Opinion polling for the next Italian general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to navigation Jump to search

In the run-up to the next Italian general election, various organisations have been carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention.

Results of such opinion polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous general election, held on 4 March 2018, to the present day. Poll results are reported at the dates when the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Party vote[edit]

Starting from the beginning of 2019, some polling agencies have polled Free and Equal (LeU), others The Left (LS), some others both. The two electoral lists, one for the 2018 general election and the other for the 2019 European Parliament election, have slightly different but partially overlapping compositions: the former includes Article One (Art.1), the latter the Communist Refoundation Party (PRC), while both include Italian Left (SI). Some polls also give data separately for Art.1 and SI.

Graphical summary[edit]

6-point average trend line of poll results starting from 4 March 2018, with each line corresponding to a political party.
  M5S
  PD
  Lega
  FI
  FdI
  LeU/LS
  +Eu
  NcI
  PaP
  EV
  C!
  IV

2019[edit]

Date Polling firm Sample size M5S PD Lega FI FdI LS[a] +Eu EV C! A[b] IV Other Lead
12 Dec Noto 17.5 18.0 31.5 6.5 10.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.7 2.7 3.5 4.1 13.5
11 Dec Index 800 16.2 19.2 32.2 6.7 9.8 2.8 1.5 1.9 1.1 1.8 4.6 2.2 13.0
10–11 Dec EMG 1,578 15.7 19.3 32.0 6.7 10.4 1.9 2.0 1.5 1.0 2.0 5.2 2.3 12.7
9–10 Dec Ixè 1,000 16.3 20.8 30.6 7.6 10.6 2.9 2.5 1.2 0.9 3.3 3.3 9.8
8–9 Dec Tecnè 1,000 15.6 18.6 34.1 8.0 10.3 2.3 1.7 1.4 1.8 4.0 2.2 15.5
4–9 Dec SWG 1,500 15.5 18.0 33.0 5.3 9.8 3.2 1.5 2.2 1.2 3.5 4.6 2.2 15.0
6 Dec Noto 1,000 17.0 18.0 33.0 6.0 9.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.7 2.5 5.0 4.3 15.0
5–6 Dec Tecnè 1,000 15.6 18.9 34.7 7.9 10.0 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.5 3.9 2.0 15.8
2–6 Dec Demos & Pi 1,276 18.1 18.7 29.5 6.5 11.3 3.2 2.4 3.5 6.8 10.8
4–5 Dec Termometro Politico 2,500 15.5 18.6 34.9 5.5 10.2 2.2 1.6 1.3 0.5 1.7 5.3 2.7 16.3
4 Dec Euromedia 800 15.5 17.5 31.5 7.2 10.3 2.1 1.4 1.3 0.4 2.8 5.5 4.5 14.0
4 Dec Index 800 16.2 19.1 32.7 6.6 9.8 2.6 1.6 1.8 1.0 1.6 4.9 2.1 13.6
3–4 Dec EMG 1,623 16.3 19.5 32.5 6.9 10.1 1.8 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.8 5.3 2.1 13.0
2–3 Dec Ixè 1,000 15.9 20.7 31.2 7.4 11.0 2.7 3.0 1.1 0.7 3.6 2.7 10.5
1–2 Dec Tecnè 1,000 15.8 19.0 34.7 8.2 9.5 2.2 1.5 1.6 1.2 4.1 2.2 15.7
27 Nov–2 Dec SWG 1,500 15.5 17.7 33.8 5.1 10.0 3.3 1.6 2.0 1.0 3.3 4.9 1.8 16.1
28–29 Nov Tecnè 1,000 15.8 19.1 35.3 8.1 9.4 2.1 1.7 1.4 4.1 3.0 16.2
27–28 Nov Termometro Politico 2,000 15.3 18.6 34.6 6.0 10.1 2.1 1.5 1.5 0.5 1.8 5.3 2.7 16.0
27 Nov EMG 1,612 16.5 19.7 32.4 7.3 9.9 2.0 1.9 1.3 1.0 1.0 5.3 1.7 12.7
27 Nov Index 800 16.9 19.3 32.8 6.6 9.3 1.7 2.0 5.0 6.4 13.5
26–27 Nov Ipsos 1,000 16.6 18.1 31.9 6.2 10.6 2.0 1.2 2.3 2.3 5.3 3.5 13.8
25–26 Nov Ixè 1,000 16.4 20.4 31.5 7.4 10.6 2.2 3.0 1.0 4.5 3.0 11.1
24–25 Nov Tecnè 1,000 15.9 19.6 34.7 8.1 9.0 2.1 1.6 1.5 1.1 4.4 2.0 15.1
20–25 Nov SWG 1,500 16.5 18.1 33.1 6.0 10.1 3.1 1.6 2.0 1.3 5.5 2.7 15.0
21–22 Nov Piepoli 505 17.5 19.5 31.5 7.5 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 5.0 3.5 12.0
21–22 Nov Tecnè 1,000 16.1 19.4 34.5 8.0 9.2 2.1 1.6 1.5 4.3 3.3 15.1
21 Nov Noto 19.0 18.0 33.5 6.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.0 5.5 3.3 14.5
20–21 Nov Termometro Politico 2,400 15.7 18.1 35.6 5.9 9.6 2.1 1.4 1.5 0.6 1.4 5.5 2.6 17.5
20 Nov EMG 1,524 16.1 20.0 32.6 7.7 9.5 2.0 2.1 1.3 1.0 5.2 2.5 12.6
18–20 Nov Bidimedia 1,598 17.4 18.6 32.3 5.6 8.9 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.0 1.1 5.3 4.4 13.7
18–19 Nov Ixè 1,000 16.3 21.2 31.9 7.5 9.9 1.7 3.1 1.1 0.7 4.6 2.0 10.7
13–18 Nov SWG 1,500 16.2 18.3 34.0 6.4 9.5 3.3 1.7 2.3 1.1 5.0 2.2 15.7
14–15 Nov Tecnè 1,000 16.3 19.3 34.2 8.0 9.3 1.9 1.7 1.3 4.6 3.4 14.9
13 Nov Index 800 16.8 19.5 34.0 6.4 9.0 2.3 1.8 1.9 4.8 3.5 14.5
12–13 Nov Termometro Politico 2,200 16.1 18.3 35.2 5.6 9.9 2.0 1.2 1.4 0.5 1.4 5.9 2.5 16.9
8–13 Nov EMG 1,425 16.1 19.5 33.0 7.4 9.8 1.7 1.8 1.0 1.0 5.7 3.0 13.5
11–12 Nov Ixè 1,000 16.3 21.0 32.6 7.3 9.6 1.8 2.7 1.3 0.8 4.3 2.3 11.6
10–12 Nov Demopolis 1,500 17.2 18.5 34.0 5.6 9.4 2.5 5.8 7.0 15.5
