2024 Finnish presidential election: Difference between revisions
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=== Pekka Haavisto === |
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'''[[Pekka Haavisto]]''', former Minister of Foreign Affairs and [[Parliament of Finland|Member of Parliament]] for [[Green League|the Green League]], announced his candidacy on 8 June 2023. Haavisto has run for the office twice before, in [[2012 Finnish presidential election|2012]] and [[2018 Finnish presidential election|2018]], both times finishing second behind the incumbent President [[Sauli Niinistö]]. Haavisto is running as an independent candidate in the presidential elections. Independent candidates must assemble 20,000 signatures from qualified voters to establish a constituency association in order to run for president of Finland in January. The collection of signatures in support of Haavisto began immediately on the same day he announced his candidacy.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Pekka Haavisto announces 2024 presidential bid|url=https://yle.fi/a/74-20035789|date=June 8, 2023|access-date=June 8, 2023|work=[[Yle]]}}</ref> |
'''[[Pekka Haavisto]]''', former Minister of Foreign Affairs and [[Parliament of Finland|Member of Parliament]] for [[Green League|the Green League]], announced his candidacy on 8 June 2023. Haavisto has run for the office twice before, in [[2012 Finnish presidential election|2012]] and [[2018 Finnish presidential election|2018]], both times finishing second behind the incumbent President [[Sauli Niinistö]]. Haavisto is running as an independent candidate in the presidential elections. Independent candidates must assemble 20,000 signatures from qualified voters to establish a constituency association in order to run for president of Finland in January. The collection of signatures in support of Haavisto began immediately on the same day he announced his candidacy.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Pekka Haavisto announces 2024 presidential bid|url=https://yle.fi/a/74-20035789|date=June 8, 2023|access-date=June 8, 2023|work=[[Yle]]}}</ref> |
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Presidential elections are expected to be held in Finland on Sunday, 28 January 2024, with a possible second round on Sunday, 11 February 2024.[1] Voters will elect the President of the Republic to a six-year term. Incumbent President Sauli Niinistö is term-limited and cannot run for re-election, having served the maximum two terms, ensuring the president elected will be the country's thirteenth.[2]
If the new president is chosen on the first ballot on 28 January by winning more than half of valid votes cast, their term will begin on 1 February 2024. Should the election go to a second ballot on 11 February, the term will begin on 1 March 2024.
Requirements
According to the first paragraph of Section 54 of the Finnish Constitution, "The President shall be a native-born Finnish citizen."[3][4][5]
Officially announced candidates
Mika Aaltola
Mika Aaltola, the director of the Finnish Institute of International Affairs, announced his candidacy on 3 August 2023.[6] He is running as an independent candidate, and therefore must assemble 20,000 signatures from qualified voters to establish a constituency association in order to run for the presidency.
Aaltola emerged as a surprise candidate in a presidential survey published by Yle on 28 March 2022.[7] On 27 May 2022, similar results were obtained from a survey conducted by Ilta-Sanomat.[8] Aaltola commented that he was humbled by the results and that "In a situation where the candidates would solely represent Finlandization and behind-the-scenes dealings, I would feel a calling to attempt the impossible for the benefit of my homeland. Therefore, my stance would entirely depend on the candidate lineup."[9]
In a subsequent survey published by Ilta-Sanomat on 21 October 2022, Aaltola had unexpectedly risen to the top.[10] After the results, Aaltola stated: "There is a one percent chance that I will become the President of Finland." He did not completely rule out his candidacy and stated that he would announce a possible candidacy at a later time.[11] On 31 October 2022, Aaltola tweeted: "I am not currently running for any position. My focus is on the ongoing war and the geopolitical challenges of the winter."[12]
On 4 November 2022, Helsingin Sanomat published a comprehensive personal profile and interview with Aaltola. Many of the sources interviewed in the article noted that Aaltola no longer behaves like an expert but rather speaks like a preacher or a politician.[13] The same day Aaltola tweeted, that "I have no intention of running for the presidential elections."[14]
On 11 April 2023, Aaltola tweeted "My support in presidential surveys remains persistently encouraging, even though I have stated a practical "no" on multiple occasions. This was based on the fact that it is practically impossible [to win] outside of political parties. Should I reconsider the matter in the autumn if the support persists?"[15] In the presidential poll commissioned by Yle in May 2023, Aaltola was the favorite as the next president of around 13% of the respondents.[16]
Li Andersson
Li Andersson, the leader of the Left Alliance and former Minister of Education, announced her candidacy on 13 September 2023.[17]
Sari Essayah
Sari Essayah, the leader of the Christian Democrats and incumbent Minister of Agriculture and Forestry, was chosen as the party's presidential candidate at a party meeting on 27 August 2023.[18]
Ano Turtiainen
Ano Turtiainen, politician and former Member of Finnish Parliament and founder and chairman of the Power Belongs to the People party. In end of August 2023, Turtiainen announced in his YouTube channel he would be his party's candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Turtiainen believed that he would get help from Russia to collect the 20,000 supporter cards needed for his candidacy.
