2024 Romanian local elections
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All 41 County Council Presidents 1,340 County Council Councillors All 3,176 Mayors 39,900 Local Council Councillors | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Local elections are most likely set to be held in Romania in September 2024. The previous Romanian local elections in 2020 were won by the National Liberal Party (PNL), even though the Social Democratic Party (PSD) came in with significantly more County Council (CJ) presidents and mayors than the national liberals.
Therefore, the de facto winner of the previous Romanian local elections was the Social Democratic Party (PSD), in spite of the de jure one which was the National Liberal Party (PNL), according to popular vote and thereby overall political score.
Furthermore, the 2020 USR-PLUS Alliance (now simply legally known as USR which is short for Save Romania Union) came in third with respect to popular vote yet failed to obtain an important nationwide representation (for mayors, local and municipal councillors, and county councillors alike). In the meantime, the PNL enlarged itself at local political level nationwide with the integral absorption of ALDE during late March 2022.[1]
Background
The government which will organize the forthcoming Romanian local elections will very likely be the National Coalition for Romania (CNR) with a Social Democratic (PSD) Prime Minister.
Most opinion polls to date (depicted in the tables from the sections below) show the Social Democratic Party (PSD) as either the main or overall winning party in several major cities across Romania, including, most notably, the capital, Bucharest.
In stark contrast, several other major cities are shown to favour Save Romania Union (USR) in their public administration thus far and others the National Liberal Party (PNL). The current political trend, according to the polls, is that the Social Democratic Party (PSD) is the dominant political party in the south and east of Romania (i.e. in Muntenia, Oltenia, Dobrogea, and Western Moldavia respectively), the National Liberal Party (PNL) in the centre and north of the country (i.e. in Transylvania and Bukovina), and Save Romania Union (USR), sporadically at urban level in the south-western part of the country, more specifically in Banat.
Opinion polls
National results in 2020
In the table below are highlighted the major electoral scores (or results) obtained by the 6 largest political parties in Romania at the previous local elections which here held in September 2020:
Date | Results | Electorate | PNL | PSD | USR | PMP | UDMR | PRO | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Sep 2020 | 2020 election | 8,419,028 | 32.32% | 23.16% | 8.89% | 6.04% | 4.87% | 4.68% | 20.04% | 9.16% |
National polling
In the table below are represented the prospective results of the 6 main political parties active in Romania at local political level for the forthcoming local elections which are going to be held in 2024:
Date | Sample size | Source | PNL | PSD | USR | PMP | UDMR | PRO | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6–19 Oct 2022 | — | CURS | 22.0% | 31.0% | 11.0% | 4.0% | — | 4.0% | 14.0% | 9.0% |
Regional
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Date | Poll source | PSD | USR | PNL | PMP | AUR | PV | PRO | PUSL | ApP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 2022 | ISPAP | 35.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 |
Sep 2022 | Digi24 | 34.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 |
Aug 2022 | ISPAP | 35.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 |
Aug 2022 | CURS | 32.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 |
Jul 2022 | ISPAP | 37.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 |
Jun 2022 | ISPAP | 36.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 |
Jun 2022 | CURS | 33.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 35.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 |
Mar 2022 | ISPAP | 33.0 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 12.0[2] | 16.0 |
Feb 2022 | ISPAP | 31.0 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 12.0[3] | 13.0 |
14–20 Jan 2022 | CURS | 34.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | — | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 |
Jan 2022 | ISPAP | 30.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 9.0[4] | 9.0 |
Dec 2021 | ISPAP | 32.0 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0[5] | 9.0 |
Nov 2021 | ISPAP | 35.0 | 23.5 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.5 |
12–21 Oct 2021 | ISPAP | 34.0 | 24.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 |
17–23 Sep 2021 | CURS | 33.0 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | — | 3.0 | 4.0 | — | — | 10.0 |
Jul 2021 | CURS | 32.0 | 25.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | — | 2.0 | 4.0 | — | — | 7.0 |
May 2021 | CURS | 29.0 | 27.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | — | 3.0 | 4.0 | — | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Mar 2021 | CURS | 32.0 | 27.0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | — | 2.0 | 4.0 | — | 3.0 | 5.0 |
26 Sep 2020 | Election | 32.38 | 26.98 | 22.24[6] | 7.82 | 0.88 | 1.81 | 1.72 | 0.95 | — | 6.3 | 5.0 |
Seats projection
Date | Poll source | PSD | USR | PNL | PMP | AUR | PV | PRO | PUSL | ApP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 2022 | ISPAP | 25 | 8 | 14 | — | 8 | — | — | — | — |
Jul 2022 | ISPAP | 26 | 8 | 12 | — | 6 | — | — | — | 3 |
Jun 2022 | ISPAP | 25 | 9 | 11 | — | 6 | — | — | — | 4 |
Jun 2022 | CURS | 23 | 7 | 15 | — | 10 | — | — | — | — |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 23 | 11 | 9 | — | 5 | — | — | 3 | 4 |
