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| South Indian season=2013–14 South Pacific cyclone season
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The '''2013–14 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season''' is an event in the annual cycle of [[tropical cyclone]] [[tropical cyclogenesis|formation]] that ended on June&nbsp;30, 2014. The season officially began on July&nbsp;1, 2013,<ref name="WMO">{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone Operational Plan: 2012|url=http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/tcp/documents/TCP-12-WMO-TD-577-rev-2012_121495_en.pdf|publisher=World Meteorological Organisation|accessdate=December 5, 2012|author=The RA I Tropical Cyclone Committee|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6CfhY2aVD|archivedate=December 5, 2012|page=11|year=2012}}</ref> though the first tropical system designated by [[Météo-France]] was a short-lived tropical disturbance that developed on July&nbsp;8. However, the first [[tropical cyclone naming|named storm]] was [[Cyclone Amara]] in December. The strongest cyclone of the season was Cyclone Bruce, which originated from the [[2013–14 Australian region cyclone season|Australian region]] and later intensified to a peak intensity with [[maximum sustained wind]]s of 230&nbsp;km/h (145&nbsp;mph), making it the first system in the South-West Indian Ocean to reach Very Intense Tropical Cyclone status since Edzani in [[2009–10 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season|2010]].
The '''2013–14 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season''' is an event in the annual cycle of [[tropical cyclone]] [[tropical cyclogenesis|formation]] that ended on June&nbsp;30, 2014. The season officially began on July&nbsp;1, 2013,<ref name="WMO">{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone Operational Plan: 2012 |url=http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/tcp/documents/TCP-12-WMO-TD-577-rev-2012_121495_en.pdf |publisher=World Meteorological Organisation |accessdate=December 5, 2012 |author=The RA I Tropical Cyclone Committee |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6CfhY2aVD?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.wmo.int%2Fpages%2Fprog%2Fwww%2Ftcp%2Fdocuments%2FTCP-12-WMO-TD-577-rev-2012_121495_en.pdf |archivedate=December 5, 2012 |page=11 |year=2012 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> though the first tropical system designated by [[Météo-France]] was a short-lived tropical disturbance that developed on July&nbsp;8. However, the first [[tropical cyclone naming|named storm]] was [[Cyclone Amara]] in December. The strongest cyclone of the season was Cyclone Bruce, which originated from the [[2013–14 Australian region cyclone season|Australian region]] and later intensified to a peak intensity with [[maximum sustained wind]]s of 230&nbsp;km/h (145&nbsp;mph), making it the first system in the South-West Indian Ocean to reach Very Intense Tropical Cyclone status since Edzani in [[2009–10 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season|2010]].


Within this basin, tropical and subtropical disturbances are officially monitored by the [[Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre]] on [[Réunion]] island, while the Mauritius and Madagascar weather services assign names to significant tropical and subtropical disturbances.<ref name="WMO"/>
Within this basin, tropical and subtropical disturbances are officially monitored by the [[Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre]] on [[Réunion]] island, while the Mauritius and Madagascar weather services assign names to significant tropical and subtropical disturbances.<ref name="WMO"/>
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The predecessor to the season's first designated tropical depression began as an area of persistent convection well removed from any landmasses. The JTWC began issuing products on the storm complex on October&nbsp;21, noting recent consolidation patterns and its association with an ill-defined low-level circulation center.<ref name=01-JTWC-STWA-211130>{{cite web|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean – October 21, 1130 UTC|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ab/abio10.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KZumdCl3|archivedate=October 23, 2013|location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=October 21, 2013}}</ref> Over subsequent hours, the system developed a central region of convection with incipient [[rainband]]s.<ref name=01-JTWC-STWA-211800>{{cite web|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean – October 21, 1800 UTC|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ab/abio10.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KZumOsef|archivedate=October 23, 2013|location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=October 21, 2013}}</ref> Despite these signs of potential [[tropical cyclogenesis]] in the very near future, the storm remained unclassified for several days as it tracked generally towards the west. At 1200&nbsp;UTC on October&nbsp;25, however, Météo-France classified the system as a tropical disturbance.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 1 Warning Number 001/1|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Kg2NvEEN|archivedate=October 27, 2013|format=TXT|date=October 25, 2013}}</ref> Though upper-level atmospheric conditions were rather conducive for continued strengthening, factors including decreasing [[convergence zone|convergence]] and marginally sustainable sea surface temperatures were expected to inhibit tropical development, and as such initial forecasts only anticipated minimal and gradual strengthening.<ref name=01-MFR-FCST-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 1 Forecast Warning Number 001/1|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Kg2RFknu|archivedate=October 27, 2013|format=TXT|date=October 25, 2013}}</ref>
The predecessor to the season's first designated tropical depression began as an area of persistent convection well removed from any landmasses. The JTWC began issuing products on the storm complex on October&nbsp;21, noting recent consolidation patterns and its association with an ill-defined low-level circulation center.<ref name=01-JTWC-STWA-211130>{{cite web|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean – October 21, 1130 UTC |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ab/abio10.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KZumdCl3?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FABIO10-PGTW_201310211130.htm |archivedate=October 23, 2013 |location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=October 21, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Over subsequent hours, the system developed a central region of convection with incipient [[rainband]]s.<ref name=01-JTWC-STWA-211800>{{cite web|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean – October 21, 1800 UTC |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ab/abio10.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KZumOsef?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FABIO10-PGTW_201310211800.htm |archivedate=October 23, 2013 |location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=October 21, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Despite these signs of potential [[tropical cyclogenesis]] in the very near future, the storm remained unclassified for several days as it tracked generally towards the west. At 1200&nbsp;UTC on October&nbsp;25, however, Météo-France classified the system as a tropical disturbance.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 1 Warning Number 001/1 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Kg2NvEEN?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201310251225.htm |archivedate=October 27, 2013 |format=TXT |date=October 25, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Though upper-level atmospheric conditions were rather conducive for continued strengthening, factors including decreasing [[convergence zone|convergence]] and marginally sustainable sea surface temperatures were expected to inhibit tropical development, and as such initial forecasts only anticipated minimal and gradual strengthening.<ref name=01-MFR-FCST-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 1 Forecast Warning Number 001/1 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Kg2RFknu?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201310251241.htm |archivedate=October 27, 2013 |format=TXT |date=October 25, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref>


