2023 Borno State gubernatorial election
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The 2023 Borno State gubernatorial election will take place on 18 March 2023, to elect the Governor of Borno State, concurrent with elections to the Borno State House of Assembly as well as twenty-seven other gubernatorial elections and elections to all other state houses of assembly.[1][2] The election—which was postponed from its original 11 March date—will be held three weeks after the presidential election and National Assembly elections.[3] Incumbent APC Governor Babagana Umara Zulum has been renominated by his party.[4]
The primaries, scheduled for between 4 April and 9 June 2022, resulted in Zulum winning the All Progressives Congress primary unopposed on 26 May while the Peoples Democratic Party nominated businessman Mohammed Ali Jajari on 25 May.[4][5]
Electoral system
The Governor of Borno State is elected using a modified two-round system. To be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive the plurality of the vote and over 25% of the vote in at least two-thirds of state local government areas. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round will be held between the top candidate and the next candidate to have received a plurality of votes in the highest number of local government areas.
Background
Borno State is a large, diverse northeastern state in the process of recovering from the worst of the Boko Haram insurgency. Still facing large-scale threats by and partial occupation from Boko Haram and ISWAP terrorists, the state also has to contend with an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, desertification, and low education rates.
Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and Zulum won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, house of representatives, and house of assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.
At the beginning of his term, Zulum said administration would focus on ending the insurgency, rebuilding the educational sector, creating jobs, and reconstructing abandoned communities.[6] In terms of his performance, Zulum was praised for his outreach to Christian areas in the state's south that are heavily targeted by terrorists, the restoration of power to Bama, an early and proactive approach to the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, efforts to support internally displaced persons' return to their communities, and for signing the Child Protection Law but was criticized for ordering the reopening of schools in an insecure area, being insensitive in the aftermath of the Koshebe massacre, and rushing the closure of IDP camps before security could be guaranteed.[7][8][9][10][11][12][13]
Primary elections
The primaries, along with any potential challenges to primary results, were to take place between 4 April and 3 June 2022 but the deadline was extended to 9 June.[2][14]
All Progressives Congress
On the primary date, Zulum was the sole candidate and won the nomination unanimously at the El-Kanemi Sports Centre in Maiduguri. In his acceptance speech, Zulum noted that combating insecurity was a priority in the wake of the Kala-Balge killings; he also rejected his long-rumored interest in the APC's vice presidential slot.[4]
Nominated
- Babagana Umara Zulum: Governor (2019–present) and former Commissioner of Reconstruction, Rehabilitation and Resettlement (2015–2018)[21][4]
- Running mate—Umar Usman Kadafur: Deputy Governor (2019–present)
Declined
- Mohammed Abba-Aji: Northeast Governors Forum Executive Secretary (2020–present) and former Senator for Borno Central (2003–2007)
- Kashim Ibrahim-Imam: 2019 APC gubernatorial candidate, 2003 and 2007 PDP gubernatorial nominee, and son of First Republic politician Ibrahim Imam
- Abubakar Kyari: APC Deputy National Chairman (North) (2022–present), Senator for Borno North (2015–2022), former commissioner, and son of former Military Administrator of North-Central State Abba Kyari
- Mohammed Ali Ndume: Senator for Borno South (2011–present) and former House of Representatives member for Chibok/Damboa/Gwoza (2003–2011)
- Idris Mamman Durkwa: 2019 APC gubernatorial candidate[22]
- Mustapha Baba Shehuri: Minister of State for Agriculture and Rural Development (2019–present) and former Minister of State for Works, Power and Housing (2015–2019)
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
APC | Babagana Umara Zulum | 1,411 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 1,411 | 100.00% | ||
Turnout | 1,411 | 90.45% |
People's Democratic Party
On the primary date, an indirect primary held in Maiduguri with that ended with Mohammed Ali Jajari emerging as the PDP nominee by defeating 2019 nominee Muhammed Imam, 57% to 43%. After announcing the results, primary committee chairman Abdulrahman Bobboi urged those that had lost out to commit their support to Ali Jajari.[5]
Nominated
- Mohammed Ali Jajari: businessman[26][5]
- Running mate—Saleh Ahmed Kida
