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Opinion polling for the 2016 Spanish general election

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In the run up to the 2016 Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 20 December 2015, to the present day. The next general election will be held on 26 June 2016.

Party vote

Graphical summary

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Color key:

  Multi-scenario poll   Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

w/ Unidos Podemos

Color key:

  Multi-scenario poll   Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample
size
TO PP PSOE Unidos Podemos C's ERC CDC PNV EH Bildu CC Lead
style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Unidos Podemos/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Republican Left of Catalonia/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Democratic Convergence of Catalonia/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Basque Nationalist Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Euskal Herria Bildu/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Canarian Coalition/meta/color;"|
General Election 26.06.16 66.2% 33.0 22.6 21.2 13.0 2.6 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.4
Sigma Dos 26.06.16 (20:00) 132,000 ? 28.5 22.0 25.6 11.8 3.1 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.9
Sigma Dos 26.06.16 (16:00) ? ? 29.1 22.7 25.6 11.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.5
Sigma Dos 26.06.16 (12:45) ? ? 30.0 22.7 24.6 10.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.4
PP 25.06.16 ? 70% 29.5 20.1 26.3 14.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.2
GESOP 22.06.16–25.06.16 1,000 69% 28.7 21.6 23.9 14.5 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.8
GESOP 22.06.16–24.06.16 900 71% 28.7 21.6 23.7 14.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.0
GAD3 13.06.16–24.06.16 4,000 ? 30.4 21.8 24.8 13.2 2.8 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.6
GESOP 21.06.16–23.06.16 900 70% 28.0 21.8 24.0 15.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.0
GESOP 20.06.16–22.06.16 900 70% 28.2 21.7 23.6 15.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.6
GESOP 19.06.16–21.06.16 900 69% 28.5 21.5 23.7 15.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.8
GESOP 18.06.16–20.06.16 900 70% 29.0 21.5 23.7 14.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.3
GAD3 13.06.16–20.06.16 1,900 ? 30.7 21.2 24.9 14.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.8
GIPEyOP 06.06.16–20.06.16 10,244 ? 29.5 22.0 24.5 14.5 2.7 2.0 1.1 0.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.0
Redondo & Asociados 19.06.16 1,000 ? 29.4 21.5 24.9 15.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.5
JM & Asociados 19.06.16 ? ? 29.8 22.1 23.9 13.9 2.4 2.2 1.3 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.9
Invymark 17.06.16–19.06.16 1,200 ? 30.1 19.9 26.1 13.8 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.0
GESOP 17.06.16–19.06.16 900 71% 28.3 21.9 24.0 14.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.3
TNS Demoscopia 13.06.16–19.06.16 500 70.5% 29.6 21.0 24.7 14.8 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.9
Encuestamos 11.06.16–19.06.16 2,400 ? 30.6 22.0 23.9 13.6 2.2 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.7
GESOP 16.06.16–18.06.16 900 72% 28.8 21.6 23.7 15.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.1
GESOP 15.06.16–17.06.16 900 71% 28.3 21.2 24.2 15.6 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.1
Celeste-Tel 14.06.16–17.06.16 1,100 66.5% 30.5 21.8 25.3 13.3 2.4 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.2
A+M 13.06.16–17.06.16 4,000 68.8% 28.8 21.7 24.3 16.2 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.5
HM-AI 11.06.16–17.06.16 1,450 68.8% 30.4 21.0 26.2 12.5 2.1 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.2
Netquest 07.06.16–17.06.16 2,000 ? 30.4 20.4 24.0 15.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.4
NC Report 05.06.16–17.06.16 2,000 64.6% 31.1 21.2 25.4 13.2 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.7
Invymark 15.06.16–16.06.16 ? ? 29.8 20.4 25.3 14.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.5
Sigma Dos 14.06.16–16.06.16 1,500 ? 30.5 20.0 24.8 14.1 2.4 1.8 1.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.7
GESOP 14.06.16–16.06.16 900 70% 28.6 20.8 24.1 15.6 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.5
GAD3 13.06.16–16.06.16 1,400 ? 30.3 21.4 24.6 14.4 2.3 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.7
Celeste-Tel 13.06.16–16.06.16 1,100 66.4% 30.3 21.8 25.1 13.4 2.4 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.2
MyWord 13.06.16–16.06.16 1,502 ? 28.9 20.4 24.8 14.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.1
DYM 14.06.16–15.06.16 1,011 72.5% 29.0 21.0 24.9 15.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.1
Metroscopia 13.06.16–15.06.16 1,800 70% 29.0 20.5 26.0 14.5 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.0
GESOP 13.06.16–15.06.16 900 69% 28.3 20.8 24.5 15.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.8
Advice Strategic 05.06.16–15.06.16 2,500 ? 29.6 20.5 25.1 14.8 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.5
Simple Lógica 01.06.16–15.06.16 1,226 70.9% 29.2 22.5 23.5 15.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.7
GESOP 12.06.16–14.06.16 900 70% 27.8 21.1 24.7 15.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.1
Redondo & Asociados 09.06.16–14.06.16 1,000 ? 29.2 21.1 24.6 15.3 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.6
Celeste-Tel 08.06.16–14.06.16 1,100 66.3% 29.8 22.0 24.9 13.8 2.4 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.9
JM & Asociados 13.06.16 ? 69.0% 29.2 21.1 24.4 15.1 2.4 2.2 1.2 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.8
