Opinion polling for the next Italian general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the years running up to the next Italian general election, which will occur no later than 22 December 2027,[a] various organisations are carrying out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in Italy.[2][3] The date range is from after the 2022 Italian general election, held on 25 September, to the present day. Poll results are reported at the dates when the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; if such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. Under the Italian par condicio (equal conditions) law, publication of opinion polls is forbidden in the last two weeks of an electoral campaign.[4]

Party vote[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

Local regression of polls conducted

Parties or lists are ordered according to their share of the vote in 2022.

2023[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size FdI PD M5S Lega FI A IV AVS +E Italexit UP ISP NM Others Lead
31 May1 Jun Tecnè 1,000 30.0 19.8 15.4 8.9 8.3 4.2 3.0 3.1 2.2 5.1 10.2
26 May1 Jun Lab2101 1,000 29.8 19.3 16.1 9.5 6.8 4.9 2.4 3.2 2.2 2.2 0.7 2.9 10.5
24–29 May SWG 1,200 29.1 21.0 16.3 9.1 6.6 4.0 2.8 3.4 2.4 2.0 1.4 1.0 0.9 8.1
25–26 May Tecnè 1,000 29.7 20.0 15.5 9.0 8.2 4.3 2.8 2.9 2.3 5.3 9.7
25 May EMG 1,435 28.1 20.6 15.4 9.7 6.7 3.3 3.3 2.1 2.8 2.4 1.3 1.1 3.2 7.5
25 May Noto 28.0 21.5 14.0 9.5 7.0 6.5 3.0 2.0 1.5 7.0 6.5
23–25 May Ipsos 1,000 29.6 20.4 15.0 8.2 7.7 3.5 3.0 3.5 1.8 2.4 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.8 9.2
23–25 May Termometro Politico 3,900 29.7 19.3 16.0 9.3 7.4 4.1 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.5 1.4 1.4 1.7 10.4
22–25 May Lab2101 1,000 29.4 19.7 16.4 9.3 6.7 5.1 2.6 3.4 2.4 2.3 0.6 2.1 9.7
17–22 May SWG 1,200 29.7 20.9 16.0 8.8 6.7 4.3 2.7 3.5 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.6 8.8
19 May Euromedia 1,000 29.6 20.8 16.5 9.2 6.5 4.5 3.7 2.5 1.8 2.3 0.6 2.0 8.8
18–19 May Tecnè 1,000 29.4 19.8 15.7 9.1 8.3 4.3 2.7 3.0 2.4 5.3 9.6
15–19 May Lab2101 1,000 29.1 19.9 16.1 9.6 6.8 5.3 2.7 3.3 2.2 2.4 0.8 1.8 9.2
17–18 May Quorum 801 29.4 21.3 16.1 8.2 6.5 3.4 2.4 3.1 1.8 1.6 1.2 5.0 8.1
16–18 May Termometro Politico 4,200 29.5 19.0 16.0 9.4 7.6 4.0 2.4 2.5 2.2 2.5 1.3 1.4 2.2 10.5
17 May Piepoli 30.0 19.0 16.0 9.0 7.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.5 3.5 11.0
16–17 May Noto 1,000 27.5 21.0 14.0 10.0 6.5 4.5 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 7.0 6.5
10–15 May SWG 1,200 29.8 21.3 15.8 8.6 6.8 4.1 2.7 3.4 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.8 8.5
11–12 May Tecnè 1,000 29.3 19.6 15.9 9.0 8.5 4.5 2.6 2.9 2.3 5.4 9.7
9–12 May Lab2101 1,000 29.3 20.2 15.6 9.9 6.8 5.4 2.3 3.1 2.2 2.5 0.5 2.2 9.1
11 May EMG 1,428 28.0 20.5 16.1 9.6 6.5 3.7 3.1 2.5 2.5 2.6 0.9 1.0 3.0 7.5