Eliminated in primary
- Muhammed Imam: 2019 PDP gubernatorial nominee[26][5]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
PDP | Mohammed Ali Jajari | 487 | 57.36% | |
PDP | Muhammed Imam | 362 | 42.64% | |
Total votes | 849 | 100.00% | ||
Turnout | 849 | Unknown |
Minor parties
- Buji Babagana (Action Alliance)[27]
- Running mate: Mohammed Abubakar[27]
- Alhaji Monguno (Action Democratic Party)[27]
- Running mate: Hamid Zamzam Abbas[27]
- Umar Abdulkadir (Action Peoples Party)[27]
- Running mate: Salihu Umar[27]
- Fatima Abubakar (African Democratic Congress)[27]
- Running mate: Shettima Muhammad[27]
- Musa Hassan (Allied Peoples Movement)[27]
- Running mate: Mayami Mustapha[27]
- Kaka Goni Shettima (Boot Party)[27]
- Running mate: Bukar Mohammed[27]
- Abdullahi Goni (Labour Party)[27]
- Running mate: Sanusi Salisu[27]
- Mustapha Umar (National Rescue Movement)[27]
- Running mate: Yusuf Haruna[27]
- Muhammad Bashir Maigawa (People's Redemption Party)[27]
- Running mate: Ali Gora Yakubu[27]
- Modu Abba (Social Democratic Party)[27]
- Running mate: Fatima Lawan[27]
Campaign
In the months after the primaries, the campaign was dominated by questions over the ability of Ali Jajari to challenge the strong APC hold of the state. Coupled with the pro-APC leaning of the state were accusations that the incumbent administration was suppressing the opposition, most notably when the NNPP campaign office was closed in August by order of the Borno State Urban Planning and Development Board as it allegedly violated zoning laws. After the NNPP protested the closure, Zulum ordered the unbarring of the office with a statement that "no matter the justification [for the closure], the timing is wrong."[28][29] By September, the PDP had begun expressing fears of electoral fraud while the APC dismissed the PDP and NNPP as parties without widespread support in the state.[30]
By 2023, attention largely switched to the presidential election on 25 February. In the election, Borno State voted for Bola Tinubu (APC); Tinubu won 54.2% of the vote, beating Atiku Abubakar (PDP) at 41.0%. Although the result was unsurprising as Borno is the home state of Tinubu's running mate—Kashim Shettima—and projections had favored him, the totals led to increased attention on the gubernatorial race as it was a much slimmer APC margin of victory than in recent previous elections. Gubernatorial campaign analysis from after the presidential election noted the role of Ali Jajari in the state PDP's renewal while noting NNPP support among Shuwa Arab and Hausa communities in addition to LP support among Christian communities. Pundits also observed that the boost of APC incumbency had been counteracted by weak areas where unpopular APC legislative candidates could drag down Zulum's vote share.[31] Nevertheless, the EiE-SBM forecast projected Zulum to win based on "quantitative data and the convincing party victory in the presidential vote" while a Vanguard piece predicted a Zulum "walk over."[32][33]
Projections
Source | Projection | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
Africa Elects[a][34] | Safe Zulum | 17 March 2023 | |
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[b][32] |
Zulum | 2 March 2023 |
Conduct
Electoral timetable
On 26 February 2022, the Independent National Electoral Commission released the timetable, setting out key dates and deadlines for the election.[35] Months later on 27 May 2022, INEC made a slight revision to the timetable, allowing parties extra time to conduct primaries.[36]
- 28 February 2022 – Publication of Notice of Election
- 4 April 2022 – First day for the conduct of party primaries
- 9 June 2022[c] – Final day for the conduct of party primaries, including the resolution of disputes arising from them
- 1 July 2022 – First day for submission of nomination forms to INEC via the online portal
- 15 July 2022 – Final day for submission of nomination forms to INEC via the online portal
- 12 October 2022 – Commencement of the official campaign period
- 16 March 2023[d] – Final day of the official campaign period
General election
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
A | ||||
AA | ||||
ADP | ||||
APP | ||||
AAC | ||||
ADC | ||||
APM | ||||
APC | ||||
APGA | ||||
BP | ||||
LP | ||||
New Nigeria Peoples Party | ||||
NRM | ||||
PDP | ||||
PRP | ||||
SDP | ||||
YPP | ||||
ZLP | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Turnout |
By senatorial district
The results of the election by senatorial district.
Senatorial District | Babagana Umara Zulum APC |
Mohammed Ali Jajari PDP |
Others | Total Valid Votes | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | ||
Borno Central Senatorial District[e] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Borno North Senatorial District[f] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Borno South Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
The results of the election by federal constituency.