At 0600&nbsp;UTC on October&nbsp;26, Météo-France upgraded the system to [[tropical depression]] status.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-3>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 1 Warning Number 003/1|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Kg2NUVYJ|archivedate=October 27, 2013|format=TXT|date=October 26, 2013}}</ref>
At 0600&nbsp;UTC on October&nbsp;26, Météo-France upgraded the system to [[tropical depression]] status.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-3>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 1 Warning Number 003/1 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Kg2NUVYJ?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201310260641.htm |archivedate=October 27, 2013 |format=TXT |date=October 26, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref>
Forecasts upon the system's upgrade to tropical depression intensity expected more significant intensification, with the depression expected to peak as a moderate tropical storm.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-3 /> However, the depression peaked in strength later that day with winds of 55&nbsp;km/h (35&nbsp;mph) and a minimum pressure of 1000&nbsp;mbar (hPa; 29.53&nbsp;inHg).<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-5>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 1 Warning Number 005/1|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Kg2N3tZM|archivedate=October 27, 2013|format=TXT|date=October 26, 2013}}</ref> This intensity was sustained for several hours before the storm began to slowly weaken early on October&nbsp;27.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-7>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 1 Warning Number 007/1|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Kg2McWtL|archivedate=October 27, 2013|format=TXT|date=October 27, 2013}}</ref> During its weakening phase, the depression became elongated and its circulation center became exposed from the rest of the convection,<ref name=01-JTWC-2>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 01S (One) Warning NR 002|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KhZUXuJq|archivedate=October 28, 2013|location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=October 27, 2013}}</ref> and at 1200&nbsp;UTC that day Météo-France reclassified the storm as a tropical disturbance.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-8>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 1 Warning Number 008/1|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KhZkiaZ9|archivedate=October 28, 2013|format=TXT|date=October 27, 2013}}</ref> In an area no longer sufficient to support strengthening, the disturbance gradually diffused,<ref name=01-JTWC-3>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 01S (One) Warning NR 003|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KhZUJcbm|archivedate=October 28, 2013|location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=October 28, 2013}}</ref> and six hours later, Météo-France issued their last advisory on the system.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-9>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 1 Warning Number 009/1|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KhZkTI6Q|archivedate=October 28, 2013|format=TXT|date=October 27, 2013}}</ref>
Forecasts upon the system's upgrade to tropical depression intensity expected more significant intensification, with the depression expected to peak as a moderate tropical storm.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-3 /> However, the depression peaked in strength later that day with winds of 55&nbsp;km/h (35&nbsp;mph) and a minimum pressure of 1000&nbsp;mbar (hPa; 29.53&nbsp;inHg).<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-5>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 1 Warning Number 005/1 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Kg2N3tZM?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201310261818.htm |archivedate=October 27, 2013 |format=TXT |date=October 26, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> This intensity was sustained for several hours before the storm began to slowly weaken early on October&nbsp;27.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-7>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 1 Warning Number 007/1 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Kg2McWtL?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201310270619.htm |archivedate=October 27, 2013 |format=TXT |date=October 27, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> During its weakening phase, the depression became elongated and its circulation center became exposed from the rest of the convection,<ref name=01-JTWC-2>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 01S (One) Warning NR 002 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KhZUXuJq?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS31-PGTW_201310271500.htm |archivedate=October 28, 2013 |location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=October 27, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> and at 1200&nbsp;UTC that day Météo-France reclassified the storm as a tropical disturbance.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-8>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 1 Warning Number 008/1 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KhZkiaZ9?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201310271233.htm |archivedate=October 28, 2013 |format=TXT |date=October 27, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> In an area no longer sufficient to support strengthening, the disturbance gradually diffused,<ref name=01-JTWC-3>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 01S (One) Warning NR 003 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KhZUJcbm?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS31-PGTW_201310280300.htm |archivedate=October 28, 2013 |location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=October 28, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> and six hours later, Météo-France issued their last advisory on the system.<ref name=01-MFR-WRN-9>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 1 Warning Number 009/1 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6KhZkTI6Q?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201310271807.htm |archivedate=October 28, 2013 |format=TXT |date=October 27, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref>
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{{main|Cyclone Amara}}
{{main|Cyclone Amara}}
Amara developed from a disturbance within the [[monsoon trough]] on December&nbsp;14.<ref name=Amara-MFR-BULLETIN-131200>{{cite web|title=Bulletin For Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather In The Southwest Indian Ocean – December 13, 1200 UTC|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/activiteope/bulletins/zcit/ZCITA_201312131205.pdf|publisher=Météo-France|accessdate=21 December 2013|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Lr65jjo9|archivedate=December 14, 2013|format=PDF|date=December 13, 2013}}</ref><ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 2 Warning Number 001/2|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LscMBxZu|archivedate=December 15, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 14, 2013}}</ref> The following day, the system attained tropical depression status.<ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-3>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 2 Warning Number 003/2|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LscLUb1w|archivedate=December 15, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 15, 2013}}</ref> Despite its ill-defined organization,<ref name=Amara-JTWC-TCFA-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert – December 15, 1500 UTC|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs21.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LvbOv9qZ|archivedate=December 17, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 15, 2013}}</ref> the depression was able to continue strengthening, reaching moderate tropical storm status on December&nbsp;16 as it tracked southwest.<ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-9>{{cite web|title=Moderate Tropical Storm 2 (Amara) Warning Number 009/2|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=21 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LvagS6nh|archivedate=December 17, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 16, 2013}}</ref> Situated in a favorable atmospheric environment, a period of [[rapid deepening|rapid intensification]] ensued after Amara reached tropical cyclone status on December&nbsp;18.<ref name=Amara-JTWC-4>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 004|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=23 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Lyg8INVA|archivedate=December 19, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 18, 2013}}</ref><ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-16>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 2 (Amara) Warning Number 016/2|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=23 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LyfjSdyo|archivedate=December 19, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 18, 2013}}</ref> After fluctuating in strength,<ref name=Amara-JTWC-6>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 006|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=23 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M0DvENSb|archivedate=December 20, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 18, 2013}}</ref><ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-19>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 2 (Amara) Warning Number 019/2|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=23 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M0DgW6L9|archivedate=December 20, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 19, 2013}}</ref> the cyclone peaked with maximum sustained winds of 205&nbsp;km/h (125&nbsp;mph) and a minimum barometric pressure of 933&nbsp;mbar (hPa; 27.55&nbsp;inHg) on December&nbsp;21, making it an intense tropical cyclone based on the intensity scale utilized by Météo-France.<ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-27>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 2 (Amara) Warning Number 027/2|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=23 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M1iPhiBU|archivedate=December 21, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 21, 2013}}</ref> Shortly after, wind shear strengthened as Amara tracked southeast, resulting in a weakening phase.<ref name=Amara-JTWC-11>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 011|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=23 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M3GWvakj|archivedate=December 22, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 21, 2013}}</ref> The shearing effects caused the cyclone to rapidly decay,<ref name=Amara-JTWC-12>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 012|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=23 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M4jlRfLL|archivedate=December 23, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 22, 2013}}</ref> and by December&nbsp;23, Amara was determined to have degenerated into a remnant low.<ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-36>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 2 (Ex-Amara) Warning Number 036/2|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=24 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M619j8po|archivedate=December 24, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 22, 2013}}</ref>
Amara developed from a disturbance within the [[monsoon trough]] on December&nbsp;14.<ref name=Amara-MFR-BULLETIN-131200>{{cite web|title=Bulletin For Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather In The Southwest Indian Ocean – December 13, 1200 UTC |url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/activiteope/bulletins/zcit/ZCITA_201312131205.pdf |publisher=Météo-France |accessdate=21 December 2013 |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Lr65jjo9?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.meteo.fr%2Ftemps%2Fdomtom%2FLa_Reunion%2Fwebcmrs9.0%2Fanglais%2Factiviteope%2Fbulletins%2Fzcit%2FZCITA_201312131205.pdf |archivedate=December 14, 2013 |format=PDF |date=December 13, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref><ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 2 Warning Number 001/2 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LscMBxZu?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312141154.htm |archivedate=December 15, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 14, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> The following day, the system attained tropical depression status.<ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-3>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 2 Warning Number 003/2 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LscLUb1w?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312150633.htm |archivedate=December 15, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 15, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Despite its ill-defined organization,<ref name=Amara-JTWC-TCFA-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert – December 15, 1500 UTC |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs21.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LvbOv9qZ?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS21-PGTW_201312151500.htm |archivedate=December 17, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 15, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> the depression was able to continue strengthening, reaching moderate tropical storm status on December&nbsp;16 as it tracked southwest.<ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-9>{{cite web|title=Moderate Tropical Storm 2 (Amara) Warning Number 009/2 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=21 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LvagS6nh?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312161831.htm |archivedate=December 17, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 16, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Situated in a favorable atmospheric environment, a period of [[rapid deepening|rapid intensification]] ensued after Amara reached tropical cyclone status on December&nbsp;18.<ref name=Amara-JTWC-4>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 004 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=23 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Lyg8INVA?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS31-PGTW_201312180900.htm |archivedate=December 19, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 18, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref><ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-16>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 2 (Amara) Warning Number 016/2 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=23 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LyfjSdyo?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312181210.htm |archivedate=December 19, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 18, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> After fluctuating in strength,<ref name=Amara-JTWC-6>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 006 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=23 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M0DvENSb?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS31-PGTW_201312190900.htm |archivedate=December 20, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 18, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref><ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-19>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 2 (Amara) Warning Number 019/2 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=23 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M0DgW6L9?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312191220.htm |archivedate=December 20, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 19, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> the cyclone peaked with maximum sustained winds of 205&nbsp;km/h (125&nbsp;mph) and a minimum barometric pressure of 933&nbsp;mbar (hPa; 27.55&nbsp;inHg) on December&nbsp;21, making it an intense tropical cyclone based on the intensity scale utilized by Météo-France.<ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-27>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 2 (Amara) Warning Number 027/2 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=23 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M1iPhiBU?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312210628.htm |archivedate=December 21, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 21, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Shortly after, wind shear strengthened as Amara tracked southeast, resulting in a weakening phase.<ref name=Amara-JTWC-11>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 011 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=23 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M3GWvakj?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS31-PGTW_201312212100.htm |archivedate=December 22, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 21, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> The shearing effects caused the cyclone to rapidly decay,<ref name=Amara-JTWC-12>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 012 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=23 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M4jlRfLL?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS31-PGTW_201312220900.htm |archivedate=December 23, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 22, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> and by December&nbsp;23, Amara was determined to have degenerated into a remnant low.<ref name=Amara-MFR-WRN-36>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 2 (Ex-Amara) Warning Number 036/2 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=24 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M619j8po?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312231218.htm |archivedate=December 24, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 22, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref>


Amara was initially expected to track directly over the island of Rodrigues, prompting widespread precautionary measures and resulting in the issuance of a Class&nbsp;4 warning&nbsp;– denoting a warning of highest urgency&nbsp;– by the Mauritius Meteorological Services.<ref name=AmaraRaproacher>{{cite news|title=Amara continue de se rapprocher de Rodrigues|url=http://www.ipreunion.com/photo-du-jour/reportage/2013/12/20/meteo-cyclones-amara-frappe-rodrigues-bruce-va-s-eloigner-de-la-reunion,23423.html|accessdate=23 December 2013|date=December 20, 2013|agency=Imaz Press Réunion|language=French|trans-title=Amara continues to approach Rodrigues}}</ref><ref name=AlerteMaximale>{{cite news|title=Rodrigues en alerte maximale
Amara was initially expected to track directly over the island of Rodrigues, prompting widespread precautionary measures and resulting in the issuance of a Class&nbsp;4 warning&nbsp;– denoting a warning of highest urgency&nbsp;– by the Mauritius Meteorological Services.<ref name=AmaraRaproacher>{{cite news|title=Amara continue de se rapprocher de Rodrigues|url=http://www.ipreunion.com/photo-du-jour/reportage/2013/12/20/meteo-cyclones-amara-frappe-rodrigues-bruce-va-s-eloigner-de-la-reunion,23423.html|accessdate=23 December 2013|date=December 20, 2013|agency=Imaz Press Réunion|language=French|trans-title=Amara continues to approach Rodrigues}}</ref><ref name=AlerteMaximale>{{cite news|title=Rodrigues en alerte maximale
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|Pressure=912
}}
}}
On December&nbsp;16, a complex of disturbed weather near [[Indonesia]] was designated as a tropical low by the Australian [[Bureau of Meteorology]].<ref name=Bruce-BOM-BULLETIN-120600>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin for Tropical Low 03U – December 16, 0600 UTC|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ax/axau01.aprf..txt|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Bureau of Meteorology|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LuK4tO5P|archivedate=December 16, 2013|location=Perth, Australia|format=TXT|date=December 16, 2013}}</ref> In an area of only moderate inhibiting atmospheric conditions, the low was able to steadily intensify, reaching tropical cyclone status on December&nbsp;18 as it tracked southwestward.<ref name=Bruce-BOM-BULLETIN-180000>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin for Tropical Cyclone Bruce 03U – December 18, 0000 UTC|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ax/axau01.aprf..txt|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Bureau of Meteorology|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Lx7bIqmn|archivedate=December 18, 2013|location=Perth, Australia|format=TXT|date=December 18, 2013}}</ref> At 2100&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;19, Bruce moved into the area of responsibility of Météo-France after crossing [[90th meridian east|90°E]] with maximum sustained winds of 155&nbsp;km/h (100&nbsp;mph).<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 001/3|url= http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/13122000|publisher=Unisys|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M1iReWBH|archivedate=December 21, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 20, 2013}}</ref> Upon passage into the southwest Indian Ocean Bruce already had a well-defined eye and further strengthening was anticipated.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-1 /><ref name=Bruce-JTWC-6>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 04S (Bruce) Warning NR 006|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs32.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M0CYofNJ|archivedate=December 20, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 20, 2013}}</ref> Six hours later the storm was upgraded to intense tropical cyclone status.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-2>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 002/3|url=http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/13122006|publisher=Unisys|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M1iRRVCD|archivedate=December 21, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 20, 2013}}</ref> At 1800&nbsp;UTC that day, Météo-France upgraded the system to very intense tropical cyclone status, the highest rating possible on their tropical cyclone intensity scale.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-4>{{cite web|title=Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 004/3|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee.pan.pan.txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M1iQOQ1z|archivedate=December 21, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 20, 2013}}</ref> Over the next day, Bruce transiently weakened to intense tropical cyclone status,<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-7>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 007/3|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee.pan.pan.txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M3G8jf1G|archivedate=December 22, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 21, 2013}}</ref> but later regained the maximum classification at 0000&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;22. Consequently, Bruce reached its peak intensity with winds of 230&nbsp;km/h (145&nbsp;mph) and a minimum pressure of 912&nbsp;mbar (hPa; 26.93&nbsp;inHg).<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-9>{{cite web|title=Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 009/3|url=http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/13122200|publisher=Unisys|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M3G7uzho|archivedate=December 22, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 22, 2013}}</ref>
On December&nbsp;16, a complex of disturbed weather near [[Indonesia]] was designated as a tropical low by the Australian [[Bureau of Meteorology]].<ref name=Bruce-BOM-BULLETIN-120600>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin for Tropical Low 03U – December 16, 0600 UTC |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ax/axau01.aprf..txt |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Bureau of Meteorology |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6LuK4tO5P?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FAXAU01-APRF_201312160716.htm |archivedate=December 16, 2013 |location=Perth, Australia |format=TXT |date=December 16, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> In an area of only moderate inhibiting atmospheric conditions, the low was able to steadily intensify, reaching tropical cyclone status on December&nbsp;18 as it tracked southwestward.<ref name=Bruce-BOM-BULLETIN-180000>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin for Tropical Cyclone Bruce 03U – December 18, 0000 UTC |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ax/axau01.aprf..txt |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Bureau of Meteorology |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6Lx7bIqmn?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FAXAU01-APRF_201312180049.htm |archivedate=December 18, 2013 |location=Perth, Australia |format=TXT |date=December 18, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> At 2100&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;19, Bruce moved into the area of responsibility of Météo-France after crossing [[90th meridian east|90°E]] with maximum sustained winds of 155&nbsp;km/h (100&nbsp;mph).<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 001/3 |url=http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/13122000 |publisher=Unisys |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M1iReWBH?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312200022.htm |archivedate=December 21, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 20, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Upon passage into the southwest Indian Ocean Bruce already had a well-defined eye and further strengthening was anticipated.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-1 /><ref name=Bruce-JTWC-6>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 04S (Bruce) Warning NR 006 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs32.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M0CYofNJ?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS32-PGTW_201312200300.htm |archivedate=December 20, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 20, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Six hours later the storm was upgraded to intense tropical cyclone status.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-2>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 002/3 |url=http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/13122006 |publisher=Unisys |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M1iRRVCD?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312200626.htm |archivedate=December 21, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 20, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> At 1800&nbsp;UTC that day, Météo-France upgraded the system to very intense tropical cyclone status, the highest rating possible on their tropical cyclone intensity scale.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-4>{{cite web|title=Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 004/3 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee.pan.pan.txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M1iQOQ1z?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312201833.htm |archivedate=December 21, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 20, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Over the next day, Bruce transiently weakened to intense tropical cyclone status,<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-7>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 007/3 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee.pan.pan.txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M3G8jf1G?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312211245.htm |archivedate=December 22, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 21, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> but later regained the maximum classification at 0000&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;22. Consequently, Bruce reached its peak intensity with winds of 230&nbsp;km/h (145&nbsp;mph) and a minimum pressure of 912&nbsp;mbar (hPa; 26.93&nbsp;inHg).<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-9>{{cite web|title=Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 009/3 |url=http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/13122200 |publisher=Unisys |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M3G7uzho?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312220010.htm |archivedate=December 22, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 22, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref>


