[19]
General election
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
John Kitzhaber (D)
Dennis Richardson (R)
Other
Undecided
Elway Research
October 26–27, 2014
403
± 5%
45%
38%
2%[20]
9%
SurveyUSA
October 23–27, 2014
552
± 4.3%
50%
40%
6%
5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
October 16–23, 2014
1,421
± 4%
48%
42%
1%
10%
SurveyUSA
October 16–19, 2014
561
± 4.2%
51%
38%
6%
6%
DHM Research
October 2014
?
± 4.3%
50%
29%
6%
15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
September 20–October 1, 2014
1,508
± 3%
49%
42%
0%
8%
SurveyUSA
September 22–24, 2014
568
± 4.2%
50%
38%
5%
8%
Rasmussen Reports
September 2–3, 2014
750
± 4%
48%
38%
4%
10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
August 18–September 2, 2014
1,541
± 4%
48%
42%
1%
8%
Moore Information^
August 5–9, 2014
500
± 4%
45%
41%
—
13%
SurveyUSA
August 1–5, 2014
564
± 4.2%
48%
36%
7%
9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov
July 5–24, 2014
2,082
± 2.6%
52%
42%
1%
5%
On Message, Inc.^
June 22–24, 2014
600
± 4%
42%
38%
—
16%
SurveyUSA
June 5–9, 2014
560
± 4.2%
48%
35%
10%
7%
Public Policy Polling
May 22–27, 2014
956
± 3.2%
49%
36%
—
15%
DHM Research
May 2014
400
± 4.9%
48%
36%
—
16%
Vox Populi Polling
April 28–30, 2014
618
± 3.9%
44%
44%
—
12%
Harper Polling
April 1–2, 2014
670
± 3.91%
46%
43%
—
11%
^ Internal poll for Dennis Richardson campaign
Hypothetical polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
John Kitzhaber (D)
Allen Alley (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
December 3–5, 2012
614
± 4%
52%
37%
—
12%
Public Policy Polling
June 21–24, 2012
686
± 3.7%
46%
36%
—
18%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
John Kitzhaber (D)
Jason Atkinson (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
June 21–24, 2012
686
± 3.7%
45%
30%
—
24%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
John Kitzhaber (D)
Bruce Hanna (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
December 3–5, 2012
614
± 4%
52%
33%
—
15%
Public Policy Polling
June 21–24, 2012
686
± 3.7%
46%
33%
—
21%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
John Kitzhaber (D)
Gordon H. Smith (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
December 3–5, 2012
614
± 4%
47%
42%
—
11%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
John Kitzhaber (D)
Bruce Starr (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
December 3–5, 2012
614
± 4%
53%
31%
—
16%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
John Kitzhaber (D)
Greg Walden (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
December 3–5, 2012
614
± 4%
49%
40%
—
11%
Public Policy Polling
June 21–24, 2012
686
± 3.7%
42%
41%
—
17%
See also
References
^ Ostermeier, Eric (December 10, 2013). "Kitzhaber Launches Bid to Become 2nd Longest-Serving Governor in History" . Smart Politics .
^ Mapes, Jeff (September 2, 2009). "Kitzhaber files committee to run for governor" . OregonLive.com.
^ Kitzhaber, Dudley To Face Off For Governor - Your Vote News Story - KPTV Portland
^ a b Christian Gaston (March 11, 2014). "Election 2014: Who filed for Oregon statewide and congressional office" . The Oregonian . Retrieved March 13, 2014 .
^ Esteve, Harry (December 9, 2013). "John Kitzhaber announces for historic fourth term" . The Oregonian . Retrieved December 9, 2013 .
^ a b "May 20, 2014 Primary Election Abstract of Votes: Governor" (PDF) . Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved July 7, 2014 .
^ Mapes, Jeff (March 10, 2013). "Republicans search for ways to revive GOP brand in Oregon" . The Oregonian . Retrieved July 25, 2013 .
^ Mapes, Jeff (March 8, 2013). "At Dorchester Conference, Oregon Republicans ponder how to restore their party" . The Oregonian . Retrieved July 25, 2013 .
^ Esteve, Harry (January 13, 2014). "Portland businessman becomes latest to join growing group of Republican candidates for governor" . The Oregonian . Portland, Oregon. Retrieved January 16, 2014 .
^ Esteve, Harry (January 9, 2014). "Another Republican files to run for Oregon governor" . The Oregonian . Portland, Oregon. Retrieved January 16, 2014 .
^ Esteve, Harry (January 6, 2014). "Salem-area real estate broker, Bruce Cuff, enters Republican primary for governor" . The Oregonian . Portland, Oregon. Retrieved January 16, 2014 .
^ a b Gaston, Christian (March 10, 2014). "Allen Alley, former gubernatorial hopeful, won't challenge Oregon Gov. John Kitzhaber" . The Oregonian . Retrieved March 11, 2014 .
^ Gaston, Christian (July 24, 2013). "Oregon Rep. Dennis Richardson announces run for governor" . The Oregonian . Retrieved July 25, 2013 .
^ Mapes, Jeff (January 30, 2014). "Republican Jon Justesen, questioning his party's priorities, drops bid for Oregon governorship" . The Oregonian . Retrieved January 31, 2014 .
^ "Chris Dudley, ending his political aspirations, says move to San Diego makes sense for his family" . Oregon Live . April 7, 2012.
^ "Bruce Hanna decides not to run for re-election -- or, for now, another seat: Oregon politics today" . Oregon Live . September 20, 2013.
^ "Gordon Smith finds happiness in private sector, has no plans to seek office" . Oregon Live . August 6, 2012.
^ "Republicans Pick Walden as New NRCC Chairman" . Roll Call . November 14, 2012.
^ a b c d e "Oregon Secretary Of State" . Retrieved 23 September 2014 .
^ Aaron Auer (C)
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