2014 Florida gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions
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====Potential==== |
====Potential==== |
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* [[John E. Thrasher]], state Senator<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/19/florida-gov-rick-scott-2014-election_n_2161568.html|title=Rick Scott Seen As Beatable In 2014 -- But Who'll Run?|date=November 19, 2012|accessdate=November 22, 2012|work=[[Tampa Tribune]]|first=William|last=March}}</ref> |
* [[John E. Thrasher]], state Senator<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/19/florida-gov-rick-scott-2014-election_n_2161568.html|title=Rick Scott Seen As Beatable In 2014 -- But Who'll Run?|date=November 19, 2012|accessdate=November 22, 2012|work=[[Tampa Tribune]]|first=William|last=March}}</ref> |
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====Declined==== |
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* [[Jeff Atwater]], [[Chief Financial Officer of Florida]]<ref>[http://saintpetersblog.com/2012/04/hasnt-jeff-atwater-been-itchin-to-run-this-entire-election-cycle/ Hasn’t Jeff Atwater been itchin’ to run this entire election cycle?]</ref> |
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* [[Pam Bondi]], [[Florida Attorney General]]<ref>[http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/pam-bondi-named-one-watch-nationally Pam Bondi Named as One to Watch Nationally]</ref> |
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* [[Adam Putnam]], [[Florida Commissioner of Agriculture]]<ref>[http://www.theledger.com/article/20110629/NEWS/110629346 Putnam Says He's Not Interested in Running for Governor in 2014]</ref> |
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===Polling=== |
===Polling=== |
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{| class="wikitable" |
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|- valign= bottom |
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! style="width:140px;"| Poll source |
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! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)<br />administered |
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! class=small | Sample<br />size |
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! <small>Margin of</small><br />error |
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! style="width:100px;"| Pam<br />Bondi |
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! style="width:100px;"| Rick<br />Scott |
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! Other |
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! Undecided |
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|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_116.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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| align=center| January 11-13, 2013 |
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| align=center| 436 |
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| align=center| ± 4.7% |
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| align=center| 25% |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''49%''' |
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| align=center| — |
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| align=center| 26% |
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|} |
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{| class="wikitable" |
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|- valign= bottom |
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! style="width:140px;"| Poll source |
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! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)<br />administered |
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! class=small | Sample<br />size |
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! <small>Margin of</small><br />error |
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! style="width:100px;"| Rick<br />Scott |
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! style="width:100px;"| Allen<br />West |
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! Other |
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! Undecided |
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|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_116.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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| align=center| January 11-13, 2013 |
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| align=center| 436 |
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| align=center| ± 4.7% |
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| align=center| 37% |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''38%''' |
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| align=center| — |
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| align=center| 25% |
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|} |
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{| class="wikitable" |
{| class="wikitable" |
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|- valign= bottom |
|- valign= bottom |
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! Other |
! Other |
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! Undecided |
! Undecided |
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|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_116.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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| align=center| January 11-13, 2013 |
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| align=center| 436 |
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| align=center| ± 4.7% |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''50%''' |
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| align=center| 40% |
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| align=center| — |
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| align=center| 10% |
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|- |
|- |
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| [http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/florida/release-detail/?ReleaseID=1827 Quinnipiac] |
| [http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/florida/release-detail/?ReleaseID=1827 Quinnipiac] |
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* [[Buddy Dyer]], former Minority Leader of the [[Florida State Senate]], Democratic nominee for Attorney General in 2000 and [[List of mayors of Orlando|Mayor of Orlando]]<ref>[http://articles.orlandosentinel.com/2012-09-06/news/os-dyer-maybe-run-for-governor-20120906_1_mike-cantone-orlando-mayor-buddy-dyer-heather-fagan Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer considering 2014 run for governor]</ref> |
* [[Buddy Dyer]], former Minority Leader of the [[Florida State Senate]], Democratic nominee for Attorney General in 2000 and [[List of mayors of Orlando|Mayor of Orlando]]<ref>[http://articles.orlandosentinel.com/2012-09-06/news/os-dyer-maybe-run-for-governor-20120906_1_mike-cantone-orlando-mayor-buddy-dyer-heather-fagan Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer considering 2014 run for governor]</ref> |
