2014 Michigan gubernatorial election
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The Michigan gubernatorial election of 2014 will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Michigan. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Snyder is eligible to seek a second and final term in office, but has not yet publicly declared that he will do so. Primary contests, if there are any, will take place on August 5, 2014, and the partisan filing deadline is Tuesday, April 22, 2014.[1]
Snyder is considered vulnerable if he chooses to seek re-election, as reflected in his very low approval ratings.[2] The consensus among The Cook Political Report,[3] Governing,[4] The Rothenberg Political Report,[5] Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] and Daily Kos Elections[7] is that the contest is a "tossup".
Republican primary
Though incumbent Governor Rick Snyder has not yet formally declared if he will run for re-election, recent polling has indicated significant opposition from Republican primary voters in Michigan.[8][9][10][11] This has come in the midst of now-public discussions by the Tea Party network regarding whether incumbent Lieutenant Governor Brian Calley should be replaced as Snyder's running mate.[8][12] Snyder, despite not yet formally declaring that he is seeking re-election, has started running campaign ads in September, 2013, immediately following the Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference.[13]
On August 26, 2013, Tea Party leader Wes Nakagiri ended weeks of speculation and formally announced that he had filed the necessary paperwork to challenge Calley for the Republican nomination for Lieutenant Governor.[14][15][16] At the Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference (September 20–22, 2013), speculation reported by the media also included Todd Courser as a potential challenger to Calley.[17] The Michigan Republican Party state convention, at which the running mate nomination will be decided, is scheduled to take place on August 23, 2014.
Candidates
Potential
- Rick Snyder, incumbent Governor of Michigan[18][19]
Declined
- Mike Bishop, former Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate[20]
- Todd Courser, Tea Party activist, candidate for the Michigan Board of Education in 2012 and for Chairman of the Michigan Republican Party in 2013[21][22]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Snyder |
Dave Agema |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling | September 4, 2013 | 958 | ±3.17% | 64% | 16% | 20% |
iCaucus Michigan | August 26–30, 2013 | 744 | ± 4.08% | 32.39% | 42.34% | 25.27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Snyder |
Mike Bishop |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
iCaucus Michigan | August 26–30, 2013 | 744 | ± 4.08% | 36.83% | 24.19% | 38.98% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Snyder |
Keith Butler |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
iCaucus Michigan | August 26–30, 2013 | 744 | ± 4.08% | 38.98% | 11.29% | 49.73% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Snyder |
Betsy DeVos |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
iCaucus Michigan | August 26–30, 2013 | 744 | ± 4.08% | 40.59% | 18.41% | 40.99% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Snyder |
Gary Glenn |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
iCaucus Michigan | August 26–30, 2013 | 744 | ± 4.08% | 39.11% | 30.78% | 30.11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Snyder |
Pete Hoekstra |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
iCaucus Michigan | August 26–30, 2013 | 744 | ± 4.08% | 47.04% | 21.77% | 31.18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Snyder |
Bill Schuette |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
iCaucus Michigan | August 26–30, 2013 | 744 | ± 4.08% | 31.85% | 38.44% | 29.70% |
Democratic primary
Michigan Democratic Party leadership has rallied support behind former U.S. Representative Mark Schauer, who was expected to run unopposed in the Democratic Party primary. Party Chairman Lon Johnson has encouraged all other potential challengers to stay out of the race so as to avoid a costly and potentially bitter primary campaign.[23] However, during Thanksgiving Weekend another opponent, Mark McFarlin, announced that he is running for the democrat nomination for Governor.
Candidates
Declared
- Mark McFarlin, private investigator and Independent write-in candidate for Governor in 2002[24]
- Mark Schauer, former U.S. Representative[25]
Declined
- John C. Austin, President of the Michigan Board of Education[26]
- Vicki Barnett, Minority Whip of the Michigan House of Representatives[27]
- Jocelyn Benson, Dean of Wayne State University Law School and nominee for Michigan Secretary of State in 2010[23][28]
- Virgil Bernero, Mayor of Lansing and nominee for Governor in 2010[29]
- Mark Bernstein, attorney and Regent of the University of Michigan[23]
- Mike Duggan, Mayor-elect of Detroit and former Wayne County Prosecutor[30]
- Mark Hackel, Macomb County Executive[31]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative[32]
- Gary Peters, U.S. Representative (running for the U.S. Senate)[33]
- Bart Stupak, former U.S. Representative[34]
- Gretchen Whitmer, Minority Leader of the Michigan Senate[35]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Schauer |
Bob King |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research | May 28, 2013 | 361 | ± 5.16% | 31% | 38% | 31% |
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Robin Sanders, retired from the United States Navy and the Michigan Department of Corrections[36]
- David Nieman, student and owner of Great Lakes Cellular in Ann Arbor.
