Opinion polling for the next Italian general election

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In the run-up to the next Italian general election, which will occur no later than 28 May 2023, various organisations have been carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention.

Results of such opinion polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous general election, held on 4 March 2018, to the present day. Poll results are reported at the dates when the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Party vote[edit]

Starting from the beginning of 2019, some polling agencies have polled Free and Equal (LeU), others The Left (LS), some others both. The two electoral lists, one for the 2018 general election and the other for the 2019 European Parliament election, have slightly different but partially overlapping compositions: the former includes Article One (Art.1), the latter the Communist Refoundation Party (PRC), while both include Italian Left (SI). Some polls also give data separately for Art.1 and SI.

Graphical summary[edit]

6-point average trend line of poll results starting from 4 March 2018, with each line corresponding to a political party.
  M5S
  PD
  Lega
  FI
  FdI
  LeU/LS
  +Eu
  NcI
  PaP
  EV
  C!
  A
  IV

2021[edit]

Date Polling firm Sample size M5S PD Lega FI FdI LS[a] +Eu EV C! A IV Other Lead
15–18 Jan Demopolis 2,000 15.5 20.8 23.0 8.0 17.0 3.7 2.8 2.6 6.6 2.2
14–18 Jan SWG 1,200 15.8 20.1 22.3 6.4 16.5 4.0 2.2 2.0 4.3 2.7 3.7 2.2
14 Jan Index 800 14.6 19.2 23.7 6.8 16.9 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.1 3.7 3.5 2.5 4.5
14 Jan Noto 14.0 19.5 24.0 7.5 17.0 2.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 3.5 3.5 8.0 4.5
13–14 Jan Ipsos 1,000 16.3 19.9 23.1 10.2 15.0 3.5 2.5 1.5 3.3 2.4 2.3 3.2
10–13 Jan BiDiMedia 1,555 12.9 21.8 23.5 7.5 16.4 3.2 1.4 1.7 0.7 3.1 2.7 5.1 1.7
12 Jan EMG 1,684 13.9 19.8 24.0 7.4 16.2 2.7 2.2 2.2 1.0 3.6 4.2 2.8 4.2
11–12 Jan Euromedia 1,000 14.1 19.4 23.2 7.5 15.5 2.8 2.2 1.6 4.2 3.0 6.5 3.8
11 Jan Tecnè 800 14.1 20.0 23.4 10.5 16.6 3.1 1.9 1.5 3.1 2.8 3.0 3.4
7–11 Jan SWG 1,200 14.7 19.4 23.2 5.9 17.2 3.8 2.1 2.4 1.0 4.1 2.9 3.3 3.8
2–5 Jan Lab2101 1,000 14.4 20.4 25.7 6.9 16.6 3.6 1.7 1.8 3.2 2.7 3.0 5.3
4 Jan Tecnè 1,000 14.0 20.1 23.2 10.4 16.8 3.2 1.8 1.5 3.2 2.9 2.9 3.1

2020[edit]

