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Opinion polling for the 2022 Italian general election: Difference between revisions

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! style="background:{{Centre-left coalition/meta/color}};" |
! style="background:{{Centre-left coalition/meta/color}};" |
! style="background:{{Free and Equal (Italy)/meta/color}};" |
! style="background:{{Free and Equal (Italy)/meta/color}};" |
|-
| 30–31 Jul
| [https://www.corriere.it/politica/19_agosto_08/sondaggio-possibile-voto-anticipato-centrodestra-unito-506percento-m5s-stabile-calo-pd-forza-italia-8831205c-b9ac-11e9-8fe8-844ac90f9596.shtml Ipsos]
| 1,000
| style="background:#C8EBFF;"| '''50.6'''
| 17.8
| 25.9
| 2.0
| 3.7
| style="background:#0A6BE1; color:white;"| 24.7
|-
|-
| 27–30 Jul
| 27–30 Jul

Revision as of 12:16, 8 August 2019

In the run-up to the next Italian general election, various organisations have been carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention.

Results of such opinion polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous general election, held on 4 March 2018, to the present day.

Party vote

Graphical summary

6-point average trend line of poll results starting from 4 March 2018, with each line corresponding to a political party.
  M5S
  PD
  Lega
  FI
  FdI
  LeU/Sin
  +Eu
  NcI
  PaP

