2020 Azorean regional election

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2020 Azorean regional election
← 2016 25 October 2020 2024 →
57 seats to the Legislative Assembly of the Azores[1]
29 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout45.4% Increase 4.6 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Vasco Cordeiro 2016.jpg
José Manuel Bolieiro - Entrevista Agência Lusa (cropped).png
CDS
Leader Vasco Cordeiro José Manuel Bolieiro Artur Lima
Party PS PSD CDS–PP
Leader since 2012 2019 2008
Leader's seat São Miguel[2] São Miguel Terceira[2]
Last election 30 seats, 46.4% 19 seats, 30.9% 4 seats, 7.2%
Seats won 25 21 3
Seat change Decrease 5 Increase 2 Decrease 1
Popular vote 40,703 35,094 5,739
Percentage 39.1% 33.7% 5.5%
Swing Decrease 7.3 pp Increase 2.8 pp Decrease 1.6 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
CH
António Lima (BE-Açores) - Entrevista Agência Lusa.png
PPM
Leader Carlos Furtado António Lima Paulo Estêvão
Party CHEGA BE PPM
Leader since 2018 2018 2008
Leader's seat São Miguel São Miguel[2] Corvo[2]
Last election New 2 seats, 3.7% 1 seat, 0.93%
Seats won 2 2 2
Seat change Increase 2 Steady 0 Increase 1
Popular vote 5,262 3,962 2,530
Percentage 5.1% 3.8% 2.4%
Swing New Increase 0.2 pp Increase 1.5 pp
  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
 
IL
Pedro Neves PAN.png
CDU
Leader Nuno Barata Pedro Neves João Corvelo
Party IL PAN PCP
Alliance CDU
Leader since 2019 2019 2016
Leader's seat Compensatory list Compensatory list Flores (lost)
Last election New 0 seat, 1.4% 1 seats, 2.6%
Seats won 1 1 0
Seat change Increase 1 Increase 1 Decrease 1
Popular vote 2,012 2,005 1,741
Percentage 1.9% 1.9% 1.7%
Swing New Increase 0.5 pp Decrease 0.9 pp
Map showing island constituencies won by political parties
President before election

Vasco Cordeiro
PS

President-designate

José Manuel Bolieiro
PSD

The 2020 Azorean regional election was held on 25 October 2020,[3] to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of the Azores. All 57 members of the assembly were up for election.

The Socialist Party (PS) again won the most votes with 39%, but lost their majority against all predictions. The party won 25 seats, 5 seats fewer than in 2016 and 4 seats short of a majority.[4] The Socialists' main opponent, the Social Democratic Party (PSD), made significant gains by winning almost 34% of the votes and 21 seats, two more than in 2016.

The CDS – People's Party (CDS-PP) was able to hold on to its status as the third biggest party in the region but lost almost 2% of the votes and one member on the regional parliament. Overall, CDS–PP got 5.5% of the votes and 3 seats. The Left Bloc (BE) was also able to hold on to their 2016 score, holding their 2 seats and winning a similar share of vote to that received in 2016, with 3.8%. The Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU) was wiped out from the regional parliament by losing their sole member, elected in 2016, and polling just 1.7% of the votes.[5]

The big surprise in the elections was the arrival of new parties, from left to right, in the Azores regional parliament. CHEGA (CH) polled 5% of the votes and was able to elect 2 members to the regional parliament.[6] People-Animals-Nature (PAN) also elected one MP as did the Liberal Initiative (IL). The new composition of the regional assembly gave the rightwing parties a majority over the left, with 29 against 28.[7]

On election night, PSD leader José Manuel Bolieiro said the night was a historic one for democracy and the autonomous region.[8] PS leader Vasco Cordeiro said the PS won the elections and should have a chance to form a government but acknowledged that the picture was challenging.[9] In the days after the election, both PS and PSD started talks with parties to see if deals were possible.[10]

On 2 November, PSD, CDS–PP and PPM announced they had reached an agreement to form a government.[11] Shortly afterwards, Carlos Furtardo, the leader of CHEGA also announced the party would support a PSD/CDS–PP/PPM government in the regional parliament.[12] Despite this announcement, there were divisions in CHEGA as the party's national leader, André Ventura, said no deal had been made with the Social Democrats and that the order was to not support the PSD led coalition.[13] However, a few days later, on 6 November, CHEGA and PSD reached an agreement after CHEGA dropped several of their demands.[14]

