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2022 Slovenian parliamentary election

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2022 Slovenian parliamentary election

← 2018 24 April 2022

All 90 seats in the National Assembly
46 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Robert Golob Janez Janša Matej Tonin
Party GS SDS NSi
Last election 24.92%, 25 seats 7.16%, 7 seats
Seats won 41 27 8
Seat change New Increase 2 Increase 1
Popular vote 406,761 277,094 80,757
Percentage 34.53% 23.52% 6.86%
Swing New Decrease1.40pp Decrease0.30pp

  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Tanja Fajon Luka Mesec
Party SD Levica
Last election 9.93%, 10 seats 9.33%, 9 seats
Seats won 7 5
Seat change Decrease 3 Decrease 4
Popular vote 78,393 51,662
Percentage 6.66% 4.39%
Swing Decrease3.27pp Decrease4.94pp

Map of the election results, showing the seats won by each party in each of the 8 multi-member constituencies.

Prime Minister before election

Janez Janša
SDS

Elected Prime Minister

TBD

Parliamentary elections were held in Slovenia on 24 April 2022 to elect all members of the National Assembly.[1][2]

The ruling Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), led by prime minister Janez Janša, conceded and was defeated by Robert Golob and his Freedom Movement (GS). New Slovenia (NS) placed third, and was followed by the Social Democrats (SD) and The Left (Levica), both of which suffered some losses. The List of Marjan Šarec and the Party of Alenka Bratušek fell below the 4% electoral threshold and won no seats. Turnout stood at 70%, a substantial increase compared to previous two elections (52.63% in 2018 and 51.71% in 2014).[3]

Internationally the election has been described as a defeat for Janša and right-wing populism, Janša being a supporter of former US president Donald Trump and an ally of Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán.[4][5]

Electoral system

The 90 members of the National Assembly are elected by two methods. 88 are elected by open list proportional representation in eight 11-seat constituencies and seats are allocated to the parties at the constituency level using the Droop quota. The elected Deputies are identified by ranking all of a party's candidates in a constituency by the percentage of votes they received in their district. The seats that remain unallocated are allocated to the parties at the national level using the D'Hondt method with an electoral threshold of 4%.[6] Although the country is divided into 88 electoral districts, deputies are not elected from all 88 districts. More than one deputy is elected in some districts, which results in some districts not having an elected deputy (for instance, 21 of 88 electoral districts did not have an elected deputy in the 2014 elections).[7] Parties must have at least 35% of their lists from each gender, except in cases where there are only three candidates. For these lists, there must be at least one candidate of each gender.[8][9]

Two additional deputies are elected by the Italian and Hungarian minorities. Voters rank all of the candidates on the ballot paper using numbers (1 being highest priority). A candidate is awarded the most points (equal to the number of candidates on the ballot paper) when a voter ranks them first. The candidate with most points wins.[10][6]

Campaign

President Borut Pahor signed a decree for the election to be held on 24 April 2022. Pahor explained that he will nominate a prime minister based on the composition of the parliament, requesting leaders of parliamentary groups to put forward at least 46 signatures.[11] Prime Minister Janez Janša tested positive for Covid-19 on the same day.[12]

Following the decision of the ECtHR in The Committee for the organization and registration of the Romanian Communist Party v. Romania case in which the ECtHR confirmed Romania's decision to refuse to register a political party that did not distance itself from the former communist regime, Vili Kovačič asked the Constitutional Court to decide on the constitutionality of The Left's program and actions of The Left and Social Democrats. The latter is the legal successor of the League of Communists of Slovenia.[13] The Constitutional Court rejected Vili Kovačič's proposal to decide on constitutionality of The Left's program and actions of The Left and Social Democrats as groundless.[14]

Aleksandra Pivec submitted 1500 signatures to support Our Country's candidate lists. She also stated that MPs Branko Simonovič and Ivan Hršak of DeSUS may join her party.[15] DeSUS and LIDE decided to form a joint candidate lists for the election.[16] Karl Erjavec, former leader of DeSUS, said in an interview that DeSUS is a failed party and that connecting with LIDE will not have a positive effect in the election. He was critical of the DeSUS MPs and Igor Zorčič, who did not support the vote of no confidence after which Erjavec would become prime minister. He added, that he might re-enter politics, but not through DeSUS, and that he has several offers from other parties.[17] The LIDE party authorized party president Igor Zorčič to form a joint list of candidates with DeSUS and the LDS.[18]Later LIDE announced that it would not participate in the election. DeSUS did not want broader coalition with other parties and therefore rejected an agreement offered by LIDE. LIDE's leader Igor Zorčič stated that party will skip parliamentaty election and focus on presidential and local elections, which will be held later this year.[19] DeSUS announced that it will run in the elections on its own after refusing to form a joint list with the LIDE.[20]