11 Nov Euromedia 800 15.8 18.1 33.0 6.8 9.3 1.9 1.1 1.5 0.3 1.9 5.8 4.5 14.9
10–11 Nov Tecnè 1,000 16.9 18.7 34.5 8.1 9.2 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.2 4.5 2.0 15.8
6–11 Nov SWG 1,500 15.8 18.6 34.5 6.2 9.5 3.0 1.5 1.9 1.3 5.6 2.1 15.9
8–9 Nov Piepoli 505 17.5 19.0 31.5 7.0 9.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 4.5 5.0 12.5
7–8 Nov Tecnè 1,000 16.8 18.8 34.5 8.1 9.1 1.7 1.8 1.4 4.5 3.3 15.7
6–7 Nov Termometro Politico 2,300 15.8 18.5 35.9 5.5 9.3 2.0 1.3 1.5 0.6 1.3 5.9 2.4 17.4
6 Nov Index 800 17.4 19.3 33.7 6.4 8.6 2.2 1.8 2.0 5.0 3.6 14.4
6 Nov EMG 1,387 16.3 19.0 34.2 7.2 10.0 1.6 1.8 1.2 1.0 4.9 2.8 15.2
4–5 Nov IZI 1,002 17.9 18.2 28.6 9.5 10.7 2.7 4.9 7.5 10.4
4–5 Nov Ixè 1,000 17.9 20.1 32.0 7.8 9.5 1.9 2.2 1.5 0.9 3.9 2.3 11.9
30 Oct–4 Nov SWG 1,500 16.8 17.5 34.1 6.2 8.9 3.3 1.8 2.2 1.1 6.0 2.1 16.6
31 Oct–1 Nov Piepoli 506 18.5 19.5 31.0 7.0 8.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 5.5 11.5
30–31 Oct Demopolis 1,500 18.0 19.0 33.0 6.0 9.0 2.5 5.8 6.7 14.0
29–31 Oct Ipsos 1,000 17.9 17.2 34.3 6.2 9.8 1.7 1.0 2.2 6.2 3.5 16.4
30 Oct Tecnè 1,000 17.5 19.3 34.4 8.2 8.5 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.0 4.2 1.8 15.1
30 Oct Index 800 17.8 19.2 33.5 6.3 8.6 2.2 1.8 2.0 5.1 3.5 14.3
30 Oct EMG 1,489 16.8 19.3 33.0 7.4 9.4 1.8 2.2 1.4 1.0 4.7 3.0 13.7
28–29 Oct Ixè 1,000 19.2 19.5 30.9 7.7 9.5 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.0 3.7 2.9 11.4
27 Oct Tecnè 1,000 17.7 19.2 34.4 8.1 8.6 1.6 1.9 1.5 1.0 4.1 1.9 15.2
23–27 Oct SWG 1,500 18.2 18.0 33.6 5.5 9.0 3.2 1.6 2.1 1.6 5.2 2.0 13.9
24–25 Oct Tecnè 1,000 18.0 19.3 33.2 8.2 8.4 1.9 1.9 1.6 4.3 3.2 13.9
23–24 Oct Termometro Politico 2,300 17.1 18.9 35.2 5.6 8.2 1.9 1.2 1.5 0.5 1.3 5.6 3.0 16.3
22–24 Oct Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 14.7 20.6 34.0 6.2 7.7 2.0 1.3 1.6 6.6 5.2 13.4
23 Oct Index 800 18.8 19.5 33.2 6.2 8.2 2.1 1.8 1.9 5.3 3.0 13.7
23 Oct EMG 1,578 17.5 19.4 33.6 7.0 8.2 2.1 2.2 1.0 1.0 4.3 3.7 14.2
22 Oct Noto 18.5 18.6 32.5 6.9 8.0 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.7 0.7 6.0 3.4 13.9
21–22 Oct Ixè 1,000 20.8 19.8 30.5 8.1 8.7 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.0 3.5 1.8 9.7
20–21 Oct Tecnè 1,000 18.5 19.4 33.0 8.0 8.2 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.1 4.8 1.9 13.6
16–21 Oct SWG 1,500 17.8 18.8 34.0 5.5 8.4 2.8 1.8 1.9 1.3 5.6 2.1 15.2
17–18 Oct Tecnè 1,000 19.8 20.2 31.6 7.8 7.8 1.8 2.0 1.7 4.1 3.2 11.4
17 Oct Index 19.0 19.8 32.7 6.0 7.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 5.2 3.8 12.9
16–17 Oct Euromedia 800 18.3 18.5 31.8 7.0 8.0 2.1 2.0 1.4 0.2 1.4 5.5 3.8 13.3
16–17 Oct EMG 1,534 19.2 19.7 31.8 7.1 7.8 1.6 2.4 1.2 1.2 4.1 3.9 12.1
16–17 Oct Termometro Politico 2,400 17.7 19.2 34.8 5.5 7.8 2.0 1.3 2.0 0.6 1.4 5.2 2.5 15.6
14–15 Oct Ixè 1,000 19.7 20.4 30.7 7.8 8.2 2.0 2.5 1.4 1.1 4.0 2.2 10.3
13–14 Oct Tecnè 1,000 19.8 20.4 31.5 7.8 7.7 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.3 4.3 1.8 11.1
9–14 Oct SWG 1,500 18.6 19.4 33.2 5.1 7.6 3.1 1.9 1.9 1.6 5.3 2.3 13.8
10–11 Oct Tecnè 1,000 20.0 20.7 31.2 7.7 7.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 4.0 3.3 10.5
9–11 Oct Demopolis 1,000 20.0 19.2 32.0 6.2 7.5 2.5 5.3 7.3 12.0
10 Oct Noto 19.0 19.0 31.0 6.5 7.5 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.7 0.5 6.0 4.4 12.0
9–10 Oct Termometro Politico 1,600 18.2 19.4 34.1 5.3 8.1 2.0 1.3 2.1 0.5 1.4 4.9 2.7 14.7
9 Oct Index 800 18.8 20.1 32.3 6.0 7.4 2.0 2.1 2.0 4.7 4.6 12.2
9 Oct EMG 1,624 18.7 19.2 32.7 7.0 7.8 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.3 4.5 3.5 13.5
7–9 Oct Bidimedia 1,438 19.2 19.5 30.6 5.5 8.0 1.8 1.5 2.0 1.3 1.0 5.0 4.6 11.1
7–8 Oct Euromedia 800 19.3 17.8 32.0 7.1 7.7 2.0 1.6 1.4 0.4 1.5 5.5 3.7 12.7
7–8 Oct Ixè 1,000 20.2 21.9 30.0 7.2 8.6 2.1 2.9 1.6 3.5 2.0 8.1
7 Oct Ipsos 600 19.6 20.1 31.2 6.9 8.5 2.5 1.2 4.2 5.8 11.1
6–7 Oct Tecnè 1,000 20.1 20.3 30.8 7.9 8.0 1.5 1.9 2.1 0.6 1.3 4.2 1.3 10.5
2–7 Oct SWG 1,500 18.5 20.0 32.3 5.0 7.1 3.3 1.8 2.3 1.6 5.6 2.5 12.3
3–5 Oct Piepoli 19.5 20.5 30.0 6.5 7.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 3.5 6.5 9.5
3–4 Oct Tecnè 1,000 19.8 19.7 31.4 8.0 7.8 1.6 1.8 2.0 4.5 3.4 11.6
3 Oct Index 19.4 20.3 32.5 6.0 7.3 2.0 2.3 2.0 4.5 3.7 12.2
1–3 Oct Demos & Pi 1,265 20.6 19.1 30.2 6.1 8.6 2.4 2.1 2.2 3.9 4.8 9.6
2 Oct EMG 1,754 19.0 19.7 32.6 7.4 7.6 1.8 2.2 1.5 1.0 4.5 2.7 12.9