GESOP 11.06.16–13.06.16 900 71% 28.0 21.0 24.9 14.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.1
TNS Demoscopia 06.06.16–12.06.16 500 69.5% 29.0 21.3 24.5 15.6 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.5
NC Report 10.06.16 ? ? 30.6 21.3 24.8 13.7 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.8
SyM Consulting 07.06.16–10.06.16 1,816 72.8% 29.7 22.9 24.4 13.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.3
Invymark 06.06.16–10.06.16 ? ? 30.1 20.0 24.8 14.4 2.6 1.7 1.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.3
Netquest 01.06.16–10.06.16 2,000 ? 28.8 21.0 24.7 15.8 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.1
Sondaxe 01.06.16–09.06.16 1,005 ? 29.2 21.4 26.1 12.9 2.4 1.9 0.9 0.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.1
Metroscopia 07.06.16–08.06.16 1,200 70% 28.9 20.8 25.4 15.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.5
GESOP 03.06.16–07.06.16 1,816 ? 27.9 21.2 24.5 15.5 2.3 1.6 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.4
Celeste-Tel 01.06.16–07.06.16 1,100 65.6% 29.7 22.1 24.4 14.3 2.4 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.3
GAD3 03.06.16–06.06.16 1,016 70% 29.8 21.4 24.3 14.9 2.4 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.5
Encuestamos 26.05.16–05.06.16 2,000 ? 30.4 21.9 23.6 13.6 2.3 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.8
Netquest 01.06.16–03.06.16 1,000 ? 27.7 21.6 24.3 15.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.4
NC Report 30.05.16–03.06.16 2,000 63.9% 30.5 21.4 24.5 13.9 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.0
Sigma Dos 31.05.16–02.06.16 1,000 ? 31.0 20.3 23.7 14.0 2.6 2.2 1.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.3
JM & Asociados 01.06.16 ? 69.5% 28.7 21.7 24.1 14.8 2.3 2.5 1.3 0.9 0.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.6
PSOE 01.06.16 1,000 ? 27.9 23.8 22.4 14.5 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.1
Metroscopia 31.05.16–01.06.16 1,200 68% 28.5 20.2 25.6 16.6 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.9
NC Report 16.05.16–27.05.16 2,000 ? 30.5 21.3 24.7 14.2 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.8
GAD3 23.05.16–26.05.16 1,000 70% 29.6 21.6 22.5 14.8 2.4 2.2 1.2 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.1
Advice Strategic 19.05.16–25.05.16 2,500 ? 29.8 20.4 24.4 14.7 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.4
MyWord 20.05.16–24.05.16 1,000 ? 29.2 20.7 24.8 14.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.4
CIS 04.05.16–22.05.16 17,488 ? 29.2 21.2 25.6 14.6 2.4 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.6
Encuestamos 02.05.16–22.05.16 2,000 ? 30.3 22.9 23.2 13.9 2.4 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.1
Celeste-Tel 16.05.16–20.05.16 1,100 65.0% 29.5 22.0 24.2 14.9 2.3 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.3
NC Report 09.05.16–20.05.16 2,500 63.5% 30.4 21.1 24.9 14.5 2.3 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.5
Metroscopia 17.05.16–18.05.16 1,200 ? 29.9 20.2 23.2 15.5 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.7
GIPEyOP 12.05.16–18.05.16 2,940 ? 29.3 21.9 24.3 13.3 2.5 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.0
Redondo & Asociados 13.05.16–17.05.16 1,000 70.1% 29.4 21.2 24.3 15.1 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.1
JM & Asociados 13.05.16 ? 69.2% 27.8 20.3 24.5 16.6 2.3 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.3
Netquest 10.05.16–13.05.16 1,000 ? 30.8 19.7 23.7 14.7 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.1
Invymark 09.05.16–13.05.16 ? ? 29.6 20.1 24.2 15.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.4
NC Report 09.05.16–12.05.16 1,500 ? 30.2 21.0 24.9 14.7 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.3
NC Report 25.04.16–07.05.16 2,000 63.6% 30.2 20.8 24.7 15.0 2.1 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.5
Celeste-Tel 02.05.16–06.05.16 1,100 64.5% 29.2 22.4 24.2 15.5 2.4 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.0
Encuestamos 23.04.16–02.05.16 1,800 ? 30.0 22.8 23.9 14.1 2.4 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.1
NC Report 18.04.16–30.04.16 2,000 63.9% 30.1 20.7 24.5 15.3 2.0 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.6
GAD3 26.04.16–29.04.16 800 68% 29.7 23.2 20.9 14.0 2.2 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.5
Metroscopia 26.04.16–28.04.16 1,200 70% 29.0 20.3 22.3 16.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.7
NC Report 18.04.16–23.04.16 2,000 63.9% 30.2 20.9 24.1 15.5 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.1
JM & Asociados 22.04.16 ? 68.6% 27.8 20.0 25.2 16.5 2.3 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.6
Sigma Dos 18.04.16–22.04.16 800 ? 29.8 22.9 21.5 15.2 2.6 1.9 1.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.9
NC Report 12.04.16–16.04.16 2,400 64.5% 30.1 21.0 23.7 15.6 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.4
NC Report 04.04.16–09.04.16 2,300 ? 30.0 21.4 23.1 15.8 2.4 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.9
Metroscopia 05.04.16–06.04.16 1,200 70% 29.0 20.1 20.8 17.7 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.2
Redondo & Asociados 28.03.16–04.04.16 1,000 69.7% 29.1 21.8 24.0 15.7 2.4 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.1
NC Report 22.03.16–02.04.16 1,800 ? 29.8 22.1 22.1 15.8 2.5 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.7
NC Report 22.03.16–27.03.16 900 ? 29.8 22.4 22.3 15.5 2.5 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.4
Redondo & Asociados 16.12.15–25.01.16 13,000 ? 29.8 19.4 25.6 10.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.2
IMOP 09.01.16–11.01.16 1,000 69% 31.4 23.5 22.9 11.8 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.9