On the following day, 7 November, IL announced it had reached an agreement with PSD for parliamentary support. Thus the government would be formed by a coalition of PSD, CDS-PP and PPM (26 MPs) with parliamentary support of CHEGA (2) and IL (1), totalizing a majority of 29 out of 57 seats in the parliament.[15]

On that same day, the Representative of the Republic in the Azores, Pedro Catarino, after hearing all parties represented in the regional parliament, appointed José Manuel Bolieiro as President of the Regional Government and asked him to form a government.[16] On 24 November, José Manuel Bolieiro and his cabinet were sworn in to office.[17]

The turnout in these elections increased compared to the previous one, with 45.4% of voters casting a ballot, compared with the record-low 40.9% in the 2016 elections.

Background[edit]

Leadership changes and challenges[edit]

Social Democratic Party[edit]

After the defeat of the PSD in the 2016 regional election, then party leader Duarte Freitas remained in office until resigning on July 2018, due to personal reasons.[18] He called a leadership ballot for 29 September 2018. Two candidates were on the ballot: Incumbent mayor of Ribeira Grande Alexandre Gaudêncio, and Pedro Nascimento Cabral. Gaudêncio was elected with 61% of the votes.[19]

Ballot: 29 September 2018
Candidate Votes %
Alexandre Gaudêncio 1,716 60.9
Pedro Nascimento Cabral 1,058 37.5
Blank/Invalid ballots 46 1.6
Turnout 2,820 53.80
Source: [19]

One year later, on October 2019, Gaudêncio announced his resignation, in the aftermath of a Judiciary Police investigation into suspected irregularities in public contracts and urban development while as mayor of Ribeira Grande.[20] A leadership ballot was called for 14 December 2019 and only one candidate presented himself: José Manuel Bolieiro, by then the incumbent mayor of Ponta Delgada. Boleiro was elected with almost 99% of the votes.[21]

Ballot: 14 December 2019
Candidate Votes %
José Manuel Bolieiro 1,526 98.5
Blank/Invalid ballots 24 1.5
Turnout 1,550 –
Source: [21]

Electoral system[edit]

The 57 members of the Azores regional parliament are elected through a proportional system in which the 9 islands elect a number of MPs proportional to the number of registered voters. MPs are allocated by using the D'Hondt method. 5 members are also elected for a Compensation constituency. Current distribution of MPs by constituency:

Constituency Total
MPs 		Registered
voters[22]
Corvo 2 337
Faial 4 13,019
Flores 3 3,119
Graciosa 3 3,936
Pico 4 13,613
Santa Maria 3 5,393
São Jorge 3 8,710
São Miguel 20 127,947
Terceira 10 52,498
Compensation 5 —
Total 57 228,572

Parties[edit]

The table below lists parties represented in the Legislative Assembly of the Azores in the term between 2016 and 2020.

Name Ideology Leader 2016 result
% Seats
PS Socialist Party
Partido Socialista 		Social democracy Vasco Cordeiro 46.4%
30 / 57
PSD Social Democratic Party
Partido Social-Democrata 		Liberal conservatism José Manuel Bolieiro 30.9%
19 / 57
CDS-PP CDS – People's Party
Centro Democrático Social – Partido Popular 		Christian Democracy Artur Lima 7.2%
4 / 57
B.E. Left Bloc
Bloco de Esquerda 		Democratic socialism António Lima 3.7%
2 / 57
PCP Portuguese Communist Party
Partido Comunista Português 		Communism João Corvelo 2.6%
[a]
1 / 57
PPM People's Monarchist Party
Partido Popular Monárquico 		Monarchism Paulo Estêvâo 0.9%
1 / 57

Parties running in the election[edit]

14 lists were on the ballot for the 2020 Azorean regional election, 13 parties and one coalition only in Corvo. The parties that contested the election and their lead candidates, were: (alphabetically ordered)[23]

Campaign period[edit]

Party slogans[edit]

Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Refs
PS « Prá frente é que é o caminho »
« Os Açores precisam do seu voto » 		"Forward is the way"
"The Azores needs your vote" 		[32]
PSD « Confiança » "Trust" [33]
CDS–PP « A escolha certa na defesa dos seus direitos » "The right choice in defending your rights" [34]
BE « Novas Políticas, Melhor Futuro » "New Policies, Better Future" [35]
CDU « Projecto de futuro para os Açores » "Project of future for the Azores" [36]
PAN « Dar asas a uma nova visão » "Give wings to a new vision" [37]
IL « Vamos liberalizar os Açores » "Lets liberalize the Azores" [38]
CH « O CHEGA é a tua voz. » "CHEGA is your voice." [39]

