Next Israeli legislative election

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The next Israeli legislative election is scheduled for 7 November 2017 but could happen earlier if the government chooses to hold early elections.

Electoral system[edit]

The 120 seats in the Knesset are elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The electoral threshold for the 2013 elections was 2%, but on 11 March 2014 the Knesset voted to raise the threshold to 3.25%. The change may exclude many of the smaller parties, and could result in some mergers. The vote was boycotted by opposition.[1]

Campaign[edit]

In 2013, the Sons of the New Testament party was founded to represent the interests of Arab Christians to run in future Knesset elections. Unlike the other Arab parties, Sons of the New Testament encourages its supporters to enlist in the Israel Defense Forces.[2]

Opinion polls[edit]

Polls may not add up to 120 seats due to rounding or omitted parties that drop out or do not poll consistently.

Date Poll Likud Yisrael
Beitenu
Yesh Atid Labor Jewish Home Shas UTJ Meretz Hatnuah Hadash UAL-
Ta'al
Balad Kadima Otzma Moshe Kahlon Centre-left Right-religious
2013 election results 20 11 19 15 12 11 7 6 6 4 4 3 2 0 N/A 59 61
2014
5 Sept Maagar Mochot/NRG[3] 28 15 11 14 16 9 5 5 6 3 3 3 2 0 N/A 47 73
4 Sept Panels/Knesset Channel[4] 29 9 10 15 18 8 8 9 4 4 3 3 0 0 N/A 48 72
1 Sept Panels/Knesset Channel[5] 26 8 10 18 19 7 8 10 4 4 3 3 0 0 N/A 52 68
30 Aug Maagar Mochot/Channel 1[6] 26 12 8 14 18 10 7 6 4 7 1 0 8 40 80
29 Aug Geocartography[7] 32 17 9 12 18 7 10 6 0 4 0 5 0 0 N/A 36 84
28 Aug Smith/Globes[8] 28 12 9 14 14 9 7 7 4 5 3 3 0 0 5 45 75
28 Aug Dialog/Haaretz[9] 26 11 12 14 17 7 8 7 4 6 4 4 0 0 N/A 51 69
28 Aug Panels/Knesset Channel[10] 27 9 12 15 19 8 7 9 4 4 3 3 0 0 N/A 50 70
26 Aug Ceasefire in the 1014 Israel-Gaza Conflict
14 Aug Panels/Knesset Channel[11] 28 9 11 15 19 7 7 10 4 4 3 3 0 0 N/A 50 70
7 Aug Midgam/Channel 2[12] 23 12 10 14 15 8 7 6 6 5 7 0 0 7 48 72
31 Jul Panels/Knesset Channel[13] 30 8 10 15 18 9 7 10 4 3 3 3 0 0 N/A 48 72
31 Jul Smith/Globes[14] 31 13 11 14 13 8 7 7 0 4 4 3 0 0 6 43 78
9 Jul Dialogue/Haaretz[15] 25 14 13 15 16 7 7 10 4 4 5 0 0 0 N/A 51 69
7 Jul Panels/Knesset Channel[16] 21 11 11 19 18 6 7 11 5 4 3 4 0 0 N/A 57 63
7 Jul Alliance between Likud and Yisrael Beiteinu dissolved
3 Jul Panels/Knesset Channel[17] 28 13 21 18 7 7 12 3 4 4 3 0 0 N/A 60 60
30 May Smith/Globes[18] 34 15 17 15 10 8 9 0 4 8 0 0 N/A 53 67
1 May Smith/Globes[19] 35 14 19 12 10 8 10 0 4 4 4 0 0 N/A 55 65
15 Mar Panels[20] 36 12 20 15 7 7 11 4 4 0 0 0 4 N/A 51 69
10 Mar Electoral threshold raised from 2% to 3.25%
7 Mar Panels/Knesset Channel[21] 30 12 21 15 6 8 11 4 4 3 3 0 3 N/A 58 62
28 Feb Dialogue/Haaretz[22] 33 14 16 12 10 6 10 5 4 5 3 2 0 N/A 59 61
27 Feb Panels/Knesset Channel[23] 32 13 21 13 7 6 10 4 4 4 3 0 3 N/A 59 61
11 Feb Teleseker/Walla[24] 35 15 15 14 11 7 6 6 4 4 3 0 0 N/A 53 67
6 Feb Panels/Knesset Channel[25] 32 14 18 15 7 6 11 4 4 4 3 2 0 N/A 60 60
3 Feb Panels/Knesset Channel[26] 30 13 19 16 9 6 11 5 4 3 4 0 0 N/A 59 61
31 Jan Smith Poll[27] 36 12 17 11 11 8 10 4 11 0 0 N/A 53 67
30 Jan Panels/Knesset Channel[28] 30 12 19 17 7 7 11 4 4 3 4 2 0 N/A 59 61
24 Jan Times of Israel[29] 46 13 18 7 11 6 6 5 8 0 0 N/A 50 70
23 Jan Panels/Knesset Channel[30] 34 14 17 12 8 6 10 6 4 4 3 2 0 N/A 60 60
22 Jan GeoCartography[31] 40 9 12 11 12 6 10 3 11 3 0 N/A 48 72
21 Jan Channel 1[32] 34 13 16 13 10 7 7 4 11 2 3 N/A 53 67
16 Jan Panels/Knesset Channel[33] 34 15 19 12 9 7 8 5 4 4 3 0 0 N/A 58 62
9 Jan Panels/Knesset Channel[34] 34 13 17 14 9 7 10 5 4 4 3 0 0 N/A 56 64
5 Jan Channel 2/Dahaf[35] 33 14 16 11 10 7 7 7 4 4 3 2 2 N/A 57 63
2013
26 Dec Smith poll[36] 36 10 19 13 11 8 9 3 11 0 0 N/A 52 68
26 Dec Knesset/Panel Polls[37] 33 13 16 13 10 6 11 6 4 3 3 2 0 N/A 58 62
25 Dec Midgam/Walla[38] 32 14 17 11 9 6 7 7 4 4 3 2 2 N/A 60 60
28 Nov Globes/Smith[39] 37 11 19 12 10 8 9 3 4 4 3 0 0 N/A 53 67
28 Nov Knesset/Panel Polls[40] 35 10 19 12 10 6 13 4 4 4 3 0 0 N/A 57 63
Date Poll Likud Yisrael
Beitenu
Yesh Atid Labor Jewish Home Shas UTJ Meretz Hatnuah Hadash UAL-
Ta'al
Balad Kadima Otzma Moshe Kahlon Centre-left bloc Right-religious bloc

