2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election
Appearance
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Turnout | 30.9% | |||||||||||||||||||
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County results | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Kentucky |
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Government |
The Kentucky gubernatorial election took place on November 3, 2015, to elect the Governor of Kentucky. Incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Beshear was not eligible to run for re-election to a third term due to term limits established by the Kentucky Constitution. Primary elections were held on May 19, 2015. Despite being behind in most pre-election polls, Republican Matt Bevin won the election by approximately a nine-point margin. 30.86% of all eligible voters voted in the election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Jack Conway, Attorney General of Kentucky and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010[1]
- Running mate: Sannie Overly, State Representative[1]
- Geoff Young, retired engineer and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2014[2]
Declined
- Jerry Abramson, White House Director of Intergovernmental Affairs, former Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky and former Mayor of Louisville[4]
- Rocky Adkins, Majority Leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives[5][6]
- Ben Chandler, former U.S. Representative, former Attorney General of Kentucky and nominee for Governor in 2003[7][8][9][10]
- Luther Deaton, banker[11][12]
- Adam Edelen, State Auditor of Kentucky (ran for re-election)[13][14][15]
- Greg Fischer, Mayor of Louisville[16]
- Alison Lundergan Grimes, Secretary of State of Kentucky and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (ran for re-election)[17]
- Crit Luallen, Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky and former State Auditor of Kentucky[18][19]
- Daniel Mongiardo, former Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004[13]
- Greg Stumbo, Speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives, former Attorney General of Kentucky and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2007[6][20][21][22][23]
- John Yarmuth, U.S. Representative[24]
Endorsements
Jack Conway/Sannie Overly
- Statewide elected officials
- Wendell H. Ford, former U.S. Senator and former Governor[25]
- Crit Luallen, Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky and former State Auditor of Kentucky[25]
- Alison Lundergan Grimes, Kentucky Secretary of State[25]
- John Yarmuth, U.S. Representative[25]
- Individuals
- Jim King, Louisville Metro Council President[26]
- David Yates, Louisville Metro Councilman[27]
- Shane Young, Hardin County Commonwealth's Attorney[28]
- Dan Boaz, McCracken County Commonwealth's Attorney[29]
- Les Burgett, Perry County Sheriff[30]
- Bobby Carpenter, Greenup County Judge/Executive[31]
- John Estill, Mason County Attorney[32]
- John Gardner, Barren and Metcalfe Counties Commonwealth's Attorney[33]
- Steve Gold, Henderson County Attorney[34]
- David O'Neill, Fayette County Property Valuation Administrator[35]
- G.L. Ovey, Lyon County Commonwealth's Attorney[36]
- Mike Pryor, Nicholas County Judge/Executive[37]
- Tommy Turner, LaRue County Judge/Executive[38]
- Jim Ward, Letcher County Judge/Executive[39]
- G. Davis Wilson, Bourbon County Attorney[40]
- Elisabeth Jensen, education advocate and nominee for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2014[41]
- Members of the Kentucky legislature
- Morgan McGarvey, State Senator[42]
- Gerald Neal, State Senator[43]
- Ray Jones, State Senator[44]
- Dorsey Ridley, State Senator[45]
- Rita Smart, State Representative[46]
- Larry Clark, State Representative and former Speaker Pro Tem of the Kentucky House of Representatives[47]
- Leslie Combs, State Representative[48]
- Mike Denham, State Representative[49]
- Jeff Donohue, State Representative[50]
- Kelly Flood, State Representative[51]
- Doc Watkins, State Representative[52]
- Ed Worley, former Minority Leader of the Kentucky Senate and former State Senator[53]
- Jerry Rhoads, former State Senator[54]
- Denver Butler, former State Representative[55]
- Organizations
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 369[56]
- Jefferson County Teachers Association[57]
- Teamsters Joint Council 94[58]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jack Conway |
Geoff Young |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 5–10, 2015 | 707 | ± 3.5% | 68% | 13% | 19% |
Survey USA | March 3–8, 2015 | 640 | ± 3.9% | 61% | 12% | 27% |
Harper Polling | January 28–31, 2015 | 255 | ± 6.14% | 59% | 13% | 28% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jack Conway | 140,627 | 78.8 | |
Democratic | Geoff Young | 37,887 | 21.2 | |
Total votes | 178,514 | 100 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Matt Bevin, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[60][61]
- Running mate: Jenean Hampton, former Chairwoman of the Bowling Green/Southern Kentucky Tea Party and nominee for the State House in 2014[62][63]
- James Comer, Agriculture Commissioner of Kentucky[64]
- Running mate: Christian McDaniel, State Senator[65]
- Hal Heiner, former member of the Louisville Metro Council and nominee for Mayor of Louisville in 2010[66]