30 Sep–1 Oct Ixè 1,000 21.0 21.6 29.7 6.9 8.6 2.3 2.3 1.5 3.9 2.2 8.3
29–30 Sep Tecnè 1,000 20.2 19.7 31.4 7.9 7.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 0.7 1.1 4.6 1.3 11.2
25–30 Sep SWG 1,500 19.6 19.4 32.8 5.0 7.3 3.6 1.6 2.0 1.7 4.9 2.1 13.2
26–27 Sep Tecnè 800 20.0 19.8 31.9 7.8 7.5 1.8 2.0 1.7 4.3 3.2 11.9
23–27 Sep GPF 811 24.2 20.1 29.1 6.0 7.0 1.2 2.5 0.9 1.8 4.4 2.8 4.9
25–26 Sep Termometro Politico 2,400 17.4 18.6 35.3 5.4 8.2 1.6 1.3 2.0 0.5 1.2 5.5 3.0 16.7
25–26 Sep Ipsos 1,000 20.8 19.5 30.8 7.0 8.9 2.8 1.6 4.8 3.8 10.0
25 Sep EMG 1,785 18.7 20.3 32.2 6.8 7.3 2.1 2.6 1.6 1.1 4.3 3.0 11.9
25 Sep Noto 19.5 20.0 33.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 4.5 2.5 13.0
23–24 Sep Ixè 1,000 21.5 21.8 29.9 6.5 8.6 2.7 2.7 2.0 2.9 1.4 8.1
22–23 Sep Tecnè 1,000 20.4 19.5 32.0 7.9 7.5 1.8 2.0 1.6 0.7 1.0 4.3 1.3 11.6
18–23 Sep SWG 1,500 20.0 19.4 33.6 5.1 6.7 2.3 1.7 2.0 2.0 5.4 1.8 13.6
20–22 Sep Piepoli 505 19.0 20.0 30.5 7.0 6.5 2.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 10.5
19–20 Sep Tecnè 800 20.5 19.4 32.9 8.0 7.3 2.1 2.2 1.3 3.6 2.7 12.4
19–20 Sep IZI 1,004 22.5 19.5 29.0 7.0 8.0 5.5 8.5 6.5
19–20 Sep Quorum – YouTrend 1,007 18.0 21.2 31.3 6.9 7.8 3.1 2.7 0.8 3.6 4.6 10.1
18–20 Sep ScenariPolitici – Winpoll 1,500 15.1 20.7 33.5 5.7 8.5 2.8 1.2 1.4 6.4 4.7 12.8
19 Sep Index 19.8 20.5 33.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 2.5 1.8 3.5 3.9 12.5
18–19 Sep Tecnè 1,000 20.5 19.4 33.0 7.9 7.2 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 3.6 1.4 12.5
18–19 Sep Demopolis 1,500 20.5 19.4 33.0 6.0 7.0 5.2 8.9 12.5
18–19 Sep Termometro Politico 2,000 18.5 19.5 36.1 5.2 8.4 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.7 1.5 3.6 2.7 16.6
17–18 Sep Euromedia 800 19.2 17.6 32.1 6.5 7.0 2.4 1.8 1.1 1.2 1.6 5.0 4.5 12.9
14–18 Sep Bidimedia 1,548 20.0 22.4 30.3 6.0 7.3 2.0 2.3 1.8 1.4 6.5 7.9
17 Sep EMG 1,805 18.5 20.2 33.1 7.0 7.3 2.0 2.7 1.5 1.2 1.1 3.4 2.0 12.9
16–17 Sep Ixè 1,000 21.9 21.6 29.9 7.4 8.3 3.2 4.0 1.6 Did not exist 2.1 8.0
15–16 Sep Tecnè 1,000 20.7 23.3 32.3 7.9 7.3 2.0 2.6 1.3 2.6 9.0
11–16 Sep SWG 1,500 20.5 21.5 34.0 5.9 7.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.0 2.2 12.5
12 Sep Tecnè 800 21.1 23.6 31.3 8.1 7.3 2.1 2.6 1.3 2.6 7.7
11–12 Sep Termometro Politico 3,000 19.8 23.0 34.9 5.1 7.9 1.7 1.2 1.7 0.6 1.8 2.3 11.9
10–12 Sep Demos & Pi 1,006 20.8 22.3 32.5 6.5 7.4 3.1 2.5 4.9 10.2
9–12 Sep Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 15.5 23.3 34.0 6.8 8.9 3.1 2.4 2.0 4.0 10.7
10 Sep EMG 1,865 19.7 23.0 33.3 7.8 7.0 1.8 2.6 1.2 1.0 2.6 10.3
9–10 Sep Euromedia 800 19.7 20.6 33.9 6.6 6.4 2.9 2.7 0.9 1.4 1.4 3.5 13.3
9–10 Sep Noto 19.0 22.5 34.0 5.5 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 2.5 2.5 11.5
9–10 Sep Demopolis 1,500 21.8 23.2 32.5 6.5 7.0 3.0 Did not exist 6.0 9.3
9–10 Sep Ixè 1,000 22.0 22.6 30.0 7.4 7.9 2.5 4.2 1.4 2.0 7.4
8–9 Sep Tecnè 1,000 22.2 24.2 30.5 7.8 7.1 1.7 2.6 1.5 2.4 6.3
4–9 Sep SWG 1,500 21.0 22.1 33.4 5.2 7.2 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.3 1.7 11.3
7 Sep Piepoli 20.5 24.0 30.0 7.0 6.5 3.5 8.5 6.0
5 Sep Tecnè 1,000 21.7 24.4 30.7 7.9 7.0 1.7 2.7 1.6 2.3 6.3
4–5 Sep Demopolis 1,500 22.0 23.0 32.0 6.7 6.8 3.0 6.5 9.0
4–5 Sep GPF 1,002 24.3 23.9 30.3 6.1 6.6 1.3 2.8 1.2 3.5 6.0
4 Sep Noto 20.0 23.0 35.0 6.5 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 3.0 12.0
2–3 Sep Ixè 1,000 22.3 23.0 30.1 7.0 7.4 2.4 4.0 1.5 2.3 7.1
31 Aug–2 Sep Tecnè 1,000 21.5 24.6 31.0 7.8 7.0 1.5 2.5 1.6 2.5 6.4
29 Aug–2 Sep SWG 1,500 21.4 21.1 33.6 6.2 6.9 2.7 3.0 2.4 2.7 12.2
29–30 Aug Quorum – YouTrend 1,000 18.6 22.3 31.9 6.8 8.8 2.9 4.1 4.6 9.6
26–28 Aug Ipsos 998 24.2 22.3 31.8 6.0 7.8 2.5 2.2 1.0 2.2 7.6
24–28 Aug Bidimedia 1,693 19.2 24.2 32.5 6.2 7.7 2.1 2.7 1.9 3.5 8.3
27 Aug Piepoli 505 16.5 23.5 32.0 7.5 6.0 3.5 11.0 8.5
23–25 Aug Demopolis 3,002 19.0 23.0 33.0 6.2 6.8 12.0 10.0
21–23 Aug Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 16.6 24.0 33.7 6.6 8.3 2.3 3.2 1.4 3.9 9.7
21–23 Aug Termometro Politico 3,000 17.8 24.1 36.6 5.8 7.0 1.8 2.1 1.3 3.5 12.5
21 Aug Tecnè 1,000 20.8 24.6 31.3 8.3 6.7 1.4 2.5 1.8 2.6 6.7
20–21 Aug GPF 609 23.1 23.5 31.2 5.9 6.7 1.0 2.9 2.1 3.6 7.7
19–21 Aug IZI 1,008 16.0 23.5 36.0 6.4 8.1 2.0 Did not exist 8.0 12.5
12 Aug GPF 802 23.7 22.8 32.1 6.1 6.6 0.8 2.8 5.1 8.4
7–10 Aug Termometro Politico 2,500 18.2 23.4 36.1 6.0 7.1 1.8 2.3 1.8 3.3 12.7
9 Aug Noto 16.5 23.0 38.0 6.5 8.0 1.5 6.5 15.0