Date Polling firm Sample size M5S PD Lega FI FdI LS[a] +Eu EV C! A IV Other Lead
28–31 Dec Lab2101 1,000 14.7 20.7 25.5 7.0 16.3 3.7 1.6 1.7 3.3 2.6 2.9 4.8
28 Dec EMG 1,672 13.9 20.0 24.3 7.3 16.2 2.8 2.1 2.2 1.1 3.7 4.4 2.0 4.3
21 Dec Euromedia 800 14.5 20.5 23.8 7.0 15.0 3.0 2.1 1.6 3.3 2.5 6.7 3.3
16–21 Dec SWG 1,200 14.3 20.4 23.4 6.3 16.7 3.6 2.4 2.0 1.2 3.7 2.8 3.2 3.0
18 Dec Tecnè 1,000 14.2 20.6 23.5 8.1 17.0 3.4 2.0 1.6 3.3 3.1 3.2 2.9
17–18 Dec Quorum – YouTrend 502 15.0 20.7 23.2 7.5 16.1 3.3 1.8 1.6 3.1 3.1 4.6 2.5
16–17 Dec Ipsos 1,000 16.0 20.2 23.5 9.3 16.0 3.0 1.9 1.8 3.0 3.0 2.3 3.3
15–17 Dec Termometro Politico 2,100 14.3 20.3 25.4 6.2 16.2 3.1 1.4 1.1 0.6 3.3 3.2 5.5 5.1
13–16 Dec BiDiMedia 1,398 12.7 22.0 22.9 7.0 16.8 3.0 1.5 1.8 0.6 3.0 3.2 5.5 0.9
15 Dec Euromedia 800 14.8 19.3 24.0 6.8 15.5 2.8 2.0 1.5 3.4 3.7 6.2 4.7
14 Dec EMG 1,664 14.0 20.3 24.5 7.3 16.3 2.8 2.0 2.0 1.1 3.5 4.4 1.8 4.2
14 Dec Tecnè 1,000 14.3 20.4 23.8 8.1 17.2 3.4 1.9 1.5 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.4
9–14 Dec SWG 1,200 14.8 20.1 23.9 5.9 16.8 3.3 2.1 2.1 1.0 3.8 3.1 3.1 3.8
11 Dec Tecnè 1,000 14.2 20.3 23.7 8.2 17.1 3.5 1.9 1.5 3.3 3.0 3.3 3.4
10–11 Dec Quorum – YouTrend 503 14.6 20.7 23.8 7.4 16.0 3.4 1.9 1.5 3.3 3.0 4.5 3.1
8–10 Dec Termometro Politico 2,300 14.5 20.3 25.0 6.2 16.4 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.6 3.2 3.2 5.1 4.7
7–10 Dec Demos & Pi 1,002 15.5 21.5 22.5 7.4 16.6 3.4 2.4 2.9 2.5 5.3 1.0
7–10 Dec Ixè 1,000 15.6 21.9 23.2 8.3 16.0 3.2 1.9 1.5 2.1 2.5 3.8 1.3
7–8 Dec EMG 1,684 14.0 20.4 24.4 7.2 16.3 2.7 1.9 2.0 1.0 3.6 4.4 2.1 4.0
2–7 Dec SWG 1,200 14.7 20.4 24.3 6.2 16.4 3.5 2.2 2.0 1.0 3.4 3.2 2.7 3.9
4 Dec Tecnè 1,000 14.4 20.5 23.2 8.2 17.0 3.4 1.8 1.6 3.4 3.1 3.4 2.7
3–4 Dec Quorum – YouTrend 502 14.9 20.7 23.5 7.4 16.0 3.2 2.0 1.7 3.2 3.1 4.3 2.8
1–3 Dec Termometro Politico 2,300 14.2 20.4 25.8 6.1 15.9 3.0 1.5 1.2 0.5 3.4 3.1 4.9 5.4
2 Dec Noto 1,000 14.0 21.0 25.0 7.0 16.0 2.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 3.5 4.0 3.5 4.0
1 Dec EMG 1,418 14.0 20.2 24.5 7.3 16.2 2.7 1.9 2.0 1.2 3.6 4.3 2.1 4.3
25–30 Nov SWG 1,200 15.0 19.8 24.4 6.2 16.4 3.4 2.1 2.3 1.2 3.5 3.0 2.7 4.6
27 Nov Tecnè 1,000 14.6 20.8 23.0 8.2 16.9 3.4 1.9 1.5 3.3 3.2 3.2 2.2
26–27 Nov Quorum – YouTrend 502 15.2 20.4 23.0 7.1 15.9 3.4 2.4 1.6 3.2 3.2 4.6 2.6
25–27 Nov Quorum – YouTrend 805 15.2 20.6 23.4 7.0 16.0 3.1 1.8 1.3 2.9 3.0 5.7 2.8
25–26 Nov Ipsos 1,000 15.0 20.6 25.5 8.0 15.5 3.2 1.9 2.0 3.0 2.8 2.5 4.9
24–26 Nov Termometro Politico 2,300 14.5 20.5 24.6 6.4 16.6 2.9 1.3 1.1 3.3 3.1 5.7 4.1
22–25 Nov BiDiMedia 1,484 13.5 22.1 24.0 6.8 16.0 3.0 1.5 1.8 0.5 2.8 3.2 4.8 1.9
23–24 Nov Demoskopea 1,000 14.2 20.0 23.5 6.7 17.5 3.0 3.5 2.0 3.5 3.0 3.1 3.5
23 Nov EMG 1,321 14.3 20.3 24.4 7.1 16.4 2.5 1.8 1.8 1.2 3.8 4.3 2.1 4.1
18–23 Nov SWG 1,200 15.6 20.3 23.3 6.4 16.2 3.7 2.0 2.0 1.1 3.6 2.9 2.9 3.0
18–21 Nov Ixè 1,000 15.6 21.7 22.3 8.1 16.3 2.6 1.8 1.3 2.3 2.7 5.3 0.6
19–20 Nov Quorum – YouTrend 500 15.0 20.3 23.4 6.9 15.4 3.6 2.6 1.8 3.2 3.0 4.8 3.1
19–20 Nov Tecnè 1,000 14.4 20.6 23.2 7.9 17.1 3.5 2.0 1.4 3.5 3.3 3.1 2.6
17–19 Nov Termometro Politico 2,300 14.3 20.9 25.1 6.1 16.2 2.7 1.3 1.3 3.3 2.8 6.0 4.2
18 Nov Euromedia 800 15.5 19.1 23.8 6.6 15.5 2.8 2.0 1.3 3.3 3.5 6.6 4.7
11–16 Nov SWG 1,200 15.3 19.9 23.0 6.2 16.7 3.6 2.4 1.8 1.3 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.1
15–16 Nov Tecnè 1,000 14.5 20.7 23.4 7.8 17.1 3.3 1.8 1.6 3.3 3.4 3.1 2.7
13 Nov Tecnè 1,000 14.5 20.7 23.4 7.9 17.1 3.3 1.9 1.5 3.3 3.4 3.0 2.7
12–13 Nov Quorum – YouTrend 502 15.4 20.8 23.8 6.9 15.7 3.4 2.2 1.7 2.9 3.0 4.2 3.0
11–12 Nov Termometro Politico 2,300 14.6 20.5 24.9 5.8 16.2 3.0 1.7 1.3 3.1 3.0 5.9 4.4
10 Nov EMG 1,488 14.3 20.0 24.8 6.8 16.3 2.7 1.8 1.8 1.2 3.7 4.3 2.3 4.8
9–10 Nov Demopolis 1,500 15.4 21.0 23.5 6.5 15.4 3.6 2.7 2.8 9.1 2.5
4–9 Nov SWG 1,200 14.9 20.4 23.3 6.0 16.1 3.8 2.6 2.0 1.1 3.1 3.5 3.2 2.9
6 Nov Index 800 15.2 20.7 23.8 6.4 16.2 3.5 2.3 1.8 1.2 3.1 3.2 2.6 3.1
6 Nov Tecnè 1,000 14.4 20.6 23.5 7.8 17.0 3.4 1.8 1.4 3.4 3.5 3.2 2.9
5–6 Nov Quorum – YouTrend 502 16.0 20.9 24.0 6.4 16.1 3.3 2.2 2.8 3.0 5.3 3.1
2 Nov EMG 1,425 14.6 20.2 24.8 6.7 16.0 2.8 1.7 1.7 1.2 3.7 4.4 2.2 4.6
28 Oct–2 Nov SWG 1,200 15.0 20.8 23.8 6.2 15.7 3.6 2.4 1.7 1.2 3.2 3.3 3.1 3.0
