Opinion polling for the next Italian general election

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In the run-up to the next Italian general election, various organisations have been carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention.

Results of such opinion polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous general election, held on 4 March 2018, to the present day.

Party vote[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

6-point average trend line of poll results from 4 March 2018 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.
  M5S
  PD
  LN
  FI
  FdI
  LeU
  +E
  NcI

2018[edit]

Date Polling firm Sample size M5S PD LN FI FdI LeU +E NcI PaP Other Lead Govt parties[a] Other
11–16 Jul SWG 1,500 29.7 18.0 30.1 8.4 3.9 2.5 1.8 1.9 3.7 0.4 59.8 40.2
7–13 Jul Bidimedia 769 29.0 18.9 28.2 8.3 4.0 2.8 2.1 1.0 1.5 4.2 0.8 57.2 42.8
5–13 Jul Termometro Politico 3,400 29.0 18.5 30.3 7.9 3.1 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.5 4.4 1.3 59.3 40.7
9 Jul Piepoli 506 29.0 18.0 28.0 12.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.5 5.5 1.0 57.0 43.0
4–9 Jul SWG 1,500 29.0 17.8 30.5 7.7 4.3 2.3 2.3 1.9 4.2 1.5 59.5 40.5
6–8 Jul EMG 1,526 30.0 17.5 27.5 10.2 4.4 3.5 1.6 0.9 1.8 2.6 2.5 57.5 42.5
27 Jun–2 Jul SWG 1,500 28.7 17.8 29.8 8.2 4.3 2.7 2.1 2.1 4.3 1.1 58.5 41.5
7 Jun–2 Jul Quorum 2,181 28.1 19.3 27.7 9.9 4.0 0.9 10.1 0.4 55.8 44.2
26–27 Jun Ipsos 997 29.8 18.9 31.2 8.3 2.3 2.3 2.8 0.4 4.0 1.4 61.0 39.0
25 Jun Piepoli 508 29.0 18.0 28.0 12.5 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.5 5.0 1.0 57.0 43.0
20–25 Jun SWG 1,500 29.4 18.8 29.7 8.4 3.8 2.4 1.7 1.9 3.9 0.3 59.1 40.9
23–24 Jun EMG 1,784 30.8 17.7 27.2 9.9 4.3 3.4 1.9 1.2 1.9 1.7 3.6 58.0 42.0
19–24 Jun Bidimedia 896 28.6 19.2 27.7 8.9 4.0 2.3 1.7 0.9 1.7 5.0 0.9 56.3 43.7
20 Jun Tecnè 1,000 27.5 19.6 27.9 11.0 3.3 2.9 7.8 0.4 55.4 44.6
19–20 Jun Demopolis 1,500 29.0 19.0 28.0 10.0 3.8 2.5 7.7 1.0 57.0 43.0
19–20 Jun Euromedia 800 28.0 16.8 28.3 12.4 4.2 3.0 1.8 0.3 5.2 0.3 56.3 43.7
19 Jun Noto 27.0 20.0 29.0 9.0 3.5 3.0 2.0 0.5 6.0 2.0 56.0 44.0
18–19 Jun Piepoli 504 29.0 18.0 27.0 13.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.5 5.5 2.0 56.0 44.0
13–18 Jun SWG 1,500 29.0 18.8 29.2 9.2 4.1 2.2 2.0 1.5 4.0 0.2 58.2 41.8