5 Aug Tecnè 1,000 17.5 22.4 38.0 8.0 6.0 1.4 2.4 2.2 2.1 15.6
29 Jul–2 Aug Termometro Politico 1,700 17.0 22.6 37.5 6.2 6.9 2.0 2.2 1.9 3.7 14.9
30 Jul–1 Aug Tecnè 1,000 17.6 22.5 37.7 8.1 6.0 1.6 2.4 2.3 1.8 15.2
30–31 Jul Ipsos 1,000 17.8 20.5 36.0 7.1 7.5 2.0 3.5 1.9 3.7 15.5
27–30 Jul Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 14.8 23.3 38.9 6.7 7.4 1.9 2.3 1.7 3.0 15.6
24–29 Jul SWG 1,500 17.3 22.0 38.0 6.5 6.6 2.1 2.7 2.3 2.5 16.0
24–25 Jul Tecnè 1,000 17.5 22.7 38.1 7.8 6.3 1.4 2.5 2.1 1.6 15.4
22–24 Jul Demopolis 1,500 18.0 22.5 36.0 6.7 6.8 10.0 13.5
22 Jul Euromedia 1,000 18.0 20.0 36.0 8.1 6.1 2.3 3.3 6.2 16.0
22 Jul Piepoli 505 17.5 22.5 36.0 7.0 5.5 3.0 8.5 13.5
17–22 Jul SWG 1,500 18.5 21.5 37.8 6.6 6.3 2.0 2.8 2.5 2.0 16.3
17–18 Jul Tecnè 1,000 17.3 23.6 37.0 8.0 6.6 1.5 2.4 1.9 1.7 13.4
16–18 Jul Ipsos 1,000 17.4 21.6 35.9 8.2 6.0 1.8 3.5 2.0 3.6 14.3
16–18 Jul Termometro Politico 1,400 17.1 23.1 37.9 6.2 6.8 1.8 2.1 1.8 3.2 14.8
15–18 Jul GPF 919 24.2 22.8 33.1 7.0 6.1 0.4 2.5 3.9 8.9
15 Jul Piepoli 500 17.5 23.5 36.0 8.0 5.5 9.5 12.5
10–15 Jul SWG 1,500 17.9 22.0 37.7 7.0 6.4 1.8 3.0 2.4 1.8 15.7
9–12 Jul Termometro Politico 1,300 17.1 22.6 37.9 6.3 7.0 1.7 2.3 1.8 3.3 15.3
10–11 Jul Tecnè 1,000 17.2 23.5 37.1 7.9 6.8 1.4 2.3 2.0 1.8 13.6
8–10 Jul Demos & Pi 1,017 17.6 22.5 35.3 7.0 6.2 2.0 3.5 2.1 3.8 12.8
8–10 Jul GPF 807 23.7 22.3 33.7 7.1 5.9 0.4 2.7 4.2 10.0
7–8 Jul Tecnè 1,000 16.9 23.4 37.8 7.7 6.9 7.3 14.4
3–8 Jul SWG 1,500 17.4 22.7 37.5 6.8 6.6 1.7 2.9 2.4 2.0 14.8
7 Jul Noto 17.0 24.0 38.0 6.5 8.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 14.0
4 Jul Eumetra 19.0 24.0 37.5 8.0 6.5 5.0 13.5
1–4 Jul Termometro Politico 1,700 18.0 22.9 37.0 6.7 7.0 1.4 1.8 1.7 3.5 14.1
29 Jun–4 Jul Bidimedia 1,698 18.1 23.5 35.0 6.3 6.8 1.9 2.7 2.5 3.2 11.5
26 Jun–1 Jul SWG 1,500 17.2 22.6 38.0 6.5 6.4 1.5 2.8 2.7 2.3 15.4
26 Jun Noto 17.5 25.0 36.0 7.5 8.0 1.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 11.0
25–26 Jun Ipsos 1,000 17.3 21.2 33.3 9.3 6.7 1.9 3.4 2.5 4.4 12.1
25 Jun EMG 1,845 19.0 23.8 34.6 8.5 6.7 2.0 2.9 0.9 1.6 10.8
23–24 Jun Tecnè 1,000 17.0 23.4 35.5 9.1 6.6 8.4 12.1
19–24 Jun SWG 1,500 18.0 22.6 37.3 6.6 6.5 1.6 2.8 2.7 1.9 14.7
19–20 Jun Demopolis 1,500 18.5 22.0 35.2 7.0 6.8 10.5 13.2
18 Jun EMG 1,815 17.9 24.4 35.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 2.7 1.1 1.9 10.6
18 Jun Noto 17.5 24.0 35.0 7.5 7.5 1.5 2.5 1.5 3.0 11.0
12–17 Jun SWG 1,500 18.3 22.5 37.0 6.6 6.7 1.7 2.7 2.6 1.9 14.5
12 Jun Index 800 19.2 22.6 34.5 6.7 6.8 1.7 3.0 2.7 2.8 11.9
11 Jun EMG 1,735 18.0 23.9 35.2 8.6 6.7 1.9 2.5 1.1 2.1 11.3
11 Jun Noto 18.0 24.0 35.0 8.0 7.5 1.5 2.5 2.0 1.5 11.0
10 Jun Euromedia 800 18.0 23.5 35.1 7.0 6.3 2.0 3.5 1.3 3.3 11.6
10 Jun Piepoli 505 17.0 23.5 35.0 8.0 6.0 1.5 3.0 1.5 4.5 11.5
9–10 Jun Tecnè 1,000 16.9 23.6 36.0 8.7 6.7 8.1 12.4
5–10 Jun SWG 1,500 18.4 22.8 37.3 6.3 6.3 1.5 2.8 2.8 1.8 14.5
3–7 Jun Termometro Politico 1,700 18.0 23.1 35.3 6.2 7.2 1.2 2.6 2.7 3.7 12.2
5–6 Jun Tecnè 1,000 16.9 23.7 36.1 9.0 6.6 7.7 12.4
5 Jun Index 800 18.9 23.3 34.0 6.9 7.0 1.8 3.0 2.5 2.6 10.7
2–3 Jun Tecnè 1,000 16.8 23.9 35.8 9.2 6.8 7.5 11.9
29 May–3 Jun SWG 1,500 17.5 23.5 36.5 6.9 6.6 1.7 2.7 2.6 2.0 13.0
1 Jun EMG 1,600 19.0 24.0 34.0 8.0 6.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 10.0
30 May Piepoli 1,000 17.0 23.0 35.0 9.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 12.0
28–29 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 16.5 23.8 36.3 7.9 6.8 1.4 2.7 1.8 2.8 12.5
26 May EP election 17.1 22.7 34.3 8.8 6.5 1.7 3.1 2.3 3.5 11.5
8–9 May Tecnè 1,000 22.5 21.5 31.0 10.5 5.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 8.5
8–9 May Euromedia 800 21.5 21.9 29.6 10.1 5.3 2.0 3.5 6.1 7.7
8–9 May Demopolis 2,000 23.0 22.2 31.0 8.4 5.5 2.8 3.2 3.9 8.0
7–9 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 22.7 22.1 33.8 7.8 5.8 2.1 2.4 1.3 2.0 11.1
6–9 May Ixè 1,000 20.5 20.1 30.5 9.6 5.2 3.4 4.0 6.7 10.0
5–9 May Termometro Politico 6,000 23.0 21.8 30.6 9.5 5.8 1.9 2.8 0.8 3.8 7.6
8 May Piepoli 503 22.0 21.0 30.5 10.0 5.0 2.0 3.5 6.0 8.5
7–8 May Index 800 22.3 21.1 32.4 9.2 5.0 2.7 3.0 1.7 2.6 10.1
6–8 May SWG 1,500 22.7 22.5 30.5 9.4 4.7 2.7 2.6 1.7 3.2 7.8
6–8 May Bidimedia 1,455 22.4 21.2 32.2 9.0 4.7 2.5 3.0 1.7 3.3 9.8
6–8 May Demos & Pi 1,007 22.6 20.4 32.2 9.5 4.7 3.1 4.1 3.4 9.6
6–8 May Ipsos 1,000 24.9 20.5 30.9 7.8 5.7 2.1 3.2 1.8 3.1 6.0