29–30 Oct Tecnè 1,000 14.4 20.8 23.8 7.6 17.1 3.3 1.7 1.5 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.0
29–30 Oct Quorum – YouTrend 503 15.7 20.8 24.5 6.1 15.8 3.8 1.9 3.1 2.9 5.4 3.7
27–30 Oct Lab2101 814 15.8 21.8 25.1 6.4 16.0 3.0 1.4 1.4 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.3
29 Oct Index 800 15.4 20.5 23.5 6.4 16.5 3.6 2.2 1.9 1.3 3.0 3.1 2.6 3.0
28–29 Oct Ipsos 1,000 15.9 20.7 24.5 7.9 15.9 2.8 2.3 1.9 3.0 2.9 2.2 3.8
26–28 Oct Demos & Pi 1,017 15.7 21.5 23.0 7.3 16.2 3.3 2.3 2.4 2.6 5.7 1.5
26–28 Oct Ixè 1,000 15.8 21.6 22.4 7.7 16.9 2.5 1.5 1.4 2.4 2.8 5.0 0.8
25–28 Oct BiDiMedia 1,492 14.3 22.1 25.0 6.1 15.7 3.1 1.5 1.7 0.6 2.5 2.9 4.5 2.9
27 Oct EMG 1,525 14.8 20.5 25.0 6.3 16.0 2.8 1.5 1.6 1.1 3.5 4.4 2.5 4.5
27 Oct Euromedia 800 15.1 19.5 24.0 5.5 15.6 2.6 2.2 1.5 3.8 4.1 6.1 4.5
21–26 Oct SWG 1,200 15.4 20.4 23.3 6.4 16.2 3.8 2.3 1.9 1.2 3.0 3.2 2.9 2.9
23 Oct Quorum – YouTrend 500 16.0 20.4 24.8 6.6 16.1 3.4 1.7 2.8 2.7 5.5 4.4
22–23 Oct Tecnè 1,000 14.5 21.0 24.1 7.4 17.0 3.2 1.6 1.6 3.1 3.4 3.1 3.1
20–21 Oct EMG 1,672 14.9 20.8 25.2 6.4 15.7 2.9 1.5 1.5 1.0 3.6 4.3 2.2 4.4
20 Oct Demopolis 1,500 15.2 20.8 24.2 6.0 15.0 3.5 2.8 3.0 9.5 3.4
20 Oct Euromedia 800 15.5 20.0 24.7 6.2 14.7 2.7 2.1 1.4 3.9 3.0 5.8 4.7
19–20 Oct Demoskopea 1,000 16.0 20.5 24.5 6.0 16.4 3.2 2.3 2.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0
14–19 Oct SWG 1,200 15.2 20.5 24.3 6.1 15.7 3.7 2.1 1.7 1.1 3.2 3.4 3.0 3.8
16 Oct Quorum – YouTrend 500 16.1 20.8 25.1 6.7 15.5 3.5 1.5 0.7 2.5 2.6 5.0 4.3
15–16 Oct Tecnè 1,000 14.7 21.3 24.0 7.5 16.9 3.1 1.7 1.5 2.8 3.2 3.3 2.7
13 Oct EMG 1,725 14.8 21.0 25.1 6.4 15.7 2.9 1.4 1.6 1.1 3.5 4.4 2.1 4.1
7–12 Oct SWG 1,200 15.5 20.5 24.4 5.9 16.0 3.5 2.3 1.8 1.4 3.1 3.0 2.6 3.9
8–9 Oct Quorum – YouTrend 506 15.3 21.3 25.5 6.7 16.5 3.5 2.0 0.4 3.2 2.1 3.5 4.2
8–9 Oct Tecnè 1,000 15.2 20.8 24.0 7.6 16.8 3.0 1.8 1.6 2.6 3.4 3.2 3.2
8 Oct Index 800 15.8 20.8 24.2 6.2 16.3 3.5 2.0 1.8 1.4 3.0 2.9 2.1 3.4
8 Oct Noto 15.0 20.5 25.5 6.0 15.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 3.0 4.0 5.0 5.0
7–8 Oct Termometro Politico 2,500 14.8 21.5 26.0 6.0 14.3 2.8 1.4 1.5 3.5 2.6 5.6 4.5
5–8 Oct Lab2101 1,000 15.0 23.5 26.7 6.0 15.1 3.6 1.3 1.5 3.1 3.0 1.2 3.2
6 Oct EMG 1,718 14.5 21.1 25.3 6.3 15.7 2.7 1.5 1.6 1.0 3.4 4.3 2.6 4.2
5–6 Oct Ixè 1,000 16.7 22.1 23.0 6.9 15.6 2.6 1.9 1.4 2.1 2.0 5.7 0.9
30 Sep–5 Oct SWG 1,200 15.2 20.8 24.8 6.0 15.8 3.4 2.0 1.6 1.3 3.3 2.8 3.0 4.0
2 Oct Index 800 16.0 20.5 24.0 6.1 16.2 3.5 2.0 2.0 1.4 3.1 3.0 2.2 3.5
1–2 Oct Tecnè 1,000 15.5 20.4 24.1 8.0 16.7 3.2 1.9 1.5 2.4 3.3 3.0 3.7
30 Sep–1 Oct Termometro Politico 2,500 14.6 21.3 26.3 5.7 14.5 3.1 1.5 1.3 3.4 2.7 5.6 5.0
23–29 Sep Lab2101 1,000 14.9 23.3 26.4 6.2 15.6 3.5 1.4 1.7 3.0 3.1 0.9 3.1
23–28 Sep SWG 1,200 16.0 20.1 23.8 5.8 15.8 3.5 2.1 1.9 1.5 3.4 3.0 3.1 3.7
23–24 Sep Ipsos 1,000 18.6 19.3 24.0 6.8 16.7 2.2 1.4 2.4 3.0 3.1 2.5 4.7
23–24 Sep Termometro Politico 2,500 14.8 21.0 26.5 5.5 14.4 3.0 1.7 1.4 3.3 2.9 5.5 5.5
21–24 Sep BiDiMedia 1,415 14.0 22.2 25.5 5.9 15.4 2.8 1.4 1.8 0.5 2.6 3.1 4.8 3.3
19–21 Sep Tecnè 5,009 15.7 20.1 26.2 7.5 16.1 2.5 1.8 1.6 1.8 3.5 3.2 6.1
2–3 Sep Termometro Politico 2,600 14.4 20.5 27.3 5.9 14.6 2.8 1.5 1.4 3.1 2.8 5.7 6.8
29–31 Aug Tecnè 2,000 16.3 19.8 24.6 7.8 16.5 3.1 1.8 1.6 2.6 2.6 3.3 4.8
26–31 Aug SWG 1,200 15.8 20.0 26.3 6.3 14.4 3.7 2.0 2.0 1.1 3.2 3.2 2.0 6.3
26–27 Aug Termometro Politico 2,600 14.4 20.4 27.3 6.2 14.4 2.7 1.4 1.2 3.4 3.0 5.6 6.9
23–27 Aug BiDiMedia 1,661 15.2 21.0 26.2 6.1 14.4 3.0 1.5 1.6 0.4 2.4 3.1 5.1 5.2
24–26 Aug Demos & Pi 1,014 16.2 20.7 24.5 7.2 15.4 3.5 2.3 2.1 2.7 5.4 3.8
13–14 Aug Demoskopea 1,002 19.9 20.5 23.5 6.3 15.5 3.2 2.3 2.1 3.3 3.3 0.1 3.0
5–6 Aug Termometro Politico 2,100 14.5 20.2 27.4 5.8 14.7 2.8 1.3 1.4 3.0 3.2 5.7 7.2
3–4 Aug Euromedia 1,000 16.0 20.5 24.9 6.8 14.9 2.1 1.6 1.3 0.8 3.8 2.9 4.4 4.4
29 Jul–3 Aug SWG 1,200 16.4 19.6 26.5 6.0 14.2 3.6 1.8 1.9 1.2 3.3 3.1 2.4 6.9
30–31 Jul Tecnè 1,000 15.8 20.2 24.4 8.4 16.3 3.1 2.0 1.6 2.5 2.5 3.2 4.2
29–30 Jul Termometro Politico 2,000 14.9 20.5 27.1 5.5 14.2 3.0 1.6 1.2 3.2 2.9 5.9 6.6
28–30 Jul Ixè 1,000 16.7 21.9 22.7 7.9 14.5 3.6 2.5 1.5 2.2 2.2 4.3 0.8
22–27 Jul SWG 1,200 16.0 19.8 26.3 6.2 13.9 3.8 2.1 1.8 1.3 3.1 3.0 2.7 6.5