14–16 Jun Ixè 1,000 28.5 19.7 28.0 9.5 4.1 3.0 2.0 0.4 1.7 3.1 0.5 56.5 43.5
11–15 Jun Termometro Politico 2,300 29.5 21.2 28.7 8.1 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.1 1.2 3.3 0.8 58.2 41.8
12–13 Jun Ipsos 1,000 29.9 18.6 30.1 8.7 2.9 2.6 2.0 0.6 4.6 0.2 60.0 40.0
12–13 Jun Euromedia 800 29.0 17.5 27.3 12.3 4.3 2.3 1.8 0.3 5.2 1.7 56.3 43.7
12 Jun Tecnè 1,001 28.4 19.4 25.6 11.2 3.6 3.1 8.7 2.8 54.0 46.0
11–12 Jun Piepoli 506 30.0 18.5 25.5 13.5 3.5 1.5 2.0 0.5 5.0 4.5 55.5 44.5
6–11 Jun SWG 1,500 31.5 18.4 27.0 8.6 3.9 2.3 1.9 1.8 4.6 4.5 58.5 41.5
6 Jun Index 800 29.2 19.4 26.7 10.0 3.2 2.2 0.3 9.0 2.5 55.9 44.1
4 Jun Piepoli 614 31.5 18.5 24.0 14.0 3.0 1.5 2.0 0.5 5.0 7.5 55.5 44.5
30 May–4 Jun SWG 1,500 30.9 18.5 27.2 8.8 3.7 2.3 2.2 0.6 1.6 4.2 3.7 58.1 41.9
1–3 Jun EMG 1,784 32.0 19.6 22.3 12.0 5.2 3.6 1.6 0.7 1.5 1.5 9.7 54.3 45.7
30–31 May Ipsos 1,002 30.1 19.2 28.5 9.0 3.9 3.1 2.0 0.5 3.7 1.6 58.6 41.4
30–31 May Index 800 29.0 19.2 26.5 10.1 3.5 1.9 0.3 9.5 2.5 55.5 44.5
29–31 May Termometro Politico 6,000 32.2 19.1 26.7 9.9 3.1 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.9 4.0 5.5 58.9 41.1
29–30 May Demopolis 1,500 30.0 19.0 26.0 11.0 4.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 56.0 44.0
29 May Piepoli 505 31.5 19.0 24.0 13.5 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 5.0 7.5 55.5 44.5
29 May Euromedia 800 33.7 17.0 23.7 12.5 3.8 2.1 2.0 0.4 4.8 10.0 57.4 43.6
29 May Tecnè 806 31.0 17.3 25.0 12.5 3.5 3.0 7.7 6.0 56.0 44.0
28 May Noto 29.0 17.0 25.0 12.0 3.5 3.5 2.0 0.5 7.5 4.0 54.0 46.0
23–28 May Bidimedia 976 32.4 18.1 24.7 9.8 3.6 2.3 1.8 1.1 1.6 4.6 7.7 57.1 42.9
23–28 May SWG 2,100 29.5 19.4 27.5 8.0 3.8 2.7 2.4 0.7 1.9 4.1 2.0 57.0 43.0
22–24 May EMG 1,549 32.6 18.1 21.1 13.4 4.9 3.7 1.4 0.6 2.1 2.1 11.5 53.7 46.3
23 May Index 800 30.0 18.8 22.5 13.2 4.2 2.1 0.5 8.7 7.5 52.5 47.5
22–23 May Demopolis 1,500 32.5 17.0 24.0 11.0 4.0 2.7 8.8 8.5 56.5 43.5
22 May Noto 30.0 16.5 25.0 12.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 0.5 7.0 5.0 55.0 45.0
16–20 May SWG 1,500 31.1 19.1 24.5 9.7 4.7 2.6 1.8 0.6 1.8 4.1 6.6 55.6 44.4
17–18 May Demos 1,006 31.1 17.6 22.1 13.2 3.7 2.8 2.5 7.0 9.0 53.2 46.8
16–18 May Tecnè 2,000 31.6 18.2 23.2 12.8 3.8 2.8 7.6 8.4 54.8 45.2
