Opinion polling for the 2016 Croatian parliamentary election
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Opinion polling for the next Croatian parliamentary election started immediately after the 2015 general election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Ipsos Puls and Promocija Plus.
Coalition standings
Date(s) conducted | Polling organization/client | Sample size | Croatia is Growing | Patriotic Coalition | Most | Živi zid | MB 365 | ORaH | IDS | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:Croatia is Growing/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" | | ||||||
25-28 Jun | Ipsos Puls/Nova TV | 1219 | 32.2 | 23.1 | 12.1 | 7.7 | 2.3 | - | 1.4 | 10.1 | 11.1 | 9.1 |
22 May - 9 Jun[dubious – discuss] | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List [1] | 38.3 | 30.5 | 8.1 | 9.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 8.0 | - | 7.8 | |
22 May - 9 Jun[dubious – discuss] | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List [1] | 33.6 | 26.9 | 7.1 | 8.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 7.0 | 12.1 | 6.7 | |
1-3 Jun | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 34.7 | 28.5 | 6.4 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 12.8 | 6.2 |
1-21 May | Ipsos Puls/Nova TV | 976 | 31.6 | 31.2 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 4.3 | - | 1.4 | 6.7 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
2-5 May | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 33.6 | 34.7 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 11.5 | 1.1 |
1-21 Apr | Ipsos Puls/Nova TV | 964 | 32.1 | 33.3 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 1.2 |
1-4 Apr | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 31.4 | 31.9 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4.9 | 15.7 | 0.5 |
1-21 Mar | Ipsos Puls/Nova TV | 969 | 31.5 | 34.9 | 7.6 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 7.3 | 3.4 |
1-3 Mar | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 30.9 | 31.4 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 13.1 | 0.5 |
1-21 Feb | Ipsos Puls/Nova TV | 973 | 28.9 | 33.2 | 10.2 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 6.8 | 8.6 | 4.3 |
1-3 Feb | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 32.3 | 32.7 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 11.9 | 0.4 |
1-21 Jan | Ipsos Puls/Nova TV | 975 | 29.1 | 32.5 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | - | 2.0 | 7.1 | 6.7 | 3.4 |
4-6 Jan | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 32.1 | 31.2 | 11.7 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 12.1 | 0.9 |
2016 | ||||||||||||
1-21 Dec | Ipsos Puls/Nova TV | 976 | 29.2 | 33.8 | 15.5 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 4.6 |
30 Nov-2 Dec | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 30.3 | 29.4 | 15.4 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 10.7 | 0.9 |
8-20 Nov | Ipsos Puls/Nova TV | 966 | 30.2 | 29.6 | 19.1 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 0.6 |
8 Nov | General Election | 33.3 | 33.3 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 8.9 | - | 0.0 |
Party standings
Date(s) conducted | Polling organization/client | Sample size | SDP | HDZ | Most | Živi zid | MB 365 | HNS | HSS | ORaH | IDS | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" | | ||||||
25-28 Jun | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 1 219 | 30.9 | 21.5 | 12.1 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | - | 1.4 | 10.2 | 11.1 | 9.4 |
1-3 Jun | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 30.5 | 26.3 | 6.4 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 12.8 | 4.2 |
1-21 May | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 976 | 29.1 | 28.7 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | - | 1.4 | 10.4 | 7.5 | 0.4 |
2-5 May | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 29.2 | 29.5 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 11.5 | 0.3 |
1-21 Apr | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 964 | 28.6 | 29.0 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 11.1 | 7.2 | 1.2 |
1-4 Apr | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 29.0 | 29.8 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7.5 | 12.8 | 0.8 |
1-21 Mar | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 969 | 28.0 | 30.2 | 7.6 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 10.6 | 7.3 | 2.2 |
1-3 Mar | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 28.2 | 29.3 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 13.8 | 1.1 |
1-21 Feb | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 973 | 26.2 | 28.9 | 10.2 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 10.6 | 8.6 | 2.7 |
1-3 Feb | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 28.8 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6.8 | 13.5 | 1.2 |
1-21 Jan | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 975 | 26.6 | 28.5 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | - | 2.0 | 16.8 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
4-6 Jan | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 29.6 | 29.3 | 12.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 10.1 | 0.3 |
2016 | ||||||||||||||
1-21 Dec | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 976 | 27.2 | 29.5 | 15.5 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 2.3 |
30 Nov-2 Dec | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 28.2 | 27.6 | 15.6 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 9.2 | 0.6 |
8-20 Nov | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 966 | 29.0 | 28.2 | 19.1 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 0.8 |
Seats projections
Date | Polling Firm | SDP | HDZ | Most | Živi zid | IDS | HNS | HDSSB | MB 365 | HSS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="60px" | | style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranja/meta/color" width="60px" | | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | ||
May-June 2016 | Promocija plus | 59 | 48 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Polls of electoral districts
District | Date(s) conducted | Polling Firm | SDP | HDZ | Most | Živi zid | MB 365 | HNS | HSS | HSLS | IDS | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Social Liberal Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" | | ||||||
I. | Unspecified (published 9 Jun) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 35.9 | 20.3 | 8.7 | 7.2 | - | 1.9 | - | 1.6 | - | 10.5 | 14.1 | 15.6 |
II. | Unspecified (published 8 Jun) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 28.8 | 21.1 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 1.0 | - | 6.4 | 16.1 | 7.7 |
VI. | Unspecified (published 7 Jun) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 31.1 | 24.1 | 7.4 | 9.2 | 4.9 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 9.9 | 11.5 | 7.0 |
VII. | Unspecified (published 6 Jun) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 31.5 | 24.5 | 6.1 | 12.3 | - | 1.6 | - | - | - | 15.2 | 8.9 | 7.0 |
X. | Unspecified (published 2 Jun) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 22.5 | 28.3 | 15.8 | 7.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 14.7 | 10.8 | 5.8 |
IX. | Unspecified (published 31 May) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 25.2 | 36.5 | 6.3 | 7.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 12.0 | 12.6 | 11.3 |
VIII. | Unspecified (published 29 May) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 33.6 | 12.9 | 5.0 | 7.7 | - | - | - | - | 16.3 | 9.4 | 15.4 | 17.3 |
References
- ^ a b Blažević, Robert (2016): Upravna znanost, p. 324. ISBN 9789537083243[full citation needed]