File:Sklop predvolilnih plakatov v Velenju.jpg
Posters promoting political parties during the campaign period

The Commission for the Prevention of Corruption announced that it had not found any violations regarding the vacations of Prime Minister Janez Janša with some businessmen and stopped the investigation.[21] After the investigation of the procurement of protective equipment in the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Commission for the Prevention of Corruption (KPK) found a violation of the integrity by the Minister of the Economy Zdravko Počivalšek. Počivalšek stated that he will not resign and that the KPK's opinion tells more about the KPK itlself.[22] Robert Golob found himself under police investigation after he was accused of receiving too high a salary as a CEO of the state-owned GEN-I and therefore violating the so called "Lahkovnik" Act, which regulates the salaries of management bodies of state-owned companies.[23]

Speaker Igor Zorčič, former member of the Modern Centre Party, founded a new party called Liberal Democrats.[24] Robert Golob, former State Secretary in the Ministry of Economy in Prime Minister Drnovšek's cabinet and CEO of GEN-i, was elected president of the Green Actions Party, renaming it to the Freedom Movement. Igor Zorčič announced that the Liberal Democrats will not form a coalition with the Freedom Movement, which was a mutual decision of both parties. Allegedly, Freedom Movement's leader Golob only offered Zorčič to be a candidate on his party's candidate list, and not a joint list.[25] Whistleblower Ivan Gale became president of the Our Future party, and former European Commissioner Violeta Bulc was elected vice president.[26] Smiljan Mekicar of Good Country party confirmed that they will form a joint list fir Ivan Gale's Our Future party and some other parties and lists.[27]

RTV Slovenia, the public brodcaster, rejected Freedom Movement's request to recognize them as a parliamentary party.[28] RTV Slovenia recognized Aleksandra Pivec's Our Country party as a parliamentary party, which by law allows it to participate in electoral debates with other parliamentary parties. RTV Slovenia recognized Our Country as the successor to DeSUS, because Aleksandra Pivec was elected president of DeSUS, but then resigned and founded a new party, which was joined by several former members of DeSUS. According to RTV Slovenia, the situation was the same as in the case of the Alliance of Alenka Bratušek before the 2014 elections. Alenka Bratušek was elected president of Positive Slovenia, then resigned and founded a new party, which included several members of Positive Slovenia. RTV Slovenia granted the Alliance of Alenka Bratušek parliamentary status.[29] Freedom Movement was granted parliamentary status after it won a suit against RTV Slovenia for political discrimination.[30]

Parties and election coalitions

The following parties and lists have seats in the current National Assembly before the election:

Party/List Main ideology Leader Role National Assembly Seats
2018 election Current (pre-election)
SDS Slovenian Democratic Party
Slovenska demokratska stranka
Conservatism Janez Janša
Prime Minister
Government
25 / 90
26 / 90
LMŠ List of Marjan Šarec
Lista Marjana Šarca
Social liberalism Marjan Šarec
MP, fmr. Prime Minister
Opposition
13 / 90
14 / 90
SD Social Democrats
Socialni demokrati
Social democracy Tanja Fajon
MEP
Opposition
10 / 90
13 / 90
Levica The Left
Levica
Democratic socialism Luka Mesec
MP
Opposition
9 / 90
7 / 90
NSi New Slovenia
Nova Slovenija
Christian democracy Matej Tonin
Minister of Defence
Government
7 / 90
7 / 90
SAB Party of Alenka Bratušek
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
Social liberalism Alenka Bratušek
MP, fmr. Prime Minister
Opposition
5 / 90
6 / 90
DeSUS Democratic Party of Pensioners of Slovenia
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
Pensioners' interests Ljubo Jasnič
fmr. State Secretary
Opposition
Support by the MPs, not the party
5 / 90
4 / 90
PoS Let's Connect Slovenia
Povežimo Slovenijo
Concretely
Konkretno
Liberalism Zdravko Počivalšek
Minister of Economy
Government
10 / 90
4 / 90
Slovenian People's Party (SLS)
Slovenska ljudska stranka
Conservatism Marjan Podobnik
fmr. Deputy Prime Minister
Government
0 / 90
0 / 90
Greens of Slovenia (Zeleni)
Zeleni Slovenije
Green conservatism Andrej Čuš
State Secretary
Government
0 / 90
0 / 90
New People's Party (NLS)
Nova ljudska stranka
Conservatism Željko Vogrin
National Councilor
Government
0 / 90
0 / 90
New Social Democracy (NSD)
Nova socialdemokracija
Social democracy Andrej Magajna
fmr. MP
Opposition
0 / 90
0 / 90
SNS Slovenian National Party
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
Nationalism Zmago Jelinčič Plemeniti
MP
Opposition
Support
4 / 90
3 / 90
GS Freedom Movement
Gibanje svoboda
Green liberalism Robert Golob
fmr. State Secretary
Opposition New
2 / 90
ND Our Country
Naša dežela
Agrarianism Aleksandra Pivec
fmr. Minister of Agriculture
Opposition
Support
New
1 / 90

