June 2019 Istanbul mayoral election: Difference between revisions
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The '''June 2019 Istanbul mayoral election''' held on 23 June 2019.<ref>{{cite news |title=Son dakika... Seçimler 23 Haziran'da yenilenecek |author= |url=https://www.haberturk.com/son-dakika-secimler-23-haziran-da-yapilacak-2453782Son%20dakika...%20Seçimler%2023%20Haziran'da%20yenilenecek |language=Turkish |trans-title=Last minute... Elections will be repeated on 23 June |newspaper=[[Haberturk]] |date=6 May 2019 |accessdate=6 May 2019}}</ref> It was a re-run of the [[March 2019 Istanbul mayoral election|March 2019 mayoral election]], which was annulled by the [[Supreme Electoral Council (Turkey)|Supreme Electoral Council]] (YSK) on 6 May 2019. The original election had resulted in a narrow 0.2% margin of victory for opposition candidate [[Ekrem İmamoğlu]], causing the governing [[Justice and Development Party (Turkey)|Justice and Development Party]] (AKP) to successfully petition for a re-run.<ref>{{cite news |title=Son dakika... YSK, İstanbul Büyükşehir Belediye Başkanlığı seçiminin iptaline ve yenilenmesine karar verdi |language=Turkish |trans-title=Last minute... YSK decided to annuel and repeat the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality mayoral election |author=Recep Özel |url=https://www.haberturk.com/son-dakika-ysk-ak-parti-temsilcisi-recep-ozel-istanbul-secimleri-yenileniyor-2453764 |newspaper=[[Haberturk]] |date=6 May 2019 |accessdate=6 May 2019}}</ref> |
The '''June 2019 Istanbul mayoral election''' was held on 23 June 2019.<ref>{{cite news |title=Son dakika... Seçimler 23 Haziran'da yenilenecek |author= |url=https://www.haberturk.com/son-dakika-secimler-23-haziran-da-yapilacak-2453782Son%20dakika...%20Seçimler%2023%20Haziran'da%20yenilenecek |language=Turkish |trans-title=Last minute... Elections will be repeated on 23 June |newspaper=[[Haberturk]] |date=6 May 2019 |accessdate=6 May 2019}}</ref> It was a re-run of the [[March 2019 Istanbul mayoral election|March 2019 mayoral election]], which was annulled by the [[Supreme Electoral Council (Turkey)|Supreme Electoral Council]] (YSK) on 6 May 2019. The original election had resulted in a narrow 0.2% margin of victory for opposition candidate [[Ekrem İmamoğlu]], causing the governing [[Justice and Development Party (Turkey)|Justice and Development Party]] (AKP) to successfully petition for a re-run.<ref>{{cite news |title=Son dakika... YSK, İstanbul Büyükşehir Belediye Başkanlığı seçiminin iptaline ve yenilenmesine karar verdi |language=Turkish |trans-title=Last minute... YSK decided to annuel and repeat the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality mayoral election |author=Recep Özel |url=https://www.haberturk.com/son-dakika-ysk-ak-parti-temsilcisi-recep-ozel-istanbul-secimleri-yenileniyor-2453764 |newspaper=[[Haberturk]] |date=6 May 2019 |accessdate=6 May 2019}}</ref> |
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The [[Nation Alliance (Turkey)|Nation Alliance]] (formed of the [[Republican People's Party (Turkey)|Republican People's Party]] (CHP) and the [[İYİ Party]]) fielded their initial candidate Ekrem İmamoğlu, who ran a positive campaign under the slogan ''Her Şey Çok Güzel Olacak'' (Everything will be fine). The governing [[People's Alliance (Turkey)|People's Alliance]] (formed by the AKP and the [[Nationalist Movement Party]]) re-nominated their initially unsuccessful candidate [[Binali Yıldırım]]. The non-aligned [[Peoples' Democratic Party (Turkey)|Peoples' Democratic Party]] (HDP) did not field their own candidate and announced their support for İmamoğlu. The election featured a televised debate between the two main candidates, a first in Turkey since 2002. Campaigning focused highly on rival accusations of misconduct during and after the initial March 2019 election, during which both sides alleged that they had been a victim of the other's antics. |
