Indian polling agency
Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research , or CVoter , is an Indian international polling agency headquartered in Delhi , India .[1]
History
Yashwant Deshmukh is the director and founding editor of CVoter.[1] [2]
Clients
CVoter India states that it has covered 15 union budgets, more than 100 state elections and more than 30 international events. Since 2000 it has worked with Times Now, ANN7,[3] United Press International ,[4] Reuters , Bloomberg News , BBC News , Aaj Tak , ABP News , Zee News , Zee Business , the Development and Educational Communication Unit of the Indian Space Research Organisation , India TV , Lok Sabha TV , UTVi business news channel (owned by UTV Software Communications ), Sahara Samay (owned by Sahara India Pariwar ), Jain TV, Asianet , ETV, CNEB and other news and information providers.[5] [6] Studies have included market research,[7] [8] conflict resolution research,[9] and opinion polls.[10] [11] [12]
2022 State Elections
Opinion polls
Date Published
Polling agency
Lead
Remarks
NDA
UPA
AAP
AITC+
Others
7 February 2022
ABP News C-voter[13]
14-18
10-14
4-8
3-7
0-2
0-8
Hung
10 January 2022
ABP News C-voter[14]
19-23
4-8
5-9
2-6
0-4
10-18
Hung
11 December 2021
ABP News C-Voter[15]
17-21
4-8
5-9
6-10
7-15
Hung
12 November 2021
ABP News C-voter[16]
19-23
2-6
3-7
8-12
7-15
Hung
8 October 2021
ABP News C-voter[17]
24-28
1-5
3-7
4-8
16-24
BJP majority
3 Sept 2021
ABP News C-voter[18]
22-26
3-7
4-8
3-7
14-22
BJP majority
10 March 2022
Election results
20
12
2
2
4
8
Hung
Exit polls
Polling agency
Lead
Remarks
NDA
UPA
AAP
AITC+
Others
ABP-CVoter[19]
13-17
12-16
1-5
5-9
0-2
0-1
Hung
Election results
20
12
2
2
4
8
Hung
Opinion polls
Date Published
Polling agency
Lead
Remarks
INC
BJP
NPF
Others
10 January 2022
ABP News C-Voter[20]
22-26
23-27
2-6
5-9
0-5
Hung
11 December 2021
ABP News C-Voter[21]
23-27
29-33
2-6
0-2
2-10
Hung
12 November 2021
ABP News C-Voter[22]
20-24
25-29
4-8
3-7
1-9
Hung
8 October 2021
ABP News C-Voter[23]
21-25
26-30
4-8
1-5
1-9
Hung
3 September 2021
ABP News C-Voter[24]
18-22
32-36
2-6
0-4
10-18
BJP majority
10 March 2022
Election results
5
32
5
18
14
NDA majority
Exit polls
Polling agency
Lead
Remarks
BJP
INC
NPP
NPF
Others
ABP News-CVoter[25]
23-27
12-16
10-14
3-7
2-6
7-15
Hung
Election results
32
5
7
5
11
21
NDA majority
Opinion Polls
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
Remarks
UPA
AAP
SAD+
NDA
Others
7 February 2022
ABP News - C-Voter[26]
24-30
55-63
20-26
3-11
0-2
25-39
Hung
10 January 2022
ABP News - C-Voter[27]
37-43
52-58
17-23
1-3
0-1
9-21
Hung
11 December 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[28]
39-45
50-56
17-23
0-3
0-1
5-16
Hung
12 November 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[29]
42-50
47-53
16-24
0-1
0-1
0-11
Hung
8 October 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[30]
39-47