17 May Piepoli 31.5 19.0 21.0 14.0 4.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 6.5 10.5 52.5 47.5
16–17 May Ipsos 1,000 32.6 18.1 25.4 12.0 3.4 2.4 1.8 0.6 3.7 7.2 58.0 42.0
15–17 May EMG 1,745 31.9 18.1 21.8 12.9 4.8 3.7 1.5 0.6 2.6 2.1 10.1 53.7 46.3
16 May Index 800 30.1 19.0 21.8 13.5 4.2 2.1 0.5 8.8 8.3 51.9 48.1
16 May Euromedia 800 31.2 17.5 22.3 13.8 4.2 3.0 1.6 0.5 5.9 8.9 53.5 46.5
15 May Noto 32.5 16.5 22.0 13.0 4.0 2.5 2.0 0.5 7.0 10.5 54.5 45.5
9–13 May SWG 1,500 32.1 19.0 25.5 9.8 3.8 2.8 1.8 0.4 1.6 3.2 6.6 57.6 42.4
10–11 May Ixè 1,000 31.5 17.8 22.0 12.2 4.1 3.4 1.8 0.5 2.1 4.6 9.5 53.5 46.5
10 May Piepoli 32.0 19.0 21.0 13.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 6.5 11.0 53.0 47.0
9–10 May Demopolis 1,500 34.0 17.5 23.0 10.0 4.0 2.8 8.7 11.0 57.0 43.0
9–10 May Euromedia 800 32.1 18.0 22.8 12.8 3.9 2.9 1.6 0.6 5.3 9.3 54.9 45.1
8–10 May EMG 1,611 30.8 18.0 23.2 12.2 4.8 4.3 1.5 0.5 2.4 2.3 7.6 54.0 46.0
8 May Tecnè 998 32.0 17.9 22.6 12.9 4.0 3.1 7.5 9.8 54.6 45.4
7 May Piepoli 504 32.0 19.0 21.0 13.0 4.0 2.5 1.5 0.5 6.5 11.0 53.0 47.0
5–6 May Tecnè 1,500 32.1 17.7 22.3 13.0 4.0 3.0 7.9 9.8 54.4 45.6
3–6 May SWG 1,500 32.3 19.0 24.4 9.4 4.4 3.0 1.5 0.3 1.5 4.2 7.9 56.7 43.3
4 May Noto 35.0 15.5 22.5 12.0 4.0 2.5 8.5 12.5 57.5 42.5
2–3 May EMG 1,683 31.5 17.5 23.5 11.8 4.6 3.9 1.4 0.8 2.0 3.0 8.0 55.0 45.0
2–3 May Ipsos 1,000 33.7 18.3 21.2 13.1 3.6 2.8 2.2 0.9 4.2 12.5 54.9 45.1
2 May Piepoli 32.0 18.5 21.0 13.0 4.0 2.5 2.0 1.0 6.0 11.0 53.0 47.0
2 May Index 800 33.2 18.1 22.9 12.2 3.9 2.0 0.5 2.2 10.3 56.1 43.9
30 Apr Tecnè 1,600 31.8 17.6 22.8 12.6 4.4 3.3 7.5 9.0 54.6 45.4
30 Apr Piepoli 505 33.0 18.0 21.0 13.0 4.0 2.5 2.0 1.0 5.5 12.0 54.0 46.0
30 Apr Euromedia 800 32.8 18.0 21.8 12.4 4.1 3.1 2.2 0.6 5.0 11.0 54.6 45.4
24–30 Apr Bidimedia 906 34.4 17.1 20.8 11.6 4.6 2.4 2.0 1.2 1.8 4.1 13.6 55.2 44.8
26–27 Apr Demos 1,005 32.9 17.8 21.6 12.6 3.8 3.0 2.1 6.2 11.3 54.5 45.5
24–26 Apr EMG 1,627 34.5 17.6 22.0 12.5 4.4 3.2 1.3 0.9 1.8 1.8 12.5 56.5 43.5
23–25 Apr SWG 2,000 34.3 17.8 23.7 9.9 3.9 2.8 1.7 0.5 1.8 3.6 10.6 58.0 42.0
23 Apr Piepoli 500 34.0 17.5 19.5 14.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 6.5 14.5 53.5 46.5
20 Apr Tecnè 1,000 33.5 18.1 21.8 12.6 4.0 2.8 7.2 11.7 55.3 44.7
18–19 Apr Ipsos 998 33.5 19.5 19.5 12.9 4.3 2.7 2.2 0.8 4.6 14.0 53.0 47.0