2019

Date Polling firm Sample size M5S PD Lega FI FdI LS +Eu EV Other Lead Govt parties[a] Other
style="background:Template:Five Star Movement/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Democratic Party (Italy)/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Lega Nord/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Forza Italia (2013)/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Brothers of Italy/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:The Left (Italy)/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:More Europe/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Green Europe/meta/color;" |
5 Aug Tecnè 1,000 17.5 22.4 38.0 8.0 6.0 1.4 2.4 2.2 2.1 15.6 55.5 44.5
29 Jul–2 Aug Termometro Politico 1,700 17.0 22.6 37.5 6.2 6.9 2.0 2.2 1.9 3.7 14.9 54.5 45.5
30 Jul–1 Aug Tecnè 1,000 17.6 22.5 37.7 8.1 6.0 1.6 2.4 2.3 1.8 15.2 55.3 44.7
30–31 Jul Ipsos 1,000 17.8 20.5 36.0 7.1 7.5 2.0 3.5 1.9 3.7 15.5 53.8 46.2
27–30 Jul Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 14.8 23.3 38.9 6.7 7.4 1.9 2.3 1.7 3.0 15.6 53.7 46.3
24–29 Jul SWG 1,500 17.3 22.0 38.0 6.5 6.6 2.1 2.7 2.3 2.5 16.0 55.3 44.7
24–25 Jul Tecnè 1,000 17.5 22.7 38.1 7.8 6.3 1.4 2.5 2.1 1.6 15.4 55.6 44.4
22–24 Jul Demopolis 1,500 18.0 22.5 36.0 6.7 6.8 10.0 13.5 54.0 46.0
22 Jul Euromedia 1,000 18.0 20.0 36.0 8.1 6.1 2.3 3.3 6.2 16.0 54.0 46.0
17–22 Jul SWG 1,500 18.5 21.5 37.8 6.6 6.3 2.0 2.8 2.5 2.0 16.3 56.3 43.7
17–18 Jul Tecnè 1,000 17.3 23.6 37.0 8.0 6.6 1.5 2.4 1.9 1.7 13.4 54.3 45.7
16–18 Jul Ipsos 1,000 17.4 21.6 35.9 8.2 6.0 1.8 3.5 2.0 3.6 14.3 53.3 46.7
16–18 Jul Termometro Politico 1,400 17.1 23.1 37.9 6.2 6.8 1.8 2.1 1.8 3.2 14.8 55.0 45.0
15–18 Jul Gpf 919 24.2 22.8 33.1 7.0 6.1 0.4 2.5 3.9 8.9 57.3 42.7
15 Jul Piepoli 500 17.5 23.5 36.0 8.0 5.5 9.5 12.5 53.5 46.5
10–15 Jul SWG 1,500 17.9 22.0 37.7 7.0 6.4 1.8 3.0 2.4 1.8 15.7 55.6 44.4
9–12 Jul Termometro Politico 1,300 17.1 22.6 37.9 6.3 7.0 1.7 2.3 1.8 3.3 15.3 55.0 45.0
10–11 Jul Tecnè 1,000 17.2 23.5 37.1 7.9 6.8 1.4 2.3 2.0 1.8 13.6 54.3 45.7
8–10 Jul Demos & Pi 1,017 17.6 22.5 35.3 7.0 6.2 2.0 3.5 2.1 3.8 12.8 52.9 47.1
8–10 Jul Gpf 807 23.7 22.3 33.7 7.1 5.9 0.4 2.7 4.2 10.0 57.4 42.6
7–8 Jul Tecnè 1,000 16.9 23.4 37.8 7.7 6.9 7.3 14.4 54.7 45.3
3–8 Jul SWG 1,500 17.4 22.7 37.5 6.8 6.6 1.7 2.9 2.4 2.0 14.8 54.9 45.1
7 Jul Noto – 17.0 24.0 38.0 6.5 8.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 14.0 55.0 45.0
4 Jul Eumetra – 19.0 24.0 37.5 8.0 6.5 5.0 13.5 56.5 43.5
1–4 Jul Termometro Politico 1,700 18.0 22.9 37.0 6.7 7.0 1.4 1.8 1.7 3.5 14.1 55.0 45.0
29 Jun–4 Jul Bidimedia 1,698 18.1 23.5 35.0 6.3 6.8 1.9 2.7 2.5 3.2 11.5 53.1 46.9
26 Jun–1 Jul SWG 1,500 17.2 22.6 38.0 6.5 6.4 1.5 2.8 2.7 2.3 15.4 55.2 44.8
26 Jun Noto – 17.5 25.0 36.0 7.5 8.0 1.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 11.0 53.5 46.5
25–26 Jun Ipsos 1,000 17.3 21.2 33.3 9.3 6.7 1.9 3.4 2.5 4.4 12.1 50.6 49.4
25 Jun EMG 1,845 19.0 23.8 34.6 8.5 6.7 2.0 2.9 0.9 1.6 10.8 53.6 46.4
23–24 Jun Tecnè 1,000 17.0 23.4 35.5 9.1 6.6 8.4 12.1 52.5 47.5
19–24 Jun SWG 1,500 18.0 22.6 37.3 6.6 6.5 1.6 2.8 2.7 1.9 14.7 55.3 44.7
19–20 Jun Demopolis 1,500 18.5 22.0 35.2 7.0 6.8 10.5 13.2 53.2 46.8
18 Jun EMG 1,815 17.9 24.4 35.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 2.7 1.1 1.9 10.6 52.9 47.1
18 Jun Noto – 17.5 24.0 35.0 7.5 7.5 1.5 2.5 1.5 3.0 11.0 52.5 47.5
12–17 Jun SWG 1,500 18.3 22.5 37.0 6.6 6.7 1.7 2.7 2.6 1.9 14.5 55.3 44.7