9–11 May Termometro Politico 4,200 29.3 19.2 16.1 9.3 7.5 4.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 1.3 1.5 2.2 10.1
10 May Proger Index 800 29.5 20.6 15.7 9.0 6.6 4.2 2.7 3.3 2.5 1.9 4.2 8.9
8 May Euromedia 1,000 28.8 19.6 16.2 9.6 6.8 4.6 3.5 2.5 2.2 2.4 0.8 3.0 9.2
3–8 May SWG 1,200 29.5 21.1 15.6 9.0 6.6 4.1 2.8 3.3 2.4 1.8 1.6 2.2 8.4
4–5 May Tecnè 1,000 29.3 19.6 15.7 8.9 8.7 4.6 2.5 3.1 2.4 5.2 9.7
4 May EMG 1,435 28.3 20.0 16.3 9.3 6.5 4.0 3.2 2.7 2.3 2.7 1.0 1.0 2.7 8.3
4 May Piepoli 30.0 19.0 16.5 8.5 7.0 3.5 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 5.0 11.0
3–4 May Quorum 805 28.6 20.8 16.9 8.4 6.4 4.2 2.5 3.0 1.9 1.8 1.0 4.5 7.8
2–4 May Lab2101 1,000 29.2 19.8 15.9 9.8 6.7 5.4 2.3 3.4 2.2 2.5 0.4 2.4 9.4
2–4 May Termometro Politico 4,100 29.6 18.9 16.1 9.3 7.4 4.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.4 1.9 10.7
3 May Proger Index 800 29.1 20.8 15.6 9.0 6.7 4.4 2.6 3.1 2.5 2.0 4.2 8.3
26–30 Apr SWG 1,200 28.8 21.5 15.3 9.0 6.8 4.3 2.5 3.2 2.3 2.1 1.8 2.4 7.3
27–28 Apr Tecnè 1,000 29.4 19.4 15.9 9.0 8.4 4.5 2.6 3.0 2.3 5.5 10.0
27 Apr EMG 1,536 27.8 19.9 16.3 9.3 6.8 4.2 3.4 2.9 2.1 2.7 1.1 1.1 2.4 7.9
26–27 Apr Quorum 804 29.0 20.8 16.6 8.6 6.2 4.1 2.4 3.0 1.8 1.5 1.1 4.9 8.2
26–27 Apr Demos & Pi 1,007 29.3 20.1 15.6 8.2 7.6 4.2 2.4 3.2 2.7 6.7 9.2
25–27 Apr Termometro Politico 3,900 29.6 18.7 15.9 9.5 7.7 4.1 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.4 1.4 1.5 2.0 10.9
24–27 Apr Lab2101 1,000 29.1 20.1 15.8 9.7 6.6 5.5 2.4 3.3 2.3 2.4 0.6 2.2 9.0
26 Apr Euromedia 800 29.0 20.1 15.7 9.5 7.1 4.5 3.9 1.9 2.1 2.3 0.6 3.3 8.9
19–24 Apr SWG 1,200 28.6 21.1 15.4 9.3 6.6 4.4 2.4 3.0 2.4 2.3 1.8 0.8 1.9 7.5
21 Apr Piepoli 30.0 18.0 16.0 8.5 8.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 5.5 12.0
20–21 Apr Tecnè 1,000 29.3 19.6 15.7 9.0 8.3 4.4 2.5 3.1 2.4 5.7 9.7
18–21 Apr Lab2101 1,000 29.3 19.8 15.6 9.8 6.5 5.7 2.5 3.2 2.3 2.4 0.5 2.4 9.5
20 Apr EMG 1,485 27.3 19.9 16.6 9.0 7.2 4.4 3.6 3.0 1.9 2.8 1.3 1.2 1.8 7.4
18–20 Apr Quorum 802 29.4 20.7 16.9 8.7 6.8 3.5 2.1 2.6 2.0 1.8 1.3 4.2 8.7
18–20 Apr Ipsos 1,000 29.0 20.7 16.5 8.0 8.0 5.2 3.3 2.3 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.6 8.3
18–20 Apr Termometro Politico 4,100 29.2 18.7 16.2 9.7 7.5 4.3 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.4 1.5 1.5 1.9 10.5
19 Apr Proger Index 800 29.1 20.5 15.7 9.3 6.4 4.3 2.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 4.7 8.6
18–19 Apr Noto 1,000 28.0 21.0 15.0 10.0 7.0 5.0 2.5 3.0 2.0 1.5 5.0 7.0
18–19 Apr Demopolis 2,000 29.2 20.5 15.0 9.0 6.8 4.3 2.0 3.2 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.5 8.7
12–17 Apr SWG 1,200 29.0 21.0 15.4 9.4 6.3 4.6 2.6 3.1 2.3 2.1 1.9 2.3 8.0
15 Apr Piepoli 29.5 18.0 16.0 8.5 7.5 7.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 4.0 11.5