w/o Unidos Podemos

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample
size
TO PP PSOE Podemos+allies C's IU–UPeC ERC DL PNV EH Bildu CC Lead
style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Popular Unity (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Republican Left of Catalonia/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Democracy and Freedom/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Basque Nationalist Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Euskal Herria Bildu/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Canarian Coalition/meta/color;"|
Simple Lógica 02.05.16–10.05.16 1,035 71.7% 29.9 21.5 14.2 17.7 7.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.4
Celeste-Tel 02.05.16–06.05.16 1,100 64.5% 29.1 21.9 19.8 15.4 5.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.2
Encuestamos 23.04.16–02.05.16 1,800 ? 30.0 22.8 19.1 14.1 4.8 2.4 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.2
NC Report 18.04.16–30.04.16 2,000 63.9% 29.9 20.4 20.9 15.0 5.0 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.0
GAD3 26.04.16–29.04.16 800 69% 29.3 22.6 17.0 13.9 5.3 2.1 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.7
Invymark 25.04.16–29.04.16 1,200 ? 28.7 19.4 20.7 15.4 4.8 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.0
Metroscopia 26.04.16–28.04.16 1,200 70% 29.0 20.3 18.1 16.9 6.6 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.7
NC Report 18.04.16–23.04.16 2,000 63.9% 29.9 20.5 21.2 15.2 4.6 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.7
Netquest[C] 18.04.16–22.04.16 1,000 ? 29.1 19.2 19.9 16.1 7.5 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.2
Netquest[SS] 18.04.16–22.04.16 1,000 ? 30.9 20.0 19.9 15.8 7.0 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.9
Netquest[D] 18.04.16–22.04.16 1,000 ? 26.2 18.3 20.2 17.8 7.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.0
Netquest[RS] 18.04.16–22.04.16 1,000 ? 27.0 20.6 20.0 17.9 7.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.4
Netquest 18.04.16–22.04.16 1,000 ? 27.3 20.2 18.7 17.0 5.8 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.1
Sigma Dos 18.04.16–22.04.16 800 ? 29.5 22.2 18.6 14.7 4.5 2.6 1.9 1.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.3
Encuestamos 01.04.16–20.04.16 2,000 ? 30.3 23.0 19.4 14.2 4.4 2.6 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.3
NC Report 12.04.16–16.04.16 2,400 64.5% 29.8 20.7 20.9 15.4 4.5 2.2 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.9
Invymark 11.04.16–15.04.16 ? ? 28.6 20.4 19.2 15.8 5.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.2
TNS Demoscopia 12.04.16–14.04.16 1,000 68.5% 29.4 22.3 17.5 15.8 6.0 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.1
NC Report 07.04.16–14.04.16 955 ? 30.7 21.2 21.9 14.5 4.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.8
JM & Asociados 13.04.16 ? 66.9% 27.9 19.8 20.9 17.0 3.6 2.4 2.4 1.3 0.9 0.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.0
Simple Lógica 04.04.16–12.04.16 1,047 73.8% 28.3 20.6 16.9 17.7 6.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.7
IMOP 06.04.16–10.04.16 1,027 69% 28.8 22.2 15.6 16.6 7.5 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.7 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.6
Advice Strategic 04.04.16–10.04.16 2,500 ? 29.1 21.7 17.4 16.0 5.5 2.3 2.0 1.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.4
CIS 01.04.16–10.04.16 2,490 ? 27.4 21.6 17.7 15.6 5.4 2.5 1.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.8
NC Report 04.04.16–09.04.16 2,300 ? 29.6 21.0 20.4 15.5 4.4 2.3 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.6
GAD3 06.04.16–07.04.16 800 68% 29.2 23.3 15.5 14.4 6.7 2.3 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.9
Metroscopia 05.04.16–06.04.16 1,200 70% 29.0 20.1 17.0 17.7 6.7 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.9
DYM 30.03.16–06.04.16 1,036 ? 29.2 20.7 19.6 15.2 5.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.5
Celeste-Tel 01.04.16–05.04.16 1,100 64.9% 29.1 22.2 19.4 15.9 4.5 2.7 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.9
Redondo & Asociados 28.03.16–04.04.16 1,000 69.7% 29.1 21.8 19.1 15.7 4.9 2.4 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.3
NC Report 22.03.16–02.04.16 1,800 ? 29.4 21.8 19.2 15.5 4.6 2.4 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.6
Invymark 28.03.16–01.04.16 1,200 ? 28.6 21.6 19.9 15.2 4.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.0
Sigma Dos 28.03.16–31.03.16 800 ? 30.2 22.0 16.7 16.2 4.5 2.3 2.1 1.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.2
Metroscopia 28.03.16–30.03.16 1,200 73% 27.7 21.0 15.9 18.8 6.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.7
Netquest 23.03.16–30.03.16 1,002 ? 27.5 19.3 17.3 16.9 7.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.2
NC Report 22.03.16–27.03.16 900 ? 29.4 22.0 19.4 15.3 4.6 2.4 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.4