Following peak intensity, Bruce began to steadily weaken as the storm's deep region of convection began to diminish.<ref name=Bruce-JTWC-11>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 04S (Bruce) Warning NR 011|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs32.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M4jnUiGt|archivedate=December 23, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 22, 2013}}</ref> At 1200&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;22, the storm was downgraded back to intense tropical cyclone status for a final time as it was becoming increasingly asymmetric.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-11>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 011/3|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee.pan.pan.txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M4jQnBiT|archivedate=December 22, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 22, 2013}}</ref><ref name=Bruce-JTWC-12>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 04S (Bruce) Warning NR 012|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs32.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M4jnHegW|archivedate=December 23, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 23, 2013}}</ref> During the same timeframe Bruce began to curve around the western periphery of a nearby subtropical ridge, redirecting the cyclone's path towards the south.<ref name=Bruce-JTWC-12 /> On December&nbsp;23, the cyclone's eye finally succumbed to cooling [[sea surface temperature]]s and Bruce was downgraded to a low-end tropical cyclone by Météo-France.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-15>{{cite web|title= Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 015/3|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee.pan.pan.txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M6I4wAFi|archivedate=December 24, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 23, 2013}}</ref><ref name=Bruce-JTWC-13>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 04S (Bruce) Warning NR 013|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs32.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M6ITwebx|archivedate=December 24, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 23, 2013}}</ref> By the end of the day, Bruce was downgraded further to severe tropical storm intensity as the bulk of convection began to shear away from the low-level circulation center.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-16>{{cite web|title=Severe Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 016/3|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M6I8thY0|archivedate=December 24, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 23, 2013}}</ref><ref name=Bruce-JTWC-14>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 04S (Bruce) Warning NR 014|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs32.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M6ITjAjj|archivedate=December 24, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 23, 2013}}</ref> Accelerating southeastwards, Bruce transitioned into an [[extratropical cyclone]] on December&nbsp;24, ceasing Météo-France's monitoring operations.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-17>{{cite web|title=Post-Tropical Depression 3 (Ex-Bruce) Warning Number 017/3|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=26 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M6I8TzDq|archivedate=December 24, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 24, 2013}}</ref> {{citation needed span|Its remnants [[2013–14 Australian region cyclone season#Severe Tropical Cyclone Bruce|exited the basin]] and re-entered the Australian region basin on December&nbsp;25.|date=December 2013}}
Following peak intensity, Bruce began to steadily weaken as the storm's deep region of convection began to diminish.<ref name=Bruce-JTWC-11>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 04S (Bruce) Warning NR 011 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs32.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M4jnUiGt?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS32-PGTW_201312221500.htm |archivedate=December 23, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 22, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> At 1200&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;22, the storm was downgraded back to intense tropical cyclone status for a final time as it was becoming increasingly asymmetric.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-11>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 011/3 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee.pan.pan.txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M4jQnBiT?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312221229.htm |archivedate=December 22, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 22, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref><ref name=Bruce-JTWC-12>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 04S (Bruce) Warning NR 012 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs32.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M4jnHegW?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS32-PGTW_201312230300.htm |archivedate=December 23, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 23, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> During the same timeframe Bruce began to curve around the western periphery of a nearby subtropical ridge, redirecting the cyclone's path towards the south.<ref name=Bruce-JTWC-12 /> On December&nbsp;23, the cyclone's eye finally succumbed to cooling [[sea surface temperature]]s and Bruce was downgraded to a low-end tropical cyclone by Météo-France.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-15>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 015/3 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio20.fmee.pan.pan.txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M6I4wAFi?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201312231224.htm |archivedate=December 24, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 23, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref><ref name=Bruce-JTWC-13>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 04S (Bruce) Warning NR 013 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs32.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M6ITwebx?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS32-PGTW_201312231500.htm |archivedate=December 24, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 23, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> By the end of the day, Bruce was downgraded further to severe tropical storm intensity as the bulk of convection began to shear away from the low-level circulation center.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-16>{{cite web|title=Severe Tropical Cyclone 3 (Bruce) Warning Number 016/3 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M6I8thY0?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO22-FMEE_201312231814.htm |archivedate=December 24, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 23, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref><ref name=Bruce-JTWC-14>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 04S (Bruce) Warning NR 014 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs32.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M6ITjAjj?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS32-PGTW_201312240300.htm |archivedate=December 24, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 23, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Accelerating southeastwards, Bruce transitioned into an [[extratropical cyclone]] on December&nbsp;24, ceasing Météo-France's monitoring operations.<ref name=Bruce-MFR-WRN-17>{{cite web|title=Post-Tropical Depression 3 (Ex-Bruce) Warning Number 017/3 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=26 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6M6I8TzDq?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO22-FMEE_201312240058.htm |archivedate=December 24, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 24, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> {{citation needed span|Its remnants [[2013–14 Australian region cyclone season#Severe Tropical Cyclone Bruce|exited the basin]] and re-entered the Australian region basin on December&nbsp;25.|date=December 2013}}
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{{outdated section|date=November 2014}}
{{outdated section|date=November 2014}}
In late December&nbsp;2013, [[numerical weather prediction|computer forecast models]] began to predict the development and [[tropical cyclogenesis|cyclogenesis]] of a disturbance within the [[monsoon trough]] north of [[Madagascar]].<ref name=MFR-BULLETIN-271200>{{cite web|title=Bulletin For Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather In The Southwest Indian Ocean – December 27, 1200 UTC|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/activiteope/bulletins/zcit/ZCITA_201312271054.pdf|publisher=Météo-France|accessdate=30 December 2013|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MGIIbdpk|archivedate=December 30, 2013|format=PDF|date=December 27, 2013}}</ref> At 1800&nbsp;[[Coordinated Universal Time|UTC]] on December&nbsp;27, the [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]&nbsp;<small>(JTWC)</small> noted a discrete area of disturbed weather approximately {{convert|1350|km|mi|abbr=on}} north-northwest of [[Réunion]] that corresponded with model forecasts and had the potential to develop.<ref name=JTWC-STWA-271800>{{cite web|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean – December 27, 1830 UTC|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ab/abio10.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=30 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDvEETcd|archivedate=December 29, 2013|location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 27, 2013}}</ref> Accompanied by a [[atmospheric circulation|low-level circulation center]], the monitored storm complex developed [[rainband]]s about its southern periphery the following day.<ref name=JTWC-STWA-281000>{{cite web|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean– December 28, 1000 UTC|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ab/abio10.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=30 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDvDzIJK|archivedate=December 29, 2013|location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 28, 2013}}</ref> At 1200&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;28, [[Météo-France]] deemed the system sufficiently organized to be considered a tropical disturbance, the fourth system to be given such a classification by the agency that season.<ref name=MFR-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 4 Warning Number 001/4|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=30 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDvo5q5Q|archivedate=December 29, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 28, 2013}}</ref> Upon its designation, the disturbance was analyzed to have an unusually high [[barometric pressure]], based on nearby weather station observations.<ref name=MFR-BULLETIN-281200>{{cite web|title=Bulletin For Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather In The Southwest Indian Ocean – December 28, 1200 UTC|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/activiteope/bulletins/zcit/ZCITA_201312281114.pdf|publisher=Météo-France|accessdate=30 December 2013|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MGJYaSmL|archivedate=December 30, 2013|format=PDF|date=December 28, 2013}}</ref> Météo-France projected for the system to peak as a tropical cyclone before slightly weakening before impacting the [[Mascarene Islands]].<ref name=MFR-FCST-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 1 Forecast Warning Number 001/4|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=30 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDw4vjVa|archivedate=December 29, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 28, 2013}}</ref>
In late December&nbsp;2013, [[numerical weather prediction|computer forecast models]] began to predict the development and [[tropical cyclogenesis|cyclogenesis]] of a disturbance within the [[monsoon trough]] north of [[Madagascar]].<ref name=MFR-BULLETIN-271200>{{cite web|title=Bulletin For Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather In The Southwest Indian Ocean – December 27, 1200 UTC |url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/activiteope/bulletins/zcit/ZCITA_201312271054.pdf |publisher=Météo-France |accessdate=30 December 2013 |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MGIIbdpk?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.meteo.fr%2Ftemps%2Fdomtom%2FLa_Reunion%2Fwebcmrs9.0%2Fanglais%2Factiviteope%2Fbulletins%2Fzcit%2FZCITA_201312271054.pdf |archivedate=December 30, 2013 |format=PDF |date=December 27, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> At 1800&nbsp;[[Coordinated Universal Time|UTC]] on December&nbsp;27, the [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]&nbsp;<small>(JTWC)</small> noted a discrete area of disturbed weather approximately {{convert|1350|km|mi|abbr=on}} north-northwest of [[Réunion]] that corresponded with model forecasts and had the potential to develop.<ref name=JTWC-STWA-271800>{{cite web|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean – December 27, 1830 UTC |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ab/abio10.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=30 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDvEETcd?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FABIO10-PGTW_201312271800.htm |archivedate=December 29, 2013 |location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 27, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Accompanied by a [[atmospheric circulation|low-level circulation center]], the monitored storm complex developed [[rainband]]s about its southern periphery the following day.<ref name=JTWC-STWA-281000>{{cite web|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean– December 28, 1000 UTC |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ab/abio10.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=30 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDvDzIJK?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FABIO10-PGTW_201312281000.htm |archivedate=December 29, 2013 |location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 28, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> At 1200&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;28, [[Météo-France]] deemed the system sufficiently organized to be considered a tropical disturbance, the fourth system to be given such a classification by the agency that season.<ref name=MFR-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 4 Warning Number 001/4 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=30 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDvo5q5Q?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO22-FMEE_201312281217.htm |archivedate=December 29, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 28, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Upon its designation, the disturbance was analyzed to have an unusually high [[barometric pressure]], based on nearby weather station observations.<ref name=MFR-BULLETIN-281200>{{cite web|title=Bulletin For Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather In The Southwest Indian Ocean – December 28, 1200 UTC |url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/activiteope/bulletins/zcit/ZCITA_201312281114.pdf |publisher=Météo-France |accessdate=30 December 2013 |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MGJYaSmL?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.meteo.fr%2Ftemps%2Fdomtom%2FLa_Reunion%2Fwebcmrs9.0%2Fanglais%2Factiviteope%2Fbulletins%2Fzcit%2FZCITA_201312281114.pdf |archivedate=December 30, 2013 |format=PDF |date=December 28, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Météo-France projected for the system to peak as a tropical cyclone before slightly weakening before impacting the [[Mascarene Islands]].<ref name=MFR-FCST-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Disturbance 1 Forecast Warning Number 001/4 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=30 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDw4vjVa?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201312281251.htm |archivedate=December 29, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 28, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref>