References[edit]

  1. ^ Israel ups threshold for Knesset seats despite opposition boycott Reuters, 11 March 2014
  2. ^ New Christian Arab party calls for IDF enlistment Times of Israel, 10 July 2013
  3. ^ "Maagar Mochot/NRG Poll: Likud 28, Bayit Yehudi 16, Yisrael Beitenu 15, Labor 14, Yesh Atid 11, Shas 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 5 Sep 2014. 
  4. ^ "Knesset Channel Poll: Likud 29, Bayit Yehudi 18, Labor 15, Yesh Atid 10, Yisrael Beitenu 9, Meretz 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 4 Sep 2014. 
  5. ^ "Knesset Channel Poll: Likud 26, Bayit Yehudi 19, Labor 18, Yesh Atid 10, Meretz 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 1 Sep 2014. 
  6. ^ "Maagar Mochot/Channel 1 Poll: Likud 26, Bayit Yehudi 17, Labor 14, Yisrael Beitenu 12, Shas 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 30 Aug 2014. 
  7. ^ "Geocartography Poll: Likud 32, Bayit Yehudi 18, Yisrael Beitenu 17, Labor 12, UTJ 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 29 Aug 2014. 
  8. ^ "Smith/Globes Poll: Likud 28, Bayit Yehudi 14, Labor 14, Yisrael Beitenu 12, Yesh Atid 9, Shas 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 28 Aug 2014. 
  9. ^ "Dialog/Haaretz Poll: Likud 26, Bayit Yehudi 17, Labor 14, Yesh Atid 12, Yisrael Beitenu 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 28 Aug 2014. 
  10. ^ "Knesset Channel Poll: Likud 27, Bayit Yehudi 19, Labor 15, Yesh Atid 12, Yisrael Beitenu 9, Meretz 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 28 Aug 2014. 
  11. ^ "Knesset Channel Poll: Likud 28, Bayit Yehudi 19, Labor 15, Yesh Atid 11, Meretz 10, Yisrael Beiteinu 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 1 Aug 2014. 
  12. ^ "Midgam/Channel 2 Poll: Likud 23, Bayit Yehudi 15, Labor 14, Yisrael Beitenu 12, Yesh Atid 10, Shas 8". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 7 August 2014. 
  13. ^ "Knesset Channel Poll: Likud 30, Bayit Yehudi 18, Labor 15, Yesh Atid 10, Meretz 10, Shas 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 1 Aug 2014. 
  14. ^ "Globes/Smith Poll: Likud 31, Labor 14, Yisrael Beitenu 13, Bayit Yehudi 13, Yesh Atid 11, Shas 8". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 1 Aug 2014. 
  15. ^ "Haaretz Poll: Likud 25, Bayit Yehudi 16, Labor 15, Yisrael Beitenu 14, Yesh Atid 13, Meretz 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 11 July 2014. 
  16. ^ "Knesset Channel Poll: Likud 21, Labor 19, Bayit Yehudi 18, Yesh Atid 11, Yisrael Beitenu 11, Meretz 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 8 July 2014. 
  17. ^ "Knesset Channel Poll: Likud Beitenu 28, Labor 21, Bayit Yehudi 18, Yesh Atid 13, Meretz 12 (Bennett up, Netanyahu down)". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 3 July 2014. 