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* [[Dan Gelber]], former Minority Leader of the [[Florida House of Representatives]], former state senator and Democratic nominee for Attorney General of Florida [[Florida Attorney General election, 2010|in 2010]]<ref>[http://www2.tbo.com/news/politics/2012/sep/11/poll-crist-sink-in-virtual-tie-among-democrats-for-ar-493871/ Poll: Crist, Sink in virtual tie among Democrats for governor]</ref> |
* [[Dan Gelber]], former Minority Leader of the [[Florida House of Representatives]], former state senator and Democratic nominee for Attorney General of Florida [[Florida Attorney General election, 2010|in 2010]]<ref>[http://www2.tbo.com/news/politics/2012/sep/11/poll-crist-sink-in-virtual-tie-among-democrats-for-ar-493871/ Poll: Crist, Sink in virtual tie among Democrats for governor]</ref> |
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* [[Pam Iorio]], former [[Mayor of Tampa]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.gainesville.com/article/20121110/ARTICLES/121119981/1008/weather?p=3&tc=pg|title=Could Crist run for governor in 2014 - as a Democrat?|date=November 10, 2012|accessdate=November 10, 2012|work=[[Gainesville Sun]]|first=Lloyd|last=Dunkelberger}}</ref> |
* [[Pam Iorio]], former Hillsborough County Commissioner, former Hillsborough County Supervisor of Elections and former [[List of mayors of Tampa, Florida|Mayor of Tampa]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.gainesville.com/article/20121110/ARTICLES/121119981/1008/weather?p=3&tc=pg|title=Could Crist run for governor in 2014 - as a Democrat?|date=November 10, 2012|accessdate=November 10, 2012|work=[[Gainesville Sun]]|first=Lloyd|last=Dunkelberger}}</ref> |
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* [[Kendrick Meek]], former congressman and democratic nominee for senate in 2010 <ref>http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2012/09/sorry-charlie-kendrick-meek-gov-candidate-in-14-wont-tamp-down-talk-of-a-rematch.html</ref> |
* [[Kendrick Meek]], former congressman and democratic nominee for senate in 2010 <ref>http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2012/09/sorry-charlie-kendrick-meek-gov-candidate-in-14-wont-tamp-down-talk-of-a-rematch.html</ref> |
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* [[Jimmy Morales]], former Miami-Dade County Commissioner and Democratic nominee for mayor of Miami-Dade in 2004<ref>[http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2012/07/former-miami-dade-commissioner-jimmy-morales-eyeing-run-against-gov-rick-scott.html Former Miami-Dade Commissioner Jimmy Morales eyeing run against Gov. Rick Scott]</ref> |
* [[Jimmy Morales]], former Miami-Dade County Commissioner and Democratic nominee for mayor of Miami-Dade in 2004<ref>[http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2012/07/former-miami-dade-commissioner-jimmy-morales-eyeing-run-against-gov-rick-scott.html Former Miami-Dade Commissioner Jimmy Morales eyeing run against Gov. Rick Scott]</ref> |
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===Polling=== |
===Polling=== |
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{| class="wikitable" |
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|- valign= bottom |
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! style="width:140px;"| Poll source |
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! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)<br />administered |
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! class=small | Sample<br />size |
|||
! <small>Margin of</small><br />error |
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! style="width:80px;"| Charlie<br />Crist |
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! style="width:80px;"| Buddy<br />Dyer |
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! style="width:80px;"| Pam<br />Iorio |
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! style="width:80px;"| Nan<br />Rich |
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! style="width:80px;"| Alex<br />Sink |
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! Other |
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! Undecided |
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|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_116.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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| align=center| January 11-13, 2013 |
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| align=center| 401 |
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| align=center| ± 4.9% |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''52%''' |
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| align=center| 4% |
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| align=center| 13% |
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| align=center| 1% |
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| align=center| 18% |
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| align=center| — |
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| align=center| 12% |
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|} |
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{| class="wikitable" |
{| class="wikitable" |
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|- valign= bottom |
|- valign= bottom |
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Line 144: | Line 227: | ||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''53%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''53%''' |
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| align=center| — |
| align=center| — |
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| align=center| |
| align=center| 8% |
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|- |
|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_081012.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_081012.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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Line 190: | Line 273: | ||
| align=center| — |
| align=center| — |
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| align=center| 10% |
| align=center| 10% |
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|} |
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{| class="wikitable" |
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|- valign= bottom |
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! style="width:140px;"| Poll source |
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! style="width:190px;"| Date(s)<br />administered |
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! class=small | Sample<br />size |
|||
! <small>Margin of</small><br />error |
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! style="width:100px;"| Rick<br />Scott (R) |
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! style="width:100px;"| Buddy<br />Dyer (D) |
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! Other |