12 Jun Index 800 19.2 22.6 34.5 6.7 6.8 1.7 3.0 2.7 2.8 11.9 53.7 46.3
11 Jun EMG 1,735 18.0 23.9 35.2 8.6 6.7 1.9 2.5 1.1 2.1 11.3 53.2 46.8
11 Jun Noto – 18.0 24.0 35.0 8.0 7.5 1.5 2.5 2.0 1.5 11.0 53.0 47.0
10 Jun Euromedia 800 18.0 23.5 35.1 7.0 6.3 2.0 3.5 1.3 3.3 11.6 53.1 46.9
10 Jun Piepoli 505 17.0 23.5 35.0 8.0 6.0 1.5 3.0 1.5 4.5 11.5 52.0 48.0
9–10 Jun Tecnè 1,000 16.9 23.6 36.0 8.7 6.7 8.1 12.4 52.9 47.1
5–10 Jun SWG 1,500 18.4 22.8 37.3 6.3 6.3 1.5 2.8 2.8 1.8 14.5 55.7 44.3
3–7 Jun Termometro Politico 1,700 18.0 23.1 35.3 6.2 7.2 1.2 2.6 2.7 3.7 12.2 53.3 46.7
5–6 Jun Tecnè 1,000 16.9 23.7 36.1 9.0 6.6 7.7 12.4 53.0 47.0
5 Jun Index 800 18.9 23.3 34.0 6.9 7.0 1.8 3.0 2.5 2.6 10.7 52.9 47.1
2–3 Jun Tecnè 1,000 16.8 23.9 35.8 9.2 6.8 7.5 11.9 52.6 47.4
29 May–3 Jun SWG 1,500 17.5 23.5 36.5 6.9 6.6 1.7 2.7 2.6 2.0 13.0 54.0 46.0
1 Jun EMG 1,600 19.0 24.0 34.0 8.0 6.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 10.0 53.0 47.0
30 May Piepoli 1,000 17.0 23.0 35.0 9.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 12.0 52.0 48.0
28–29 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 16.5 23.8 36.3 7.9 6.8 1.4 2.7 1.8 2.8 12.5 52.8 47.2
26 May EP election – 17.1 22.7 34.3 8.8 6.5 1.7 3.1 2.3 3.5 11.5 51.4 48.6
8–9 May Tecnè 1,000 22.5 21.5 31.0 10.5 5.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 8.5 53.5 46.5
8–9 May Euromedia 800 21.5 21.9 29.6 10.1 5.3 2.0 3.5 6.1 7.7 51.1 48.9
8–9 May Demopolis 2,000 23.0 22.2 31.0 8.4 5.5 2.8 3.2 3.9 8.0 54.0 46.0
7–9 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 22.7 22.1 33.8 7.8 5.8 2.1 2.4 1.3 2.0 11.1 56.5 43.5
6–9 May Ixè 1,000 20.5 20.1 30.5 9.6 5.2 3.4 4.0 6.7 10.0 51.0 49.0
5–9 May Termometro Politico 6,000 23.0 21.8 30.6 9.5 5.8 1.9 2.8 0.8 3.8 7.6 53.6 46.4
8 May Piepoli 503 22.0 21.0 30.5 10.0 5.0 2.0 3.5 6.0 8.5 52.5 47.5
7–8 May Index 800 22.3 21.1 32.4 9.2 5.0 2.7 3.0 1.7 2.6 10.1 54.7 45.3
6–8 May SWG 1,500 22.7 22.5 30.5 9.4 4.7 2.7 2.6 1.7 3.2 7.8 53.2 46.8
6–8 May Bidimedia 1,455 22.4 21.2 32.2 9.0 4.7 2.5 3.0 1.7 3.3 9.8 54.6 45.4
6–8 May Demos & Pi 1,007 22.6 20.4 32.2 9.5 4.7 3.1 4.1 3.4 9.6 54.8 45.2
6–8 May Ipsos 1,000 24.9 20.5 30.9 7.8 5.7 2.1 3.2 1.8 3.1 6.0 55.8 44.2
7 May EMG 1,642 23.5 21.2 32.2 10.3 5.0 2.6 2.8 2.4 8.7 55.7 44.3
7 May Noto – 21.0 21.0 32.0 9.0 5.5 2.0 3.5 1.0 5.0 11.0 53.0 47.0
5–7 May Demopolis 1,500 24.5 19.0 29.0 9.0 4.8 13.7 4.5 53.5 46.5
4–6 May Tecnè 1,509 22.0 21.0 31.0 10.5 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 9.0 53.0 47.0
30 Apr–6 May SWG 1,500 22.7 22.2 30.7 9.1 4.6 2.8 2.7 1.8 3.4 8.0 53.4 46.6
24 Apr–6 May CISE 1,000 23.5 20.4 30.8 11.0 4.6 2.3 4.9 2.5 7.3 54.3 45.7
2–3 May Quorum – YouTrend 1,000 22.2 21.4 32.1 9.5 5.3 3.2 2.3 4.0 9.9 54.3 45.7
30 Apr Piepoli 504 22.0 20.5 31.0 10.0 5.5 2.0 3.5 1.0 4.5 9.0 53.0 47.0
30 Apr Euromedia 800 20.6 20.3 32.4 10.3 5.3 1.5 3.8 1.4 4.4 11.8 53.0 47.0
30 Apr Index 800 22.0 20.5 32.8 9.3 5.0 4.4 3.1 2.9 10.8 54.8 45.2
30 Apr Noto – 20.0 22.0 32.0 8.5 6.0 2.5 3.0 1.5 4.5 10.0 52.0 48.0
28–29 Apr Tecnè 1,000 22.3 21.4 31.2 12.2 5.2 7.7 8.9 53.5 46.5
24–29 Apr SWG 1,500 21.8 22.5 31.6 8.8 5.0 3.1 2.9 1.5 2.8 9.1 53.4 46.6
27 Apr EMG 1,536 22.9 21.9 32.2 10.1 5.1 2.5 3.0 2.3 9.3 55.1 44.9
23 Apr EMG 1,525 23.1 22.6 31.3 10.2 5.4 2.8 3.0 1.6 8.2 54.4 45.6
23 Apr Noto – 20.5 21.0 33.5 8.5 6.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 4.5 12.5 53.5 46.5