Encuestamos 01.03.16–20.03.16 2,000 ? 30.1 23.2 19.6 14.2 4.1 2.6 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.9
NC Report 13.03.16–17.03.16 1,000 64.7% 29.3 22.1 19.5 15.1 4.4 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.2
MyWord 10.03.16–14.03.16 1,004 ? 27.0 20.9 15.9 18.0 7.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.1
Invymark 07.03.16–11.03.16 ? ? 28.5 20.8 21.5 14.3 4.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.6
NC Report 01.02.16–11.03.16 2,300 ? 29.3 22.0 19.8 15.1 4.4 2.4 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.3
GAD3 07.03.16–10.03.16 800 67% 28.2 24.2 18.7 14.1 3.2 2.9 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.0
Metroscopia 08.03.16–09.03.16 1,200 75% 26.0 23.1 16.8 19.5 5.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.9
Sondaxe 05.03.16–09.03.16 1,002 ? 28.6 22.0 19.1 15.6 4.2 2.5 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.6
Simple Lógica 01.03.16–09.03.16 1,206 72.5% 26.2 21.6 18.3 17.1 7.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.6
GESOP 05.03.16–08.03.16 1,000 ? 26.4 21.9 18.1 17.8 5.9 2.4 1.5 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.5
Celeste-Tel 02.03.16–05.03.16 1,100 66.1% 28.6 22.6 19.6 15.7 4.6 2.5 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.0
NC Report 01.02.16–04.03.16 1,400 65.0% 29.2 21.8 20.2 14.9 4.2 2.4 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.4
JM & Asociados 03.03.16 ? 67.3% 26.5 20.2 20.9 16.9 3.3 2.6 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.6
Invymark 22.02.16–26.02.16 1,200 ? 26.8 20.3 22.1 15.8 4.5 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.7
DYM 19.02.16–23.02.16 1,071 ? 25.6 22.1 19.8 17.6 5.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.5
Invymark 15.02.16–19.02.16 ? ? 26.4 21.8 20.7 16.2 4.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.6
Sigma Dos 16.02.16–18.02.16 1,000 ? 27.8 23.1 18.8 15.3 4.0 2.4 2.1 1.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.7
NC Report 10.02.16–18.02.16 1,400 65.3% 28.9 21.4 21.1 14.2 3.4 2.5 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.5
Encuestamos 01.02.16–17.02.16 1,800 ? 27.7 24.2 20.5 13.9 3.4 2.5 2.1 1.1 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.5
GIPEyOP 07.02.16–16.02.16 1,960 ? 27.1 22.3 22.3 14.9 3.2 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.7 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.8
GAD3 08.02.16–11.02.16 800 68% 27.9 20.8 21.4 14.9 3.3 2.6 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.5
JM & Asociados 07.02.16 ? 70.5% 27.8 20.4 21.2 14.9 3.8 2.6 2.3 1.2 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.6
Simple Lógica 01.02.16–05.02.16 1,048 75.6% 26.9 21.7 20.3 18.9 5.1 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.2
Celeste-Tel 01.02.16–05.02.16 1,100 66.6% 28.5 22.4 20.4 15.1 3.7 2.7 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.4 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.1
Invymark 01.02.16–05.02.16 ? ? 27.8 21.1 21.6 15.1 3.8 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.2
Metroscopia 03.02.16–04.02.16 1,000 73% 24.0 23.3 19.9 18.5 4.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 0.7
GAD3 15.01.16–21.01.16 802 70% 30.1 21.3 20.0 13.4 2.9 2.4 2.1 1.1 1.1 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.8
NC Report 04.01.16–21.01.16 1,900 65.6% 30.7 21.1 21.9 12.0 3.4 2.4 2.2 1.2 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.8
MyWord 15.01.16–19.01.16 1,000 ? 28.0 21.3 20.3 14.4 4.7 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.7
Redondo & Asociados 16.01.16 ? ? 30.5 20.7 22.8 10.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.7
Invymark 11.01.16–15.01.16 ? ? 30.8 20.8 21.6 12.6 3.5 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.2
Celeste-Tel 04.01.16–15.01.16 1,100 67.5% 30.2 21.9 22.2 12.6 3.3 2.5 2.1 1.1 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.0
NC Report 04.01.16–15.01.16 955 ? 30.5 22.1 20.7 13.4 3.6 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.4
Encuestamos 01.01.16–15.01.16 1,800 ? 33.2 22.2 21.4 10.9 2.9 2.5 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.5
Metroscopia 12.01.16–14.01.16 1,200 76.4% 29.0 21.1 22.5 16.6 3.2 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.5
Sociología Consultores 02.01.16–14.01.16 2,200 ? 32.4 22.4 20.5 13.2 3.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.0
Simple Lógica 04.01.16–12.01.16 1,050 77.1% 30.0 20.4 21.3 14.7 4.8 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 8.7
IMOP 09.01.16–11.01.16 1,000 69% 31.4 23.5 19.5 11.8 3.4 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.9 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.9
CIS 02.01.16–11.01.16 2,496 ? 28.8 20.5 21.9 13.3 3.7 2.8 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.0 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.2
General Election 20.12.15 69.7% 28.7 22.0 20.7 13.9 3.7 2.4 2.2 1.2 0.9 0.3 style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.7