Pekka Haavisto
Pekka Haavisto, former Minister of Foreign Affairs and Member of Parliament for the Green League, announced his candidacy on 8 June 2023. Haavisto has run for the office twice before, in 2012 and 2018, both times finishing second behind the incumbent President Sauli Niinistö. Haavisto is running as an independent candidate in the presidential elections. Independent candidates must assemble 20,000 signatures from qualified voters to establish a constituency association in order to run for president of Finland in January. The collection of signatures in support of Haavisto began immediately on the same day he announced his candidacy.[19]
According to multiple polls, Haavisto is currently the leading candidate for the presidency. He is the most popular candidate among women and younger voters, as well as across party lines. In the presidential poll commissioned by Yle in May 2023, Haavisto was the favorite as the next president of around 28% percent of the respondents.[16] In a presidential survey published by Ilta-Sanomat on 13 June 2023, which aimed to determine the potential result of a hypothetical second round in the presidential elections, Haavisto emerged as the winner when compared to all the other major potential candidates.[20]
Jussi Halla-aho
Jussi Halla-aho, the Speaker of the Parliament of Finland and a Member of Parliament for the Finns Party, announced his candidacy on 7 July 2023.[21] His candidacy was confirmed by the party congress in August.[22] In a survey conducted by Uutissuomalainen in January 2023 among party delegates, over 80 percent of the responding Finns Party delegates considered Halla-aho the most suitable presidential candidate for the party. In a similar survey conducted in summer 2021, Halla-aho ranked behind Laura Huhtasaari.[23] In the presidential poll commissioned by Yle in May 2023, Halla-aho was the favorite as the next president of around 6% of the respondents.[16]
Hjallis Harkimo
Hjallis Harkimo, a businessman and the chairman of his own political party Movement Now, was elected as the party's presidential candidate on 18 June 2022.[24] Harkimo became well-known in Finland as the owner of the ice hockey team Jokerit and as the face of the TV show "Diili", the Finnish version of The Apprentice. In the presidential poll commissioned by Yle in May 2023, Harkimo was the favorite as the next president of around 1% of the respondents.[16]
Olli Rehn
Olli Rehn, the Governor of the Bank of Finland and a member of the Centre Party, announced his bid for the presidency on 21 June 2023.[25] Rehn is running as an independent candidate in the elections. Therefore he must assemble 20,000 signatures from qualified voters to establish a constituency association in order to run for the presidency. The collection of signatures takes place at events across various parts of Finland during the summer of 2023.[26] In the presidential poll commissioned by Yle in May 2023, Rehn was the favorite as the next president of around 15% of the respondents.[16]
Alexander Stubb
Alexander Stubb, the former Prime Minister of Finland and a Member of Parliament for the National Coalition Party, announced his candidacy on 16 August 2023, after he had been formally asked to be the presidential candidate of the party. [27] In the presidential poll commissioned by Yle in May 2023, Stubb was the favorite as the next president of around 5% of the respondents.[16][28] When asked about the most preferred candidate of the National Coalition Party, Stubb was the favorite of 40% of the respondents, while Minister of Defence Antti Häkkänen was preferred by 16%, former MP Risto E. J. Penttilä by 9% and Minister for Foreign Affairs Elina Valtonen by 8%.[29]
Paavo Väyrynen
Paavo Väyrynen, former minister and member of the Parliament, announced that he would run as a candidate on 3 May 2019.[30][31] Väyrynen participated in the previous presidential elections as the Centre Party candidate on three occasions, securing the second position in 1988, third in 1994, and third in 2012. In 2018, he participated as an independent candidate and finished fourth.[32] In the presidential poll commissioned by Yle in May 2023, Väyrynen was the favorite as the next president of around 2% of the respondents.[16]
- Gallery of announced candidates
-
Mika Aaltola -
Li Andersson -
Sari Essayah -
Ano Turtiainen -
Pekka Haavisto -
Jussi Halla-aho -
Hjallis Harkimo -
Olli Rehn -
Alexander Stubb -
Paavo Väyrynen
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Potential candidates
Jutta Urpilainen
Jutta Urpilainen, the current Finnish European Commissioner, former minister and chair of the Social Democratic Party, has been frequently mentioned as a possible candidate for the SDP. On 16 August 2023, the chairman of the Social Democratic Party Sanna Marin asked Urpilainen to run in the 2024 presidential election as the party's candidate. Urpilainen has promised to announce her decision by November 2023.[33] The leadership of the SDP had hoped Urpilainen to be a candidate already in the 2018 presidential elections, but she declined the candidacy citing family reasons.[34] In the presidential poll commissioned by Yle in May 2023, Urpilainen was the favorite as the next president of around 2% of the respondents.[16]
- Gallery of potential candidates
-
Jutta Urpilainen
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Declined to be a candidate
The Swedish People's Party of Finland has announced they will not run a candidate in the elections.[35]
Sanna Marin
Sanna Marin, the former Prime Minister of Finland and a Member of Parliament for the Social Democratic Party, had received significant support in opinion polls. During Yle's Prime Minister's interview program in the summer of 2022, Marin declined the candidacy by stating in quote:[36]
I can openly say that I am not available.