13–14 Apr BiDiMedia 872 28.5 20.0 15.5 9.5 6.6 5.0 2.5 2.8 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.1 0.8 2.2 8.5
13–14 Apr Tecnè 1,000 29.4 19.6 15.6 8.9 8.3 6.9 3.3 2.3 1.7 4.0 9.8
13 Apr EMG 1,413 27.0 19.5 17.0 9.3 7.4 6.9 2.9 2.0 2.7 1.4 1.2 2.7 7.5
12–13 Apr Quorum 802 28.9 20.3 16.6 8.1 6.8 7.5 3.0 2.1 1.9 0.9 3.9 8.6
11–13 Apr Termometro Politico 4,200 29.6 18.4 16.4 8.9 7.7 7.5 2.3 2.3 2.2 1.3 1.5 1.9 11.2
7–13 Apr Lab2101 1,000 29.1 19.4 15.8 9.7 6.8 7.9 3.4 2.2 2.6 0.6 2.5 9.7
12 Apr Euromedia 1,000 29.6 20.1 15.2 9.3 7.0 7.7 2.1 2.1 2.4 0.5 4.0 9.5
12 Apr Proger Index 800 29.5 20.3 15.6 8.9 6.5 7.8 3.3 2.6 1.9 3.6 9.2
5–10 Apr SWG 1,200 29.3 20.7 15.1 8.8 6.5 7.7 3.2 2.4 1.9 1.9 2.5 8.6
7 Apr Piepoli 29.5 17.5 16.0 8.5 7.0 7.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 5.0 12.0
5–7 Apr Tecnè 1,000 29.7 19.8 15.4 8.7 8.1 7.4 3.1 2.1 1.6 4.1 9.9
6 Apr EMG 1,402 26.6 19.3 16.8 9.6 8.0 6.8 2.7 2.0 2.6 1.4 1.2 3.0 7.3
4–6 Apr Termometro Politico 4,100 29.4 18.4 16.7 8.9 7.5 7.7 2.1 2.3 2.4 1.5 1.4 1.7 11.0
1–6 Apr Lab2101 1,000 29.3 18.7 15.6 9.8 6.5 8.5 3.7 2.1 2.4 0.6 2.8 10.6
5 Apr Proger Index 800 29.8 20.2 15.4 8.7 6.2 8.1 3.2 2.6 1.8 4.0 9.6
29 Mar3 Apr SWG 1,200 29.7 20.4 15.1 8.4 6.2 7.8 3.3 2.6 1.8 1.9 2.8 9.3
30–31 Mar Tecnè 1,000 29.7 20.0 15.5 8.6 7.4 7.3 3.2 2.3 1.7 4.3 9.7
30 Mar EMG 1,333 26.8 19.3 16.5 9.5 8.2 6.9 2.7 2.0 2.6 1.4 1.2 2.9 7.5
29–30 Mar Quorum 805 28.8 20.6 16.4 9.0 6.2 7.3 2.7 2.0 2.2 1.2 3.6 8.2
28–30 Mar Termometro Politico 4,200 29.6 18.5 16.5 9.0 7.4 7.6 2.0 2.2 2.6 1.3 1.5 1.8 11.1
27–30 Mar Ixè 1,000 28.9 21.1 15.5 8.1 6.8 6.7 3.9 1.9 1.6 1.0 4.5 7.8
24–30 Mar Lab2101 1,000 29.7 18.7 15.2 9.6 6.9 9.1 3.7 2.1 2.3 0.6 2.1 11.0
29 Mar Euromedia 1,000 28.7 20.5 15.0 9.0 7.0 8.6 2.8 2.1 2.4 0.5 3.4 8.2
29 Mar Proger Index 800 29.7 20.1 15.6 8.6 6.4 8.3 3.1 2.5 1.7 4.0 9.6
22–27 Mar SWG 1,200 29.6 20.4 15.6 8.0 6.4 8.0 3.4 2.7 1.8 1.7 2.4 9.2
24 Mar Piepoli 30.0 17.5 16.5 9.0 7.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 3.5 12.5
23–24 Mar Tecnè 1,000 30.0 19.8 15.6 8.8 7.2 7.1 3.1 2.4 1.8 4.2 10.2
23 Mar EMG 1,472 27.0 18.9 16.6 9.3 8.5 7.1 2.7 2.2 2.6 1.4 1.3 2.4 8.1
23 Mar Noto 29.0 21.0 14.5 8.5 7.5 8.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 5.5 8.0
22–23 Mar Termometro Politico 4,200 29.4 18.0 16.3 9.0 7.7 7.8 2.2 2.4 2.4 1.4 1.5 1.9 11.4
21–23 Mar Quorum 805 28.9 20.1 15.8 8.8 5.9 7.6 2.8 2.3 2.4 1.3 4.1 8.8
18–23 Mar Lab2101 1,000 30.1 18.4 15.4 9.5 6.7 9.0 3.6 2.2 2.1 0.7 2.2 11.7
21–22 Mar Demopolis 2,000 30.0 20.2 15.0 8.5 6.6 7.3 3.0 9.4 9.8
16–20 Mar Ixè 1,000 28.6 20.1 16.2 8.0 6.2 7.0 4.6 2.0 2.0 0.9 4.4 8.5
15–20 Mar SWG 1,200 30.3 20.4 15.3 8.5 6.3 7.7 3.2 2.5 1.7 1.8 2.3 9.9
16–17 Mar Tecnè 1,000 30.1 19.6 15.8 8.8 7.2 7.2 3.0 2.5 1.7 4.1 10.5