Notes

C Identifies multi-scenario opinion polls which hypothesize on Cristina Cifuentes as PP candidate, with all other parties' candidates unchanged from the 2015 general election.
SS Identifies multi-scenario opinion polls which hypothesize on Soraya Sáenz de Santamaría as PP candidate, with all other parties' candidates unchanged from the 2015 general election.
D Identifies multi-scenario opinion polls which hypothesize on Susana Díaz as PSOE candidate, with all other parties' candidates unchanged from the 2015 general election.
RS Identifies multi-scenario opinion polls which hypothesize on Mariano Rajoy as PP candidate and Pedro Sánchez as PSOE candidate, with all other parties' candidates unchanged from the 2015 general election.
CV Identifies polling firms that explicitly show their top-line results projected over "candidacy votes", that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots. This is in contrast to "valid votes", which is the most frequent method of vote projection by opinion pollsters and which do account for blank ballots. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results projected over "valid votes" as well as projections from other pollsters, a rule of three is applied, considering a comparison between 2011 election results calculated both over "candidacy" and "valid votes". The results of such calculation are shown instead.

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

176 seats needed for a majority
Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling
PP PSOE Unidos Podemos C's ERC CDC PNV
style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Unidos Podemos/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Republican Left of Catalonia/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Democratic Convergence of Catalonia/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Basque Nationalist Party/meta/color;"|
General Election June 26, 2016 137 85 71 32 9 8 5
Sigma Dos (20:00) June 26, 2016 117/121 81/85 91/95 26/30 11/12 5 5/6
Sigma Dos (16:00) June 26, 2016 116/127 81/91 81/99 20/27
Sigma Dos (12:45) June 26, 2016 120/131 81/90 85/96 19/25
OKDiario June 26, 2016 119/122 76/80 86/91 37/40 9 7
PP June 25, 2016 113/118 76/85 92/95 37/41
GESOP June 25, 2016 116/120 83/87 83/87 37/41
GESOP June 24, 2016 116/120 83/87 83/87 38/42
GAD3 June 24, 2016 121/124 84/86 87/89 29/32 10/11 6 5
GESOP June 23, 2016 114/118 83/87 84/88 40/44
GESOP June 22, 2016 114/118 83/87 83/87 40/44
GESOP June 21, 2016 115/119 82/86 83/87 40/44
GESOP June 20, 2016 116/120 82/86 83/87 38/42
GAD3 June 20, 2016 122/125 79/82 84/86 36/38 9 6 5
GIPEyOP June 20, 2016 114/130 74/88 80/92 33/45 8/11 5/9 3/6
Redondo & Asociados June 19, 2016 121 83 85 37 9 7 5
GESOP June 19, 2016 114/118 83/87 83/87 38/42
Jaime Miquel & Asociados June 19, 2016 119 85 85 34 9 9 6
Encuestamos June 19, 2016 125/129 84/88 85/89 31/35 6/9 5/8 4/7
Infortécnica June 19, 2016 121/129 84/88 71/77 40/44