22–23 Apr Demopolis 1,500 23.5 20.0 31.0 9.3 5.2 12.0 7.5 54.5 45.5
18–23 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 20.1 20.5 36.4 8.7 5.4 1.9 3.1 1.7 2.2 15.9 56.5 43.5
17–23 Apr SWG 1,500 22.3 22.0 32.3 8.4 4.8 3.4 3.0 1.6 2.2 10.0 54.6 45.4
19–22 Apr Termometro Politico 1,000 23.5 22.0 31.5 9.1 5.7 2.1 2.9 1.0 2.2 8.0 55.0 45.0
20 Apr Ipsos – 22.3 18.7 36.9 8.7 4.6 2.1 3.0 1.3 2.4 14.6 59.2 40.8
18 Apr Tecnè 1,000 22.0 20.6 32.0 11.6 4.9 8.9 10.0 54.0 46.0
17 Apr Index 800 21.7 19.8 32.9 9.2 4.8 4.4 3.1 4.1 11.2 54.6 45.4
16 Apr EMG 1,794 22.6 21.8 32.1 9.5 4.9 2.9 2.9 3.3 9.5 54.7 45.3
16 Apr Piepoli 503 22.5 20.5 31.0 10.5 5.5 3.5 3.0 1.5 2.0 8.5 53.5 46.5
16 Apr Euromedia 800 20.8 19.5 33.0 10.6 5.5 3.0 3.8 1.2 2.6 12.2 53.8 46.2
16 Apr Noto – 20.0 21.0 33.5 9.0 6.0 3.0 3.5 1.5 2.5 12.5 53.5 46.5
10–15 Apr SWG 1,500 22.5 21.5 32.3 8.9 4.8 2.9 3.3 1.2 2.6 9.8 54.8 45.2
11–12 Apr Quorum 1,000 22.3 21.1 33.2 9.9 5.1 2.7 2.0 3.7 10.9 55.5 44.5
8–11 Apr Bidimedia 1,310 21.5 21.5 32.3 10.1 4.8 2.8 3.3 1.6 2.1 10.8 53.8 46.2
2–10 Apr Termometro Politico 1,500 22.6 21.7 32.0 9.8 5.6 2.3 3.0 1.4 1.6 9.4 54.6 45.4
Date Polling firm Sample size style="background:Template:Five Star Movement/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Democratic Party (Italy)/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Lega Nord/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Forza Italia (2013)/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Brothers of Italy/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:The Left (Italy)/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:More Europe/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Green Europe/meta/color;" | Other Lead Govt parties[a] Other
M5S PD Lega FI FdI LS +Eu EV
Date Polling firm Sample size M5S PD Lega FI FdI LeU[b] +Eu NcI PaP[c] Other Lead Govt parties[a] Other
style="background:Template:Five Star Movement/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Democratic Party (Italy)/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Lega Nord/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Forza Italia (2013)/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Brothers of Italy/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Free and Equal (Italy)/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:More Europe/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Us with Italy/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Power to the People (Italy)/meta/color;" |
9 Apr EMG 1,845 21.5 22.3 31.4 10.1 4.8 2.9 0.5 6.5 9.1 53.7 46.3
9 Apr Noto – 20.0 21.0 32.5 9.5 5.5 1.5 3.0 0.5 1.0 5.5 11.5 52.5 47.5
7–8 Apr Tecnè 1,000 21.4 20.0 31.9 12.3 4.7 9.7 10.5 53.3 46.7
5–8 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 20.5 20.9 35.7 9.5 4.3 1.7 2.8 1.4 3.2 15.8 56.2 43.8
3–8 Apr SWG 1,500 22.0 22.1 31.8 8.9 4.9 2.9 3.1 1.1 3.2 9.7 53.8 46.2
2–4 Apr Ipsos 1,000 23.3 19.0 35.7 9.9 4.0 2.0 3.1 3.0 12.5 59.0 41.0
3 Apr Piepoli 504 22.5 20.0 30.5 10.5 5.0 3.0 3.0 0.5 5.0 8.0 53.0 47.0
3 Apr Euromedia 800 19.4 20.1 31.4 11.1 5.4 3.9 3.8 w. FI 4.9 11.3 50.8 49.2
2–3 Apr Index 800 21.1 20.8 33.6 9.3 4.6 3.2 2.8 1.5 3.1 12.5 54.7 45.3
2 Apr EMG 1,725 22.7 21.1 31.9 9.3 4.7 2.9 0.6 1.6 5.2 9.2 54.6 45.4
2 Apr Noto – 20.5 21.0 32.0 10.5 5.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 11.0 52.5 47.5
31 Mar–1 Apr Tecnè 1,000 21.0 20.1 31.9 12.1 4.6 10.3 10.9 52.9 43.1
