Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2027 French presidential election. The first round is expected to be in April of 2027.
First round
If a candidate receives an absolute majority (50%+1, including blank and void ballots), the election ends after the first round and the second round does not occur. If a second round occurs, the two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round. Candidates are listed from left to right based on their party's position on the left-right spectrum; when there are several candidates from one party, then they are ordered alphabetically by their last name.
Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ifop | 16–18 Apr 2024 | 1,090 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 2% | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.5% | – | 8% | 2.5% | 30% | – | 9% |
1.5% | 0.5% | 4.5% | 14% | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | – | 5% | 2% | 33% | – | 7% | |||
2% | 1.5% | 6% | 15% | – | – | – | 5.5% | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | – | 12% | – | – | – | 2% | – | 8.5% | 2% | – | 36% | 6.5% | |||
1.5% | 1.5% | 5% | 16% | – | – | – | 4.5% | – | – | – | 2.5% | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | – | – | 2% | – | 8% | 3% | – | 35% | 7% | |||
1% | 2% | 4% | 14% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 3% | 20% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | 7% | 2% | – | 35% | 6% | |||
1.5% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 13% | – | – | – | 4.5% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 2% | – | 5% | 3% | – | 34% | 5% | |||
1.5% | 1% | 5% | 13% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 2.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 2% | 6% | – | 2% | – | 33% | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 5.5% | 12% | – | – | – | – | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 2% | – | 5% | 2% | – | 32% | 6.5% | |||
1.5% | 2% | 5% | – | 7% | – | – | 3.5% | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26% | 3% | – | 5% | 2.5% | – | 35% | 6.5% | |||
Cluster17 | 2–5 April 2024 | 1,686 | – | 2% | – | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 4.5% | 3% | – | 31% | 6.5% |
– | 3% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | 5% | 4% | – | 32% | 7% | |||
Ifop | 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | 1,081 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 4% | 14% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | 2% | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3% | – | 5.5% | 2.5% | – | 36% | 6% |
1.5% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 14% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | 2.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | 3% | – | 4.5% | 2.5% | – | 36% | 6% | |||
Ifop | 9–10 Jan 2024 | 1,144 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 14.5% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 1% | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.5% | – | 6% | 3% | 28% | – | 9% |
0.5% | 1.5% | 6% | 15% | – | – | – | 3.5% | – | – | – | 1.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26% | 2.5% | – | 6% | 2.5% | 27% | – | 8% | |||
0.5% | 2% | 6.5% | 14% | – | – | – | 3.5% | – | – | – | 1.5% | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.5% | – | 6% | 2% | – | 32% | 6.5% | |||
0.5% | 1.5% | 6% | 13% | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25% | 2.5% | – | 5% | 2% | – | 33% | 6.5% | |||
Ifop | 24–25 Oct 2023 | 1,179 | 1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | 2% | 19% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4% | – | 6% | 3% | – | 33% | 6% |
1.5% | 1.5% | 6% | 15% | – | – | – | 6% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | 3.5% | – | 6% | 2.5% | – | 33% | 7% | |||
1.5% | 1% | 7% | 15% | – | – | – | 5.5% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | 18% | – | – | 3% | – | 6% | 2.5% | – | 32% | 6.5% | |||
1.5% | 2% | 7.5% | – | 7% | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26% | 2.5% | – | 6% | 3% | – | 32% | 6.5% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25% | 2.5% | – | 5% | 2% | – | 31% | 6.5% | |||
Harris Interactive | 1–4 Sep 2023 | 2,525 | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | 7% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | – | 32% | 6% |
1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | 8% | – | – | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | – | 32% | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | 9% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 2% | – | 33% | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | – | 10% | – | – | – | 7% | – | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 3% | – | 33% | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 5% | 16% | – | 8% | – | – | – | 7% | – | – | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 2% | – | 32% | 7% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | – | 9% | – | – | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 2% | – | 33% | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | 10% | – | – | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | – | – | – | 9% | 3% | – | 33% | 6% | |||