GESOP June 18, 2016 116/120 81/85 83/87 40/44
NC Report June 18, 2016 126/131 80/83 82/87 33/35 8/9 6/7 5/6
GESOP June 17, 2016 114/118 80/84 84/88 40/44
Celeste-Tel June 17, 2016 123/128 84/86 83/88 32/34 8 6 5
A+M June 17, 2016 118/124 79/82 78/86 41/48 8/9 6/7 5
HM-AI June 17, 2016 125/133 75/85 72/93 30/38 7/9 6/8 6/7
Netquest June 17, 2016 125 75 85 42
Sigma Dos June 16, 2016 124/129 73/78 86/92 35/40 8/9 5/6 4/6
GESOP June 16, 2016 114/118 79/83 84/88 40/44
GAD3 June 16, 2016 121/124 80/83 84/85 38/40 9 6 5
Celeste-Tel June 16, 2016 123/128 83/86 82/87 32/34 8 6 5
MyWord June 16, 2016 118/123 75/80 87/90 38/39
DYM June 15, 2016 116/117 81/82 85/89 40 9/10 8 5/6
Metroscopia June 15, 2016 113/116 78/85 92/95 37/41
GESOP June 15, 2016 113/117 79/83 85/89 40/44
GESOP June 14, 2016 112/116 81/85 85/89 39/43
Redondo & Asociados June 14, 2016 122 80 86 38 9 7 5
Celeste-Tel June 14, 2016 121/126 83/86 80/84 35/36 8 6/7 6
Jaime Miquel & Asociados June 13, 2016 118 80 87 39 9 9 5
GESOP June 13, 2016 113/117 80/84 86/90 38/42
NC Report June 10, 2016 126/130 81/83 81/86 35/37 8/9 6/7 5/6
SyM Consulting June 10, 2016 122/125 79/82 87/89 36/38 7/8 6/7 5
Netquest June 10, 2016 117 78 87 45
Sondaxe June 9, 2016 121 85 90 34 8 6 3
GESOP June 7, 2016 113/117 80/84 84/88 40/44 8/9 5/6
Celeste-Tel June 7, 2016 122/125 83/86 79/85 36/37 7/8 5/6 6
GAD3 June 6, 2016 119/122 80/82 85/87 40/41 8/9 6/7 5
Encuestamos June 5, 2016 122/126 84/87 87/90 31/34 7/9 5/7 4/6
Netquest June 3, 2016 113 82 86 44
NC Report June 3, 2016 125/130 80/83 80/84 37/39 8/9 6 5/6
Sigma Dos June 2, 2016 130 77 80 37 9 8 6
Jaime Miquel & Asociados June 1, 2016 118 83 84 38 8 10 6
CDC May 31, 2016 117 79 88 41 8 9 5
NC Report May 27, 2016 124/130 80/82 79/84 38/40 8 5/6 5/6
GAD3 May 26, 2016 121 86 77 40 9 8 6
CIS May 22, 2016 118/121 78/80 88/92 38/39 8/9 6/7 5
Encuestamos May 22, 2016 121/125 87/90 84/87 33/36 7/9 6/8 4/6
Celeste-Tel May 20, 2016 120/122 84/87 78/82 38/41 7/8 5/6 6
NC Report May 20, 2016 125/130 80/83 77/82 38/40 8 6 6
GIPEyOP May 18, 2016 113/120 85/89 82/88 33/36 9 7/8 5
Redondo & Asociados May 17, 2016 126 82 79 38 9 7 6
Jaime Miquel & Asociados May 13, 2016 112 73 88 52 8 9 5
Netquest May 13, 2016 128 73 84 40
NC Report May 12, 2016 125/130 80/84 76/81 39/41 8 6 6
NC Report May 7, 2016 126/130 80/84 75/80 39/42 8 6 6
Celeste-Tel May 6, 2016 120/123 85/89 75/80 39/41 8/9 5/6 5
Encuestamos May 2, 2016 115/117 87/89 86/88 35/37 7/8 7/8 4/5
NC Report April 30, 2016 126/130 80/83 75/82 39/44 8 6 6
GAD3 April 29, 2016 125 94 68 39 8 7 6
NC Report April 23, 2016 125/130 80/83 74/81 40/45 8 6 6
Jaime Miquel & Asociados April 22, 2016 110 72 92 51 8 9 5
Sigma Dos April 22, 2016 123 90 70 44 9 6 5
NC Report April 16, 2016 126/130 83/85 70/76 42/47 8/9 5/6 6/7
CIS April 10, 2016 115 87 81 45 9 6 4
Redondo & Asociados April 4, 2016 125 84 78 38 9 7 6
Redondo & Asociados January 25, 2016 131 74 101 18 9 8 6
IMOP January 11, 2016 128 93 78 26 9 7 6

