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2014 Michigan gubernatorial election

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Michigan gubernatorial election, 2014
← 2010 November 4, 2014 2018 →
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Rick Snyder
Republican



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The Michigan gubernatorial election of 2014 will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Michigan. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Snyder is eligible to seek a second and final term in office, but has not yet publicly declared that he will do so. Primary contests, if there are any, will take place on August 5, 2014, and the partisan filing deadline is Tuesday, April 22, 2014.[1]

Snyder is considered vulnerable if he chooses to seek re-election, as reflected in his very low approval ratings.[2] The consensus among The Cook Political Report,[3] Governing,[4] The Rothenberg Political Report,[5] Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] and Daily Kos Elections[7] is that the contest is a "tossup".

Republican primary

Though incumbent Governor Rick Snyder has not yet formally declared if he will run for re-election, recent polling has indicated significant opposition from Republican primary voters in Michigan.[8][9][10][11] This has come in the midst of now-public discussions by the Tea Party network regarding whether incumbent Lieutenant Governor Brian Calley should be replaced as Snyder's running mate.[8][12] Snyder, despite not yet formally declaring that he is seeking re-election, has started running campaign ads in September, 2013, immediately following the Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference.[13]

On August 26, 2013, Tea Party leader Wes Nakagiri ended weeks of speculation and formally announced that he had filed the necessary paperwork to challenge Calley for the Republican nomination for Lieutenant Governor.[14][15][16] At the Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference (September 20–22, 2013), speculation reported by the media also included Todd Courser as a potential challenger to Calley.[17] The Michigan Republican Party state convention, at which the running mate nomination will be decided, is scheduled to take place on August 23, 2014.

Candidates

Potential

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rick
Snyder 		Dave
Agema 		Undecided
Harper Polling September 4, 2013 958 ±3.17% 64% 16% 20%
iCaucus Michigan August 26–30, 2013 744 ± 4.08% 32.39% 42.34% 25.27%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rick
Snyder 		Mike
Bishop 		Undecided
iCaucus Michigan August 26–30, 2013 744 ± 4.08% 36.83% 24.19% 38.98%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rick
Snyder 		Keith
Butler 		Undecided
iCaucus Michigan August 26–30, 2013 744 ± 4.08% 38.98% 11.29% 49.73%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rick
Snyder 		Betsy
DeVos 		Undecided
iCaucus Michigan August 26–30, 2013 744 ± 4.08% 40.59% 18.41% 40.99%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rick
Snyder 		Gary
Glenn 		Undecided
iCaucus Michigan August 26–30, 2013 744 ± 4.08% 39.11% 30.78% 30.11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rick
Snyder 		Pete
Hoekstra 		Undecided
iCaucus Michigan August 26–30, 2013 744 ± 4.08% 47.04% 21.77% 31.18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rick
Snyder 		Bill
Schuette 		Undecided
iCaucus Michigan August 26–30, 2013 744 ± 4.08% 31.85% 38.44% 29.70%

Democratic primary

Michigan Democratic Party leadership has rallied support behind former U.S. Representative Mark Schauer, who was expected to run unopposed in the Democratic Party primary. Party Chairman Lon Johnson has encouraged all other potential challengers to stay out of the race so as to avoid a costly and potentially bitter primary campaign.[23] However, during Thanksgiving Weekend another opponent, Mark McFarlin, announced that he is running for the democrat nomination for Governor.

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mark
Schauer 		Bob
King 		Undecided
Mitchell Research May 28, 2013 361 ± 5.16% 31% 38% 31%

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rick
Snyder (R) 		Mark
Schauer (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 1,034 ± 3% 44% 40% — 16%
Denno Research November 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 44.5% 31% — 24.5%
Inside Michigan Politics October 29, 2013 794 ± 4% 36.4% 33.6% — 30%
Mitchell Research October 6–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 50% 36% — 14%
EPIC-MRA September 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 44% 36% — 20%
Denno Research July 23–24, 2013 600 ± 4% 43% 37% — 20%
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 38% 42% — 20%
EPIC-MRA May 11–15, 2013 600 ± 4% 39% 39% — 22%
EPIC-MRA April 13–16, 2013 600 ± 4% 38% 39% — 23%
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 36% 40% — 24%
Public Policy Polling December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 39% 44% — 18%