On 3 June 2023, Marin confirmed her negative stance in an interview with Helsingin Sanomat, stating, "In these upcoming elections, it is not the time when I feel that I should be a candidate. Now is not the right time, and I have no plans regarding it."[37] In the presidential poll commissioned by Yle in May 2023, Marin was the favourite as the next president of around 5% of the respondents.[16]
- Gallery of declined candidates
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Sanna Marin
_(cropped).jpg)
Opinion polls
Potential candidates
| Poll source | Survey dates | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaltola Ind. |
Stubb NCP |
Vapaavuori NCP |
Haavisto Greens |
Halla-aho Finns |
Huhtasaari Finns |
Rehn Centre |
Vanhanen Centre |
Heinäluoma SDP |
Marin SDP |
Urpilainen SDP |
Andersson Left |
Others | Don't know | ||
| Li Andersson declares her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Taloustutkimus | Sep 2023 | 10% | 19% | – | 31% | 9% | – | 11% | – | – | – | 5% | 6% | 6% | – |
| Tietoykkönen | Sep 2023 | 12% | 18% | – | 26% | 9% | – | 9% | – | – | – | 3% | 3% | 1% | 16% |
| Sari Essayah declares her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Taloustutkimus | Aug 2023 | 12% | 19% | – | 32% | 9% | – | 10% | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 6% | – |
| Alexander Stubb declares his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Kantar TNS | Aug 2023 | 15.6% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 27.4% | 8.8% | – | 11.1% | – | 0.7% | – | 1.8% | 3.9% | 10.2% | 17% |
| Mika Aaltola declares his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Jussi Halla-aho declares his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Olli Rehn declares his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Pekka Haavisto declares his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Taloustutkimus | May 2023 | 13% | 5% | – | 28% | 6% | 1% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 17% | – |
| Maaseudun Tulevaisuus | Apr 2023 | 10.4% | 4.6% | – | 23.3% | 8.5% | – | 10.8% | ?% | – | – | ?% | – | – | – |
| Taloustutkimus | Dec 2022 | 11% | 7% | - | 25% | 7% | – | 14% | ?% | – | 7% | ?% | 2% | 4% | – |
| Taloustutkimus Taloustutkimus | Dec 2022 | 8% | 4.5% | 4% | 17.3% | 5.8% | – | 13.7 | ?% | – | ?% | ?% | – | – | – |
| Hjallis Harkimo declares his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
| Taloustutkimus | Mar 2022 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 16% | 7% | – | 20% | 4% | – | 9% | 3% | – | 3% | – |
| Taloustutkimus | Jul 2021 | – | 5% | 4% | 12% | 7% | – | 14% | 5% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 10% | – |
| Kantar TNS | Feb 2021 | – | 2% | 4% | 7% | 5% | – | 19% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 51% |
| Taloustutkimus | Jan 2021 | – | 4% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 2% | 29% | – |
| Taloustutkimus | Dec 2020 | – | 5% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 3% | 32% | 3% |
| TNS Kantar Agri | Jun 2020 | – | – | 5.7% | 12.4% | 6.2% | – | 11.0% | – | 4.7% | 9.7% | – | 3.0% | 7.6% | 41.8% |
| TNS Kantar Agri | Feb 2020 | – | – | 6% | 18% | 9% | – | 11% | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Taloustutkimus | Feb 2020 | – | 4% | 5% | 22% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 26% | 4% |
| Taloustutkimus | Dec 2019 | – | – | 4% | 17% | 6% | 3% | 10% | – | 4% | – | 7% | 7% | 26% | 16% |
| Tietoykkönen | Oct 2019 | – | – | 10% | 33% | 10% | 4% | 11% | – | 7% | – | 6% | 8% | 10% | – |
| Taloustutkimus | Jan 2018 | – | – | 9% | 27% | – | 7% | 7% | 4% | 4% | – | 4% | 4% | 26% | 9% |
Pekka Haavisto vs. Olli Rehn
| Source of poll | Date | Pekka Haavisto Independent |
Olli Rehn Independent |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taloustutkimus | Sep 2023 | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| Taloustutkimus | Aug 2023 | 54% | 36% | 10% |