Notes

LV Identifies seat projections done by La Vanguardia over a poll's vote estimations.

Regional polling

Leadership polls

Rating scale

Poll results showing party leaders' popularity are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. Values are shown in a 0 to 10 scale, with 10 indicating the most positively valued and 0 being the most negatively valued. Values are shaded in a string of colors ranging from dark red to dark green, in accordance with the value awarded to the leader (the color legend is also shown below).

Color legend
0.00–
2.49
2.50–
2.99
3.00–
3.49
3.50–
3.99
4.00–
4.49
4.50–
4.99
5.00–
5.49
5.50–
5.99
6.00–
6.49
6.50–
6.99
7.00–
7.49
7.50–
10.00
Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling
Mariano Rajoy Pedro Sánchez Pablo Iglesias Albert Rivera Alberto Garzón Margin
of error
Sample
size
style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Popular Unity (Spain)/meta/color;"|
GIPEyOP June 20, 2016 3.0 3.6 3.2 4.8 ±1.0 pp 10,244
Sigma Dos June 19, 2016 4.30 4.51 3.85 5.00 4.30
Encuestamos June 16, 2016 2.4 4.2 4.5 3.8 4.2
DYM June 15, 2016 3.4 4.1 3.8 4.7 ±3.2 pp 1,011
SyM Consulting June 10, 2016 4.10 4.24 4.48 5.12 ±2.3 pp 1,816
GESOP June 7, 2016 3.69 4.39 3.80 4.82 ±2.7 pp 1,816
PSOE June 3, 2016 3.4 4.7 3.8 4.9 ±3.1 pp 1,000
Sigma Dos June 2, 2016 3.66 4.67 3.91 5.03 4.58 ±3.2 pp 1,000
CIS May 22, 2016 3.09 3.99 3.41 4.17 4.81 ±0.8 pp 17,488
Encuestamos May 22, 2016 1.9 4.0 4.3 3.7 4.3 ±2.2 pp 2,000
Sigma Dos April 22, 2016 3.84 4.08 3.55 4.49 4.23 ±3.5 pp 800
Encuestamos April 20, 2016 2.5 4.2 4.2 3.9 4.1 ±2.2 pp 2,000
IMOP April 10, 2016 3.5 4.8 3.8 5.3 5.0 ±3.0 pp 1,037
CIS April 10, 2016 2.89 3.74 3.16 3.99 4.69 ±2.0 pp 2,490
DYM April 6, 2016 3.0 4.4 3.7 5.0 4.8 ±3.2 pp 1,036
Sigma Dos March 31, 2016 4.03 4.42 3.46 4.77 4.31 ±3.5 pp 800
Encuestamos March 20, 2016 1.9 4.5 4.2 4.0 4.5 ±2.2 pp 2,000
CIS March 19, 2016 3.43 4.19 4.06 4.55 5.23 ±1.3 pp 6,242
NC Report March 17, 2016 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.7 ±3.1 pp 1,000
Sondaxe March 9, 2016 3.56 4.17 3.44 4.71 4.72 ±3.1 pp 1,000
GESOP March 8, 2016 3.43 4.52 3.64 5.11 5.04 ±3.1 pp 1,000
Sigma Dos February 18, 2016 3.80 4.38 3.78 5.02 4.81 ±3.2 pp 1,000
Encuestamos February 17, 2016 2.2 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.4 ±2.3 pp 1,800
GAD3 February 11, 2016 3.7 3.7 3.4 4.4 ±3.5 pp 800
Invymark February 1, 2016 3.72 4.16 3.67 4.43 4.16
Encuestamos January 15, 2016 2.4 4.4 4.3 3.4 4.2 ±2.3 pp 1,800
CIS January 11, 2016 3.08 3.75 3.78 3.92 4.68 ±2.0 pp 2,496
Invymark January 11, 2016 3.72 3.99 3.80 4.09 4.18

