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2016 West Virginia Democratic presidential primary

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2016 West Virginia Democratic presidential primary

← 2008 May 10, 2016 (2016-05-10) 2020 →
 
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton Paul T. Farrell Jr.
Home state Vermont New York West Virginia
Delegate count 18 11 0
Popular vote 124,700 86,914 21,694
Percentage 51.41% 35.84% 8.94%

Election results by county.
  Bernie Sanders
Results by county of Paul T. Farrell, Jr.
  <5%
  5–10%
  10–15%
  15–20%
  >20%

The 2016 West Virginia Democratic presidential primary was held on May 10 in the U.S. state of West Virginia as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Republican Party held primaries in two states, including their own West Virginia primary, while for the Democratic Party this was the only primary on that day.

A heavily white, working-class state where voters were angry about the Obama administration's policies, Bernie Sanders easily outpolled Clinton in the Mountain State. Thirty percent of Democratic primary voters came from a coal household, and Sanders won 63 percent.[1]

Opinion polling

List of polls

Delegate count: 29 Pledged, 8 Unpledged Winner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: May 10, 2016

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results[2] May 10, 2016 Bernie Sanders
51.4%
Hillary Clinton
35.8%
Paul Farrell
8.9%
Others
3.9%
MetroNews[3]

Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 315

April 22-May 2, 2016 Bernie Sanders
47%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Undecided 11%
Public Policy Polling[4]

Margin of error: ±3.9%
Sample size: 637

April 29-May 1, 2016 Bernie Sanders
45%
Hillary Clinton
37%
Undecided 18%
West Virginia Veterans/Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies[5]

Margin of error: ±3.9%
Sample size: 600

March 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton
44%
Bernie Sanders
31%
Paul Farrell
6%
Keith Judd 1%
Others 7%
Undecided 11%
Orion Strategies[6]

Margin of error: ±5.6%
Sample size: 306

February 20–21, 2016 Bernie Sanders
32%
Hillary Clinton
24%
Undecided 44%
REPASS Research

Margin of error: ±4.9%[7]
Sample size: 411

February 11–16, 2016 Bernie Sanders
57%
Hillary Clinton
29%
Orion Strategies[8]

Margin of error: ±4.9%[9]
Sample size: 306

August 27, 2015 Hillary Clinton
23%
Joe Biden
16%
Bernie Sanders
12%
Undecided 49%
Prism Surveys[10]

Margin of error: ± 3.21%
Sample size: 900

August 21, 2015 Hillary Clinton
36%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Undecided 32%

Results

West Virginia Democratic primary, May 10, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 124,700 51.41% 18 18
Hillary Clinton 86,914 35.84% 11 8 19
Paul T. Farrell Jr. 21,694 8.94%
Keith Judd 4,460 1.84%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 3,796 1.57%
Rocky De La Fuente 975 0.40%
Uncommitted 0 0 0
Total 242,539 100% 29 8 37
Source: [11][12]

Analysis

Although West Virginia had breathed new life into Clinton's 2008 presidential campaign eight years earlier, it failed to deliver for Clinton's front-running campaign in 2016. Clinton lost every county in the state to Bernie Sanders.

Sanders's West Virginia victory came from strong support among workers in the coal industry; fifty-five percent of West Virginia's Democratic voters with coal workers in their households voted for Sanders, while only 29 percent voted for Clinton.[13] His easy win was likely fueled by Clinton's comments in March about coal, "We're going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business."[14]

Analysts "speculate" Sanders's win in West Virginia came not from support for his own coal policies, but from a rejection of the Obama administration's.[15] Sanders was also helped by large numbers of Republican cross-over voters. Thirty-nine percent of Sanders voters stated they planned to vote for Donald Trump over Sanders in the November general election.[16]

References

  1. ^ "Bernie Sanders Wins West Virginia Primary". NPR.org. Retrieved 2021-01-23.
  2. ^ Primary results
  3. ^ "Overwhelming support for Trump, small lead for Sanders in MetroNews West Virginia Poll". MetroNews. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 6 May 2016.
  4. ^ "Trump, Sanders lead in West Virginia (april 2016)" (PDF). Scribd. Retrieved 3 May 2016.
  5. ^ "WV-Gov Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies for West Virginia Veterans (March 2016)". Scribd. Retrieved 21 April 2016.
  6. ^ "Poll: WV prefers GOP for president, Democrat for governor". wvgazettemail.com. 25 February 2016. Retrieved 2016-02-29.
  7. ^ "Trump and Sanders Have Big Leads in MetroNews West Virginia Poll" (PDF). wvmetronews.com. 22 February 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-02-26. Retrieved 2016-02-22.
  8. ^ "Survey: WV residents likely to pick Trump over Clinton in 2016". Statejournal.com. Retrieved 2015-08-27.
  9. ^ "Trump leads Republican field and Clinton in West Virginia, according to new Orion Strategies statewide poll". prnewswire.com. 26 August 2015.
  10. ^ "Poll: Democrats running for WV gov locked in dead heat". Wvgazettemail.com/. 26 August 2015. Retrieved 2015-08-26.
  11. ^ The Green Papers
  12. ^ West Virginia Secretary of State
  13. ^ "How Anti-Coal Bernie Sanders Won Coal Country". 2016-05-12. Retrieved 2016-09-24.
  14. ^ "How Anti-Coal Bernie Sanders Won Coal Country". 2016-05-12. Retrieved 2016-09-24.
  15. ^ "How Anti-Coal Bernie Sanders Won Coal Country". 2016-05-12. Retrieved 2016-09-24.
  16. ^ "Donald Trump Supporters Boost Bernie Sanders in West Virginia". NBC News. Retrieved 2017-08-28.