7 May EMG 1,642 23.5 21.2 32.2 10.3 5.0 2.6 2.8 2.4 8.7
7 May Noto 21.0 21.0 32.0 9.0 5.5 2.0 3.5 1.0 5.0 11.0
5–7 May Demopolis 1,500 24.5 19.0 29.0 9.0 4.8 13.7 4.5
4–6 May Tecnè 1,509 22.0 21.0 31.0 10.5 5.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 9.0
30 Apr–6 May SWG 1,500 22.7 22.2 30.7 9.1 4.6 2.8 2.7 1.8 3.4 8.0
24 Apr–6 May CISE 1,000 23.5 20.4 30.8 11.0 4.6 2.3 4.9 2.5 7.3
2–3 May Quorum – YouTrend 1,000 22.2 21.4 32.1 9.5 5.3 3.2 2.3 4.0 9.9
30 Apr Piepoli 504 22.0 20.5 31.0 10.0 5.5 2.0 3.5 1.0 4.5 9.0
30 Apr Euromedia 800 20.6 20.3 32.4 10.3 5.3 1.5 3.8 1.4 4.4 11.8
30 Apr Index 800 22.0 20.5 32.8 9.3 5.0 4.4 3.1 2.9 10.8
30 Apr Noto 20.0 22.0 32.0 8.5 6.0 2.5 3.0 1.5 4.5 10.0
28–29 Apr Tecnè 1,000 22.3 21.4 31.2 12.2 5.2 7.7 8.9
24–29 Apr SWG 1,500 21.8 22.5 31.6 8.8 5.0 3.1 2.9 1.5 2.8 9.1
27 Apr EMG 1,536 22.9 21.9 32.2 10.1 5.1 2.5 3.0 2.3 9.3
23 Apr EMG 1,525 23.1 22.6 31.3 10.2 5.4 2.8 3.0 1.6 8.2
23 Apr Noto 20.5 21.0 33.5 8.5 6.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 4.5 12.5
22–23 Apr Demopolis 1,500 23.5 20.0 31.0 9.3 5.2 12.0 7.5
18–23 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 20.1 20.5 36.4 8.7 5.4 1.9 3.1 1.7 2.2 15.9
17–23 Apr SWG 1,500 22.3 22.0 32.3 8.4 4.8 3.4 3.0 1.6 2.2 10.0
19–22 Apr Termometro Politico 1,000 23.5 22.0 31.5 9.1 5.7 2.1 2.9 1.0 2.2 8.0
20 Apr Ipsos 22.3 18.7 36.9 8.7 4.6 2.1 3.0 1.3 2.4 14.6
18 Apr Tecnè 1,000 22.0 20.6 32.0 11.6 4.9 8.9 10.0
17 Apr Index 800 21.7 19.8 32.9 9.2 4.8 4.4 3.1 4.1 11.2
16 Apr EMG 1,794 22.6 21.8 32.1 9.5 4.9 2.9 2.9 3.3 9.5
16 Apr Piepoli 503 22.5 20.5 31.0 10.5 5.5 3.5 3.0 1.5 2.0 8.5
16 Apr Euromedia 800 20.8 19.5 33.0 10.6 5.5 3.0 3.8 1.2 2.6 12.2
16 Apr Noto 20.0 21.0 33.5 9.0 6.0 3.0 3.5 1.5 2.5 12.5
10–15 Apr SWG 1,500 22.5 21.5 32.3 8.9 4.8 2.9 3.3 1.2 2.6 9.8
11–12 Apr Quorum 1,000 22.3 21.1 33.2 9.9 5.1 2.7 2.0 3.7 10.9
8–11 Apr Bidimedia 1,310 21.5 21.5 32.3 10.1 4.8 2.8 3.3 1.6 2.1 10.8
2–10 Apr Termometro Politico 1,500 22.6 21.7 32.0 9.8 5.6 2.3 3.0 1.4 1.6 9.4
Date Polling firm Sample size M5S PD Lega FI FdI LeU[c] +Eu NcI PaP[d] Other Lead
9 Apr EMG 1,845 21.5 22.3 31.4 10.1 4.8 2.9 0.5 6.5 9.1
9 Apr Noto 20.0 21.0 32.5 9.5 5.5 1.5 3.0 0.5 1.0 5.5 11.5
7–8 Apr Tecnè 1,000 21.4 20.0 31.9 12.3 4.7 9.7 10.5
5–8 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 20.5 20.9 35.7 9.5 4.3 1.7 2.8 1.4 3.2 15.8
3–8 Apr SWG 1,500 22.0 22.1 31.8 8.9 4.9 2.9 3.1 1.1 3.2 9.7
2–4 Apr Ipsos 1,000 23.3 19.0 35.7 9.9 4.0 2.0 3.1 3.0 12.5
3 Apr Piepoli 504 22.5 20.0 30.5 10.5 5.0 3.0 3.0 0.5 5.0 8.0
3 Apr Euromedia 800 19.4 20.1 31.4 11.1 5.4 3.9 3.8 w. FI 4.9 11.3
2–3 Apr Index 800 21.1 20.8 33.6 9.3 4.6 3.2 2.8 1.5 3.1 12.5
2 Apr EMG 1,725 22.7 21.1 31.9 9.3 4.7 2.9 0.6 1.6 5.2 9.2
2 Apr Noto 20.5 21.0 32.0 10.5 5.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 11.0
31 Mar–1 Apr Tecnè 1,000 21.0 20.1 31.9 12.1 4.6 10.3 10.9
29 Mar–1 Apr Ixè 1,000 19.1 22.6 31.2 8.7 4.9 3.2 2.5 0.6 1.3 5.9 8.6
27 Mar–1 Apr SWG 1,500 22.2 20.8 32.9 9.0 4.6 1.0 2.9 1.3 5.3 10.7
25 Mar–1 Apr Termometro Politico 4,000 21.3 21.6 31.9 9.1 4.6 3.6 3.2 1.1 3.6 10.3
29–30 Mar Quorum – YouTrend 1,000 22.7 20.5 32.1 10.0 5.3 3.4 2.7 3.3 9.4
28 Mar Tecnè 1,002 21.0 20.2 32.0 11.8 4.7 10.3 11.0
26–27 Mar Index 800 20.6 21.1 34.5 9.1 4.5 2.9 2.7 1.7 2.9 13.4
26–27 Mar Demopolis 1,500 22.0 21.0 32.0 9.0 4.0 12.0 10.0
26 Mar EMG 1,865 22.9 21.1 31.8 9.5 4.9 3.0 0.6 1.6 4.6 8.9
26 Mar Noto 21.0 21.0 32.0 11.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.0
22–25 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 20.3 21.2 35.8 9.2 4.1 1.5 3.1 1.6 3.2 14.6
20–25 Mar SWG 1,500 21.3 21.0 33.4 8.7 4.7 2.3 2.9 2.2 3.5 12.1
21 Mar Piepoli 23.0 20.0 31.0 11.5 4.5 2.0 3.0 0.5 4.5 8.0
20–21 Mar Euromedia 800 19.8 20.7 33.1 11.4 4.7 2.2 3.6 4.5 12.4
20–21 Mar Tecnè 1,000 19.9 21.0 33.1 11.7 4.5 9.8 12.1
20 Mar Index 800 20.4 21.2 34.8 9.0 4.4 2.8 2.7 1.7 3.0 13.6
19 Mar EMG 1,785 23.4 21.0 30.9 10.0 4.8 3.0 0.6 1.6 4.7 7.5
19 Mar Noto 21.0 21.0 32.5 11.0 4.5 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.5
13–18 Mar SWG 1,500 21.0 21.1 33.9 8.6 4.4 2.4 3.0 2.0 3.6 12.8
17–18 Mar Tecnè 1,000 21.8 20.4 31.2 11.9 4.4 10.3 9.4
12–13 Mar Index 800 21.3 20.1 34.6 9.1 4.3 2.9 2.7 1.7 3.3 13.3
12–13 Mar Demopolis 1,500 22.8 20.2 33.0 8.8 3.6 11.6 10.2
11–13 Mar Demos & Pi 1,005 23.2 19.0 34.4 9.6 4.2 2.6 2.5 4.5 11.2
12 Mar EMG 1,845 23.8 19.9 30.6 9.8 4.9 3.1 0.6 1.6 5.7 6.8
