Next Bulgarian parliamentary election
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By 30 June 2030
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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are to be held in Bulgaria by 30 June 2030 to elect all 240 members of the National Assembly.
Background
[edit]The 2026 parliamentary election resulted in a landslide victory for former president Rumen Radev and his newly formed party, Progressive Bulgaria.[1] It received 44% of the vote and won 131 seats – an absolute majority in the legislature. GERB–SDS became the second-largest party, but suffered a significant decline, while the PP–DB coalition came third.[1] Two other parties, the Movement for Rights and Freedoms and Revival also obtained representation. Multiple parties lost parliamentary representation due to falling short of the 4% electoral threshold, most notable the Bulgarian Socialist Party, which failed to obtain seats in parliament for the first time since 1990.[2][3]
The newly elected 52nd National Assembly held its first sitting on 30 April 2026. Before the meeting, it was announced that unlike in previous legislatures, We Continue the Change and Democratic Bulgaria would be forming separate parliamentary groups, rather than forming a joint group.[4]
On 8 May 2026, Radev was officially sworn in as the next Prime Minister of Bulgaria as the National Assembly approved him and his government.[5]
Opinion polls
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]
Poll results
[edit]Opinion poll results below are recalculated from the original data by excluding undecided voters and non-voters. Seat projections are shown for each poll when available. 121 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority and all parties need to pass a 4% threshold (calculated excluding 'none of the above' votes) to win seats in the National Assembly.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | PB | GERB–SDS | PP–DB | DPS | Vaz. | Others | NOTA | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Links | 13–21 Jun 2026 | 1,005 | 46.3 | 15.5 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 11.6 | 1.9 | 30.8 |
| Market Links | 16–27 May 2026 | 1,008 | 45.7 | 15.6 | 13.7 | 6.8 | 4.3 | 12.9 | 1.0 | 30.1 |
| 2026 election | 19 Apr 2026 | N/a | 43.9 131 |
13.2 39 |
12.4 37 |
7.0 21 |
4.2 12 |
17.7 0 |
1.5 | 30.7 |
Notes
[edit]- ↑ Yordanova serves as the group chair of Democratic Bulgaria. Bozhidar Bozhanov and Ivaylo Mirchev serve as co-leaders of Yes, Bulgaria!, while Atanas Atanasov serves as leader of Democrats for a Strong Bulgaria.
References
[edit]- 1 2 "Rumen Radev's party wins Bulgarian election". BBC News. 2026-04-20. Retrieved 2026-05-31.
- ↑ "Bulgaria enters uncharted territory as Radev wins big". Deutsche Welle. Retrieved 2026-05-31.
- ↑ "Bulgaria's Snap Parliamentary Elections: Key Takeaways". Geopolitics and Security Studies Center. Retrieved 2026-05-31.
- ↑ "Bulgaria's newly-elected National Assembly holds first sitting". The Sofia Globe. 2026-04-30. Retrieved 2026-05-31.
- ↑ "Bulgaria's parliament confirms Russia-aligned Radev as prime minister". Politico. 2026-05-08. Retrieved 2026-05-31.