Federal Constituency | Babagana Umara Zulum APC |
Mohammed Ali Jajari PDP |
Others | Total Valid Votes | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | ||
Askira-Uba/Hawul Federal Constituency[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Bama/Ngala/Kala-Balge Federal Constituency[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Biu/Kwaya Kusar/Shani/Bayo Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Chibok/Damboa/Gwoza Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Dikwa/Mafa/Konduga Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Gubio/Kaga/Magumeri Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Jere Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Kukawa/Mobbar/Abadam/Guzamala Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Maiduguri (Metropolitan) Federal Constituency[p] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Monguno/Marte/Nganzai Federal Constituency[q] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
The results of the election by local government area.
LGA | Babagana Umara Zulum APC |
Mohammed Ali Jajari PDP |
Others | Total Valid Votes | Turnout Percentage | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | |||
Abadam | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Askira/Uba | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Bama | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Bayo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Biu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Chibok | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Damboa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Dikwa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Gubio | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Guzamala | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Gwoza | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Hawul | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Jere | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Kaga | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Kala/Balge | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Kukawa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Kwaya Kusar | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Mafa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Magumeri | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Maiduguri | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Marte | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Mobbar | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Monguno | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Ngala | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Nganzai | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Shani | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
Notes
- ^ AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ The original deadline was 3 June; however, INEC pushed it back to 9 June at the behest of parties.[37]
- ^ The original deadline was 9 March; however, INEC pushed it back to 16 March.[38]
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bama, Dikwa, Jere, Kaga, Kala/Balge, Konduga, Mafa, Maiduguri, and Ngala.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abadam, Gubio, Guzamala, Kukawa, Magumeri, Marte, Mobbar, Monguno, and Nganzai.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Askira/Uba, Bayo, Biu, Chibok, Damboa, Gwoza, Hawul, Kwaya Kusar, and Shani.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Askira/Uba and Hawul.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bama, Kala/Balge, and Ngala.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bayo, Biu, Kwaya Kusar, and Shani.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Chibok, Damboa, and Gwoza.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Dikwa, Konduga, and Mafa.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Gubio, Kaga, and Magumeri.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Jere.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abadam, Guzamala, Kukawa, and Mobbar.
- ^ Comprising the local government area of Maiduguri.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Monguno.
References
- ^ Oyekanmi, Rotimi (26 February 2022). "It's Official: 2023 Presidential, National Assembly Elections to Hold Feb 25". INEC News. Retrieved 27 February 2022.
- ^ a b Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Suleiman, Qosim. "It's Official: INEC postpones Saturday's governorship, state assembly elections". Premium Times. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
- ^ a b c d e Adesina, Michael. "Zulum wins Borno APC governorship primary, rejects VP slot". P.M. News. Retrieved 26 May 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "Jajari wins Borno PDP guber Primaries". Premium Times. News Agency of Nigeria. Retrieved 26 May 2022.
- ^ Maina, Maina (29 May 2019). "Inauguration: What Zulum said during his swearing in as Borno governor". Daily Post. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
- ^ "RANKING NIGERIAN GOVERNORS, DECEMBER 2019: Top 5, Bottom 5". Ripples Nigeria. 2 January 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
We equally applaud his continuous visits to the Southern part of the state, which is the most hit by the terrorist activities of the Islamist group, especially his spending Christmas in Lassa, Sabon Gari Lassa, Chul, Mangum Wamdio, Rumirgo and Askira town all in Askira-Uba Local Government Area, areas with high Christian population...The restoration of power to Bama by the state government and the reconstruction of schools destroyed by the terrorists also caught our attention
- ^ "RANKING NIGERIAN GOVERNORS, MARCH, 2020: Top 5, Bottom 5". Ripples Nigeria. 6 April 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
Though Borno State remains one of the states in the country yet to record any case of the COVID-19 disease, it has made ready an isolation and treatment centre in Maiduguri with standard facilities ahead of any emergencies.
- ^ "Top 5, Bottom 5: RipplesNigeria ranking of Nigerian governors for August, 2020". Ripples Nigeria. 7 September 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
We acknowledge the government's concerted efforts to return life to many of the insurgency-ravaged local government areas and towns, especially in its commitment to rebuilding destroyed infrastructures and provision of much needed palliatives for returnee Internally Displaced persons (IDPs).
