2019 Estonian parliamentary election

Estonian parliamentary election, 2019

2019
101 seats in the Riigikogu 51 seats are needed for a majority
First party Second party Third party   Leader Hanno Pevkur Jüri Ratas Jevgeni Ossinovski Party Reform Centre SDE Last election 30 seats, 27.7% 27 seats, 24.8% 15 seats, 15.2%   Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party   Leader Helir-Valdor Seeder Artur Talvik Mart Helme Party Pro Patria and Res Publica Free EKRE Last election 14 seats, 13.7% 8 seats, 8.7% 7 seats, 8.1%
Electoral districts
Prime Minister before election Jüri Ratas Centre Elected Prime Minister TBD

Parliamentary elections will be held in Estonia in 2019.

Electoral system

The 101 members of the Riigikogu is elected by proportional representation in twelve multi-member constituencies. The seats are allocated using a modified D'Hondt method. Parties have to pass a nationwide threshold of 5%, but if the number of votes cast for an individual candidate exceeds or equals the simple quota (obtained by dividing the number of valid votes cast in the electoral district by the number of mandates in the district), they are elected.

Opinion polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date	Polling Firm	Ref	Kesk	SDE	IRL	EVA	EKRE	Green	Others	Lead	Govt-Opposition
25 Apr–9 May 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	25	26	12	4	8	14	3	8	1	42 – 47
Apr 2017	TNS Emor	25	25	15	5	11	14	5	1	0	45 – 50
28 Mar–10 Apr 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	20	30	11	8	7	13	2	9	10	49 – 40
1–14 Mar 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	25	29	11	7	7	8	3	10	4	47 – 40
Mar 2017	TNS Emor	26	27	15	6	10	14	2	0	1	48 – 50
Feb 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	23	29	10	7	8	10	2	11	6	46 – 41
Feb 2017	TNS Emor	25	27	16	7	10	13	2	0	2	50 – 48
19–31 Jan 2017	Turu-uuringute AS	25	31	10	6	7	9	1	11	6	47 – 41
Dec 2016	TNS Emor	23	26	19	7	8	11	4	2	3	52 – 42
Dec 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	20	32	15	8	6	8	1	10	12	55 – 34
23 Nov 2016	Jüri Ratas' cabinet is sworn in
Nov 2016	TNS Emor	23	24	19	9	11	10	3	1	1	—
Nov 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	21	29	13	9	9	12	–	7	8	—
9 Nov 2016	Taavi Rõivas loses the vote of confidence in Riigikogu
Oct 2016	TNS Emor	22	25	17	8	15	10	3	0	3	47 – 50
Oct 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	25	26	12	7	9	10	–	11	1	44 – 45
Sep 2016	TNS Emor	22	20	19	9	12	13	4	1	2	50 – 45
Sep 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	25	26	12	7	9	10	–	11	1	44 – 45
Aug 2016	TNS Emor	28	23	15	8	9	13	3	1	5	51 – 45
Aug 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	23	24	15	5	10	13	–	10	1	43 – 47
Jun 2016	TNS Emor	27	21	17	6	11	14	3	1	6	50 – 46
Jun 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	20	28	10	7	12	13	2	8	8	37 – 53
May 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	21	23	12	4	11	14	–	15	2	37 – 48
Apr 2016	TNS Emor	23	22	16	7	15	13	2	2	1	46 – 50
Apr 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	21	25	13	7	12	14	–	8	4	41 – 51
Mar 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	23	25	13	6	12	13	–	8	2	42 – 50
Mar 2016	TNS Emor	23	25	14	6	15	14	2	1	2	43 – 54
Feb 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	23	29	12	6	12	11	–	7	6	41 – 52
Feb 2016	TNS Emor	22	22	16	6	16	13	3	2	0	44 – 51
Jan 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	17	26	13	7	13	12	–	12	9	37 – 51
Dec 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	20	25	14	7	13	10	–	11	5	41 – 48
Dec 2015	TNS Emor	21	25	16	8	15	11	3	1	3	45 – 51
Nov 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	17	33	13	8	11	9	–	9	16	38 – 53
Nov 2015	TNS Emor	20	23	16	7	16	12	3	1	3	43 – 51
Oct 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	19	27	14	8	14	10	–	8	8	41 – 51
Sep 2015	TNS Emor	24	24	18	7	17	7	3	1	0	49 – 48
Sep 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	21	29	15	9	11	6	–	9	8	45 – 46
Aug 2015	TNS Emor	20	25	16	9	17	9	3	2	5	45 – 51
Jun 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	16	28	18	9	15	6	–	8	10	43 – 49
Jun 2015	TNS Emor	18	26	16	8	19	9	3	1	7	42 – 54
May 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	18	31	13	9	14	7	–	8	13	40 – 52
May 2015	TNS Emor	19	26	17	8	18	8	3	1	7	44 – 52
Apr 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	22	26	17	10	12	7	–	6	4	49 – 45
Mar 2015	TNS Emor	28	24	16	10	12	9	1	0	4	54 – 45
1 Mar 2015	Election Results	27.7	24.8	15.2	13.7	8.7	8.1	0.9	0.9	2.9	56,6 – 41,6

External links

• Estonian National Electoral Committee