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2024 Toronto—St. Paul's federal by-election

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2024 Toronto—St. Paul's federal by-election
← 2021 June 24, 2024 (2024-06-24) 45th →
Riding of Toronto—St. Paul's
 
LPC
CPC
Candidate Leslie Church Don Stewart
Party Liberal Conservative
Last election 48.86% 25.83%
 
NDP
GPC
Candidate Amrit Parhar Christian Cullis
Party New Democratic Green
Last election 16.51% 6.16%
Incumbent MP

Vacant


A by-election is scheduled to be held in the federal riding of Toronto—St. Paul's in Ontario on June 24, 2024, following the resignation of incumbent Liberal MP Carolyn Bennett.

The Government of Canada announced measures to protect the by-election from foreign interference.[1]

Background

The riding of Toronto—St. Paul's was vacated on January 16, 2024, following the resignation of Liberal MP Carolyn Bennett.[2][3] Bennett, most recently the Minister of Mental Health and Addictions and Associate Minister of Health in the government of Justin Trudeau, had held the seat since 1997.[4]

Constituency

Toronto—St. Paul's is a safe Liberal seat in Downtown Toronto.[5]

Candidates

Running for the Liberal nomination was Leslie Church, former chief of staff to Chrystia Freeland.[6] She later received formal approval to run for Liberal nomination in Toronto—St. Paul’s in April 2024.[7] She ran against Emma Richardson, a senior advisor with Global Affairs Canada’s United Nations division.[8] The Liberal nomination was held on May 1 with Church winning the nomination.[9][10]

Other prospective candidates for the Liberal nomination who declined to run, included former Toronto city councillor Josh Colle; former Ontario MPP Eric Hoskins, who represented the area provincially from 2009 to 2018 and previously served in the provincial cabinets of Dalton McGuinty and Kathleen Wynne, including as Minister of Health and Long-Term Care from 2014 to 2018; and Toronto city councillor Josh Matlow, who has represented the area municipally since 2010; Matlow ultimately decided not to run.[6][11][12] With his riding set to merge with Scarborough Centre at the next election, Don Valley East MP Michael Coteau was seen as a potential candidate, in order to avoid a nomination battle with fellow Liberal MP Salma Zahid; Coteau ultimately declined to run.[11][13]

The Rhinoceros Party announced that Sean Carson would be the candidate on January 13.[14]

The Conservative Party nominated Don Stewart on January 24. He works for the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization.[15][16]

The NDP announced on April 17 that Amrit Parhar would be the candidate. She works as the Director of Programs at the Institute for Change Leaders, an organization that was founded by Toronto mayor, Olivia Chow.[17] It was previously reported two days earlier by The Hill Times that MPP for Toronto—St. Paul's, Jill Andrew was considering seeking the nomination.[18]

On May 17, the Centrist Party announced Ali Mohiuddin as their candidate.[19]

On May 24, the Green Party announced that Christian Cullis, a constituent coordinator for Ward 11 city councillor Dianne Saxe, would be their candidate.[20] Emma Richardson, who previously lost the Liberal nomination, also sought the Green Party nomination.[21]

On May 28, the People's Party announced that Dennis Wilson would be their candidate.[22]

The Longest Ballot Committee has chosen the riding for its next target; this may result in dozens of independent candidates.[23] They intend to do this due to opposition to first-past-the-post voting.[24]. As of June 3, 2024, there were 84 candidates by Elections Canada., breaking the previous record of 48 set in the Winnipeg South Centre by-election of June 19, 2023.

