The Hockey Stick Illusion: Difference between revisions
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==Reception== |
==Reception== |
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Climatologist [[Judith Curry]], chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the [[Georgia Institute of Technology]], wrote: "I recommend that you read the “Hockey Stick Illusion” by Andrew Montford. ... The book is well documented, it obviously has a certain spin to it, but it is a very good book." <ref>[http://www.collide-a-scape.com/2010/06/18/ Interview of Bart Verheggen and Judith Curry]], by Keith Kloor, June 18, 2010</ref> |
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[[Matt Ridley]] likened the book to a detective story,<ref name="Ridley_2010-02-03_Spectator" /> describing it as "one of the best science books in years".<ref name="prospect"/> Writing in ''Discovery News'', [[Discovery Institute]] co-founder [[George Gilder]] compared the portrayal of Stephen McIntyre's pursuit of the data underlying the "hockey stick" graph with the lead detective character in the [[Columbo (TV series)|Columbo television series]].<ref name="Gilder_2010-02-25_discoverynews" /> |
[[Matt Ridley]] likened the book to a detective story,<ref name="Ridley_2010-02-03_Spectator" /> describing it as "one of the best science books in years".<ref name="prospect"/> Writing in ''Discovery News'', [[Discovery Institute]] co-founder [[George Gilder]] compared the portrayal of Stephen McIntyre's pursuit of the data underlying the "hockey stick" graph with the lead detective character in the [[Columbo (TV series)|Columbo television series]].<ref name="Gilder_2010-02-25_discoverynews" /> |
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Revision as of 23:02, 4 July 2010
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| Author | A.W. Montford |
|---|---|
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Language | English |
| Subject | Climate change |
| Publisher | Stacey International |
Publication date | 2010 |
| Pages | 482 |
| ISBN | 978-1-906768-35-5 |
The Hockey Stick Illusion: Climategate and the Corruption of Science is a book written by Andrew Montford and published by Stacey International in 2010. Montford, who is skeptical of human induced climate change,[1][2] provides his analysis of the history of the "hockey stick graph" of global temperatures for the last 1000 years. The graph was first published in 1998, and was included prominently in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Third Assessment Report in 2001. Many subsequent scientific papers have produced reconstructions broadly similar to the original Mann et al. (1998) hockey-stick graph using various statistical techniques and combinations of proxy records.[3]
Synopsis
The Hockey Stick Illusion relates the story of Michael E. Mann, Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes's "hockey stick graph" starting from when it first appeared in Nature,[4] to Steve McIntyre first becoming interested in the graph and his subsequent struggle to replicate the results of MBH98 and the refusal of Mann to release his methodology and data.[5]
The last few chapters of the book deal with what the book calls "Climategate". Here, the author compares several e-mails to the evidence he presents in The Hockey Stick Illusion. Montford focuses on those e-mails dealing with the peer review process and how these pertained to Stephen McIntyre`s efforts to obtain the data and methodology from Mann's and other paleoclimatologists' published works.[6]
Reception
Matt Ridley likened the book to a detective story,[7] describing it as "one of the best science books in years".[8] Writing in Discovery News, Discovery Institute co-founder George Gilder compared the portrayal of Stephen McIntyre's pursuit of the data underlying the "hockey stick" graph with the lead detective character in the Columbo television series.[9]
Writing in The Courier, Bruce Robbins commended the way "that Andrew has managed to break the episode down and re-assemble it in a way that has transformed the Hockey Stick saga into a compulsive detective story."[10] In a second review he commented, "The Hockey Stick Illusion, charts in great detail the efforts of a sceptical mining industry consultant and statistician, Steve McIntyre, to take apart a graph that became know as the Hockey Stick".[11]
Andrew Orlowski commented that in The Hockey Stick Illusion "[Montford] has provided the storytelling to match the detective work and persistence of another blogger, Steve McIntyre".[12]
Christopher Booker writing for The Telegraph recommended the book twice, once as a "full account" of the IPCC's use of the hockey stick graph in its Third and Fourth Assessment Reports,[13] and later describing it as "expertly recount[ing] a remarkable scientific detective story".[14]
See also
- Medieval warm period
- Historical climatology
- Hockey stick controversy
- Climatic Research Unit email controversy
References
- ^ David Leigh, Charles Arthur and Rob Evans (2010-02-04). "Detectives question climate change scientist over email leaks". The Guardian. Retrieved 2010-04-14.
{{cite news}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|publisher=(help) - ^ Webster, Ben (23 March 2010). "Lord Oxburgh, the climate science peer, 'has a conflict of interest'". Times Newspapers Ltd. Times Online. Retrieved 7 April 2010.
- ^ Fred Pearce (9 February 2010). "Part four: Climate change debate overheated after sceptics grasped 'hockey stick' | Environment". The Guardian. Retrieved 2010-03-08.
- ^ Montford, Andrew (2010). "1". The Hockey Stick Illusion. Stacey International. p. 30.
- ^ Montford, Andrew (2010). "3". The Hockey Stick Illusion. Stacey International. p. 57.
- ^ Montford, Andrew (2010). "17". The Hockey Stick Illusion. Stacey International. p. 402.
- ^ Matt Ridley (2010-02-03). "The global warming guerrillas". The Spectator (spectator.co.uk). Retrieved 2010-04-09.
- ^ Matt Ridley (2010-03-10). "The case against the hockey stick". Prospect (prospectmagazine.co.uk). Retrieved 2010-04-03.
- ^ George Gilder (2010-02-25). "George Gilder Hails "The Hockey Stick Illusion" on the Science Scandal of Global Warming". discoverynews.org. Retrieved 2010-02-25.
In this story, the Columbo figure is Steve McIntyre, a Canadian mining consultant, and A.W. Montford's book tells the gripping and suspenseful details of McIntyre's pursuit of the self-denominated "hockey team" led by Michael Mann, who wrote the key chapters on his own work for the IPCC, and Phil Jones, who maintains the temperature record used by the IPCC to document the "Hockey Stick" claiming allegedly unprecedented and anomalous anthropogenic global warming in the Twentieth Century while denying that any comparable or greater warming occurred in the Medieval period.
- ^ Bruce Robbins (2010-04-02). "Climate of Change". The Courier.
- ^ Robbins, Bruce (2 April 2010). "Bishop Hill: the blogger putting climate science to test". The Courier. The Courier. Retrieved 25 May 2010.
- ^ Orlowski, Andrew (8 February 2010). "Bishop Hill: Gonzo science and the Hockey Stick Torturing the climate numbers until they confess". The Register. Retrieved 26 April 2010.
- ^ Christopher Booker (7:49PM GMT 27 Feb 2010). "A perfect storm is brewing for the IPCC". www.telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved Saturday, Apr 03 2010.
{{cite news}}: Check date values in:|accessdate=and|date=(help) - ^ Booker, Christopher (30 Jan 2010). "Amazongate: new evidence of the IPCC's failures". The Telegraph. Retrieved 14 May 2010.
Further reading
- Booker, Christopher (2009). The Real Global Warming Disaster. Continuum International Publishing Group Ltd. ISBN 1441110526.
- Montford, Andrew (2008-08-11). "Casper and the Jesus paper". Retrieved 2010-04-01.