23–24 Jul Tecnè 1,000 15.4 20.3 24.7 8.3 16.0 3.0 2.1 1.5 2.7 2.6 3.4 4.4
22–23 Jul Termometro Politico 2,200 14.6 20.4 27.6 5.7 14.1 2.9 1.4 1.5 3.0 3.1 5.7 7.2
22–23 Jul Ipsos 1,000 18.9 19.6 23.1 6.9 18.0 2.9 1.3 2.9 2.5 2.5 1.4 3.5
21–22 Jul Demopolis 1,500 16.0 21.0 25.4 6.5 15.0 3.4 2.5 3.2 7.0 4.4
20–21 Jul Ixè 1,000 15.8 21.8 23.7 7.9 13.9 3.4 2.6 1.6 2.1 2.3 4.9 1.9
20 Jul Euromedia 15.8 20.8 26.5 6.0 13.5 2.1 1.6 1.2 0.8 3.6 3.4 4.7 5.7
15–20 Jul SWG 1,200 15.6 19.3 26.5 6.0 14.2 3.6 2.4 1.9 1.2 3.3 3.0 3.0 7.2
16–17 Jul Tecnè 1,000 15.0 20.2 24.9 8.3 16.0 2.9 1.9 1.6 2.9 2.7 3.6 4.7
15–16 Jul Termometro Politico 2,200 14.9 20.7 27.8 5.5 14.4 2.6 1.4 1.4 3.2 2.8 5.3 7.1
13 Jul Analisi Politica 1,000 16.0 21.0 26.0 7.0 14.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 5.0
8–13 Jul SWG 1,200 15.3 19.6 26.3 6.3 14.5 3.7 2.2 1.7 1.1 3.1 3.2 3.0 6.7
6–7 Jul Ixè 1,000 15.4 22.0 23.9 7.2 13.8 3.0 3.1 1.9 1.6 2.6 5.5 1.9
5–6 Jul Tecnè 1,000 14.8 20.2 25.6 8.2 15.8 2.5 1.7 1.7 2.8 3.1 3.6 5.4
1–6 Jul SWG 1,200 15.7 20.0 26.6 5.9 14.0 3.8 2.0 1.8 1.3 3.2 2.9 2.8 6.6
3–5 Jul Lab2101 837 16.7 22.4 26.6 6.4 14.4 3.4 1.4 1.7 2.9 3.4 0.7 4.2
2–3 Jul Tecnè 1,000 14.6 20.2 25.5 8.2 15.9 2.5 1.7 1.8 2.9 3.0 3.7 5.3
1–2 Jul Termometro Politico 2,900 14.9 20.8 27.9 5.8 14.2 2.6 1.8 1.5 3.3 2.8 4.4 7.1
30 Jun–2 Jul BiDiMedia 1,496 15.0 21.4 26.6 5.9 14.1 2.6 1.5 1.7 0.4 2.6 3.5 4.7 5.2
24–29 Jun SWG 1,200 16.0 20.3 26.6 5.6 14.2 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.2 2.9 3.0 2.2 6.3
26 Jun Euromedia 16.0 20.2 25.5 7.3 13.6 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.7 3.5 3.4 4.7 5.3
25–26 Jun Tecnè 1,000 14.5 19.8 25.8 8.2 16.0 2.6 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.9 4.0 6.0
24–26 Jun Demopolis 1,500 15.8 21.2 26.0 6.0 15.0 3.4 2.5 3.2 6.9 4.8
25 Jun Noto 17.0 19.5 28.5 7.0 14.0 1.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 3.0 3.5 2.5 9.0
24–25 Jun Termometro Politico 2,400 15.3 20.5 28.4 5.9 14.5 3.5 1.7 1.3 3.2 2.9 2.8 7.9
23–25 Jun Ipsos 1,000 18.0 20.4 24.0 7.2 16.3 2.3 1.4 1.9 2.8 2.9 2.8 3.6
23 Jun EMG 1,623 16.1 20.0 26.8 6.8 14.4 2.0 1.6 1.8 3.6 4.8 2.1 6.8
22–23 Jun Ixè 1,000 15.6 22.2 23.8 7.5 14.0 2.4 2.7 2.0 1.2 3.0 5.6 1.6
17–22 Jun SWG 1,200 15.9 19.3 26.9 6.0 13.6 3.8 2.5 2.4 1.5 3.1 2.9 2.1 7.6
18–19 Jun Tecnè 1,000 14.5 19.7 25.9 8.3 15.9 2.5 1.6 2.0 2.8 3.0 3.8 6.2
17–18 Jun Termometro Politico 2,900 15.0 20.3 28.8 5.6 14.7 2.3 1.5 1.5 2.9 3.3 4.1 8.5
17–18 Jun Euromedia 800 15.6 19.6 25.5 7.9 13.2 2.6 1.6 1.2 0.4 3.6 3.5 5.3 5.9
15–17 Jun Demos & Pi 1,006 16.8 21.2 25.2 7.3 14.3 3.7 2.8 2.2 2.5 4.0 4.0
16 Jun EMG 1,546 16.4 19.9 26.6 6.7 14.0 2.3 1.5 1.8 3.4 4.9 2.5 6.7
15–16 Jun Ixè 1,000 16.1 22.0 24.3 7.9 14.2 2.0 2.2 2.2 0.9 2.7 5.5 2.3
15 Jun Euromedia 15.5 19.7 24.7 7.9 13.4 2.9 1.8 1.5 0.8 3.7 3.3 4.8 5.0
10–15 Jun SWG 1,200 16.2 19.0 26.9 6.1 14.1 3.7 2.3 2.2 1.3 3.0 2.9 2.3 7.9
11–12 Jun Tecnè 1,000 14.8 19.8 25.9 8.4 15.5 2.6 1.8 1.7 3.0 2.9 3.6 6.1
11 Jun Noto 16.0 19.5 28.0 7.5 14.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 8.5
10–11 Jun Ipsos 1,200 17.1 21.3 23.5 7.0 17.5 2.4 1.2 1.5 2.7 2.3 3.5 2.2
10–11 Jun Termometro Politico 2,200 14.8 20.8 28.3 5.9 15.0 2.5 1.4 1.3 2.9 3.0 4.1 7.5
9–11 Jun BiDiMedia 1,617 15.3 20.8 27.2 6.1 13.4 2.8 1.7 1.7 0.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 6.4
9–10 Jun EMG 1,624 16.0 20.0 26.8 7.0 14.2 2.1 1.4 1.6 3.0 5.0 2.9 6.8
8–9 Jun Ixè 1,000 17.2 21.4 25.0 7.6 14.4 2.0 1.7 2.3 1.5 1.9 5.0 3.6
3–8 Jun SWG 1,200 15.8 19.1 27.3 5.6 14.4 4.0 2.2 2.1 1.1 2.7 3.0 2.7 8.2
4–5 Jun Tecnè 1,000 14.9 20.0 26.2 8.2 15.4 2.5 1.9 1.6 2.7 2.8 3.8 6.2
4 Jun Euromedia 800 15.8 19.7 25.3 7.8 13.7 2.8 1.8 1.6 0.7 3.4 3.2 4.2 5.6
3–4 Jun Termometro Politico 3,300 15.2 20.8 28.8 5.6 14.5 2.2 1.6 1.5 2.7 3.2 3.9 8.0
1–2 Jun EMG 1,762 15.8 20.3 27.2 6.9 14.5 2.2 1.5 1.6 2.6 4.6 2.8 6.9
27 May–1 Jun SWG 1,200 16.0 19.5 27.0 6.0 13.9 3.7 2.4 1.9 1.1 2.8 3.0 2.7 7.5
27–30 May Quorum – YouTrend 1,009 15.5 21.6 26.2 6.5 15.0 2.7 2.3 0.1 2.4 3.1 4.6 4.6
26–30 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,590 14.4 22.0 27.5 5.9 15.9 2.3 0.9 1.7 2.4 2.5 4.5 5.5
28–29 May Tecnè 1,000 15.0 20.3 26.0 8.2 15.0 2.7 1.8 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.7 5.7
