Portuguese legislative election, 2002

Portuguese legislative election, 2002

1999 ← March 17, 2002 → 2005

230 seats to the Portuguese Assembly 116 seats needed for a majority   First party Second party   Leader José Manuel Barroso Ferro Rodrigues Party Social Democratic Socialist Leader since April 1999 20 January 2002 Leader's seat Lisbon Lisbon Last election 81 seats, 32.3% 115 seats, 44.1% Seats won 105 96 Seat change 24 19 Popular vote 2,200,765 2,068,584 Percentage 40.2% 37.8% Swing 7.9% 6.3%

Prime Minister before election Guterres Socialist Prime Minister-elect Barroso Social Democratic

Portugal

This article is part of the series: Politics and government of Portugal

The Portuguese legislative election of 2002 took place on March 17. These elections were called after the resignation of the former Prime-Minister, António Guterres after a defeat of the Socialist Party in the local election of 2001. That fact, plus the problematic state of the country's finances were the main arguments of the right-wing parties, which led them to win the election.

With just over 40% of the votes cast, the Social Democrats regained the status as the largest political force in Portugal, although the Socialists won almost 38% of the vote. This was, and still is, the smallest difference between the two major parties in Portugal. This short distance also appears on the electoral map, with each party winning eleven of the 22 districts, where the PS won the most populous, Lisbon and Porto. As a result, the Social Democrats fail to win the absolute majority they had between 1987 and 1995.

As no Party got an absolute majority, the Social Democrats formed a coalition with the right-wing People's Party. The left-wing Unitarian Democratic Coalition achieved the lowest result ever, finishing in the third place in its traditional strongholds, Évora and Setúbal. The Leftwing Bloc gained one MP. The turnout was low, marking a growing separation between the politics and the Portuguese people, mainly due to the image of the politicians as corrupts and the idea that all the parties are the same.

The major parties involved and the respective leaders:

• Leftwing Bloc (BE), Francisco Louçã
• Unitarian Democratic Coalition (CDU), Carlos Carvalhas
• Socialist Party (PS), Ferro Rodrigues
• Social Democratic Party (PSD), José Manuel Durão Barroso
• Democratic Social Center/People's Party (CDS/PP), Paulo Portas

José Manuel Durão Barroso, leader of the Social Democratic Party, was nominated Prime Minister and formed a coalition government with the People's Party.

Opinion Polling

See also: Exit poll and Opinion poll

The following table shows the opinion polls of voting intention of the Portuguese voters before the election. Those parties that are listed are currently represented in parliament. Included is also the result of the Portuguese general elections in 1999 and 2002 for reference.

Date Released	Institute	Social Democratic	Socialist	Green-Communist	People's Party	Left Bloc	Lead
March 17, 2002	Election Results	40.2% 105 seats	37.8% 96 seats	6.9% 12 seats	8.7% 14 seats	2.7% 3 seats	2.4%
March 15, 2002	Marktest	44.0%	35.0%	8.0%	6.0%	4.0%	9.0%
March 15, 2002	Lusófona	43.6%	40.9%	5.7%	7.1%	2.8%	2.7%
March 15, 2002	Eurosondagem	41.4%	39.3%	6.9%	5.6%	3.5%	2.1%
March 15, 2002	Eurequipa	44.7%	33.9%	7.1%	9.1%	3.2%	10.8%
March 15, 2002	Universidade Católica	42.2%	37.5%	6.9%	6.8%	3.6%	4.7%
March 14, 2002	INTERCAMPUS	41.0%	39.0%	8.0%	5.0%	3.0%	2.0%
March 14, 2002	Aximage	44.0%	40.0%	7.0%	6.0%	2.0%	4.0%
October 10, 1999	1999 election	32.3% 81 seats	44.1% 115 seats	9.0% 17 seats	8.3% 15 seats	2.4% 2 seats	11.9%

National summary of votes and seats

 Summary of the 17 March 2002 Assembly of the Republic elections results

Parties		Votes	%	±	MPs					MPs %/ votes %
					1999	2002	±	%	±
	Social Democratic	2,200,765	40.21	7.9	81	105	24	45.65	10.4	1.14
	Socialist	2,068,584	37.79	6.3	115	96	19	41.74	8.3	1.10
	People's Party	477,350	8.72	0.4	15	14	1	6.09	0.4	0.70
	Democratic Unity Coalition	379,870	6.94	2.1	17	12	5	5.22	2.2	0.75
	Left Bloc	149,966	2.74	0.3	2	3	1	1.30	0.4	0.47
	PCTP/MRPP	36,193	0.66	0.0	0	0	0	0.00	0.0	0.0
	Earth Party	15,540	0.28	0.1	0	0	0	0.00	0.0	0.0
	People's Monarchist Party	12,398	0.23	0.1	0	0	0	0.00	0.0	0.0
	Humanist Party	11,472	0.21	0.1	0	0	0	0.00	0.0	0.0
	National Renovator Party	4,712	0.09	—	—	0	—	0.00	—	0.0
	Workers Party of Socialist Unity	4,316	0.08	0.0	0	0	0	0.00	0.0	0.0
	Left Bloc / People's Democratic Union	3,911	0.07	—	—	0	—	0.00	—	0.0
Total valid		5,365,881	98.03	0.0	230	230	0	100.00	0.0	—
Blank ballots		55,121	1.01	0.1
Invalid ballots		52,653	0.96	0.0
Total (turnout 61.48%)		5,473,655	100.00	0.4
A Left Bloc / People's Democratic Union joint electoral list only in Madeira.
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições

Further reading

• Freire, André (November 2004). "Issue Voting in Portugal: The 2002 Legislative Elections". West European Politics 27 (5): 779–800. doi:10.1080/0140238042000283328. 

External links

• Preliminary results of the 2002 election
• Comissão Nacional de Eleições
• Centro de Estudos do Pensamento Político

See also

• Politics of Portugal
• List of political parties in Portugal
• Elections in Portugal