  18. ^ "Globes/Smith Poll: Likud Beitenu 34, Labor 17, Yesh Atid 15, Bayit Yehudi 15, Shas 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 30 May 2014. 
  19. ^ "Netanyahu maintains popularity". Globes. 1 May 2014. 
  20. ^ "הליכוד-ביתנו והעבודה מתחזקות, יש עתיד וש"ס מאבדות תמיכה". 15 March 2014. 
  21. ^ "Panels Poll: Likud Beitenu 30, Labor 21, Bayit Yehudi 15, Yesh Atid 12, Meretz 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 7 March 2014. 
  22. ^ "Haaretz Poll: Likud Beitenu 33, Labor 16, Yesh Atid 14, Bayit Yehudi 12, Shas 10, Meretz 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 2 March 2014. 
  23. ^ "Panels Poll: Likud Beitenu 32, Labor 21, Yesh Atid 13, Bayit Yehudi 13, Meretz 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 27 February 2014. 
  24. ^ "Teleseker/Walla Poll: Likud Beitenu 35, Yesh Atid 15, Labor 15, Bayit Yehudi 14, Shas 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 12 February 2014. 
  25. ^ "Panels Poll: Likud Beitenu 32, Labor 18, Bayit Yehudi 15, Yesh Atid 14, Meretz 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 6 February 2014. 
  26. ^ "Panels Poll: Likud Beitenu 30, Labor 19, Bayit Yehudi 16, Yesh Atid 13, Meretz 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 3 February 2014. 
  27. ^ "Israel, January 2014. Smith". Electograph. 31 January 2014. 
  28. ^ "BB-NB Aftermath Poll: Likud Beitenu 30, Labor 19, Bayit Yehudi 17, Yesh Atid 12, Meretz 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 30 January 2014. 
  29. ^ "Likud-Beytenu jumps 15 seats in new poll". 24 January 2014. 
  30. ^ "Poll Shows Right and Left Tied". 23 January 2014. 
  31. ^ "Poll Shows Nationalists with Whopping 76 Seats". 22 January 2014. 
  32. ^ "Channel 1 Poll: Likud Beitenu 34, Labor 16, Yesh Atid 13, Bayit Yehudi 13, Shas 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 21 January 2014. 
  33. ^ "Poll: Knesset Channel Poll: Likud Beitenu 34, Labor 19, Yesh Atid 15, Bayit Yehudi 12, Shas 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 16 January 2014. 
  34. ^ "Poll: Likud Beitenu 34, Labor 17, Bayit Yehudi 14, Yesh Atid 13, Meretz 10 Dahaf/Channel 2". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 9 January 2014. 
  35. ^ "ISRAEL: January 2014. Dahaf/Channel 2". Electograph. 5 January 2014. 
  36. ^ "Smith poll: Likud/Beteinu 36 Labor 19 Bayit Yehudi 13 Shas 11 Yesh". IMRA. 26 December 2013. 
  37. ^ "Panels Poll: 2 Arab parties out if minimum is 4 seats". IMRA. 26 December 2013. 
  38. ^ "Walla Poll: Likud Beitenu 32, Labor 17, Yesh Atid 14, Bayit Yehudi 11, Shas 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 25 December 2013. 
  39. ^ "Netanyahu strengthens despite Iran deal". Globes. 28 November 2013. 
  40. ^ "Labor gains in polls under new head Herzog". Jerusalem Post. 28 November 2013.