28 May Index 800 15.5 21.2 25.4 6.9 14.5 3.5 2.1 2.0 1.1 2.9 2.5 2.4 4.2
27–28 May Termometro Politico 3,300 15.3 21.1 29.5 5.7 14.0 2.4 1.4 1.3 2.3 3.5 3.5 8.4
26 May EMG 1,758 15.7 20.6 27.1 6.8 14.6 2.2 1.5 1.7 2.6 4.7 2.5 6.5
25–26 May Ixè 1,000 17.5 20.9 25.3 7.4 14.3 2.4 1.6 2.4 1.5 1.5 5.2 4.4
24–25 May Tecnè 1,000 15.2 20.8 25.8 8.1 14.9 2.7 1.7 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.5 5.0
20–25 May SWG 1,200 15.7 20.2 26.9 6.3 14.5 3.4 2.1 1.7 1.3 2.9 2.7 2.3 6.7
21–22 May Tecnè 1,000 15.1 20.7 25.9 8.1 14.9 2.8 1.6 1.6 2.4 3.3 3.6 5.2
21 May Euromedia 800 15.5 20.5 24.9 7.7 14.5 2.8 1.8 1.2 0.5 3.4 2.7 4.5 4.4
23 Apr–21 May Ipsos 1,000 16.7 21.2 24.3 7.4 16.2 1.8 1.3 1.8 2.2 3.0 4.1 3.1
20–21 May Euromedia 2,000 15.4 20.8 24.6 7.8 14.0 2.8 1.6 1.5 0.8 3.2 3.0 4.5 3.8
20–21 May Termometro Politico 2,700 15.0 21.5 29.2 5.9 14.1 2.5 1.3 1.5 2.3 3.3 3.4 7.7
19 May EMG 1,725 15.4 20.9 26.9 6.8 14.3 2.3 1.6 1.8 2.6 5.0 2.4 6.0
18–19 May Ixè 1,000 17.2 21.6 24.6 7.2 14.7 2.5 1.6 2.2 1.8 2.1 4.5 3.0
13–18 May SWG 1,200 16.0 20.6 27.0 5.7 14.0 3.7 2.2 1.5 1.1 2.6 3.0 2.6 6.4
14–16 May Piepoli 15.0 21.5 28.5 6.5 13.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 2.0 4.0 4.5 7.0
14–15 May Tecnè 1,000 15.2 20.8 26.2 8.1 14.7 2.7 1.6 1.7 2.0 3.4 3.6 5.4
14 May Noto 15.0 21.0 27.0 7.0 14.0 2.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 6.0
14 May Index 15.3 21.6 25.8 6.7 14.1 3.4 2.0 2.0 1.1 2.5 3.2 2.3 4.2
13–14 May Termometro Politico 3,300 14.8 21.6 29.4 6.2 14.3 2.7 1.5 1.1 2.2 3.0 3.2 7.8
12–14 May BiDiMedia 1,781 15.0 21.9 26.8 6.3 13.1 2.8 1.6 1.6 0.6 2.1 3.6 4.6 4.9
12–13 May Demopolis 1,500 16.0 21.0 26.0 6.0 14.2 3.5 3.0 10.3 5.0
12–13 May EMG 1,623 15.4 20.8 27.3 6.6 14.2 2.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 5.0 2.5 6.5
11–12 May Ixè 1,000 16.9 22.0 24.6 7.5 14.2 3.0 2.1 1.8 2.0 2.6 3.3 2.6
6–11 May SWG 1,200 16.7 19.5 27.8 6.0 14.6 3.1 2.0 1.8 1.1 2.5 2.7 2.2 8.3
7–8 May Tecnè 1,000 14.9 20.9 26.6 8.0 14.6 2.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 3.5 3.4 5.7
7 May Index 800 14.9 21.6 26.1 6.6 13.7 3.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.5 3.5 2.6 4.5
6–7 May Termometro Politico 3,600 15.0 21.4 29.5 6.0 14.0 2.6 1.5 1.3 2.0 2.9 3.8 8.1
6 May Euromedia 800 15.2 21.3 26.0 7.3 14.0 2.4 1.7 1.4 0.7 2.5 2.8 4.7 4.7
5–6 May EMG 1,589 15.1 20.7 27.9 6.4 13.9 2.2 1.5 2.1 2.3 5.0 2.9 7.2
4–5 May Ixè 1,000 16.8 22.9 24.9 7.2 13.8 2.8 2.1 2.0 1.1 2.6 3.8 2.0
4 May Piepoli 1,000 19.0 22.0 25.0 6.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 3.0
29 Apr–4 May SWG 1,200 16.2 20.2 27.3 5.3 14.9 3.3 1.9 1.8 1.0 2.5 3.0 2.6 7.1
30 Apr Noto 15.0 21.5 27.5 7.0 14.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 4.0 2.5 6.0
30 Apr Tecnè 1,000 14.3 21.0 27.2 8.0 14.4 2.7 1.7 1.9 1.9 3.6 3.3 6.2
29–30 Apr Demopolis 1,500 16.5 21.0 27.0 5.6 14.0 3.4 3.0 9.5 6.0
29–30 Apr Termometro Politico 4,400 14.7 21.6 29.8 5.9 13.9 2.4 1.3 1.5 2.1 3.2 3.6 8.2
28–30 Apr Demos & Pi 1,006 16.3 21.8 26.6 6.2 13.6 3.6 2.0 2.5 2.2 5.2 4.8
29 Apr Index 800 14.7 21.6 26.6 6.8 13.2 3.8 2.0 1.9 1.0 2.4 3.8 2.2 5.0
28–29 Apr EMG 1,635 14.7 20.7 28.4 6.6 13.7 2.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 5.1 2.5 7.7
27–28 Apr Ixè 1,000 16.4 22.9 25.6 7.9 12.0 3.2 2.0 2.3 1.2 2.9 3.6 2.7
22–27 Apr SWG 1,200 15.4 20.3 28.2 6.1 13.8 3.4 2.1 1.9 1.0 2.3 3.4 2.1 7.9
23–24 Apr Tecnè 1,000 14.0 21.1 27.9 7.7 14.3 2.8 1.6 1.8 2.0 3.4 3.4 6.8
22–23 Apr Ipsos 1,000 18.6 21.3 25.4 7.5 14.1 2.0 1.7 1.9 1.4 3.1 3.0 4.1
22–23 Apr Termometro Politico 2,200 14.2 21.8 30.1 5.7 13.9 2.3 1.5 1.5 2.4 3.3 3.3 8.3
21–23 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,643 14.1 22.4 29.2 5.6 13.5 2.4 1.3 1.7 2.8 3.3 3.7 6.8
21–22 Apr EMG 1,789 14.7 20.9 28.8 6.1 13.8 2.4 1.7 1.9 2.3 5.1 2.3 7.9
20–21 Apr Ixè 1,000 16.4 22.9 25.9 7.7 12.5 3.6 1.5 2.1 1.0 1.9 4.5 3.0
15–20 Apr SWG 1,200 14.4 20.0 29.5 5.8 13.3 3.5 2.0 1.9 1.3 2.6 3.1 2.6 9.5
16–17 Apr Tecnè 1,000 14.0 21.4 28.3 7.3 14.5 3.0 1.4 1.9 1.6 3.0 3.6 6.9
16 Apr Index 14.7 21.8 27.0 6.3 12.9 3.9 2.0 1.8 0.7 2.3 4.5 2.1 5.2
15–16 Apr Euromedia 800 14.7 21.0 27.5 6.4 13.8 2.3 1.5 1.6 1.0 2.2 3.2 4.8 6.5
15–16 Apr Termometro Politico 3,400 14.9 22.2 30.5 5.3 13.2 2.6 1.1 1.3 2.1 3.2 3.6 8.3
14–16 Apr BiDiMedia 1,441 14.8 21.4 27.6 5.8 12.9 2.8 1.8 1.8 0.5 2.2 3.7 4.7 6.2