General election
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Snyder (R) |
Mark Schauer (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,034 | ± 3% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
Denno Research | November 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 44.5% | 31% | — | 24.5% |
Inside Michigan Politics | October 29, 2013 | 794 | ± 4% | 36.4% | 33.6% | — | 30% |
Mitchell Research | October 6–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 50% | 36% | — | 14% |
EPIC-MRA | September 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 44% | 36% | — | 20% |
Denno Research | July 23–24, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 43% | 37% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | May 30–June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 38% | 42% | — | 20% |
EPIC-MRA | May 11–15, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 39% | 39% | — | 22% |
EPIC-MRA | April 13–16, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 38% | 39% | — | 23% |
Public Policy Polling | March 2–4, 2013 | 702 | ± 3.7% | 36% | 40% | — | 24% |
Public Policy Polling | December 13–16, 2012 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 44% | — | 18% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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References
- ^ "Public Act 276 of 2012" (PDF). Michigan Legislative Website. June 27, 2012 (signed into law). Retrieved November 27, 2012.
{{cite web}}
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(help) - ^ Woods, Ashley (November 8, 2013). "Michigan Governor Poll Shows Close Race Between Rick Snyder, Mark Schauer". Huffington Post. Retrieved November 12, 2013.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ Jacobson, Louis (July 18, 2013). "Handicapping the 2013-2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing.com. Retrieved July 25, 2013.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14". Retrieved November 22, 2013.
- ^ a b "Snyder's approval rating gets boost from bankruptcy, Medicaid decisions". July 31, 2013. Retrieved August 1, 2013.
- ^ "Poll says Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder vulnerable in a Republican primary". September 3, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
- ^ "Snyder losing GOP support since Medicaid expansion". September 4, 2013. Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "With Medicaid win, did Gov. Rick Snyder lose some Republicans? Tea party talks potential primary". September 5, 2013. Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "Lt. Gov. Brian Calley on tea party challenger: 'We have a competition for ideas' in Republican Party". August 26, 2013.
- ^ "Snyder gets jump on 2014 election, launches TV, internet campaign ads". September 24, 2013.
- ^ "Tea party leader Wes Nakagiri wants to replace Republican Lt. Gov. Brian Calley in 2014". August 26, 2013.
- ^ "Tim Skubick: Tea Party could be 2014 election headache for Gov. Rick Snyder". August 27, 2013.
- ^ "GOP poll says Livingston County's Nakagiri has shot at state's No. 2 post in 2014". September 5, 2013. Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "Snyder gets top billing, but Calley in spotlight at Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference". September 21, 2013.
- ^ "Snyder delays re-election bid decision till new year". September 13, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2013.
- ^ "Michigan Gov. Snyder tests out re-election slogans at Republican conference". September 23, 2013. Retrieved September 23, 2013.
- ^ "Former Michigan GOP Senate Majority Leader Mike Bishop: 'I'm not running for governor'". June 24, 2013. Retrieved June 27, 2013.
- ^ "Tea Party Looking For Its Gubernatorial Candidate". September 21, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013. (subscription required)
- ^ "Tea Party Looking For Its Gubernatorial Candidate" (PDF). September 21, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013. (transcribed from original source)
- ^ a b c "Tim Skubick: Mark Schauer's announcement for governor seals the Democratic field". May 28, 2013.
- ^ "Off the Record - November 29, 2013 - # 4323". Off the Record - WKAR-TV. November 29, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
- ^ "Democrat Mark Schauer to challenge Gov. Rick Snyder in 2014". May 28, 2013 at 8:15 p.m.
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(help) - ^ "Michigan Democrats rallying behind Mark Schauer for governor, with John Austin offering support". May 8, 2013. Retrieved May 2013.
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(help) - ^ Kathleen Gray (March 10, 2013). "Democratic nomination for governor is now Mark Schauer's for the taking". Detroit Free Press.
- ^ "King Leads Schauer for Democratic Nomination". May 29, 2013. Retrieved June 4, 2013.
- ^ Wittrock, Angela (March 20, 2013). "Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero won't run for governor, Senate or Congress in 2014". mlive.com. Retrieved March 21, 2013.
- ^ http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/06/tim_skubick_michael_duggans_ne.html#incart_river_default
- ^ Chad Selweski (January 17, 2013). "Mark Hackel preparing for marriage, not a run for governor". Macomb Daily. Retrieved February 22, 2013.
- ^ "?".
- ^ Bell, Dawson (November 10, 2012). "Several Democrats may challenge Snyder in 2014". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved November 17, 2012.
- ^ Tim Skubick (April 15, 2013). "Tim Skubick: Bart Stupak's out... for now". Fox 2 News.
- ^ "Gretchen Whitmer says she won't run for governor in 2014". Detroit Free Press. January 30, 2013.
- ^ "Third party gubernatorial candidate Robin Sanders focuses on public safety". Current State on WKAR-FM. June 17, 2013. Retrieved November 1, 2013.
External links
- Michigan gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at FollowTheMoney.org
- Official campaign websites