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2024 Missouri Attorney General election

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See also: 2024 United States attorney general elections

2024 Missouri Attorney General election
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Andrew Bailey Elad Gross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,739,626 1,103,482
Percentage 59.78% 37.92%
County results
Bailey:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Gross:      50–60%      70–80%
Attorney General before election

Andrew Bailey
Republican

Elected Attorney General

Andrew Bailey
Republican

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The 2024 Missouri Attorney General election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the attorney general of the state of Missouri. It coincided with the concurrent presidential election, as well as various state and local elections, including for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and governor of Missouri. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024.[1] Incumbent Andrew Bailey won the Republican nomination, while Elad Gross won the Democratic nomination.

In the general election, Bailey won about 60 percent of the vote, defeating Gross.[2] This marked Bailey's first election to a full term in office, as he was previously appointed in 2022 by Missouri governor Mike Parson to succeed outgoing Attorney General Eric Schmitt upon Schmitt's election to the U.S. Senate.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Endorsements

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Andrew Bailey

Executive Branch Officials

U.S. Senators

Statewide officials

Organizations

Will Scharf

Executive Branch Officials

Statewide officials

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Bailey 		Will
Scharf 		Undecided
Battleground Connect[14][A] July 30–31, 2024 896 (LV) ± 3.1% 41% 30% 29%
co/efficient (R)[15][B] July 10–11, 2024 909 (LV) ± 3.25% 34% 13% 53%
Public Opinion Strategies[16][C] June 20–24, 2024 500 (V) ± 4.38% 52% 19% 39%
Remington Research (R)[17][A] June 19–20, 2024 701 (LV) ± 3.6% 27% 23% 50%
WPA Intelligence[18][D] June 2–4, 2024 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 35% 17% 48%
Remington Research (R)[19][A] February 14–15, 2024 706 (LV) ± 3.6% 24% 18% 58%
Remington Research (R)[20][A] January 17–18, 2024 806 (LV) ± 3.3% 24% 17% 59%
Remington Research (R)[21][A] September 27–28, 2023 714 (LV) ± 3.4% 26% 15% 59%
Remington Research (R)[22][A] July 5–7, 2023 706 (LV) ± 3.4% 25% 14% 61%
Remington Research (R)[23][A] April 11–12, 2023 778 (LV) ± 3.4% 24% 14% 62%

Results

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Primary Results Mapped
Republican primary results by county
Republican primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andrew Bailey (incumbent) 413,465 63.0
Republican Will Scharf 242,680 37.0
Total votes 656,145 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Elad Gross, civil rights attorney, former assistant attorney general, and candidate for attorney general in 2020[25]

Withdrawn

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Endorsements

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Elad Gross

Newspapers

Results

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Democratic primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elad Gross 343,934 100.00%
Total votes 343,934 100.00%

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Ryan Munro, attorney[29]

Results

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Libertarian primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Ryan Munro 2,401 100.00%
Total votes 2,401 100.00%

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R July 25, 2024

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Bailey (R) 		Elad
Gross (D) 		Other Undecided
ActiVote[31] October 8–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43% – –
ActiVote[32] September 6 – October 13, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40% – –
Remington Research Group[33][A] October 2–3, 2024 753 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 42% 1%[b] 6%
YouGov/Saint Louis University[34] August 8–16, 2024 450 (LV) ± 5.40% 51% 38% 1% 9%
Remington Research Group[35][A] March 6–8, 2024 713 (LV) ± 3.9% 50% 35% – 15%

Results

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2024 Missouri Attorney General election[36]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Andrew Bailey (incumbent) 1,739,626 59.78% +0.40%
Democratic Elad Gross 1,103,482 37.92% +0.05%
Libertarian Ryan Munro 66,878 2.30% −0.45%
Total votes 2,909,986 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By congressional district

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Bailey won six of eight congressional districts.[37]