The [[Nation Alliance (Turkey)|Nation Alliance]] (formed of the [[Republican People's Party (Turkey)|Republican People's Party]] (CHP) and the [[İYİ Party]]) fielded their initial candidate Ekrem İmamoğlu, who ran a positive campaign under the slogan ''Her Şey Çok Güzel Olacak'' (Everything will be fine). The governing [[People's Alliance (Turkey)|People's Alliance]] (formed by the AKP and the [[Nationalist Movement Party]]) re-nominated their initially unsuccessful candidate [[Binali Yıldırım]]. The non-aligned [[Peoples' Democratic Party (Turkey)|Peoples' Democratic Party]] (HDP) did not field their own candidate and announced their support for İmamoğlu. The election featured a televised debate between the two main candidates, a first in Turkey since 2002. Campaigning focused highly on rival accusations of misconduct during and after the initial March 2019 election, during which both sides alleged that they had been a victim of the other's antics. |
Revision as of 04:06, 24 June 2019
This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. |
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Turnout | 83.74% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Reporting | as of 23 June 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The June 2019 Istanbul mayoral election was held on 23 June 2019.[1] It was a re-run of the March 2019 mayoral election, which was annulled by the Supreme Electoral Council (YSK) on 6 May 2019. The original election had resulted in a narrow 0.2% margin of victory for opposition candidate Ekrem İmamoğlu, causing the governing Justice and Development Party (AKP) to successfully petition for a re-run.[2]
The Nation Alliance (formed of the Republican People's Party (CHP) and the İYİ Party) fielded their initial candidate Ekrem İmamoğlu, who ran a positive campaign under the slogan Her Şey Çok Güzel Olacak (Everything will be fine). The governing People's Alliance (formed by the AKP and the Nationalist Movement Party) re-nominated their initially unsuccessful candidate Binali Yıldırım. The non-aligned Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) did not field their own candidate and announced their support for İmamoğlu. The election featured a televised debate between the two main candidates, a first in Turkey since 2002. Campaigning focused highly on rival accusations of misconduct during and after the initial March 2019 election, during which both sides alleged that they had been a victim of the other's antics.
The results showed a substantial swing in favour of İmamoğlu, who multiplied his initial 13,700-vote margin of victory 57-fold to win 54.2% of the vote against Yıldırım's 45.0%. The opposition's victory defied opinion polls, which predicted a much narrower victory, and was a record in the history of İstanbul local elections in terms of both popular vote and percentage share. İmamoğlu also took pluralities in 28 of İstanbul's 39 districts. Yıldırım, on the other hand, lost 11 districts he had won in March and saw a 4 percent decrease in his previous vote share, conceding defeat soon after indicative results became public.[3][4] The result was seen as a huge blow to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who had once said that if his party 'lost İstanbul, we would lose Turkey.'[5] Commentators viewed the result as a backlash against Erdoğan, the initial annulment of the March vote (which was largely seen as an anti-democratic manoeuvre), economic mismanagement and negative campaigning.[6][7][8][9] It was also seen as a backfire against the government's last-ditch attempt to involve the outlawed Kurdistan Worker's Party (PKK)'s imprisoned leader Abdullah Öcalan in the process, in an attempt convince HDP voters to boycott the election.[10]
31 March 2019 election
Election results
After the local elections were held on 31 March 2019, the Chairman of the Supreme Electoral Council (YSK), Sadi Güven, announced that Ekrem İmamoğlu received 4,159,650 votes and that he was ahead of Justice and Development Party's (AKP) Istanbul mayoral candidate Binali Yıldırım.[11] The Istanbul Provincial Organization of the AKP demanded a re-count of invalid votes and the correction of ballot records on 2 April, which was approved by the Supreme Electoral Council.[12][13] At the conclusion of the re-counting process on 17 April 2019, it was announced that Ekrem İmamoğlu had completed the election with 4,169,765 votes, 13,729 votes ahead of his rival Binali Yıldırım, who received 4,156,036 votes.[14] On the same day, İmamoğlu began his term by receiving his certificate of election from the Supreme Electoral Council's İstanbul Provincial Electoral Council.[15]
Objection process
- 31 March 2019: 2019 Turkish local elections are held.