Tracking southward, the disturbance steadily organized following December&nbsp;28. As a result of [[wind shear]], the system's low-level circulation center remained partially exposed, though the shearing conditions were expected to lessen <ref name=JTWC-TCFA-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert –December 29, 0300 UTC|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs22.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=30 December 2013|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDvOoFz9|archivedate=December 29, 2013|location=Honolulu, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=December 29, 2013}}</ref> At 0000&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;29, the disturbance was upgraded to a tropical depression.<ref name=MFR-WRN-3>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 4 Warning Number 003/4|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=30 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDvneBhC|archivedate=December 29, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 29, 2013}}</ref> At 1800&nbsp;UTC that day, the depression intensified to moderate tropical storm intensity, thus receiving the name ''Bejisa'' by the Mauritius Meteorological Services.<ref name=MFR-WRN-7>{{cite web|title=Moderate Tropical Storm 4 (Bejisa) Warning Number 007/4|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=30 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MFMo8tyO|archivedate=December 30, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 29, 2013}}</ref><ref name=MFR-FCST-6>{{cite web|title=Moderate Tropical Storm 4 (Bejisa) Forecast Warning Number 006/4|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=30 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MFMjSCFD|archivedate=December 30, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 29, 2013}}</ref> This coincided with the improving satellite appearance of the storm's [[central dense overcast]].<ref name=MFR-FCST-6 /> Intensification subsequently quickened, and at 0600&nbsp;UTC the next day Bejisa was considered to be a severe tropical storm.<ref name=MFR-WRN-8>{{cite web|title=Severe Tropical Storm 4 (Bejisa) Warning Number 008/4|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=30 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MFMnSFRZ|archivedate=December 30, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 30, 2013}}</ref> Concurrently a strengthening [[ridge (meteorology)|ridge]] in the mid-levels of the troposphere began to steer the storm towards the south-southeast.<ref name=MFR-FCST-8>{{cite web|title=Severe Tropical Storm 4 (Bejisa) Forecast Warning Number 008/4|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=30 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MFMiwsIV|archivedate=December 30, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 30, 2013}}</ref> Following the development of a small [[eye (cyclone)|pinhole eye]], Bejisa was upgraded to tropical cyclone status at 1200&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;30,<ref name=MFR-WRN-9>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 4 (Bejisa) Warning Number 009/4|url=http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/13123012|publisher=Unsys|accessdate=31 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MFMnSFRZ|archivedate=December 31, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 30, 2013}}</ref> followed by intense tropical cyclone status six hours thereafter.<ref name=MFR-WRN-10>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 4 (Bejisa) Warning Number 010/4|url=http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/13123018|publisher=Unsys|accessdate=31 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MGxm3hYj|archivedate=December 31, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 30, 2013}}</ref> This intensification phase was short-lived, as an [[eyewall replacement cycle]] resulted in a slight deterioration and fluctuation of the storm's organization and structure.<ref name=MFR-FCST-13>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 4 (Bejisa) Forecast Warning Number 013/4|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=31 December 2013|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MGxpoorV|archivedate=December 31, 2013|format=TXT|date=December 31, 2013}}</ref>
Tracking southward, the disturbance steadily organized following December&nbsp;28. As a result of [[wind shear]], the system's low-level circulation center remained partially exposed, though the shearing conditions were expected to lessen <ref name=JTWC-TCFA-1>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert –December 29, 0300 UTC |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs22.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=30 December 2013 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDvOoFz9?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTXS22-PGTW_201312290300.htm |archivedate=December 29, 2013 |location=Honolulu, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=December 29, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> At 0000&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;29, the disturbance was upgraded to a tropical depression.<ref name=MFR-WRN-3>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 4 Warning Number 003/4 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=30 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MDvneBhC?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO22-FMEE_201312290036.htm |archivedate=December 29, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 29, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> At 1800&nbsp;UTC that day, the depression intensified to moderate tropical storm intensity, thus receiving the name ''Bejisa'' by the Mauritius Meteorological Services.<ref name=MFR-WRN-7>{{cite web|title=Moderate Tropical Storm 4 (Bejisa) Warning Number 007/4 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=30 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MFMo8tyO?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO22-FMEE_201312291822.htm |archivedate=December 30, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 29, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref><ref name=MFR-FCST-6>{{cite web|title=Moderate Tropical Storm 4 (Bejisa) Forecast Warning Number 006/4 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=30 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MFMjSCFD?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201312291855.htm |archivedate=December 30, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 29, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> This coincided with the improving satellite appearance of the storm's [[central dense overcast]].<ref name=MFR-FCST-6 /> Intensification subsequently quickened, and at 0600&nbsp;UTC the next day Bejisa was considered to be a severe tropical storm.<ref name=MFR-WRN-8>{{cite web|title=Severe Tropical Storm 4 (Bejisa) Warning Number 008/4 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio22.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=30 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MFMnSFRZ?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO22-FMEE_201312300630.htm |archivedate=December 30, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 30, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Concurrently a strengthening [[ridge (meteorology)|ridge]] in the mid-levels of the troposphere began to steer the storm towards the south-southeast.<ref name=MFR-FCST-8>{{cite web|title=Severe Tropical Storm 4 (Bejisa) Forecast Warning Number 008/4 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=30 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MFMiwsIV?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201312300642.htm |archivedate=December 30, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 30, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Following the development of a small [[eye (cyclone)|pinhole eye]], Bejisa was upgraded to tropical cyclone status at 1200&nbsp;UTC on December&nbsp;30,<ref name=MFR-WRN-9>{{cite web|title=Tropical Cyclone 4 (Bejisa) Warning Number 009/4 |url=http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/13123012 |publisher=Unsys |accessdate=31 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MFMnSFRZ?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO22-FMEE_201312300630.htm |archivedate=December 31, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 30, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> followed by intense tropical cyclone status six hours thereafter.<ref name=MFR-WRN-10>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 4 (Bejisa) Warning Number 010/4 |url=http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/13123018 |publisher=Unsys |accessdate=31 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MGxm3hYj?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO22-FMEE_201312301839.htm |archivedate=December 31, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 30, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> This intensification phase was short-lived, as an [[eyewall replacement cycle]] resulted in a slight deterioration and fluctuation of the storm's organization and structure.<ref name=MFR-FCST-13>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 4 (Bejisa) Forecast Warning Number 013/4 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=31 December 2013 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MGxpoorV?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201312310040.htm |archivedate=December 31, 2013 |format=TXT |date=December 31, 2013 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref>
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The initial development of the season's fifth tropical depression was quickly paced. The JTWC first began monitoring the system in its advisories at 1800&nbsp;UTC on January&nbsp;7, while the area of disturbed weather was within the [[Mozambique Channel]]. By that time, a well-defined low-level circulation center had already developed, and computer models indicated that tropical cyclogenesis was a likely probability due to the storm's expected track within a favorable atmospheric environment.<ref name=05-JTWC-STWA-071800>{{cite web|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean – January 7, 1800 UTC|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ab/abio10.pgtw..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=9 January 2014|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MTKzgXng|archivedate=January 8, 2014|location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii|format=TXT|date=January 7, 2014}}</ref> At 1200&nbsp;UTC on January&nbsp;8, Météo-France classified the system as a zone of disturbed weather,<ref name=05-MFR-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Zone of Disturbed Weather 5 Warning Number 001/5|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio21.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=9 January 2014|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MUglrWvR|archivedate=January 9, 2014|format=TXT|date=January 8, 2014|language=French}}</ref> though at the time the storm's convective activity was intermittent.<ref name=05-MFR-FCST-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Zone of Disturbed Weather 5 Forecast Warning Number 001/5|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=9 January 2014|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MUh0XamE|archivedate=January 9, 2014|format=TXT|date=January 8, 2014}}</ref> Shortly after designation the system developed, albeit shallow, convective banding.<ref name=05-JTWC-STWA-071800/> At 0600&nbsp;UTC the following day, the zone of disturbed weather was upgraded to tropical depression status while just off the west coast of [[Madagascar]].<ref name=05-MFR-WRN-2>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 5 Warning Number 002/5|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio21.fmee..txt|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|accessdate=9 January 2014|author=Météo-France|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MUglZQk1|archivedate=January 9, 2014|format=TXT|date=January 9, 2014|language=French}}</ref>
The initial development of the season's fifth tropical depression was quickly paced. The JTWC first began monitoring the system in its advisories at 1800&nbsp;UTC on January&nbsp;7, while the area of disturbed weather was within the [[Mozambique Channel]]. By that time, a well-defined low-level circulation center had already developed, and computer models indicated that tropical cyclogenesis was a likely probability due to the storm's expected track within a favorable atmospheric environment.<ref name=05-JTWC-STWA-071800>{{cite web|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean – January 7, 1800 UTC |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ab/abio10.pgtw..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=9 January 2014 |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MTKzgXng?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FABIO10-PGTW_201401071800.htm |archivedate=January 8, 2014 |location=Pearl Harbor, Hawaii |format=TXT |date=January 7, 2014 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> At 1200&nbsp;UTC on January&nbsp;8, Météo-France classified the system as a zone of disturbed weather,<ref name=05-MFR-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Zone of Disturbed Weather 5 Warning Number 001/5 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio21.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=9 January 2014 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MUglrWvR?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO21-FMEE_201401081238.htm |archivedate=January 9, 2014 |format=TXT |date=January 8, 2014 |language=French |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> though at the time the storm's convective activity was intermittent.<ref name=05-MFR-FCST-WRN-1>{{cite web|title=Zone of Disturbed Weather 5 Forecast Warning Number 001/5 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=9 January 2014 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MUh0XamE?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201401081248.htm |archivedate=January 9, 2014 |format=TXT |date=January 8, 2014 |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Shortly after designation the system developed, albeit shallow, convective banding.<ref name=05-JTWC-STWA-071800/> At 0600&nbsp;UTC the following day, the zone of disturbed weather was upgraded to tropical depression status while just off the west coast of [[Madagascar]].<ref name=05-MFR-WRN-2>{{cite web|title=Tropical Depression 5 Warning Number 002/5 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio21.fmee..txt |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |accessdate=9 January 2014 |author=Météo-France |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MUglZQk1?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO21-FMEE_201401090633.htm |archivedate=January 9, 2014 |format=TXT |date=January 9, 2014 |language=French |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref>