29 Mar–1 Apr Ixè 1,000 19.1 22.6 31.2 8.7 4.9 3.2 2.5 0.6 1.3 5.9 8.6 50.3 49.7
27 Mar–1 Apr SWG 1,500 22.2 20.8 32.9 9.0 4.6 1.0 2.9 1.3 5.3 10.7 55.1 44.9
25 Mar–1 Apr Termometro Politico 4,000 21.3 21.6 31.9 9.1 4.6 3.6 3.2 1.1 3.6 10.3 53.2 46.8
29–30 Mar Quorum – YouTrend 1,000 22.7 20.5 32.1 10.0 5.3 3.4 2.7 3.3 9.4 54.8 45.2
28 Mar Tecnè 1,002 21.0 20.2 32.0 11.8 4.7 10.3 11.0 53.0 47.0
26–27 Mar Index 800 20.6 21.1 34.5 9.1 4.5 2.9 2.7 1.7 2.9 13.4 55.1 44.9
26–27 Mar Demopolis 1,500 22.0 21.0 32.0 9.0 4.0 12.0 10.0 54.0 46.0
26 Mar EMG 1,865 22.9 21.1 31.8 9.5 4.9 3.0 0.6 1.6 4.6 8.9 54.7 45.3
26 Mar Noto – 21.0 21.0 32.0 11.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.0 53.0 47.0
22–25 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 20.3 21.2 35.8 9.2 4.1 1.5 3.1 1.6 3.2 14.6 56.1 43.9
20–25 Mar SWG 1,500 21.3 21.0 33.4 8.7 4.7 2.3 2.9 2.2 3.5 12.1 54.7 45.3
21 Mar Piepoli – 23.0 20.0 31.0 11.5 4.5 2.0 3.0 0.5 4.5 8.0 54.0 46.0
20–21 Mar Euromedia 800 19.8 20.7 33.1 11.4 4.7 2.2 3.6 4.5 12.4 52.9 47.1
20–21 Mar Tecnè 1,000 19.9 21.0 33.1 11.7 4.5 9.8 12.1 53.0 47.0
20 Mar Index 800 20.4 21.2 34.8 9.0 4.4 2.8 2.7 1.7 3.0 13.6 55.2 44.8
19 Mar EMG 1,785 23.4 21.0 30.9 10.0 4.8 3.0 0.6 1.6 4.7 7.5 54.3 45.7
19 Mar Noto – 21.0 21.0 32.5 11.0 4.5 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.5 53.5 46.5
13–18 Mar SWG 1,500 21.0 21.1 33.9 8.6 4.4 2.4 3.0 2.0 3.6 12.8 54.9 45.1
17–18 Mar Tecnè 1,000 21.8 20.4 31.2 11.9 4.4 10.3 9.4 53.0 47.0
12–13 Mar Index 800 21.3 20.1 34.6 9.1 4.3 2.9 2.7 1.7 3.3 13.3 55.9 44.1
12–13 Mar Demopolis 1,500 22.8 20.2 33.0 8.8 3.6 11.6 10.2 55.8 44.2
11–13 Mar Demos & Pi 1,005 23.2 19.0 34.4 9.6 4.2 2.6 2.5 4.5 11.2 57.6 42.4
12 Mar EMG 1,845 23.8 19.9 30.6 9.8 4.9 3.1 0.6 1.6 5.7 6.8 54.4 45.6
12 Mar Noto – 21.0 21.0 32.5 11.5 4.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.5 53.5 46.5
12 Mar Piepoli 500 24.5 19.0 31.5 11.0 4.0 2.5 3.5 0.5 3.5 7.0 56.0 44.0
6–11 Mar SWG 1,500 21.8 20.3 33.7 8.9 4.1 2.6 2.8 1.9 3.9 11.9 55.5 44.5
6–7 Mar Tecnè 2,000 22.2 20.3 31.2 12.5 4.2 3.3 6.3 9.0 53.4 46.6
5–6 Mar Index 800 21.7 18.9 34.6 9.0 4.5 3.3 2.8 1.8 3.4 12.9 56.3 43.7
5 Mar EMG 1,803 23.2 19.3 31.2 10.2 4.8 3.1 0.6 1.4 6.2 8.0 54.4 45.6
5 Mar Noto – 21.0 20.0 33.0 11.0 4.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 12.0 54.0 46.0
3–4 Mar Tecnè 1,003 21.8 18.8 32.5 12.0 4.6 10.3 10.7 54.3 45.7
27 Feb–4 Mar SWG 1,500 22.1 19.8 33.4 8.8 4.4 2.4 3.0 2.0 4.1 11.3 55.5 44.5
1–3 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 21.6 20.3 35.4 8.8 3.8 1.9 3.2 1.7 3.3 13.8 57.0 43.0
27–28 Feb Tecnè 1,000 22.0 18.3 32.5 12.1 4.7 10.4 10.5 54.5 45.5
26–28 Feb Ipsos 1,000 21.2 18.5 35.9 8.6 4.0 2.4 4.0 0.5 4.9 14.7 57.1 42.9
26–27 Feb Index 800 22.1 18.0 34.5 9.1 4.5 3.5 3.0 2.0 3.3 12.4 56.6 43.4
22–27 Feb Bidimedia 1,084 22.7 18.9 32.3 9.5 4.0 2.5 2.6 0.6 1.7 5.2 9.6 55.0 45.0
26 Feb EMG 1,603 23.8 18.2 31.2 10.7 5.0 3.0 0.6 1.6 5.9 7.4 55.0 45.0
25 Feb Piepoli 505 25.0 18.5 31.5 11.0 4.5 1.5 3.5 0.5 4.0 6.5 56.5 43.5
25 Feb Euromedia 800 21.8 18.6 34.6 11.0 4.7 1.9 3.7 w. FI 3.7 12.8 56.4 43.6
20–25 Feb SWG 1,500 22.6 18.5 33.2 8.7 4.3 3.0 3.1 2.3 4.3 10.6 55.8 44.2
19–20 Feb Index 800 22.2 17.5 34.7 8.7 4.5 3.6 2.8 2.2 3.8 12.5 56.9 43.1
19 Feb EMG 1,802 24.8 17.9 30.7 10.3 5.2 3.0 0.7 1.6 5.8 5.9 55.5 44.5
19 Feb Noto – 21.0 18.0 35.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 3.5 0.5 1.0 4.0 14.0 56.0 44.0
