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2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

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2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee TBD Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Florida
Running mate TBD J.D. Vance

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. District of Columbia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The District of Columbia has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the district neither gained nor lost a seat. Per the Constitution, the District of Columbia can not be apportioned more members of the Electoral College than the number apportioned to the state apportioned the fewest.[1]

As an urban area with an African American plurality and the highest educational attainment in the country, Democrats have faced almost no challenge to earn the District of Columbia's electoral votes in presidential elections since it was first granted its electoral college representation. Starting with Lyndon B. Johnson's victory in 1964, every Democratic nominee for president has won the District by massive margins, including the 49-state landslide defeats of George McGovern and Walter Mondale in 1972 and 1984. Thus, the district is predicted to again be a very easy Democratic win in 2024.[2]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for re-election to a second term.[3]

Primary elections

Republican primary

The District of Columbia Republican presidential primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

District of Columbia Republican primary, March 1–3, 2024[4][5]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Nikki Haley 1,274 62.76% 19 0 19
Donald Trump 676 33.30% 0 0 0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 38 1.87% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 18 0.89% 0 0 0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 15 0.74% 0 0 0
David Stuckenberg 8 0.39% 0 0 0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) 1 0.05% 0 0 0
Total: 2,030 100.00% 19 0 19

Democratic primary

The 2024 Distric of Columbia was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in South Dakota, New Mexico, New Jersey, Montana.

District of Columbia Democratic primary, June 4, 2024[6]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 80,240 86.90% 16
Write-in votes 7,113 7.70%
Marianne Williamson 3,958 4.29%
Armando Perez-Serrato 1,030 1.12%
Total: 92,341 100.0% 20 32 52

Statehood Green primary

The D.C. Statehood Green Party primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana. No candidate appeared on the ballot.

D.C. Statehood Green primary, June 4, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates
Scattered write-ins 272 57.63% 0
Blank ballots 200 42.37% 0
Total: 472 100.00% 5
Source: [7]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[8] Solid D December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid D April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] Safe D December 14, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid D December 30, 2023
CNN[13] Solid D January 14, 2024
The Economist[14] Safe D June 12, 2024
538[15] Solid D June 11, 2024
RCP[16] Solid D June 26, 2024

See also

References

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  2. ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  3. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  4. ^ "The DC GOP Presidential Primary Candidates Official Ballot". District of Columbia Republican Party. Retrieved December 5, 2023.
  5. ^ "District of Columbia Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved August 2, 2024.
  6. ^ "District of Columbia Democratic Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  7. ^ "2024 Primary Election - June 4, 2024". Retrieved June 5, 2024.
  8. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  11. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  12. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  13. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  14. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  15. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
  16. ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.