- Running mate: K.C. Crosbie, former Lexington-Fayette Urban County Councilwoman and nominee for Kentucky State Treasurer in 2011[67]
- Will T. Scott, former Associate Justice of the Kentucky Supreme Court, nominee for Attorney General of Kentucky in 1995 and for KY-07 in 1988 and 1990[68][69]
- Running mate: Rodney Coffey, former Menifee County Sheriff[70]
Withdrew
- Robert Lee Rosier, U.S. Army veteran[71]
- Running mate: John Yuen, candidate for the State Senate in 2012[71]
Declined
- Cathy Bailey, businesswoman and former United States Ambassador to Latvia[72]
- Andy Barr, U.S. Representative[73][74]
- Jess Correll, banker[75]
- Richie Farmer, former Agriculture Commissioner of Kentucky[76][77][78]
- Ernie Fletcher, former Governor and former U.S. Representative[79]
- Trey Grayson, former Secretary of State of Kentucky and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[80]
- Brett Guthrie, U.S. Representative[75][81][82]
- Thomas Massie, U.S. Representative[83]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator and Senate Majority Leader[84]
- Phil Moffett, businessman, Tea Party activist and candidate for Governor in 2011[85][86]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator and 2016 presidential candidate[87]
- David L. Williams, Judge on the Kentucky Circuit Courts, former President of the Kentucky Senate and nominee for Governor in 2011[88]
Endorsements
James Comer/Chris McDaniel
- Individuals
- Jim Bunning, former U.S. Senator[89]
- Julie Denton, State Senator[90]
- Anne Northup, former U.S. Representative and candidate for Governor in 2007[90]
- Ron Lewis, former U.S. Representative[91]
- Thomas Massie, U.S. Representative for Kentucky's 4th congressional district[92]
- Ed Whitfield, U.S. Representative[93]
- Organizations
- Associated General Contractors[94]
Hal Heiner/K.C. Crosbie
- Individuals
- Rebecca Jackson, former Jefferson County Judge/Executive and candidate for Governor in 2003[90]
- Organizations
- Kentucky Pastors Action Coalition [95]
Matt Bevin/Jenean Hampton
- Individuals
- Hugh Hewitt, author and talk radio personality [96]
- Sally Oh, co-founder of the Lexington Tea Party [97]
- Organizations
- Cincinnati Enquirer [98]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cathy Bailey |
Matt Bevin |
James Comer |
Hal Heiner |
Will T. Scott |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 5–10, 2015 | 517 | ± 4.4% | — | 27% | 26% | 25% | 8% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | May 6–7, 2015 | 501 | ± 4.4% | — | 25% | 28% | 27% | — | 20% |
Triumph Campaigns | March 26, 2015 | 601 | ± 4% | — | 12% | 19% | 33% | 3% | 29% |
Survey USA | March 3–8, 2015 | 520 | ± 4.4% | — | 20% | 20% | 28% | 8% | 25% |
Harper Polling | January 28–31, 2015 | 261 | ± 6.07% | — | 18% | 25% | 19% | 9% | 30% |
Remington Research | January 27–28, 2015 | 1,000 | ± ? | — | 19% | 22% | 18% | 5% | 26% |
Public Policy Polling | August 7–10, 2014 | 383 | ± ? | 11% | 25% | 20% | 18% | — | 26% |
— | — | 22% | 28% | — | 50% | ||||
Public Opinion Strategies | February 26–27, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | — | — | 42% | 14% | — | 13% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Bevin | 70,479 | 32.9 | |
Republican | James Comer | 70,396 | 32.9 | |
Republican | Hal Heiner | 57,948 | 27.1 | |
Republican | Will T. Scott | 15,364 | 7.2 | |
Total votes | 214,187 | 100 |
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Drew Curtis, entrepreneur and founder and CEO of Fark.com[100]
- Running mate: Heather Curtis, COO of Fark.com and wife of Drew Curtis[100]
- Running mate: Elisabeth Anderson, retired legal secretary
General election
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jack Conway (D) |
Matt Bevin (R) |
Drew Curtis (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vox Populi | October 26–27, 2015 | 618 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 44% | 6% | 6% |
43% | 46% | 6% | 7% | ||||
Survey USA | October 23–26, 2015 | 798 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 40% | 6% | 10% |
WKU Social Science Research Center | October 19–25, 2015 | 770 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 40% | 7% | 8% |
Mason-Dixon | October 6–8, 2015 | 625 | ± 4% | 43% | 41% | 6% | 10% |
Survey USA | September 22–27, 2015 | 701 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 37% | 7% | 15% |
Survey USA | July 22–28, 2015 | 685 | ± 3.8% | 43% | 38% | 8% | 11% |
45% | 42% | — | 13% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 18–21, 2015 | 1,108 | ± 2.9% | 35% | 38% | 6% | 21% |
38% | 40% | — | 22% | ||||
Survey USA | May 5–10, 2015 | 1,677 | ± 2.4% | 48% | 37% | — | 16% |
Survey USA | March 3–8, 2015 | 1,917 | ± 2.3% | 42% | 36% | — | 22% |
Harper Polling | January 28–29, 2015 | 640 | ± 3.87% | 45% | 41% | — | 14% |
Gravis Marketing | January 5–6, 2015 | 608 | ± 4% | 44% | 36% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | August 7–10, 2014 | 991 | ± 3.1% | 39% | 36% | — | 25% |
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Bevin | 511,771 | 52.52% | +17.23% | |
Democratic | Jack Conway | 426,944 | 43.82% | −11.90% | |
Independent | Drew Curtis | 35,629 | 3.66% | N/A | |
Majority | 84,827 | 8.7% | |||
Total votes | 974,344 | 30.86% | |||
Republican gain from Democratic | Swing |
References
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