2008 United States presidential election in Connecticut: Difference between revisions
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# D.C. Political Report: Democrat<ref>[http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
# D.C. Political Report: Democrat<ref>[http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
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# [[Cook Political Report]]: Solid Democrat<ref>[http://www.cookpolitical.com/presidential#belowMap Presidential | The Cook Political Report<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
# [[Cook Political Report]]: Solid Democrat<ref>[http://www.cookpolitical.com/presidential#belowMap Presidential | The Cook Political Report<!-- Bot generated title -->] {{wayback|url=http://www.cookpolitical.com/presidential#belowMap |date=20150505003043 }}</ref> |
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# [[The Takeaway (Radio)|Takeaway]]: Solid Obama<ref>{{cite web |
# [[The Takeaway (Radio)|Takeaway]]: Solid Obama<ref>{{cite web|author=Adnaan |url=http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/ |title=Track the Electoral College vote predictions |publisher=[[The Takeaway (Radio)|''The Takeaway'']] |date=2008-09-20 |accessdate=2009-11-14 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20090422070127/http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/ |archivedate=April 22, 2009 }}</ref> |
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# Election Projection: Solid Obama<ref>[http://www.electionprojection.com/2008elections/president08.shtml Election Projection: 2008 Elections - Polls, Projections, Results<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
# Election Projection: Solid Obama<ref>[http://www.electionprojection.com/2008elections/president08.shtml Election Projection: 2008 Elections - Polls, Projections, Results<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
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# [[Electoral-vote.com]]: Strong Democrat<ref>[http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Dec31.html Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
# [[Electoral-vote.com]]: Strong Democrat<ref>[http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Dec31.html Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
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# [[Real Clear Politics]]: Solid Obama<ref>[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5 RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
# [[Real Clear Politics]]: Solid Obama<ref>[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5 RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
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# [[FiveThirtyEight.com]]: Solid Obama<ref name=autogenerated1 /> |
# [[FiveThirtyEight.com]]: Solid Obama<ref name=autogenerated1 /> |
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# [[CQ Politics]]: Safe Democrat<ref>[http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08/ CQ Politics | CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> |
# [[CQ Politics]]: Safe Democrat<ref>[http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08/ CQ Politics | CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008<!-- Bot generated title -->] {{wayback|url=http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08/ |date=20090614004022 }}</ref> |
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# [[New York Times]]: Solid Democrat<ref>{{cite news| url=http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html?scp=1&sq=electoral%20college%20map&st=cse | title=Electoral College Map | work=The New York Times | accessdate=May 26, 2010}}</ref> |
# [[New York Times]]: Solid Democrat<ref>{{cite news| url=http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html?scp=1&sq=electoral%20college%20map&st=cse | title=Electoral College Map | work=The New York Times | accessdate=May 26, 2010}}</ref> |
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# [[CNN]]: Safe Democrat<ref>{{cite news| url=http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/ | work=CNN | title=October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs | accessdate=May 26, 2010}}</ref> |
# [[CNN]]: Safe Democrat<ref>{{cite news| url=http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/ | work=CNN | title=October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs | accessdate=May 26, 2010}}</ref> |
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{{Main|List of United States presidential electors, 2008}} |
{{Main|List of United States presidential electors, 2008}} |
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Technically the voters of CT cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the [[Electoral College (United States)|Electoral College]]. CT is allocated 7 electors because it has 5 [[Connecticut's congressional districts|congressional districts]] and 2 [[List of United States Senators from Connecticut|senators]]. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 7 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.<ref>{{cite web |
Technically the voters of CT cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the [[Electoral College (United States)|Electoral College]]. CT is allocated 7 electors because it has 5 [[Connecticut's congressional districts|congressional districts]] and 2 [[List of United States Senators from Connecticut|senators]]. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 7 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm |title=Electoral College |accessdate=2008-11-01 |publisher=[[California Secretary of State]] |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=http://web.archive.org/web/20081030041546/http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm |archivedate=October 30, 2008 }}</ref> An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a [[faithless elector]]. |
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The electors of each state and the [[District of Columbia]] met on December 15, 2008 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. |
The electors of each state and the [[District of Columbia]] met on December 15, 2008 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. |
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 County Results
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| Elections in Connecticut |
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The 2008 United States presidential election in Connecticut took place on November 4, 2008 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 7 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.
Connecticut was won by Democratic nominee Barack Obama with a 22.4% margin of victory. Connecticut was one of the six states that had every county—including traditionally Republican Litchfield County—go for Obama, the others being Hawaii, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont. Connecticut has not voted for a Republican presidential nominee since 1988 when the state was carried by George H.W. Bush over Michael Dukakis.
Primaries
Campaign
Predictions
There were 17 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:
- D.C. Political Report: Democrat[1]
- Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat[2]
- Takeaway: Solid Obama[3]
- Election Projection: Solid Obama[4]
- Electoral-vote.com: Strong Democrat[5]
- Washington Post: Solid Obama[6]
- Politico: Solid Obama[7]
- Real Clear Politics: Solid Obama[8]
- FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid Obama[6]
- CQ Politics: Safe Democrat[9]
- New York Times: Solid Democrat[10]
- CNN: Safe Democrat[11]
- NPR: Solid Obama[6]
- MSNBC: Solid Obama[6]
- Fox News: Democrat[12]
- Associated Press: Democrat[13]
- Rasmussen Reports: Safe Democrat[14]
Polling
Barack Obama won every single poll taken in the state, and every one of them by a double digit margin of victory.