49-55
17-25
0-1
0-1
2-16
Hung
4 September 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[31]
38-46
51-57
16-24
0-1
0-1
5-19
Hung
19 March 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[32]
43-49
51-57
12-18
0-3
0-5
2-14
Hung
10 March 2022
Election results
18
92
4
2
1
74
AAP Majority
Exit polls
Polling agency
Lead
Remarks
UPA
AAP
SAD+
NDA
Others
ABP News - C Voter[33]
22-28
51-61
20-26
7-13
1-5
23-39
Hung
Election results
18
92
4
2
1
74
AAP Majority
Opinion polls
Date Published
Polling agency
Lead
Remarks
NDA
SP+
BSP
UPA
Others
18 March 2021
ABP-CVoter[34] [35]
284-294
54-64
33-43
1-7
10-16
220-240
NDA majority
3 September 2021
ABP-CVoter[36]
259-267
109-117
12-16
3-7
6-10
142-158
NDA majority
8 October 2021
ABP-CVoter[37]
241-249
130-138
15-19
3-7
0-4
103-119
NDA majority
13 November 2021
ABP-CVoter[38]
213-221
152-160
16-20
6-10
NA
53-69
NDA majority
11 December 2021
ABP-CVoter[39]
212-224
151-163
12-24
2-10
2-6
49-73
NDA majority
10 January 2022
ABP-CVoter[40]
223-235
145-157
8-16
3-7
4-8
66-90
NDA majority
10 March 2022
Election results
273
125
1
2
2
178
NDA majority
Exit polls
Polling agency
Lead
Remarks
NDA
SP+
BSP
UPA
Others
ABP News - CVoter[41]
228-244
132-148
13-21
4-8
NA
80-112
NDA majority
Election results
273
125
1
2
2
178
NDA majority
Opinion polls
Date
Polling agency
Lead
Remarks
NDA
UPA
AAP
Others
7 February 2022
ABP News - C-Voter[42]
31-37
30-36
2-4
0-1
0-7
Hung
10 January 2022
ABP News - C-Voter[43] [44]
31-37
30-36
2-4
0-1
0-7
Hung
11 December 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[45]
33-39
29-35
1-3
0-1
0-10
Hung
12 November 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[46]
36-40
30-34
0-2
0-1
2-10
BJP majority
8 October 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[47]
42-46
21-25
0-4
0-2
17-25
BJP majority
3 September 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[48]
44-48
19-23
0-4
0-2
21-29
BJP majority
18 March 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[49]
24-30
32-38
2-8
0-9
2-14
Hung
10 March
Election results
47
19
0
4
28
NDA majority
Exit polls
Polling agency
Lead
Remarks
NDA
UPA
AAP
Others
ABP News C-Voter [50]
26-32
32-38
0-2
3-7
0-12
Hung
Election results
47
19
0
4
28
NDA majority
2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam & Puducherry)
Poll type
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
Ref.
NDA
Mahajot
Others
Exit poll
29 April 2021
ABP News- CVoter
58-71
53-66
0-5
Hung
[51]
Times Now-CVoter
65
59
2
6
[52]
Opinion poll
24 March 2021
Times Now-CVoter
65-73
52-60
0-4
5-21
[53]
ABP News- CVoter
65-73
52-60
0-4
5-21
[54]
15 March 2021
ABP News- CVoter
64-72
52-60
0-2
4-20
[55]
8 March 2021
Times Now-CVoter
67
57
2
10
[56]
27 February 2021
ABP News- CVoter
68-76
47-55
0-3
13-29
[57]
18 January 2021
ABP News- CVoter
73-81
41-49
0-4
24-40
[58]
Type of polls
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
Ref.