17–18 Feb Tecnè 1,000 23.2 16.9 33.0 12.0 4.4 10.5 9.8 56.2 43.8
13–18 Feb SWG 1,500 22.1 18.6 33.4 9.0 4.5 2.9 2.9 2.2 4.4 11.3 55.6 44.4
14–17 Feb Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 23.2 18.7 36.2 9.0 3.4 1.8 2.8 1.6 3.3 13.0 59.4 40.6
13–15 Feb Quorum – YouTrend 1,003 24.3 18.0 32.9 10.3 5.1 9.4 8.6 57.2 42.8
12–13 Feb Index 800 22.3 17.3 34.5 8.3 4.6 3.5 2.9 2.3 4.3 12.2 56.8 43.2
12–13 Feb Demopolis 1,500 25.2 17.5 33.0 8.6 3.4 12.3 7.8 58.5 41.5
12 Feb EMG – 24.6 18.0 31.4 9.5 4.9 3.0 0.7 2.0 5.9 6.8 56.0 44.0
12 Feb Piepoli 500 27.0 17.5 30.5 10.0 5.0 3.5 2.5 0.5 3.5 3.5 57.5 42.5
12 Feb Euromedia 800 24.0 16.8 34.4 10.5 4.6 3.4 3.3 0.3 2.7 10.4 58.4 41.6
12 Feb Noto – 22.0 19.0 34.0 10.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 12.0 56.0 44.0
6–11 Feb SWG 1,500 23.3 17.5 33.8 8.5 4.6 2.7 3.1 2.4 4.1 10.5 57.1 42.9
6–7 Feb Ipsos 1,000 25.4 16.1 34.4 8.1 3.6 2.2 4.2 0.8 5.2 9.0 59.8 40.2
4–7 Feb Tecnè 16,000 25.1 16.7 31.9 11.7 4.5 3.1 7.0 6.8 57.0 43.0
6 Feb Index 800 23.3 17.2 34.2 8.1 4.3 3.0 2.8 2.2 4.9 10.9 57.5 42.5
2–6 Feb Bidimedia 1,113 24.9 18.7 31.3 9.0 3.5 2.6 2.4 0.6 1.7 5.3 6.4 56.2 43.8
5 Feb EMG 1,803 25.1 18.7 30.1 9.7 4.5 3.0 0.8 2.0 6.1 5.0 55.2 44.8
3–4 Feb Tecnè 998 25.0 17.3 32.1 11.7 4.1 9.8 7.1 57.1 42.9
30 Jan–4 Feb SWG 1,500 24.0 16.8 33.8 8.3 4.3 2.9 3.1 2.5 4.3 9.8 57.8 42.2
30 Jan Noto – 24.0 19.0 33.0 9.0 4.5 2.0 3.0 0.5 1.5 3.5 9.0 57.0 43.0
29–30 Jan Index 800 23.5 17.5 33.7 7.9 4.3 2.9 2.7 2.0 5.5 10.2 57.2 42.8
28–30 Jan Demos & Pi 1,006 24.9 18.2 33.7 9.4 3.3 2.8 3.0 4.7 8.8 58.6 41.4
29 Jan EMG 1,786 25.8 18.2 30.3 9.2 4.5 3.0 0.8 1.9 6.3 4.5 56.1 43.9
29 Jan Piepoli 503 27.5 17.0 30.0 10.5 4.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 4.5 2.5 57.5 42.5
29 Jan Euromedia 800 24.7 17.2 33.0 10.4 4.6 3.4 2.8 0.5 3.4 8.3 57.7 42.3
27–28 Jan Tecnè 1,000 25.8 17.9 30.2 11.9 4.3 9.9 4.4 56.0 44.0
23–28 Jan SWG 1,500 24.9 17.2 32.6 8.1 4.5 2.6 2.9 2.4 4.8 7.7 57.5 42.5
22 Jan Piepoli 503 28.0 17.0 30.0 10.5 4.5 2.5 2.0 0.5 5.0 2.0 58.0 42.0
22 Jan EMG 1,801 26.5 17.9 30.1 8.9 4.7 2.6 0.7 2.1 6.5 3.6 56.6 43.4
16–21 Jan SWG 1,500 25.7 17.9 31.5 8.6 4.4 2.8 3.0 2.3 3.8 5.8 57.2 42.8
16–17 Jan Tecnè 1,005 25.5 17.6 31.2 12.0 3.9 9.8 5.7 56.7 43.3
15–17 Jan Ipsos 1,000 25.4 17.3 35.8 7.1 3.4 3.5 0.6 6.9 10.4 61.2 38.8
15–16 Jan Index 800 23.9 17.6 33.0 8.0 4.1 2.7 2.5 2.1 6.1 9.1 56.9 43.1
15 Jan EMG 1,794 26.6 18.5 30.6 8.8 4.4 2.1 0.8 1.8 6.4 4.0 57.2 42.8
15 Jan Piepoli 505 28.0 17.5 30.5 10.5 4.0 2.5 2.0 0.5 4.5 2.5 58.5 41.5
15 Jan Euromedia 800 24.7 16.5 31.2 10.5 5.0 3.1 3.1 0.5 5.4 6.5 55.9 44.1
15 Jan Noto – 23.0 19.0 32.0 9.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 0.5 1.5 6.0 9.0 55.0 45.0
14–15 Jan Demopolis 1,500 26.5 17.6 32.0 9.0 3.4 11.5 5.5 58.5 41.5
9–14 Jan SWG 1,500 25.2 17.3 32.2 8.2 4.2 3.1 3.2 2.5 4.1 7.0 57.4 42.6
13 Jan Noto – 23.0 19.0 34.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 2.5 1.0 1.5 4.0 11.0 57.0 43.0
9–10 Jan Tecnè 2,000 25.5 17.5 30.8 11.7 3.9 3.1 7.5 5.3 56.3 43.7
7–10 Jan Bidimedia 1,096 25.6 18.7 30.8 9.3 3.3 2.4 2.9 0.4 1.4 5.2 5.2 56.4 43.6
8–9 Jan Index 800 24.1 17.5 33.1 7.9 4.1 2.9 2.5 2.2 5.7 9.0 57.2 42.8
8 Jan Piepoli 505 28.0 17.5 31.5 10.0 3.5 2.5 2.0 0.5 4.5 3.5 59.5 40.5
8 Jan EMG 1,540 26.1 19.1 31.0 8.3 4.1 2.0 0.8 2.0 6.6 4.9 57.1 42.9
6–7 Jan Tecnè 1,003 24.9 17.8 31.8 10.9 4.2 10.4 6.9 56.7 43.3
3–7 Jan SWG 1,500 26.3 17.3 32.2 8.3 3.8 2.8 2.9 2.2 4.2 5.9 58.5 41.5