Forecasts early in the depression's history indicated that heavy rainfall was likely in areas of southwestern Madagascar,<ref name=TD5PathOCHA /> though these rains would come during an extended period of abnormally dry weather.<ref name=AFHazardJan9>{{cite report|title=Africa Hazards Outlook January 9&nbsp;– January 15, 2014|url=http://reliefweb.int/map/namibia/climate-prediction-center-s-africa-hazards-outlook-january-9-january-15-2014|publisher=ReliefWeb|accessdate=10 January 2014|author=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center|date=January 8, 2014}}</ref> As a result, the Madagascar National Bureau for Risk and Disaster Management issued a red alert, signifying imminent heavy rain, for five Malagasy districts and a yellow alert, signifying a threat of heavy rain, in seven districts. In [[Morondava]], 205&nbsp;people were evacuated to safe havens where authorities provided food.<ref name=TD5PathOCHA>{{cite report|title=Tropical Depression Path (as of 8th January 2014)|url=http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/OCHA_ROSA_Madgascar_Tropical_Depression_Warning_Map_2014_01_08.pdf|publisher=ReliefWeb|accessdate=10 January 2014|author=United Nations Office for the Coordination of Human Affairs|format=PDF|date=January 8, 2014}}</ref>
Forecasts early in the depression's history indicated that heavy rainfall was likely in areas of southwestern Madagascar,<ref name=TD5PathOCHA /> though these rains would come during an extended period of abnormally dry weather.<ref name=AFHazardJan9>{{cite report|title=Africa Hazards Outlook January 9&nbsp;– January 15, 2014|url=http://reliefweb.int/map/namibia/climate-prediction-center-s-africa-hazards-outlook-january-9-january-15-2014|publisher=ReliefWeb|accessdate=10 January 2014|author=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center|date=January 8, 2014}}</ref> As a result, the Madagascar National Bureau for Risk and Disaster Management issued a red alert, signifying imminent heavy rain, for five Malagasy districts and a yellow alert, signifying a threat of heavy rain, in seven districts. In [[Morondava]], 205&nbsp;people were evacuated to safe havens where authorities provided food.<ref name=TD5PathOCHA>{{cite report|title=Tropical Depression Path (as of 8th January 2014)|url=http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/OCHA_ROSA_Madgascar_Tropical_Depression_Warning_Map_2014_01_08.pdf|publisher=ReliefWeb|accessdate=10 January 2014|author=United Nations Office for the Coordination of Human Affairs|format=PDF|date=January 8, 2014}}</ref>
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|Pressure=930
|Pressure=930
}}
}}
A tropical low in the Australian region basin formed on January 6, which was about {{convert|450|km|abbr=on}} east-northeast of [[Christmas Island]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/IDW10800_201401060533.htm |title=Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region, Issued at 1:35 pm WST on Monday 6 January 2014 |date=6 January 2014 |accessdate=7 January 2014 |publisher=TCWC Perth |deadurl=unfit |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MR9DMVR7 |archivedate=January 7, 2014 }}</ref> Over the next days the system moved rapidly westwards and entered the Southwest Indian Ocean during the morning of January 9.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/IDW10800_201401090600.htm |title=Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region, Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Thursday 9 January 2014 |date=9 January 2014 |accessdate=9 January 2014 |publisher=TCWC Perth |deadurl=unfit |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MUgL9OtT |archivedate=January 9, 2014 }}</ref> Despite being under significant wind shear, the system managed to organize a low level eye which was detectable in microwave imagery.<ref>{{cite web|title=Moderate Tropical Storm 6 (Colin) - Warning #3 |url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO30-FMEE_201401100138.htm |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |accessdate=19 February 2014 |date=10 January 2014 |deadurl=unfit |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MW84XlW7 |archivedate=January 10, 2014 }}</ref> As a result, the storm was upgraded to moderate tropical storm strength and named ''Colin'' the next day.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO20-FMEE_201401100057.htm |title=Cyclone Warning 003 for Moderate Tropical Storm Colin |date=10 January 2014 |accessdate=10 January 2014 |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |deadurl=unfit |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MW8ZTIXk |archivedate=January 10, 2014 }}</ref> On January 11 shear let up, allowing Colin favorable conditions for strengthening. Tracking southwest, Colin rapidly intensified much faster than initial predictions expected into an intense tropical cyclone during the succeeding 24 hours. Six hours later on January 12 Colin had reached its peak intensity of 185&nbsp;km/h&nbsp;(115&nbsp;mph).<ref>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 6 (Colin) - Warning #12 |url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO30-FMEE_201401120658.htm |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |accessdate=19 February 2014 |date=12 January 2014 |deadurl=unfit |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MZCZIHzN |archivedate=January 12, 2014 }}</ref> Just like cyclones Amara and Bruce, Colin had undergone [[rapid deepening]]. But by January 13, Colin's eyewall had become severely eroded and the system was downgraded to a severe tropical storm. As it tracked further into cooler waters, the storm weakened to tropical storm strength early on January 14 and made a turn to the southeast. Environmental conditions continued to become unfavorable and the storm transitioned into an extratropical cyclone on January 15.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/colin-southern-indian-ocean/|title=NASA Sees Tropical Cyclone Colin's Final Bow|accessdate=January 15, 2014|publisher=NASA}}</ref>
A tropical low in the Australian region basin formed on January 6, which was about {{convert|450|km|abbr=on}} east-northeast of [[Christmas Island]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/IDW10800_201401060533.htm |title=Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region, Issued at 1:35 pm WST on Monday 6 January 2014 |date=6 January 2014 |accessdate=7 January 2014 |publisher=TCWC Perth |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MR9DMVR7?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FIDW10800_201401060533.htm |archivedate=January 7, 2014 |df= }}</ref> Over the next days the system moved rapidly westwards and entered the Southwest Indian Ocean during the morning of January 9.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/IDW10800_201401090600.htm |title=Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region, Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Thursday 9 January 2014 |date=9 January 2014 |accessdate=9 January 2014 |publisher=TCWC Perth |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MUgL9OtT?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FIDW10800_201401090600.htm |archivedate=January 9, 2014 |df= }}</ref> Despite being under significant wind shear, the system managed to organize a low level eye which was detectable in microwave imagery.<ref>{{cite web|title=Moderate Tropical Storm 6 (Colin) - Warning #3 |url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO30-FMEE_201401100138.htm |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |accessdate=19 February 2014 |date=10 January 2014 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MW84XlW7?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201401100138.htm |archivedate=January 10, 2014 |df= }}</ref> As a result, the storm was upgraded to moderate tropical storm strength and named ''Colin'' the next day.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO20-FMEE_201401100057.htm |title=Cyclone Warning 003 for Moderate Tropical Storm Colin |date=10 January 2014 |accessdate=10 January 2014 |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MW8ZTIXk?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO20-FMEE_201401100057.htm |archivedate=January 10, 2014 |df= }}</ref> On January 11 shear let up, allowing Colin favorable conditions for strengthening. Tracking southwest, Colin rapidly intensified much faster than initial predictions expected into an intense tropical cyclone during the succeeding 24 hours. Six hours later on January 12 Colin had reached its peak intensity of 185&nbsp;km/h&nbsp;(115&nbsp;mph).<ref>{{cite web|title=Intense Tropical Cyclone 6 (Colin) - Warning #12 |url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO30-FMEE_201401120658.htm |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |accessdate=19 February 2014 |date=12 January 2014 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MZCZIHzN?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201401120658.htm |archivedate=January 12, 2014 |df= }}</ref> Just like cyclones Amara and Bruce, Colin had undergone [[rapid deepening]]. But by January 13, Colin's eyewall had become severely eroded and the system was downgraded to a severe tropical storm. As it tracked further into cooler waters, the storm weakened to tropical storm strength early on January 14 and made a turn to the southeast. Environmental conditions continued to become unfavorable and the storm transitioned into an extratropical cyclone on January 15.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/colin-southern-indian-ocean/|title=NASA Sees Tropical Cyclone Colin's Final Bow|accessdate=January 15, 2014|publisher=NASA}}</ref>
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|Pressure=992
|Pressure=992
}}
}}
{{citation needed span|An area of convection accompanied by a broad circulation was first noted within a region of moderate wind shear by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center early on January 15. It was located for the most part over land, and it drifted out into the Mozambique Channel during the same day. On January 16, the small system tracked south-southwest and was designated by MFR as Tropical Disturbance 7. Shortly thereafter, JTWC declared it as Tropical Cyclone 09S.|date=July 2016}} At 1800z, Météo-France noted that the system was maintaining a tight curved band pattern and the Madagascar Meteorological Service named the storm ''Deliwe''.<ref>{{cite web|title=Moderate Tropical Storm 7 (Deliwe) - Warning #2 |url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO30-FMEE_201401161911.htm |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |accessdate=19 February 2014 |date=16 January 2014 |deadurl=unfit |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MgmLKbR8 |archivedate=January 17, 2014 }}</ref> {{citation needed span|Throughout the next 24 hours, Deliwe managed to persist as a moderate tropical storm while it moved away from the Madagascar coast, but increasing shear associated with an upper-level trough weakened the storm back to a tropical depression.|date=July 2016}} Deliwe turned west and convection sheared away to the south, exposing the low-level circulation center, but the storm maintained a small region of gale force winds for a brief period after Réunion issued their last advisory on the system.<ref>{{cite web|title=Remnant Low 7 (Deliwe) - Warning #7 |url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO30-FMEE_201401171836.htm |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |accessdate=19 February 2014 |date=18 January 2014 |deadurl=unfit |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MiFsDgxp |archivedate=January 18, 2014 }}</ref> The remnants of Deliwe turned back to the north, dissipating as they approached Mozambique.
{{citation needed span|An area of convection accompanied by a broad circulation was first noted within a region of moderate wind shear by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center early on January 15. It was located for the most part over land, and it drifted out into the Mozambique Channel during the same day. On January 16, the small system tracked south-southwest and was designated by MFR as Tropical Disturbance 7. Shortly thereafter, JTWC declared it as Tropical Cyclone 09S.|date=July 2016}} At 1800z, Météo-France noted that the system was maintaining a tight curved band pattern and the Madagascar Meteorological Service named the storm ''Deliwe''.<ref>{{cite web|title=Moderate Tropical Storm 7 (Deliwe) - Warning #2 |url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO30-FMEE_201401161911.htm |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |accessdate=19 February 2014 |date=16 January 2014 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MgmLKbR8?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201401161911.htm |archivedate=January 17, 2014 |df= }}</ref> {{citation needed span|Throughout the next 24 hours, Deliwe managed to persist as a moderate tropical storm while it moved away from the Madagascar coast, but increasing shear associated with an upper-level trough weakened the storm back to a tropical depression.|date=July 2016}} Deliwe turned west and convection sheared away to the south, exposing the low-level circulation center, but the storm maintained a small region of gale force winds for a brief period after Réunion issued their last advisory on the system.<ref>{{cite web|title=Remnant Low 7 (Deliwe) - Warning #7 |url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO30-FMEE_201401171836.htm |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |accessdate=19 February 2014 |date=18 January 2014 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6MiFsDgxp?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201401171836.htm |archivedate=January 18, 2014 |df= }}</ref> The remnants of Deliwe turned back to the north, dissipating as they approached Mozambique.