Preferred Prime Minister

Poll results showing public opinion on who would make the best Prime Minister are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling
Mariano Rajoy Pedro Sánchez Pablo Iglesias Albert Rivera Alberto Garzón Question? Margin
of error
Sample
size
style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Popular Unity (Spain)/meta/color;"|
Invymark June 19, 2016 25.1 21.3 28.0 12.3 13.3
TNS Demoscopia June 19, 2016 20.5 17.5 16.0 15.6 20.5 ±4.5 pp 500
Invymark June 16, 2016 25.7 23.2 25.6 12.9 12.6
MyWord June 16, 2016 14.7 16.4 26.0 20.5 22.4 ±2.6 pp 1,502
TNS Demoscopia June 12, 2016 19.3 18.9 18.2 16.6 18.9 ±4.5 pp 500
GESOP June 7, 2016 23.0 17.5 21.5 16.7 21.3 ±2.7 pp 1,816
GAD3 June 6, 2016 23.2 16.9 16.3 11.3 32.3
Invymark May 9, 2016 24.5 23.6 25.5 14.5 11.9
IMOP April 10, 2016 23.4 27.1 11.9 21.9 12.3 3.4 ±3.0 pp 1,037
GESOP March 8, 2016 20.5 22.6 12.7 18.9 11.0 14.3 ±3.1 pp 1,000
Invymark December 21, 2015 27.0 20.3 26.3 12.8 13.6

Prime Minister likelihood

The following table shows opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become new Prime Minister.

Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling
Mariano Rajoy Pedro Sánchez Pablo Iglesias Albert Rivera Other None Question? Margin
of error
Sample
size
style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"|
Invymark June 19, 2016 45.3 13.7 10.8 1.6 28.6
TNS Demoscopia June 19, 2016 40.5 19.4 11.8 3.3 2.5 22.5 ±4.5 pp 500
Invymark June 16, 2016 47.1 14.7 7.5 1.1 29.6
GAD3 June 16, 2016 38.3 10.1 8.6 1.2 ±2.7 pp 1,400
TNS Demoscopia June 12, 2016 42.7 15.7 11.3 3.9 1.5 24.9 ±4.5 pp 500
GAD3 May 26, 2016 37.6 13.4 4.5 ±3.2 pp 1,000
Encuestamos May 22, 2016 35.2 28.6 29.5 4.8 6.8 ±2.2 pp 2,000
Invymark May 9, 2016 54.0 18.4 7.1 1.6 18.9
GAD3 April 29, 2016 32.7 17.5 1.1 2.9 2.8 7.5 34.3 ±3.5 pp 800
Encuestamos April 20, 2016 35.2 35.1 13.0 5.8 10.9 ±2.2 pp 2,000
GAD3 April 7, 2016 26.8 33.2 2.2 2.8 3.1 7.2 24.8 ±3.5 pp 800
Encuestamos March 20, 2016 28.5 36.1 13.1 6.0 16.3 ±2.2 pp 2,000
GAD3 March 10, 2016 25.3 28.8 2.9 3.7 5.3 12.0 22.0 ±3.5 pp 800
Encuestamos February 17, 2016 9.2 49.9 4.1 2.8 2.7 31.3 ±2.3 pp 1,800
GAD3 February 11, 2016 21.1 40.0 3.1 2.4 3.3 8.8 21.2 ±3.5 pp 800
GAD3 January 21, 2016 32.5 31.7 4.4 3.2 3.4 6.9 17.9 ±3.5 pp 800

Likelihood of victory

The following table shows opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling
PP PSOE Unidos Podemos C's Margin
of error
Sample
size
style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Unidos Podemos/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"|
TNS Demoscopia June 19, 2016 70.7 4.7 2.5 1.3 ±4.5 pp 500
TNS Demoscopia June 12, 2016 68.6 4.6 3.4 1.4 ±4.5 pp 500
GESOP June 7, 2016 73.7 6.3 4.2 1.3 ±2.7 pp 1,816
Metroscopia June 1, 2016 77 7 6 2 ±2.9 pp 1,200
CIS May 22, 2016 67.4 6.7 4.0 0.9 ±0.8 pp 17,488