14–15 Apr EMG 1,802 15.1 21.1 29.2 5.9 13.7 2.3 1.7 1.8 2.3 5.0 1.9 8.1
8–13 Apr SWG 1,200 14.2 19.9 29.7 5.3 12.8 3.8 2.4 2.1 1.3 2.4 3.6 2.5 9.8
9–10 Apr Tecnè 1,000 14.1 21.8 28.5 7.0 14.5 2.8 1.5 1.8 1.7 2.8 3.5 6.7
9 Apr Index 14.6 22.1 26.9 6.2 12.9 3.8 2.1 1.8 0.5 2.2 4.5 2.4 4.8
8–9 Apr Termometro Politico 2,200 14.2 21.9 30.8 5.7 12.8 2.3 1.3 1.7 2.5 3.5 3.3 8.9
7–8 Apr EMG 1,756 15.0 21.4 29.1 5.7 13.8 2.2 1.8 1.8 2.2 5.0 2.0 7.7
6–7 Apr Ixè 1,000 16.0 22.6 26.0 7.5 12.5 3.5 1.8 2.2 1.0 2.0 4.9 3.4
1–6 Apr SWG 1,200 14.5 20.1 30.7 5.2 12.0 3.5 2.3 2.3 1.1 2.5 3.4 2.4 10.6
2–3 Apr Tecnè 1,000 13.7 21.8 29.0 6.9 14.4 2.7 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.9 3.6 7.2
2 Apr Index 14.5 21.9 27.5 6.2 12.8 3.7 2.0 1.9 0.6 2.1 4.5 2.3 5.6
1–2 Apr Termometro Politico 2,200 13.8 21.8 30.8 5.6 12.7 2.4 1.5 1.5 2.8 3.2 3.9 9.0
31 Mar–1 Apr EMG 1,802 14.7 21.3 30.3 5.8 13.1 2.1 1.8 1.8 1.9 5.0 2.2 9.0
30–31 Mar Ixè 1,000 15.6 22.6 26.2 7.4 12.8 3.9 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.9 4.2 3.6
25–30 Mar SWG 1,200 14.9 19.2 31.0 5.3 12.3 3.3 2.2 2.2 1.0 2.7 3.3 2.6 11.8
26–27 Mar Tecnè 1,000 13.6 22.0 28.9 6.9 14.2 2.6 1.7 1.6 1.7 3.1 3.7 6.9
25–26 Mar Termometro Politico 2,200 13.6 21.7 32.1 5.0 11.8 2.1 1.5 1.5 2.8 3.4 4.5 10.4
24–26 Mar Ipsos 1,000 15.3 20.6 31.1 6.8 13.3 2.1 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.5 3.3 10.5
25 Mar Euromedia 800 14.5 21.5 27.7 6.7 13.5 2.1 1.8 1.3 0.4 2.3 3.5 4.7 6.2
24–25 Mar EMG 1,756 14.9 21.0 30.1 6.0 12.7 2.3 1.9 1.7 1.9 5.3 2.2 9.1
23–24 Mar Ixè 1,000 15.1 22.9 26.5 7.0 12.7 3.5 2.6 1.6 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.9 3.6
18–23 Mar SWG 1,200 13.8 20.3 30.2 5.7 11.8 3.7 2.2 2.3 1.3 2.6 3.2 2.9 9.9
19–21 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 2,000 12.8 23.1 30.6 5.0 13.7 3.1 1.5 2.2 2.0 2.8 3.2 7.5
19–20 Mar Tecnè 1,000 13.7 22.3 28.6 6.8 14.1 2.6 1.8 1.7 1.8 3.0 3.6 6.3
19 Mar Noto 14.0 21.5 29.5 5.7 14.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.3 2.0 4.0 4.5 8.0
18–19 Mar Termometro Politico 2,200 14.5 20.9 31.2 5.5 12.1 2.4 1.4 1.6 2.4 4.1 3.9 10.3
17–18 Mar EMG 1,812 14.7 21.3 29.7 6.3 12.5 2.5 1.8 1.8 1.9 5.4 2.1 8.4
16–17 Mar Demos & Pi 1,028 14.6 21.0 28.8 5.9 13.5 3.5 2.3 2.0 3.3 5.1 7.8
16–17 Mar Ixè 1,000 14.9 22.5 27.0 6.6 13.0 3.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 1.0 2.4 4.1 4.5
11–16 Mar SWG 1,200 13.2 20.5 31.0 5.3 12.0 3.5 2.4 2.2 1.2 2.9 3.2 2.6 10.5
12–13 Mar Tecnè 1,000 13.7 22.0 28.7 6.6 13.7 2.4 1.9 1.8 2.0 3.3 3.9 6.7
11–12 Mar Termometro Politico 2,200 15.4 21.0 31.6 5.4 12.4 2.4 1.4 1.6 1.8 3.9 3.1 10.6
10–11 Mar EMG 1,722 14.3 21.1 29.4 6.1 12.7 2.8 1.9 2.0 0.7 2.2 5.3 1.5 8.3
9–11 Mar BiDiMedia 1,296 14.0 21.2 28.7 6.0 11.9 3.0 1.6 1.9 0.5 2.4 4.0 4.8 7.5
9–10 Mar Ixè 1,000 15.6 22.5 27.0 6.1 13.4 3.3 2.3 1.9 1.0 1.1 2.6 3.2 4.5
4–9 Mar SWG 1,200 13.4 19.6 30.6 5.5 12.0 3.8 2.3 2.4 1.1 2.9 3.5 2.9 11.0
6–7 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,000 12.5 22.9 31.1 4.6 13.3 2.9 1.4 2.3 2.1 3.0 3.9 8.2
5–6 Mar Tecnè 1,000 13.6 21.5 29.6 6.8 13.4 2.5 2.0 1.7 2.0 3.2 3.7 8.1
5 Mar Index 14.8 20.0 30.3 6.1 12.1 3.5 2.1 2.2 0.9 2.3 3.5 2.2 10.3
4–5 Mar Termometro Politico 2,200 15.3 20.7 32.5 5.0 11.6 2.0 1.5 1.6 2.0 3.9 3.9 11.8
3–4 Mar EMG 1,754 14.7 21.3 29.6 6.1 12.4 2.9 1.8 1.9 0.7 2.2 5.1 1.3 8.3
3 Mar Euromedia 800 14.6 21.0 28.5 6.5 12.9 2.3 2.0 1.3 0.3 2.6 3.8 4.2 7.5
2–3 Mar Ixè 1,000 15.7 22.0 27.2 6.2 13.4 2.8 2.3 2.2 0.9 1.5 2.8 3.0 5.2
26 Feb–2 Mar SWG 1,200 13.7 19.9 30.9 5.7 12.1 3.6 2.1 2.2 1.2 2.8 3.2 2.6 11.0
25–29 Feb Piepoli 504 14.5 21.0 30.5 6.5 11.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 5.0 4.5 9.5
27–28 Feb Tecnè 1,000 13.4 21.2 30.2 7.1 13.1 2.6 1.8 1.5 2.1 3.6 3.4 9.0
27 Feb Ipsos 1,000 14.0 19.6 31.6 6.3 13.3 1.8 1.6 2.5 1.6 3.5 4.2 12.0
26–27 Feb Termometro Politico 2,200 15.3 20.9 32.6 5.1 11.5 2.0 1.4 1.5 2.1 4.0 3.6 11.7
25–26 Feb EMG 1,722 14.6 21.2 30.1 6.4 12.0 2.8 1.9 1.8 0.8 2.1 5.0 1.3 8.9
24–25 Feb Ixè 1,000 15.4 21.6 27.7 5.9 13.7 2.5 2.6 2.0 0.6 1.7 3.0 3.3 6.1
19–24 Feb SWG 1,200 13.4 20.1 31.3 5.4 11.3 3.3 2.2 2.3 1.3 3.1 3.8 2.5 11.2
20–22 Feb Piepoli 503 15.0 20.5 30.5 6.5 10.5 2.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 5.0 5.0 10.0