Mar 2022 | ISPAP | 25 | 13 | 10 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — |
14–20 Jan 2022 | CURS | 20 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 7 | — | — | 3 | — |
Jan 2022 | ISPAP | 21 | 15 | 8 | — | 11 | — | — | — | — |
12–21 Oct 2021 | ISPAP | 21 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 6 | — | — | — | — |
Jul 2021 | CURS | 20 | 16 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — |
May 2021 | CURS | 18 | 17 | 14 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — |
Mar 2021 | CURS | 20 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
26 Sep 2020 | Election | 21 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
Mayor of Bucharest
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Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Poll sources | Dan
|
Voiculescu
|
Ciucu
|
Firea
|
Băsescu
|
Târziu
|
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7–14 September 2022 | Avangarde | 18.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 4.0 | —[a] | 4.0 | 12.0 |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 13.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 43.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 30.0 |
28.0 | — | — | 45.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | ||
Mar 2022 | ISPAP | 12.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 38.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 |
29.0 | — | — | 39.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | ||
Jan 2022 | ISPAP | 13.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 |
32.0 | — | — | 35.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | ||
Nov 2021 | ISPAP | 15.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 |
36.0 | — | — | 35.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | ||
27 Sep 2020 | 2020 election | 42.81 | 37.97 | 10.99 | 0.67 | 7.56 | 4.84 |
Sector 1 (Bucharest)
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Date | Poll source | PSD | USR | PNL | PMP | AUR | PRO | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug 2022 | ISPAP | 36.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 16.0 |
Jun 2022 | ISPAP | 36.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 18.0 |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 34.0 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 22.0[7] | 18.0 |
Feb 2022 | ISPAP | 32.0 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 18.0[8] | 14.0 |
Jan 2022 | ISPAP | 33.0 | 20.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 14.0[9] | 13.0 |
Dec 2021 | ISPAP | 34.0 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 12.0[10] | 12.0 |
Nov 2021 | ISPAP | 35.0 | 24.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 |
12–21 Oct 2021 | ISPAP | 36.0 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 |
24 Sep 2021 | CURS | 35.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 |
27 Sep 2020 | Election | 31.07 | 29.98 | 20.44 | 8.76 | 0.67 | 2.12 | 6.87 | 1.09 |
Sector 5 (Bucharest)
This section needs to be updated.(May 2022) |
Cluj-Napoca
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Date | Poll source | PNL | USR | UDMR | PSD | PMP | AUR | PV | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug 2022 | ISPAP | 41.0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 |
Jul 2022 | ISPAP | 36.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 32.0 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 |
Feb 2022 | ISPAP | 26.0 | 21.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 |
Dec 2021 | ISPAP | 26.0 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 |
Oct 2021 | ISPAP | 28.0 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
6 Dec 2020 | CD Election | 32.4 | 31.1 | 11.2 | 10.6 | 3.2 | 3.9 | — | 7.6 | 1.3 |
27 September 2020 | Election | 54.5 | 17.1 | 11.3 | 7.43 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 35.4 |
Constanța
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Date | Poll source | PNL | USR | PSD | PMP | AUR | PV | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug 2022 | ISPAP | 21.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 18.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 10.0 |
Feb 2022 | ISPAP | 17.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 |
Jan 2022 | ISPAP | 16.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 1.0 |
Dec 2021 | ISPAP | 17.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 |
Nov 2021 | ISPAP | 18.0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 17.5 | 3.0 | 9.5 | 4.0 |
12–21 Oct 2021 | ISPAP | 20.5 | 25.0 | 24.5 | 3.0 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 0.5 |
6 Dec 2020 | Parliament | 26.1 | 26.4 | 22.3 | 4.2 | 8.9 | 0.9 | 11.3 | 0.3 |
27 September 2020 | Election | 27.7 | 23.9 | 19.9 | 4.7 | — | 1.8 | 22.1 | 3.8 |
Iași
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Poll source | PNL | USR | PSD | AUR | PMP | PV | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 2022 | ISPAP | 23.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 |
Aug 2022 | ISPAP | 26.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 |
Jul 2022 | ISPAP | 21.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 17.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 |
Feb 2022 | ISPAP | 12.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 |
Jan 2022 | ISPAP | 18.0 | 27.0 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 |
Dec 2021 | ISPAP | 16.0 | 27.0 | 26.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 |
Nov 2021 | ISPAP | 17.0 | 29.0 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 |
12–21 Oct 2021 | ISPAP | 18.0 | 31.0 | 24.0 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 |
