Wikipedia:Trillion pool

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This trillion pool is for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:Statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 6,818,036.

This pool will be closed for entries when the English Wikipedia article count reaches 800,000,000,000 (80%), so be sure to place your guess before then.

2015-2049[edit]

  • 30 June 2017. If one billion people speak English, and each of them was to create, on average, an article a day, it would take 1000 days to produce one trillion articles. James500 (talk) 20:43, 30 September 2014 (UTC) It is entirely conceivable that there might be one trillion or more notable topics in the future. For example, it has been estimated that the Earth will have a population of one million million million people by 3000AD. This is said to be the maximum possible population and would require considerable feats of engineering to support it. (Lyall Watson PhD, "Standing Room Only", Eagle and Boys' World, 21 October 1967). By dividing the number of people included in a biographical dictionary of notable living people in a particular country into that country's population (65.64 million ÷ 33,000), I think it possible to estimate that very roughly one in two thousand people are notable. That would lead to a figure of very roughly 500 trillion BLPs by the year 3000AD. So I think we should start Wikipedia:Quadrillion pool, as this might actually be technically possible. James500 (talk) 07:04, 3 April 2018 (UTC)[reply]
    • Most of these topics are going to come into existence far after the date you gave. —Eli355 (talk) 00:12, 15 June 2018 (UTC)[reply]
    • it's dcmbr2022 and it hasn't happened and it's not even close. Sorry | M@R10FYREFLOWER
  • January 1st 2045. Some drunk super hacker will create 2000 bots which all create 10000 posts a second on every single character in every language, and every number from 1 billion onwards. Scribblium (talk) 12:32, 11 October 2017 (UTC)[reply]

2050-9999[edit]

10000 and beyond[edit]

  • 15 June 30887 as human become type 3 in Kardashev scale. Thingofme (talk) 03:21, 10 July 2022 (UTC)[reply]
  • August 5, 56103, MainPeanut (talk) 19:17, 11 February 2021
  • Jul 19, 142857 — Preceding unsigned comment added by 183.37.185.49 (talk • contribs)
  • January 1, 1 000 000. At this scale, and this far in advance, it only makes sense to give an order of magnitude. Double sharp (talk) 16:23, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
  • November 13th, 2030507 by the extrapolation from the billion pool. Alfa-ketosav (talk) 14:44, 7 January 2020 (UTC)[reply]
  • June 27, 2497816 --Proud User (talk) 19:47, 13 December 2015 (UTC)[reply]
  • c. 5000000 CE, according to Google. --Кощки123 (talk) 23:23, 23 January 2020 (UTC)[reply]
  • June 31, 90482098 - by this time, the length of the year will have changed enough that June has 31 days. Some bored college student will hack the universal internet processing power, which will be possible by then, and have a bot create one trillion junk articles, which he will have the capability and processing power to do by then. Most of the articles will be deleted shortly thereafter, but Wikipedia will, however briefly, have one trillion articles. Smartyllama (talk) 18:16, 14 April 2016 (UTC)[reply]
  • %`􀃠评Z񣰚턇ࠍ۟ꭅϫ򷔹r7󡸙曤򪦫ٕ֩ڬ𤽂񊎬Ἶ·ᶢȣ󣙯ˢۑϴ@󧖒 ~~ NineFiveSeven 19:05, 7 January 2020 (UTC)[reply]
  • February 30, 1214, Third Era. Nicolas Perrault III (talk) 21:30, 26 October 2015, 2E (UTC)

Never[edit]

  • If Wikipedia still has the same growth it will reach 1 trillion articles in the year 4473881. Humanity has changed and Wikipedia has died. DuyWilliam1985 (talk) 03:01, 11 December 2021 (UTC)[reply]
  • It would take thousands of years to get a billion articles, and will this be around then? I think not. NealCruco (talk) 03:17, 3 April 2014 (UTC)[reply]
  • A trillion is an extremely large number and it would take at least tens of thousands of years to reach a trillion articles! Wikipedia would have ended by then. StevenD99 03:56, 25 July 2014 (UTC)[reply]
  • Wikipedia articles have to have some type of quality to them. For example, my specific pen cap does not deserve it's own article. For the amount of time for there to be a trillion things worth mentioning; I believe the society that had needed Wikipedia will be long gone. --Imdill3 (talk) 07:03, 3 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
  • There would be a page for my elbow if this ever happened. Believe me, there isn't going to be a page for my elbow. - Retterime 01:11, 4 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
  • I think never is a safe bet. If it does happen, the article will either be about someone's garage band or it will be someone spamming Wikipedia and trying to pretend their unknown product and/or company is notable. Feel free to ping me and trout-slap me if I am proven wrong! Etamni | ✉ | ✓  22:43, 5 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]
  • Not happening. It's taken over 17 years to get this far, and considering that the human race has been steadily falling down the evolutionary ladder in every way imaginable, I don't think that humans would live long enough for there to be that many articles. Not to mention that there will most likely never be anywhere near enough material out there in the world for it to be covered in a trillion Wikipedia articles. At least, not before humanity extinguishes themselves and destroys the Earth and every bit of information left on it at that point. But, if I had to guess when that happens, I would say within the next 300 years. Even if it was salvaged by an alien race, they wouldn't be able to begin to comprehend the sheer amount of stupidity caused by us humans. See also: 99.99999999% of people who have and will ever live. Matthieueagan (talk) 00:42, June 24, 2018 (UTC)
  • Unless some hacker can pull off page creation at ridiculous rates Benica11 (talk) 23:00, 23 January 2020 (UTC)[reply]
  • Upon reaching edit 999,999,999,999, the Universe will cataclysmically explode and that is solid fact.--BSMIsEditing (talk) 11:07, 14 June 2020 (UTC)[reply]
  • Big nuh-uh. By the time we reach a trillion, humanity will either

• be extinct (The most probable option, scientifically speaking), • have devolved into primordial slugs/amphibians/reptiles (take your pick), • be gone (The heat death of the universe happened. That weirdo I saw on the Internet was right!), or • have become a dystopia ruled by Ned Flanders. Also, Wikipedia could just be overtaken by a rival company or something and be shut down. Sure, most of humanity would grieve the loss of boundless knowledge, but the capitalists will read back their greedy, white supremacist heads and laugh a deep and throaty laugh as Jimbo weeps. Jesus will be rolling around in his grave. M@R10FYREFLOWER

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