20–21 Feb Tecnè 1,000 13.3 21.0 30.6 7.1 12.6 2.5 1.7 1.6 2.4 3.9 3.3 9.6
19–20 Feb Termometro Politico 3,100 15.2 20.4 32.2 5.6 11.2 2.3 1.5 1.5 2.3 4.5 3.3 11.8
19 Feb Index 800 14.2 20.2 31.1 5.9 11.6 3.1 1.9 2.0 1.0 2.3 4.1 2.6 10.9
18–19 Feb EMG 2,000 14.4 21.5 30.1 6.3 11.9 2.6 1.9 1.7 0.8 2.2 5.0 1.6 8.6
17–18 Feb Euromedia 800 14.4 20.3 31.0 6.2 11.8 2.5 1.0 1.5 0.2 2.7 5.0 3.4 10.7
17–18 Feb Ixè 1,000 14.9 20.5 27.5 6.9 12.9 3.2 2.8 1.8 0.7 1.4 3.0 4.4 7.0
16–18 Feb Demopolis 2,000 14.5 20.8 31.0 5.1 12.4 3.2 4.0 9.0 10.2
16–17 Feb Tecnè 1,000 13.4 20.8 30.4 7.2 12.5 2.6 1.9 1.8 2.4 3.9 3.1 9.6
12–17 Feb SWG 1,200 13.0 20.6 32.4 5.1 11.3 2.9 1.9 2.3 1.2 3.0 4.2 2.1 11.8
13–14 Feb Tecnè 1,000 13.5 20.8 30.6 7.3 12.2 2.6 1.9 1.7 2.3 4.0 3.1 9.8
13 Feb Demopolis 14.8 20.2 30.0 6.0 11.0 3.0 4.5 10.5 9.8
12–13 Feb Termometro Politico 4,000 15.1 20.0 33.1 5.2 11.3 2.1 1.4 1.2 2.0 4.9 3.7 13.1
11–13 Feb BiDiMedia 1,589 14.2 20.8 29.8 5.6 11.0 2.3 1.4 2.0 0.7 2.3 4.2 5.7 9.0
10–13 Feb Demos & Pi 1,019 14.4 20.6 29.2 6.2 13.1 3.6 2.6 3.9 6.4 8.6
12 Feb Index 800 15.0 20.0 30.9 5.9 11.3 3.1 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.1 4.1 2.6 10.9
11–12 Feb EMG 1,518 14.2 21.5 29.9 6.2 11.6 2.6 1.8 1.9 1.1 2.5 5.1 1.6 8.4
10–11 Feb Ixè 1,000 14.9 20.1 28.0 6.7 12.7 3.0 2.8 2.0 0.9 1.2 3.2 4.5 7.9
5–10 Feb SWG 1,500 14.0 20.7 32.2 5.4 10.8 2.8 2.0 2.1 1.2 2.8 4.2 1.8 11.5
6–7 Feb Tecnè 1,000 13.8 20.4 31.0 7.5 11.9 2.5 1.8 1.8 2.4 3.9 3.0 10.6
6 Feb Index 800 15.2 19.2 31.5 5.9 11.1 3.3 2.0 2.0 0.9 2.2 4.2 2.5 12.3
4–6 Feb Termometro Politico 3,200 15.6 20.2 32.5 5.8 10.6 3.3 1.4 1.4 2.2 4.3 2.7 12.3
4–6 Feb EMG 1,460 14.1 21.3 30.0 6.1 11.6 2.5 1.8 1.8 1.0 2.6 5.2 2.0 8.7
3–4 Feb Ixè 1,000 15.2 19.8 28.0 7.0 12.4 2.8 3.0 2.4 0.8 1.6 3.2 3.8 8.2
29 Jan–3 Feb SWG 1,500 13.9 19.7 33.3 6.3 10.2 3.1 1.9 2.0 1.1 2.6 4.1 1.8 13.6
30 Jan–2 Feb Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,000 12.7 22.6 31.8 4.8 11.6 2.3 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.8 4.9 9.2
30–31 Jan Tecnè 1,000 14.3 20.2 31.1 7.5 11.7 2.6 1.7 1.8 2.5 3.7 2.9 10.9
29–31 Jan Piepoli 505 15.5 20.0 30.5 6.5 10.0 2.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 4.5 6.0 10.5
29–30 Jan Termometro Politico 2,300 16.0 20.4 33.4 5.4 10.6 3.3 1.8 1.1 1.9 3.7 2.4 13.0
28–30 Jan Ipsos 1,000 14.0 20.3 32.0 6.5 12.0 2.6 1.1 1.5 2.3 4.3 3.4 11.7
29 Jan Index 800 15.4 19.0 31.4 6.0 11.2 3.2 1.9 2.0 1.0 2.3 4.0 2.6 12.4
28–29 Jan EMG 1,589 14.3 21.2 30.1 6.1 11.5 2.5 1.8 1.8 0.9 2.7 5.1 2.0 8.9
27–28 Jan Ixè 1,000 15.9 20.0 28.2 6.9 12.0 2.9 3.2 2.4 0.6 1.3 3.6 3.0 8.2
22–26 Jan SWG 1,500 14.9 17.5 33.0 6.0 10.6 3.5 2.2 2.1 1.4 2.5 4.6 1.7 15.5
23–24 Jan Tecnè 1,000 15.1 19.4 31.7 7.8 11.0 2.5 1.8 2.0 2.4 3.6 2.7 12.3
22 Jan Index 800 16.0 18.7 31.8 6.5 10.9 2.9 1.7 1.9 0.9 2.2 4.2 2.3 13.1
21–22 Jan Termometro Politico 2,400 15.8 19.1 32.5 6.2 11.1 2.3 1.6 1.3 0.6 2.5 3.9 3.1 13.4
20–21 Jan Ixè 1,000 16.1 19.9 28.7 7.3 11.3 3.1 3.4 1.9 0.6 1.4 3.9 2.4 8.8
19–20 Jan Tecnè 1,000 15.3 19.5 31.8 7.9 10.8 14.7 12.3
15–20 Jan SWG 1,500 15.6 18.2 33.2 5.2 10.9 3.0 2.0 1.9 1.2 2.6 4.5 1.7 15.0
10–17 Jan Tecnè 1,000 15.3 19.1 32.2 8.0 10.7 2.6 1.7 1.8 2.3 3.7 2.6 13.1
15–16 Jan Termometro Politico 2,300 16.0 19.4 32.9 5.8 10.6 2.0 1.4 1.4 0.5 2.1 4.6 3.3 13.5
14–16 Jan BiDiMedia 1,455 16.4 19.0 30.4 6.2 10.1 2.0 1.5 1.6 0.7 2.1 4.9 5.1 11.4
15 Jan Index 800 15.8 18.9 31.5 6.6 10.5 2.8 1.6 2.0 0.9 2.1 4.4 2.9 12.6
14 Jan EMG 1,688 15.6 20.0 30.0 6.7 11.0 2.0 2.1 1.8 1.1 2.8 4.6 2.3 10.0
13–14 Jan Ixè 1,000 15.9 20.0 29.0 7.0 10.9 3.6 2.5 1.6 0.8 1.0 4.2 3.5 9.0
13 Jan Euromedia 800 15.4 18.9 30.2 6.3 10.8 1.8 1.3 2.4 0.4 3.0 5.0 4.5 11.3
12–13 Jan Tecnè 1,000 15.5 19.3 31.7 8.0 10.8 2.7 1.6 1.7 2.3 3.7 2.7 12.4
8–13 Jan SWG 1,500 15.2 18.4 32.9 5.8 10.4 3.1 1.6 2.2 1.0 2.9 4.8 1.7 14.5
9–10 Jan Tecnè 1,000 15.4 19.3 31.9 8.1 10.6 2.7 1.6 1.7 2.1 3.9 2.7 12.6
8–10 Jan Piepoli 505 16.5 19.5 31.0 6.5 10.0 2.0 2.5 1.5 1.5 4.5 4.5 11.5
9 Jan Index 800 16.0 18.8 31.3 6.7 10.5 2.9 1.6 2.1 1.0 2.0 4.3 2.8 12.5
8–9 Jan Termometro Politico 3,500 16.1 19.1 33.1 6.1 10.7 3.2 1.5 1.2 0.4 1.8 4.9 1.9 14.0
7–8 Jan EMG 1,700 15.9 19.9 30.4 7.0 10.6 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.0 2.8 4.5 2.4 10.5
3–7 Jan Ixè 1,000 16.2 20.0 29.5 7.3 10.7 3.0 2.3 1.3 1.0 1.3 3.6 3.8 9.5