18 Apr Index 800 34.0 17.9 22.6 12.0 3.8 2.0 0.4 7.3 11.4 56.6 43.4
16–18 Apr SWG 2,000 33.0 18.9 23.2 10.4 4.4 2.4 2.0 0.7 1.5 3.5 9.8 56.2 43.8
17 Apr Noto 36.0 16.5 21.0 11.5 4.5 2.5 1.5 1.0 5.5 15.0 57.0 43.0
16 Apr Piepoli 505 34.5 17.5 19.5 13.5 3.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 6.5 15.0 54.0 46.0
13 Apr Euromedia 1,000 34.1 17.8 20.7 12.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.5 5.4 13.4 54.8 45.2
11 Apr Index 800 34.1 18.3 22.9 11.8 3.7 2.0 0.4 6.8 11.2 57.0 43.0
9–11 Apr Ixè 1,000 34.0 16.6 21.0 12.2 4.6 3.6 1.4 0.6 2.4 3.6 13.0 55.0 45.0
9–11 Apr SWG 2,000 32.6 19.3 23.5 10.1 4.1 2.7 1.8 0.6 1.8 3.5 9.1 56.1 43.9
9 Apr Euromedia 1,000 34.2 17.8 19.5 12.5 4.1 3.1 2.2 0.5 6.1 14.7 53.7 46.3
9 Apr Piepoli 508 35.0 17.5 19.5 14.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 5.5 15.5 54.5 45.5
5 Apr Index 800 34.3 18.2 23.0 11.6 3.6 2.0 0.5 6.8 11.3 57.3 42.7
3–4 Apr SWG 2,000 34.5 19.0 22.4 9.9 3.8 2.5 1.8 0.8 1.7 3.6 12.1 56.9 43.1
3 Apr Tecnè 998 34.0 18.5 19.8 13.2 3.9 2.4 1.9 6.3 14.2 53.8 46.2
2–3 Apr Demopolis 1,500 35.0 17.8 20.0 12.5 4.5 3.0 7.2 15.0 55.0 45.0
28 Mar Euromedia 800 34.6 17.6 19.4 12.5 4.5 3.2 1.4 1.0 5.8 15.2 54.0 46.0
28 Mar Piepoli 510 34.0 17.5 19.0 13.5 4.0 2.5 2.0 1.0 6.5 15.0 53.0 47.0
28 Mar Index 800 34.6 17.7 23.5 11.2 3.4 2.0 0.4 7.2 11.1 58.1 41.9
27–28 Mar Ipsos 1,000 33.9 18.8 19.2 13.1 4.2 3.0 2.3 0.9 4.6 14.7 53.1 46.9
26–28 Mar SWG 2,000 34.1 18.4 21.0 12.1 4.2 2.6 2.0 0.5 1.6 3.5 13.1 55.1 44.9
21–25 Mar Bidimedia 860 33.5 18.0 19.6 12.9 4.4 3.0 1.9 1.2 1.1 4.4 13.9 53.1 46.9
21 Mar Index 800 34.9 17.5 23.5 10.9 3.3 2.1 0.6 7.2 11.4 58.4 41.6
19–21 Mar SWG 2,000 35.2 19.0 21.6 10.1 3.9 2.4 1.7 0.8 1.5 3.8 13.6 56.8 43.2
20 Mar Tecnè 802 34.2 19.0 19.2 13.6 4.2 2.5 2.2 5.1 15.0 53.4 46.6
19 Mar Piepoli 508 33.5 18.0 18.0 13.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 15.5 51.5 48.5
19 Mar Euromedia 800 33.4 18.0 18.8 13.4 4.2 3.3 1.6 1.2 6.1 14.6 52.2 47.8
12–15 Mar Demos 1,246 33.8 18.4 18.2 12.8 4.8 4.2 2.2 5.6 15.4 52.0 48.0
13–14 Mar SWG 1,000 34.5 18.0 22.3 10.5 3.1 2.8 1.7 1.0 2.0 4.1 12.2 56.8 43.2
12 Mar Piepoli 512 34.0 18.5 18.0 14.0 4.0 3.0 2.5 1.0 5.0 15.5 52.0 48.0
4 Mar 2018 General Election 32.7 18.8 17.4 14.0 4.4 3.4 2.6 1.3 1.1 4.3 13.9 50.1 49.9