LDF
UDF
NDA
Opinion Poll
24 March 2021
Mathrubhumi –CVoter
73–83
56–66
0–1
2–12
[60]
Times Now –CVoter
77
62
1
6
[61]
19 March 2021
Mathrubhumi News –CVoter
75-83 (79)
55–60 (57)
0–2 (1)
4–12 (8)
[62]
15 March 2021
ABP News –CVoter
77–85
54–62
0–2
6–14
[63]
8 March 2021
Times Now –CVoter
82
56
1
11
[64]
27 February 2021
ABP News –CVoter
83–91
47–55
0–2
12–20
[65]
18 January 2021
ABP News –CVoter
81–89
41–47
0–2
10–18
[66]
Exit polls
29 April 2021
Times Now / ABP - C-Voter
71 - 77
62 - 68
0 - 2
1 - 6
[67]
Tamil Nadu
Election outcome projections as surveyed by various agencies prior to the election day
Type of Poll
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
DMK+
AIADMK+
AMMK+
MNM+
NTK
Others [a]
Opinion Poll
24 Mar 21
Times Now - CVoter[68]
177
49
3
3
–
2
128
15 Mar 21
ABP News - CVoter[69]
161 - 169
53 - 61
1 - 5
2 - 6
–
3 - 7
100 - 116
8 Mar 21
Times Now - CVoter[70]
158
65
–
–
–
–
88- 104
27 Feb 21
ABP News - CVoter[71]
154 - 162
58 - 66
1 - 5
2 - 6
–
5 - 9
88- 104
18 Jan 21
ABP News - CVoter[72]
158 - 166
60 - 68
2 - 6
0 - 4
–
0 - 4
90 - 106
Exit polls
29 Apr 21
ABP /Times Now - CVoter[73] [74]
160 - 172
58 - 70
0 - 4
0 - 2
0 - 3
90 - 114
Type of poll
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
AITC+
BJP+
SM
Others
Opinion Poll
24 March 2021
Times Now C-Voter [75]
152-168
104-120
18-26
0-2
32-64
15 March 2021
ABP News - C Voter[76] [77] [78]
150-166
98-114
23-31
3-5
36-52
8 March 2021
Times Now - C Voter[79]
146-162
99-112
29-37
0
31-63
27 February 2021
ABP News - C Voter[80] [81]
148-164
92-108
31-39
1-5
40-72
18 January 2021
ABP News - CVoter[82]
158
102
30
4
56
Exit poll
29 April 2021
ABP News - C-Voter[83] [84]
152-164
109-121
14-25
-
31-55
Election Results
Election Results
Date published
Election Results
Lead
AITC+
BJP+
SM
Others
Election Results
2 May 2021
Election Results
215
77
0
-
138
2021 Desh Ka Mood by Team Cvoter & ABP News
ABP News-CVoter gauges the nation's sentiments with ‘Desh ka Mood’ Survey[85]
58% of people favor NDA government, 28% favor UPA: ABP News’ Desh Ka Mood survey [86]
Naveen country's best CM [87]
CVoter carried out a survey Trust on Indian media institutions [88] [89] [90] [91] [92]
Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds[93]
2020 Bihar elections
Bihar Assembly polls: It had projected 104-128 seats for the NDA and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance. NDA secured a total of 125 seats (37.26% votes) while MGB won 110 seats (37.23% votes).[94] [95]
[96] [97] [98]
Polling type
Date
Polling Agency
Majority
Ref
NDA
MGB
LJP
Others
Opinion poll
24 October 2020
ABP-CVoter
135-159
77-98
5-13
13-37
[99]
12 October 2020
Times Now-CVoter
160
76
7
39
[100]
25 September 2020
ABP-CVoter
141-161
64-84
13-23
20–40
[101]
Exit poll
Times Now-CVoter
116
120
1
6
HUNG
[102]
ABP News-CVoter
104-128
108-131
1-3
4-8
HUNG
Election Results
10 November 2020
125
110
1
7
NDA
2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam)
May 2016 saw elections in Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. CVoter was the only one of five polling agencies to predict the Tamil Nadu outcome correctly.[103]
2016 United States elections
The UPI/CVoter poll wrongly predicted a Hillary Clinton victory in the 2016 United States presidential election .[104] When the results were declared Donald Trump won the election.