12 Mar Noto 21.0 21.0 32.5 11.5 4.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.5
12 Mar Piepoli 500 24.5 19.0 31.5 11.0 4.0 2.5 3.5 0.5 3.5 7.0
6–11 Mar SWG 1,500 21.8 20.3 33.7 8.9 4.1 2.6 2.8 1.9 3.9 11.9
6–7 Mar Tecnè 2,000 22.2 20.3 31.2 12.5 4.2 3.3 6.3 9.0
5–6 Mar Index 800 21.7 18.9 34.6 9.0 4.5 3.3 2.8 1.8 3.4 12.9
5 Mar EMG 1,803 23.2 19.3 31.2 10.2 4.8 3.1 0.6 1.4 6.2 8.0
5 Mar Noto 21.0 20.0 33.0 11.0 4.0 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 12.0
3–4 Mar Tecnè 1,003 21.8 18.8 32.5 12.0 4.6 10.3 10.7
27 Feb–4 Mar SWG 1,500 22.1 19.8 33.4 8.8 4.4 2.4 3.0 2.0 4.1 11.3
1–3 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 21.6 20.3 35.4 8.8 3.8 1.9 3.2 1.7 3.3 13.8
27–28 Feb Tecnè 1,000 22.0 18.3 32.5 12.1 4.7 10.4 10.5
26–28 Feb Ipsos 1,000 21.2 18.5 35.9 8.6 4.0 2.4 4.0 0.5 4.9 14.7
26–27 Feb Index 800 22.1 18.0 34.5 9.1 4.5 3.5 3.0 2.0 3.3 12.4
22–27 Feb Bidimedia 1,084 22.7 18.9 32.3 9.5 4.0 2.5 2.6 0.6 1.7 5.2 9.6
26 Feb EMG 1,603 23.8 18.2 31.2 10.7 5.0 3.0 0.6 1.6 5.9 7.4
25 Feb Piepoli 505 25.0 18.5 31.5 11.0 4.5 1.5 3.5 0.5 4.0 6.5
25 Feb Euromedia 800 21.8 18.6 34.6 11.0 4.7 1.9 3.7 w. FI 3.7 12.8
20–25 Feb SWG 1,500 22.6 18.5 33.2 8.7 4.3 3.0 3.1 2.3 4.3 10.6
19–20 Feb Index 800 22.2 17.5 34.7 8.7 4.5 3.6 2.8 2.2 3.8 12.5
19 Feb EMG 1,802 24.8 17.9 30.7 10.3 5.2 3.0 0.7 1.6 5.8 5.9
19 Feb Noto 21.0 18.0 35.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 3.5 0.5 1.0 4.0 14.0
17–18 Feb Tecnè 1,000 23.2 16.9 33.0 12.0 4.4 10.5 9.8
13–18 Feb SWG 1,500 22.1 18.6 33.4 9.0 4.5 2.9 2.9 2.2 4.4 11.3
14–17 Feb Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 23.2 18.7 36.2 9.0 3.4 1.8 2.8 1.6 3.3 13.0
13–15 Feb Quorum – YouTrend 1,003 24.3 18.0 32.9 10.3 5.1 9.4 8.6
12–13 Feb Index 800 22.3 17.3 34.5 8.3 4.6 3.5 2.9 2.3 4.3 12.2
12–13 Feb Demopolis 1,500 25.2 17.5 33.0 8.6 3.4 12.3 7.8
12 Feb EMG 24.6 18.0 31.4 9.5 4.9 3.0 0.7 2.0 5.9 6.8
12 Feb Piepoli 500 27.0 17.5 30.5 10.0 5.0 3.5 2.5 0.5 3.5 3.5
12 Feb Euromedia 800 24.0 16.8 34.4 10.5 4.6 3.4 3.3 0.3 2.7 10.4
12 Feb Noto 22.0 19.0 34.0 10.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 12.0
6–11 Feb SWG 1,500 23.3 17.5 33.8 8.5 4.6 2.7 3.1 2.4 4.1 10.5
6–7 Feb Ipsos 1,000 25.4 16.1 34.4 8.1 3.6 2.2 4.2 0.8 5.2 9.0
4–7 Feb Tecnè 16,000 25.1 16.7 31.9 11.7 4.5 3.1 7.0 6.8
6 Feb Index 800 23.3 17.2 34.2 8.1 4.3 3.0 2.8 2.2 4.9 10.9
2–6 Feb Bidimedia 1,113 24.9 18.7 31.3 9.0 3.5 2.6 2.4 0.6 1.7 5.3 6.4
5 Feb EMG 1,803 25.1 18.7 30.1 9.7 4.5 3.0 0.8 2.0 6.1 5.0
3–4 Feb Tecnè 998 25.0 17.3 32.1 11.7 4.1 9.8 7.1
30 Jan–4 Feb SWG 1,500 24.0 16.8 33.8 8.3 4.3 2.9 3.1 2.5 4.3 9.8
30 Jan Noto 24.0 19.0 33.0 9.0 4.5 2.0 3.0 0.5 1.5 3.5 9.0
29–30 Jan Index 800 23.5 17.5 33.7 7.9 4.3 2.9 2.7 2.0 5.5 10.2
28–30 Jan Demos & Pi 1,006 24.9 18.2 33.7 9.4 3.3 2.8 3.0 4.7 8.8
29 Jan EMG 1,786 25.8 18.2 30.3 9.2 4.5 3.0 0.8 1.9 6.3 4.5
29 Jan Piepoli 503 27.5 17.0 30.0 10.5 4.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 4.5 2.5
29 Jan Euromedia 800 24.7 17.2 33.0 10.4 4.6 3.4 2.8 0.5 3.4 8.3
27–28 Jan Tecnè 1,000 25.8 17.9 30.2 11.9 4.3 9.9 4.4
23–28 Jan SWG 1,500 24.9 17.2 32.6 8.1 4.5 2.6 2.9 2.4 4.8 7.7
22 Jan Piepoli 503 28.0 17.0 30.0 10.5 4.5 2.5 2.0 0.5 5.0 2.0
22 Jan EMG 1,801 26.5 17.9 30.1 8.9 4.7 2.6 0.7 2.1 6.5 3.6
16–21 Jan SWG 1,500 25.7 17.9 31.5 8.6 4.4 2.8 3.0 2.3 3.8 5.8
16–17 Jan Tecnè 1,005 25.5 17.6 31.2 12.0 3.9 9.8 5.7
15–17 Jan Ipsos 1,000 25.4 17.3 35.8 7.1 3.4 3.5 0.6 6.9 10.4
15–16 Jan Index 800 23.9 17.6 33.0 8.0 4.1 2.7 2.5 2.1 6.1 9.1
15 Jan EMG 1,794 26.6 18.5 30.6 8.8 4.4 2.1 0.8 1.8 6.4 4.0
15 Jan Piepoli 505 28.0 17.5 30.5 10.5 4.0 2.5 2.0 0.5 4.5 2.5
15 Jan Euromedia 800 24.7 16.5 31.2 10.5 5.0 3.1 3.1 0.5 5.4 6.5
15 Jan Noto 23.0 19.0 32.0 9.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 0.5 1.5 6.0 9.0
14–15 Jan Demopolis 1,500 26.5 17.6 32.0 9.0 3.4 11.5 5.5
9–14 Jan SWG 1,500 25.2 17.3 32.2 8.2 4.2 3.1 3.2 2.5 4.1 7.0
13 Jan Noto 23.0 19.0 34.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 2.5 1.0 1.5 4.0 11.0
9–10 Jan Tecnè 2,000 25.5 17.5 30.8 11.7 3.9 3.1 7.5 5.3
7–10 Jan Bidimedia 1,096 25.6 18.7 30.8 9.3 3.3 2.4 2.9 0.4 1.4 5.2 5.2
8–9 Jan Index 800 24.1 17.5 33.1 7.9 4.1 2.9 2.5 2.2 5.7 9.0
8 Jan Piepoli 505 28.0 17.5 31.5 10.0 3.5 2.5 2.0 0.5 4.5 3.5
8 Jan EMG 1,540 26.1 19.1 31.0 8.3 4.1 2.0 0.8 2.0 6.6 4.9
6–7 Jan Tecnè 1,003 24.9 17.8 31.8 10.9 4.2 10.4 6.9
3–7 Jan SWG 1,500 26.3 17.3 32.2 8.3 3.8 2.8 2.9 2.2 4.2 5.9