Fundraising
John McCain raised a total of $3,966,985. Barack Obama raised $9,727,617.[15]
Advertising and visits
Obama spent $730,335 while McCain spent nothing on the state.[16] Neither campaign visited the state.[17]
Analysis
Connecticut is a part of New England, an area of the country that has recently turned into a Democratic stronghold. The state went Republican in every election but two from 1952 to 1988. However, Bill Clinton narrowly carried it in 1992, and the state has not been seriously contested since. McCain ceded the state to Obama early on, despite Independent Democratic Senator Joe Lieberman's endorsement.
In 2006, Democrats knocked off two incumbent Republicans and picked up two U.S. House seats in CT-02 and CT-05 (Joe Courtney and Chris Murphy, respectively). Although then-Governor M. Jodi Rell and Lieutenant Governor Michael Fedele were both moderate Republicans, all other statewide offices were held by Democrats. Democrats also enjoyed a supermajority status in both chambers of the Connecticut state legislature.
In 2008, Democrat Jim Himes defeated incumbent Republican Christopher Shays, who was at the time the only Republican member of the U.S. House from New England, for the U.S. House seat in Connecticut's 4th congressional district. This was largely because Obama carried the district with a staggering 60 percent of the vote—one of his best performances in a Republican-held district. Shays' defeat meant that for the first time in almost 150 years, there were no Republican Representatives from New England. In no other part of the country is a major political party completely shut out. At the same time at the state level, Democrats picked up six seats in the Connecticut House of Representatives and one seat in the Connecticut Senate.
Results
| United States presidential election in Connecticut, 2008 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Democratic | Barack Obama | 997,773 | 60.59% | 7 | |
| Republican | John McCain | 629,428 | 38.22% | 0 | |
| Independent | Ralph Nader | 19,162 | 1.16% | 0 | |
| Constitution (Write-in) | Chuck Baldwin (Write-in) | 311 | 0.02% | 0 | |
| Green (Write-in) | Cynthia A. McKinney (Write-in) | 90 | 0.01% | 0 | |
| Socialist (Write-in) | Brian Moore (Write-in) | 19 | 0.00% | 0 | |
| Socialist Workers (Write-in) | Roger Calero (Write-in) | 10 | 0.00% | 0 | |
| Totals | 1,646,793 | 100.00% | 7 | ||
| Voter turnout (Voting Age population) | 62.1% | ||||
Results breakdown
By county
| County | Obama% | Obama# | McCain% | McCain# | Others% | Others# | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield | 58.73% | 242,936 | 40.55% | 167,736 | 0.71% | 2,955 | 413,627 |
| Hartford | 65.18% | 268,721 | 33.71% | 138,984 | 1.11% | 4,593 | 412,298 |
| Litchfield | 51.63% | 51,041 | 46.71% | 46,173 | 1.66% | 1,643 | 98,857 |
| Middlesex | 60.78% | 52,983 | 37.76% | 32,918 | 1.46% | 1,276 | 87,177 |
| New Haven | 61.10% | 233,589 | 37.84% | 144,650 | 1.06% | 4,072 | 382,311 |
| New London | 59.92% | 74,776 | 38.86% | 48,491 | 1.23% | 1,529 | 124,796 |
| Tolland | 59.70% | 45,053 | 38.78% | 29,266 | 1.52% | 1,148 | 75,467 |
| Windham | 56.47% | 28,673 | 41.77% | 21,210 | 1.76% | 896 | 50,779 |
By congressional district
Barack Obama carried all five of Connecticut’s congressional districts.
| District | McCain | Obama | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 32.73% | 65.95% | John Larson |
| 2nd | 40.07% | 58.48% | Joe Courtney |
| 3rd | 36.28% | 62.50% | Rosa DeLauro |
| 4th | 39.64% | 59.70% | Christopher Shays (110th Congress) |
| Jim Himes (111th Congress) | |||
| 5th | 42.40% | 56.34% | Chris Murphy |
Electors
Technically the voters of CT cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. CT is allocated 7 electors because it has 5 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 7 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[18] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 7 were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:[19]
- Shirley Steinmetz
- Nicholas Paindiris
- Andrea Jackson Brooks
- Jim Ezzes
- Lorraine McQueen
- Deborah McFadden
- Ken Delacruz
References
- ^ D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries
- ^ Presidential | The Cook Political Report Template:Wayback
- ^ Adnaan (2008-09-20). "Track the Electoral College vote predictions". The Takeaway. Archived from the original on April 22, 2009. Retrieved 2009-11-14.
{{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|publisher=(help); Unknown parameter|deadurl=ignored (|url-status=suggested) (help) - ^ Election Projection: 2008 Elections - Polls, Projections, Results
- ^ Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
- ^ a b c d Based on Takeaway
- ^ POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com
- ^ RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map
- ^ CQ Politics | CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008 Template:Wayback
- ^ "Electoral College Map". The New York Times. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- ^ "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- ^ "Winning the Electoral College". Fox News. April 27, 2010.
- ^ roadto270
- ^ Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports™
- ^ Presidential Campaign Finance
- ^ "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- ^ "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- ^ "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved 2008-11-01.
{{cite web}}: Unknown parameter|deadurl=ignored (|url-status=suggested) (help) - ^ U. S. Electoral College 2008 Election - Certificates