- 2 April 2019: Recounts are ordered in 9 districts of Istanbul as a result of the AKP's objections.
- 7 April 2019: The AKP's demand for re-counts in all 38 districts of Istanbul is denied by the YSK.
- 9 April 2019: The Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) applied to the YSK for the annulment of results in the Maltepe district of Istanbul.
- 17 April 2019: The Istanbul Provincial Election Board delivered Ekrem İmamoğlu's certificate of election. The AKP objected to this by giving the YSK a 44-page report and three suitcases of documents.
- 20 April 2019: The AKP made an additional objection regarding people removed with KHKs. This was rejected.
- 6 May 2019: The YSK decided that the Istanbul mayoral election shall be annulled and repeated on 23 June 2019.
- 8 May 2019: The Republican People's Party (CHP) and the İyi Party applied to the YSK for the annulment of all elections in Istanbul, in addition to the mayoral election.
- 13 May 2019: The YSK rejected the CHP's and İyi Party's application for the annulment of all elections in Istanbul.
- 22 May 2019: The YSK published the detailed ruling regarding the annulment of the Istanbul mayoral election.
Annulment of the election
On 6 May 2019, in a 7-to-4 decision, the YSK ruled that the Istanbul mayoral election shall be annulled, and that it shall be repeated on 23 June 2019. This decision was based on the objections raised by the AKP regarding the fact that despite the law, some balloting committee presidents and members were not public officials.[16]
Electoral schedule
The Supreme Electoral Council determined the electoral schedule based on its decision on 6 May 2019 to annul the original election and repeat it on 23 June 2019[17]:
- 15 May 2019: The deadline for the submittal of a list of all public servants that will serve in each district to the relevant district election committee centers.
- 20 May 2019: The determination, based on a lottery, of the balloting committee presidents and members, from among the submitted list of public servants.
- 21 May 2019: The distribution of the list of the balloting committee presidents and members to political parties, if requested.
- 23-24 May 2019: The deadline for the submittal of possible objections regarding the make-up of the balloting committees.
- 24 May 2019: The deadline for the period in which political parties can change to their candidates.
- 25 May 2019: The deadline for decisions to be made by the district electoral councils regarding the objections to the make-up of the balloting committees.
- 26 May 2019: The deadline for objections regarding the decisions made by the district electoral councils to be submitted to the Istanbul Provincial Electoral Council.
- 27 May 2019: The announcement of the finalized candidate lists, the printing of the unified ballots and their distribution to the district electoral councils, and the beginning of distribution of the voter information documents.
- 29 May 2019: The completion of the establishment of the balloting committees.
- 13 June 2019: The beginning of election propaganda and of certain prohibitions.
- 16 June 2019: The deadline for the completion of distribution of the voter information documents.
- 18 June 2019: The annotation of information regarding restricted voters to the voter lists.
- 19 June 2019: The completion of the replication of the ballot box voter lists.
- 22 June 2019: The ending of election propaganda at 18:00.
- 23 June 2019: The beginning of the voting process at 8:00, and its completion at 17:00.
Election campaign and party stances
Candidates
The nominee of the governing Justice and Development Party (AKP) is Binali Yıldırım, a former Prime Minister of Turkey and an incumbent Member of the Grand National Assembly. As part of the People's Alliance, the AKP's candidate will have the unconditional support of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP).[18] Ekrem İmamoğlu is the candidate of the Republican People's Party (CHP), and is supported by the CHP-allied İyi Party (İYİ), which is a part of the Nation Alliance.
After the annulment of the 31 March elections, the Democratic Left Party (DSP) candidate Muammer Aydın[19], the Independent Turkey Party (BTP) candidate Selim Kotil[20], the Democratic Party candidate Ersan Gökgöz[21], the Turkish Communist Party candidate Zehra Güner Karaoğlu[22], the Worker's Movement Party-supported independent candidate Özge Akman[22], the Turkish Communist Movement-supported independent candidate Aysel Tekerek[22], and the independent candidate Hazer Oruç Kaya[22] all announced that they would not stand in the upcoming election.