2018[edit]

  1. ^ Some polls include LeU instead of LS.
  2. ^ Polls before 21 November refer to We Are Europeans (SE).
  3. ^ a b Some polls have included former LeU member parties MDP or SI or both separately, instead of LeU. Starting from March 2019, some polls have include LS, a joint list formed mainly by SI and PRC.
  4. ^ a b In the 2018 Italian general election PaP was a joint list, including PRC and PCI, which left the alliance a few months later. Some polls have included these two parties within PaP and/or CP.

Coalition vote[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

6-point average trend line of poll results starting from 4 March 2018, with each line corresponding to a coalition.
  M5S
  Others (including LeU or LS)

2019[edit]

Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU[a] / LS[b] Others Lead
6 Nov Index 800 48.7 43.9 7.4 4.8
30 Oct Tecnè 1,000 51.1 41.0 7.9 10.1
22–24 Oct Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 47.9 14.7 30.1 2.0 5.3 17.8
21 Oct Tecnè 1,000 49.2 42.7 8.1 6.5
18–20 Sep Quorum – YouTrend 1,000 47.2 46.2 6.6 1.0
16–17 Sep Ixè 1,000 45.6 21.9 27.2 3.2 2.1 18.4
9–10 Sep Ixè 1,000 45.3 22.0 28.2 2.5 2.1 17.1
7 Sep Piepoli 44.0 20.5 33.0 2.5 11.5
2–3 Sep Ixè 1,000 44.5 22.3 28.5 2.4 2.3 16.0
26–28 Aug Ipsos 998 45.6 24.2 25.5 2.5 2.2 20.1
21–23 Aug Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 48.6 16.6 28.6 2.3 3.9 20.0
20–21 Aug GPF[c] 609 46.2 23.1 29.1 1.6 17.1
19–21 Aug IZI 1,008 52.4 16.0 31.6 N/A 20.8
12 Aug GPF 802 46.8 23.7 28.0 1.5 18.8
30–31 Jul Ipsos 1,000 50.6 17.8 25.9 2.0 3.7 24.7
27–30 Jul Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 53.0 14.8 27.3 1.9 3.0 25.7
22 Jul Euromedia 1,000 50.2 18.0 25.4 2.3 4.1 24.8
16–18 Jul Ipsos 1,000 50.1 17.4 27.1 1.8 3.6 23.0
15–18 Jul GPF 919 46.7 24.2 27.3 1.8 19.4
8–10 Jul GPF 807 47.3 23.7 27.1 1.9 20.2
29 Jun–4 Jul Bidimedia 1,698 48.1 18.1 28.7 1.9 3.2 19.4
26 Jun Noto 51.5 17.5 27.0 1.0 3.0 24.5
25–26 Jun Ipsos 1,000 49.3 17.3 27.1 1.9 4.4 22.2
18 Jun Noto 50.0 17.5 26.5 1.5 4.5 23.5
11 Jun Noto 50.5 18.0 26.5 1.5 3.5 22.0
10 Jun Euromedia 800 48.4 18.0 28.6 2.0 3.0 19.8
10 Jun Piepoli 505 49.0 17.0 28.5 1.5 4.0 20.5
3–7 Jun Termometro Politico 1,700 48.7 18.0 28.4 1.2 3.7 20.3
30 May Piepoli 1,000 50.0 17.0 28.0 2.0 3.0 22.0
28–29 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 51.0 16.5 28.3 1.4 2.8 22.7
26 May EP Election 50.1 17.1 28.1 1.7 3.0 22.0
7–9 May Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 47.4 22.7 25.8 2.1 2.0 21.6
6–9 May Ixè 1,000 45.9 20.5 25.9 3.4 4.3 20.0
5–9 May Termometro Politico 6,000 45.9 23.0 25.4 1.9 3.8 20.5
6–8 May Bidimedia 1,455 46.4 22.4 25.9 2.5 2.8 20.5
6–8 May Ipsos 1,000 44.4 24.9 25.5 2.1 3.1 18.9
6–8 May Demos & Pi 1,007 46.4 22.6 24.5 3.1 3.4 21.9
7 May Noto 46.5 21.0 24.5 2.0 6.0 22.0
30 Apr Piepoli 504 47.0 22.0 25.0 2.0 4.0 22.0
30 Apr Euromedia 800 48.4 20.6 25.5 1.5 4.0 22.9
30 Apr Noto 46.5 20.0 25.0 2.5 6.0 21.5
23 Apr Noto 48.0 20.5 24.0 2.0 5.5 24.0
18–23 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 50.5 20.1 25.3 1.9 2.2 25.2
20 Apr Ipsos 50.2 22.3 23.0 2.1 2.4 27.2
18 Apr Tecnè 1,000 48.5 22.0 25.5 4.0 23.0
16 Apr Piepoli 503 47.5 22.5 25.0 3.5 1.5 22.5
16 Apr Euromedia 800 49.1 20.8 24.5 3.0 2.6 24.6
16 Apr Noto 48.5 20.0 24.5 3.0 4.0 24.0
2–10 Apr Termometro Politico 1,500 47.4 22.6 26.1 2.3 1.6 21.3
9 Apr EMG 1,845 46.8 22.3 29.0 1.9 17.8
9 Apr Noto 48.0 20.0 25.0 1.5 5.5 23.0
5–8 Apr Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 51.1 20.5 25.3 1.7 1.4 25.8
2–4 Apr Ipsos 1,000 49.6 23.3 22.8 2.0 2.3 26.6
3 Apr Piepoli 504 47.0 22.5 24.0 3.0 3.5 23.0
3 Apr Euromedia 800 47.9 19.4 25.0 3.9 3.8 22.9
2 Apr EMG 1,725 46.5 22.7 27.4 3.4 19.1
2 Apr Noto 48.0 20.5 25.5 1.5 4.5 22.5
29 Mar–1 Apr Ixè 1,000 45.4 19.1 26.4 3.2 5.9 19.0
25 Mar–1 Apr Termometro Politico 4,000 46.7 21.3 26.8 3.6 1.6 19.9
28 Mar Tecnè 1,002 49.1 21.0 25.0 4.9 24.1
26–27 Mar Index[c] 800 49.2 21.0 29.8 N/A 19.4
26 Mar EMG 1,865 46.8 22.9 27.4 2.9 19.4
26 Mar Noto 48.0 21.0 25.5 2.0 3.5 22.5
22–25 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 50.9 20.3 25.7 1.5 1.6 25.2
21 Mar Piepoli 48.0 23.0 23.5 2.0 3.5 24.5
20–21 Mar Euromedia 800 49.2 19.8 25.3 2.2 3.5 23.9
19 Mar EMG 1,785 46.3 23.4 27.5 2.8 18.8