2018

  1. ^ a b c d The incumbent government is the Conte Cabinet, it is supported by M5S and Lega and was sworn in on 1 June 2018.
  2. ^ a b Some polls have included former LeU member parties MDP or SI or both separately, instead of LeU. Starting from March 2019, some polls have include LS, a joint list formed mainly by SI and PRC.
  3. ^ a b In the 2018 Italian general election PaP was a joint list, including PRC and PCI, which left the alliance a few months later. Some polls have included these two parties within PaP and/or CP.

Coalition vote

Graphical summary

6-point average trend line of poll results starting from 4 March 2018, with each line corresponding to a coalition.
  Centre-right
  M5S
  Centre-left
  Others (including LeU)

2019

Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU[a] Others Lead
style="background:Template:Centre-right coalition/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Five Star Movement/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Centre-left coalition/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Free and Equal (Italy)/meta/color;" |
30–31 Jul Ipsos 1,000 50.6 17.8 25.9 2.0 3.7 24.7
27–30 Jul Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 53.0 14.8 27.3 1.9 3.0 25.7
22 Jul Euromedia 1,000 50.2 18.0 25.4 2.3 4.1 24.8
16–18 Jul Ipsos 1,000 50.1 17.4 27.1 1.8 3.6 23.0
15–18 Jul Gpf 919 46.7 24.2 27.3 1.8 19.4
8–10 Jul Gpf 807 47.3 23.7 27.1 1.9 20.2
29 Jun–4 Jul Bidimedia 1,698 48.1 18.1 28.7 1.9 3.2 19.4
26 Jun Noto – 51.5 17.5 27.0 1.0 3.0 24.5
25–26 Jun Ipsos 1,000 49.3 17.3 27.1 1.9 4.4 22.2
18 Jun Noto – 50.0 17.5 26.5 1.5 4.5 23.5
11 Jun Noto – 50.5 18.0 26.5 1.5 3.5 22.0
10 Jun Euromedia 800 48.4 18.0 28.6 2.0 3.0 19.8
10 Jun Piepoli 505 49.0 17.0 28.5 1.5 4.0 20.5
3–7 Jun Termometro Politico 1,700 48.7 18.0 28.4 1.2 3.7 20.3
30 May Piepoli 1,000 50.0 17.0 28.0 2.0 3.0 22.0
28–29 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 51.0 16.5 28.3 1.4 2.8 22.7
26 May EP Election – 50.1 17.1 28.1 1.7 3.0 22.0
7–9 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 47.4 22.7 25.8 2.1 2.0 21.6
6–9 May Ixè 1,000 45.9 20.5 25.9 3.4 4.3 20.0
5–9 May Termometro Politico 6,000 45.9 23.0 25.4 1.9 3.8 20.5
6–8 May Bidimedia 1,455 46.4 22.4 25.9 2.5 2.8 20.5
6–8 May Ipsos 1,000 44.4 24.9 25.5 2.1 3.1 18.9
6–8 May Demos & Pi 1,007 46.4 22.6 24.5 3.1 3.4 21.9
7 May Noto – 46.5 21.0 24.5 2.0 6.0 22.0
30 Apr Piepoli 504 47.0 22.0 25.0 2.0 4.0 22.0
30 Apr Euromedia 800 48.4 20.6 25.5 1.5 4.0 22.9
30 Apr Noto – 46.5 20.0 25.0 2.5 6.0 21.5
23 Apr Noto – 48.0 20.5 24.0 2.0 5.5 24.0
18–23 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 50.5 20.1 25.3 1.9 2.2 25.2
20 Apr Ipsos – 50.2 22.3 23.0 2.1 2.4 27.2
18 Apr Tecnè 1,000 48.5 22.0 25.5 4.0 23.0
16 Apr Piepoli 503 47.5 22.5 25.0 3.5 1.5 22.5
16 Apr Euromedia 800 49.1 20.8 24.5 3.0 2.6 24.6
16 Apr Noto – 48.5 20.0 24.5 3.0 4.0 24.0
2–10 Apr Termometro Politico 1,500 47.4 22.6 26.1 2.3 1.6 21.3
9 Apr EMG 1,845 46.8 22.3 29.0 1.9 17.8
9 Apr Noto – 48.0 20.0 25.0 1.5 5.5 23.0
5–8 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 51.1 20.5 25.3 1.7 1.4 25.8
2–4 Apr Ipsos 1,000 49.6 23.3 22.8 2.0 2.3 26.6
3 Apr Piepoli 504 47.0 22.5 24.0 3.0 3.5 23.0
3 Apr Euromedia 800 47.9 19.4 25.0 3.9 3.8 22.9
2 Apr EMG 1,725 46.5 22.7 27.4 3.4 19.1
2 Apr Noto – 48.0 20.5 25.5 1.5 4.5 22.5
29 Mar–1 Apr Ixè 1,000 45.4 19.1 26.4 3.2 5.9 19.0
25 Mar–1 Apr Termometro Politico 4,000 46.7 21.3 26.8 3.6 1.6 19.9
28 Mar Tecnè 1,002 49.1 21.0 25.0 4.9 24.1
26–27 Mar Index 800 49.2[b] 21.0 29.8[b] — 19.4
26 Mar EMG 1,865 46.8 22.9 27.4 2.9 19.4
26 Mar Noto – 48.0 21.0 25.5 2.0 3.5 22.5
22–25 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 50.9 20.3 25.7 1.5 1.6 25.2
21 Mar Piepoli – 48.0 23.0 23.5 2.0 3.5 24.5
20–21 Mar Euromedia 800 49.2 19.8 25.3 2.2 3.5 23.9
19 Mar EMG 1,785 46.3 23.4 27.5 2.8 18.8
19 Mar Noto – 48.5 21.0 25.0 1.5 4.0 23.5
12 Mar EMG 1,845 45.9 23.8 27.0 3.3 18.9
12 Mar Noto – 48.5 21.0 25.0 1.5 4.0 23.5
12 Mar Piepoli 500 47.0 24.5 23.0 2.5 3.0 22.5
6–7 Mar Tecnè 2,000 48.3 22.2 24.0 5.5 24.3
5 Mar EMG 1,803 46.8 23.2 26.9 3.1 19.9
5 Mar Noto – 48.5 21.0 24.0 1.5 5.0 24.5
1–3 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 49.7 21.6 25.1 1.9 1.7 24.6
27–28 Feb Tecnè 1,000 50.4 22.0 22.8 4.8 27.6
26–28 Feb Ipsos 1,000 49.0 21.2 23.5 2.4 3.9 25.5
22–27 Feb Bidimedia 1,084 46.4 22.7 23.9 2.5 4.5 22.5
26 Feb EMG 1,603 47.5 23.8 25.2 3.5 22.3
25 Feb Piepoli 505 48.0 25.0 22.5 1.5 3.0 23.0
25 Feb Euromedia 800 50.7 21.8 23.1 1.9 2.5 27.6
24–25 Feb Tecnè 1,005 49.6 22.2 22.7 5.5 26.9
19 Feb EMG 1,802 46.9 24.8 24.9 3.4 22.0
19 Feb Noto – 50.5 21.0 22.0 2.0 4.5 28.5
14–17 Feb Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 50.2 23.2 23.2 1.8 1.6 27.0
12 Feb EMG – 46.5 24.6 25.1 3.8 21.4
12 Feb Piepoli 500 46.0 27.0 20.5 3.5 3.0 19.0
12 Feb Euromedia 800 49.8 24.0 20.5 3.4 2.3 25.8
12 Feb Noto – 49.0 22.0 23.0 2.0 4.0 26.0
6–7 Feb Ipsos 1,000 46.9 25.4 21.2 2.2 4.3 21.5
4–7 Feb Tecnè 16,000 48.7 25.1 20.8 5.4 23.6
2–6 Feb Bidimedia 1,113 44.4 24.9 23.6 2.6 4.5 19.5
5 Feb EMG 1,803 45.1 25.1 25.7 4.1 19.4
30 Jan Noto – 47.0 24.0 22.5 2.0 4.5 23.0
29 Jan EMG 1,786 44.8 25.8 25.5 3.9 19.0
29 Jan Piepoli 503 45.5 27.5 20.0 3.0 4.0 18.0
29 Jan Euromedia 800 48.5 24.7 20.6 3.4 2.8 23.8
22 Jan Piepoli 503 45.5 28.0 19.5 2.5 4.5 17.5
22 Jan EMG 1,801 44.4 26.5 24.6 4.5 17.9
15–17 Jan Ipsos 1,000 46.9 25.4 21.5 6.2 21.5
15 Jan EMG 1,794 44.6 26.6 24.8 4.0 18.0
15 Jan Piepoli 505 45.5 28.0 20.0 2.5 4.0 17.5
15 Jan Euromedia 800 47.2 24.7 20.2 3.1 4.8 22.5
15 Jan Noto – 45.5 23.0 22.5 2.5 6.5 22.5
13 Jan Noto – 48.0 23.0 22.5 2.0 4.5 25.0
9–10 Jan Tecnè 2,000 46.8 25.5 21.5 6.2 21.3
7–10 Jan Bidimedia 1,096 43.8 25.6 23.9 2.4 4.3 18.2
8 Jan Piepoli 505 45.5 28.0 20.0 2.5 4.0 17.5
8 Jan EMG 1,540 44.2 26.1 25.5 4.2 18.1