The Felicity Party (SAADET) candidate Necdet Gökçınar[23], the Patriotic Party (VATAN) candidate Mustafa İlker Yücel[24][22], and the independent candidates Doğan Duman[22] and Muhammet Ali Canca[22], conversely announced that they would participate in the Istanbul mayoral election that would be repeated on 23 June 2019.
On 27 May 2019, the finalized candidate list for the 23 June 2019 election was announced. In the list announced by the Istanbul Provincial Electoral Council, there are 17 independent candidates aside from the partied candidates Ekrem İmamoğlu, Binali Yıldırım, Necdet Gökçınar, and Mustafa İlker Yücel.[25]
Justice and Development Party
In the articles published on 9 May 2019 regarding the AKP's strategy, it was said that the AKP would go door-to-door to convince undecided voters and those who did not vote on 31 March, that the AKP would soften its rhetoric, that projects regarding Istanbul and its districts would be emphasized, and that the AKP would participate in joint rallies with the MHP. Aside from these efforts, president and AKP leader Recep Tayyip Erdoğan would join iftar dinners throughout Ramadan, make house visits to voters, and hold rallies in each of the 39 districts of Istanbul.[26] An election coordination center was created under the scope of these strategies, and Mehmet Özhaseki, AKP's candidate for Ankara mayor on 31 March 2019 was chosen to lead this operation.[27]
As part of their election campaign, AKP's goals were:
- To explain the reasons for the annulment of the election to the voters in a convincing manner.[28]
- To call all 2,300,000 AKP members who are eligible to vote in Istanbul by telephone, and to remind them that they absolutely need to vote.[29]
- To not use the name of the Nation Alliance candidate Ekrem İmamoğlu, but to refer to him only as "CHP's candidate".[30][31][32]
- To campaign in order to reduce the image of victimhood held by the CHP due to the annulment of the election.[33]
- To end the rhetoric that was used in the 31 March elections that the election would affect the survival of the government.[34]
- To direct the 103,000 voters who voted for SAADET on 31 March towards the AKP.[28]
Campaign towards resentful AKP voters
A different rhetoric was used towards the estimated 400,000 to 700,000 AKP voters who did not vote for Binali Yıldırım on 31 March as a reaction against the party's policies.[35] In this context, the statements by government spokesperson Mahir Ünal's and AKP group deputy chairman Numan Kurtulmuş's statements drew special attention.[36][37]
Campaign towards Kurdish voters
During the campaign for the election on 31 March, the AKP along with its partner MHP emphasized the "survival problem" in its rhetoric. Afterwards, the AKP determined that many conservative Kurds who had previously voted for the AKP had not voted on 31 March, due to the fact that the rhetoric associating Kurds with terrorism during the campaign had been highly successful.[38] Accordingly, the AKP decided to proceed with a separate effort for the roughly 230,000 conservative Kurds who did not vote on 31 March.[28] In this effort, AKP decided to campaign by messaging that they would "fix their mistakes" to people such as opinion leaders, business people, NGOs in the southeastern provinces as well as in Istanbul. Through this, the AKP planned to communicate directly with the Kurdish voters.[39] On the other hand, the AKP appealed to the MHP, which supports Binali Yıldırım in the election, not to campaign in Istanbul.[40]
Binali Yıldırım visited Diyarbakır on 6 June in order to gain the support of Kurdish voters in Istanbul.[41] There, he welcomed those who came to listen to him using Kurdish words[42], claimed that there were "members of parliament from Kurdistan in the inaugural Grand National Assembly of Turkey[43][44], and pronounced the name of the PKK differently than the way that it is commonly pronounced[45], all of which drew a reaction. These actions by Yıldırım in Diyarbakır were criticised by İyi Party leader Meral Akşener as "first calling Kurds terrorists, and then going to Diyarbakır and crying to get their votes in Istanbul",[46] and by MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli as "there is no Kurdistan or Lazistan in Turkey. Neither will there be in the future. If there are who wish that there would be, they will always find the Nationalist-Idealist movement".[47] Bahçeli's statement was ignored by media organizations close to the AKP.[48] Co-leader of the HDP Sezai Temelli also criticised the hypocrisy Yıldırım's actions.[49]