Deliwe produced heavy rains in the [[Melaky]] region of Madagascar and caused significant flooding, resulting in at least two fatalities. Additionally, one person went missing after being swept away by the swollen [[Mahajamba River]] in [[Mitsinjo]]. In [[Mahajanga]], rising waters left 463 people homeless. Strong wind gusts caused some damage, most notably the roof of a school in [[Soalala]], [[Boeny]], was blown off.<ref>{{cite web|publisher=L'Express de Madagascar|date=January 18, 2014|accessdate=January 19, 2014|title=Le cyclone Deliwe dévaste l’Ouest de Madagascar|url=http://www.lexpressmada.com/blog/actualites/le-cyclone-deliwe-devaste-louest-de-madagascar-2137|language=fr}}</ref>
Deliwe produced heavy rains in the [[Melaky]] region of Madagascar and caused significant flooding, resulting in at least two fatalities. Additionally, one person went missing after being swept away by the swollen [[Mahajamba River]] in [[Mitsinjo]]. In [[Mahajanga]], rising waters left 463 people homeless. Strong wind gusts caused some damage, most notably the roof of a school in [[Soalala]], [[Boeny]], was blown off.<ref>{{cite web|publisher=L'Express de Madagascar|date=January 18, 2014|accessdate=January 19, 2014|title=Le cyclone Deliwe dévaste l’Ouest de Madagascar|url=http://www.lexpressmada.com/blog/actualites/le-cyclone-deliwe-devaste-louest-de-madagascar-2137|language=fr}}</ref>
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}}
}}
{{incomplete|section|date=November 2014}}
{{incomplete|section|date=November 2014}}
An area of convection over eastern [[Mozambique]] moved into the [[Mozambique Channel]] and was designated a Tropical Disturbance on February 18.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6NTQSqAx8|title=Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning 01|archivedate=February 18, 2014|accessdate=February 18, 2014|publisher=RSMC La Réunion}}</ref> Later that day, the JTWC gave the designation of 15S. It steadily intensified into Severe Tropical Storm Guito on February 18. The next day, Guito intensified into a Category 1 tropical cyclone and a ragged eye formed.<ref>{{cite web|title=NASA satellite sees a ragged eye develop in Tropical Cyclone Guito|url=http://www.sciencecodex.com/nasa_satellite_sees_a_ragged_eye_develop_in_tropical_cyclone_guito-128239|accessdate=February 19, 2014}}</ref>
An area of convection over eastern [[Mozambique]] moved into the [[Mozambique Channel]] and was designated a Tropical Disturbance on February 18.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtio30.fmee..txt |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6NTQSqAx8?url=http%3A%2F%2Fweather.noaa.gov%2Fpub%2Fdata%2Fraw%2Fwt%2Fwtio30.fmee..txt |title=Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning 01 |archivedate=February 18, 2014 |accessdate=February 18, 2014 |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |deadurl=no |df= }}</ref> Later that day, the JTWC gave the designation of 15S. It steadily intensified into Severe Tropical Storm Guito on February 18. The next day, Guito intensified into a Category 1 tropical cyclone and a ragged eye formed.<ref>{{cite web|title=NASA satellite sees a ragged eye develop in Tropical Cyclone Guito|url=http://www.sciencecodex.com/nasa_satellite_sees_a_ragged_eye_develop_in_tropical_cyclone_guito-128239|accessdate=February 19, 2014}}</ref>
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}}
}}
{{incomplete|section|date=August 2014}}
{{incomplete|section|date=August 2014}}
During February 27, RSMC La Réunion reported that a subtropical depression had formed {{convert|725|km|abbr=on}} southeast of [[Durban]], [[South Africa]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO30-FMEE_201402271305.htm |title=Forecast Warning 001 for Subtropical Depression 13 |date=27 February 2014 |accessdate=27 February 2014 |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |deadurl=unfit |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6NhWSTZKI |archivedate=February 27, 2014 }}</ref>
During February 27, RSMC La Réunion reported that a subtropical depression had formed {{convert|725|km|abbr=on}} southeast of [[Durban]], [[South Africa]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTIO30-FMEE_201402271305.htm |title=Forecast Warning 001 for Subtropical Depression 13 |date=27 February 2014 |accessdate=27 February 2014 |publisher=RSMC La Réunion |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/6NhWSTZKI?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgwydir.demon.co.uk%2Fadvisories%2FWTIO30-FMEE_201402271305.htm |archivedate=February 27, 2014 |df= }}</ref>
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==External links==
==External links==
* [http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)]
* [http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)]
* [http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/meteoreunion2/ Météo France (RSMC La Réunion)]
* [https://web.archive.org/web/20110719203545/http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/meteoreunion2/ Météo France (RSMC La Réunion)]
* [http://www.cyclones.fr/ Cyclones Indian Ocean]
* [http://www.cyclones.fr/ Cyclones Indian Ocean]
* [http://www.wmo.int/index-en.html World Meteorological Organization]
* [http://www.wmo.int/index-en.html World Meteorological Organization]

Revision as of 23:11, 25 September 2016

2013–14 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season
Season summary map
Seasonal boundaries
First system formedOctober 21, 2013
Last system dissipatedApril 6, 2014
Strongest storm
NameBruce
 • Maximum winds230 km/h (145 mph)
(10-minute sustained)
 • Lowest pressure912 hPa (mbar)
Seasonal statistics
Total disturbances15
Total depressions13
Total storms11
Tropical cyclones5
Intense tropical cyclones5
Very intense tropical cyclones2
Total fatalities11 total
Total damageAt least $89.2 million (2014 USD)
Related articles
South-West Indian Ocean tropical cyclone seasons
2011–12, 2012–13, 2013–14, 2014–15, 2015–16

The 2013–14 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season is an event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation that ended on June 30, 2014. The season officially began on July 1, 2013,[1] though the first tropical system designated by Météo-France was a short-lived tropical disturbance that developed on July 8. However, the first named storm was Cyclone Amara in December. The strongest cyclone of the season was Cyclone Bruce, which originated from the Australian region and later intensified to a peak intensity with maximum sustained winds of 230 km/h (145 mph), making it the first system in the South-West Indian Ocean to reach Very Intense Tropical Cyclone status since Edzani in 2010.

Within this basin, tropical and subtropical disturbances are officially monitored by the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre on Réunion island, while the Mauritius and Madagascar weather services assign names to significant tropical and subtropical disturbances.[1]

Seasonal summary

Cyclone HellenCyclone BejisaCyclone AmaraTropical cyclone scales#Comparisons across basins

Storms

Moderate Tropical Storm 01

Moderate tropical storm (MFR)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationOctober 23 – October 27
Peak intensity65 km/h (40 mph) (10-min);
997 hPa (mbar)

The predecessor to the season's first designated tropical depression began as an area of persistent convection well removed from any landmasses. The JTWC began issuing products on the storm complex on October 21, noting recent consolidation patterns and its association with an ill-defined low-level circulation center.[2] Over subsequent hours, the system developed a central region of convection with incipient rainbands.[3] Despite these signs of potential tropical cyclogenesis in the very near future, the storm remained unclassified for several days as it tracked generally towards the west. At 1200 UTC on October 25, however, Météo-France classified the system as a tropical disturbance.[4] Though upper-level atmospheric conditions were rather conducive for continued strengthening, factors including decreasing convergence and marginally sustainable sea surface temperatures were expected to inhibit tropical development, and as such initial forecasts only anticipated minimal and gradual strengthening.[5]

At 0600 UTC on October 26, Météo-France upgraded the system to tropical depression status.[6] Forecasts upon the system's upgrade to tropical depression intensity expected more significant intensification, with the depression expected to peak as a moderate tropical storm.[6] However, the depression peaked in strength later that day with winds of 55 km/h (35 mph) and a minimum pressure of 1000 mbar (hPa; 29.53 inHg).[7] This intensity was sustained for several hours before the storm began to slowly weaken early on October 27.[8] During its weakening phase, the depression became elongated and its circulation center became exposed from the rest of the convection,[9] and at 1200 UTC that day Météo-France reclassified the storm as a tropical disturbance.[10] In an area no longer sufficient to support strengthening, the disturbance gradually diffused,[11] and six hours later, Météo-France issued their last advisory on the system.[12]

Intense Tropical Cyclone Amara

Intense tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 4 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
 
DurationDecember 14 – December 27
Peak intensity205 km/h (125 mph) (10-min);
933 hPa (mbar)

Amara developed from a disturbance within the monsoon trough on December 14.[13][14] The following day, the system attained tropical depression status.[15] Despite its ill-defined organization,[16] the depression was able to continue strengthening, reaching moderate tropical storm status on December 16 as it tracked southwest.[17] Situated in a favorable atmospheric environment, a period of rapid intensification ensued after Amara reached tropical cyclone status on December 18.[18][19] After fluctuating in strength,[20][21] the cyclone peaked with maximum sustained winds of 205 km/h (125 mph) and a minimum barometric pressure of 933 mbar (hPa; 27.55 inHg) on December 21, making it an intense tropical cyclone based on the intensity scale utilized by Météo-France.[22] Shortly after, wind shear strengthened as Amara tracked southeast, resulting in a weakening phase.[23] The shearing effects caused the cyclone to rapidly decay,[24] and by December 23, Amara was determined to have degenerated into a remnant low.[25]