11–17 Mar Lab2101 1,000 30.3 18.0 15.6 9.4 6.9 8.9 3.7 2.1 1.8 0.6 2.7 12.3
16 Mar EMG 1,365 27.1 18.4 16.5 9.5 8.5 7.0 2.9 2.4 2.7 1.4 1.4 2.2 8.7
14–16 Mar Quorum 805 29.0 19.3 15.8 8.5 5.8 7.6 2.9 2.0 2.4 1.5 5.2 9.7
14–16 Mar Ipsos 1,000 30.3 19.0 16.8 8.0 7.2 6.2 3.5 2.0 2.2 1.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 11.3
14–16 Mar Termometro Politico 4,200 29.5 18.0 16.4 9.2 7.5 7.7 2.0 2.3 2.2 1.5 1.6 2.1 11.5
15 Mar Proger Index 800 29.8 19.5 15.8 9.0 6.2 8.1 3.1 2.7 1.9 3.9 10.3
14 Mar Piepoli 30.5 16.5 16.5 9.5 7.5 7.5 2.5 2.0 2.5 1.5 3.5 14.0
13 Mar Euromedia 800 29.2 20.3 15.0 9.4 6.5 8.4 2.6 2.2 2.4 0.5 3.5 8.9
8–13 Mar SWG 1,200 30.3 19.8 16.1 8.8 6.4 7.5 3.2 2.2 1.6 1.7 2.4 10.5
10–11 Mar BiDiMedia 1,034 28.1 18.7 16.0 9.2 7.1 8.4 2.9 2.6 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.9 2.0 9.4
9–10 Mar Tecnè 1,000 30.6 18.6 16.0 8.9 7.4 7.4 2.8 2.4 1.8 4.1 12.0
7–10 Mar Lab2101 1,000 30.1 17.5 15.9 9.2 7.1 8.7 3.9 2.3 1.7 0.7 2.9 12.6
9 Mar EMG 1,324 27.4 17.8 16.5 9.9 8.4 7.0 3.2 2.6 2.5 1.3 1.5 1.9 9.6
7–9 Mar Quorum 805 28.4 18.7 16.0 8.7 5.9 7.7 3.3 1.8 2.5 1.5 5.5 9.7
7–9 Mar Termometro Politico 4,200 29.2 18.0 16.8 9.3 7.2 7.6 2.2 2.3 2.4 1.3 1.6 2.1 11.2
8 Mar Proger Index 800 30.0 18.9 16.0 9.0 6.1 8.0 3.5 2.8 1.9 3.8 11.1
1–6 Mar SWG 1,200 30.7 19.0 15.7 8.8 6.6 8.0 3.0 2.1 1.7 1.8 2.6 11.7
2 Mar EMG 1,302 27.3 18.1 16.2 9.8 8.2 6.8 3.4 2.8 2.3 1.4 1.5 2.2 9.2
2 Mar Tecnè 1,000 30.7 18.0 16.5 8.8 7.5 7.4 2.9 2.6 1.7 3.9 12.7
2 Mar Proger Index 800 30.1 17.8 16.7 8.9 6.0 7.6 4.0 2.9 2.0 4.0 12.3
28 Feb2 Mar Quorum 804 28.7 17.9 15.6 8.7 5.7 7.2 3.3 2.1 2.4 1.8 6.6 10.8
23 Feb2 Mar Lab2101 1,000 29.7 17.3 16.1 9.6 7.2 8.4 4.1 2.5 1.5 0.4 3.2 12.4
28 Feb1 Mar Termometro Politico 4,600 28.9 17.9 16.7 9.2 7.1 7.9 2.0 2.4 2.6 1.5 1.6 2.2 11.0
28 Feb Euromedia 1,000 29.6 19.6 15.6 9.4 6.9 8.3 2.0 2.4 2.5 0.5 3.2 10.0
28 Feb Noto 28.5 19.5 16.5 10.0 7.5 8.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 6.0 9.0
23–27 Feb SWG 1,200 30.7 16.4 17.0 8.7 6.4 7.2 3.8 2.9 2.0 1.7 3.2 13.7
23–24 Feb Tecnè 1,000 31.0 17.2 16.8 9.1 7.7 7.2 3.2 2.5 1.6 3.7 13.8
21–23 Feb Ipsos 1,000 31.0 17.0 17.5 8.6 7.4 6.0 3.5 2.0 2.1 2.0 0.8 1.2 0.9 13.5
23 Feb EMG 1,388 27.7 18.6 16.6 9.4 7.8 7.0 3.2 3.0 2.0 1.3 1.4 2.0 9.1
21–23 Feb Termometro Politico 4,300 28.5 16.6 17.3 9.2 7.5 7.6 2.7 2.7 2.5 1.6 1.7 2.1 11.2
20–23 Feb Lab2101 1,000 29.5 16.2 16.9 9.5 6.9 8.0 4.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 3.8 12.6
22 Feb Proger Index 800 30.5 16.3 17.1 9.2 6.0 7.4 4.0 2.8 2.1 4.6 13.4
20–22 Feb Demos & Pi 1,003 30.5 17.5 17.0 8.5 7.0 7.2 3.3 2.9 6.1 13.0
21 Feb Euromedia 800 29.6 17.5 16.9 9.0 7.7 8.1 3.0 2.4 2.1 0.5 3.2 12.1
15–21 Feb Ixè 1,000 31.1 16.9 17.2 7.6 6.7 6.6 4.2 2.1 1.8 0.9 4.9 13.9
20 Feb Piepoli 510 30.5 15.0 17.0 9.5 7.0 7.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 1.5 4.0 13.5