| Ilta-Sanomat | 16 May 2023 | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Pekka Haavisto vs. Mika Aaltola
| Source of poll | Date | Pekka Haavisto Independent |
Mika Aaltola Independent |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taloustutkimus | Sep 2023 | 53% | 36% | 11% |
| Taloustutkimus | Aug 2023 | 53% | 38% | 10% |
| Ilta-Sanomat | 16 May 2023 | 49% | 35% | 16% |
Pekka Haavisto vs. Alexander Stubb
| Source of poll | Date | Pekka Haavisto Independent |
Alexander Stubb National Coalition Party |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taloustutkimus | Sep 2023 | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Taloustutkimus | Aug 2023 | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Ilta-Sanomat | 16 May 2023 | 52% | 30% | 17% |
Pekka Haavisto vs. Sanna Marin
| Source of poll | Date | Pekka Haavisto Independent |
Sanna Marin Social Democratic Party of Finland |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilta-Sanomat | 16 May 2023 | 52% | 24% | 23% |
Pekka Haavisto vs. Jutta Urpilainen
| Source of poll | Date | Pekka Haavisto Independent |
Jutta Urpilainen Social Democratic Party of Finland |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taloustutkimus | Sep 2023 | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| Ilta-Sanomat | 16 May 2023 | 55% | 21% | 24% |
Pekka Haavisto vs. Jussi Halla-aho
| Source of poll | Date | Pekka Haavisto Independent |
Jussi Halla-aho Finns |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taloustutkimus | Sep 2023 | 65% | 26% | 9% |
| Taloustutkimus | Aug 2023 | 67% | 23% | 10% |
| Ilta-Sanomat | 16 May 2023 | 63% | 25% | 12% |
Alexander Stubb vs. Olli Rehn
| Source of poll | Date | Alexander Stubb National Coalition Party |
Olli Rehn Independent |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taloustutkimus | Sep 2023 | 51% | 31% | 18% |
| Taloustutkimus | Aug 2023 | 52% | 31% | 17% |
Alexander Stubb vs. Mika Aaltola
| Source of poll | Date | Alexander Stubb National Coalition Party |
Mika Aaltola Independent |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taloustutkimus | Sep 2023 | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Taloustutkimus | Aug 2023 | 52% | 31% | 17% |
Alexander Stubb vs. Jussi Halla-aho
| Source of poll | Date | Alexander Stubb National Coalition Party |
Jussi Halla-aho Finns Party |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taloustutkimus | Sep 2023 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| Taloustutkimus | Aug 2023 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
References
- ^ "Schedule for the 2024 presidential election". Vaalit. Retrieved 21 June 2023.
- ^ "Näkökulma: Punavihreä vs. porvari - onko jompikumpi heistä Suomen seuraava presidentti?". www.iltalehti.fi (in Finnish). Retrieved 13 April 2021.
- ^ "The Constitution of Finland 731/1999" (PDF). Finlex - a database of Finnish legislation. Retrieved 19 July 2021.
- ^ "The President of the Republic of Finland: Position and Duties: Election of the President". www.presidentti.fi. Retrieved 16 February 2022.
- ^ "Elections and voting in Finland". www.infofinland.fi. Retrieved 16 February 2022.
- ^ "Mika Aaltola pyrkii presidentiksi: "Ajan Suomen etua, se on tärkeä erottava tekijä muihin ehdokkaisiin" – ei vastannut kritiikkiin panttaamisesta". Yle. 3 April 2023. Retrieved 4 April 2023.
- ^ "Konkarit jyräävät Ylen presidenttikyselyssä: Olli Rehn nousi kärkeen, Sanna Marin putosi kolmanneksi". Yle. 28 March 2022.
- ^ "Yllätysnimi teki presidenttikyselyssä uskomattoman nousun – tutkija: "En muista uraltani vastaavaa"". Ilta-Sanomat. 27 May 2022.
- ^ "Mika Aaltola kommentoi kannatustaan presidentinvaaligallupissa: Vetää mielen nöyräksi". Ilta-Sanomat. 27 May 2022.
- ^ "IS:n presidenttikyselyssä yllätysykkönen: "Voi pyhä jysäys"". Ilta-Sanomat. 21 October 2022.