Amara was initially expected to track directly over the island of Rodrigues, prompting widespread precautionary measures and resulting in the issuance of a Class 4 warning – denoting a warning of highest urgency – by the Mauritius Meteorological Services.[26][27] Though the tropical cyclone eventually passed to the east of the island, Amara was close enough to Rodrigues to severely affect the island.[28] Strong winds, peaking at a measured 152 km/h (94 mph) in Pointe Canon,[27] resulted in widespread infrastructural damage, including the tearing of metal sheeting and uprooting of trees.[28][29] Widespread power outage cut power to 12,000 homes and shut off communications to and from the island.[29][30] Heavy rains produced by Amara also triggered flooding in some locations and caused soil erosion.[31][32]

Very Intense Tropical Cyclone Bruce

Very intense tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 5 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
 
DurationDecember 20 (Entered basin) – December 25
Peak intensity230 km/h (145 mph) (10-min);
912 hPa (mbar)

On December 16, a complex of disturbed weather near Indonesia was designated as a tropical low by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology.[33] In an area of only moderate inhibiting atmospheric conditions, the low was able to steadily intensify, reaching tropical cyclone status on December 18 as it tracked southwestward.[34] At 2100 UTC on December 19, Bruce moved into the area of responsibility of Météo-France after crossing 90°E with maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h (100 mph).[35] Upon passage into the southwest Indian Ocean Bruce already had a well-defined eye and further strengthening was anticipated.[35][36] Six hours later the storm was upgraded to intense tropical cyclone status.[37] At 1800 UTC that day, Météo-France upgraded the system to very intense tropical cyclone status, the highest rating possible on their tropical cyclone intensity scale.[38] Over the next day, Bruce transiently weakened to intense tropical cyclone status,[39] but later regained the maximum classification at 0000 UTC on December 22. Consequently, Bruce reached its peak intensity with winds of 230 km/h (145 mph) and a minimum pressure of 912 mbar (hPa; 26.93 inHg).[40]

Following peak intensity, Bruce began to steadily weaken as the storm's deep region of convection began to diminish.[41] At 1200 UTC on December 22, the storm was downgraded back to intense tropical cyclone status for a final time as it was becoming increasingly asymmetric.[42][43] During the same timeframe Bruce began to curve around the western periphery of a nearby subtropical ridge, redirecting the cyclone's path towards the south.[43] On December 23, the cyclone's eye finally succumbed to cooling sea surface temperatures and Bruce was downgraded to a low-end tropical cyclone by Météo-France.[44][45] By the end of the day, Bruce was downgraded further to severe tropical storm intensity as the bulk of convection began to shear away from the low-level circulation center.[46][47] Accelerating southeastwards, Bruce transitioned into an extratropical cyclone on December 24, ceasing Météo-France's monitoring operations.[48] Its remnants exited the basin and re-entered the Australian region basin on December 25.[citation needed]

Intense Tropical Cyclone Bejisa

Intense tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 4 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
 
DurationDecember 27 – January 4
Peak intensity175 km/h (110 mph) (10-min);
948 hPa (mbar)

In late December 2013, computer forecast models began to predict the development and cyclogenesis of a disturbance within the monsoon trough north of Madagascar.[49] At 1800 UTC on December 27, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) noted a discrete area of disturbed weather approximately 1,350 km (840 mi) north-northwest of Réunion that corresponded with model forecasts and had the potential to develop.[50] Accompanied by a low-level circulation center, the monitored storm complex developed rainbands about its southern periphery the following day.[51] At 1200 UTC on December 28, Météo-France deemed the system sufficiently organized to be considered a tropical disturbance, the fourth system to be given such a classification by the agency that season.[52] Upon its designation, the disturbance was analyzed to have an unusually high barometric pressure, based on nearby weather station observations.[53] Météo-France projected for the system to peak as a tropical cyclone before slightly weakening before impacting the Mascarene Islands.[54]

Tracking southward, the disturbance steadily organized following December 28. As a result of wind shear, the system's low-level circulation center remained partially exposed, though the shearing conditions were expected to lessen [55] At 0000 UTC on December 29, the disturbance was upgraded to a tropical depression.[56] At 1800 UTC that day, the depression intensified to moderate tropical storm intensity, thus receiving the name Bejisa by the Mauritius Meteorological Services.[57][58] This coincided with the improving satellite appearance of the storm's central dense overcast.[58] Intensification subsequently quickened, and at 0600 UTC the next day Bejisa was considered to be a severe tropical storm.[59] Concurrently a strengthening ridge in the mid-levels of the troposphere began to steer the storm towards the south-southeast.[60] Following the development of a small pinhole eye, Bejisa was upgraded to tropical cyclone status at 1200 UTC on December 30,[61] followed by intense tropical cyclone status six hours thereafter.[62] This intensification phase was short-lived, as an eyewall replacement cycle resulted in a slight deterioration and fluctuation of the storm's organization and structure.[63]

Tropical Depression 05

Tropical depression (MFR)
 
DurationJanuary 7 – January 10
Peak intensity55 km/h (35 mph) (10-min);
997 hPa (mbar)

The initial development of the season's fifth tropical depression was quickly paced. The JTWC first began monitoring the system in its advisories at 1800 UTC on January 7, while the area of disturbed weather was within the Mozambique Channel. By that time, a well-defined low-level circulation center had already developed, and computer models indicated that tropical cyclogenesis was a likely probability due to the storm's expected track within a favorable atmospheric environment.[64] At 1200 UTC on January 8, Météo-France classified the system as a zone of disturbed weather,[65] though at the time the storm's convective activity was intermittent.[66] Shortly after designation the system developed, albeit shallow, convective banding.[64] At 0600 UTC the following day, the zone of disturbed weather was upgraded to tropical depression status while just off the west coast of Madagascar.[67]

Forecasts early in the depression's history indicated that heavy rainfall was likely in areas of southwestern Madagascar,[68] though these rains would come during an extended period of abnormally dry weather.[69] As a result, the Madagascar National Bureau for Risk and Disaster Management issued a red alert, signifying imminent heavy rain, for five Malagasy districts and a yellow alert, signifying a threat of heavy rain, in seven districts. In Morondava, 205 people were evacuated to safe havens where authorities provided food.[68]

Intense Tropical Cyclone Colin

Intense tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 4 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
 
DurationJanuary 9 (Entered basin) – January 14
Peak intensity185 km/h (115 mph) (10-min);
930 hPa (mbar)

A tropical low in the Australian region basin formed on January 6, which was about 450 km (280 mi) east-northeast of Christmas Island.[70] Over the next days the system moved rapidly westwards and entered the Southwest Indian Ocean during the morning of January 9.[71] Despite being under significant wind shear, the system managed to organize a low level eye which was detectable in microwave imagery.[72] As a result, the storm was upgraded to moderate tropical storm strength and named Colin the next day.[73] On January 11 shear let up, allowing Colin favorable conditions for strengthening. Tracking southwest, Colin rapidly intensified much faster than initial predictions expected into an intense tropical cyclone during the succeeding 24 hours. Six hours later on January 12 Colin had reached its peak intensity of 185 km/h (115 mph).[74] Just like cyclones Amara and Bruce, Colin had undergone rapid deepening. But by January 13, Colin's eyewall had become severely eroded and the system was downgraded to a severe tropical storm. As it tracked further into cooler waters, the storm weakened to tropical storm strength early on January 14 and made a turn to the southeast. Environmental conditions continued to become unfavorable and the storm transitioned into an extratropical cyclone on January 15.[75]

Moderate Tropical Storm Deliwe

Moderate tropical storm (MFR)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationJanuary 14 – January 22
Peak intensity85 km/h (50 mph) (10-min);
992 hPa (mbar)

An area of convection accompanied by a broad circulation was first noted within a region of moderate wind shear by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center early on January 15. It was located for the most part over land, and it drifted out into the Mozambique Channel during the same day. On January 16, the small system tracked south-southwest and was designated by MFR as Tropical Disturbance 7. Shortly thereafter, JTWC declared it as Tropical Cyclone 09S.[citation needed] At 1800z, Météo-France noted that the system was maintaining a tight curved band pattern and the Madagascar Meteorological Service named the storm Deliwe.[76] Throughout the next 24 hours, Deliwe managed to persist as a moderate tropical storm while it moved away from the Madagascar coast, but increasing shear associated with an upper-level trough weakened the storm back to a tropical depression.[citation needed] Deliwe turned west and convection sheared away to the south, exposing the low-level circulation center, but the storm maintained a small region of gale force winds for a brief period after Réunion issued their last advisory on the system.[77] The remnants of Deliwe turned back to the north, dissipating as they approached Mozambique.

Deliwe produced heavy rains in the Melaky region of Madagascar and caused significant flooding, resulting in at least two fatalities. Additionally, one person went missing after being swept away by the swollen Mahajamba River in Mitsinjo. In Mahajanga, rising waters left 463 people homeless. Strong wind gusts caused some damage, most notably the roof of a school in Soalala, Boeny, was blown off.[78]

Zone of Disturbed Weather 08

Zone of disturbed weather (MFR)
 
DurationJanuary 16 – January 20
Peak intensity35 km/h (25 mph) (10-min);
1004 hPa (mbar)

A broad of low-pressure formed east-northeast of Madagascar late on January 16. Due to warm waters, it intensified into Zone of Disturbed Weather 08 early on January 18. The system degenerated to a remnant low about 12 hours later, due to cool waters and vertical windshear. Early on January 21, the remnants of the system fully dissipated, after making landfall on Madagascar.[citation needed]

Tropical Disturbance 09

Tropical disturbance (MFR)
 
DurationJanuary 24 – January 31
Peak intensity45 km/h (30 mph) (10-min);
1002 hPa (mbar)

Severe Tropical Storm Edilson

Severe tropical storm (MFR)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationFebruary 3 – February 7
Peak intensity100 km/h (65 mph) (10-min);
980 hPa (mbar)

After one week since the last disturbance dissipated, another disturbance formed on February 3. Late on February 4, the MFR and JTWC upgraded it to Moderate Tropical Storm Edilson. The next day, the storm affected the Mauritius Islands with heavy rainfall.[79]

Severe Tropical Storm Fobane

Severe tropical storm (MFR)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationFebruary 5 – February 16
Peak intensity110 km/h (70 mph) (10-min);
975 hPa (mbar)

As Severe Tropical Storm Edilson reached peak intensity, a tropical depression formed to its northeast. It was upgraded into Tropical Depression 11 by Météo-France, and it rapidly intensified into Severe Tropical Storm Fobane by February 8. Throughout February 9, Fobane rapidly accelerated to the south and curved to the east. The storm interacted with an upper level trough and low oceanic heat content, altering its structure. At noon of February 10, Météo-France declared that Fobane had transitioned into a hybrid but warm-core cyclone, meriting the classification of subtropical depression.[citation needed] Convection rapidly formed coinciding with a 10 millibar drop on February 11[80] and Fobane reached peak intensity during the next day while subtropical. In the following days, Fobane turned south and then west, slowing down as a new ridge of high pressure built up to its west. The storm continued into cooler waters and became extratropical on February 14.[citation needed]