References

  1. ^ "Public Act 276 of 2012" (PDF). Michigan Legislative Website. June 27, 2012 (signed into law). Retrieved November 27, 2012. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  2. ^ Woods, Ashley (November 8, 2013). "Michigan Governor Poll Shows Close Race Between Rick Snyder, Mark Schauer". Huffington Post. Retrieved November 12, 2013.
  3. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
  4. ^ Jacobson, Louis (July 18, 2013). "Handicapping the 2013-2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing.com. Retrieved July 25, 2013.
  5. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
  6. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
  7. ^ "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14". Retrieved November 22, 2013.
  8. ^ a b "Snyder's approval rating gets boost from bankruptcy, Medicaid decisions". July 31, 2013. Retrieved August 1, 2013.
  9. ^ "Poll says Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder vulnerable in a Republican primary". September 3, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
  10. ^ "Snyder losing GOP support since Medicaid expansion". September 4, 2013. Retrieved September 6, 2013.
  11. ^ "With Medicaid win, did Gov. Rick Snyder lose some Republicans? Tea party talks potential primary". September 5, 2013. Retrieved September 6, 2013.
  12. ^ "Lt. Gov. Brian Calley on tea party challenger: 'We have a competition for ideas' in Republican Party". August 26, 2013.
  13. ^ "Snyder gets jump on 2014 election, launches TV, internet campaign ads". September 24, 2013.
  14. ^ "Tea party leader Wes Nakagiri wants to replace Republican Lt. Gov. Brian Calley in 2014". August 26, 2013.
  15. ^ "Tim Skubick: Tea Party could be 2014 election headache for Gov. Rick Snyder". August 27, 2013.
  16. ^ "GOP poll says Livingston County's Nakagiri has shot at state's No. 2 post in 2014". September 5, 2013. Retrieved September 6, 2013.
  17. ^ "Snyder gets top billing, but Calley in spotlight at Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference". September 21, 2013.
  18. ^ "Snyder delays re-election bid decision till new year". September 13, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2013.
  19. ^ "Michigan Gov. Snyder tests out re-election slogans at Republican conference". September 23, 2013. Retrieved September 23, 2013.
  20. ^ "Former Michigan GOP Senate Majority Leader Mike Bishop: 'I'm not running for governor'". June 24, 2013. Retrieved June 27, 2013.
  21. ^ "Tea Party Looking For Its Gubernatorial Candidate". September 21, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013. (subscription required)
  22. ^ "Tea Party Looking For Its Gubernatorial Candidate" (PDF). September 21, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013. (transcribed from original source)
  23. ^ a b c "Tim Skubick: Mark Schauer's announcement for governor seals the Democratic field". May 28, 2013.
  24. ^ "Off the Record - November 29, 2013 - # 4323". Off the Record - WKAR-TV. November 29, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
  25. ^ "Democrat Mark Schauer to challenge Gov. Rick Snyder in 2014". May 28, 2013 at 8:15 p.m. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  26. ^ "Michigan Democrats rallying behind Mark Schauer for governor, with John Austin offering support". May 8, 2013. Retrieved May 2013. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |accessdate= (help)
  27. ^ Kathleen Gray (March 10, 2013). "Democratic nomination for governor is now Mark Schauer's for the taking". Detroit Free Press.
  28. ^ "King Leads Schauer for Democratic Nomination". May 29, 2013. Retrieved June 4, 2013.
  29. ^ Wittrock, Angela (March 20, 2013). "Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero won't run for governor, Senate or Congress in 2014". mlive.com. Retrieved March 21, 2013.
  30. ^ http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/06/tim_skubick_michael_duggans_ne.html#incart_river_default
  31. ^ Chad Selweski (January 17, 2013). "Mark Hackel preparing for marriage, not a run for governor". Macomb Daily. Retrieved February 22, 2013.
  32. ^ "?".
  33. ^ Bell, Dawson (November 10, 2012). "Several Democrats may challenge Snyder in 2014". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved November 17, 2012.
  34. ^ Tim Skubick (April 15, 2013). "Tim Skubick: Bart Stupak's out... for now". Fox 2 News.
  35. ^ "Gretchen Whitmer says she won't run for governor in 2014". Detroit Free Press. January 30, 2013.
  36. ^ "Third party gubernatorial candidate Robin Sanders focuses on public safety". Current State on WKAR-FM. June 17, 2013. Retrieved November 1, 2013.
Official campaign websites
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