6 Dec 2020 | Parliament | 21.4 | 31.7 | 21.0 | 8.7 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 11.5 | 10.3 |
27 September 2020 | Election | 32.2 | 29.0 | 16.4 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 8.4 | 3.2 |
Brașov
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Poll source | USR | PNL | PSD | UDMR | AUR | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 2022 | ISPAP | 24.0 | 23.0 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 |
Aug 2022 | ISPAP | 24.0 | 25.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 1.0 |
Jun 2022 | ISPAP | 24.0 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 | 1.0 |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 27.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 1.0 |
Oct 2021 | ISPAP | 36.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 |
6 Dec 2020 | Parliament | 35.5 | 22.5 | 19.1 | 4.6 | 5.4 | 12.9 | 13.0 |
27 September 2020 | Election | 32.7 | 31.8 | 11.8 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 18.7 | 0.9 |
Timișoara
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Poll source | USR | PNL | PSD | PMP | AUR | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug 2022 | ISPAP | 29.0 | 24.0 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 |
Jun 2022 | ISPAP | 27.0 | 23.0 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 29.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 |
Mar 2022 | ISPAP | 30.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 |
Nov 2021 | ISPAP | 34.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 |
12–21 Oct 2021 | ISPAP | 37.0 | 18.0 | 18.5 | 4.5 | 9.5 | 12.5 | 18.5 |
6 Dec 2020 | Parliament | 40.3 | 21.7 | 15.8 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 12.0 | 18.6 |
27 September 2020 | Election | 41.4 | 30.4 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 15.5 | 11.0 |
Târgu Jiu
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Date | Poll source | PNL | PSD | PRO | PV | USR | AUR | PMP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 2022 | ISPAP | 29.0 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 |
Aug 2022 | ISPAP | 28.0 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 |
Jun 2022 | ISPAP | 22.0 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 24.0 | 31.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 |
Mar 2022 | ISPAP | 21.0 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 |
Feb 2022 | ISPAP | 19.0 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 |
Dec 2021 | ISPAP | 17.0 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 |
Nov 2021 | ISPAP | 20.0 | 35.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 |
6 Dec 2020 | Parliament | 21.6 | 34.6 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 14.2 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 13.0 |
26 Sep 2020 | Election | 37.4 | 27.8 | 7.6 | 6.5 | 5.6 | — | 4.9 | 10.3 | 9.6 |
Alba Iulia
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Date | Poll source | PNL | USR | PSD | AUR | PMP | PV | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 2022 | ISPAP | 23.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 |
May 2022 | ISPAP | 20.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 |
Feb 2022 | ISPAP | 17.0 | 20.0 | 22.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 2.0 |
Jan 2022 | ISPAP | 18.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 |
Dec 2021 | ISPAP | 18.0 | 23.0 | 25.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 |
23–26 Nov 2021 | CURS | 19.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
Nov 2021 | ISPAP | 21.0 | 24.0 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 |
6 Dec 2020 | Parliament | 27.1 | 28.0 | 19.5 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 10.0 | 0.9 |
27 September 2020 | Election | 33.7 | 26.2 | 11.9 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 19.0 | 7.5 |
Current political distribution of administrative mandates at local political level in Romania
In the table below are statistically represented the vast majority of the administrative mandates won nationwide in Romania by the following 12 largest (both major and minor) political parties after the 2020 Romanian local elections (based on their total number of elected representatives) as well as their current political distribution of administrative mandates in Romania at local political level according to 4 main categories as follows (statistics correct as of early December 2022):
Notes
- ^ George Simion, the leader of AUR was credited with 12% instead in this poll.
- ^ PNL had entirely absorbed ALDE during late March 2022, therefore the figures associated here with PNL include seats previously won by ALDE in 2020 as well. In addition, the figures here also include a party-switching mayor from AUR who subsequently joined the party in June 2022.
- ^ Tomac is the new president of PMP since 19 February 2022.
- ^ AUR lost one of its three mayors in June 2022. The respective mayor was from Vrancea County and switched to PNL.[11]
References
- ^ Redacția HotNews.ro (22 March 2022). "Florin Cîţu: Conducerea PNL a aprobat fuziunea cu ALDE". HotNews.ro (in Romanian). Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ FD 3%
- ^ FD 5%
- ^ FD 4.0%
- ^ FD 3.0
- ^ PNL had entirely absorbed ALDE during late March 2022, therefore the figures associated here with PNL include seats previously won by ALDE in 2020 as well.
- ^ ApP 6%, PPU-SL 4%, FD 3%, PV 1%
- ^ PPU-SL 5%, FD 5%, ApP 3%, PV 1%
- ^ FD 3%, PV 3%, PPU 3%, ApP 3%
- ^ FD 4.0%, ApP 3.0%, PPU-SL 3.0%, PV 1.0%
- ^ Liviu Cojan (17 June 2022). "Singurul primar AUR din Vrancea a trecut la PNL. Un deputat al partidului spune că acesta ar fi fost șantajat de liberali". Digi24.ro (in Romanian). Retrieved 17 June 2022.