Poll source
Date
Hillary ClintonDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Leading by %
Sample size
Margin of error
UPI/CVoter[105]
November 1 – 7, 2016
48.7%
46.2%
2.5
1,728
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[106]
October 30 – November 5, 2016
49%
46%
3
1,572
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[107]
October 29 – November 4, 2016
49%
48%
1
1,497
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[108]
October 28 – November 3, 2016
49%
48%
1
1,395
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[109]
October 27 – November 2, 2016
49%
48%
1
1,329
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[110]
October 26 – November 1, 2016
49%
48%
1
1,383
±3.0%
UPI/CVoter[111]
October 24–30, 2016
49%
48%
1
1,299
±3.0%
UPI/CVoter[112]
October 23–29, 2016
48%
48%
Tied
1,317
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[113]
October 20–26, 2016
49%
47%
2
1,363
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[114]
October 19–25, 2016
49%
47%
2
1,349
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[115]
October 17–23, 2016
49%
46%
3
1,414
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[116]
October 11–17, 2016
51%
46%
5
1,326
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[117]
October 10–16, 2016
50%
46%
4
1,325
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[118]
October 7–13, 2016
50%
45%
5
1,482
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[119]
October 4–10, 2016
50%
44%
6
1,367
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[120]
October 3–9, 2016
49%
44%
5
1,801
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[121]
September 30 – October 6, 2016
48%
47%
1
1,774
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[122]
September 28 – October 4, 2016
47%
48%
1
1,274
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[123]
September 26 – October 2, 2016
47%
49%
2
1,285
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[124]
September 23–29, 2016
47%
49%
2
1,236
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[125]
September 21–27, 2016
48%
48%
Tied
1,239
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[126]
September 19–25, 2016
48%
47%
1
1,052
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[127]
September 12–18, 2016
48%
47%
1
1,203
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[128]
September 10–16, 2016
47%
47%
Tied
1,246
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[129]
September 9–15, 2016
47%
48%
1
1,229
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[130]
September 8–14, 2016
47%
48%
1
1,265
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[131]
September 7–13, 2016
47%
48%
1
1,245
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[132]
September 6–12, 2016
46%
49%
3
1,232
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[133]
September 5–11, 2016
46%
49%
3
1,260
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[134]
September 2–8, 2016
46%
48%
2
1,256
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[135]
September 1–7, 2016
47%
48%
1
1,226
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[136]
August 31 – September 6, 2016
47%
47%
Tied
1,262
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[137]
August 30 – September 5, 2016
48%
46%
2
1,220
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[138]
August 29 – September 4, 2016
49%
47%
2
1,237
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[139]
August 28 – September 3, 2016
49%
46%
3
1,242
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[140]
August 24–30, 2016
49%
46%
3
1,162
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[141]
August 23–29, 2016
50%
47%
3
1,173
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[142]
August 22–28, 2016
50%
47%
3
1,145
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[143]
August 21–27, 2016
50%
47%
3
1,682
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[144]
August 18–24, 2016
48%
49%
1
1,720
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[145]
August 17–23, 2016
48%
48%
Tied
1,737
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[146]
August 16–22, 2016
48%
48%
Tied
1,752
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[147]
August 15–21, 2016
48%
47%
1
1,795
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[148]
August 14–20, 2016
48%
47%
1
1,191
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[149]
August 11–17, 2016
50%
46%
4
1,009
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[150]
August 9–16, 2016
51%
44%
7
1,069
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[151]
August 9–15, 2016
51%
44%
7
1,035
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[152]
August 7–14, 2016
50%
45%
5
975
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[153]
August 7–13, 2016
49%
46%
3
1,403
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[154]
August 3–10, 2016
49%
45%
4
1,077
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[155]
August 3–9, 2016
48%
46%
2
1,002
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[156]
August 2–8, 2016
49%
45%
4
993
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[157]
August 1–7, 2016
49%
44%
5
1,407
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[158]
July 31 – August 6, 2016
50%
43%
7
1,036
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[159]
July 29 – August 4, 2016
50%
44%
6
1,060
± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[160]
July 27 – August 2, 2016
49%
46%
3
989
± 3.0%
2009 Indian general elections
The CVoter exit poll projections for India TV showed the UPA with 189–201 seats. It gives the Congress 149–155, the DMK between 9 and 13, the NCP 12–16 and the Trinamool between 12 and 16. The poll showed the BJP-led Front getting between 183 and 195 seats. It includes the BJP (140–146), the JD (U) 17–21.[161] In the end, in 2009 Indian general election , UPA got 262 (Congress – 206) and NDA 159 (BJP – 116).