Leader profiles

Other parties

Party/List Main ideology President
Pirati Pirate Party of Slovenia
Piratska stranka Slovenije
Pirate politics Boštjan Tavčar
Vesna Spring – Green Party
Vesna - zelena stranka
Green politics Urša Zgojznik & Uroš Macerl
Resni.ca Tru.th
Resni.ca
Populism Zoran Stevanović
DOM Homeland League
Domovinska liga
Nationalism Bernard Brščič
fmr. State Secretary
TBA Good Country (DD)
Dobra država
Anti-corruption Smiljan Mekicar
Our Future
Naša prihodnost
Ivan Gale
ZOS Liberate Slovenia Alliance
Zavezništvo Osvobodimo Slovenijo
United Slovenia Movement (ZSi)
Gibanje Zedinjena Slovenija
Nationalism Andrej Šiško
People's Party of Labor (NSD)
Narodna stranka dela
Nationalism Marijan Poljšak
Aleksander Kamenik's Party (SAK)
Stranka Aleksandra Kamenika
Animal rights Aleksander Kamenik
Party of Slovenian People (SSN)
Stranka Slovenskega naroda
Nationalism Aleksander Zamuda
ZLS For the People of Slovenia
Za ljudstvo Slovenije
Anica Bidar

Parties that fulfill the criteria

X Constituency with submitted list of candidates
Rejected list of candidates

Opinion polls

Polls since the 2018 election
Polls since the 2018 election


Results

The turnout in the vote was 70%, according to the election commission. Experts said that was well above the national average. Peter Merše, a political analyst, said; "The biggest winner is of course the Freedom Movement. Slovenia is once again experimenting with new faces, with people we have hardly even heard of before."[33] The voter turnout at early election, that took place from 19 to 21 April, was 7.67%, which was the record turnout for early voting both in election and referendums.[34]

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Freedom Movement406,76134.5341New
Slovenian Democratic Party277,09423.5227+2
New Slovenia – Christian Democrats80,7576.868+1
Social Democrats78,3936.667–3
The Left51,6624.395–4
List of Marjan Šarec43,8853.730–13
Let's Connect Slovenia40,2703.420–10
Resni.ca33,6802.860New
Party of Alenka Bratušek30,7732.610–5
Healthy Society Movement20,7841.760New
Our Future and Good State19,9781.7000
Pirate Party19,1961.6300
Our Country17,7241.500New
Slovenian National Party17,6061.490–4
Spring – Green Party15,6611.330New
For the People of Slovenia8,2180.700New
Democratic Party of Pensioners of Slovenia7,5820.640–5
List of Boris Popovič – Let's Digitize Slovenia5,0790.430New
Homeland League2,0860.180New
Liberate Slovenia Alliance5490.050New
United Slovenia Movement1680.0100
Italian and Hungarian national minorities20
Total1,177,906100.00900
Valid votes1,177,90699.09
Invalid/blank votes10,8580.91
Total votes1,188,764100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,695,77170.10
Source: Volitve (99.98% counted)

Aftermath

The Freedom Movement led by Robert Golob, a former executive of a state-owned energy company, won 41 seats. It had campaigned on a transition to green energy, an open society and the rule of law. The Slovenian Democratic Party of incumbent prime minister Janez Janša finished second and won 27 seats. New Slovenia – Christian Democrats finished third and won 8 seats, followed by the Social Democrats with 7 seats and The Left with 5 seats. Golob, speaking to party headquarters via video link, declared victory and thanked his celebrating supporters for the historical turnout. On the other hand, prime minister Janša addressing his supporters conceded defeat and said: "The results are what they are. Congratulations to the relative winner."[5] Luka Mesec, the coordinator of The Left, announced that he would offer to resign as the party coordinator.[35]