15–20 Feb SWG 1,200 31.0 15.8 17.0 9.3 6.2 7.4 3.4 2.8 1.9 2.0 3.2 14.0
16–18 Feb Tecnè 1,000 31.1 16.7 17.0 9.2 7.8 7.4 3.1 2.4 1.7 3.6 14.1
14–16 Feb Termometro Politico 4,100 28.7 16.8 17.2 8.9 7.5 7.9 2.8 2.5 2.4 1.5 1.6 2.2 11.5
13–16 Feb Lab2101 1,000 29.4 16.0 17.2 9.6 6.9 8.1 4.0 2.6 1.5 0.5 4.2 12.2
15 Feb Proger Index 800 31.0 15.4 17.5 8.7 6.3 7.6 3.9 2.8 2.2 4.6 13.5
13–14 Feb EMG 1,523 27.8 18.3 17.5 8.8 7.4 7.4 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.3 1.5 2.0 9.5
13 Feb Noto 28.5 16.0 19.0 10.0 7.5 7.5 2.5 2.0 1.5 5.5 9.5
11–13 Feb Tecnè 1,000 30.6 17.1 16.7 9.2 8.0 7.4 3.3 2.5 5.2 13.5
8–13 Feb SWG 1,200 31.0 15.1 17.7 8.9 6.1 7.8 3.6 2.8 2.2 1.7 3.1 14.9
9 Feb Lab2101 1,000 28.9 16.5 17.9 9.3 6.8 9.1 4.0 2.7 1.4 0.5 2.7 12.2
1–6 Feb SWG 1,200 30.6 14.8 17.5 8.7 6.4 8.1 3.5 3.0 2.3 2.0 3.1 13.1
27 Jan3 Feb Lab2101 1,000 28.5 16.6 17.8 9.5 7.0 9.3 3.9 2.8 1.4 0.6 2.6 10.7
2 Feb EMG 1,456 27.5 17.9 17.7 8.7 7.4 7.6 3.4 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.3 2.5 9.6
31 Jan2 Feb Termometro Politico 4,100 28.5 16.5 17.9 8.6 7.0 8.3 2.9 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.6 2.2 10.6
30 Jan2 Feb Ixè 1,000 30.1 16.7 17.9 7.8 7.5 7.0 3.8 2.8 2.7 0.5 3.2 12.2
1 Feb Proger Index 800 30.7 15.2 17.7 8.5 6.6 7.9 4.0 2.9 2.2 4.3 13.0
30 Jan EMG 1,325 27.5 17.7 17.9 8.6 7.2 7.9 3.6 2.4 2.2 1.3 1.3 2.4 9.6
25–30 Jan SWG 1,200 30.4 14.2 17.8 9.0 6.8 8.2 3.6 3.2 2.0 2.0 2.8 12.6
26 Jan Piepoli 30.0 15.0 17.5 9.0 6.5 8.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 3.0 12.5
25–26 Jan Termometro Politico 3,300 28.6 16.6 17.6 8.4 7.4 8.1 2.8 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 2.5 11.0
23–26 Jan Quorum 1,602 29.6 15.8 17.7 8.7 6.7 7.8 3.5 2.3 1.9 1.3 1.5 3.2 11.9
19–26 Jan Lab2101 1,000 28.8 16.9 17.8 9.4 6.9 9.4 3.8 2.8 1.5 0.5 2.2 11.0
25 Jan Proger Index 800 30.5 15.1 17.5 8.2 6.7 7.9 4.0 3.0 2.2 4.9 13.0
25 Jan Noto 28.0 15.0 20.0 10.0 7.0 8.5 3.0 2.0 1.0 5.5 8.0
24–25 Jan Demopolis 2,000 29.0 15.0 17.8 8.3 6.6 7.5 3.2 12.6 11.2
24 Jan Euromedia 800 29.1 17.2 17.0 8.5 7.6 8.6 2.6 2.4 2.5 0.5 4.0 11.9
19 Jan EMG 1,406 27.8 17.4 17.6 8.8 7.0 8.2 3.8 2.3 2.3 1.3 1.4 2.1 10.2
19–23 Jan Ipsos 1,000 30.5 16.4 18.2 8.3 6.8 7.1 4.1 2.0 2.2 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 12.3
18–23 Jan SWG 1,200 30.8 14.0 17.4 8.5 6.6 8.2 3.8 3.1 2.3 1.8 1.0 2.5 13.4
19–20 Jan Tecnè 1,000 31.0 15.5 17.4 9.0 7.7 7.8 3.2 2.6 1.9 3.9 13.6
17–19 Jan Termometro Politico 3,800 29.1 16.4 17.3 8.4 7.2 8.1 3.0 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.5 2.5 11.8
16–18 Jan BiDiMedia 1,200 29.1 16.3 17.1 8.8 6.8 8.2 3.6 2.7 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.9 1.9 12.0
13–18 Jan Lab2101 1,000 28.5 16.5 18.1 9.5 6.7 9.1 3.9 2.7 1.7 0.4 2.9 10.4
11–16 Jan SWG 1,200 31.3 14.2 17.6 8.3 6.4 7.8 3.7 3.0 2.3 1.8 1.0 2.6 13.7
