Jean Laherrère

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Jean H. Laherrère is a petroleum engineer and consultant, best known as the co-author of an influential 1998 Scientific American article entitled "The End of Cheap Oil".[1] Laherrère worked for 37 years with Total S.A., a French petroleum company. His work on seismic refraction surveys contributed to the discovery of Africa's largest oil field.[1]

Since retiring from Total, Laherrère has consulted worldwide on the future of exploration and production of oil and natural gas. He is an active member of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas, and continues to contribute detailed analyses and projections of the future of world energy production.[2]

Laherrère is an advisor for the Oil Depletion Analysis Centre.

Peak predictions[edit]

In 1998, with co-author Colin J. Campbell, Laherrere predicted that peak oil would occur sometime 1998-2008, at about 26 billion barrels per year.[3]

In 2007, Laherrere predicted that United States marketed natural gas production, then rising due to shale gas production, would peak around 2010 at about 20 tcf per year, then fall to about 12 TCF by 2020.[4] Instead, US marketed gas production has continued to rise through 2013, when it reached 25.6 tcf.[5]


  1. ^ a b Colin Campbell and Jean Laherrère, "The End of Cheap Oil", Scientific American, March 1998.
  2. ^ Papers and publications of Jean Laherrère
  3. ^ Colin J. Campbell and Jean T. Laherrere, “The end of cheap oil”, Scientific American, March 1998.
  4. ^ Jean Laherrere, North America natural gas discovery and production, figure 5, 20 August 2007.
  5. ^ US EIA, US natural gas marketed production, accessed 11 Oct. 2014.

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See also[edit]