In Slovenia, political analysts commented that many people voted for Golob because he was seen as the most likely candidate to win against Janša's government, and tactical voting took place. The result came at the expense of the two opposition parties, the List of Marjan Šarec and the Party of Alenka Bratušek, both of which failed to secure seats in the National Assembly.[36] Freedom Movement won the highest number of seats for a single party in the elections since the independence of Slovenia. The number of parties that won seats (five) was the smallest elected to the legislature in the same time period; for comparison, nine parties were elected in 2018. Commentators mentioned that Golob, previously a successful businessman, is a newcomer to the office, and that there are still several unknowns about the party priorities. They also mentioned that he may lack qualified people to take the offices.[36][4] Luka Lisjak Gabrijelčič of Delo saw the result more like a defeat for Janša than a win for Golob, and added that the election in Slovenia would be internationally seen as a footnote in the fight against right-wing populism, as the world was mostly focused on the bigger election of the day, the 2022 French presidential election.[37]

International media saw the relative victory of the Freedom Movement as a defeat of right-wing populism of Janša's government, and commented that Janša was a supporter of the former US president Donald Trump and an ally of Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán.[4][5] In Croatia, the news portal Index commented that Golob embodies the values of the late Prime Minister and President Janez Drnovšek, and that a scenario where a political newcomer wins the election cannot happen in Croatia.[38]

In order to form a government, Euronews reported that Freedom Movement is expected to form a coalition with "smaller centre-left groups".[39] Prior to election, Golob suggested that he could cooperate with the existing opposition parties. Both Social Democrats and The Left lost seats but were considered likely coalition partners, with possible collaboration with the List of Marjan Šarec and the Party of Alenka Bratušek discussed prior to the elections as well.[36] In early reactions, Golob stated that he does not exclude working with the Slovenian Democratic Party and New Slovenia on some projects, but added that the projects requiring a constitutional majority are not the top priority at the moment.[35] After meeting with Golob two days after the election, President Borut Pahor stated that he planned to appoint a new government led by Golob in late May, with coalition talks with the Social Democrats and The Left due to start the week after the meeting.[40]

References

  1. ^ "Slovenia's president to set general election for April 24". ABC News. Retrieved 22 January 2022.
  2. ^ "Opposition Slovenian liberal party on course for landslide win, say exit polls". The Guardian. 24 April 2022. Retrieved 24 April 2022.
  3. ^ Lihtenvalner, Katja (24 April 2022). "Slovenia's populist PM loses election to environmentalist party-election commission". Reuters. Retrieved 24 April 2022.
  4. ^ a b c "Odzivi iz tujine: Slovenija obrnila hrbet desnemu populizmu". RTVSlo.si (in Slovenian). 25 April 2022. Retrieved 25 April 2022.
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  6. ^ a b National Assembly of the Republic of Slovenia Archived 2020-09-13 at the Wayback Machine State Election Commission
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  8. ^ Electoral system Archived 2016-11-21 at the Wayback Machine IPU
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  13. ^ "Dissenting Opinion of Constitutional Court of Ukraine Justice P.M. Tkachuk Regarding the Decision of the Constitutional Court of Ukraine in the Matter of the Constitutional Petition of the Ministry of Justice of Ukraine Regarding the Official Interpretation of the Provisions of Article 11.6 of the Law of Ukraine "On Political Parties in Ukraine" (Case of the Creation and Registration of Party Organizations)". Statutes and Decisions. 44 (3): 96–100. 1 May 2009. doi:10.2753/rsd1061-0014440313. ISSN 1061-0014.
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  36. ^ a b c ""Gibanje Svoboda je posrkalo večino volivcev, ki so glasovali proti vladi"". RTVSlo.si (in Slovenian). 24 April 2022. Retrieved 25 April 2022.
  37. ^ "Kronika napovedanega poraza". Delo (in Slovenian). 25 April 2022. Retrieved 25 April 2022.
  38. ^ "Zašto u Hrvatskoj nije moguća izborna pobjeda nekoga poput Goloba?". Index.hr (in Croatian). 25 April 2022. Retrieved 25 April 2022.
  39. ^ "Slovenia's Janša defeated by opposition liberal Freedom Movement". euronews. 24 April 2022. Retrieved 25 April 2022.
  40. ^ "Pahor says PM-designate could be proposed around 23 May". The Slovenia Times. Slovenian Press Agency. 27 April 2022. Archived from the original on 27 April 2022. Retrieved 27 April 2022.