District Bailey Gross Representative
1st 22% 76% Cori Bush (118th Congress)
Wesley Bell (119th Congress)
2nd 55% 43% Ann Wagner
3rd 64% 33% Blaine Luetkemeyer (118th Congress)
Bob Onder (119th Congress)
4th 72% 26% Mark Alford
5th 39% 59% Emanuel Cleaver
6th 70% 28% Sam Graves
7th 72% 26% Eric Burlison
8th 77% 21% Jason Smith

Notes

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  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Munro (L) with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by the Missouri Scout
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Bailey's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Liberty and Justice PAC, which supports Bailey
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Club for Growth, which supports Scharf

References

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  1. ^ "2024 Calendar". www.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
  2. ^ "Missouri Attorney General Election Results 2024". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
  3. ^ a b Ruch, Amber (November 22, 2022). "Gov. Parson names Andrew Bailey as Missouri's new attorney general". KFVS-TV. Retrieved December 10, 2022.
  4. ^ Holleman, Joe (February 1, 2023). "Will Scharf announces GOP bid for Missouri attorney general". St. Louis Post-Dispatch.
  5. ^ a b "Trump endorses Bailey, Scharf in Missouri attorney general race". KMOV. July 30, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.
  6. ^ "Senator Hawley endorses Andrew Bailey for Missouri Attorney General". KMOV. July 22, 2024. Retrieved July 24, 2024.
  7. ^ Hays, Brady (December 2, 2023). "Eric Schmitt endorses Andrew Bailey in Attorney General primary". The Missouri Times. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
  8. ^ "Bailey is Best!". Eagle Forum. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  9. ^ a b "MRL PAC RELEASES AUGUST 6, 2024 PRIMARY ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS" (PDF). missourilifepac.org. June 25, 2024. Retrieved July 3, 2024.
  10. ^ Morris, Kyle (June 6, 2024). "Texas AG Ken Paxton endorses Trump attorney in Missouri AG race: 'The right person'". Fox News. Retrieved June 6, 2024.
  11. ^ Bowen, Cassidy (October 23, 2023). "CHARLIE KIRK AT MISSOURI STATE UNIVERSITY". KWTO. Retrieved October 30, 2023. Charlie Kirk has endorsed Scharf's candidacy for Attorney General.
  12. ^ Keller, Rudi (October 2, 2023). "Out-of-state donors fuel pair of GOP candidates running for Missouri governor, AG". Missouri Independent. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  13. ^ "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Will Scharf in Missouri AG Race". Club for Growth. April 13, 2023. Retrieved April 17, 2023.
  14. ^ Battleground Connect
  15. ^ co/efficient (R)
  16. ^ Public Opinion Strategies
  17. ^ Remington Research (R)
  18. ^ WPA Intelligence
  19. ^ Remington Research (R)
  20. ^ Remington Research (R)
  21. ^ Remington Research (R)
  22. ^ Remington Research (R)
  23. ^ Remington Research (R)
  24. ^ a b c "Missouri Attorney General Primary Election Results 2024". The New York Times. August 6, 2024. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
  25. ^ Keller, Rudi (March 10, 2023). "Democratic candidates jump into race for Missouri Attorney General". The Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  26. ^ Fenske, Sarah. "Rep. Sarah Unsicker Quits Missouri Attorney General Race". Riverfront Times. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  27. ^ Suntrup, Jack (January 9, 2024). "Scorned by fellow Democrats, Shrewsbury state rep announces run for governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
  28. ^ "Editorial: Our endorsements in the Missouri secretary of state and attorney general primaries". July 18, 2024.
  29. ^ "SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing". s1.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
  30. ^ Jacobson, Louis (July 25, 2024). "2024's Races for Attorney General, Secretary of State, and Lieutenant Governor: An Update". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 28, 2024.
  31. ^ ActiVote
  32. ^ ActiVote
  33. ^ Remington Research Group
  34. ^ YouGov/Saint Louis University
  35. ^ Remington Research Group
  36. ^ General Election, November 05, 2024, Official Results, Missouri Secretary of State, December 23, 2024.
  37. ^ https://x.com/Missouri_Mapper/status/1872719556084678689
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Official campaign websites

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