Candidates' debates[edit]

2020 Azorean regional election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present    A  Absent invitee  N  Non-invitee 
PS
Cordeiro 		PSD
Bolieiro 		CDS–PP
Lima 		BE
A. Lima 		CDU
Corvelo 		PPM
Estêvão 		Refs
2 Oct RTP Açores Herberto Gomes P P P P P P [40][41]
5 Oct RTP Açores João Simas P N N N P N [40][42]
6 Oct RTP Açores João Simas N N N P P P [40][43]
7 Oct RTP Açores João Simas N P N N N P [40][44]
8 Oct RTP Açores João Simas N N P N N P [40][45]
9 Oct RTP Açores João Simas P N N P N N [40][46]
10 Oct RTP Açores João Simas N P N N P N [40][47]
11 Oct RTP Açores João Simas N N P N P N [40][48]
12 Oct RTP Açores João Simas N N N P N P [40][49]
13 Oct RTP Açores João Simas P P N N N N [40][50]
14 Oct RTP Açores João Simas N N P P N N [40][51]
15 Oct RTP Açores João Simas N N N N P P [40][52]
16 Oct RTP Açores João Simas N P N P N N [40][53]
17 Oct RTP Açores João Simas P N N N P N [40][54]
18 Oct RTP Açores João Simas N P P N N N [40][55]
19 Oct RTP Açores João Simas P N N N N P [40]

Opinion polls[edit]

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample
size 		TO PS PSD CDS–PP BE CDU PAN PPM CH IL O Lead
2020 regional elections 25 Oct 2020 — 45.4 39.1
25 		33.7
21 		5.5
3 		3.8
2 		1.7
0 		1.9
1 		2.4
2 		5.1
2 		1.9
1 		4.9
0 		5.4
UCP–CESOP 25 Oct 2020 ? ? 37–41
26/30 		32–36
19/22 		3–6
1/3 		2–5
1/2 		1–2
0/2 		2–3
1 		1–2
1 		3–6
1/3 		1–2
0/1 		— 5
UCP–CESOP 17–18 Oct 2020 3,159 ? 45
28/32 		32
18/22 		3
1/3 		3
0/2 		2
0/1 		2
0/1 		1
1 		3
0/2 		2
0/1 		7
0 		13
2019 legislative election 6 Oct 2019 — 36.5 40.1 30.2 4.8 8.0 2.5 2.7 0.5 0.9 0.7 9.6 9.9
2019 EP elections 26 May 2019 — 18.7 40.8 20.7 6.5 7.5 2.5 3.7 1.2 — 0.5 16.6 20.1
2017 local elections 1 Oct 2017 — 53.5 45.0 41.7 3.2 1.5 1.9 0.6 — — — 6.1 3.3
2016 regional elections 16 Oct 2016 — 40.8 46.4
30 		30.9
19 		7.2
4 		3.7
2 		2.6
1 		1.4
0 		0.9
1 		— — 6.9
0 		15.5

Voter turnout[edit]

The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day.

Turnout Time
11:00 16:00 19:00
2016 2020 ± 2016 2020 ± 2016 2020 ±
Total 7.47% 9.16% Increase 1.69 pp 29.29% 32.68% Increase 3.39 pp 40.85% 45.41% Increase 4.56 pp
Sources[56]

Results[edit]

Regional summary[edit]