12–13 Jan Tecnè 1,000 31.0 15.2 17.6 9.0 7.6 7.6 3.5 2.5 1.8 4.2 13.4
12 Jan EMG 1,528 28.2 17.1 17.4 9.0 7.0 8.4 3.5 2.1 2.5 1.4 1.4 2.0 10.8
10–12 Jan Termometro Politico 3,700 28.8 16.3 17.5 8.6 7.1 8.0 3.2 2.5 2.4 1.5 1.4 2.7 11.3
06–12 Jan Lab2101 1,000 28.2 16.2 18.2 9.4 6.5 8.9 4.0 2.8 1.8 0.6 3.4 10.0
10–11 Jan Euromedia 1,000 28.2 16.7 17.5 9.0 7.0 8.3 1.9 2.5 2.6 1.0 5.3 10.7
10 Jan Piepoli 30.5 15.0 17.5 9.0 6.5 7.5 3.5 3.0 2.5 1.5 3.5 13.0
4–9 Jan SWG 1,200 31.3 14.0 17.7 8.5 6.9 7.5 3.7 3.0 2.2 1.6 1.1 2.5 13.6
2–5 Jan Lab2101 1,000 29.1 16.4 18.0 9.5 6.4 8.7 3.9 2.7 1.7 0.4 3.2 11.1
4 Jan EMG 1,489 28.6 16.7 17.5 9.2 7.0 8.2 3.5 2.0 2.4 1.5 1.4 2.0 11.1

2022[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size FdI PD M5S Lega FI A–IV AVS +E Italexit UP ISP NM Others Lead
31 Dec Demopolis 30.0 15.5 17.8 8.3 6.7 8.0 3.2 12.2
27–31 Dec Lab2101 1,000 29.0 16.6 18.1 9.3 6.6 8.6 4.0 2.6 1.6 0.5 2.9 10.9
29 Dec EMG 1,434 28.8 16.5 17.3 9.3 7.1 7.9 3.3 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.5 2.1 11.5
27–29 Dec Termometro Politico 3,600 28.7 16.3 17.7 8.4 6.8 8.3 3.3 2.4 2.4 1.7 1.5 2.5 12.4
20–22 Dec Ipsos 1,000 31.7 16.3 17.6 7.8 6.2 7.0 3.8 2.0 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.1 1.1 14.1
20–22 Dec Termometro Politico 3,100 28.7 16.4 17.6 8.5 6.9 8.2 3.2 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.4 2.7 11.1
19–21 Dec Noto 28.5 16.0 18.5 9.5 8.5 8.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 5.0 10.0
19–21 Dec Ixè 1,000 30.3 15.5 18.1 9.1 6.9 7.7 4.3 2.6 2.3 1.0 2.2 12.2
20 Dec Piepoli 29.5 16.5 17.5 8.5 6.0 8.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 1.5 3.5 12.0
19 Dec EMG 1,358 29.3 16.8 17.3 8.9 6.7 7.5 3.2 2.4 2.3 1.8 1.4 2.5 12.0
17–19 Dec BiDiMedia 1,112 29.3 16.1 17.0 8.6 6.9 8.3 3.7 2.7 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.8 1.9 12.3
14–19 Dec SWG 1,200 30.6 14.7 17.4 9.0 6.1 7.8 4.0 2.8 2.2 1.8 3.6 13.2
15–16 Dec Tecnè 1,000 30.8 15.7 17.5 8.8 7.4 7.5 3.4 2.6 1.9 4.4 13.3
15 Dec Euromedia 28.6 15.8 17.2 9.7 7.8 8.5 2.6 2.4 2.5 0.6 4.0 11.4
15 Dec EMG 1,412 29.2 16.8 17.3 8.9 6.7 7.5 3.2 2.4 2.3 1.8 1.4 2.5 11.9
14–15 Dec YouTrend 800 33.0 15.4 16.7 9.1 6.0 8.5 3.1 1.9 2.4 1.8 1.1 1.0 16.3
14–15 Dec Termometro Politico 3,700 28.7 16.8 17.6 8.1 7.0 8.3 3.3 2.4 2.4 1.6 1.3 2.5 11.1
8–12 Dec BiDiMedia 2,018 29.1 16.5 17.2 8.2 7.0 8.1 3.8 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.1 0.7 2.0 11.9
7–12 Dec SWG 1,200 30.8 15.1 17.1 8.5 6.0 8.0 4.1 2.7 2.1 1.6 4.0 13.7
9 Dec Tecnè 1,000 30.5 16.4 17.5 8.7 7.3 7.6 3.5 2.5 1.8 4.4 13.0
8 Dec EMG 1,428 29.2 17.0 17.5 8.7 6.6 7.3 3.2 2.6 2.5 1.9 1.4 2.1 11.7
7–8 Dec Termometro Politico 3,400 28.5 16.8 17.3 8.3 6.9 8.3 3.5 2.5 2.2 1.7 1.5 2.5 11.2
30 Nov5 Dec SWG 1,200 30.8 15.4 16.6 8.1 6.1 8.2 4.0 3.0 2.2 1.7 3.9 14.2
