Talk:Tōkai earthquakes

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This page was proposed for deletion by Skamecrazy123 (talk · contribs) on 16 July 2010 with the comment:
There is a redirect from Tokai Earthquake to the Nankai megathrust earthquakes article

Untitled

Is the Tokai earthquake related to the current big earthquake of magnitude 9.0? —Preceding unsigned comment added by 84.147.253.106 (talk) 15:57, 13 March 2011 (UTC)[reply]

I can't say with authority whether it is related or not, but it wasn't "the Tokai Earthquake" that everyone's been waiting for---nor were the Kobe quake of 1995 nor the 1923 Great Kanto Earthquake (which wasn't far from the Tokai area). Japan gets plenty of quakes, some of which are huge. The Tokai quake is notable not just for its size but its regularity as well. Acidtoyman (talk) 06:21, 22 March 2011 (UTC)[reply]

Prediction of 70% chance in 4 years is wrong earthquake

The article states: Shinichi Sakai, from the University of Tokyo, predicted on 23 January 2012 that the probability of a major Tōkai earthquake occurring during the next four years would be 70%, and over the next 30 years is 98%.[3]

However, this is not correct. The poster did not read the source correctly. The earthquake that Mr. Sakai predicted is one affecting Tokyo - not the Tokai earthquake. No such short-term prediction has been made regarding the Tokai earthquake.