a The incumbent government is the Conte Cabinet, it is supported by M5S and LN and was sworn in on 1 June 2018.

Coalition vote[edit]

2018[edit]

Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU Others Lead
7–13 Jul Bidimedia 769 41.5 29.0 22.4 2.8 4.3 12.5
5–13 Jul Termometro Politico 3,400 42.7 29.0 21.9 2.0 4.4 13.7
9 Jul Piepoli 506 43.5 29.0 20.5 2.0 5.0 14.5
6–8 Jul EMG 1,526 43.0 30.0 20.3 3.5 3.2 13.0
7 Jun–2 Jul Quorum 2,181 42.5 28.1 21.9 7.5 14.4
26–27 Jun Ipsos 997 42.2 29.8 22.5 2.3 3.2 12.4
25 Jun Piepoli 508 44.0 29.0 20.5 2.0 4.5 15.0
23–24 Jun EMG 1,784 42.6 30.8 20.5 3.4 2.7 11.8
19–24 Jun Bidimedia 896 41.5 28.6 22.1 2.3 5.5 12.9
20 Jun Tecnè 1,000 43.5 27.5 23.7 2.9 2.4 16.0
19–20 Jun Euromedia 800 45.2 28.0 19.5 3.0 4.3 17.2
18–19 Jun Piepoli 504 43.5 29.0 20.5 2.0 5.0 14.5
14–16 Jun Ixè 1,000 42.0 28.5 22.6 3.0 3.9 13.5
11–15 Jun Termometro Politico 2,300 40.7 29.5 24.4 2.3 3.1 11.2
12–13 Jun Ipsos 1,000 42.3 29.9 20.9 2.6 4.3 12.4
12–13 Jun Euromedia 800 44.2 29.0 20.3 2.3 4.2 15.2
12 Jun Tecnè 1,001 41.7 28.4 23.9 3.1 2.9 13.3
11–12 Jun Piepoli 506 43.0 30.0 21.5 1.5 4.0 13.0
6 Jun Index 800 40.2 29.2 22.0 2.2 6.4 11.0
4 Jun Piepoli 614 41.5 31.5 21.5 1.5 4.0 10.0
30 May–4 Jun SWG 1,500 40.3 30.9 21.9 2.3 4.6 9.4
1–3 Jun EMG 1,784 40.2 32.0 22.0 3.6 2.2 8.2
30–31 May Ipsos 1,002 41.9 30.1 21.8 3.1 3.1 11.3
30–31 May Index 800 40.4 29.0 22.2 1.9 6.5 11.4
29–31 May Termometro Politico 6,000 40.7 32.2 22.0 1.6 3.5 8.5
29 May Piepoli 505 41.5 31.5 22.5 1.5 3.0 10.0
29 May Euromedia 800 40.4 33.7 20.0 2.1 3.8 6.7
29 May Tecnè 806 42.3 31.0 20.0 3.0 3.7 11.3
28 May Noto 41.0 29.0 20.0 3.5 6.5 12.0
23–28 May Bidimedia 976 39.2 32.4 21.1 2.3 5.0 6.8
23–28 May SWG 2,100 40.0 29.5 23.0 2.7 4.8 10.5
22–24 May EMG 1,549 40.0 32.6 20.5 3.7 3.2 7.4
23 May Index 800 40.4 30.0 21.9 2.1 5.6 10.4
22 May Noto 41.5 30.0 20.0 2.5 6.0 11.5
16–20 May SWG 1,500 39.5 31.1 22.1 2.6 4.7 8.4
16–18 May Tecnè 2,000 40.6 31.6 20.8 2.8 4.2 9.0
17 May Piepoli 39.5 31.5 22.0 2.0 5.0 8.0
16–17 May Ipsos 1,000 41.4 32.6 20.7 2.4 2.9 8.8
15–17 May EMG 1,745 40.1 31.9 20.4 3.7 3.9 8.2
16 May Index 800 40.0 30.1 22.1 2.1 5.7 9.9
16 May Euromedia 800 40.8 31.2 20.3 3.0 4.7 9.6
15 May Noto 39.5 32.5 19.5 2.5 6.0 7.0