Results

Canadian federal by-election, June 24, 2024: Toronto—St. Paul's
Resignation of Carolyn Bennett
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Don Stewart 15,565 42.11 +16.81
Liberal Leslie Church 14,932 40.40 -8.82
New Democratic Amrit Parhar 4,073 11.02 -5.81
Green Christian Cullis 1,057 2.86 -3.13
People's Dennis Wilson 238 0.64 -2.02
Independent Jonathan Schachter 97 0.26
Independent Mário Stocco 82 0.22
Marxist–Leninist Meñico Turcotte 59 0.16
Rhinoceros Sean Carson 51 0.14
Independent Thibaud Mony 51 0.14
Independent Glen MacDonald 42 0.11
Independent Mélodie Anderson 39 0.11
Independent Demetrios Karavas 37 0.10
No Affiliation Stephen Davis 36 0.10
Independent Jordan Wong 31 0.08
Marijuana Danny Légaré 30 0.08
Independent Alex Banks 27 0.07
Centrist Ali Mohiuddin 26 0.07
Independent Jaël Champagne Gareau 23 0.06
Independent Michael Bednarski 18 0.05
Independent John Dale 18 0.05
Independent Pierre Larochelle 17 0.05
Independent Joshua Bram Hieu Pham 17 0.05
Independent Marie-Hélène LeBel 16 0.04
Independent Guillaume Paradis 16 0.04
Independent Daniel Andrew Graham 13 0.04
Independent Pierre Granger 13 0.04
Independent Julie St-Amand 13 0.04
Independent Loren Hicks 12 0.03
Independent Matéo Martin 12 0.03
Independent Blake Hamilton 11 0.03
Independent Line Bélanger 10 0.02
Independent Charles Currie 10 0.03
Independent Cory Deville 10 0.03
Independent Alexandra Engering 10 0.03
Independent Daniel Stuckless 10 0.03
Independent Erle Stanley Bowman 9 0.02
Independent Anthony Hamel 9 0.02
Independent Pascal St-Amand 9 0.02
Independent Sébastien CoRhino 8 0.02
Independent Mark Dejewski 8 0.02
Independent Daniel Gagnon 8 0.02
Independent Agnieszka Marszalek 8 0.02
Independent Olivier Renaud 8 0.02
Independent Patrick Strzalkowski 8 0.02
Independent Donald Gagnon 7 0.02
Independent Benjamin Teichman 7 0.02
Independent MarthaLee Aykroyd 6 0.02
Independent Myriam Beaulieu 6 0.02
Independent Kubera Desai 6 0.02
Independent Donovan Eckstrom 6 0.02
Independent Kevin Krisa 6 0.02
Independent Lorant Polya 6 0.02
Independent Roger Sherwood 6 0.02
Independent Elliot Wand 6 0.02
Independent Michal Wieczorek 6 0.02
Independent Maxime Boivin 5 0.01
Independent Martin Acetaria Caesar Jubinville 5 0.01
Independent Jean-Denis Parent Boudreault 4 0.01
Independent Léthycia-Félix Corriveau 4 0.01
Independent Ysack Dupont 4 0.01
Independent Dji-Pé Frazer 4 0.01
Independent Zornitsa Halacheva 4 0.01
Independent Alain Lamontagne 4 0.01
Independent Renée Lemieux 4 0.01
Independent Danimal Preston 4 0.01
Independent Spencer Rocchi 4 0.01
Independent Yogo Shimada 4 0.01
Independent Darcy Vanderwater 4 0.01
Independent Mylène Bonneau 3 0.01
Independent Guillaume Gagnier-Michel 3 0.01
Independent Kerri Hildebrandt 3 0.01
Independent Krzysztof Krzywinski 3 0.01
Independent Connie Lukawski 3 0.01
Independent Wallace Richard Rowat 3 0.01
Independent Gavin Vanderwater 3 0.01
Independent Alain Bourgault 2 0.01
No Affiliation Manon Marie Lili Desbiens 2 0.01
Independent Gerrit Dogger 2 0.01
Independent Samuel Ducharme 2 0.01
Independent Yusuf Kadir Nasihi 2 0.01
Independent Winston Neutel 2 0.01
Independent Jacques Saintonge 2 0.01
Independent Felix-Antoine Hamel 0 0.00
Total valid votes 36,962
Total rejected ballots
Turnout 43.52 -21.96
Eligible voters 84,934
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +12.76

2021 result

2021 Canadian federal election: Toronto—St. Paul's
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Carolyn Bennett 26,429 49.22 -5.09 $88,807.52
Conservative Stephanie Osadchuk 13,587 25.30 +3.69 $26,751.24
New Democratic Sidney Coles[25] 9,036 16.83 +1.05 $31,250.09
Green Phil De Luna 3,214 5.99 -0.77 $30,817.63
People's Peter Remedios 1,432 2.67 +1.12 $1,412.77
Total valid votes/Expense limit 53,698 98.93 – $112,245.61
Total rejected ballots 580 1.07 +0.43
Turnout 54,278 65.48 -4.91
Eligible voters 82,891
Liberal hold Swing -4.39
Source: Elections Canada[26]