1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | 5% | 2% | – | 30% | 6% | |||
OpinionWay | 12–13 Apr 2023 | 1,038 | 1% | 3% | – | 17% | – | – | – | 6% | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | 7% | – | 23% | – | 9% |
Harris Interactive | 6–7 Apr 2023 | 1,320 | 1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 5% | 2% | – | 30% | 7% |
1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | – | 7% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | 5% | 2% | – | 32% | 7% | |||
1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | – | 8% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | – | 33% | 8% | |||
1% | 1% | 4% | 17% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 5% | 2% | – | 31% | 7% | |||
Ifop | 30–31 Mar 2023 | 1,105 | 1% | 2.5% | 5% | 17% | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26% | 2% | – | 5% | 2.5% | – | 29% | 6% |
1% | 2.5% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | 2.5% | – | 4% | 3% | – | 31% | 6% | |||
1% | 2.5% | 6% | 20% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | 18% | – | – | 2.5% | – | 6% | 3% | – | 32% | 6% | |||
0.5% | 2.5% | 5% | 20% | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | 11% | – | – | – | 2% | – | 8% | 4% | – | 35% | 7% | |||
1% | 1.5% | 6.5% | 20% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | 3% | – | 10% | 3% | – | 36% | 7% | |||
2022 election | 10 Apr 2022 | – | 0.56% | 0.76% | 2.28% | 21.95% | – | – | – | – | 4.63% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.13% | – | – | 2.06% | – | 23.15% | 7.07% |
Second round
This round occurs if no candidate earns an absolute majority (including blank and void ballots) in the first round (50%+1). The two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round with the candidate who receives the most votes being declared the winner.
Attal vs. Le Pen
Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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---|---|---|---|---|
Attal RE |
Le Pen RN | |||
Ifop | 20–24 Apr 2024 | 1,081 | 47% | 53% |
Ifop | 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | 1,081 | 49% | 51% |
Philippe vs. Le Pen
Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
![]() |
![]() |
---|---|---|---|---|
Philippe HOR |
Le Pen RN | |||
Ifop | 20–24 Apr 2024 | 1,081 | 49% | 51% |
Ifop | 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | 1,081 | 50% | 50% |
Mélenchon vs. Le Pen
Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
![]() |
![]() |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mélenchon LFI |
Le Pen RN | |||
Cluster17 | 2–5 April 2024 | 1,686 | 35% | 65% |
Ifop | 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | 1,081 | 36% | 64% |
Ruffin vs. Le Pen
Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
![]() |
![]() |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ruffin Picardie Debout |
Le Pen RN | |||
Cluster17 | 2–5 April 2024 | 1,686 | 50% | 50% |
Scenario polling
Re-run of the 2022 election
Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.
First round
Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cluster17 | 18–20 Oct 2023 | 1,580 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 5% | 17.5% | 2% | 5% | 24.5% | 3% | 3.5% | 3% | 29.5% | 6.5% |
Odoxa | 5–6 Apr 2023 | 1,005 | 1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 2% | 4% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 32% | 5% |
Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,808 | 0.5% | 1% | 4% | 18.5% | 1.5% | 5% | 23% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 31% | 7% |
Ifop | 30–31 Mar 2023 | 1,105 | 0.5% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 2% | 5% | 25% | 1.5% | 4% | 2% | 31% | 6% |
Cluster17 | 4–6 Nov 2022 | 2,151 | 0.5% | 1% | 3% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 30% | 2.5% | 3% | 2.5% | 25.5% | 6% |
Ifop | 25–26 Oct 2022 | 1,125 | 0.5% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 2% | 6% | 29% | 1.5% | 3% | 2% | 30% | 5% |
2022 election | 10 Apr 2022 | – | 0.56% | 0.76% | 2.28% | 21.95% | 1.74% | 4.63% | 27.85% | 3.13% | 4.78% | 2.06% | 23.15% | 7.07% |
Second round
Polling
firm |
Fieldwork
date |
Sample
size |
Abstention | ![]() |
![]() |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Macron[a] RE |
Le Pen RN | ||||
Odoxa | 5–6 Apr 2023 | 1,005 | – | 46% | 54% |
Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,808 | – | 45% | 55% |
Cluster17 | 4–6 Nov 2022 | 2,151 | – | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Ifop | 25–26 Oct 2022 | 1,125 | – | 53% | 47% |
2022 election | 24 Apr 2022 | – | 28.01% | 58.55% | 41.45% |