2018

  1. ^ a b After its dissolution on 14 November 2018, some polls might include MDP or SI or both, instead of LeU.
  2. ^ a b Centre-left includes LeU, PaP and other left-wing parties; centre-right includes all other right-wing parties.

Seat projections

Chamber of Deputies

  • 630 seats are available. 316 seats are needed for a majority.
  • In some polls only the 618 constituencies in Italy proper are allocated, while the 12 abroad constituencies are omitted.
Date Polling firm Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU Others Lead Majority
style="background:Template:Centre-right coalition/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Five Star Movement/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Centre-left coalition/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free and Equal (Italy)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Other/meta/color;"|
19 Jul 2019 YouTrend 413 81 122 0 2 291 +97
26 May Bidimedia (EP election) 404 79 135 0 0 269 +88
26 May Cattaneo (EP election) 415 81 122 0 0 293 +99
26 May CISE (EP election) 429 76 132 0 0 297 +113
26 May YouTrend (EP election) 406 78 134 0 0 272 +90
8–11 Apr 2019 Bidimedia
without tossups[a] 		397 106 115 0 0 282 +81
Bidimedia 385 105 113 0 15 272 +69
26 Mar 2019 YouTrend 382 127 107 0 1 255 +66
27 Oct 2018 YouTrend 338 187 90 0 1 149 +22
4 March 2018 General Election 265 227 122 14 2 38 –51

Senate of the Republic

  • 315 seats are available, plus 6 senators for life. 161 seats are needed for a majority.
  • In some polls only the 309 constituencies in Italy proper are allocated, while the 6 abroad constituencies are omitted.
Date Polling firm Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU Others Lead Majority
style="background:Template:Centre-right coalition/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Five Star Movement/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Centre-left coalition/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free and Equal (Italy)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Other/meta/color;"|
19 Jul 2019 YouTrend 208 40 59 0 2 149 +47
26 May YouTrend (EP election) 206 41 60 0 2 146 +45
26 Mar 2019 YouTrend 190 63 55 0 1 126 +29
27 Oct 2018 YouTrend 168 91 45 0 1 73 +7
4 March 2018 General Election 137 112 60 4 2 25 –24
  1. ^ Constituencies are considered tossups if the lead is less than the margin of error.

See also

References

  • "PCM Sondaggi Politico Elettorali" [PCM Political Electoral Opinion Polls] (in Italian). Presidency of the Council of Ministers, Department of Information and Publications. n.d. Retrieved 18 January 2018.


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