On 6 May 2019, the lawyers of imprisoned PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan were allowed to visit Öcalan. This was followed by the lifting of the ban on the visitation of Öcalan by Justice Minister Abdülhamit Gül[50]. These actions, combined with a shift in rhetoric on Öcalan by the Anadolu Agency from pre-31 March "head terrorist" to simply "İmralı"[51], the referral of Öcalan as "estimable Öcalan" by Presidential Security and Foreign Policy Council member Burhanettin Duran[52], as well as Öcalan's request for an end to the hunger strikes started for the betterment of his imprisonment conditions on 26 May[53][54] all caused speculation of cooperation between the AKP and Öcalan.[55][56] On the other hand, speculation was also made that the purpose of the meetings with Öcalan was to cause a drop in İmamoğlu's votes by either having the HDP name a candidate for mayor[57], or by having the HDP boycot the election.[58][59] Conversely, MHP leader Bahçeli said, in regards to Öcalan's visitation by his lawyers, that "If you ask me, he should meet with his lawyer".[60]
"Because they stole" statement
After the annulment of the 31 March elections, Binali Yıldırım gave the response of "very simple, because they stole" to a citizen who asked about the annulment. Following this, the Justice and Development Party (AKP) began to regularly allege that the Republican People's Party (CHP) had stolen votes.[61] As part of this, President Erdoğan claimed that there existed footage proving that the CHP had commited vote theft, but this footage never surfaced.[62] However, despite this, Erdoğan continued to raise this allegation.[63]
On the other hand, in regards to the accusation that the CHP stole votes, Yıldırım alleged that balloting council presidents had not given the relevant ballots to those that they identified as AKP voters in the 31 March elections. Meanwhile, Minister of the Interior Süleyman Soylu claimed that the votes were stolen after the tabulation of the votes.[64]
After the absence of vote theft in the reasoning for the annulment of the election by the Supreme Electoral Council (YSK), the AKP's allegations were criticised by the CHP. In light of this, Yıldırım claimed that he "had to say thay they stole", due to the reasoning that he could not make his voice heard during the campaign.[65]
Polls
Date(s) | Pollster | Sample size | AKP | CHP | Other | Undecided | Not Voting |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Throughout June | (Average)[66] | (80,550) | 48.37 45.05 |
50.62 47.15 |
1.01 0.94 |
– 6.86 |
– ← |
18–20 June | PİAR[67] | 1,620 | 47.6 | 51.5 | 0.9 | – | – |
17–20 June | Avrasya[68] | 960 | 46.3 | 53.0 | 0.7 | – | – |
17–19 June | İEA[69][70] | 1,500 | 43.4 | 48.1 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 3.5 |
15–16 June | KONDA[71] | 3,498 | 40.9 | 49.0 | 0.7 | – | 9.4 |
16 June | MAK[72] | 6,580 | 42.5 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.5 |
15 June | REMRES[73][74] | 6,580 | 48.5 | 51.1 | 0.3 | – | – |
12–14 June | ORC[75] | 6,580 | 48.3 | 47.7 | 0.6 | 3.4 | – |
13 June | ADA[76][77] | 9,000 | 48.3 | 50.6 | 1.1 | – | – |
8–12 June | Themis[78] | – | 36.6 | 42.8 | 0.7 | 10.4 | 9.5 |
12 June | AREDA[79] | 9,317 | 47.8 | 51.0 | 1.2 | – | – |
8–11 June | SONAR[80] | 3,400 | 46.7 | 52.3 | 0.9 | – | – |
29 May – 3 June | ORC[81] | 9,675 | 47.0 | 46.7 | 0.8 | 5.5 | – |
15–20 May | MAK[82][83] | 11,000 | 45.0 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | – |
15-16 May | KONDA[71] | - | 40.1 | 50.1 | 0.7 | – | 9.2 |
21–22 April | Konsensus[84][85] | 1,040 | 48.1 | 50.2 | 1.7 | – | – |
Results
Overall results
The following table is detailing the preliminary results of the Istanbul Mayoral Election, with more than 99% of the ballots counted. Official results will be released by the Supreme Electoral Council. Both Yıldırım and Erdoğan acknowledged the defeat and congratulated Ekrem İmamoğlu on his re-election as Mayor of Istanbul.[6][86][87]
References
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