- ^ "UNICEF praises Gov. Zulum for signing Child Protection Law". Peoples Gazette. News Agency of Nigeria. 12 January 2022. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
- ^ "NIGERIAN GOVERNORS: Fumbling, wobbling dominate June 2020 performance". Ripples Nigeria. 13 July 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
Zulum of Borno receives a mention among the fumbling and wobbling team in the month of June for ordering the reopening of three secondary schools in Bama, one of the most insecure regions in the state.
- ^ Yusuff, Sodiq (13 December 2020). "THE INSIDER: How Zulum was trapped in 'Catch-22 situation' over praise for Buhari". TheCable. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
- ^ Abolade, Lukman (31 October 2021). "Is Borno safe enough for closure of IDP camps? Zulum thinks so". International Centre for Investigative Reporting. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
- ^ James, Dominic. "Primaries: INEC Grants Parties Six Extra Days, Timetable Remains Unchanged". INEC News. Retrieved 28 May 2022.
- ^ Odunsi, Wale. "2023: APC extends sale of forms, fixes dates to elect delegates". Daily Post. Retrieved 7 May 2022.
- ^ Nseyen, Nsikak. "2023: APC fixes new date for governorship primaries, others". Daily Post. Retrieved 11 May 2022.
- ^ Majeed, Bakare (20 April 2022). "UPDATED: 2023: APC fixes presidential forms for N100 million, adopts indirect primaries". Premium Times. Retrieved 20 April 2022.
- ^ Angbulu, Stephen; Ayeni, Victor; Dada, Peter; Naku, Dennis; Ede, Raphael (21 April 2022). "Presidential primary: APC silent on zoning, Nigerians condemn N100m nomination fee". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
- ^ APC Nigeria [@OfficialAPCNg] (11 May 2022). "NEW DATES" (Tweet). Retrieved 12 May 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ APC Nigeria [@OfficialAPCNg] (18 May 2022). "ADJUSTED TIMETABLE" (Tweet). Retrieved 21 May 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ "2023: Zulum accepts call to contest for 2nd term". Daily Nigerian. 4 May 2022. Retrieved 6 May 2022.
- ^ Marama, Ndahi. "Borno APC Chieftain, Durkwa says 2023 general election is still far to express ambition". Vanguard. Retrieved 23 November 2021.
- ^ Angbulu, Stephen (21 April 2022). "2023: PDP extends sale of forms for fourth time". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
- ^ Official PDP Nigeria [@OfficialPDPNig] (5 May 2022). "2023 General Elections: @OfficialPDPNig updated Time Table and Schedule of Activities for the 2023 general elections. See below" (Tweet). Retrieved 1 May 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Ukaibe, Chibuzo. "2023: PDP Fixes New Date For Gov'ship Primaries". Leadership. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
- ^ a b Martins, Baba (21 April 2022). "Borno Gov'ship: 2 Pick PDP Forms To Battle Zulum". Daily Trust. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t "FINAL LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR STATE ELECTIONS - Governorship & Houses of Assembly" (PDF). Independent National Electoral Commission. Retrieved 6 October 2022.
- ^ Omolaoye, Sodiq; Musa, Njadvara (26 August 2022). "NNPP kicks as police seal Borno office ahead inauguration by Kwankwaso". The Guardian. Retrieved 12 October 2022.
- ^ Okoye, Francis (26 August 2022). "Zulum Directs Borno Agency To Unseal NNPP Office". Leadership. Retrieved 12 October 2022.
- ^ Okoye, Francis (12 September 2022). "Opposition's Tough Task Of Upstaging APC In Borno". Leadership. Retrieved 12 October 2022.
- ^ Aruna, Yemi. "Borno2023: Zulum faces resurgent PDP in governorship race". Premium Times. Retrieved 17 March 2023.
- ^ a b "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: Diminished interest in state elections will make for poor outcomes". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 16 March 2023.
- ^ "Who governs in Northern Nigeria? Factors that'll shape the races". Vanguard. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Gubernatorial Elections: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 17 March 2023.
- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ "Schedule of Activities for 2023 General Election". ThisDay. Retrieved 12 June 2022.
- ^ James, Dominic. "Primaries: INEC Grants Parties Six Extra Days, Timetable Remains Unchanged". INEC News. Retrieved 28 May 2022.
- ^ Suleiman, Qosim. "It's Official: INEC postpones Saturday's governorship, state assembly elections". Premium Times. Retrieved 15 March 2023.