2 Dec Tecnè 1,000 30.4 16.6 17.4 8.5 7.3 7.5 3.3 2.5 1.9 4.6 13.0
1 Dec EMG 1,425 29.0 16.9 17.7 9.1 6.5 7.5 3.4 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.3 1.5 11.3
1 Dec Noto 28.0 17.0 18.0 10.0 8.0 8.0 3.5 2.0 1.5 4.0 10.0
29 Nov1 Dec Termometro Politico 3,900 28.6 16.8 17.5 8.2 6.7 8.4 3.4 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.4 2.6 11.1
30 Nov Euromedia 1,000 28.1 17.4 16.6 9.8 7.3 8.4 3.2 2.3 2.3 0.6 4.0 10.7
23–28 Nov SWG 1,200 30.3 15.8 16.9 7.8 6.5 8.1 4.3 2.8 2.2 1.6 3.7 13.4
25 Nov Tecnè 1,000 30.3 16.4 17.6 8.4 7.2 7.6 3.3 2.6 1.8 4.8 12.7
23–25 Nov BiDiMedia 1,000 28.4 16.7 17.2 8.5 7.5 7.9 3.7 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.6 2.0 11.2
24 Nov EMG 1,585 28.9 16.6 18.0 9.0 6.7 7.7 3.3 2.4 2.6 2.0 1.2 1.6 10.9
22–24 Nov Ipsos 1,000 31.4 17.2 17.5 7.3 6.8 6.8 4.2 2.1 1.7 2.0 1.2 1.2 0.6 13.9
22–24 Nov Termometro Politico 3,800 28.7 17.0 17.1 8.0 6.9 8.4 3.3 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.4 2.8 11.6
23 Nov Euromedia 1,000 28.3 17.2 16.8 9.5 6.7 8.2 3.0 2.5 2.6 0.8 4.4 11.1
21–22 Nov Piepoli 509 29.0 17.5 17.0 8.5 7.0 8.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 2.0 11.5
21–22 Nov Demopolis 2,000 29.0 16.5 17.4 8.7 7.3 7.6 3.5 10.0 11.6
21 Nov EMG 1,489 28.9 16.5 18.0 8.8 6.9 7.5 3.4 2.3 2.5 1.9 1.2 2.1 10.9
16–21 Nov SWG 1,200 30.4 16.2 16.9 7.6 6.4 7.9 4.0 3.0 1.9 1.5 4.2 13.5
18 Nov Tecnè 1,000 30.1 16.4 17.4 8.5 7.2 7.7 3.4 2.5 1.9 4.9 12.7
15–17 Nov Termometro Politico 3,900 28.8 17.0 16.6 8.2 6.6 8.4 3.5 2.7 2.1 1.7 1.5 2.9 11.8
16 Nov Euromedia 1,000 28.5 17.4 16.5 10.2 6.1 8.5 3.3 2.4 2.4 0.5 4.2 11.1
16 Nov Proger Index 800 29.6 16.5 16.8 8.2 6.5 8.0 3.9 3.0 2.3 5.2 12.8
9–14 Nov SWG 1,200 30.1 16.0 17.0 8.1 6.8 8.0 3.8 2.9 2.1 1.3 3.9 13.1
11 Nov Tecnè 1,000 29.4 16.9 17.1 8.4 7.0 7.7 3.5 2.5 2.0 5.5 12.3
10 Nov Noto 29.0 18.5 18.5 9.5 7.0 8.0 4.5 2.0 1.0 2.0 10.5
8–10 Nov Termometro Politico 4,000 28.4 17.4 16.5 8.3 6.6 8.4 3.6 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.4 2.9 11.0
7–10 Nov Demos & Pi 1,001 28.8 16.9 17.3 8.0 7.1 7.6 3.8 2.8 2.0 5.7 11.5
7 Nov EMG 1,483 28.0 16.8 17.5 8.7 7.1 8.0 4.0 2.7 2.5 1.6 1.1 2.0 10.5
2–7 Nov SWG 1,200 29.4 16.0 16.8 7.7 6.3 8.4 4.0 2.7 2.5 1.6 4.6 12.6
4 Nov Tecnè 1,000 29.0 17.1 16.9 8.3 7.0 7.8 3.6 2.7 2.0 5.6 11.9
2–3 Nov Euromedia 1,000 28.7 16.5 17.0 9.0 6.5 8.2 3.5 2.5 2.5 1.0 4.6 11.7
1–3 Nov Termometro Politico 4,200 28.2 17.4 16.5 8.6 6.8 8.4 3.7 2.7 2.0 1.6 1.4 2.7 10.8
2 Nov Piepoli 510 28.0 18.5 16.5 8.0 7.5 8.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 2.5 9.5
26–31 Oct SWG 1,200 29.1 16.3 16.3 7.9 6.5 8.6 4.1 3.0 2.5 1.4 4.3 12.8
28 Oct EMG 1,522 27.6 17.3 17.0 8.4 7.5 8.3 4.0 2.9 2.3 1.4 1.0 2.3 10.3
28 Oct Tecnè 1,000 28.1 17.2 16.8 8.5 7.4 7.9 3.7 2.6 1.9 5.9 10.9