Summary of the 25 October 2020 Legislative Assembly of Azores elections results
Parties Votes % ±pp swing MPs MPs %/
votes %
2016 2020 ± % ±
Socialist 40,703 39.14 Decrease7.3 30 25 Decrease5 43.86 Decrease8.7 1.12
Social Democratic 35,094 33.74 Increase2.8 19 21 Increase2 36.84 Increase3.5 1.09
People's 5,739 5.52 Decrease1.7 4 3 Decrease1 5.26 Decrease1.7 0.95
CHEGA 5,262 5.06 — — 2 — 3.51 — 0.69
Left Bloc 3,962 3.81 Increase0.1 2 2 Steady0 3.51 Steady0.0 0.92
People's Monarchist 2,415 2.32 Increase1.4 0 1 Increase1 1.75 Increase1.7 0.75
Liberal Initiative 2,012 1.93 — — 1 — 1.75 — 0.91
People-Animals-Nature 2,005 1.93 Increase0.4 0 1 Increase1 1.75 Increase1.7 0.91
Democratic Unity Coalition[a] 1,741 1.67 Decrease0.9 1 0 Decrease1 0.00 Decrease1.7 0.0
Alliance 422 0.41 — — 0 — 0.00 — 0.0
LIVRE 362 0.35 Increase0.1 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Earth 157 0.15 Decrease0.2 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Portuguese Workers' Communist 144 0.14 Decrease0.2 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
More Corvo (PPM/CDS–PP)[b] 115 0.11 Increase0.0 1 1 Steady0 1.75 Steady0.0 15.90
Total valid 100,133 96.28 Increase1.6 57 57 Steady0 100.00 Steady0.0 —
Blank ballots 2,618 2.52 Decrease0.4
Invalid ballots 1,247 1.20 Decrease1.2
Total 103,998 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 229,002 45.41 Increase4.6
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições
Vote share
PS
 
 39.14%
PSD
 
 33.74%
CDS-PP
 
 5.52%
CH
 
 5.06%
BE
 
 3.81%
PPM
 
 2.32%
IL
 
 1.93%
PAN
 
 1.93%
CDU
 
 1.67%
MC
 
 0.11%
Others
 
 1.05%
Blank/Invalid
 
 3.72%
Parliamentary seats
PS
 
 43.86%
PSD
 
 36.84%
CDS-PP
 
 5.26%
CH
 
 3.51%
BE
 
 3.51%
PPM
 
 1.75%
IL
 
 1.75%
PAN
 
 1.75%
MC
 
 1.75%

Results by constituency[edit]

Results of the 2020 election of the Legislative Assembly of Azores by constituency
Constituency % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S Total
S
PS PSD CDS-PP CH BE PPM IL PAN PPM/
CDS-PP
Corvo 35.2 1 22.3 - 0.0 - 40.1 1 2
Faial 30.3 2 41.0 2 6.0 - 3.0 - 3.6 - 2.6 - 1.5 - 4
Flores 30.0 1 28.3 1 11.7 - 3.9 - 18.2 1 1.4 - 3
Graciosa 47.4 2 41.6 1 1.3 - 1.5 - 1.1 - 3.5 - 3
Pico 44.8 2 36.5 2 4.5 - 3.6 - 1.9 - 0.6 - 1.5 - 4
Santa Maria 44.0 2 23.3 1 1.2 - 1.4 - 11.6 - 12.6 - 3
São Jorge 32.0 1 18.4 1 31.6 1 9.1 - 1.9 - 1.5 - 2.6 - 3
São Miguel 39.0 9 36.6 9 1.6 - 5.6 1 4.3 1 2.2 - 2.5 - 2.6 - 20
Terceira 41.3 5 28.5 4 9.5 1 5.4 - 3.2 - 0.8 - 2.9 - 1.5 - 10
Compensation - - 1 1 1 - 1 1 5
Total 39.1 25 33.7 21 5.5 3 5.1 2 3.8 2 2.3 1 1.9 1 1.9 1 0.1 1 57
Source: Azores Government

Maps[edit]

  • Most voted party by island.
    Most voted party by island.
  • Most voted party by municipality in the Azores.
    Most voted party by municipality in the Azores.

Aftermath[edit]

Government approval[edit]

With the loss of its majority, the PS tried to reach a deal with other parties but failed, as the PSD reached a deal for a minority coalition government with CDS – People's Party (CDS-PP) and the People's Monarchist Party (PPM), plus ensured the outside support of Chega and the Liberal Initiative.[11][15] On 11 December 2020, the regional parliament approved José Manuel Boleiro's minority government, the first non-socialist Azorean regional government in 24 years:

2020 Motion of confidence
José Manuel Bolieiro (PSD)
Ballot → 11 December 2020
Required majority → Simple checkY
Yes
29 / 57
No
  • • PS (25)
  • • BE (2)
  • • PAN (1)
28 / 57
Abstentions
0 / 57
Absentees
0 / 57
Sources[57]

Fall of the government[edit]

On March 2023, the Liberal Initiative removed its support from the PSD/CDS/PPM minority coalition, citing deep disagreements on policy and tensions between the minor parties within the coalition.[58] On the budget vote for 2024, in late November 2023, the coalition lost the support of their outside supporters, Liberal Initiative and Chega, and the budget fell.[59] Bolieiro tried to present a second budget, but after meeting with President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, he dropped the idea and asked for early elections.[60] Shortly after, early elections were called for 4 February 2024.[61]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2016 election in a coalition called Unitary Democratic Coalition and won a combined 2.6% of the vote and elected one MP to parliament.
  2. ^ a b List only running in Corvo Island.