9–13 May SWG 1,500 39.5 32.1 21.6 2.8 4.0 7.4
10–11 May Ixè 1,000 38.8 31.5 20.6 3.4 5.7 7.3
10 May Piepoli 38.5 32.0 22.5 2.5 4.5 6.5
9–10 May Euromedia 800 40.1 32.1 20.7 2.9 4.2 8.0
8–10 May EMG 1,611 40.7 30.8 20.3 4.3 3.9 9.9
8 May Tecnè 998 40.4 32.0 20.6 3.1 3.9 8.4
7 May Piepoli 504 38.5 32.0 22.5 2.5 4.5 6.5
5–6 May Tecnè 1,500 40.3 32.1 20.0 3.0 4.6 8.2
3–6 May SWG 1,500 38.5 32.3 21.7 3.0 4.5 6.2
4 May Noto 39.0 35.0 18.5 2.5 5.0 4.0
2–3 May EMG 1,683 40.7 31.5 19.7 3.9 4.2 9.2
2–3 May Ipsos 1,000 38.8 33.7 21.5 2.8 3.2 5.1
2 May Piepoli 39.0 32.0 22.0 2.5 4.5 7.0
2 May Index 800 39.5 33.2 21.1 2.0 4.2 6.3
30 Apr Tecnè 1,600 40.7 31.8 19.8 3.3 4.4 8.9
30 Apr Piepoli 505 39.0 33.0 21.5 2.5 4.0 6.0
30 Apr Euromedia 800 38.9 32.8 21.3 3.1 3.9 6.1
24–30 Apr Bidimedia 906 38.2 34.4 20.2 2.4 4.8 3.8
24–26 Apr EMG 1,627 39.8 34.5 19.7 3.2 2.8 5.3
23–25 Apr SWG 2,000 38.0 34.3 20.6 2.8 4.3 3.7
23 Apr Piepoli 500 38.0 34.0 20.5 2.0 5.5 4.0
20 Apr Tecnè 1,000 39.4 33.5 20.7 2.8 3.6 5.9
18–19 Apr Ipsos 998 37.5 33.5 22.7 2.7 3.6 4.0
18 Apr Index 800 38.8 34.0 20.9 2.0 4.3 4.8
16–18 Apr SWG 2,000 38.7 33.0 21.9 2.4 4.0 5.7
17 Apr Noto 38.0 36.0 19.0 2.5 4.5 2.0
16 Apr Piepoli 505 37.5 34.5 20.5 2.0 5.5 3.0
13 Apr Euromedia 1,000 37.7 34.1 21.2 3.0 4.0 3.6
11 Apr Index 800 38.8 34.1 21.3 2.0 3.8 4.7
9–11 Apr Ixè 1,000 38.4 34.0 18.7 3.6 5.3 4.4
9–11 Apr SWG 2,000 38.3 32.6 21.9 2.7 4.5 5.7
9 Apr Euromedia 1,000 36.6 34.2 21.4 3.1 4.7 2.4
9 Apr Piepoli 508 38.0 35.0 20.5 2.0 4.5 3.0
5 Apr Index 800 38.7 34.3 21.2 2.0 3.8 4.4
3–4 Apr SWG 2,000 36.9 34.5 21.7 2.5 4.4 2.4
28 Mar Euromedia 800 37.4 34.6 20.1 3.2 4.7 2.8
28 Mar Piepoli 510 37.5 34.0 20.9 2.5 5.1 3.5
28 Mar Index 800 38.5 34.6 20.7 2.0 4.2 3.9
27–28 Mar Ipsos 1,000 37.4 33.9 22.1 3.0 3.6 3.5
26–28 Mar SWG 2,000 37.8 34.1 21.5 2.6 4.0 3.7
21–25 Mar Bidimedia 860 38.1 33.5 21.1 3.0 4.3 4.6
21 Mar Index 800 38.3 34.9 20.5 2.1 4.2 3.4
19–21 Mar SWG 2,000 36.4 35.2 21.9 2.4 4.1 1.2
19 Mar Piepoli 508 36.5 33.5 21.4 3.0 5.6 3.0
19 Mar Euromedia 800 37.6 33.4 21.2 3.3 4.5 4.2
13–14 Mar SWG 1,000 36.9 34.5 20.7 2.8 5.1 2.4
12 Mar Piepoli 512 37.0 34.0 22.5 3.0 3.5 3.0
4 Mar 2018 General Election 37.0 32.7 22.9 3.4 4.0 4.3

References[edit]