25–27 Oct Ipsos 1,000 29.8 18.8 16.0 8.0 6.1 7.1 3.7 2.9 2.4 2.1 1.0 1.1 1.0 11.0
25–27 Oct Termometro Politico 4,000 28.1 17.8 16.6 8.4 6.8 8.2 3.5 2.7 2.1 1.6 1.4 2.8 10.3
26 Oct Piepoli 516 27.0 18.5 16.5 8.5 8.0 8.5 4.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 3.0 8.5
26 Oct Proger Index 800 28.0 17.6 16.2 8.6 6.8 8.1 4.1 3.2 2.2 5.2 10.4
26 Oct Euromedia 800 28.4 17.0 17.3 9.5 6.7 8.3 3.4 2.6 2.6 0.8 3.4 11.1
19–24 Oct SWG 1,200 28.3 17.0 16.4 8.6 6.2 8.4 4.1 3.1 2.6 1.2 4.1 11.3
21 Oct Tecnè 1,000 28.0 17.5 16.6 8.4 7.6 7.6 3.6 2.7 1.8 6.2 10.5
20 Oct EMG 1,571 27.3 17.7 16.7 8.4 7.6 8.2 3.9 2.9 2.3 1.3 1.0 2.7 9.6
20 Oct BiDiMedia 27.1 18.2 16.2 8.5 7.9 8.2 3.8 2.6 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.7 2.4 8.9
18–20 Oct Termometro Politico 3,400 27.6 17.8 16.3 8.7 7.0 8.2 3.7 2.9 1.9 1.5 1.3 3.1 9.8
17 Oct EMG 1,615 27.2 18.0 16.5 8.5 7.7 8.0 3.8 2.8 2.1 1.2 1.0 3.2 9.2
12–17 Oct SWG 1,200 27.4 17.0 16.7 8.5 7.5 8.1 4.1 3.3 2.5 1.1 3.8 10.4
16 Oct Noto 28.0 18.5 16.0 8.5 8.0 8.0 4.0 2.5 1.0 5.5 9.5
14–15 Oct Euromedia 1,000 27.0 17.5 17.2 8.5 7.3 8.7 3.4 2.5 2.4 1.1 4.4 9.5
8–14 Oct Lab2101 1,000 27.2 17.6 17.4 8.9 7.4 8.3 3.9 2.8 1.9 0.7 3.9 9.6
11–13 Oct Termometro Politico 4,100 27.1 18.4 16.5 8.5 7.5 7.8 3.6 2.8 2.0 1.4 1.4 3.0 8.7
12 Oct Proger Index 800 27.0 17.8 16.1 8.4 8.0 8.0 3.9 3.0 2.2 5.6 9.2
5–10 Oct SWG 1,200 27.5 17.5 17.0 8.3 7.4 8.0 3.8 3.1 2.4 1.0 4.0 10.0
5–6 Oct Termometro Politico 3,700 26.6 18.7 16.0 8.6 7.9 8.0 3.8 2.6 2.1 1.4 1.3 0.7 2.3 7.9
4–6 Oct Demos & Pi 1,004 26.4 17.8 16.8 7.9 8.0 7.8 4.2 3.4 2.1 5.6 8.6
28 Sep3 Oct SWG 1,200 26.8 18.1 16.5 8.2 7.6 8.3 4.0 3.3 2.2 1.2 3.8 8.7
28 Sep Euromedia 800 26.2 19.0 16.2 8.3 8.1 7.9 3.5 2.7 2.4 0.9 4.8 7.2
25 Sep Election results 26.0 19.1 15.4 8.8 8.1 7.8 3.6 2.8 1.9 1.4 1.2 0.9 3.0 6.9

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ While elections in Italy are customarily held on a Sunday or Sunday and Monday, there is no constitutional requirement to do so; the latest possibile date for a general election to be held is the 70th day following the expiration of the Parliament's five-year term.[1]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Constitution of the Italian Republic" (PDF). Parliamentary Information, Archives and Publications Office of the Senate Service for Official Reports and Communication. Archived (PDF) from the original on 1 September 2022. Retrieved 19 February 2022.
  2. ^ "Sondaggi, dopo elezioni crescono FdI e M5s, Pd e Lega in calo". Sky TG24 (in Italian). 14 October 2022. Retrieved 19 October 2022.
  3. ^ Massaro, Barbara (18 October 2022). "Gli ultimi sondaggi: le intenzioni di voto". Panorama (in Italian). Retrieved 19 October 2022.
  4. ^ "Diffusione dei sondaggi" (in Italian). AGCOM. Archived from the original on 7 September 2022. Retrieved 3 November 2022.

External links[edit]