References[edit]

  1. ^ Alteração à Lei Eleitoral da ALRA dos Açores - CNE (in Portuguese), Lisbon, Portugal: Comissão Nacional dos Eleições, archived from the original on 2009-02-19
  2. ^ a b c d Assembleia Legislativa dos Açores - Deputados e Grupos Parlamentares
  3. ^ Eleições legislativas dos Açores vão ser a 25 de Outubro Público, 22 August 2020. Retrieved 22 August 2020.
  4. ^ Resultados finais: PS perde maioria absoluta nos Açores TVI24, 25 October 2020. Retrieved 31 October 2020.
  5. ^ CDU reconhece resultado "particularmente negativo" nos Açores Jornal de Notícias, 26 October 2020. Retrieved 31 October 2020.
  6. ^ Eleições nos Açores: Chega elege dois deputados Público, 25 October 2020. Retrieved 31 October 2020.
  7. ^ Geringonça à direita? Fim da maioria absoluta do PS nos Açores deixa tudo em aberto RTP, 26 October 2020. Retrieved 31 October 2020.
  8. ^ José Manuel Bolieiro fala em noite histórica RTP Açores, 25 October 2020. Retrieved 31 October 2020.
  9. ^ Vasco Cordeiro diz que o novo quadro parlamentar é desafiante RTP Açores, 25 October 2020. Retrieved 31 October 2020.
  10. ^ CDS-PP disputado entre PS e PSD para continuidade ou ‘geringonça’ à direita nos Açores Jornal Económico, 31 October 2020. Retrieved 31 October 2020.
  11. ^ a b PSD, CDS e PPM alcançam proposta de governação nos Açores RTP, 2 November 2020. Retrieved 31 2 November 2020.
  12. ^ Açores. Chega promete apoio ao Governo da direita RTP, 2 November 2020. Retrieved 2 November 2020.
  13. ^ Açores. Rio não cede e Ventura ordena chumbo da 'geringonça' de direita Expresso, 4 November 2020. Retrieved 7 November 2020.
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  30. ^ PCTP-MRPP alerta para aumento da pobreza na região, Acoriano Oriental, 15 September 2020. Retrieved 16 September 2020.
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  33. ^ "PSD Açores 2020". PSD (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 September 2020.
  34. ^ "CDS Açores Facebook". CDS-PP (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 September 2020.
  35. ^ "BE Açores Facebook". BE (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 September 2020.
  36. ^ "CDU Açores Facebook". CDU (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 September 2020.
  37. ^ "PAN quer eleger dois deputados para formar um grupo parlamentar (Vídeo)". RTP Azores (in Portuguese). 15 September 2020. Retrieved 18 September 2020.
  38. ^ "Iniciativa Liberal Açores 2020". Iniciativa Liberal (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 September 2020.
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  56. ^ "Eleições nos Açores. Até às 11h00 tinham ido votar 9,16% dos eleitores". observador.pt (in Portuguese). Observador. 25 October 2020. Retrieved 18 August 2023.
  57. ^ "Programa do Governo dos Açores aprovado. "É possível governar melhor", diz Bolieiro". Público (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 11 December 2020. Retrieved 11 February 2024.
  58. ^ IL rompe acordo de incidência parlamentar com Governo dos Açores Notícias ao Minuto, 8 March 2023. Retrieved 9 March 2023.
  59. ^ "Orçamento dos Açores para 2024 chumbado com votos contra da IL, PS e BE e abstenções do Chega e PAN". CNN Portugal (in Portuguese). 23 November 2023. Archived from the original on 30 November 2023. Retrieved 30 November 2023.
  60. ^ Martins, Susana (30 November 2023). "PSD quer eleições antecipadas nos Açores. "Mais vale antecipar uma decisão do povo"". Radio Renascença (in Portuguese). Archived from the original on 30 November 2023. Retrieved 30 November 2023.
  61. ^ "É oficial: Marcelo confirma eleições antecipadas nos Açores". Diário de Notícias (in Portuguese). 11 December 2023. Archived from the original on 12 December 2023. Retrieved 12 December 2023.

External links[edit]

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