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! Undecided |
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|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_116.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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| align=center| January 11-13, 2013 |
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| align=center| 501 |
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| align=center| ± 4.4% |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''41%''' |
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| align=center| 37% |
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| align=center| — |
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| align=center| 23% |
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|} |
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{| class="wikitable" |
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|- valign= bottom |
|||
! style="width:140px;"| Poll source |
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! style="width:190px;"| Date(s)<br />administered |
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! class=small | Sample<br />size |
|||
! <small>Margin of</small><br />error |
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! style="width:100px;"| Rick<br />Scott (R) |
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! style="width:100px;"| Pam<br />Iorio (D) |
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! Other |
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! Undecided |
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|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_116.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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| align=center| January 11-13, 2013 |
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| align=center| 501 |
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| align=center| ± 4.4% |
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| align=center| 39% |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''43%''' |
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| align=center| — |
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| align=center| 19% |
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|} |
|} |
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Line 202: | Line 327: | ||
! Other |
! Other |
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! Undecided |
! Undecided |
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|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_116.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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| align=center| January 11-13, 2013 |
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| align=center| 501 |
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| align=center| ± 4.4% |
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| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''41%''' |
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| align=center| 37% |
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| align=center| — |
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| align=center| 22% |
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|- |
|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MiscellaneousFL_060812.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MiscellaneousFL_060812.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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! Other |
! Other |
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! Undecided |
! Undecided |
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|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_116.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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| align=center| January 11-13, 2013 |
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| align=center| 501 |
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| align=center| ± 4.4% |
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| align=center| 40% |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''47%''' |
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| align=center| — |
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| align=center| 14% |
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|- |
|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_1205.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_1205.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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| align=center| 8% |
| align=center| 8% |
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|} |
|} |
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'''Hypothetical polling''' |
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{| class="wikitable" |
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|- valign= bottom |
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! style="width:140px;"| Poll source |
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! style="width:190px;"| Date(s)<br />administered |
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! class=small | Sample<br />size |
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! <small>Margin of</small><br />error |
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! style="width:100px;"| Rick<br />Scott (R) |
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! style="width:100px;"| Debbie<br />Wasserman Schultz (D) |
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! Other |
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! Undecided |
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|- |
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| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_FL_116.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
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| align=center| January 11-13, 2013 |
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| align=center| 501 |
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| align=center| ± 4.4% |
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| align=center| 42% |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''44%''' |
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| align=center| — |
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| align=center| 14% |
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|} |
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{{Election box end}} |
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==See also== |
==See also== |
Revision as of 20:52, 16 January 2013
Elections in Florida |
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The 2014 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Florida. Republican incumbent Rick Scott plans to seek a second term.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Rick Scott, incumbent Governor[2]
Potential
- John E. Thrasher, state Senator[3]
Declined
- Jeff Atwater, Chief Financial Officer of Florida[4]