2019[edit]

2018[edit]

  1. ^ a b c Some polls include LeU instead of LS.
  2. ^ Polls before 21 November refer to We Are Europeans (SE).
  3. ^ a b Some polls have included former LeU member parties MDP or SI or both separately, instead of LeU. Starting from March 2019, some polls have include LS, a joint list formed mainly by SI and PRC.
  4. ^ a b In the 2018 Italian general election PaP was a joint list, including PRC and PCI, which left the alliance a few months later. Some polls have included these two parties within PaP and/or CP.

Coalition vote[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

6-point average trend line of poll results starting from 4 March 2018, with each line corresponding to a coalition.
  M5S
  Others (including LeU or LS)

2019[edit]

Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU[a] / LS[b] Others Lead
6 Nov Index 800 48.7 43.9 7.4 4.8
30 Oct Tecnè 1,000 51.1 41.0 7.9 10.1
22–24 Oct Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 47.9 14.7 30.1 2.0 5.3 17.8
21 Oct Tecnè 1,000 49.2 42.7 8.1 6.5
18–20 Sep Quorum – YouTrend 1,000 47.2 46.2 6.6 1.0
16–17 Sep Ixè 1,000 45.6 21.9 27.2 3.2 2.1 18.4
9–10 Sep Ixè 1,000 45.3 22.0 28.2 2.5 2.1 17.1
7 Sep Piepoli 44.0 20.5 33.0 2.5 11.5
2–3 Sep Ixè 1,000 44.5 22.3 28.5 2.4 2.3 16.0
26–28 Aug Ipsos 998 45.6 24.2 25.5 2.5 2.2 20.1
21–23 Aug Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 48.6 16.6 28.6 2.3 3.9 20.0
20–21 Aug GPF[c] 609 46.2 23.1 29.1 1.6 17.1
19–21 Aug IZI 1,008 52.4 16.0 31.6 N/A 20.8
12 Aug GPF 802 46.8 23.7 28.0 1.5 18.8
30–31 Jul Ipsos 1,000 50.6 17.8 25.9 2.0 3.7 24.7
27–30 Jul Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 53.0 14.8 27.3 1.9 3.0 25.7
22 Jul Euromedia 1,000 50.2 18.0 25.4 2.3 4.1 24.8
16–18 Jul Ipsos 1,000 50.1 17.4 27.1 1.8 3.6 23.0
15–18 Jul GPF 919 46.7 24.2 27.3 1.8 19.4
8–10 Jul GPF 807 47.3 23.7 27.1 1.9 20.2
29 Jun–4 Jul Bidimedia 1,698 48.1 18.1 28.7 1.9 3.2 19.4
26 Jun Noto 51.5 17.5 27.0 1.0 3.0 24.5
25–26 Jun Ipsos 1,000 49.3 17.3 27.1 1.9 4.4 22.2
18 Jun Noto 50.0 17.5 26.5 1.5 4.5 23.5
11 Jun Noto 50.5 18.0 26.5 1.5 3.5 22.0
10 Jun Euromedia 800 48.4 18.0 28.6 2.0 3.0 19.8
10 Jun Piepoli 505 49.0 17.0 28.5 1.5 4.0 20.5
3–7 Jun Termometro Politico 1,700 48.7 18.0 28.4 1.2 3.7 20.3
30 May Piepoli 1,000 50.0 17.0 28.0 2.0 3.0 22.0
28–29 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 51.0 16.5 28.3 1.4 2.8 22.7
26 May EP Election 50.1 17.1 28.1 1.7 3.0 22.0
7–9 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 47.4 22.7 25.8 2.1 2.0 21.6
6–9 May Ixè 1,000 45.9 20.5 25.9 3.4 4.3 20.0
5–9 May Termometro Politico 6,000 45.9 23.0 25.4 1.9 3.8 20.5
6–8 May Bidimedia 1,455 46.4 22.4 25.9 2.5 2.8 20.5
6–8 May Ipsos 1,000 44.4 24.9 25.5 2.1 3.1 18.9
6–8 May Demos & Pi 1,007 46.4 22.6 24.5 3.1 3.4 21.9
7 May Noto 46.5 21.0 24.5 2.0 6.0 22.0
30 Apr Piepoli 504 47.0 22.0 25.0 2.0 4.0 22.0
30 Apr Euromedia 800 48.4 20.6 25.5 1.5 4.0 22.9
30 Apr Noto 46.5 20.0 25.0 2.5 6.0 21.5
23 Apr Noto 48.0 20.5 24.0 2.0 5.5 24.0
18–23 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 50.5 20.1 25.3 1.9 2.2 25.2
20 Apr Ipsos 50.2 22.3 23.0 2.1 2.4 27.2
18 Apr Tecnè 1,000 48.5 22.0 25.5 4.0 23.0
16 Apr Piepoli 503 47.5 22.5 25.0 3.5 1.5 22.5
16 Apr Euromedia 800 49.1 20.8 24.5 3.0 2.6 24.6
16 Apr Noto 48.5 20.0 24.5 3.0 4.0 24.0
2–10 Apr Termometro Politico 1,500 47.4 22.6 26.1 2.3 1.6 21.3
9 Apr EMG 1,845 46.8 22.3 29.0 1.9 17.8
9 Apr Noto 48.0 20.0 25.0 1.5 5.5 23.0
5–8 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 51.1 20.5 25.3 1.7 1.4 25.8
2–4 Apr Ipsos 1,000 49.6 23.3 22.8 2.0 2.3 26.6
3 Apr Piepoli 504 47.0 22.5 24.0 3.0 3.5 23.0
3 Apr Euromedia 800 47.9 19.4 25.0 3.9 3.8 22.9
2 Apr EMG 1,725 46.5 22.7 27.4 3.4 19.1
2 Apr Noto 48.0 20.5 25.5 1.5 4.5 22.5
29 Mar–1 Apr Ixè 1,000 45.4 19.1 26.4 3.2 5.9 19.0
25 Mar–1 Apr Termometro Politico 4,000 46.7 21.3 26.8 3.6 1.6 19.9
28 Mar Tecnè 1,002 49.1 21.0 25.0 4.9 24.1
26–27 Mar Index[c] 800 49.2 21.0 29.8 N/A 19.4
26 Mar EMG 1,865 46.8 22.9 27.4 2.9 19.4
26 Mar Noto 48.0 21.0 25.5 2.0 3.5 22.5
22–25 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 50.9 20.3 25.7 1.5 1.6 25.2
21 Mar Piepoli 48.0 23.0 23.5 2.0 3.5 24.5
20–21 Mar Euromedia 800 49.2 19.8 25.3 2.2 3.5 23.9
19 Mar EMG 1,785 46.3 23.4 27.5 2.8 18.8
19 Mar Noto 48.5 21.0 25.0 1.5 4.0 23.5
12 Mar EMG 1,845 45.9 23.8 27.0 3.3 18.9
12 Mar Noto 48.5 21.0 25.0 1.5 4.0 23.5
12 Mar Piepoli 500 47.0 24.5 23.0 2.5 3.0 22.5
6–7 Mar Tecnè 2,000 48.3 22.2 24.0 5.5 24.3
5 Mar EMG 1,803 46.8 23.2 26.9 3.1 19.9
5 Mar Noto 48.5 21.0 24.0 1.5 5.0 24.5
1–3 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 49.7 21.6 25.1 1.9 1.7 24.6
27–28 Feb Tecnè 1,000 50.4 22.0 22.8 4.8 27.6
26–28 Feb Ipsos 1,000 49.0 21.2 23.5 2.4 3.9 25.5
22–27 Feb Bidimedia 1,084 46.4 22.7 23.9 2.5 4.5 22.5
26 Feb EMG 1,603 47.5 23.8 25.2 3.5 22.3
25 Feb Piepoli 505 48.0 25.0 22.5 1.5 3.0 23.0
25 Feb Euromedia 800 50.7 21.8 23.1 1.9 2.5 27.6
24–25 Feb Tecnè 1,005 49.6 22.2 22.7 5.5 26.9
19 Feb EMG 1,802 46.9 24.8 24.9 3.4 22.0
19 Feb Noto 50.5 21.0 22.0 2.0 4.5 28.5
14–17 Feb Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 50.2 23.2 23.2 1.8 1.6 27.0
12 Feb EMG 46.5 24.6 25.1 3.8 21.4
12 Feb Piepoli 500 46.0 27.0 20.5 3.5 3.0 19.0
12 Feb Euromedia 800 49.8 24.0 20.5 3.4 2.3 25.8
12 Feb Noto 49.0 22.0 23.0 2.0 4.0 26.0
6–7 Feb Ipsos 1,000 46.9 25.4 21.2 2.2 4.3 21.5
4–7 Feb Tecnè 16,000 48.7 25.1 20.8 5.4 23.6
2–6 Feb Bidimedia 1,113 44.4 24.9 23.6 2.6 4.5 19.5
5 Feb EMG 1,803 45.1 25.1 25.7 4.1 19.4
30 Jan Noto 47.0 24.0 22.5 2.0 4.5 23.0
29 Jan EMG 1,786 44.8 25.8 25.5 3.9 19.0
29 Jan Piepoli 503 45.5 27.5 20.0 3.0 4.0 18.0
29 Jan Euromedia 800 48.5 24.7 20.6 3.4 2.8 23.8
22 Jan Piepoli 503 45.5 28.0 19.5 2.5 4.5 17.5
22 Jan EMG 1,801 44.4 26.5 24.6 4.5 17.9
15–17 Jan Ipsos 1,000 46.9 25.4 21.5 6.2 21.5
15 Jan EMG 1,794 44.6 26.6 24.8 4.0 18.0
15 Jan Piepoli 505 45.5 28.0 20.0 2.5 4.0 17.5
15 Jan Euromedia 800 47.2 24.7 20.2 3.1 4.8 22.5
15 Jan Noto 45.5 23.0 22.5 2.5 6.5 22.5
13 Jan Noto 48.0 23.0 22.5 2.0 4.5 25.0
9–10 Jan Tecnè 2,000 46.8 25.5 21.5 6.2 21.3
7–10 Jan Bidimedia 1,096 43.8 25.6 23.9 2.4 4.3 18.2
8 Jan Piepoli 505 45.5 28.0 20.0 2.5 4.0 17.5
8 Jan EMG 1,540 44.2 26.1 25.5 4.2 18.1

2018[edit]

  1. ^ a b After its dissolution on 14 November 2018, some polls might include MDP or SI or both, instead of LeU.
  2. ^ Starting from the foundation of The Left (LS) as a coalition between SI and PRC, some polls started listing LS instead of LeU.
  3. ^ a b Centre-left includes LeU, PaP and other left-wing parties; centre-right includes all other right-wing parties.

Seat projections[edit]

Chamber of Deputies[edit]

  • During the 18th legislature, the Chamber was composed of 630 seats. 316 seats were needed for a majority.
  • Following the 2020 Italian constitutional referendum, the Chamber was reduced to 400 seats. 201 seats were needed for a majority.
  • In some polls only the 392 (previously 618) constituencies in Italy proper are allocated, while the 8 (previously 12) abroad constituencies are omitted.
Date Polling firm Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU Others Lead Majority
21 Sep 2020 After a constitutional referendum, the number of seats in the Chamber of Deputies is reduced from 630 to 400 starting from the next general election.
26 Aug 2019 Demopolis 410 92 120 0 8 290 +94
9 Aug 2019 Ipsos 413 88 115 0 2 298 +97
9 Aug 2019 YouTrend 416 81 119 0 2 297 +100
19 Jul 2019 YouTrend 413 81 122 0 2 291 +97
26 May 2019 Bidimedia (EP election) 404 79 135 0 0 269 +88
26 May 2019 Cattaneo (EP election) 415 81 122 0 0 293 +99
26 May 2019 CISE (EP election) 429 76 132 0 0 297 +113
26 May 2019 YouTrend (EP election) 406 78 134 0 0 272 +90
8–11 Apr 2019 Bidimedia
without tossups[a]
397 106 115 0 0 282 +81
Bidimedia 385 105 113 0 15 272 +69
26 Mar 2019 YouTrend 382 127 107 0 1 255 +66
27 Oct 2018 YouTrend 338 187 90 0 1 149 +22
4 March 2018 General Election 265 227 122 14 2 38 –51

Senate of the Republic[edit]

  • During the 18th legislature, the Senate was composed of 315 electable seats plus 6 senators for life. 161 seats were needed for a majority.
  • Following the 2020 Italian constitutional referendum, the Senate was reduced to 200 seats, plus 6 senators for life. 104 seats were needed for a majority.
  • In some polls only the 196 (previously 309) constituencies in Italy proper are allocated, while the 4 (previously 6) abroad constituencies are omitted.
Date Polling firm Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU Others Lead Majority
21 Sep 2020 After a constitutional referendum, the number of electable seats in the Senate is reduced from 315 to 200 starting from the next general election.
9 Aug 2019 YouTrend 210 40 57 0 2 153 +49
19 Jul 2019 YouTrend 208 40 59 0 2 149 +47
26 May 2019 YouTrend (EP election) 206 41 60 0 2 146 +45
26 Mar 2019 YouTrend 190 63 55 0 1 126 +29
27 Oct 2018 YouTrend 168 91 45 0 1 73 +7
4 March 2018 General Election 137 112 60 4 2 25 –24
  1. ^ Constituencies are considered tossups if the lead is less than the margin of error.

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  • "PCM Sondaggi Politico Elettorali" [PCM Political Electoral Opinion Polls] (in Italian). Presidency of the Council of Ministers, Department of Information and Publications. n.d. Retrieved 18 January 2018.