19 Mar Noto 48.5 21.0 25.0 1.5 4.0 23.5
12 Mar EMG 1,845 45.9 23.8 27.0 3.3 18.9
12 Mar Noto 48.5 21.0 25.0 1.5 4.0 23.5
12 Mar Piepoli 500 47.0 24.5 23.0 2.5 3.0 22.5
6–7 Mar Tecnè 2,000 48.3 22.2 24.0 5.5 24.3
5 Mar EMG 1,803 46.8 23.2 26.9 3.1 19.9
5 Mar Noto 48.5 21.0 24.0 1.5 5.0 24.5
1–3 Mar Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 49.7 21.6 25.1 1.9 1.7 24.6
27–28 Feb Tecnè 1,000 50.4 22.0 22.8 4.8 27.6
26–28 Feb Ipsos 1,000 49.0 21.2 23.5 2.4 3.9 25.5
22–27 Feb Bidimedia 1,084 46.4 22.7 23.9 2.5 4.5 22.5
26 Feb EMG 1,603 47.5 23.8 25.2 3.5 22.3
25 Feb Piepoli 505 48.0 25.0 22.5 1.5 3.0 23.0
25 Feb Euromedia 800 50.7 21.8 23.1 1.9 2.5 27.6
24–25 Feb Tecnè 1,005 49.6 22.2 22.7 5.5 26.9
19 Feb EMG 1,802 46.9 24.8 24.9 3.4 22.0
19 Feb Noto 50.5 21.0 22.0 2.0 4.5 28.5
14–17 Feb Scenari Politici – Winpoll 1,500 50.2 23.2 23.2 1.8 1.6 27.0
12 Feb EMG 46.5 24.6 25.1 3.8 21.4
12 Feb Piepoli 500 46.0 27.0 20.5 3.5 3.0 19.0
12 Feb Euromedia 800 49.8 24.0 20.5 3.4 2.3 25.8
12 Feb Noto 49.0 22.0 23.0 2.0 4.0 26.0
6–7 Feb Ipsos 1,000 46.9 25.4 21.2 2.2 4.3 21.5
4–7 Feb Tecnè 16,000 48.7 25.1 20.8 5.4 23.6
2–6 Feb Bidimedia 1,113 44.4 24.9 23.6 2.6 4.5 19.5
5 Feb EMG 1,803 45.1 25.1 25.7 4.1 19.4
30 Jan Noto 47.0 24.0 22.5 2.0 4.5 23.0
29 Jan EMG 1,786 44.8 25.8 25.5 3.9 19.0
29 Jan Piepoli 503 45.5 27.5 20.0 3.0 4.0 18.0
29 Jan Euromedia 800 48.5 24.7 20.6 3.4 2.8 23.8
22 Jan Piepoli 503 45.5 28.0 19.5 2.5 4.5 17.5
22 Jan EMG 1,801 44.4 26.5 24.6 4.5 17.9
15–17 Jan Ipsos 1,000 46.9 25.4 21.5 6.2 21.5
15 Jan EMG 1,794 44.6 26.6 24.8 4.0 18.0
15 Jan Piepoli 505 45.5 28.0 20.0 2.5 4.0 17.5
15 Jan Euromedia 800 47.2 24.7 20.2 3.1 4.8 22.5
15 Jan Noto 45.5 23.0 22.5 2.5 6.5 22.5
13 Jan Noto 48.0 23.0 22.5 2.0 4.5 25.0
9–10 Jan Tecnè 2,000 46.8 25.5 21.5 6.2 21.3
7–10 Jan Bidimedia 1,096 43.8 25.6 23.9 2.4 4.3 18.2
8 Jan Piepoli 505 45.5 28.0 20.0 2.5 4.0 17.5
8 Jan EMG 1,540 44.2 26.1 25.5 4.2 18.1

2018[edit]

  1. ^ a b After its dissolution on 14 November 2018, some polls might include MDP or SI or both, instead of LeU.
  2. ^ Starting from the foundation of The Left (LS) as a coalition between SI and PRC, some polls started listing LS instead of LeU.
  3. ^ a b Centre-left includes LeU, PaP and other left-wing parties; centre-right includes all other right-wing parties.

Seat projections[edit]

Chamber of Deputies[edit]

  • 630 seats are available. 316 seats are needed for a majority.
  • In some polls only the 618 constituencies in Italy proper are allocated, while the 12 abroad constituencies are omitted.
Date Polling firm Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU Others Lead Majority
26 Aug 2019 Demopolis 410 92 120 0 8 290 +94
9 Aug 2019 Ipsos 413 88 115 0 2 298 +97
9 Aug 2019 YouTrend 416 81 119 0 2 297 +100
19 Jul 2019 YouTrend 413 81 122 0 2 291 +97
26 May 2019 Bidimedia (EP election) 404 79 135 0 0 269 +88
26 May 2019 Cattaneo (EP election) 415 81 122 0 0 293 +99
26 May 2019 CISE (EP election) 429 76 132 0 0 297 +113
26 May 2019 YouTrend (EP election) 406 78 134 0 0 272 +90
8–11 Apr 2019 Bidimedia
without tossups[a]
397 106 115 0 0 282 +81
Bidimedia 385 105 113 0 15 272 +69
26 Mar 2019 YouTrend 382 127 107 0 1 255 +66
27 Oct 2018 YouTrend 338 187 90 0 1 149 +22
4 March 2018 General Election 265 227 122 14 2 38 –51

Senate of the Republic[edit]

  • 315 seats are available, plus 6 senators for life. 161 seats are needed for a majority.
  • In some polls only the 309 constituencies in Italy proper are allocated, while the 6 abroad constituencies are omitted.
Date Polling firm Centre-right M5S Centre-left LeU Others Lead Majority
9 Aug 2019 YouTrend 210 40 57 0 2 153 +49
19 Jul 2019 YouTrend 208 40 59 0 2 149 +47
26 May 2019 YouTrend (EP election) 206 41 60 0 2 146 +45
26 Mar 2019 YouTrend 190 63 55 0 1 126 +29
27 Oct 2018 YouTrend 168 91 45 0 1 73 +7
4 March 2018 General Election 137 112 60 4 2 25 –24
  1. ^ Constituencies are considered tossups if the lead is less than the margin of error.

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  • "PCM Sondaggi Politico Elettorali" [PCM Political Electoral Opinion Polls] (in Italian). Presidency of the Council of Ministers, Department of Information and Publications. n.d. Retrieved 18 January 2018.