- Pam Bondi, Florida Attorney General[5]
- Adam Putnam, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture[6]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pam Bondi |
Rick Scott |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 11-13, 2013 | 436 | ± 4.7% | 25% | 49% | — | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Scott |
Allen West |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 11-13, 2013 | 436 | ± 4.7% | 37% | 38% | — | 25% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Scott |
Someone else |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 11-13, 2013 | 436 | ± 4.7% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
Quinnipiac | December 11–17, 2012 | n/a | ± n/a% | 30% | 53% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | 472 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 37% | — | 10% |
Democratic Primary
Candidates
Declared
- Nan Rich, Minority Leader of the Florida Senate[7]
Potential
- Charlie Crist, former Republican Governor of Florida and Independent candidate for the United States Senate in 2010[8]
- Buddy Dyer, former Minority Leader of the Florida State Senate, Democratic nominee for Attorney General in 2000 and Mayor of Orlando[9]
- Dan Gelber, former Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives, former state senator and Democratic nominee for Attorney General of Florida in 2010[10]
- Pam Iorio, former Hillsborough County Commissioner, former Hillsborough County Supervisor of Elections and former Mayor of Tampa[11]
- Kendrick Meek, former congressman and democratic nominee for senate in 2010 [12]
- Jimmy Morales, former Miami-Dade County Commissioner and Democratic nominee for mayor of Miami-Dade in 2004[13]
- Jeremy Ring, state senator[14]
- Jack Seiler, Mayor of Fort Lauderdale and former state representative[15]
- Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida and Democratic nominee for Governor of Florida in 2010[16][17]
Declined
- Bob Buckhorn, former Tampa city councilman, Mayor of Tampa[18]
- Rod Smith, former state senator, Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2010 and Chairman of the Florida Democratic Party[19]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. Representative and Chair of the Democratic National Committee[20]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Charlie Crist |
Buddy Dyer |
Pam Iorio |
Nan Rich |
Alex Sink |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 11-13, 2013 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 4% | 13% | 1% | 18% | — | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Charlie Crist |
Dan Gelber |
Anthony Shriver Kennedy |
Jimmy Morales |
Nan Rich |
Alex Sink |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SEA Polling | September 2012 | 600 | ± 4% | 29% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 31% | — | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Charlie Crist |
Buddy Dyer |
Nan Rich |
Alex Sink |
Rod Smith |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | September 8, 2012 | 1,689 | ± 2.4% | 60.9% | 7% | 3.5% | 25.1% | 3.4% | — | — |
Libertarian Primary
Candidates
Declared
- Adrian Wyllie, Chairman of the Libertarian Party of Florida and radio talk host[21]
General Election
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Scott (R) |
Charlie Crist (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 11-13, 2013 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 53% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | August 31–September 2, 2012 | 1,548 | ± 2.5% | 42% | 45% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | July 26–29, 2012 | 871 | ± 3.3% | 41% | 44% | — | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | November 28–December 1, 2011 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 32% | 55% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | 476 | ± 4.5% | 38% | 51% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | 848 | ± 3.4% | 34% | 56% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Scott (R) |
Buddy Dyer (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 11-13, 2013 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 37% | — | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Scott (R) |
Pam Iorio (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 11-13, 2013 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 43% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Scott (R) |
Nan Rich (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 11-13, 2013 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 37% | — | 22% |
Public Policy Polling | May 31–June 3, 2012 | 642 | ± 3.9% | 35% | 47% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Scott (R) |
Alex Sink (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 11-13, 2013 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 40% | 47% | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | November 28–December 1, 2011 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 37% | 53% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | 476 | ± 4.5% | 41% | 52% | — | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | 848 | ± 3.4% | 35% | 57% | — | 8% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||
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See also
References
- ^ http://www.ocala.com/article/20111004/WIRE/111009899
- ^ http://www.ocala.com/article/20111004/WIRE/111009899
- ^ March, William (November 19, 2012). "Rick Scott Seen As Beatable In 2014 -- But Who'll Run?". Tampa Tribune. Retrieved November 22, 2012.
- ^ Hasn’t Jeff Atwater been itchin’ to run this entire election cycle?
- ^ Pam Bondi Named as One to Watch Nationally
- ^ Putnam Says He's Not Interested in Running for Governor in 2014
- ^ http://www.local10.com/news/State-Sen-Nan-Rich-running-for-Governor/-/1717324/10985246/-/1r8a6az/-/index.html
- ^ The Fla Insider poll: Charlie Crist running for governor?
- ^ Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer considering 2014 run for governor
- ^ Poll: Crist, Sink in virtual tie among Democrats for governor
- ^ Dunkelberger, Lloyd (November 10, 2012). "Could Crist run for governor in 2014 - as a Democrat?". Gainesville Sun. Retrieved November 10, 2012.
- ^ http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2012/09/sorry-charlie-kendrick-meek-gov-candidate-in-14-wont-tamp-down-talk-of-a-rematch.html
- ^ Former Miami-Dade Commissioner Jimmy Morales eyeing run against Gov. Rick Scott
- ^ Sen. Ring, Possible Candidate for Governor, Recovering From Open Heart Surgery
- ^ Dunkelberger, Lloyd (November 10, 2012). "Could Crist run for governor in 2014 - as a Democrat?". Gainesville Sun. Retrieved November 10, 2012.
- ^ Alex Sink launches foundation, mum on possible 2014 run
- ^ http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0212/73128.html
- ^ Tampa Mayor Bob Buckhorn says he won't run for governor in 2014
- ^ Florida Democrat chairman Rod Smith won't run for governor
- ^ "Gov. Wasserman Schultz? She says no". Sun Sentinel. Retrieved 16 July 2012.
- ^ http://election.dos.state.fl.us/candidate/CanDetail.asp?account=60196 Florida Division of Elections