Severe Tropical Storm Guito

Severe tropical storm (MFR)
Category 1 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
 
DurationFebruary 17 – February 21
Peak intensity110 km/h (70 mph) (10-min);
977 hPa (mbar)

An area of convection over eastern Mozambique moved into the Mozambique Channel and was designated a Tropical Disturbance on February 18.[81] Later that day, the JTWC gave the designation of 15S. It steadily intensified into Severe Tropical Storm Guito on February 18. The next day, Guito intensified into a Category 1 tropical cyclone and a ragged eye formed.[82]

Subtropical Depression 13

Subtropical depression (MFR)
 
DurationFebruary 25 – March 1
Peak intensity80 km/h (50 mph) (10-min);
993 hPa (mbar)

During February 27, RSMC La Réunion reported that a subtropical depression had formed 725 km (450 mi) southeast of Durban, South Africa.[83]

Very Intense Tropical Cyclone Hellen

Very intense tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 4 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
 
DurationMarch 27 – April 2
Peak intensity230 km/h (145 mph) (10-min);
915 hPa (mbar)

After one month after the last storm formed, a zone of disturbed weather rapidly intensified into Tropical Disturbance 14 late on March 27. Due to favorable conditions and entering warm waters, it rapidly became Severe Tropical Storm Hellen early on March 30. Explosive intensification occurred, making Hellen an intense tropical cyclone the same day. As Hellen has reached its peak intensity, it then rapidly weakened to a tropical disturbance due to land interaction with Madagascar. During the next several days, Hellen's remnants moved southwestward, while continuing to weaken. On April 5, Hellen's remnants made landfall on Mozambique and dissipated shortly afterwards.[citation needed]

Severe Tropical Storm Ivanoe

Severe tropical storm (MFR)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
 
DurationApril 3 – April 6
Peak intensity95 km/h (60 mph) (10-min);
980 hPa (mbar)

Tropical Disturbance 15 formed on April 4, about 1,155 km (718 mi) south-east of Diego Garcia. On April 5, the system intensified into Moderate Tropical Storm Ivanoe. During the same day, Ivanoe strengthened to a Severe Tropical Storm and weakened back to a Moderate Tropical Storm. Moderate Tropical Storm Ivanoe weakened further as it entered cool waters. On April 6, the MFR made its final advisories on Ivanoe as the system transitioned into an extratropical cyclone.[citation needed]

Ivanoe's extratropical remnants continued to move in a southeastward direction as it affected the eastern part of Australia. During the morning of April 9, the remnants of Ivanoe fully dissipated.[citation needed]

Storm names

Within the South-west Indian Ocean Tropical Depressions and Subtropical Depressions that are judged to have 10-minute sustained windspeeds of 65 km/h, (40 mph) by the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center on La Réunion Island, France (RSMC La Réunion) are usually assigned a name. However it is the Sub-Regional Tropical Cyclone Advisory Centers in Mauritius and Madagascar who name the systems. The Sub-Regional Tropical Cyclone Advisory Center in Mauritius names the storm should it intensify into a moderate tropical storm between 55°E and 90°E, if the storm should intensify into a moderate tropical storm between 30°E and 55°E then the Sub-Regional Tropical Cyclone Advisory Center in Madagascar assigns the appropriate name to the storm. Tropical cyclones that move into this region from the Australian Region will not receive a new name. New name lists are used every year, whilst a name is normally only used once so thus no names are retired.[84]

  • Jirani (unused)
  • Katundu (unused)
  • Letso (unused)
  • Mirana (unused)
  • Naserian (unused)
  • Opang (unused)
  • Paya (unused)
  • Querida (unused)
  • Romane (unused)
  • Singano (unused)
  • Tarus (unused)
  • Unami (unused)
  • Vuma (unused)
  • Wamil (unused)
  • Xolile (unused)
  • Yasmine (unused)
  • Zamile (unused)

During December, Severe Tropical Cyclone Bruce entered the Southwestern Indian Ocean basin from the Australian area of responsibility.

Seasonal effects

This table lists all of the tropical cyclones and subtropical cyclones that were monitored during the 2013–2014 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season. Information on their intensity, duration, name, areas affected, primarily comes from RSMC La Réunion. Death and damage reports come from either press reports or the relevant national disaster management agency while the damage totals are given in 2013 USD.

Name Dates Peak intensity Areas affected Damage
(USD)
Deaths Refs
Category Wind speed Pressure
01 October 23 – 27 Moderate Tropical Storm 65 km/h (40 mph) 997 hPa (29.44 inHg) Chagos Archipelago None None
Amara December 14 – 27 Intense Tropical Cyclone 205 km/h (125 mph) 933 hPa (27.55 inHg) Rodrigues None None
Bruce December 20 – 23[nb 1] Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 230 km/h (145 mph) 912 hPa (26.93 inHg) None None None
Bejisa December 27 – January 4 Intense Tropical Cyclone 175 km/h (110 mph) 948 hPa (27.99 inHg) Seychelles, Réunion, Mauritius >$89.2 million 1
05 January 7 – 10 Tropical Depression 55 km/h (35 mph) 997 hPa (29.44 inHg) Mozambique, Madagascar None None
Colin January 9 – 14 Intense Tropical Cyclone 185 km/h (115 mph) 930 hPa (27.46 inHg) None None None
Deliwe January 14 – 22 Moderate Tropical Storm 85 km/h (50 mph) 992 hPa (29.29 inHg) Madagascar, Mozambique Unknown 2
08 January 16 – 20 Zone of Disturbed Weather 35 km/h (25 mph) 1004 hPa (29.65 inHg) Madagascar None None
09 January 24 – 31 Tropical Disturbance 45 km/h (30 mph) 1002 hPa (29.59 inHg) Mozambique None None
Edilson February 3 – 7 Severe Tropical Storm 100 km/h (65 mph) 980 hPa (28.94 inHg) Mauritius, Réunion None None
Fobane February 5 – 16 Severe Tropical Storm 110 km/h (70 mph) 975 hPa (28.79 inHg) None None None
Guito February 17 – 21 Severe Tropical Storm 110 km/h (70 mph) 977 hPa (28.85 inHg) Mozambique, Madagascar None None
13 February 25 – March 1 Subtropical Depression 80 km/h (50 mph) 993 hPa (29.32 inHg) None None None
Hellen March 26 – April 5 Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 230 km/h (145 mph) 915 hPa (27.02 inHg) Mozambique, Comoro Islands, Madagascar Unknown 8
Ivanoe April 3 – 6 Severe Tropical Storm 95 km/h (60 mph) 980 hPa (28.94 inHg) None None None
Season aggregates
15 systems October 21 – April 6 230 km/h (145 mph) 912 hPa (26.93 inHg) >$89.2 million 11

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Bruce formed in the Australian cyclone region on December 16, but entered the South-West Indian Ocean on December 19. It re-entered the Australian region on December 25, as a tropical low.

References

  1. ^ a b The RA I Tropical Cyclone Committee (2012). "Tropical Cyclone Operational Plan: 2012" (PDF). World Meteorological Organisation. p. 11. Archived from the original (PDF) on December 5, 2012. Retrieved December 5, 2012. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  2. ^ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (October 21, 2013). "Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean – October 21, 1130 UTC". Pearl Harbor, Hawaii: United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 23, 2013. Retrieved 26 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  3. ^ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (October 21, 2013). "Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean – October 21, 1800 UTC". Pearl Harbor, Hawaii: United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 23, 2013. Retrieved 26 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  4. ^ Météo-France (October 25, 2013). "Tropical Disturbance 1 Warning Number 001/1". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 27, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  5. ^ Météo-France (October 25, 2013). "Tropical Disturbance 1 Forecast Warning Number 001/1". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 27, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  6. ^ a b Météo-France (October 26, 2013). "Tropical Depression 1 Warning Number 003/1". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 27, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  7. ^ Météo-France (October 26, 2013). "Tropical Depression 1 Warning Number 005/1". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 27, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  8. ^ Météo-France (October 27, 2013). "Tropical Depression 1 Warning Number 007/1". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 27, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  9. ^ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (October 27, 2013). "Tropical Cyclone 01S (One) Warning NR 002". Pearl Harbor, Hawaii: United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 28, 2013. Retrieved 26 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  10. ^ Météo-France (October 27, 2013). "Tropical Disturbance 1 Warning Number 008/1". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 28, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  11. ^ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (October 28, 2013). "Tropical Cyclone 01S (One) Warning NR 003". Pearl Harbor, Hawaii: United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 28, 2013. Retrieved 26 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  12. ^ Météo-France (October 27, 2013). "Tropical Disturbance 1 Warning Number 009/1". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on October 28, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  13. ^ "Bulletin For Cyclonic Activity And Significant Tropical Weather In The Southwest Indian Ocean – December 13, 1200 UTC" (PDF). Météo-France. December 13, 2013. Archived from the original (PDF) on December 14, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  14. ^ Météo-France (December 14, 2013). "Tropical Disturbance 2 Warning Number 001/2". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 15, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  15. ^ Météo-France (December 15, 2013). "Tropical Depression 2 Warning Number 003/2". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 15, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  16. ^ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (December 15, 2013). "Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert – December 15, 1500 UTC". Honolulu, Hawaii: United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 17, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  17. ^ Météo-France (December 16, 2013). "Moderate Tropical Storm 2 (Amara) Warning Number 009/2". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 17, 2013. Retrieved 21 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  18. ^ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (December 18, 2013). "Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 004". Honolulu, Hawaii: United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 19, 2013. Retrieved 23 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  19. ^ Météo-France (December 18, 2013). "Tropical Cyclone 2 (Amara) Warning Number 016/2". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 19, 2013. Retrieved 23 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  20. ^ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (December 18, 2013). "Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 006". Honolulu, Hawaii: United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 20, 2013. Retrieved 23 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  21. ^ Météo-France (December 19, 2013). "Tropical Cyclone 2 (Amara) Warning Number 019/2". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 20, 2013. Retrieved 23 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  22. ^ Météo-France (December 21, 2013). "Intense Tropical Cyclone 2 (Amara) Warning Number 027/2". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 21, 2013. Retrieved 23 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  23. ^ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (December 21, 2013). "Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 011". Honolulu, Hawaii: United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 22, 2013. Retrieved 23 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  24. ^ Joint Typhoon Warning Center (December 22, 2013). "Tropical Cyclone 03S (Amara) Warning NR 012". Honolulu, Hawaii: United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 23, 2013. Retrieved 23 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  25. ^ Météo-France (December 22, 2013). "Tropical Depression 2 (Ex-Amara) Warning Number 036/2". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Archived from the original (TXT) on December 24, 2013. Retrieved 24 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
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