2004 Indian general elections
The CVoter exit poll projections for Star News predicted NDA getting between 267–279 and Congress+Allies between 169 and 181.[162] [163] In the end, in 2004 Indian general election , Congress+Allies (UPA) got 218 (Congress 145) and NDA got 181 (BJP – 138).
Controversy
CVoter allegedly carried out tracking polls for Indian news networks Times Now, India Today & India TV. A television news channel claimed in a sting operation conducted by it that some of the agencies which conduct opinion polls before elections are willing to tweak their findings for money.[164] [165] It included global giants like Ipsos and CVoter. After the expose, India Today Group suspended its CVoter contract.[166] [167]
Notes
^ a b May include NTK and other parties not asked in survey
References
^ a b "C-VOTER NEWS SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITED :: OpenCorporates" . opencorporates.com . Retrieved 2018-08-03 .
^ "Trustees" . SPRF . Retrieved 4 December 2021 .
^ http://www.ann7.com/tracker-predicts-anc-victory/
^ "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump widens lead over Hillary Clinton to 3 points" . UPI .
^ "About Us - Team CVoter" . C Voter. Retrieved 6 April 2014 .
^ "Clients - Team CVoter" . C Voter. Retrieved 10 May 2014 .
^ Dugal, Hardeep (August 26, 2016). "Deepika Padukone trumps Priyanka Chopra as Bollywood's most popular actress" . India Today .
^ Dugal, Hardeep (August 26, 2016). "Salman Khan pips Shah Rukh Khan, Amitabh Bachchan to be voted Bollywood's most popular actor" . India Today .
^ "Peace Polls, Kashmir" . www.peacepolls.org .
^ "India TV-Cvoter survey UP Election 2017 - Assembly Elections India" . Archived from the original on 2016-09-28. Retrieved 2016-09-27 .
^ Singh, Raj (September 2, 2016). "India TV-CVoter survey: BJP, SP neck and neck, BSP third in UP assembly poll stakes" . www.indiatvnews.com .
^ "AAP may win 94-100 of 117 Punjab assembly seats: HuffPost-CVoter survey | India News - Times of India" . The Times of India .
^ Bureau, ABP News (2022-02-07). "ABP CVoter Survey: 3-Way Split Of Votes Likely In Goa. Hung Assembly Predicted" . news.abplive.com . Retrieved 2022-02-15 .
^ Bureau, ABP News (2021-01-10). "ABP News Cvoter Survey: BJP Likely To Reign For Second Consecutive Term In Goa & Manipur" . news.abplive.com . Retrieved 2021-01-10 .
^ "ABP-CVoter Third Opinion Poll Predicts BJP Win in 4 States, Hung Assembly Likely In Punjab" . news.abplive.com . 2021-12-11. Archived from the original on 2021-12-11. Retrieved 2021-12-11 .
^ "ABP News-CVoter Survey: Goa Could Re-Elect BJP With Majority, Manipur To See Close Battle" . news.abplive.com . 2021-11-12. Archived from the original on 2021-11-12. Retrieved 2021-11-14 .
^ Bureau, ABP News (2021-10-08). "CVoter Survey: BJP Likely To Win Goa & Manipur For Second Consecutive Term In 2022 Elections" . news.abplive.com . Retrieved 2021-10-10 .
^ Bureau, ABP News (2021-09-03). "ABP News Cvoter Survey: BJP Likely To Reign For Second Consecutive Term In Goa & Manipur" . news.abplive.com . Retrieved 2021-09-05 .
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