References

  1. ^ "Government of Canada announces measures to protect Toronto-St. Paul's by-election from foreign interference". www.canada.ca. 2024-05-21. Retrieved 2024-05-24.
  2. ^ Rabson, Mia (December 12, 2023). "Carolyn Bennett stepping down as Liberal MP for Toronto-St. Paul's after 26 years". The Canadian Press. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
  3. ^ "The Hon. Carolyn Bennett, P.C., M.P." Library of Parliament. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
  4. ^ "Liberal minister Carolyn Bennett announces she will not stand for re-election". CTVNews. 2023-07-24. Retrieved 2024-05-24.
  5. ^ "Federal byelection called in Liberal stronghold of Toronto-St. Paul's". CBC News. May 19, 2024.
  6. ^ a b Rana, Abbas; Jeffery, Stephen (December 18, 2023). "Toronto-St. Paul's byelection could be 'first test' of Jewish voters' reaction to Canada's UN vote on Israel-Hamas war, say political insiders". The Hill Times. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
  7. ^ Vigliotti, Marco (April 22, 2024). "Leslie Church receives formal approval to run for Liberal nomination in Toronto-St. Paul's: sources". iPolitics. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
  8. ^ Vigliotti, Marco (25 April 2024). "Leslie Church expected to easily win Liberal nomination in Toronto-St. Paul's on Tuesday: sources". iPolitics. Retrieved 25 April 2024.
  9. ^ Duguid, Terry; Martinez Ferrada, Soraya. "Liberal Nomination Meeting – Toronto—St. Paul's". Liberal Party of Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2024.
  10. ^ "Liberal Party of Canada announces Leslie Church as Team Trudeau candidate for Toronto–St. Paul's". Liberal Party of Canada. 1 May 2024. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
  11. ^ a b Vigliotti, Marco (January 25, 2024). "Liberals still considering candidates for Toronto-St. Paul's byelection". iPolitics. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
  12. ^ https://twitter.com/JoshMatlow/status/1761054619273167274
  13. ^ Vigliotti, Marco (January 19, 2024). "Coteau won't run in Toronto-St. Paul's byelection". iPolitics. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
  14. ^ Parti Rhinocéros Party (January 13, 2024). "Candidate announcement for by-elections in Durham and Toronto St. Paul !!!". Facebook. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  15. ^ "Welcome your Toronto—St. Paul's candidate". Retrieved 18 April 2024.
  16. ^ "Nomination Contest Database". Elections Canada. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
  17. ^ "We are so proud to announce Amrit Parhar as our nomination candidate for the upcoming by-election in TSP!". Toronto St. Paul's NDP. 17 April 2024. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
  18. ^ Rana, Abbas (15 April 2024). "Poor polling numbers, NDP MPP's rumoured candidacy, and Mideast conflict turns Toronto-St. Paul's, Ont., byelection into tight three-way race, say Liberal MPs". The Hill Times. Retrieved 27 April 2024.
  19. ^ "Ali Mohiuddin is the nomination candidate of the #Centrist Party for Toronto St. Paul's riding By-election". Twitter. Centrist Party of Canada. 17 May 2024. Retrieved 17 May 2024.
  20. ^ "Christian Cullis to run in Toronto-St Paul's". greenparty.ca. Green Party of Canada. 24 May 2024. Retrieved 25 May 2024.
  21. ^ "Emma Richardson for Toronto—St. Paul's". Retrieved 23 May 2024.
  22. ^ Bernier, Maxime (28 May 2024). "If you live in Toronto, support our PPC candidate Dennis Wilson!". Twitter. Retrieved 28 May 2024.
  23. ^ Passifiume, Bryan (December 27, 2023). "Long ballot activists planning to make short work of Toronto byelection". National Post. Postmedia. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  24. ^ Passifiume, Bryan (December 27, 2023). "Long ballot activists planning to make short work of Toronto byelection". National Post.
  25. ^ "Toronto NDP candidate resigns after discovery of controversial social media posts". CP24. September 15, 2021.
  26. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 21 June 2024.

See also

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