Electoral district of Willoughby

Willoughby
New South Wales—Legislative Assembly
Willoughby; New South Wales—Legislative Assembly
	Location within Sydney
State	New South Wales
Dates current	1894–1920; 1927–1988; 1991–present
MP	Tim James
Party	Liberal
Electors	54,988 (2022)
Area	23.56 km2 (9.1 sq mi)
	Electorates around Willoughby:

Willoughby is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It was previously represented by Gladys Berejiklian of the Liberal Party, who announced on 1 October 2021 that she would resign from the Legislative Assembly and as Premier of New South Wales. She was replaced at the 2022 Willoughby state by-election on 12 February 2022 by Liberal Tim James.

History

Willoughby was an electoral district of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, first created in 1894 with the abolition of multi-member electoral districts from part of St Leonards, and named after and including the Sydney suburb of Willoughby. It was abolished in 1904 and re-established in 1913. In 1920 with the introduction of proportional representation, it was absorbed into the multi-member electorate of Ryde along with Burwood and Gordon. It was recreated in 1927 with the return to single-member electorates. It was abolished in 1988, with most of its territory becoming Middle Harbour. In 1991, Middle Harbour was abolished and replaced by a recreated Willoughby.^[1]^[2]^[3]^[4]

Like most seats in the North Shore, Willoughby is a stronghold for the Liberal Party. Counting its time as Middle Harbour, the Liberals or their predecessors have held the seat for all but two terms since the return to single-member seats in 1927. The one break in this tradition came in the "Wranslide" of 1978, when a split in the Liberal vote allowed Labor's Eddie Britt to sweep into office. However, a redistribution ahead of the 1981 election erased Britt's majority and made Willoughby notionally Liberal. Britt narrowly lost to future state opposition leader Peter Collins even in the face of the second "Wranslide."^[2]

The seat reverted to form in 1984, with Collins easily seeing off Britt in a rematch. Since then, Labor has usually run dead in Willoughby, and on some occasions has been pushed into third place. The only time the Liberal hold on the seat has been seriously threatened since the 1980s came on Collins' retirement in 2003. Pat Reilly, the longtime mayor of the City of Willoughby, ran as an independent and nearly defeated Liberal Gladys Berejiklian on Labor preferences. The swing against the Liberals was large enough to drop the Liberal margin over Labor to 7.2 percent, the closest in two decades. However, Berejiklian easily dispatched Reilly in a rematch and has held the seat without serious difficulty ever since.^[2]

Willoughby is one of four electorates in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly to have been held by two Premiers of New South Wales while in office. Both Premiers (Sir) Charles Wade and Gladys Berejiklian held Willoughby while in office, the other three electorates being Ku-ring-gai, Maroubra and Wollondilly.

Berejiklian has facts in common with her predecessor in Willoughby, Collins in that both had served as state Liberal leaders and prior to that served as Deputy Liberal leader and Treasurer although unlike Collins, Berejiklian held the positions of Deputy Liberal leader and Treasurer simultaneously.

Members for Willoughby

First incarnation (1894–1904)
Member		Party	Term
	Joseph Cullen	Free Trade	1894–1894
	Edward Clark	Free Trade	1894–1895
	George Howarth	Free Trade	1895–1901
	George Howarth	Liberal Reform	1901–1903
	Charles Wade	Liberal Reform	1903–1904
Second incarnation (1913–1920)
Member		Party	Term
	Edward Larkin	Labor	1913–1915
	John Haynes	Independent Democrat	1915–1917
	Reginald Weaver	Nationalist	1917–1920
Third incarnation (1927–1988)
Member		Party	Term
	Edward Sanders	Independent Nationalist	1927–1930
		Nationalist	1930–1932
		United Australia	1932–1943
	George Brain	United Australia	1943–1943
		Democratic	1944–1945
		Liberal	1945–1968
	Laurie McGinty	Liberal	1968–1977
	Laurie McGinty	Independent Liberal	1977–1978
	Eddie Britt	Labor	1978–1981
	Peter Collins	Liberal	1981–1988
Fourth incarnation (1991–present)
Member		Party	Term
	Peter Collins	Liberal	1991–2003
	Gladys Berejiklian	Liberal	2003–2021
	Tim James	Liberal	2022–present

Election results

2022 Willoughby state by-election ^[5]^[6]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Tim James	18,949	43.50	−13.53
	Independent	Larissa Penn	12,920	29.66	+19.75
	Greens	Lynne Saville	5,892	13.53	+2.36
	Reason	Penny Hackett	2,576	5.91	+5.91
	Sustainable Australia	William Bourke	2,122	4.87	+3.24
	Liberal Democrats	Samuel Gunning	1,104	2.53	+2.53
Total formal votes			43,563	98.43	+0.34
Informal votes			697	1.57	−0.34
Turnout			44,260	80.49	−9.02
Two-candidate-preferred result
	Liberal	Tim James	19,886	53.30	−20.45
	Independent	Larissa Penn	17,421	46.70	+20.45
	Liberal hold		Swing	−20.45

The two-candidate swing from the 2019 general election is calculated from the NSW Electoral Commission Two Candidate Preferred (TCP) Analytical Tool for Berejiklian (LIB) vs Penn (IND).

References

^ Green, Antony. "Elections for the District of Willoughby". New South Wales Election Results 1856-2007. Parliament of New South Wales. Retrieved 12 September 2019.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Willoughby- NSW Electorate, Candidates, Results". NSW Votes 2019. ABC News. Retrieved 12 September 2019.
^ "Part 5B alphabetical list of all electorates and Members since 1856" (PDF). NSW Parliamentary Record. Parliament of New South Wales. Retrieved 16 November 2020.
^ "Former Members". Members of Parliament. Parliament of New South Wales. Retrieved 16 November 2020.
^ "LA - Check Count First Preference District Summary - Willoughby". Willoughby State By-Election 22-MAY-2021. NSW Electoral Commission. Retrieved 28 February 2022.
^ "LA - Check Count TCP District Summary - Willoughby". Willoughby State By-Election 12-FEB-2022. New South Wales Electoral Commission. Retrieved 28 February 2022.

External links

"Willoughby". New South Wales Electoral Commission. Retrieved 1 October 2021.

[Green_Willoughby-1] Green, Antony. "Elections for the District of Willoughby". New South Wales Election Results 1856-2007. Parliament of New South Wales. Retrieved 12 September 2019.

[ABC_Willoughby-2] "Willoughby- NSW Electorate, Candidates, Results". NSW Votes 2019. ABC News. Retrieved 12 September 2019.

[3] "Part 5B alphabetical list of all electorates and Members since 1856" (PDF). NSW Parliamentary Record. Parliament of New South Wales. Retrieved 16 November 2020.

[4] "Former Members". Members of Parliament. Parliament of New South Wales. Retrieved 16 November 2020.

[5] "LA - Check Count First Preference District Summary - Willoughby". Willoughby State By-Election 22-MAY-2021. NSW Electoral Commission. Retrieved 28 February 2022.

[2022_Willoughby_state_by-election_2cp-results-6] "LA - Check Count TCP District Summary - Willoughby". Willoughby State By-Election 12-FEB-2022. New South Wales Electoral Commission. Retrieved 28 February 2022.

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