- ^ "Mika Aaltola Ylellä: Yhden prosentin todennäköisyys, että minusta tulee presidentti". Ilta-Sanomat. 22 October 2022.
- ^ "Mika Aaltola's Twitter page". Twitter. 31 October 2022.
- ^ "Mikä Aaltola". Helsingin Sanomat. 4 November 2022.
- ^ "Mika Aaltola's Twitter page". Twitter. 5 November 2022.
- ^ "Mika Aaltola's Twitter page". Twitter. 11 April 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i "Ylen presidenttikysely: Haavisto on ykkösnimi ja nuorten suosikki, koko kolmen kärki lujitti etumatkaansa". Yle. 16 May 2023.
- ^ "Li Andersson mukaan presidenttikilpaan: "Kilpailussa on tilaa punavihreälle ehdokkaalle"". Helsingin Sanomat. 13 September 2023. Retrieved 13 September 2023.
- ^ "Christian Democrats select Sari Essayah as presidential candidate". Yle. 27 August 2023. Retrieved 27 August 2023.
- ^ "Pekka Haavisto announces 2024 presidential bid". Yle. 8 June 2023. Retrieved 8 June 2023.
- ^ "IS:n presidenttikysely: He pärjäisivät Haavistoa vastaan". Ilta-Sanomat. 13 June 2023.
- ^ "Jussi Halla-aho pyrkii presidentiksi – "Olen käytettävissä"". Ilta-Sanomat. 7 July 2023. Retrieved 7 July 2023.
- ^ "Jussi Halla-aho toivoo tiedotusvälineiden perkaavan presidenttiehdokkaiden aiempia lausuntoja Venäjästä". Yle. 13 August 2023. Retrieved 17 August 2023.
- ^ "USU: Lähes 80 prosenttia PS-valtuutetuista haluaa Halla-ahon presidenttiehdokkaaksi – Urpilainen ja Stubb puolueidensa suosikit". Iltalehti. 11 February 2023.
- ^ "Harry "Hjallis" Harkimo presidenttiehdokkaaksi: "Sain Nato-käsittelyn aikana käsityksen siitä, miten Suomi toimii"". Yle. 18 June 2022. Retrieved 22 June 2023.
- ^ "Finland's central bank chief Olli Rehn announces 2024 presidential bid". Yle. 21 June 2023. Retrieved 21 June 2023.
- ^ "Anu Vehviläinen: Kannattajakortteja kerätään kesätapahtumissa". Yle. 21 June 2023. Retrieved 22 June 2023.
- ^ "Alexander Stubb lähtee presidenttiehdokkaaksi – vitsaili "kitkerästä lähdöstä" ja kehui Marinin hallitusta" (in Finnish). Yle. 16 August 2023. Retrieved 16 August 2023.
- ^ "Former Finnish PM Alexander Stubb to run for president". POLITICO. 15 August 2023. Retrieved 17 August 2023.
- ^ "IS-presidenttikysely: Alexander Stubb selvästi suositumpi kuin Antti Häkkänen". Ilta-Sanomat. 17 August 2023. Retrieved 18 August 2023.
- ^ "Paavo Väyrynen pyrkii presidentiksi 2024". Helsingin Sanomat (in Finnish). 3 May 2019. Retrieved 18 May 2022.
- ^ "Paavo Väyrynen tähtää vuoden 2024 presidentinvaaleihin". Ilta-Sanomat (in Finnish). 3 May 2019. Retrieved 18 May 2022.
- ^ "1988, 1994, 2012, 2018, 2024 - Paavo Väyrynen pyrkii jälleen presidentiksi". Iltalehti (in Finnish). Retrieved 18 May 2022.
- ^ "Marin pyytää Jutta Urpilaista Sdp:n presidenttiehdokkaaksi, Urpilainen kertoo päätöksensä marraskuuhun mennessä" (in Finnish). Yle. 16 August 2023. Retrieved 16 August 2023.
- ^ "Jutta Urpilainen ei suostunut Sdp:n presidenttiehdokkaaksi, mutta lähti Niinistön tilaisuuden vetonaulaksi - Urpilainen ei näe ristiriitaa: "Olin Tuulan kampanjan avajaisissa ja äänestän häntä"". Helsingin Sanomat. 8 December 2017.
- ^ [1]
- ^ "Sanna Marin: "En ole käytettävissä presidenttiehdokkaaksi" – kertoo myös kokemastaan häirinnästä politiikassa". Yle. 19 June 2022.
- ^ "Suomalainen supertähti". Helsingin Sanomat. 3 June 2023.
External links
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